Wednesday, April 27, 2016

NFL Mock Draft 2016: Edition 5.1 (Second Round, Final Edition)

Derrick Henry to Dallas
32. Cleveland Browns Will Fuller, WR, Notre Dame
There is a very real chance that Josh Gordon may never play in a Cleveland Browns uniform and even if he does, the Browns could use some weapons around him, considering Dwayne Bowe was released and Travis Benjamin left. If Cleveland really wants their quarterbacks to succeed they need more help, and Fuller is probably the best receiver still available.
First-Round Selection: Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
33. Tennessee Titans Artie Burns, DB, Miami
If the Titans had kept their No. 1 overall pick, there is a real chance they could have taken Jalen Ramsey. He is extremely talented, and the Titans' secondary has been a mess for a long time now. Artie Burns has been shooting up boards, as his athleticism and playmaking ability will help a number of teams. He isn't Ramsey, but he could be a solid defender for years to come in Tennessee.
First-Round Selection: Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
34. Dallas Cowboys Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama
Darren McFadden was a pleasant surprise last season after taking over the running back job from Joseph Randle, but the former first-round pick has been constantly injured and is not a long term answer. If the Cowboys pass on Zeke Elliott at No. 4, they could snag Derrick Henry in Round 2, a beast who could take the pressure off of Tony Romo.
First-Round Selection: Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
35. San Diego Chargers Kenny Clark, DL, UCLA
The Chargers already fixed their offensive line woes in the first round, and they should continue to fortify the trenches as the draft continues. Clark is a first-round prospect; he plays with a high motor and has the versatility to make plays all along the defensive line.
First-Round Selection: Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
36. Baltimore Ravens Jason Spriggs, OT, Indiana
The Ravens may have Eugene Monroe, a high quality tackle, but the veteran has struggled with injuries throughout his career, and it is likely Baltimore looks for his replacement in this draft. Spriggs doesn't have the highest ceiling of the tackles in this draft, but has great size and was extremely productive throughout his time at Indiana.
First-Round Selection: Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
37. San Francisco 49ers Michael Thomas, WR, Ohio State
With Connor Cook still on the board here, there is a possibility San Francisco could look for Colin Kaepernick's replacement here, considering they likely won't have a chance at Wentz or Goff at No. 7. However, as long as Kap is still on their roster, I have a hard time imagining they stretch for a QB with all their deficiencies, which continue at receiver, making Thomas the pick.
First-Round Selection: DeForest Buckner, DL, Oregon
38. Jacksonville Jaguars Jonathan Bullard, DL, Florida
The Jaguars will get Dante Fowler back next year, and will also pay big money to former Denver Bronco Malik Jackson to improve their defensive line, but it is still a work in progress. Jacksonville could use another developmental prospect, and Bullard would work. He may not be flashy, but the former Florida Gator is a great run defender and can play inside or out.
First-Round Selection: Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
39. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Emmanuel Ogbah, DL, Oklahoma State
Outside of Gerald McCoy, the Buccaneers lack any form of pass rush, and they've already solved their secondary issues by grabbing Vernon Hargreaves III in Round One. Ogbah has the talent and pass rushing prowess to go in the first round but the vast abundance of pass rushers in this draft could help him drop a little.
First-Round Selection: Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
40. New York Giants Vonn Bell, S, Ohio State
The safety position for the Giants is a serious problem right now, as there are very few quality options around at the spot, and no answers at No. 10. Bell is gifted with excellent range and closing speed, and he would be a great pickup for New York here.
First-Round Selection: Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
41. Chicago Bears Kendall Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
Already snatching up Leonard Floyd in the first round, expect Chicago to continue to retool their defense, which has been a major problem over the past few years. Kendall Fuller was terrific in his tenure with Virginia Tech, and Chicago could use his shutdown ability.
First-Round Selection: Leonard Floyd, DE/LB, Georgia
42. Miami Dolphins Cody Whitehair, OG, Kansas State
Ever since the Jonathan Martin scandal that led to Richie Incognito's departure from Miami, the Dolphins offensive line has had their issues. They snagged Ezekiel Elliott in the first round, and taking a quality guard could only help their future back continue to improve. Whitehair is as well-rounded a prospect as you can find, and he could immediately upgrade the 'Fins' O-Line.
First-Round Selection: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
43. Tennessee Titans Tyler Boyd, WR, Pittsburgh
The Titans selected Dorial Green-Beckham in the second round last season and he showed plenty of promise in his rookie season. However, they lack anybody beyond him, as Kendall Wright has been a major disappointment throughout his career. Boyd offers great size and was a proven playmaker throughout his time with Pitt.
First-Round Selection: Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
44. Oakland Raiders Keanu Neal, S, Florida
The Raiders have retooled their secondary this offseason, and are already taking Houston stud William Jackson III, a cornerback, in the first round. They could look to further upgrade their secondary by selecting the hard-hitting Neal out of Florida. His great size and closing speed could help him by the starting safety next to Reggie Nelson in back.
First-Round Selection: William Jackson III, CB, Houston
45. Tennessee Titans Kamalei Correa, DE/LB, Boise State
With their fourth selection in the first 50 picks, expect Tennessee to work on their pass rush, which lacks much ferocity. Correa was a dominant pass rusher in his time with Boise State but unimpressive showings at the Combine and Pro Day have restricted him from going in the first round. If he slips, the Titans would be eager to add an edge pass rusher with his skill set.
First-Round Selection: Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
46. Detroit Lions Shon Coleman, OT, Auburn
The Lions have some glaring holes throughout their roster, which includes the offensive line, which I don't have them addressing in the first round. While the top talents at offensive tackle may be off the board, Shon Coleman has the potential to be a steal in the mid-second round. He has excellent size and footwork and has only gotten better in his time with Auburn.
First-Round Selection: Jarran Reed, DL, Alabama
47. New Orleans Saints Kentrell Brothers, LB, Missouri
Even with adding dynamic Sheldon Rankins in Round 1, New Orleans very well could continue to work on their front seven, considering how terrible it has been over the past few years. Kentrell Brothers isn't an overwhelming NFL prospect but was a tackling machine at Missouri and would immediately upgrade the Saints' rush defense.
First-Round Selection: Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
48. Indianapolis Colts Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor
There is a very real chance Andrew Billings could go in the first round, maybe even in the Top 20. With that being said, he has enough weaknesses in his game that he could drop, considering the wide range of defensive linemen available early on. Indianapolis needs to upgrade the trenches and selecting a 315-pounder would help.
First-Round Selection: Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
49. Buffalo Bills Connor Cook, QB, Michigan State
Buffalo is just one of many teams that appear to be in play for Paxton Lynch in the first round. However, they do have holes in their front seven and Rex Ryan loves drafting defenders. If they wait and Cook drops (he could go anywhere from mid-first to third round) the Bills should snatch him up. With solid Tyrod Taylor there, it would allow Cook to learn the ropes for a year or two.
First-Round Selection: Reggie Ragland, LB, Alabama
50. Atlanta Falcons Jalen Mills, DB, LSU
The Falcons' secondary is downright mediocre, and the safety position isn't supremely talented. Already upgrading their front seven earlier, expect Atlanta to snatch up a defensive back here, and Mills would be a good fit. The LSU product has undeniable talent but is still working out a position and has to improve in man coverage.
First-Round Selection: Darron Lee, LB, Ohio State
51. New York Jets Hunter Henry, TE, Arkansas
Although New York just invested a second round pick in fellow tight end Jace Amaro in the 2014 NFL Draft, it is isn't crazy to think they might select Henry, by far and away the best tight end in this draft, here. First, Amaro has been injured and ineffective when he has played, and the Jets need another weapon in the passing game, for whoever ends up being their QB. Henry also adds a more established blocker than Amaro.
First-Round Selection: Noah Spence, DE/LB, Eastern Kentucky
52. Houston Texans Ryan Kelly, OL, Alabama
The Texans' offensive line took a hit this offseason, particularly with center Ben Jones leaving town. The good news is that Ryan Kelly, easily the best natural center in this draft, could drop here. Although Kelly is mocked as high as the first round in many mocks, centers aren't exactly a flashy pick. Already adding another weapon, this makes a lot of sense for Houston.
First-Round Selection: Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
53. Washington Redskins Darian Thompson, S, Boise State
Thompson was once viewed as a possible first-round pick before a weak Combine really hurt his stock. He wasn't 100 percent at that Combine, though, and workouts don't determine just how talented Thompson is. He would be a major help for a Washington team that has been weak at safety for awhile.
First-Round Selection: A'Shawn Robinson, DL, Alabama
54. Minnesota Vikings Su'a Cravens, S/LB, USC
While a number of players are shooting up draft boards, Cravens joins a long list of players who are trending in the opposite direction due to poor workouts/interviews (he was once my Vikings first round pick). Minnesota would snatch up the extreme versatile USC product, as their safety position beyond Harrison Smith is unclear and they could use another linebacker.
First-Round Selection: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
55. Cincinnati Bengals Chris Jones, DT, Mississippi State
Geno Atkins has shown he has Pro Bowl ability, but he hasn't lived up to the hype at defensive tackle over the past few years. Chris Jones has the talent to go way higher, so the Bengals would not question selecting the Mississippi State linemen here.
First-Round Selection: Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
56. Seattle Seahawks Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss
Few prospects in this draft are as interesting as Robert Nkemdiche. He has Top 10-quality talent but he never really produced up to his skill set at Ole Miss. Character concerns have the chance to drop him quite a bit (much like Randy Gregory last year), but he would be a great pickup at this spot for Seattle, who could use some more defensive line help.
First-Round Selection: Germain Ifedi, OL, Texas A&M
57. Green Bay Packers Joshua Perry, LB, Ohio State
The Packers already upgraded their front seven in the first round by adding defensive tackle Vernon Butler. They should continue to upgrade their pass rush by selecting Perry, who was solid throughout his time with Ohio State. He isn't an overwhelming talented prospect, but he has a great mind and feel for the game and he would help at outside linebacker.
First-Round Selection: Vernon Butler, DT, Louisiana Tech
58. Pittsburgh Steelers Carl Nassib, DL, Penn State
After adding Mackensie Alexander at 25 (a significant steal), the Steelers should continue to retool their vaunted "Iron Curtain" defense. Carl Nassib is not explosive, but he improved in a big way at Penn State and proved it by racking up sacks this past season. He would be a welcome addition to Pittsburgh's defensive line.
First-Round Selection: Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
59. Kansas City Chiefs Braxton Miller, WR, Ohio State
The Chiefs' offense took major steps this past season with the addition of speedster Jeremy Maclin, but they still lack much weapons beyond the receiver. Selecting Miller, who has only spent one season at receiver, is slightly a risk but he has one of the highest ceilings of any wide out in the entire draft.
First-Round Selection: Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
60. New England Patriots Xavien Howard, CB, Baylor
While former Super Bowl hero Malcolm Butler continues to make strides, New England is very weak at cornerback, and they don't have a first round pick to solve the issue. Xavien Howard is a very talented prospect who has solid size and has the potential to grow into a shutdown corner.
First-Round Selection: None (Deflategate)
61. New England Patriots Le'Raven Clark, OL, Texas Tech
The Patriots' offensive line has been solid for years, but it is aging and could use some more depth. Clark is blessed with outstanding size and strength, but injuries and poor footwork could drop him slightly. His versatility is also extremely valuable, as he can play every position on the offensive line except center.
First-Round Selection: None (Deflategate)
62. Carolina Panthers Rashard Robinson, CB, LSU
It is understandable why the Panthers did not opt to bring back Pro-Bowl cornerback Josh Norman, but that doesn't mean they won't miss him. Robinson had his fair share of ups-and-downs with LSU, but he has the talent to go even higher, and appears to be the best cornerback on the board here.
First-Round Selection: Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson
63. Denver Broncos Sterling Shepard, WR, Oklahoma
The Broncos have two of the better receivers in the NFL in speedy Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas, but beyond that they are pretty weak. Cody Latimer continues to disappoint and if they do draft Paxton Lynch in the first round, they will looking for as much weapons surrounding him as possible.
First-Round Selection: Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis

Sunday, April 24, 2016

NFL Mock Draft 2016: Edition 5 (Final Edition)

Jared Goff to Los Angeles
1. Los Angeles Rams Jared Goff, QB, California
For awhile, it looked like the Rams would stick with mediocrity at quarterback for a little bit longer and continue with the Case Keenum/Nick Foles situation. Instead, the Rams decided to mortgage their future on this pick and likely select a new, franchise signal-caller. Goff is the better prospect than Wentz and a better fit; his arm strength and feel for the game are special and he has a more complete body of work. The only issue is the fact he almost never took snaps under center while at Cal, but the Rams won't and shouldn't rush him.
Previous Selection: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss (at No.15)
Other Possibility: Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State
2. Philadelphia Eagles Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State
The Eagles also decided to ignore some glaring weaknesses throughout their roster to trade up and select a new franchise quarterback. They might miss out on Goff, but Wentz would be a great fit for them. The former NDSU QB has a high ceiling and underrated athleticism, and he could adjust to the higher speed of the NFL as a backup to Sam Bradford.
Previous Selection: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State (at No. 8)
Other Possibility: Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
3. San Diego Chargers Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
One of the biggest winners of the Eagles and Rams trades was San Diego. The Chargers now have their choice of a long group of elite prospects, including Jalen Ramsey, Joey Bosa, Myles Jack or Laremy Tunsil. They could use all of these guys, but Tunsil may be the best selection. San Diego's offensive line has been an issue for a long time, and Tunsil is by and far the best tackle in this draft.
Previous Selection: Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
Other Possibility: Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
4. Dallas Cowboys Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
Dallas' defense was far from great a year ago, and to make matters worse their two best pass rushers, Randy Gregory and Demarcus Lawrence, will be suspended to begin 2016-2017. Some people worry about character concerns for Joey Bosa, but his versatility (he can interior defensive line, defensive end or outside linebacker) and high motor makes him a perfect pick for the Cowboys.
Previous Selection: Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
5. Jacksonville Jaguars Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
While the Jaguars will improve defensively with the return of Dante Fowler, who missed his entire rookie season with a torn ACL, they still have significant holes. Their secondary is mediocre at best, so having Ramsey drop to them would be a major steal. The former Florida State playmaker can do it all, and adds an entire new dimension to this defense.
Previous Selection: Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
Other Possibility: DeForest Buckner, DL, Oregon
6. Baltimore Ravens Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
Expect the Ravens to look to improve their offensive line here, but if Tunsil is off the board they could wait until later rounds. Baltimore still needs long term solutions on their defense, and Myles Jack is as talented as any defender in this draft, if he recovers from his torn meniscus. Pairing him next to stud C.J. Mosley would form a fantastic 1-2 punch for years to come.
Previous Selection: DeForest Buckner, DL, Oregon
Other Possibility: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
7. San Francisco 49ers DeForest Buckner, DL, Oregon
The 49ers need help everywhere, but expect them to start their rebuild on the defensive side of the ball, where GM Trent Baalke once had a front seven with Patrick Willis, Aldon Smith, Navarro Bowman and Justin Smith. Bowman is the only player that remains, and he hasn't been quite the same since his knee injury. Buckner is a physical freak who is only scratching the surface of what he can be as a pass rusher.
Previous Selection: Jared Goff, QB, California
Other Possibility: Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
8. Cleveland Browns Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
For what seems like the 100th time since the franchise moved back to Cleveland, the Browns are stripping it all down and starting all over. They made the right move in trading back, as they are more than one player away from being a contender. Their offensive line lost Mitchell Schwartz over the offseason and Joe Thomas isn't getting any younger. Stanley isn't without his flaws, but a 6'6" tackle with his footwork is a prize.
Previous Selection: Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State (at No.2)
Other Possibility: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
Hargreaves III isn't without his flaws (he's only 5'10", and has short arms) but he was terrific from the moment he stepped in Gainesville, and Tampa could use a proven playmaker in their secondary, and the shutdown corner could fit that mold.
Previous Selection: Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
Other Possibility: Leonard Floyd, LB, Georgia
10. New York Giants Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
The Giants poured $85 million into Olivier Vernon this offseason and also will have Jason Pierre-Paul back after the rough season he had a year ago. However, Pierre-Paul has been a shell of what he once was, and his future is a question mark. Lawson could fall anywhere in this draft because of the large abundance of pass rushers in this draft, but he has the talent to help the Giants from the get-go.
Previous Selection: Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
Other Possibility: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
11. Chicago Bears Leonard Floyd, DE/LB, Georgia
Outside of the solid Pernell McPhee, Chicago lacks any type of pass rush. They have a ton of options to choose from at this spot, but don't be surprised if they take the dynamic Floyd. Floyd has been shooting up draft boards for weeks and could even find a spot in the Top 10. His impressive size and motor have NFL stud written all over him.
Previous Selection: A'Shawn Robinson, DL, Alabama
Other Possibility: A'Shawn Robinson, DL, Alabama
12. New Orleans Saints Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
For too long, New Orleans' defense has lagged well behind their elite offense, and that was never more true this past season. They need help across their defensive line and they can get a quick fix in Rankins, who fits any type of scheme. Although he won't wow you with his stats or intangibles, few players are as NFL ready or will contribute as quickly as Rankins.
Previous Selection: Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
Other Possibility: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
13. Miami Dolphins Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
Elliott will have his fair share of suitors throughout the first round, possibly even Dallas at No.4. However, taking a running back in the Top 10 is a risky business, even if they are as rock-solid as Elliott. If he does slip, Miami would be eager to snatch him up, as they have no clear solution for the now-departed Lamar Miller right now.
Previous Selection: Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
14. Oakland Raiders William Jackson III, CB, Houston
Although they did sign stout Sean Smith and powerful Reggie Nelson over the offseason, it would not be surprising to see Oakland continue to improve their defensive backfield, considering it was lacking a year ago and that was before Charles Woodson retired. Jackson could fall anywhere, but his superb athleticism and high ceiling could force the Raiders to possibly reach a little.
Previous Selection: Jarran Reed, DL, Alabama
Other Possibility: A'Shawn Robinson, DL, Alabama
15. Tennessee Titans Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
The Titans have had a tremendous offseason, snatching up Demarco Murray and acquiring plenty of future picks while keeping decent draft position. They may miss out on Laremy Tunsil, but Conklin is seen by many as a Top 10 prospect and he would be a superb consolation prize for Tennessee.
Previous Selection: Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss (at No. 1)
Other Possibility: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
16. Detroit Lions Jarran Reed, DL, Alabama
He isn't flashy, but Detroit would be getting a great pickup in selecting Reed here. He is a rock-solid, hard-nosed run stopper and the Lions have expressed plenty of interest, for good reason. The Lions are desperately lacking in the interior of their D-Line, ever since Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley left last offseason.
Previous Selection: Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
Other Possibility: A'Shawn Robinson, DL, Alabama
17. Atlanta Falcons Darron Lee, LB, Ohio State
Few defenders in this draft possess the closing speed and range of Darron Lee, which would make him a great fit in Atlanta. The Falcons' pass rush has been weak for too long, and second-year head coach Dan Quinn loves versatile defenders.
Previous Selection: Darron Lee, LB, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Reggie Ragland, LB, Alabama
18. Indianapolis Colts Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
The Colts have been very quiet this offseason after last season's spending spree for Andre Johnson and Frank Gore failed miserably. Expect GM Ryan Grigson to focus on either trench in this draft, particularly the O-Line, in order to keep Andew Luck afloat. The Colts would love Conklin to drop, but Decker would work very well too.
Previous Selection: Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Noah Spence, DE/LB, Eastern Kentucky
19. Buffalo Bills Reggie Ragland, LB, Alabama
The Bills traded away Kiko Alonso last season in the Lesean McCoy trade, and will miss Nigel Bradham, who signed with Philadelphia this offseason. That should force Rex Ryan to improve his linebacker corps, and Ragland is a great pick. He is a great run defender and has a defensive mind that the Ryan brothers would appreciate.
Previous Selection: Reggie Ragland, LB, Alabama
Other Possibility: A'Shawn Robinson, DL, Alabama
20. New York Jets Noah Spence, DE/LB, Eastern Kentucky
Spence is probably the most interesting prospect in the entire draft. He might be the best pure pass rusher in a draft loaded with them, but his substance abuse past raises more than just a few worries, and he played at the FCS level the past year. Even so, New York scouts defensive talent as great as anyone, and they could use another pass rusher, especially with Muhammad Wilkerson possibly leaving soon.
Previous Selection: Leonard Floyd, DE/LB, Georgia
Other Possibility: Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
21. Washington Redskins A'Shawn Robinson, DL, Alabama
With a draft so heavy on defensive linemen, more than a few are going to drop farther than they should, and that might be the case for Robinson here. That is good news for Washington who will look to add an interior linemen with Terrance Knighton gone.
Previous Selection: Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor
Other Possibility: Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor
22. Houston Texans Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
Already armed with one of the NFL's best pass-catchers in DeAndre Hopkins, Houston will try to add weapons around Brock Osweiler that also complement Hopkins. That should push them to pick Coleman, a burner whose deep threat ability will open up plenty of lanes and windows for Hopkins to work with.
Previous Selection: Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
Other Possibility: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
23. Minnesota Vikings Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
Just a month ago, Treadwell was viewed as by far and away the best receiver in the 2016 Draft and possibly a Top 10 pick. Poor showings at the Combine and his Pro Day have hurt, but Treadwell is still a good enough prospect that this is a steal for Minnesota, who is desperate to add playmakers to help Teddy Bridgewater.
Previous Selection: Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
Other Possibility: Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
24. Cincinnati Bengals Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
The Bengals would continue the run of receivers here by selecting Doctson, a well-rounded weapon out of TCU. Beyond A.J. Green and tight end Tyler Eifert, the Bengals lack playmakers, particularly with Marvin Jones out of the mix. Doctson's speed and size could be the perfect complement to Green.
Previous Selection: Michael Thomas, WR, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss
25. Pittsburgh Steelers Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
The Steelers need a secondary piece, especially with the recent cutting of corner Cortez Allen, and there remains a chance two of the best true corners in this draft, Eli Apple and Mackensie Alexander, could drop to them. Alexander is slightly more experienced, but both offer extreme potential, and it could be a toss-up between them.
Previous Selection: Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
Other Possibility: Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
26. Seattle Seahawks Germain Ifedi, OL, Texas A&M
Another year, another highly touted Texas A&M offensive linemen. Seattle's offensive line is a major problem, and they need some help in this draft. Ifedi would not only be an asset at tackle, he has experience in the interior, where the Seahawks have had issues ever since they dealt away Max Unger in the Jimmy Graham deal.
Previous Selection: Jason Spriggs, OT, Indiana
Other Possibility: Jason Spriggs, OT, Indiana
27. Green Bay Packers Vernon Butler, DT, Louisiana Tech
B.J. Raji was never overly dominant but the Packers will miss his presence inside, and will also look for further defensive line help. Butler has the raw tools and strength to be a first-rounder and will continue to grow and evolve as a pass rusher.
Previous Selection: Chris Jones, DL, Mississippi State
Other Possibility: Kentrell Brothers, LB, Missouri
28. Kansas City Chiefs Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
The Chiefs got a steal on Marcus Peters, as the former Washington Husky was probably the NFL's best rookie defender last season. While they will hope he will continue to grow, they need another corner with Sean Smith gone. Eli Apple could fall anywhere, and has the talent and incredible athleticism to be a valuable helper for anyone.
Previous Selection: William Jackson III, CB, Houston
Other Possibility: Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
29. Arizona Cardinals T.J. Green, S, Clemson
The Cardinals fixed their defensive line issues by adding Chandler Jones, and should continue to shore up their secondary here. Green is a terrific safety with a proven work ethic who could assist Tyrann Mathieu in the back.
Previous Selection: Noah Spence, DE/LB, Eastern Kentucky
Other Possibility: Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss
30. Carolina Panthers Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson
Gone is Josh Norman, just a few months after a breakout year. Though, that doesn't mean Carolina needs to overreact and reach on a corner here if Apple, Jackson nor Alexander is available here. Sometimes the best secondary is a strong pass rush, and the Panthers can secure that by picking up the underrated Dodd, yet another Clemson Tiger.
Previous Selection: Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
Other Possibility: Emmanuel Ogbah, DL, Oklahoma State
31. Denver Broncos Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
While it is generally accepted that Wentz and Goff will likely go No. 1 and 2 in the draft or at least in the Top 10, Lynch is a mystery. He could go to Kansas City, the Jets or even Cleveland could trade up from the second round. By the end, however, I think he'll end up in Denver. He would be a great fit and wouldn't have a ton of pressure on him, considering Mark Sanchez can help out and the Broncos have the NFL's best defense.
Previous Selection: Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
Other Possibility: Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss

Sunday, April 17, 2016

Spring Football 2016: Alabama's Quest to Repeat

Tim Williams
In late September, hopes of a fourth Alabama title under Nick Saban seemed highly unlikely. The Tide had just lost to Ole Miss for the second straight year, and while the Rebels jumped in polls, Alabama was searching for solutions to their quarterback and pass defense problems. How did Alabama respond? Only by absolutely crushing everyone who stood in their path along the way on their way to an SEC title and berth in the College Football Playoff. They then continued their magnificent play, punishing the Big Ten champion Michigan State in the semifinal and then overcoming the previously undefeated Clemson Tigers in the National Championship. In 2016-2017, Alabama will enter the season as the hunted, which has become a common theme for them. Also common for them has been the abundance of impact players that left in the off-season. Even so, thinking Alabama won't be a serious national title threat is downright foolish.

Few players in college football transformed as much as Jake Coker did from the start of the season to the end. The former Florida State transfer took over the quarterback job (a year later than many expected) and was far from overwhelming. While he performed well in the opener against Wisconsin, his comfort in the offense was an immediate question and he soon slumped. Saban turned to youthful Cooper Bateman for the Ole Miss game before he was leveled and left the game. From that point on, Coker showed the poise and confidence many had hoped they would get from the veteran. By the end of the season he was making NFL-level throws and playing with a chip on his shoulder. Unfortunately for Alabama, they won't get to see how much he may improve with a second year on the job, as he graduated. That leaves Saban and offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin with their third consecutive offseason of searching for their starting quarterback. Talent is not a problem at the position, as a number of the competitors are former big-time recruits. Bateman will compete with highly touted Blake Barnett, David Cornwell and the ultimate wild card, Jalen Hurts, for the gig. Bateman and Barnett have to be considered the favorites in the race, and Kiffin has done a terrific job with his quarterbacks over the past two years. Unfortunately, whoever starts at quarterback this year for the Tide will not have the comforting feeling of a Heisman-winning (at least not yet) running back behind them. Derrick Henry ran through everybody this year on his way to the sport's most prestigious trophy and while he was too often injured, backup Kenyan Drake also graduated. However, Alabama finds dominant running backs like few others and the next in line appears to be Bo Scarbrough, who has the looks of a beast in the backfield. The sophomore is 6'2", 235 pounds and is built like a bulldozer; he showed plenty of potential last season and ran for 104 yards in 'Bama's spring game earlier this week. Joining Scarbrough will be last year's third-stringer, Damien Harris, another prolific high school player who showed signs a year ago. Alabama will also have big shoes to fill on the defensive side of the ball, where they lose defensive linemen A'Shawn Robinson and Jarran Reed and gritty linebacker Reggie Ragland.

Let's just say that the young guys come in and star at quarterback, running back and on the D-Line from the get-go. It won't happen, and there are going to be growing pains, no matter how talented the new pieces are. However, the talent on the rest of the Tide's roster is truly mind-boggling, with future NFL players dotting every position group. It starts with sophomore Calvin Ridley at receiver, who broke numerous records in his first season in Tuscaloosca. The dynamic receiver doesn't quite have the size of Amari Cooper, but he is quicker and more agile and he could be in store for a truly monster season. Tight end O.J. Howard is back for his senior year as well, and should be a great complement to Ridley's deep threat abilities. After a disappointing junior season where he never truly found a rhythm, Howard came out in full force in the season's biggest game. reeling in a number of huge grabs to help seal the deal against Clemson in the National Championship. Howard has deceptive speed and should continue to grow as a pass-catcher in his final year on campus. Also joining the stacked receiver corps will be highly coveted transfer Gehrig Dieter. Dieter, who arrives from Bowling Green as a graduate transfer, has game-changing speed and put up huge numbers in the Falcons prolific offense. Those three will play a huge role throughout this season and will be looked at to guide whoever starts at quarterback. On defense, the Tide do have talent returning, mainly defensive linemen Jonathan Allen. Allen could have been a first or second-round draft pick but opted to return and hunt for another title. The powerful Allen will be supported by Tim Williams, a pass-rushing specimen who could be in store for a monster season. Williams managed to make his presence felt last season despite not seeing a ton of snaps. With another offseason to grow even stronger and quicker the senior should put up big numbers. In the secondary, expect big things from another stud that spurned the NFL, Eddie Jackson. Jackson can play an important role at either cornerback or safety. He is a great coverage guy but also showed excellent safety traits, and the ability to make plays. Minkah Fitzpatrick showed the potential to be a superstar as well in the stocked 'Bama defensive backfield.

Perhaps more than ever, college football heavyweights scheduled major opponents and Alabama joined the trend. Alabama has actually done a good job of scheduling challenges early on and this year they will be tested by USC to begin the year. The Trojans are coming off a disappointing year that culminated in Steve Sarkisian's firing, but they are still going to give the Tide quite the challenge. Another non-conference test with sneaky Western Kentucky could be relatively close, and the Tide face a schedule from late October to late November that includes Tennessee, Texas A&M, LSU, Mississippi State and Auburn (with a bye in the middle). That should only put more pressure on a young team that while clearly talented, will have a number of issues to pan out before.

There is few things more difficult in sports than winning two straight National Championships, especially in a college football landscape that now includes a Playoff. The Tide will not only have to find a quarterback, they'll have to plug him into an offense that isn't easy to learn and relies heavily on the mind of their signal-caller. A dominant, four-down back will have to show up as well, and he defense will still have gaps to fill, which will become increasingly difficult, considering that Alabama will be without their defensive coordinator Kirby Smart, who took the Georgia job. Playmakers like Ridley, Howard and Jackson will obviously keep Alabama humming for the most part, and it is hard to imagine 'Bama taking much of a step back, no matter what happens. "The Process" in Alabama has begun again and while the road will be extremely difficult, the Tide have enough throughout their ranks to close in on yet another title.

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

NFL Mock Draft 2016: Edition 4

Carson Wentz to Cleveland
1. Tennessee Titans Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
Rumors of Tennessee possibly selecting Florida State's Jalen Ramsey are understandable. The defensive back is the best overall player in the draft, and the Titans secondary is far from strong. Despite this, Tennessee would be best suited to stick with Laremy Tunsil at the No. 1 spot. They certainly could entertain the option of trading down, but Tunsil fits a need and is one of the best offensive tackles we've seen come out college in a long time.
Previous Selection: Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
Other Possibility: Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
2. Cleveland Browns Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State
Robert Griffin III has arrived in Cleveland, hoping to resurrect a career that appears to be on its last legs. Despite the addition of RG3, I don't believe it will have any impact on the Browns' move here. They need a long term quarterback who can stay healthy, and Wentz has locked down the No. 1 quarterback spot in this draft with a strong Pro Day and Combine.
Previous Selection: Carson Wenz, QB, North Dakota State
Other Possibility: Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
3. San Diego Chargers Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
Eric Weddle is now officially a Baltimore Raven, officially closing a long and terrific career in San Diego. The Chargers are right to move on; Weddle was declining severely and Jalen Ramsey would be an immediate upgrade, if he lasts on the board this long. The versatility of Ramsey and his electrifying playmaking will immediately add credibility to a weak San Diego secondary.
Previous Selection: Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
Other Possibility: DeForest Buckner, DL, Oregon
4. Dallas Cowboys Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
Last season, Dallas leaned heavily on the services of Greg Hardy and rookie Randy Gregory. One (Hardy) is a complete locker room distraction and a symbol for domestic abuse, while Gregory was arrested weeks before last year's draft for drug possession. Dallas would be wise to strengthen the position by selecting Bosa, who should be the top player available. Character concerns also loom over the Ohio State product, but are very mild when compared to Hardy, who shouldn't be back.
Previous Selection: Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
Other Possibility: Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
5. Jacksonville Jaguars Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
The Jaguars possess crazy amounts of talent on their offense, but their defense continues to need work. Selecting Jack would immediately upgrade the defensive side of the ball, as Jack can help in run support and is the best coverage linebacker in this year's draft. Teams will be eager to see how Jack can return from his torn ACL earlier this season, but the ceiling for this guy is incredible.
Previous Selection: Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
6. Baltimore Ravens DeForest Buckner, DL, Oregon
There were many reasons why Baltimore limped to a 5-11 mark last season, including injuries and poor running back play. Just as critical, however, was their lack of a true, dominant pass rusher. Adding DeForest Buckner would immediately solve that issue. Buckner brings an absolute menacing presence off the edge who was absolutely dominant at times throughout his tenure at Oregon.
Previous Selection: Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
Other Possibility: Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
7. San Francisco 49ers Jared Goff, QB, California
No matter what happens in the long Colin Kaepernick saga, San Francisco needs to move somewhere fresh at their most important position. Goff has the arm strength and pocket poise to be special, and he could really rack up yardage in Chip Kelly's up-tempo offensive scheme.
Previous Selection: Jared Goff, QB, California
Other Possibility: Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
8. Philadelphia Eagles Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
Philadelphia has spent much of this offseason backtracking from the Chip Kelly era, dealing away busts like Demarco Murray, Kiko Alonso and Byron Maxwell, and looking towards the future. The departure of Murray leaves the Eagles without a true, dominant back and their trade-up allows them to take a stab at Elliott, who is by far and away the best back in this draft.
Previous Selection: Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis (previously No. 13 pick)
Other Possibility: Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
Overall, Tampa Bay made major strides last season, improving from 2-14 to 6-10 and they appear to be a dark horse entering 2016. They still need reinforcements in their defensive backfield, and Hargreaves could be a perfect solution. Hargreaves was absolutely shutdown throughout his time with the Gators, and Tampa has really lacked a No. 1 corner for awhile.
Previous Selection: DeForest Buckner, DL, Oregon
Other Possibility: Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
10. New York Giants Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
The Giants have lagged in the trenches for too long, and they need to strike on either defensive line or offensive line in this year's draft. The good news is Stanley could drop to them at 10, a steal considering that the massive Stanley is widely viewed as the second best offensive tackle this year.
Previous Selection: Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
Other Possibility: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
11. Chicago Bears A'Shawn Robinson, DL, Alabama
One thing that Chicago has really lacked over the past few years has been a truly dominant defensive linemen. They've signed guys like Julius Peppers and Jared Allen over the past couple of years, with minimal results. A'Shawn Robinson has the chance to be an absolutely dominant D-Linemen, whether it be as a defensive tackle stuffing runners or as a dangerous pass rusher off the edge.
Previous Selection: Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
Other Possibility: Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
12. New Orleans Saints Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
New Orleans allowed a whooping 4.9 yards per carry this past season, and it is clear they need to continue to overhaul their defensive line. The signing of Nick Fairley was a start, but it was only a one year deal and is just a short term solution. Rankins has been steadily rising up draft boards and could be the disruptive force in the interior of the defensive line the Saints have lacked.
Previous Selection: A'Shawn Robinson, DL, Alabama
Other Possibility: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
13. Miami Dolphins Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
The Dolphins couldn't wait to get rid of Brent Grimes, opting to release the once-Pro Bowler early in free agency. They traded for Byron Maxwell from Philadelphia, but that does little to erase their massive problems in the secondary. Eli Apple has cemented himself as a first-round prospect, with ideal speed and athleticism.
Previous Selection: Noah Spence, DE, Eastern Kentucky
Other Possibility: Noah Spence, DE, Eastern Kentucky
14. Oakland Raiders Jarran Reed, DL, Alabama
The talent throughout the Raiders' roster is increasing in a big way, but that doesn't mean Oakland doesn't have major holes. The scary injury to Mario Edwards' neck this past season has only confirmed the Raiders need to fix their defensive line issues. Reed isn't the best prospect available here, but his motor and tenacity would add some more bite to the Oakland front seven.
Previous Selection: Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
Other Possibility: Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
15. Los Angeles Rams Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
For the time being, the Rams appear content with the Nick Foles/Case Keenum era at quarterback. They may search for a quarterback later in this draft, but don't be surprised to see them go elsewhere here. Receiver would be logical; the Rams have lacked a true No. 1 wideout for a very long time and while his rough showing at his Pro Day and at the Combine have hurt him, Treadwell is still the best wide receiver in this year's draft.
Previous Selection: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
Other Possibility: Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
16. Detroit Lions Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
Detroit could be any number of ways with this selection, but the smartest one would be improving their offensive line. Riley Rieff is a mystery beyond this season, and the rest of the unit could use some reinforcements. Conklin is a steady, stable veteran who played college ball inside the state and fit in nicely with the Lions.
Previous Selection: Jarran Reed, DL, Alabama
Other Possibility: Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
17. Atlanta Falcons Darron Lee, LB, Ohio State
Due to their weak rush defense and average pass rush, it has long been established Atlanta could be looking linebacker in this spot. I've had Reggie Ragland mocked here for awhile, but I could see the Falcons taking a chance at Lee. Lee has incredible athleticism and range and offers head coach Dan Quinn more versatility than Ragland.
Previous Selection: Reggie Ragland, LB, Alabama
Other Possibility: Reggie Ragland, LB, Alabama
18. Indianapolis Colts Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
The Colts' offensive line woes became apparent last season when Andrew Luck was injured and Frank Gore could not find any running room. There is some talent there, but adding another young promising linemen like Decker could go a long way. Not only is Decker a proven run blocker, but he has the versatility to fill in at a number of positions throughout the unit.
Previous Selection: Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Noah Spence, DE, Eastern Kentucky
19. Buffalo Bills Reggie Ragland, LB, Alabama
Guys like Darron Lee, Myles Jack and Leonard Floyd may be flashier and more exciting, but there isn't a more rock-steady linebacker prospect than Ragland in this draft. He is a smart, well-rounded linebacker who would be a major help to Rex Ryan and the Bills, as their linebacker corps desperately missed Kiko Alonso last year.
Previous Selection: Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss
Other Possibility: Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss
20. New York Jets Leonard Floyd, LB, Georgia
Expect the Jets to continue stocking up their front seven this season, particularly if an intriguing talent like Leonard Floyd is available here. Floyd is an attacking, physical specimen off the edge who would be a great fit in coach Todd Bowles' scheme.
Previous Selection: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Jordan Howard, RB, Indiana
21. Washington Redskins Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor
For a long time Washington has been shopping for a disruptive defensive tackle presence. It has led them to overpay for Albert Haynesworth and Terrance Knighton (who they just let go) over the past few years. Expect them to finally make some progress on the goal by picking Billings, who could be a sneaky good prospect. Billings is chunky and doesn't move well but he plugs gaps as well as anybody.
Previous Selection: Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor
Other Possibility: Kenny Clark, DL, UCLA
22. Houston Texans Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
At the time of my lack mock draft (all the way back in late February), I felt certain the Texans were finally going to go out and draft a quarterback. Instead, they opted to plunge big money into Brock Osweiler in the free agent market. They should make the smart move and improve his weapons now and the prolific Coleman would be a natural fit. His speed and deep threat ability could be a great complement to DeAndre Hopkins.
Previous Selection: Connor Cook, QB, Michigan State
Other Possibility: Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
23. Minnesota Vikings Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
Before a wrist injury ended his season prematurely, Doctson was one of the most dominant players in all of college football at TCU. The Vikings could certainly use his explosiveness and reliability, especially considering Mike Wallace is officially gone.
Previous Selection: Will Fuller, WR, Notre Dame
Other Possibility: Will Fuller, WR, Notre Dame
24. Cincinnati Bengals Michael Thomas, WR, Ohio State
Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu are officially out of Cincinnati, and while A.J. Green and Tyler Eifert are superb, Andy Dalton could still use one more receiver. Michael Thomas is a lot like Green; great hands, great size and an excellent route runner. He should be a solid No. 2 weapon for years to come.
Previous Selection: Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
Other Possibility: Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss
25. Pittsburgh Steelers Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
The Steelers have managed to get by with a secondary composed of veterans and journeymen for a long time, but at some point they need to draft a shutdown corner. There are a plethora of options here in the late first round, but Alexander is a Top 10 talent who had his dominant moments at Clemson.
Previous Selection: William Jackson III, CB, Houston
Other Possibility: William Jackson III, CB, Houston
26. Seattle Seahawks Jason Spriggs, OL, Indiana
It is pretty clear by now that Russell Wilson is on the short list of best quarterbacks in the NFL. The priority now for the Seahawks is continuing to surround him with talent and protect him. The losses of Russell Okung and J.R. Sweezy make an offensive linemen selection very important. Spriggs isn't flashy but he is well-rounded and well-built.
Previous Selection: Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
Other Possibility; Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss
27. Green Bay Packers Chris Jones, DL, Mississippi State
B.J. Raji made an unexpected retirement this offseason, and the Packers have long been average on the defensive line. GM Ted Thompson should invest in Chris Jones, a talented prospect rising up boards out of Mississippi State who doesn't have the character concerns of Robert Nkemdiche or others.
Previous Selection: Darron Lee, LB, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Jaylon Smith, LB, Notre Dame
28. Kansas City Chiefs William Jackson III, CB, Houston
Last year's first round selection Marcus Peters was an absolute stud this season for Kansas City. Unfortunately, the corner opposite him, Sean Smith, left in free agency. Expect the Chiefs to snatch up Jackson, who continues to rise after a terrific showing at the Combine.
Previous Selection: Kendall Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
Other Possibility: Artie Burns, CB, Miami
29. Arizona Cardinals Noah Spence, DE, Eastern Kentucky
Spence continues to fluctuate up, down and all over my draft boards. He has all the talent to be absolutely dominant at the next level, but players with character concerns always seem to drop like stones on draft day (ahem, Randy Gregory). Spence would be a great fit in Arizona, and the Cards could use him after Dwight Freeney, who was a revelation this past season, retired.
Previous Selection: Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson
Other Possibility: Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson
30. Carolina Panthers Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
Shaq Lawson is yet another player that could go nearly anywhere in this first round. He had his moments at Clemson, but questions about his effort and scheme fit could drop him a little bit. Carolina would be getting a steal here as the local product proved he could get after the QB while at Clemson.
Previous Selection: Emmanuel Ogbah, DL, Oklahoma State
Other Possibility: Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson
31. Denver Broncos Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
The Broncos acquired Mark Sanchez this offseason and very well could still trade for Colin Kaepernick, after Peyton Manning retired and Brock Osweiler left. Even so, the Broncos should get their man of the future in Lynch, who very well could slip. Denver loved Osweiler's size and arm strength; Lynch is 6'7" and has a proven deep arm.
Previous Selection: Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama
Other Possibility: Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss

Tuesday, April 5, 2016

College Basketball Sneak Peek 2016-2017

Derryck Thornton
Villanova capped off perhaps one of the best National Championships ever with a Kris Jenkins three that will forever be etched in March Madness history. The Wildcats will spend their time celebrating the victory, but college basketball never stops. Here is the way-too-early sneak peek at the teams and players to watch for the 2016-2017 season:
Note: A new rule allows players to put their name in the draft pool and participate in the NBA Combine with the chance they can return to school if they don't like their draft position, essentially testing the waters. This means not every player who applies for Draft entry will actually leave next this offseason. 

1. Duke Blue Devils
This past season, Duke was extremely talented, with studs like Brandon Ingram, Grayson Allen and underrated Luke Kennard dotting their roster. Unfortunately, depth became too much of an issue for them to overcome, forcing them to bow out in the Sweet 16 to Oregon. In 2016-2017, talent will be everywhere on the court, per typical Duke standards. Ingram is gone, and Allen and more may well follow. Though, Kennard and steady point guard Derryck Thornton will most likely be back, along with Amile Jefferson, who will most likely receive a medical redshirt after missing most of 2015-2016. However for the Blue Devils it isn't about who's coming back as it is about who is coming in. Harry Giles and Jayson Tatum are the top two players in the Class of 2016, and have superstar potential. Frank Jackson will also arrive and help Thornton at point, as Thornton was Duke's only true point guard a year ago.
2. Kentucky Wildcats
Another likely offseason makeover for John Calipari and Kentucky, but yet another high ranking. That is just how college basketball is nowadays. Kentucky will lose a number of valuable assets including senior forward Alex Poythress and sharpshooting Jamal Murray at point guard. Though their biggest loss could be Tyler Ulis, who was the nation's best point guard as a sophomore. Ulis remains a strange NBA prospect, and he very well could opt to return to Lexington. If he does, Kentucky may be the best team in the entire nation, because the talent beyond him is special. De'Aaron Fox is one of the Class of 2016's top point guards, and Bam Adebayo and Malik Monk bring plenty of star power. Valuable holdovers like Marcus Lee, Derek Willis and likely Isaiah Briscoe could also help fuel a deep Wildcats' tourney run.
3. Villanova Wildcats
After four great years and a fantastic Championship run, Ryan Arcidiacono and Daniel Ochefu's time in Philadelphia has come to a close. Despite that, Jay Wright will once more have something special, headed by the hero of the Championship, Kris Jenkins and company. Jenkins has the chance to be a special player, while Jalen Brunson, a former bigtime recruit will likely take big steps in his sophomore season. Leading scorer Josh Hart is perhaps the nation's most underrated player and five-star big man Omari Spellman could be even better than Ochefu.
4. Kansas Jayhawks
Losing program cornerstones like Perry Ellis and Wayne Selden, along with likely other valuable reserves would be daunting for any coach. But, for Bill Self it is just another offseason in Lawrence, Kansas. The Jayhawks will obviously miss Ellis and Selden, but their backcourt could be the nation's best next season, with Frank Mason and Devonta' Graham leading the charge. The Jayhawks could lose Cheick Diallo, Brannen Greene and Carlton Bragg, but big man Udoka Azuikbe is going to be very good, and they still have time to reel in one of 2016's greatest prizes, swingman Josh Jackson.
5. UNC Tar Heels
North Carolina may be coming off one of the most heartbreaking losses in NCAA Tournament history, and they will goodbye to longtime playmakers Marcus Paige and Brice Johnson. Though, the Tar Heels could still be in play for a Final Four, depending on what becomes of their underclassmen. Forward Justin Jackson will likely test NBA waters, but if he returns he could be a true No. 1 option. Isaiah Hicks, Kennedy Meeks and Nate Britt will also be interesting to watch. If Hicks and Meeks both return, the Tar Heels could still have a very formidable frontcourt. UNC also brings in a strong class, headlined by wonderful guard Seventh Woods.
6. Oregon Ducks
The Ducks proved this past year they could be talked about with the Big Boys and back it up, winning the Pac-12 and reaching the Elite Eight. Oregon could be even better this year, thanks to the likely returns of their big three: Dillon Brooks, Tyler Dorsey and Jordan Bell. Shot-blocking specialist Chris Boucher will also most likely be back and a year later than expected, Villanova transfer Dylan Ennis is healthy and ready to go. While the Pac-12 should be significantly tougher this year, the Ducks are still the clear favorite.
7. Xavier Muskeeters
If not for Bronson Koenig's miraculous shot at the buzzer to lift Wisconsin to a win, Xavier very well could have been a Elite Eight team and beyond. Chris Mack will have a solid group returning throughout the roster, but will have to wait and see on Trevon Bluiett. Bluiett very well could turn pro, but if he doesn't, the Musketeers may have the Big East's best player. Sophomore Edmund Sumner was terrific as a freshman and should get even better, and Xavier will hope from bigger things from junior J.P. Macura. Also, USC transfer Katin Reinhardt is considering Xavier, and he could add a dynamic scorer on the wing.
8. Virginia Cavaliers
For the third straight year, Virginia was unable to turn their top-two seed into a Final Four, but they were as close as they possibly could have been. The Cavs will miss Malcolm Brogdon and Anthony Gill, but Tony Bennett is a great coach, and he has really built something at UVA. Point guard London Perrantes will keep the offense humming, while the Cavaliers should expect big things from forward Isaiah Wilkins and Marial Shayok. The addition of Memphis transfer Austin Nichols should help ease the loss of the three big men: Gill, Evan Nolte and Mike Tobey.
9. Michigan State Spartans
It seemed nearly half the nation picked MSU to win it all this season and what happened? They fell flat on their face against the C-USA Champions. As sad as it is to see seniors Denzel Valentine, Matt Costello and Bryn Forbes leave on such a depressing note, Tom Izzo should have another great team in East Lansing. Lourawls "Tum Tum" Nairn could run the offense, while former West Virginia transfer Eron Harris showed plenty of promise last season. Deyonta Davis should help ease the loss of Costello, who was a superb rebounder. Izzo did a masterful job on the recruiting trail this year, reeling in three big-time recruits, namely Miles Bridges, an insane athlete who should star from Day One.
10. Arizona Wildcats
It should say something about the state of Arizona basketball that the Wildcats won 25 games and finished off strong in the Pac-12 and it was still a down year. It should also say something that the Wildcats will lose three great seniors and are still a National Championship possibility. Alonzo Trier will be back healthy after missing a big chunk of last season. The youthful wing was absolutely terrific last season and should be even better. Kadeem Allen should be also be in store for a big 2016-2017, and Sean Miller reeled in a number of great recruits, most notably Kobi Simmons. The Wildcats are also in the running for Josh Jackson, along with Kansas and MSU.

Others in the Mix

Syracuse Orange
Ignoring the fact they lost 14 games, Syracuse did make a pretty remarkable run to the Final Four this year and will return plenty of talent. Big man Tyler Lydon is going to be a great center, while Malachi Richardson had games where he absolutely took over. Senior Tyler Roberson is a good defender and rebounder and Boeheim develops young talent as good as anyone.

Louisville Cardinals
This could be a peculiar offseason in Louisville, as NCAA investigation looms over the basketball team. For the time being, the Cards will lean heavily on the services of veterans Mangok Mathiang and Chinanu Onuaku along with guard Quentin Snider. The additions of freshman V.J. King and Penn transfer Tony Hicks should keep Louisville afloat in the brutal ACC.

UConn Huskies
Kevin Ollie has certainly done a great job at UConn but there is no denying his team underachieved last season. The good news is the Huskies could be better, even with the losses of a number of seniors and do-it-all Daniel Hamilton. Amida Brimah continues to take strides as a center and the backcourt is stocked with talent, most notably Jalen Adams and NC State transfer Rodney Purvis.

UCLA Bruins
A 15-17 overall and 6-12 conference mark did little to take the pressure off of Steve Alford at UCLA. Once more, Alford responded by reeling in an extremely talented recruiting class, headed by guard Lonzo Ball and forward T.J. Leaf. They will join Alford's son, Bryce, and Isaac Hamilton to form what could be a very sneaky Bruins team.

Virginia Tech Hokies
If you want a dark horse look no further then Blacksburg, Virginia, where Buzz Williams has a legitimate contender in just his third year at the school. The Hokies ended last season on fire and return every single major contributor. That includes underrated Zach LeDay and Maryland transfer Seth Allen, who should lead the show.

Sunday, April 3, 2016

2016 NCAA Basketball Championship Prediction

Josh Hart & Kris Jenkins
Three weeks later, and only two teams remain in the 2016 NCAA Basketball Tournament. The No. 1 seed North Carolina Tar Heels have rode their veteran lineup and great depth to five straight victories, while Villanova has been a major surprise, moving past their recent March struggles to reach the Championship Game as well. After an exciting opening weekend, this year's tournament has really been lacking in excitement and close games, highlighted by two blowout Final Four victories. Rest assured, no blowouts will be happening here. These two teams are scorching hot and are about as evenly matched as they come. This is sure to be one exciting battle to decide who is crowned champion of the college basketball world this season.

From top to bottom, there may not be a basketball team in the nation that can match up with North Carolina. It isn't just their stars, but the fact they have a whole double unit that can come in and contribute as well. Off the bench, guys like Isaiah Hicks, gritty Joel James and play-making Theo Pinson play big roles and have had a great couple of games. The starting lineup includes seniors Marcus Paige and Brice Johnson, along with swingman Justin Jackson and massive Kennedy Meeks. Paige has been extremely important to the Tar Heels throughout his time in Chapel Hill, but particularly in their last five games. The senior point guard was struggling mightily from deep entering March but has been absolutely flaming hot since then. Villanova's guards are great defenders, but expect Paige to still be looking for his shot. Down low, Johnson has continued a terrific regular season with a dominant postseason. Johnson has been an absolute beast all year long on the boards, particularly offensive. He has proven to also have a capable mid-range shot and appears to be on a mission to win a Championship as his grand finale with UNC. Jackson provides tremendous athleticism and shooting on the wings, while Meeks has moments where he can dominate down low. The three-headed monster of Meeks, Johnson and Hicks (not to mention James) will be an absolute load for a relatively undersized Villanova team to handle. Don't be surprised if North Carolina pounds it in the paint early and often, particularly if the game comes down to the wire.

The Wildcats have gone on their run behind their talented group of veterans, especially their top two seniors, Daniel Ochefu and Ryan Arcidiacono. Arcidiacono is so hot he has been shooting over 60% from the field this tournament, and is feeling it from deep. The four-year captain is playing in a manner similar to Johnson; dead set on ending his collegiate career with a Championship, and it is clear, with the hustle and heart he plays with. Ochefu has transformed into a dominant low post presence and he will play a huge role against Johnson and Meeks. The Wildcats also possess great versatility throughout their lineup and it will be interesting to see how the Tar Heels' inconsistent defense performs. Kris Jenkins has turned it on this tournament and remains a great shooter and scorer. His strength and power versus Justin Jackson's speed and versatility could be an intriguing battle on the wing. Josh Hart is one of the nation's most underrated players, a guy who always finds ways to score. He has played terrific this tournament and could be a real headache against the Tar Heels' defense. Freshman Jalen Brunson has blessed Villanova with more balance and he works well with Arcidiacono in the backcourt. This whole Villanova team appears radioactive hot, as they hit 71 percent as a team this past Saturday against Oklahoma in a 44-point thumping of the Sooners. Though, it is hard to keep that hot shooting up throughout six games, and their defense, which has also been great, could struggle against the versatility and power of the UNC offense.

Both of these teams seem to be great matches against each other. They have both have veteran point guards, sturdy and versatile big men, and wings can shoot the ball. They bring depth, experience and smarts to the table, along with plenty of motivation for their four-year seniors. North Carolina may the nation's best team, but it will be interesting to see if their backcourt can handle Arcidiacono, Brunson and Hart all on the court together. Plus, this Villanova team is just hotter and playing better at the right time. Oklahoma and Kansas were Final Four teams and Villanova had no problems, and while UNC is beating opponents, they haven't played the same competition (a six in the Elite Eight and a 10 seed in the Final Four) that 'Nova has. This game is sure to be exciting and down to the wire, but in the end Villanova should complete their redemption story.
Villanova by four

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Final Four Picks 2016

Brice Johnson
1 North Carolina Tar Heels vs. 10 Syracuse Orange
Who would have ever thought that Syracuse, who entered the NCAA Tournament 19-13 and extremely cold would be playing in the Final Four this season? The Orange certainly have gotten some help from sheer luck (such as Michigan State, their likely second round matchup, bowing out early) but they also have played great and have shown amazing will power late in games against Gonzaga and Virginia. The Orange will now get a chance to continue their crazy run against the tournament's last remaining No. 1 seed, the North Carolina Tar Heels.

Syracuse doesn't have a lot of big-name NBA prospects, but the talent on their roster is undeniable. Former Duke guard Michael Gbinije has been terrific this tournament, freshman Malachi Richardson has turned into a true weapon, and underrated Tyler Roberson has made his impact felt. The Orange lack a true point guard, but their entire lineup has great length and playmaking ability, and Jim Boeheim's patented 2-3 zone has worked to perfection throughout this tournament. North Carolina's biggest weakness is their three-point shooting, and it is hard to really have success against the 2-3 without at least hitting some threes. Marcus Paige has turned it on as of late, but beyond that, UNC may be pressed to score. Sharpshooting senior Trevor Cooney is sure to make an impact as well for Syracuse, and freshman Tyler Lydon has had a great couple of games. Though, the Orange run just seven guys, and UNC runs the floor extremely well, because their bigs are just so athletic. That could be a major problem for Syracuse, and it will be interesting to see how Boeheim counters it. Talent-wise, I think UNC is by far and away the best team left in the tournament. Paige can run the show, Justin Jackson has turned it on significantly after a turbulent year, and I don't think there is a team in the nation that can match up with the Tar Heels' frontcourt of Brice Johnson, Kennedy Meeks, Isaiah Hicks and Joel James. Johnson will play a huge role for the Tar Heels; the senior has been an absolute monster all year long and will be determined to go out on top. He likely will spend a lot of time positioned right in the heart of Syracuse's 2-3, where UNC will rely on him hitting mid-range shots, which he has proven he can do. He will also have to do work on the glass, because he is definitely a better rebounder than Lydon or even Roberson.

Talent-wise North Carolina is a better team, and they have more experience and depth. But, the Tar Heels also have choked away many games away throughout the Roy Williams era, and the Orange have capitalized this tournament, coming back in big ways against both Virginia and Gonzaga. However, I think UNC may just be too much for the youthful Orange too handle. Unless Richardson and Gbinije absolutely dominate, and Johnson struggles or gets in foul trouble, the Heels should roll. Physically no team can match up with UNC, and their experience and discipline should also help guide them to a win over the Tournament's dark horse.
North Carolina by eleven

2 Villanova Wildcats vs. 2 Oklahoma Sooners
Earlier this season, Oklahoma and Villanova squared off in a non-conference clash. The Sooners thoroughly dominated, winning by 23 points, and waking up the nation that this team is a legit National Championship threat. Months later, the two teams will meet again, but with vastly different circumstances. Villanova has made a very surprising Final Four run behind a veteran lineup and plenty of sharpshooters, while Oklahoma has continued to play great behind likely National Player of the Year Buddy Hield and scorching hot Jordan Woodard. While the Sooners will be a tough out, one thing is nearly certain: they will not be coming out with a 23-point victory in this one.

The Villanova Wildcats don't look a ton different this year than the past few years, when they have had disappointing and short lived NCAA Tournament trips. Though, they are much more balanced than in year's past, are on fire from three and have a dominant big man for the first time in a long time. The addition of Jalen Brunson has enabled Jay Wright to use two ball-handlers, with senior Ryan Arcidiacono also playing a huge role. It gives Villanova more options, consistent point guard play and a good offensive attack. It also helps that Arcidiacono is playing some of the best basketball of his long four-year career at Villanova. Josh Hart and Kris Jenkins are playing terrific as floor-spacers, and Hart has proven that he can take over games when this team needs him to. Perhaps even more important than these other things for 'Nova is the play of center Daniel Ochefu. Ochefu has been strong all year long but has been even better this NCAA Tournament, showcasing a tireless motor and an aggression we hadn't seen much before. Oklahoma is notoriously weak in their frontcourt beyond Khadeem Lattin and Ryan Spangler, and Villanova will likely use Ochefu as a serious advantage. On the other side, Oklahoma has well, Buddy Hield. Hield has only continued his absolutely dominant play throughout this March, and there doesn't appear to be a complete, lockdown defender on Villanova's roster. Also supporting Hield will be Isaiah Cousins and Woodard, who has stepped up in a big way this tourney. A former Gonzaga transfer, Ryan Spangler is another vet that should push Oklahoma to success. A very notable thing about these two teams: neither are extremely deep beyond their strong starting lineups. Both definitely have options off the bench but they don't go exactly 12 guys deep. Pace will be a major factor in this game, and so far Villanova has done a great job of dictating it in their run, which has been instrumental in wins over Miami and Kansas.

I will be the first one to admit it: I was not at all a believer of Villanova when the tournament began. Enough first weekend exits had convinced me the team was basically doomed when March rolled around, and a rather weak showing against Seton Hall in the Big East Championship did little to assuage me. However, their play this NCAA Tournament has made me a believer. I think Kansas may have been the most balanced and best team in the entire nation, and the Wildcats really outplayed them start to finish. Hield may be tough to stop, but forcing him to attack the rim instead of just chucking up threes can at least hurt him somewhat. Villanova also should employ a more up-tempo, attack offensive and defensive strategy, because it is very likely Oklahoma may not respond well. Like I said, the Sooners are going to be a very tough out. But, the way Villanova is playing, it is hard for me to pick against the Wildcats.
Villanova by nine

Thursday, March 24, 2016

NCAA Tournament By The Numbers -- Religious Affiliation

Of the 22 Private Schools in the tournament, the Religious affiliation of these breaks down like this:

  • Non-Sectarian - 10 (USC, Miami, Yale, Butler, Duke, Fairleigh Dickinson,Syrcause, Vanderbilt, Hampton)
  • Catholic - 10 (Notre Dame, Xavier, Holy Cross,Seton Hall, Iona, Dayton, Saint Joseph's, Villanova, Providence, Gonzaga)
  • Baptist -1 (Baylor)
  • Presbyterian - 1 (Tulsa)

As of this writing 7 of these 21 schools are left:  Miami, Duke, Syracuse, Notre Dame, Gonzaga, and Villanova

Of the nine Catholic Schools three of were founded by the Jesuits: Xavier, Gonzaga, Saint Joseph's.    
McGowanMania once attended a session at Marquette University and one of the Priests gave the following definition of a Jesuit college, "A Jesuit College is quite simply a Catholic College that has a good basketball team"

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Sweet 16 Picks: South Region, West Region

Devonte' Graham
South Region

1 Kansas Jayhawks vs. 5 Maryland Terrapins
Before the year began, it looked as though a Kansas Jayhawks-Maryland Terrapins meeting in the NCAA Tournament would be a Final Four battle, if not a National Championship Game. But, the Terrapins underachieved throughout a large portion of the season, with the lowpoint coming in a loss to Minnesota, who was winless in the conference at this point. Though, Maryland was able to overcome two upset-minded teams in South Dakota State and Hawaii, to face a flaming hot Kansas team in the Sweet 16. Talent-wise both teams match up extremely well; the Jayhawks have a talented backcourt of Frank Mason, Devonte' Graham and Perry Ellis underneath, while the Terps bring Melo Trimble, Rasheed Sulaimon, Jake Layman and big men Robert Carter and Diamond Stone to the equation. The difference in the game is the Jayhawks' experience and depth, with guys like Svi Mykhailuk, Brannen Greene, Carlton Bragg and Chieck Diallo able to come in off the bench. That should give them a major advantage in crunch time, and it is hard to imagine the Terrapins can keep up with the playmaking of Graham, Wayne Selden and the versatile Ellis for a full 40 minutes. However, it would be foolish to believe Maryland won't give Kansas one heck of a fight. The Jayhawks don't have a lot of big men that can counteract Stone and Carter's power down low. The power of those big men can open up space for the Terrapins' plethora of shooters, mainly Layman and Sulaimon, who are both deadly when they get going. It definitely has not been an ideal year in College Park for Maryland, but this team could very well give Kansas a major challenge. They'll have to play great defense and get some help from their big guys in order to hand the Jayhawks their first loss since late January. It won't be easy though, and this Kansas team has the look of a Championship team.
Kansas by seven

2 Villanova Wildcats vs. 3 Miami Hurricanes
Villanova's struggles in March have been well-documented. Ever since a 2009 Final Four trip, Jay Wright's Wildcats have struggled on the grand stage, including an uninspiring performance as a No. 1 seed last year, losing on the first weekend to NC State. A second-round thumping of seven-seeded Iowa didn't completely erase the questions about the program, but it did give Villanova serious momentum as they entered a Sweet 16 meeting with a solid Miami squad. The first order of business for the Wildcats will be containing the Hurricanes' talented backcourt of Angel Rodriguez and Sheldon McClellan. McClellan and Rodriguez, both transfers, have cut down on turnovers and mistakes and given Miami an up-tempo, efficient attack. Expect Villanova to counteract with senior Ryan Arcidiacono, Jalen Brunson and underrated Josh Hart, in what could turn out to be a three-point contest. I think this game will be decided not by the backcourts though, but by the big guys on the block. Daniel Ochefu has had some beastly moments this season for the Wildcats, but Tonye Jekiri is tough to handle, and has become more of a two-way player. Miami will also bring forward Kamari Murphy to the equation, a master shot blocker who does work on the boards. With the size and length of Jekiri and Murphy, it may be very tough for 'Nova to get effective play in the paint, and no matter how great they play on the outside, that is going to leave them very vulnerable. The addition of Brunson as a second point guard to Arcidiacono has made Villanova more balanced, but the Wildcats may just not have enough grit and toughness to hang with the Hurricanes, even after a long rest. Miami head coach Jim Larranaga could have his best team yet in Coral Gables, and they could get him back to the Elite Eight for the first time since 2006, when his George Mason squad made their miraculous run to the Final Four.
Miami by ten

West Region

1 Oregon Ducks vs. 4 Duke Blue Devils
Talk about an interesting matchup: this West Region semifinal pits two programs that are nearly polar opposites in just about everything. East Coast vs. West Coast, traditional powerhouse vs. rising program, smart, guard-orientated basketball vs. athletic, aggressive basketball, etc. One thing that does not differ between the two is winning. The Ducks rose to a No. 1 seed late in the year and managed to sneak past St. Joseph's this past weekend, while Duke rose above UNC-Wilmington and Yale, who of course upset Baylor. The reigning champs may be undermanned (Blue Devils usually only play seven, due to Amile Jefferson's injury), and that may put them at a disadvantage from the get-go, particularly considering how fast and tireless Oregon does like to play. But, those seven are some terrific basketball players. Controversial Grayson Allen is an incredible athlete and has proven he can take over in March, while lengthy forward Brandon Ingram is my pick to the No. 1 overall selection in this year's NBA Draft. Oregon really lacks guards that can defend very well, and it will be interesting to see how Coach K, who is so good as analyzing weaknesses and attacking them, plans to play. The strength for Oregon is their frontcourt, which includes Dillon Brooks, Tyler Dorsey, Chris Boucher and Elgin Cook, all forwards. Brooks and Dorsey can handle the ball and step outside, while Boucher and Cook are not only glass-eaters, but terrific defenders in the low post. Outside of Marshall Plumlee and the sparingly-played Chase Jeter, Duke does not have any true big men. Having to deal with Boucher and Cook, plus the versatile Brooks for an entire game will be difficult to contend with and may force Duke to utilize their outside shooting. Dana Altman has done a great job with this Oregon program, and they have the size and strength to just simply overpower Duke. If the Blue Devils were fully healthy and had say, two more bigs, they would easily be my pick. Unfortunately, they are just too overmanned and the Ducks should feast on that weakness.
Oregon by five

2 Oklahoma Sooners vs. 3 Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M simply should not be here, but that is March for you. The Aggies were down ten points with 45 seconds left against a good Northern Iowa team that shoots very well from the free throw line, in what was shaping up to be a relatively unexciting second round clash. Instead, UNI suffered one of the worst collapses in tournament history, and the Aggies roll on to a clash with the Oklahoma Sooners and the nation's best player, Buddy Hield. Hield led the charge to a victory over VCU the past weekend, and it will be interesting to see who Texas A&M rolls out to defend him. It is going to be tough to match his power, size and ability to get down into the paint, or his quick shooting stroke. Oklahoma will also present Isiah Cousins, Jordan Woodard and youthful Christian James, all who could challenge a pretty limited Aggies' backcourt. Though, the real battle in this game, like many others in March, could come down to the battle down low. Tyler Davis and Jalen Jones will square off against Khadeem Lattin and Ryan Spangler in what could be a very interesting matchup. Spangler is not much of a true big man, and Lattin will have his work cut out for him against the freshman Davis, who is an absolute beast. Neither team is very deep in the frontcourt either, which could make it a very lengthy battle between the two sides. Personally, I never love jump-shooting teams in March, and Oklahoma is definitely one. It is a real possibility Hield, Cousins and Woodard could go ice-cold, and the Sooners don't have enough elsewhere to manage a win if that happens. Plus, Danuel House and company are on fire, and the Aggies will be eager to prove they belong. However, it is hard to bet against Hield and Oklahoma head coach Lon Kruger. Kruger does a terrific job of keeping his team poised and calm, (A&M will not encounter another last-minute meltdown in this one) and they are good enough late in games to sneak out a close victory.
Oklahoma by three

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Bracket Analysis: Midwest Region

Denzel Valentine
The story of the Virginia Cavaliers' 2015-2016 campaign was very similar to their last two seasons: suffocating defense, methodical offense and well, success. The Cavaliers used their pack-line defense to create one of the NCAA's stingiest defenses, and found more offensive success this season, headed by ACC Player of the Year candidate Malcolm Brogdon, steady guard London Perrantes and big men Anthony Gill and Mike Tobey. They wound up going 26-7, finishing off second in the ACC in the regular season and conference tournament, and earning a No. 1 seed for the second time in three years. Yet, for all the Cavs have done under head coach Tony Bennett over the past few years, something they have not done is have any real success in the NCAA Tournament. Virginia has lost to Michigan State the past two years, once in the Sweet 16 and last year in the second round (formerly the third round). While the committee did give them a rather questionable top seed, they gave them no favors by once more putting Michigan State in their field. The Cavaliers are a talented and disciplined team, but I see the same issues on this team as I did the last two years. They don't shoot the three very well, and they just get in fits offensively where they simply can't score. In a region filled with explosive offenses, one has to be worried about Virginia's chances to really go deep. The Cavaliers win a lot of games because they do play such great defense, at one point the offense really has to step up, and even with Brogdon leading the way, I don't know if that will happen, which makes them perhaps the iffiest top seed in the field for me.

Lubbock, Texas, is not your first thought for a major college basketball hotbed. Texas Tech has long been a football school, and the program's basketball has lagged way behind some of the region's top schools, such as Texas, Texas A&M, Baylor, SMU and both Oklahoma schools. Yet, Tubby Smith has found redemption at TTU, using a number of timely upsets to work the Red Raiders back into the field, even with a relatively iffy 19-12 mark. The major reason for the Red Raiders' sudden improvement has been their backcourt play, more experience, and a smarter offense. That backcourt is led by veterans Toddrick Gotcher and Devaugntah Williams, who lead the team in scoring. Gotcher especially is a threat other opponents should take notice of. He not only averages 11.1 points per game, he shoots nearly 86 percent from the line and 40 from deep, making him a very versatile weapon. The eighth-seeded Red Raiders will meet Butler in the first round, a team who started off the year flaming hot before struggling mightily in Big East play. Chris Holtmann doesn't possess the magic that Brad Stevens does, yet the Bulldogs have put together back-to-back strong years and should be a tough out in this year's tournament. Much like the rest of the Big 12, Texas Tech is unbelievably inconsistent, and you really never know which team you are going to get on any given night. This team has games where their offense looks explosive and where they play really complete team basketball, and on those nights they look like a team that has legit Sweet 16 potential, and possibly even further. They also have nights where they look out of sorts on both sides of the ball, and their flow just seems completely disrupted. If they can get past the gritty Bulldogs in their first matchup, they have the type of offense and shooting that they could stun Virginia. Though, considering how downtrodden Texas Tech basketball was when Tubby first arrived, just getting to the Big Dance was a major success.

Last year, I felt nearly certain that it was Iowa State's year to really breakthrough on the national stage, and make a very deep tournament run. I had them in the Final Four in my official bracket, and even saw them as a possible National Champion in others. Then, March did what March does, and the Cyclones faltered in the first round to an underrated UAB team, in one of the bigger upsets of the year. This year, I think that I have wised up on this Iowa State team, and I can confirm that they are not going to the Final Four. In fact, their first round game very well could end up being on the bigger upsets of this year's tournament. The Cyclones do have a great backcourt in Monte Morris and Abdel Nader, a four-year starter and star in Georges Niang, and forward Jameel McKay, who has moments where he dominates. Yet, this is a team with major deficiencies, the first one starting on the defensive side of the ball. The Cyclones are simply not a good defensive team; they don't rotate well, they don't communicate well and they have no premier, lock-down defenders. That leaves them very vulnerable against one of the Tournament's best offensive teams, Iona, in the first round. Led by electrifying guard A.J. English, Iona has put a beating on opponents all year long. They don't have great size, but neither does Iowa State, which could leave the Cyclones very vulnerable in transition, where the Gaels love to do damage. If Steve Prohm's Cyclones do make it past Iona, they will get a tough meeting with a hot Purdue team or sneaky Arkansas-Little Rock, and even greater tests await further on. I think Prohm has the program moving even closer to true national relevance (which is an extremely difficult job, considering how great Fred Hoiberg was), but this team has too large of issues to overcome, particularly in the toughest region.

As great as Tubby Smith's redemption has been at Texas Tech, perhaps even greater has been Kevin Williard's story at Seton Hall.  The Pirates had been beat up for years in the old Big East, and Williard likely entered this year with one last chance to save his job. All the Pirates did after that was go 25-8, finish third in the conference in the regular season then prove just how good they truly were by winning the Big East Tournament, knocking off Villanova. The Pirates are led by Isiah Whitehead, a former big-time recruit, who has not disappointed since he stepped on campus. Whitehead's great size and strength allow him to get to the rim and finish consistently, and smaller defenders stand no chance. UMass and Western Kentucky transfer Derrick Gordon has played big minutes as well next to Whitehead, while forward Angel Delgado leads a frontcourt that is one of the best rebounding teams in the nation. Williard gets the team to play with so much energy, and it's a Seton Hall team that is just so much deeper than in year's past. While the Pirates enter this year's Tournament as one of the nation's hottest teams, they have a tough road ahead of them. Gonzaga is perhaps the most difficult No. 11 seed, considering their talent and experience. After that, dates with Utah and likely Michigan State could be rough. Yet, Seton Hall has the talent and playmaking to really make some noise and prove they prove they are a program on the rise.

Picking the Midwest Region
First Round
1 Virginia over 16 Hampton... Hampton won 21 games and the MEAC this past season en route to a second straight NCAA Tournament berth. Much like last year, their time in it won't last long.
8 Texas Tech over 9 Butler... If Williams and Gotcher can hit some big shots, and the Red Raiders can get an advantage on the boards, they should be able to get out in a close one.
5 Purdue over 12 Little Rock... The Trojans are a very sneaky team, but they don't have the size to matchup with Purdue's A.J. Hammons, Vince Edwards and Caleb Swanigan underneath.
13 Iona over 4 Iowa State... Unless somebody on ISU steps up in a big way defensively, A.J. English and Iona could have a field day.
6 Seton Hall over 11 Gonzaga... Sston Hall has the advantage in the backcourt, Gonzaga has the advantage up front. If the Pirates can get out and finish in transition, they should be able to sneak by.
3 Utah over 14 Fresno State... Prior to a 30-point loss to Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship, Utah was playing great basketball. Led by Jakob Poeltl down low, they should still have enough to get past the Mountain West Champs.
10 Syracuse over 7 Dayton... Dayton has been very dangerous in March as of late, but is trending in the opposite direction lately. Without too many great shooters on their roster, they could have some problems against Syracuse's 2-3 zone.
2 Michigan State over 15 Middle Tennessee... Middle Tennessee, coming out of the C-USA, probably won't be this year's UAB (who also came out of the C-USA). They don't match up well against Sparty whatsoever.

Second Round
1 Virginia over 8 Texas Tech... The Cavaliers will be on upset alert in this one. But, Tubby Smith's teams tend to really struggle against great defensive teams, and Virginia could lock down the Red Raiders.
5 Purdue over 13 Iona... Purdue is playing great basketball, and Matt Painter preaches great, aggressive man defense. That defense should be enough to slow down the Gaels' offensive attack.
3 Utah over 6 Seton Hall... Even if Seton Hall can get past Gonzaga's bigs, they might not be able to do much against Poeltl and forward Jordan Loveridge for the Utes.
2 Michigan State over 10 Syracuse... Jim Boeheim versus Tom Izzo is always a treat, but the Orange don't have the depth needed to compete with MSU for 40 minutes.

Sweet 16
1 Virginia over 5 Purdue... This one should be very interesting; both teams play great, sound basketball and it could be a real slugfest in the lane. It remains to be seen, though, if Purdue has a defender that can stop the versatility of Malcolm Brogdon.
2 Michigan State over 3 Utah... Even if Poeltl plays well down low, the Utes are going to have a very tough time containing MSU's backcourt of Denzel Valentine, Eron Harris and sharpshooter Bryn Forbes.

Elite Eight
2 Michigan State over 1 Virginia... The nightmare continues for Virginia, as the Cavs just simply can't get past Izzo and the Spartans. They just don't have enough athleticism or playmakers to do enough offensively against the Spartans, who are my national title pick.

Midwest Region Champion: 2 Michigan State Spartans