2022 College Football Picks: Week Nine

Miyan Williams, Ohio State

Current Picks Record: 44-28

Upset: 4-4

Superdogs: 4-4

Locks: 3-5

(#2) Ohio State Buckeyes @ (#13) Penn State Nittany Lions

Line: Ohio State -15

O/U: 61.5

Ohio State has arguably been the nation's dominant team over the first eight weeks of the season, but now they get their first true test in the form of Penn State. The Nittany Lions' loss to Michigan derailed their CFB Playoff hopes, but they blew out Minnesota last weekend and could get right back into the mix by upsetting the Buckeyes, a team they've traditionally played tough under James Franklin.

Even though the Ohio State offense has struggled with injuries all season, they're still averaging nearly 50 points per game. Quarterback C.J. Stroud has been the catalyst and remains a Heisman frontrunner, but it's his supporting cast that has to be truly terrifying to opponents. This is the deepest collection of skill position talent in the country and I'm not sure it's particularly close. Miyan Williams and TreVeyon Henderson are an overpowering 1-2 punch at tailback and both are fully healthy, then there's the receiver corps. Emeka Egbuka has stepped up to the leading receiver, but there's also Marvin Harrison Jr., Julian Fleming, and now Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Smith-Njigba, many people's Biletnikoff Award favorite entering 2022, has been beat up all season but returned against Iowa last week and is expected to start this game. He may be on a plays limit, but the Buckeyes become even more potent with him on the field. Even guys like tight end Cade Stover can hurt you, taking advantage of the focus opponents pay to the Ohio State receivers. It's a mighty challenge even for elite defenses, and I'm still not entirely sure how good Penn State's defense is. They've been statistically strong for nearly the entire season, but allowed over 400 rushing yards to Michigan and don't quite have the athletes on the line of scrimmage they've had in the past. Corner Joey Porter Jr. is an All-American talent, but PSU doesn't have two or three of him, putting them at a distinct disadvantage on the perimeter.

It's the same old story for Penn State offensively: they will go as quarterback Sean Clifford goes. Overall, the veteran signal-caller has had a fine campaign, but it's anybody's guess what he's going to do in big games. He played one of the worst games of his career in the Michigan loss, but responded by throwing for four touchdowns against Minnesota. He has not played well against Ohio State in the past and faces down a much improved Buckeye defense, but could this be the game he puts it all together? Clifford has been helped by the fact the Nittany Lion ground game has found some playmaking, as true frosh Nick Singleton may be the best freshman in the nation. His explosiveness should add some intrigue to this game, but it's fair to wonder how many opportunities he's going to get. Ohio State has really improved up front and have been more physical than in year's past. They'll have an advantage along the line of scrimmage and will force Clifford to beat them with his arm. Clifford does have the luxury of Parker Washington, Mitchell Tinsley, and Brenton Strange as pass-catchers, but whether he's upright enough to get the ball to them will be the question.

It's never easy to go into Happy Valley and escape with a win, and Penn State has given Ohio State real difficulties in recent years. Even so, I just can't bring myself to take the Nittany Lions in the upset, particularly with the Buckeyes healthier than they've been in recent weeks. There's just too many weapons to contend with and the defense should stymie Clifford and the rest of this PSU offense. 

The Pick: Ohio State, 42 Penn State, 24

(#19) Kentucky Wildcats @ (#3) Tennessee Volunteers

Line: Tennessee -12.5

0/U: 63.5

Sitting at 7-0 and with their biggest game in years next week against Georgia, the excitement around Tennessee is palpable. However, they have to avoid a look-ahead letdown as they welcome 19th-ranked Kentucky to Lexington. The Wildcats don't have the flash or high-scoring offense of the Volunteers, but they're a tough opponent who can give any team fits.

There's nothing particularly exciting about what Kentucky does offensively, and they haven't reached the 30-point threshold in several weeks. With that being said, quarterback Will Levis is still a player with a lot of physical gifts who can make some truly impressive throws, and he has a proven tailback with him in Christopher Rodriguez Jr. After missing the first several games of the year due to suspension, Rodriguez has ran for over 100 yards in two of his last three starts, including 197 and two scores against Mississippi State. Kentucky also boasts a fun collection of receivers, even if this isn't an offense that necessarily airs the ball out, as Tayvion Robinson, Barion Brown, and Dane Key have all had superb seasons. However, the Wildcats' offensive line is the big question mark and they face a Tennessee defense that loves to blitz. I suspect Tennessee will be very aggressive in this one, and there's hope that defensive back Jaylen McCollough could return from his suspension this week, potentially providing another disruptor on the back-end.

There's not a more thrilling offense in college than in Knoxville, where the Volunteers are averaging over 50 points per game. Former Virginia Tech transfer Hendon Hooker is my midseason Heisman winner after what he and star wide out Jalin Hyatt did to Alabama. We always knew Hooker had a great deep ball and could make things happen with his legs, but his decision-making has made this Tennessee team so scary. Despite 194 attempts through the air, he has just one interception, and looks in complete command of everything that's happening on offense. With Hyatt and Bru McCoy terrorizing defenses on the outside, things open up for Jabari Small and Jaylen Wright underneath, a fun 1-2 combo that remains an underrated element of this offense. There's also hope that another Volunteer could be returning offensively as well, in the form of Cedric Tillman. Tillman has missed nearly the entire season, but it sounds like he's progressing well and could return this weekend. If so, that gives Tennessee another weapon for Hooker, and a dangerous one at that. Prior to his injury, Tillman entered the fall as the team's top receiver, before Hyatt's breakout campaign. Does Kentucky have any shot at containing this offense? They'll try and manufacture some pressure and hope to create turnovers, but it's hard to see them having much success. It's not just the tempo of the Tennessee offense that makes them so overwhelming, they play so crisp and in control. It's a lot like what Baylor did in the peak Art Briles days, but even more effective because of Hooker's decision-making and rushing ability. 

The hope for Kentucky is that they can slow down the pace and muck up the game. It's certainly not a bad strategy and this has been a physical team throughout the Mark Stoops era. They are well-rested coming off a bye, but have to go to Neyland Stadium to attempt to spring an upset. I don't think Tennessee will be caught looking ahead, the energy in the program just feels different this year.

The Pick: Tennessee, 45 Kentucky, 30

Michigan State Spartans @ (#4) Michigan Wolverines

Line: Michigan -22

O/U: 54.5

Michigan-Michigan State was one of the games of the year in 2021 and we now get the 2022 edition, albeit with vastly different circumstances. Michigan is once again in the thick of the CFB Playoff race and looks arguably better than the 2021 team, while Michigan State sits 3-4 and is just battling to make a bowl. Yet, rivalry games can always get a bit weird, and the Spartans are hoping to to get their season back-on-track by beating Jim Harbaugh for the third straight season.

It's never easy to bench a quarterback who led you to a College Football Playoff appearance, but that's exactly what Jim Harbaugh did when he named J.J. McCarthy the starter over Cade McNamara. The decision has paid off, as McCarthy's big arm and dynamic rushing ability has opened up this offense in a variety of ways. However, this remains an offense that is led by its rushing attack, with my midseason Doak Walker Award winner, Blake Corum. Corum has been unstoppable this fall, totaling 901 yards and 13 touchdowns, and has hit the century mark in yardage in four straight games. He has to be thrilled to go up against a Michigan State defense that has struggled all season long. Neither the pass defense nor rush defense has been able to string together consecutive weeks of strong play and even with an All-American talent in Jacoby Windmon, the Spartan defensive front is at a severe mismatch. The Wolverines can also keep Corum fresh by leaning on Donovan Edwards, a nice change-of-pace weapon. Although, Edwards was involved in controversy earlier in the week, you would assume he will be playing this Saturday. Add in Ronnie Bell on the perimeter and I have no doubt Michigan will have success moving the football, particularly as they come off a bye.

If Michigan State is to spring an upset, they need more from this offense. The defensive struggles have been frustrating but somewhat expected, but the offensive woes are the real surprise. It's clear that Kenneth Walker III's worth to this offense went far beyond is stat-line, and the Spartans have struggled to find playmakers to replace him. QB Payton Thorne has been a major disappointment, due in large to turnover issues. It certainly looks like Thorne is feeling the pressure of the team's struggles and pressing to try and make things happen, which will not bode well against this opportunistic Wolverine defense. It would help if his receiver corps could develop more consistency, and there appears to be good news on that front. Keon Coleman popped off early before some struggles, but hauled in two touchdown passes against Wisconsin, while Jayden Reed is healthy and playing well. Those two should be able to provide pressure down-the-field, but the Spartans also need a rush offense to keep this Michigan defense honest. Jalen Berger had a huge two-game stretch to open 2022, but has been held in check since, and none of the other pieces on this roster have stepped up. It's a tough matchup against a Wolverine defense that remains one of the best in the nation, despite the turnover they faced this offseason. There is no Aidan Hutchinson on this year's defense, but the defensive front is still physical and well-coached, and the back-end has been led by converted receiver Mike Sanristil. It will take some creativity to move the ball against this unit, and that's not something Michigan State OC Jay Johnson is necessarily known for. 

Rivalry games can get wacky, but it remains difficult to find a reason to take Michigan State in an upset. They got back on track by beating Wisconsin, but this remains one of the nation's most disappointing teams and they have to go to Ann Arbor. Perhaps the offense can match Michigan blow-for-blow for a little, but in the end it will be the Wolverines on top.

The Pick: Michigan, 34 Michigan State, 17 (Michigan State cover)

Other Picks

(#9) Oklahoma State @ (#22) Kansas State -- Manhattan is a more difficult place to play than most give it credit for, but Adrian Martinez is beat up and Oklahoma State is the better team top-to-bottom.

The Pick: Oklahoma State, 28 Kansas State, 20

Florida @ (#1) Georgia -- The latest iteration of the "World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party" could be interesting if the Gator defense can find a way to slow down Stetson Bennett and company, but Florida's maddeningly inconsistent offense makes it difficult to pick an upset.

The Pick: Georgia, 35 Florida, 22

(#17) Illinois @ Nebraska -- Illinois is already firmly in the driver's seat in the Big Ten West, but they could move to 4-1 in the league with a win. The 'Huskers have shown more fight under Mickey Joseph, but the defense simply doesn't have the pieces to slow down Chase Brown and company.

The Pick: Illinois, 27 Nebraska, 14

Upset: Texas A&M over (#15) Ole Miss -- Things are looking dire at A&M right now as they sit at 3-4, but this is still an incredibly talented team that always fights hard at Kyle Field. Plus, I'm still not convinced Ole Miss is a Top 15 nationally, especially with the defense struggling over the last several weeks.

The Pick: Texas A&M, 30 Ole Miss, 27

Superdog (covers > 21 point spread): Georgia Tech (+25) @ Florida State -- I'm a bit surprised at this line. Florida State has lost three straight, albeit all against ranked foes, but it's Georgia Tech that is the real story, as they've looked like a completely different team under interim head coach Brent Key. To be fair, the health of Jeff Sims is a major factor, as he remains day-to-day.

The Pick: Florida State, 33 Georgia Tech, 14

Lock of the Week (has to be a favorite): Wake Forest (-3) @ Louisville -- Vegas seems to like the chance of a potential upset, but the Demon Deacons and Sam Hartman should be able to shred a porous Louisville defense.

The Pick: Wake Forest, 38 Louisville, 27

2022 College Football Picks: Week Eight

Bo Nix, Oregon

Current Picks Record: 37-26

Upset: 4-3

Superdogs: 3-4

Lock: 2-5

(#9) UCLA Bruins @ (#10) Oregon Ducks

Line: Oregon -6.5

O/U: 71

With USC's loss to Utah last weekend, UCLA takes over as the lone undefeated in the Pac-12 and the league's best opportunity to make the College Football Playoff. They get their toughest game of the season in Week Eight, as they travel to Eugene to square off against an Oregon Ducks team that has been fantastic since the season-opening loss to Georgia.

The Bruins have been led by a balanced, productive offense that includes backfield mates Dorian Thompson-Robinson and Zach Charbonnet. "DTR" has silenced detractors with his play this fall, throwing for 1,510 yards and 15 touchdowns, while adding 231 and four more with his legs. In the past, his play in big games and decision-making were two notable concerns, but that hasn't been the case in 2022. He's taking care of the ball and playing the best in the biggest moments, including going for 299 and four touchdowns against Utah. His dual-threat ability softens up defenses, while Charbonnet pounds away with his bruising rushing ability. The former Michigan transfer has topped 100 yards in three consecutive weeks and is fresh off a dominant showing against the Utes. It will be interesting to see how the pair plays against an Oregon defense that has been terrific since the opening week. Oregon is more athletic than Utah on the back-end, but the key will be in the trenches. UCLA has been surprisingly physical en route to their 6-0 start, typically not a hallmark of Chip Kelly teams. They pounded Utah two weeks ago and while Oregon has plenty of size to counter, it will be the most difficult test they've seen since Georgia.

The Duck offense has been scorching hot the last five games, topping 40 in each contest. Quarterback Bo Nix is a magnet for criticism, but there shouldn't be any denying just how effective he has been in 2022. He's improved as a passer down-the-field, but his rushing ability has helped energize this Oregon offense. He's run all over Stanford and Arizona in consecutive weeks to the tune of five touchdowns, but faces a much more significant challenge in UCLA. Even so, the Bruins are going to have to find a way to not only contain Nix, but also stop the deep stable of backs the Ducks boast. Bucky Irving leads the team in attempts and is their home run threat, but he's far from the only option the Ducks can throw at you. Noah Whittington has offered a nice change-of-pace, as has Sean Dollars. There's also still hope that Byron Cardwell could return from injury this weekend, as he hasn't played since their blowout victory over Eastern Washington. On the perimeter, Troy Franklin and former Bruin Chase Cota offer enough playmaking to keep defenses honest, but the reality is that Oregon will go as the rushing attack goes. The Bruins have done an elite job containing the rush all season, but they haven't faced a running back with the athleticism and depth of the Ducks. Offensive coordinator Kenny Dillingham is also very creative in getting his running backs out in space in unique ways. This offense uses shifts and different blocking schemes to consistently keep defenses off-balance, and they'll likely be throwing some new things at UCLA in this one.

UCLA has been a great story all season long, but I fear their perfect record won't last into next week. Oregon is the most talented team, top-to-bottom, in the Pac-12 and they've looked unstoppable over the last month. To be fair, the Bruins present a tougher test than who the Ducks have been playing, but Oregon also gets the advantage of getting them in Autzen Stadium. 

The Pick: Oregon, 31 UCLA, 27 (UCLA cover)

(#14) Syracuse Orange @ (#5) Clemson Tigers

Line: Clemson -13.5

O/U: 49.5

Despite building a strong resume over the season's first month-and-a-half, Clemson doesn't seem to be getting quite as much national respect as recent years. Even so, they have an opportunity to essentially lock up the ACC Atlantic in late October as they welcome in their greatest competition in the division, Syracuse.

D.J. Uiagalelei faced an entire offseason hearing whispers of a quarterback competition at Clemson, and has responded with a fantastic 2022. He's looked much more accurate and confident as a passer, but it's his rushing ability that has added an interesting element to this Tiger offense. At 6'4", 235 pounds, he's always been a load to bring down, but he seems to have more burst this year, forcing defenses to key in on the run more than a season ago. It also helps that his receiver corps has been healthier and more consistent this fall, elevating a passing attack that lagged all of 2021. Antonio Williams looks like a lock to be a Freshman All-American, while Beaux Collins and Joseph Ngata can challenge opposing defenses down-the-field. Add in two capable tight ends in Davis Allen and Jake Briningstool and Clemson has no shortage of weapons, which was simply not the case last fall. At running back, Will Shipley continues to be a focal point of the attack, and he got back into a rhythm against Florida State last weekend after two down games. All of these Clemson weapons are rolling right now, but they face arguably their toughest test of the regular season in the Orange defense. This is a well-coached group and one with a lot more athleticism on the back-end than most give them credit for. I wouldn't be surprised if Clemson relies heavily on their ground game once again, as they have for most of the season.

After two down seasons, Syracuse has been the ACC's biggest surprise this fall. Dino Babers' group is not necessarily flashy with anything they do, but they have a very capable offense and take care of the football. Quarterback Garrett Shrader is a bit different than past quarterbacks Babers has had here at Syracuse; he's not much of a gunslinger, but takes his chances when he needs to and does most of his damage with his legs. Shrader is hoping he can get back on track this week after throwing for two interceptions against a ball-hawking NC State defense. At running back, Sean Tucker is potentially the most underrated player in the entire country, a consistent contributor who has been the fuel of the offense the entire season. He's gone for 644 yards and six scores on the year, but has struggled against some of the better defenses on the schedule, most notably Purdue and Virginia. Going up against Clemson will be the ultimate test for the sophomore; the Tigers are allowing just 82.7 yards per game on the ground and are the healthiest they've been all season along the defensive front. Shrader and Tucker simply are not going to have the same opportunities they've had the entire season and the offensive line isn't going to be able to get the same push. That will force play-caller Robert Anae to open up the playbook a bit more in this one. He's known as one of the most innovative minds in college football and should be able to manufacture yards in creative ways, but I don't suspect a shootout in this game. With both defenses, I suspect it's going to more of a field position battle and defensive contest than a game that is lighting up the scoreboard.

Syracuse has played Clemson tough throughout the Babers era, including a shocking upset in 2017. But, this just doesn't have the feel of a game where the Orange are able to go into Death Valley and come away with a decisive victory. The defense will be able to keep things competitive, but I just don't see the offense doing enough to win the game, especially with the Tigers slowly getting healthier on the back-end. 

The Pick: Clemson, 35 Syracuse, 21

(#17) Kansas State Wildcats @ (#8) TCU Horned Frogs

Line: TCU -3.5

O/U: 53

Few teams have had a more difficult October stretch than TCU, who is now playing in their fourth game against a ranked foe. Granted, Oklahoma and Kansas were both a bit overrated, but the Horned Frogs still deserve plenty of credit for getting to Week Eight undefeated. Next up is No. 17 Kansas State, who is tied with the Horned Frogs atop the Big 12 standings at 3-0. 

TCU quarterback Max Duggan has taken advantage of an injury to starter Chandler Morris, putting together his best season since he arrived in Fort Worth. The veteran has always been a tough rusher, which hasn't changed this fall, but his passing ability seems to have been taken up a notch. He's thrown for 1,591 yards and 16 touchdowns up to this point, with just one interception and a 70% completion percentage. He's been arguably the best QB in the Big 12 up to this point and is commanding a fun, productive TCU offense. Joining Duggan is a deep and dynamic running back corps, spearheaded by Kendre Miller. Miller is averaging 6.4 yards per carry despite being the feature back in the offense, while Duggan and Emari Demercado provide complementary playmaking on the ground. Quentin Johnston has been arguably the nation's best receiver over the last several weeks, while versatile Taye Barber can hurt defenses in a wide variety of ways. Overall, it's a fun offense, one that plays a bit different than past Sonny Dykes-coaches teams, but just as effective. They should have an interesting battle against this Kansas State defense, a group that's short on star power but always plays hard. I don't envision quite as many big plays as we've seen in past TCU contests, but for this unit to be more methodical and conservative in how they approach the Wildcats. That doesn't mean they won't put up points, but the game-plan may look a bit different this weekend.

It looked like Kansas State's season might go sideways following an unimpressive 17-10 loss to Tulane in mid-September, but Chris Klieman's team has responded in a big way. They've won three straight and now travel to TCU with a chance at sole possession of first place in the conference. Oft-criticized signal-caller Adrian Martinez has been an excellent addition to the offense. He's still not much of a passer, but his speed and vision in the open-field has still helped open up the Wildcat playbook. He ran all over Oklahoma and Texas Tech in consecutive weeks, then proved he could do it against strong defenses too, by going for 77 yards against Iowa State. TCU has a capable front seven, but finding a way to contain Martinez while demonstrating some respect to the passing game is difficult, especially when you throw in Deuce Vaughn. The 5'6" junior was held in check by the Cyclones a week ago, but remains one of the most exciting players in college football. He truly is the type of player that can break open games anytime he touches the ball and TCU has undoubtedly been game-planning for him the entire week. 

This game feels like a complete coin-flip to me. I've picked TCU the last several weeks and it has paid off, but someone is going to get the Horned Frogs at some point in the near future. Kansas State is a super tough opponent at this point in the season, but they're an extremely one-dimensional team and they have to go into Amon G. Carter Stadium. Even so, I'm actually taking the road underdog to come away with a massive victory. Martinez and Vaughn should be able to carve up a TCU defense that has been mediocre all season, and the disciplined Wildcat defense should slow down Duggan and company enough to secure the win.

The Pick: Kansas State, 24 TCU, 20

Other Picks

Iowa @ (#2) Ohio State -- This has been an opponent that has traditionally played Ohio State tough, but it's hard to believe Iowa has much chance at springing an upset this fall. The defense might be able to contain Ohio State's weapons for a half, but the Buckeyes should run away with it.

The Pick: Ohio State, 38 Iowa, 13

(#24) Mississippi State @ (#6) Alabama -- A very tough opponent for Alabama following their first loss of the season, but Nick Saban should have this Tide team back with a vengeance. Bryce Young is also a week healthier and should be able to do plenty of damage against an inconsistent Bulldog defense.

The Pick: Alabama, 34 Mississippi State, 24

(#20) Texas @ (#11) Oklahoma State -- This game is overshadowed by TCU-Kansas State, but also has crucial implications in the Big 12. The Longhorns messed around last week with Iowa State, but they are still the far and away better team, even in Stillwater.

The Pick: Texas, 30 Oklahoma State, 20

Upset: SMU over (#21) Cincinnati -- Although they remain in the hunt for a New Year's Six Bowl at 5-1, Cincinnati has been very underwhelming at this point in the season. SMU may be maddeningly inconsistent, but I like their upset chances at home.

The Pick: SMU, 28 Cincinnati, 24

Superdog (covers > 21 point spread): UNLV (+27.5) @ Notre Dame -- A clear mismatch in terms of brand reputation, but as far as on-field play goes, I'm a bit surprised at this spread. UNLV has been terrible the last two weeks, but they are hopeful to get QB Doug Brumfield back from a concussion, and Notre Dame's offense continues to be lethargic.

The Pick: Notre Dame, 27 UNLV, 10

Lock of the Week (has to be a favorite): Penn State (-5) vs. Minnesota -- I hate locking up anybody against my Gophers, but the reality is that Minnesota QB Athan Kaliakmanis could be making his first collegiate start in a Penn State "Whiteout" game. Even if Tanner Morgan is able to go, the Gopher offense has lacked the energy needed to go on the road and win in one of college football's harshest environments.

The Pick: Penn State, 31 Minnesota, 21

2022 College Football Midseason Awards

Hendon Hooker, Tennessee

It feels like the 2022 college football season only just began, but the unfortunate reality is that we've reached the halfway point of the regular season. There's still plenty of big moments set to take place, but with the first half of the season in the books, why not honor the players and teams that have made this year so exciting up to this point? 

Projected National Champion: Ohio State Buckeyes

My preseason National Title pick, the Ohio State Buckeyes have done little to make me change my selection. The offense has been unsurprisingly elite with C.J. Stroud at the controls, even as they've dealt with injuries to Jaxon Smith-Njigba, TreVeyon Henderson, and Miyan Williams. However, it's the defensive improvement that has to have Buckeye fans excited. Coordinator Jim Knowles has rebuilt this side of the ball, and they're more physical than past Ryan Day teams. The schedule does get more treacherous down the stretch, but Ohio State remains a good bet to make the College Football Playoff and proceed to take the whole thing.

Others In Consideration: Georgia Bulldogs, Clemson Tigers, Tennessee Volunteers, Alabama Crimson Tide, Michigan Wolverines

Projected College Football Playoff: Ohio State Buckeyes, Georgia Bulldogs, Alabama Crimson Tide, Clemson Tigers

Ohio State may face pressure inside the division from Michigan, but they remain the favorite in the Big Ten, which will lock them into the four-team field. Clemson hasn't been as dominant as past Tiger teams, but they own a strong resume and seem to be getting better each week. Assuming they can overcome Syracuse this upcoming weekend, the ACC is theirs to lose. Then, there's the conundrum in the SEC; Georgia still has to figure things out offensively, but they remain a National Title frontrunner. Tennessee earned their biggest win in recent program history, but the schedule is tough the rest of the way and it's hard to imagine them getting by Georgia and Alabama in the same season. As for the Crimson Tide, I have little doubt that Nick Saban will have this team back with a vengeance. They remain the favorite in the SEC West and it wouldn't shock me at all if they win out. This could be another year where things play out and Alabama takes the league, but UGA still finds a way to get in with one loss. 

Others In Consideration: Michigan Wolverines, Tennessee Volunteers, TCU Horned Frogs, Ole Miss Rebels, UCLA Bruins, Oregon Ducks, Syracuse Orange

Projected Heisman: Hendon Hooker, QB, Tennessee

Hendon Hooker was already firmly in the Heisman conversation before leading Tennessee to a massive victory over Alabama. Now? He is the presumptive Heisman favorite, as we've seen several past winners use a victory over the Crimson Tide to spring their Heisman campaign. The former Virginia Tech transfer has a 1,817 yards and 15 touchdowns through the air, while adding 287 and three with his legs. In addition, he's the leader of a downtrodden program seemingly returning to national relevance, making for a fantastic story. Assuming Hooker and Tennessee can keep it going, I don't envision anybody else taking home the Heisman, even if C.J. Stroud and others put up monster numbers.

Others In Consideration: C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State; Bryce Young, QB, Alabama; Caleb Williams, QB, USC; Blake Corum, RB, Michigan; Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Alabama

Projected Doak Walker (best RB): Blake Corum, Michigan

It's not often you can lose a player who rushed for over 1,300 yards and 20 touchdowns and improve at the running back position, but that is the case in Ann Arbor. As great as Hassan Haskins was in 2021, the Wolverines haven't looked back after handing feature back duties to Blake Corum. Over the first seven games of the year, the junior has run for 901 yards and 13 scores, while averaging over six yards per carry. The thing is, Corum hasn't just beat up on weak opponents; after going for 243 yards against Maryland, he's followed it up with three consecutive weeks of at least 100 yards. That includes a 166-yard, two touchdown performance this past weekend against a Penn State rush defense that was among the best in the nation. If he keeps it up, Corum should be able to cement himself as the eventual Doak Walker Award winner, especially considering how many important games remain on Michigan's schedule.

Others In Consideration: Chase Brown, Illinois; Jahmyr Gibbs, Alabama; Israel Abanikanda, Pittsburgh; Bijan Robinson, Texas

Projected Biletnikoff (best WR): Charlie Jones, Purdue

It's been a frustrating season for Iowa Hawkeye fans, as a lethargic offense has left them sitting at 3-3 and 1-2 in the Big Ten. To make matters worse, they've had to watch one of their former receivers, Charlie Jones, move on to Purdue and put together an All-American season. Jones currently sits second in the country with 62 receptions and seventh in yardage at 735. He's been the focal point of a Purdue offense that is Top 20 in passing yardage nationally and has the Boilermakers riding high at 5-2. The key for the veteran will be keeping it up over the second half; he suffered an injury in the Nebraska win, but is not expected to miss any additional time. That's good news for both Purdue and Jones, as the Boilermakers will need his playmaking prowess as they face down a difficult stretch of defenses in the coming weeks.

Others In Consideration: Xavier Hutchinson, Iowa State; Jalin Hyatt, Tennessee; Trey Palmer, Nebraska; Emeka Egbuka, Ohio State; Rashee Rice, SMU

Projected John Mackey (best TE): Dalton Kincaid, Utah

Utah was dealt a huge blow when 2021 All-Pac-12 tight end Brant Kuithe was lost for the season against Arizona State. Fortunately, the other star tight end on the roster, Dalton Kincaid, has turned things up another notch in Kuithe's absence. The senior leads all tight ends in just about every receiving category, including receptions, yards, and touchdowns. He was the primary reason the Utes were able to outlast USC in a huge conference victory, as he sliced apart the Trojans to the tune of 16 catches for 234 yards. Kincaid is now the clear John Mackey favorite at this point in the season and as the top pass-catching threat on the Ute roster, he should get more than enough usage to secure the award.

Others In Consideration: Michael Mayer, Notre Dame; Caden Prieskorn, Memphis; Brayden Willis, Oklahoma

Projected Rimington (best C): Olu Oluwatimi, Michigan

Michigan's success this season can be traced to many things, but a bunch of credit should be given to an offensive line that has been crushing everything in its path so far this fall. The anchor of that dominant unit is center Olusugun Oluwatimi, a grad transfer from Virginia. Oluwatimi was a Rimington finalist last season, the first in Virginia's lengthy history, and he's been even better with the Wolverines. He recently shared Offensive Player of the Week honors following Michigan's victory over Penn State, where they ran for 418 yards and allowed just one sack.

Others In Consideration: John Michael Schmitz, Minnesota; Alex Forsyth, Oregon; Ricky Stromberg, Arkansas

Projected Butkus (best LB): Drew Sanders, Arkansas

A former high-profile recruit who originally signed with Alabama out of high school, there's never been any doubt that Drew Sanders was a special talent. Even so, his play at Arkansas this fall has been a surprise, as he's been one of the nation's most dominant defenders. He's stuffed the stat sheets full, with 63 total tackles, 6.5 sacks, three forced fumbles, and three pass deflections. Included in those numbers are four separate performances where Sanders notched double-digit tackles, including 16 in the loss to Mississippi State. Even as Arkansas has faded after their hot start, thanks in large part to the injury to K..J. Jefferson, Sanders has been amazingly consistent and deserves national recognition.

Others In Consideration: Jacoby Windmon, Michigan State; Kyle Soelle, Arizona State; Jackson Mitchell, UConn

Projected Jim Thorpe (best DB): Clark Phillips III, Utah

Utah is known for breeding elite defenses, but it's been a long time since they've had a playmaker quite like Clark Phillips III. The third-year sophomore established himself as a bonafide star in 2021 and has only built on that this season. He's tied for the national lead in interceptions with five, owed primarily to his three-interception performance against Oregon State, in which he also brought one to the house for a score. He also recorded a pick-six in the UCLA loss, and his 137 return yards rank him second nationally among all defenders. His ability to flip the field has been a major win for the Utes, whose offense has been inconsistent throughout the season's first half. If he can keep it up in the second half of 2022, Phillips seems like a good bet to be the first Utah defensive back drafted in the first round of the NFL Draft since 1971.

Others In Consideration: Joey Porter Jr., Penn State; Emmanuel Forbes, Mississippi State; Jack Howell, Colorado State

Projected Groza (best K): Christopher Dunn, NC State

Long-time NC State kicker Christopher Dunn is already the program's all-time leading scorer, but it feels like he's in for even more accolades this fall. He's been a deadeye over the first seven weeks of the season, going 14-14 on field goals and 20-20 on extra points. In addition, his long of 53 is among the tops nationally, and few players have attempted and made more from beyond 40 yards. Expect NC State to lean on his services even more of the coming weeks as they move forward without star quarterback Devin Leary, who is done for the year.

Others In Consideration: B.T. Potter, Clemson; Chris Howard, Memphis; Jack Podlesny, Georgia

Projected Ray Guy (best P): Bryce Baringer, Michigan State

There's a lot of quality punters in the country, but only one is averaging over 50 yards per punt and that's Michigan State's Bryce Baringer. Despite being used early and often as the Spartan offense struggles, Baringer's 51.4 average has not dipped. In addition, his long of 70 yards is among the top nationally, finishing tied for seventh. He seems like a good bet in the thrilling, crucially important Ray Guy Award race.

Others In Consideration: Ben Kiernan, North Carolina; Tory Taylor, Iowa; Joe Doyle, Memphis

Coach of the Year: Josh Heupel, Tennessee

Plenty of coaches have exceeded expectations in 2022, but I believe Josh Heupel to be the lock for Coach of the Year at this point. He was viewed as a bit of an underwhelming by most of the national media when he arrived in Knoxville, but has injected an energy into the program that was missing for years. Not only has Tennessee been extremely fun to watch, they've built the nation's most impressive resume, with victories over Pittsburgh, Florida, LSU, and of course, Alabama. The Alabama win alone should cement Heupel as a legend forever at Tennessee, but now comes the hard part: keeping the momentum going. The Vols still have plenty of big games on their schedule and the Georgia game should decide the SEC East. 

Others In Consideration: Lance Leipold, Kansas; Chip Kelly, UCLA; Willie Fritz, Tulane; Dino Babers, Syracuse; Bret Bielema, Illinois

2022 College Football Picks: Week Seven

Blake Corum, Michigan

Current Picks Record: 33-21

Upset: 3-3

Superdogs: 3-3

Locks: 2-4

(#3) Alabama Crimson Tide @ (#6) Tennessee Volunteers

Line: Alabama -8

O/U: 66

A 5-0 start and No. 6 ranking has Tennessee fans believing in the program again after a long decade-plus, but now comes the ultimate test. They welcome the Alabama Crimson Tide into Neyland Stadium in the latest edition of the "Third Saturday in October" rivalry, a series that has been owned by the Tide since Nick Saban came to town.

The Tide may be undefeated, but that doesn't mean Saban's team isn't without flaws or questions. The most pressing question is at quarterback, with the status of reigning Heisman winner Bryce Young up in the air. Young was injured in the win over Arkansas and missed the Texas A&M game, prompting Jalen Milroe into action. Milroe has been solid considering he was a backup thrust into the limelight against two strong defenses, but he's an obvious downgrade. He doesn't have Young's arm strength down the field nor his playmaking ability, although Milroe can make things happen with his legs. Recent reports suggest Young should be able to return, but he is not operating at full strength either way. Beyond the status of Young, Alabama's entire offense seems to be working out some kinks. Jahmyr Gibbs has had flashes of brilliance since arriving from Georgia Tech but has yet to show it week-to-week, and the receiver corps doesn't have much proven commodities, yet. Kobe Prentice and Traeshon Holden have been their top two pass-catchers, but Ja'Corey Brooks is starting to emerge and I'm still waiting on dynamic downfield threat Tyler Harrell, a former Louisville transfer who has yet to see the field. Even though this offense isn't at full-go just yet, they face a great opportunity against the Volunteers. Tennessee has made significant strides on this side of the ball, but they still are prone to the big play and haven't seen an offense quite like this in 2022. If the Tide can withstand an aggressive Volunteer pass rush, they should be able to move the ball effectively, regardless of who is under center.

We knew Tennessee's offense was going to put up numbers this season, but they've exceeded expectations so far this fall. Quarterback Hendon Hooker is considered a Heisman frontrunner, super-charging an offense averaging nearly 47 points per game. His rushing ability was a known commodity prior to the season, but it's his passing that has been particularly impressive. Hooker has been efficient, accurate and incredibly smart with the ball; despite 140 attempts over the first six weeks, he has zero interceptions. He will be the focal point of this up-tempo Volunteer attack, but expect a heavy dose of tailbacks Jabari Small and Jaylen Wright. The pair splits carries fairly evenly and are able to stay fresh, which often is the issue late in games when teams face off against well-conditioned Alabama teams. On the perimeter, Cedric Tillman's status is a major storyline. The senior is Tennessee's best receiver, but he's missed the last several weeks with an ankle injury. Others have stepped up in his absence, namely Bru McCoy and Jalin Hyatt, but Tennessee still needs him to be at full go in order to pull off the upset. Even if he isn't, I don't suspect Josh Heupel's game-plan to change too much here. They'll continue to play incredibly fast and take their shots down the field. Alabama is a talented defensive team that has put up good overall numbers, but they've been susceptible on the back-end. If Tennessee can neutralize Will Anderson, Dallas Turner, and company and continue to take care of the ball, I like their chances to put up plenty of points.

This wouldn't be the first time in recent memory Tennessee has garnered significant hype at this point in the season and fallen flat on their face in a big moment. However, something about this team feels different. It hasn't just been their execution, but the energy and vibe of the program; they believe they're a top-tier team nationally and are at the level to beat elite foes like Alabama. This isn't your typical overpowering 'Bama team, either. Not only do they have injury concerns, the offense has been inconsistent and the defense has been known to struggle against Hooker-esque quarterbacks in the past. All of this leads me to make my bold prediction: picking Tennessee not just to cover, but win outright. I've been burned picking against Alabama in the past, but what's life without a little risk? 

The Pick: Tennessee, 34 Alabama, 31

(#10) Penn State Nittany Lions @ (#5) Michigan Wolverines

Line: Michigan -7

O/U: 50

Over the first six weeks of the 2022 season, the top of the Big Ten East has managed to stay above the fray, with Ohio State, Penn State, and Michigan all undefeated. Now, two of the top contenders for the division crown are forced to square off in Ann Arbor, kicking off a loaded Week Seven.

Since entering Big Ten play, Michigan hasn't put up as illustrious numbers as they did over the season's first month. Of course, that's to be expected when you are facing stiffer competition than the likes of Colorado State, UConn, and Hawai'i. J.J. McCarthy has taken over as the full-time starting quarterback and offers more playmaking than Cade McNamara, although his decision-making has been questionable at times. His ability to use his legs adds an interesting element to this offense, but the main focus for Penn State defensively will be containing Blake Corum. The junior has been decimating opposing defenses all season to the tune of 733 yards and 11 touchdowns, and he's seemed to turn it up a level in Big Ten play. PSU is a program known for its history of producing elite linebackers, and they've got two great ones this year in Abdul Carter and Curtis Jacobs. They'll help the Nittany Lions contain Corum, but don't be surprised if the Wolverines still find a way to move the ball, especially when you add in change-of-pace weapon Donovan Edwards. Michigan still has a tough, physical offensive line that should set up a fun matchup with the Nittany Lions, and be able to contain the pass rush. 

After having one of the worst ground games in the Big Ten the last several years, Penn State's offense has found two sparks in the form of Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen. The two true freshmen have been dominant to begin the season, with Singleton averaging over seven yards per carry. Their success has helped the Nittany Lions become much more balanced on this side of the ball, something that was sorely lacking. In the end, however, Penn State will go as Sean Clifford goes, and you never know which Sean Clifford is going to come out on a Saturday. There's no denying the veteran signal-caller has had bright moments and he's had an effective campaign up to this point, but he does face a stiff challenge. Despite significant turnover on the defensive side of the ball, Michigan remains especially stingy. Linebacker Junior Colson has taken on a leadership role, guiding one of the nation's top rush defenses. Although the front seven isn't quite as loaded as last year's group, it's been just as physical and should be ready for Singleton and Allen. The larger question for Michigan may be whether they can contain this group of Nittany Lion pass-catchers. Although UM has been great at stopping the pass, names like Parker Washington, KeAndre Lambert Smith, and Mitchell Tinsley are a challenge for any secondary.

Even though Michigan is the higher ranked team, Penn State has looked better over the season's first six weeks. With that being said, it's an awful lot to ask for any team to go into The Big House and come away with a road win. The Wolverines seem to slowly be getting more comfortable with their offense each and every week, and there's little denying how elite this defense is. That should be enough for them to overcome the Nittany Lions here.

The Pick: Michigan, 27 Penn State, 21 (Penn State cover)

(#8) Oklahoma State Cowboys @ (#13) TCU Horned Frogs

Line: TCU -4

O/U: 68.5

TCU managed to stay undefeated last weekend after coming out on top in a thriller against Kansas. Their reward? None other than the undefeated, eighth-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys, who have survived difficult challenges each of the last two weeks against Baylor and Texas Tech. The winner here cements themselves as the midseason Big 12 frontrunner, while the loser joins a crowded tier that includes Kansas, Kansas State, and Texas.

It's fascinating watching how Oklahoma State's program has transformed over two decades of Mike Gundy. They once were an air-it-out, explosive offensive team who played absolutely no defense. Now, they're a ball-control, methodical offensive team with a stellar defense. At the controls of that offense is veteran Spencer Sanders, who is having yet another good, but not great, season. He has played well against Oklahoma State's lesser opponents, but continues to be inconsistent. Fortunately, the offense is not short on weapons, as Dominic Richardson has emerged out of the backfield and the receiver corps is stocked with talent. Braydon Johnson has emerged as the top guy, but Brennan Presley is the security blanket, while youngster Bryson Green oozes with potential. Add to that a solid offensive line and it's a unit you can feel good about. Is it similar to the peak Gundy years with Brandon Weeden or Justin Blackmon? Certainly not, but when you combine it with this well-coached defense, it's easy to see why the 'Pokes are a tough out in the league.

Sonny Dykes has done a superb job in Year One with the TCU Horned Frogs, leading them to an impressive 5-0 start. He's done so despite losing the Week One starting quarterback, Chandler Morris, although veteran Max Duggan is certainly no slouch. He's gone for over 300 yards in three of his four starts, including 308 against Kansas. Plus, he's a tremendous, hard-nosed runner who is extremely difficult to bring down. Duggan is a challenge even for the best defenses the country has to offer, and I guarantee he has been the focus of Oklahoma State DC Derek Mason this week. With that being said, TCU has plenty of other pieces that can hurt you. The ground game has been effective all season long, with Kendre Miller and Emari Demarcado complementing Duggan. The trio is all averaging over six yards per carry and can burst the game wide open every time they get an inch of space. However, considering Oklahoma State's defensive front is loaded, TCU may choose to try their hand through the air more often in this one. That's good news for Quentin Johnston, who was one of the best players in the country last weekend. He racked up 14 receptions for 206 yards and a touchdown. Add in dynamic Taye Barber and Savion Williams and the Horned Frogs should be able attack OSU vertically. The Cowboys were rebuilding on the back-end prior to the season and have still had concerns there, so this is a major concern.

I don't think either one of these teams are serious CFB Playoff contenders, but whoever wins here will put themselves in that conversation. Oklahoma State seems a bit more balanced on both sides of the ball, but I really like what Dykes and TCU have cooking. The offense is fun to watch and explosive and defensively, they find ways to make stops. Add in the fact that they are playing in their friendly confines at Amon G. Carter Stadium, and I'm taking the Frogs.

The Pick: TCU, 30 Oklahoma State, 24

Other Picks

(#15) NC State @ (#18) Syracuse -- Clemson is the obvious ACC Atlantic favorite, but Syracuse could apply some pressure with a win here. Even so, I actually like the Wolfpack, even with questions surrounding Devin Leary's health.

The Pick: NC State, 24 Syracuse, 21

(#7) USC @ (#20) Utah -- I was all set to pick Utah here prior to last weekend, when they looked incredibly flat against UCLA. This defense has more questions than I can remember a Utah defense having in a long time, and Lincoln Riley should take advantage.

The Pick: USC, 35 Utah, 26

(#16) Mississippi State @ (#22) Kentucky -- Kentucky was clearly overrated as a Top 10 team and now Will Levis' status for Saturday is up in the air. Even on the road, the flaming hot Mississippi State Bulldogs are the right pick.

The Pick: Mississippi State, 31 Kentucky, 20

Upset: Georgia Southern over (#25) James Madison -- Georgia Southern has gone 1-3 since their shocking upset of Nebraska, but they're always dangerous in Statesboro. James Madison remains a great story, but one of these Sun Belt schools are going to get them.

The Pick: Georgia Southern, 28 James Madison, 27

Superdog (covers > 21 point spread): Vanderbilt (+38.5) @ Georgia -- There are only two superdogs to choose from this weekend, Vanderbilt and Charlotte. I have no faith in the 49ers, so let's try our luck with Vandy, who has a chance to cover against a Georgia team that has been underwhelming in recent weeks.

The Pick: Georgia, 40 Vanderbilt, 7

Lock of the Week: Wisconsin (-7) @ Michigan State -- As shocking as the decision was to fire Paul Chryst, it feels like the right one. Jim Leonhard should have the Badgers ready to go in this one against a very bad Michigan State team.

The Pick: Wisconsin, 24 Michigan State, 13

2022 Post-Week Six CFB Roundup

Israel Abanikanda, Pittsburgh

 

Reactions & Thoughts

A Meaningful "Third Saturday in October": Few rivalries in college football have been as one-sided the last several decades as the "Third Saturday in October" matchup between Alabama and Tennessee. The Tide have won 15 in a row stretching back to 2007, with several of those games being complete blowouts. However, this year's matchup pits the top-ranked Crimson Tide with sixth-ranked Tennessee, their highest ranking in years. The Volunteers have answered every test they've been thrown en route to a 5-0 start, including Pittsburgh, Tennessee, and LSU this past Saturday. They have one of the nation's most exciting quarterbacks running the show, a fun up-tempo offense, and an aggressive defense. They have the pieces in place to give Alabama their toughest game in years, particularly as the Tide still work out their kinks offensively. Even if they aren't able to spring an upset, it feels great having this rivalry mean something again. The two programs have a history of success, rabid fanbases, and a brand that extends far beyond the Southeast. It's a great thing for the sport when they're both nationally relevant, and this upcoming battle between them could be the most anticipated single game of the 2022 season.

An Ode To TCU-Kansas: College GameDay traveled to Lawrence, Kansas, for the first time in its history to watch the undefeated Jayhawks war undefeated TCU and the game delivered. The two teams went back-and-forth the entire way in a thrilling, tight contest that saw the Horned Frogs come out on top. It was a pleasant reminder of just of powerful college football can be, and how important it is to build a winner. Kansas has suffered through a decade-plus of football purgatory, but they've been treated to a special 2022 and the fans have shown up, with three straight sellouts. Coincidentally, the on-field success has had reverberations that will last long past this fall, with the school recently announcing they are investing $300 million into upgrades to David Booth Memorial Stadium and the Anderson Family Football Complex. Although their undefeated season is over, the Jayhawks have proven they deserve Top 25 recognition, and will be a factor in the Big 12 Title race. That alone is not a sentence anybody would have thought of writing prior to the season.

College Football Has Returned To Hollywood: USC's frustrations the past decade have left the college football scene a bit lacking in Los Angeles. A month-and-a-half into the 2022 campaign, the excitement and energy in the city has returned, thanks to the success of both USC and UCLA. The Trojans have met their lofty preseason expectations and are legit CFB Playoff contenders, beating Washington State to improve to 6-0. Meanwhile, the Bruins had one of their biggest victories in years, toppling Utah at home to put themselves on an inside track towards a Pac-12 Title. After some initial struggles, Chip Kelly has built a winner in Westwood, and has a formidable team on his hands. Football on the West Coast has lagged behind in recent years, but the return of these two programs to the forefront is a great thing for the sport. Now, both are hoping to stay perfect and set up a potential Top 10 showdown in mid-November at the Rose Bowl.

Uh Oh, Oklahoma: Even after Lincoln Riley ditched for USC and took his star QB with him, conventional wisdom around the college football world was that Oklahoma would still be a Big 12 Title contender. Sure, they weren't without questions, but Brent Venables was a strong hire, and the program was still incredibly talented. Now six weeks into the season, it's clear that the conventional wisdom was very wrong. The Sooners lost 49-0 in the latest edition of Red River, possibly their most humiliating loss in the history of the rivalry. The score alone is shocking, but it doesn't encapsulate just how thoroughly and completely Texas pounded the Sooners. To be fair, starting QB Dillon Gabriel was out, but this game still likely would have been a blowout. The Sooner defense is atrocious, and the offense simply doesn't have the playmakers it once does. Now 3-3 and 0-3 in the Big 12, it will be a hard climb for Venables and company, as they face Kansas next. Clearly, there are some deep, deep issues here, and the pressure is on for Venables to figure it out in quick fashion, especially with a move to the SEC on the near horizon.

A New Era Arriving At Auburn?: The worst-kept secret in college football right now is at Auburn, where Bryan Harsin looks to be on his last legs as head coach. Harsin was always a bit of a strange hire, a Pacific Northwest guy without any ties to the SEC, and the experiment has not worked out. It's only a matter of time before Auburn moves on, but the question is when? The assumption was that they didn't want to do it before their meeting with Georgia this past weekend, in order to avoid the interim coach facing a top team, but now? It's likely they're still waiting to make an AD hire before they make a move at head coach but with the coaching carousel spinning, they have to make sure they don't get left behind.

Weekly Awards

Offensive Helmet Sticker: Israel Abanikanda, RB, Pittsburgh

This is a no-brainer for this week's offensive helmet sticker. Pitt tailback Israel Abanikanda put together one of the most impressive stat-lines you'll see in college football, as the junior went for 320 yards and six touchdowns in the win over Virginia Tech. It broke Tony Dorsett's single-game yard record and tied the ACC's single-game touchdown record all in one day. Following the historical performance, Abanikanda has risen to No. 2 in the FBS in rushing yardage, behind only Illinois' Chase Brown.

Defensive Helmet Sticker: Tuli Tuipulotu, DL, USC

USC's offense gets a lot of national attention and rightfully so, but it seems like the Trojan defense is improving each and every week. They held an explosive Washington State offense to just 316 yards and 14 points as 'SC improved to 6-0 on the season. Spearheading the dominant performance was relentless defensive linemen Tuli Tuipulotu, who had five tackles and three sacks. It was the latest big-time showing from the veteran, who now leads all FBS defenders with seven sacks in total.

Team of the Week: Tennessee Volunteers

This isn't the first Tennessee team to receive considerable hype in recent years. However, past Volunteer teams likely would have gone into Baton Rouge as a favorite and lost to LSU in humiliating fashion. Not this team, which scored quickly off a muffed kickoff return and never looked back, leaving with a 40-13 victory. It marked the latest massive victory for a Tennessee team building quite the resume, and was particularly impressive because of how dominant it was. The Volunteers outplayed LSU in every major statistical category and held a comfortable lead the entire way, despite being in a hostile environment. Will the recent success translate into a program-defining victory against Alabama this upcoming weekend? Maybe, maybe not, but Tennessee should feel incredibly good about themselves following this game.

"Small-School" Team of the Week: UConn Huskies

Another loose definition of the term, "small-school" here but UConn's lack of football success over the last decade has left them largely ignored by the national media. Following their win over Florida International over the weekend, the FBS Independent Huskies are now 3-4, tying their most victories in a season since 2017. Head coach Jim Mora has done an excellent job in Year One with this downtrodden program and there's an outside shot at bowl eligibility, albeit a slim one. Upcoming games with Boston College, Liberty, and Army are likely all losses, but UMass and Ball State could help this Huskies team hover around .500.

My Top 25

1. Ohio State Buckeyes

2. Georgia Bulldogs

3. Alabama Crimson Tide

4. Clemson Tigers

5. Tennessee Volunteers

6. Michigan Wolverines

7. USC Trojans

8. UCLA Bruins

9. Penn State Nittany Lions

10. Oklahoma State Cowboys

11. Oregon Ducks

12. Ole Miss Rebels

13. TCU Horned Frogs

14. Wake Forest Demon Deacons

15. NC State Wolfpack

16. Syracuse Orange

17. Kansas State Wildcats

18. Kansas Jayhawks

19. Mississippi State Bulldogs

20. Illinois Fighting Illini

21. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

22. Texas Longhorns

23. Utah Utes

24. Tulane Green Wave

25. North Carolina Tar Heels

Receiving Votes: Cincinnati Bearcats, James Madison Dukes, Florida State Seminoles, Kentucky Wildcats, Minnesota Golden Gophers

2022 College Football Picks: Week Six

Max Duggan, TCU

Current Picks Record: 27-18

Upset: 3-2

Superdogs: 2-3

Locks: 2-3

(#17) TCU Horned Frogs @ (#19) Kansas Jayhawks

Line: TCU -7

O/U: 68

Imagine prior to the season, someone had told you that the biggest game this weekend wasn't Alabama-Texas A&M. Nor was it Ohio State-Michigan State, or even the latest edition of the Red River Showdown. No, it was the battle between undefeated TCU and undefeated Kansas, with the winner set to take the inside track in the Big 12 race. Such is the nature of college football, and part of what makes this sport so endearing to the masses.

The Jayhawks 5-0 start has been one of the greatest stories of the 2022 college football season. The program has been in college football purgatory for well over a decade before this incredible start. It wasn't been just fluke wins against terrible opponents either, as KU has beaten Houston, Duke, and Iowa State. At the helm has been an explosive rushing attack, spearheaded by QB Jalon Daniels and tailback Devin Neal. Daniels probably won't end up in New York for the Heisman ceremony, but he should certainly be in consideration at this point in the season. He's racked up over 1,200 yards of total offense, 16 total touchdowns, and has just one interception. He faces an interesting battle in this TCU defense, which has been okay this season, but susceptible to the big play. Behind Daniels and Neal, there aren't a ton of big names, but this is still an incredibly fun offense to watch. They'll do some unique things and trickery, but it's not just for show, there's a clear game-plan behind it. I expect them to air it out down the field against a porous Horned Frog secondary, even if their strength is underneath with Neal and support back Daniel Hishaw Jr.

It's been an incredibly quick turnaround for Sonny Dykes at TCU after the team flopped in closing 2021. He's done so mainly without his starting QB, Chandler Morris, who exited the opener against Colorado and has yet to see game action since. With that being said, Max Duggan is not your typical backup, as the former multiyear starter has caught back up to speed with ease. Although Dykes is known as an Air Raid disciple, it's been mainly about the run for TCU on the season, with Kendre Miller, Emari Demercado, Duggan, and Emani Bailey. It's a ground attack that schemes themselves into explosive plays, with all four of their top rushers averaging at least 6.5 yards per carry. To be fair, this TCU hasn't exactly played elite defensive competition in Colorado, Tarleton State, SMU, and Oklahoma, but it's clear that they have found a rhythm and know how to move the ball. The success of the ground game shouldn't overshadow the talent in this receiver corps too much, either. Taye Barber is one of the most versatile and fun players to watch anywhere in college football, and Quentin Johnston and Savion Williams can hit the home-run ball over-the-top. Add in Sam Jackson, a dynamic quarterback who will see the field in some fashion, and it shouldn't surprise that the Horned Frogs are off to such a hot start. 

Are either of these teams going to on a magical CFB Playoff run? Highly unlikely, and even a Big 12 Title would be a lot to ask considering the preseason expectations. That shouldn't diminish what they've accomplished so far this season and how fun of a game this should be. Two explosive offenses squaring off, with a pair of accomplished signal-callers running the show. Even though the game is in Lawrence, I think the TCU pick is a smarter one. Kansas has had a tremendous season, but they're going to get caught sometime, and the Horned Frogs have more weapons on both sides of the ball.

The Pick: TCU, 36 Kansas, 28

(#11) Utah Utes @ (#18) UCLA Bruins

Line: Utah -4

O/U: 65

Most of the college football world seems to have forgotten about Utah following their season-opening loss to Florida, but the Utes have won four straight and are back into CFB Playoff contention. They now enter a pivotal stretch of the season, playing both LA schools in consecutive weeks. First up is UCLA, who is off to a 5-0 start and beat Washington last Friday to rise to 18th in the polls. 

The Utes look much like they have the last several years; they run a balanced, methodical offense and pound opponents defensively. Quarterback Cam Rising has had an impressive season, with over 1,000 yards through the air, 13 touchdowns, and a 69% completion percentage. He's shown more of a willingness to take shots down the field, and has also demonstrated underrated rushing ability, going for over 70 yards against Oregon State last week. He'll be ready to go against an up-and-down Bruin pass defense, but the key for Utah will be getting their ground game back on track. This has long been the strength of the Ute offense, but they haven't been having the same success as past years. Tavion Thomas is way-too-good to be putting up the meager numbers he has so far in 2022, and this could be the week he gets rolling. Micah Bernard has been more efficient in a lesser role and adds more speed to the equation, but I think Thomas matches up better against UCLA. He's a hard-nosed, fearless runner that should be able to produce against a Bruin defense that has not traditionally been very physical, although they do seem to be tougher up front this fall. The pass-catchers took a massive hit when star tight end Brant Kuithe was lost for the season, but Dalton Kincaid has looked more than capable, and Devaughn Vele has been tremendous. It's a receiver group short on star power, but that doesn't stopped Utah from being effective through the air all season.

UCLA's offense has been terrific to start the 2022 campaign, operating at a top-notch rate both on the air and on the ground. Veteran QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson has been elite and is fresh off his best performance of the season, going for 315 yards and four touchdowns against Washington. In the past, "DTR" has occasionally been inconsistent or loose with the ball, but he looks mature, focused, and at a different level this fall. Joining him in the backfield is hard-running Zach Charbonnet, who has 417 yards on the season and is averaging over six yards per rush. Charbonnet is the type of back defenses hate playing; he's a relentless runner between the tackles, but has real burst in the open field and can break open any game. Former Duke transfer Jake Bobo has been the go-to guy out-wide, but versatile Kaz Allen could be one of the team's most dangerous weapons, even though he's been held-in-check the last several weeks. Add to that a strong offensive line, and this a very good offense top-to-bottom. Sure, it's not quite at peak-Chip Kelly-at-Oregon levels, but it's balanced and productive. With that being said, this is a brutal matchup against a great Utah defense. They're good at all three levels and simply don't allow an inch; they'll stop the run, but it's the pass defense that has been dominant in 2022. Clark Phillips was my preseason Jim Thorpe Award winner, and he's lived up to it, with three interceptions last weekend against Oregon State.

With all due respect to UCLA, I am hammering Utah -4 if this line stays where it is. I firmly believe this is the Pac-12's best team and I think they match up well with UCLA. This is a defense that allows control the lines of scrimmage and baits opponents into turnovers as well as anybody. While "DTR" has been impressive this year, this is the type of team I could really see him struggling with. It's just not a good opponent for the Bruins, and even in their friendly confines, I have Utah comfortably.

The Pick: Utah, 30 UCLA, 17

Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners

Line: Texas -7

O/U: 65.5

The 118th edition of the "Red River Showdown" is on this Saturday, and for the first time in decades, neither team is ranked. Oklahoma's poor showings against TCU and Kansas State knocked them out of the polls, and the Longhorns also have two losses to their credit. Despite the frustrating beginnings, both could set themselves up for a better second half with a crucial rivalry win.

There are questions on both sides of the ball for the Oklahoma Sooners. Their defensive woes are pronounced, allowing 96 points and over 1,100 yards of total offense over the last two weeks. The offense has been able to keep them afloat at times, but there's questions here as well, as QB Dillon Gabriel left the TCU game with a concussion. Gabriel's status for the weekend is completely up-in-the-air, and there seems to be a fair chance he won't be good to go for Red River. If not, the Sooners turn to either Pitt transfer Davis Beville or former JUCO transplant General Booty to run the show. Neither are very comforting options, although it does help that the Sooners have so many weapons around them. Wide out Marvin Mims has looked like one of the best pass-catchers anywhere in the country, while the 1-2 punch of Eric Gray and Jovantae Barnes has been overwhelming. The question is, just how different will Jeff Lebby's offense look like if Gabriel isn't able to go? Beville is a significantly different quarterback and different fit in this offense. There's just so many questions with this unit right now, and that doesn't even touch on the porous defense.

Texas recovered from an upset loss on the road to Texas Tech by beating West Virginia soundly, jolting them to 3-2 on the season. They've made do without their own quarterback, as Quinn Ewers has not been able to go the last several weeks. Fortunately, Ewers is expected to return for this game, giving the Longhorns a dynamic, talented signal-caller to run the show. There's a chance there could be some rust as he returns to action, but fortunately, there's plenty of offensive weapons joining him. That includes superstar tailback Bijan Robinson, who has accounted for 633 yards of total offense and nine touchdowns up to his point. After his costly fumble led to the Longhorn loss against Tech, Robinson came out with a fury against West Virginia and now faces a Sooner defense that has been run all over the last several weeks. Even though he's already established, this could be an opportunity for Robinson to have a career day and put his stamp on this rivalry. Texas has the pieces to challenge Oklahoma through the air in a way that their previous foes couldn't, with the trio of Xavier Worthy, Jordan Whittington, Ja'Tavion Sanders. Plus, the offensive line has been decent enough, albeit far from great, giving the Longhorns a well-rounded attack against OU.

This game may not have the important implications it usually does, but Red River is always significant. There's still a chance one of these two puts it together and becomes a serious threat down the stretch, especially with the top of this league still relatively wide-open. With so much uncertainty surrounding Oklahoma right now, Texas feels like the smarter selection. We've seen what they can do with Card running the show and the defense has less questions, even if it isn't very good itself. Oklahoma has shown nothing these last two weeks to think they can turn it around in short order, and without Gabriel? I'm rolling with the 'Horns here.

The Pick: Texas, 42 Oklahoma, 31

Other Picks

(#8) Tennessee @ (#25) LSU -- This feels like a prime look-ahead spot for Tennessee with Alabama next on the docket, but I'm not sold on LSU. They've recovered nicely from the season-opening loss to Florida State, but the offense still has major questions.

The Pick: Tennessee, 38 LSU, 28

Texas A&M @ (#1) Alabama -- A&M's defense may be able to keep this one competitive, but have we seen anything from the offense to believe they can keep up with the Crimson Tide in Tuscaloosa? Even if Bryce Young can't go, Jalen Milroe looks more than capable of running the show.

The Pick: Alabama, 35 Texas A&M, 14

(#3) Ohio State @ Michigan State -- In the preseason, this looked like a potential Top 10 battle. Now? With all of Ohio State's weapons and Michigan State's atrocious pass defense, it's hard to see how this game stays close.

The Pick: Ohio State, 49 Michigan State, 20

Upset: Iowa State over (#20) Kansas State -- Kansas State has looked terrific in early Big 12 play, but I do wonder if Adrian Martinez is going to have a game where he falls back down to Earth. Facing a stingy Iowa State defense in Ames, this could be the week.

The Pick: Iowa State, 24 Kansas State, 21

Superdog (covers > 21 point spread): UMass (+25) vs. Liberty -- Another bad week for superdogs, without any good lines to choose from. UMass is terrible, but the defense has played with more passion in the last several weeks. Can they keep things close enough with Liberty to cover at home?

The Pick: Liberty, 28 UMass, 7

Lock of the Week (has to be a favorite): Air Force (-10) @ Utah State -- I would lock up Utah, but for the sake of making another pick here, I'll go with Air Force. They should shred a weak Utah State rush defense, even in Logan.

The Pick: Air Force, 26 Utah State, 10