Wednesday, June 27, 2018

NBA Offseason 2018: The Kawhi Leonard Sweepstakes

Kawhi Leonard
For seemingly forever, the San Antonio Spurs have been the model franchise in the NBA. An organization that is a consistent winner, stable from top to bottom and rarely has drama, more than a few other NBA franchises have tried building their teams like the one in San Antonio. However, that rare drama has taken an interesting turn recently for the Spurs; their star and unquestioned face of the franchise, forward Kawhi Leonard, has grown increasingly frustrated and wants out. Now, San Antonio and the Kawhi situation becomes one of the hottest topics of this off-season, one sure to be full of fireworks. Can the Kawhi-San Antonio relationship be repaired, and if not, what is the next step for San Antonio?

But first, background. If you haven't been following the Kawhi situation, issues between his camp and the Spurs organization has been evolving for some time. It began with a ankle injury suffered in 2017's Western Conference Finals that ended Kawhi's season and was likely to take him out for a chunk of the '17-'18 season. After missing the entire preseason and the first month of the regular season, Leonard returned to action on December 12th. He would play just nine games with the team before the Spurs announced he was out indefinitely, stemming once from the same ankle injury. He was cleared by team doctors again in late February, but Leonard decided he was not ready to return. Soon, rumors of a rift between the team and the star forward began to surface, and the drama was only exacerbated when longtime members of the organization, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobli, seemed to question Leonard's injury and his loyalty. Recently, we have learned Kawhi has felt betrayed by the Spurs, and wants to now be traded, preferably to Los Angeles. We still don't know every detail in the story, and there was definitely things happening behind closed doors, but we do know things are very tense right now in San Antonio.

It is important to realize that there was actually a similar situation in San Antonio just last summer. Lamarcus Aldridge had grown frustrated with his role on the team and wanted out, before head coach Gregg Poppovich and management convinced him to stay. Aldridge did indeed, and ended up having one of the best seasons of his career. This seems to be the approach San Antonio aims to do with Kawhi. They have seemingly not been shopping him around and seem intent on repairing the relationship. The differences between the two cases are quite large, however. First off, Aldridge wasn't happy, but he didn't feel betrayed by the organization, and didn't have a huge, public rift with some of the team's top players. Aldridge also is not the immense talent Kawhi is; the dynamic small forward is already one of the top two-way players in the game, and could be getting even better. Leonard has one more year on his current contract, giving the Spurs ample time to try and mend the relationship. But, you just get the feeling that is going to be tough to do. San Antonio's relationship with Kawhi's camp is so extremely strained at the moment, and their roster is aging. There is little incentive for Leonard to want to stay, when various other options appear to be more appealing. Another thing to note is that Popovich may not even be around for much longer. The legendary head man has openly talked about retirement, and most believe he will retire after coaching the 2020 Olympic team. That makes the Spurs even less appealing to Leonard, likely ensuring that his time with the franchise could soon be coming to an end.

The most likely case scenario is a trade. San Antonio understands that they might have to trade Leonard to ensure they get at least something back, and there are a number of trade packages that could be appealing.

Possible Packages
*packages may vary slightly due to cap constraints, expiring contracts

Los Angeles Lakers
F Brandon Ingram
F Kyle Kuzma
G Josh Hart
future draft picks

Philadelphia Sixers
G Markelle Fultz
F Dario Saric
G/F Robert Covington
future draft picks

Boston Celtics
G/F Jaylen Brown
G Terry Rozier
future draft picks

Cleveland Cavaliers
F Kevin Love
G Collin Sexton
F Larry Nance
future draft picks

Los Angeles Clippers
F Tobias Harris
G Lou Williams
F Sam Dekker
G Jerome Robinson
future draft picks

I personally get the feeling Kawhi is going to end up in Los Angeles, at some point. He played college ball at San Diego State, and there is the real possibility of the Lakers luring LeBron James within the next few weeks. That will take fancy financial maneuvering by the Lakers' front office, but this is a team stocked with assets. Brandon Ingram still has true star potential and is still incredibly young, while Kyle Kuzma and Josh Hart provide quality pieces who would fit in well. Yet, there are obstacles. Popovich has seemed to have a deep disdain for the Lakers for some time, and he might not want to send this budding star to a Western Conference foe as his farewell tour. I think Philadelphia is definitely in play, because they offer the most potential in their trade package, and want to make a big move. Markelle Fultz has shown flashes, and Dario Saric and Robert Covington are solid supporting pieces. They could add in the 2021 Miami Heat unprotected first-rounder, sure to be pretty valuable, as the Heat are trending towards rebuilding. Boston is the only other strong possibility in my mind, but there is no chance they trade Jayson Tatum. Jaylen Brown has tremendous upside as does Terry Rozier, and Danny Ainge is stocked with draft picks. Cleveland and the Clippers are long shots, but anything can happen in this league.

LeBron James' Decision 3.0 will cast a long shadow over this free agency, but Kawhi Leonard might end up being the most interesting and confusing situation in the sport. San Antonio does have a chance to retain him, but I think it seems time to move on. The Spurs are aging throughout their roster, and Kawhi alone won't be able to lead this team to a Finals. It is time to rebuild, or at least retool, and there are some very intriguing moves. I think he'll end up with the Lakers or Sixers. Both are swinging for the fences, and he joins a winning situation immediately. For a rising superstar who hasn't made the Finals since his coming out party in 2014, that is the perfect end result.


Tuesday, June 19, 2018

NBA Draft 2018: Top 40 Big Board

Deandre Ayton, No. 1
1. Deandre Ayton, F/C, Arizona
Projection: 1st to Phoenix
Strengths: Size, finishing ability, shooting upside
Weaknesses: Rim protection, transition defense
Bust Potential: Low
Widely regarded as the top prospect in this stocked Draft class, it would be a shocking revelation if Phoenix did not make Deandre Ayton the top selection this Thursday. The former Arizona Wildcat has all the physical tools to be a dominant big for a long time; he's lengthy, strong and already has a pretty polished jumper. He still has some strides to make defensively and in the smaller parts of the game but he is a legitimate stud. Comparisons to NBA legend David Robinson will obviously be tough to fulfill, but they are not by any means hyperbolic. Ayton is going to be a star in this league for years and years.
2. Luka Doncic, G, Slovenia
Projection: 3rd to Atlanta
Strengths: Playmaking, shooting, maturity
Weaknesses: Transition to NBA defenses
Bust Potential: Low
Doncic has been viewed as European basketball's next big thing for some time now, but on the eve of the NBA Draft, teams appear to be bailing on him. Rumors are swirling Doncic could drop out of the Top 5, after being considered a real possibility to go No. 1 overall for some time. I think that is preposterous; Doncic is the safest pick in this Draft in my opinion. At 19, he already has a basketball resume more impressive than anybody else in this Draft, and as a 6'8" playmaking guard, he fits exactly in the modern NBA. Doncic may not have the ceiling of say, Ayton, but I think he has the highest floor out of any of the big names in this Draft, locking him in as my No. 2 prospect.
3. Marvin Bagley III, F/C, Duke
Projection: 2nd to Sacramento
Strengths: Rebounding, touch around the rim, athleticism
Weaknesses: Tweener, defensive questions
Bust Potential: Moderate
Bagley was originally going to be heading to college this upcoming fall before reclassifying and joining Duke's 2018 class. All he did in his lone season in Durham is average 21.0 PPG and 11.1 RPG while shooting 64 percent from the field. With impressive size, incredible instincts and superb athleticism, he is going to be a double-double machine at the next level. However, if there are concerns they come up when considering Bagley doesn't really fit the mold of either a PF or C in today's NBA, and he won't be able to overpower opponents the way he often did in college. These are valid things to wonder about, but I still view the Duke product as a future stud.
4. Mo Bamba, F/C, Texas
Projection: 6th to Orlando
Strengths: Incredible length, shot-blocking ability, underrated athleticism
Weaknesses: Shooting, offensive polish
Bust Potential: Low
There are a lot of freaks in this Draft, but none come close to Texas' Mo Bamba. Bamba stands at 7'1", but has a nearly unimaginable wingspan of 7'9" and a standing reach of 9'6". He used that extreme length to swat plenty of shots with the Longhorns, and I expect him to be a dominant defensive force from the get-go in the Association. He still has a long way to offensively, but the raw tools are already there and he can really blossom in the right situation. I'm really high on Bamba because I think he will be able to contribute in a ton of ways, even if he is never really able to take the next step offensively, making him low in the bust potential.
5. Wendell Carter, F/C, Duke
Projection: 9th to New York
Strengths: Rebounding, versatility, touch around the rim
Weaknesses: Free throw line, not much of a floor spacer
Bust Potential: Low
If there is one big man I don't think is getting enough respect in this Draft, it is probably Wendell Carter, who was often overshadowed by Bagley this season. Even so, Carter flashed the ability to really be a force on the glass, and finish through contact. He is also a guy with underrated athleticism; he is very nimble for his size and he can guard multiple positions. He still has a long way to go at the free throw line and needs to grow his mid range game, but I still think he has the potential to be a huge steal in this class.
6. Jaren Jackson Jr., F/C, Michigan State
Projection: 4th to Memphis
Strengths: Length, rim protection, shooting ability
Weaknesses: Lack of production, needs to bulk up
Bust Potential: Moderate
Despite not putting up huge numbers in his lone season in East Lansing, NBA scouts are drooling over Jaren Jackson. He checks off nearly every thing NBA personnel looks for in a modern big man; he is lengthy, can guard multiple positions, protect the rim and shoot the ball. With that being said, he needs to get a lot stronger if he wants to be very effective at the next level. It also worries me that despite all his talents, he was never able to make a bigger impact the Spartans. With that being said, his potential is off the charts, and I wouldn't be surprised if he ends up being a splash for some team in the Top 5.
7. Michael Porter Jr., F, Missouri
Projection: 5th to Dallas
Strengths: Athleticism, scoring ability, incredibly high ceiling
Weaknesses: Serious injury concerns
Bust Potential: Moderate
Porter was the top player in this class coming out of high school, and I think he is the ultimate wild card in this Draft. We got to see very little of him while at Missouri, but in the high school ranks, he proved to be a dominant scorer who could be deadly in the isolation-heavy NBA. That back injury that took him out basically the entire season is alarming. Back injuries for any player with his athleticism is concerning, and he has also had hip problems in the pre-Draft process. I understand the immense potential Porter possesses, and I wouldn't be stunned if somebody took a flier in the Top 3 of this Draft, but his injury issues are so bad I would stay far, far away as an NBA executive.
8. Collin Sexton, PG, Alabama
Projection: 8th to Cleveland
Strengths: Explosiveness, competitiveness, confidence
Weaknesses: Shooting from the outside, consistency
Bust Potential: Moderate
Collin Sexton is the best point guard in this class, and I seriously debated having him higher on this board. There are concerns about his shooting touch and overall streakiness, but we've seen that with countless NBA prospects at this stage, and they've been able to develop that jumper. There is no denying his explosiveness with the ball, or his love for the game. This is a guy that is going to give it his all every time he steps on the court, which isn't always easy to find in the NBA. He could immediately jumpstart any offense in the late lottery, likely where he will land.
9. Trae Young, PG, Oklahoma
Projection: 7th to Chicago
Strengths: Limitless shooting range, court vision, ball-handling
Weaknesses: Size, funky mechanics on shot
Bust Potential: Moderate
A weak second half of the season hurt Trae Young's Draft stock, but he is still likely a Top 10 lock. His first half of the year was truly remarkable, where he showed the ability to hit any shot he wanted and flashed amazing playmaking potential. The issue is, I just don't think we will see much of that Young in the NBA. He is very small and frail at the moment, which wasn't as big of a deal in college because he could get by with quickness, which will not be the case at the next level. I also worry about the mechanics on his shot. If you examine it, it has a very low center and while it is quick, the lengthy NBA defenders still might be able to affect it. I understand some of the comparisons made between Trae and Steph Curry because some of the stuff they can do on the basketball court is special, but I just don't see Young being at Curry's level at any point in his NBA career.
10. Kevin Knox, F, Kentucky
Projection: 11th to Charlotte
Strengths: Scoring potential, length, decent rebounder
Weaknesses: Tweener, questionable shot selection
Bust Potential: Moderate
Kentucky struggled to score all year long, but if they really needed a bucket, they often went to Kevin Knox, and for good reason. At 6'9" with the ability to create any shot, Knox has the potential to be a potent one-on-one scorer in the NBA, although he has to improve his shot selection. The major concern I have when it comes to Knox is his fit at the next level. I'm not sure if he is quick enough to guard small forwards, and he is slightly on the small side to be a power forward. That could be a concern, but his offensive upside is so intriguing, I like Knox a lot.
11. Zhaire Smith, G, Texas Tech
Projection: 16th to Phoenix
Strengths: Defense, size, finishing ability
Weaknesses: Average upside, shooting from three
Bust Potential: Low
12. Mikal Bridges, G/F, Villanova
Projection: 10th to Philadelphia
Strengths: Versatility, shooting touch, defensive potential
Weaknesses: Not a high-volume scorer, needs to bulk up
Bust Potential: Low
13. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, G, Kentucky
Projection: 13th to Los Angeles Clippers
Strengths: Playmaking ability, size, leadership 
Weaknesses: Offensive polish, defensive consistency
Bust Potential: Moderate
Mitchell Robinson, No. 14
14. Mitchell Robinson, C, USA
Projection: 25th to Los Angeles Lakers
Strengths: Athleticism, size, defensive upside
Weaknesses: Maturity, free throw shooting
Bust Potential: High
15. Miles Bridges, G/F, Michigan State
Projection: 15th to Washington
Strengths: Athleticism, experience, playmaking
Weaknesses: Streaky shooting, lack of confidence
Bust Potential: Low
16. Troy Brown, G/F, Oregon
Projection: 18th to San Antonio
Strengths: Offensive versatility, defense
Weaknesses: Average upside, average production in collegiate ranks
Bust Potential: Low
17. Robert Williams, F, Texas A&M
Projection: 12th to Los Angeles Clippers
Strengths: Ability to catch and finish lob passes, rebounding 
Weaknesses: Maturity, fit in an NBA offense, shooting
Bust Potential: Moderate
18. Kevin Huerter, G/F, Maryland
Projection: 19th to Atlanta
Strengths: Three-point shooting, length, potential as stretch four
Weaknesses: Lack of elite athleticism, defensive questions
Bust Potential: Low
19. Lonnie Walker IV, G, Miami
Projection: 14th to Denver
Strengths: Explosiveness, ability to get to the rim and finish, leadership
Weaknesses: Lack of consistency, streaky shooting
Bust Potential: Moderate
20. Donte DiVincenzo, G, Villanova
Projection: 27th to Boston
Strengths: Shooting, size, impressive instincts, defensive ability
Weaknesses: Lack of a large body of work, somewhat of a tweener
Bust Potential: Moderate
21. Gary Trent Jr., G, Duke
Projection: 28th to Golden State
Strengths: Shooting, size
Weaknesses: Inconsistent, can become invisible on the court
Bust Potential: Low
22. Josh Okogie, G, Georgia Tech
Projection: 23rd to Indiana
Strengths: Size, efficiency, superb shot creator
Weaknesses: Fit in an NBA offense, defensive questions
Bust Potential: Moderate
23. Khyri Thomas, G, Creighton
Projection: 21st to Utah
Strengths: Maturity, shooting, consistent improvement, hard-worker
Weaknesses: Average upside, lack of elite athleticism
Bust Potential: Low
24. Aaron Holiday, PG, UCLA
Projection: 17th to Milwaukee
Strengths: Athleticism, quickness, instant offense
Weaknesses: Decision-making, streaky shooter
Bust Potential: Moderate
25. Jerome Robinson, G, Boston College
Projection: 31st to Phoenix
Strengths: Ideal size, playmaking ability, great locker room guy
Weaknesses: Average shooter, mediocre defensively
Bust Potential: Moderate
26. Anfernee Simons, G, IMG Academy (HS)
Projection: 20th to Minnesota
Strengths: Elite athleticism, massive potential on both ends of court
Weaknesses: Extremely raw, zero experience beyond high school ranks
Bust Potential: High
27. Jalen Brunson, PG, Villanova
Projection: 33rd to Dallas
Strengths: Incredible feel for the game, great leader, can score in a variety of ways
Weaknesses: Average upside, size
Bust Potential: Low
28. Melvin Frazier, G, Tulane
Projection: 32nd to Memphis
Strengths: Length, finishing ability, defensive upside
Weaknesses: Mediocre shooter, played relatively weak competition in AAC
Bust Potential: Moderate
29. Omari Spellman, F/C, Villanova
Projection: 30th to Atlanta
Strengths: Versatility on both ends, physicality, shooting ability
Weaknesses: Not ideal size for NBA, average defender
Bust Potential: Moderate
30. Chandler Hutchison, G/F, Boise State
Projection: 22nd to Chicago
Strengths: Ideal size, versatile offensive player, plenty of room for growth
Weaknesses: Needs to bulk up, decision-making
Bust Potential: Moderate
31. Grayson Allen, G, Duke
Projection: 36th to New York
Strengths: Well-rounded offensive player, can play both guard spots, very experienced, great competitor
Weaknesses: Consistency, character concerns
Bust Potential: Moderate
32. Dzanan Musa, F, Bosnia & Herzegovina
Projection: 29th to Brooklyn
Strengths: Ideal build for stretch four, brimming with potential, solid defender
Weaknesses: Still very raw, still very inconsistent
Bust Potential: High
33. Elie Okobo, PG, France
Projection: 26th to Philadelphia
Strengths: Great length, very quick, quality ball-handler
Weaknesses: Suspect shooter, defense needs refinement
Bust Potential: Moderate
34. Brandon McCoy, C, UNLV
Projection: 35th to Orlando
Strengths: Size, strength, back-to-the-basket game
Weaknesses: Not very mobile, offensive game still very raw
Bust Potential: High
35. Jacob Evans, F, Cincinnati
Projection: 24th to Portland
Strengths: Great defender, very versatile, strong rebounder
Weaknesses: Average upside, not a shot creator offensively
Bust Potential: Low
36. Jevon Carter, PG, West Virginia
Projection: 42nd to Detroit
Strengths: Superb defender, incredibly high motor, great leader
Weaknesses: Mediocre shooter, undersized
Bust Potential: Low
37. Keita Bates-Diop, F, Ohio State
Projection: 40th to Brooklyn
Strengths: Versatility, can score in a variety of ways, guard multiple positions
Weaknesses: Injury history, lacks elite athleticism
Bust Potential: Moderate
38. Jarred Vanderbilt, F, Kentucky
Projection: 47th to Los Angeles Lakers
Strengths: Rebounding, shot-blocking ability, immense offensive upside
Weaknesses: Injury concerns, very raw, poor free throw shooter
Bust Potential: Moderate
39. Mo Wagner, F/C, Michigan
Projection: 34th to Atlanta
Strengths: Can space the floor, intense competitor, still growing
Weaknesses: Lack of elite physical tools. average defender
Bust Potential: Low
40. Keenan Evans, G, Texas Tech
Projection: 44th to Washington
Strengths: Clutch player, bonafide playmaker, strong defender
Weaknesses: Lacks significant upside, not very quick for position
Bust Potential: Moderate

Friday, June 15, 2018

NBA Mock Draft 2018: Edition 2 (Final Edition)

Marvin Bagley III, Duke to Sacramento
1. Phoenix Suns
Deandre Ayton, F/C, Arizona
An impressive Combine showing and superb individual workout has only further cemented Deandre Ayton as the top selection in this year's NBA Draft. While there are some other terrific big men in this class, Ayton's offensive abilities and overall upside make him clearly the favorite. Phoenix desperately needs help in a thin frontcourt, further making this a no-brainer.
2. Sacramento Kings
Marvin Bagley III, F, Duke
The Kings' pick is going to be interesting, because they could go a number of different directions. Luka Doncic is still very much in play, but Marvin Bagley's stock is rising rapidly, and he'd make a lot of sense. The former Duke big was an absolute machine in his lone season in Durham, and has vast potential.
3. Atlanta Hawks
Luka Doncic, G, Slovenia
Without any long-term pieces locked down, Atlanta needs a quality locker room guy who can help them in a variety of different ways. Enter Doncic, who can shoot, handle the ball, and distribute all at NBA veteran levels. With Dennis Schroeder likely to be dealt at some point in the near future, the playmaker could slide right into the starting PG duties.
4. Memphis Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson, F/C, Michigan State
Even though he didn't produce as much as others in his lone season in East Lansing, Jaren Jackson has the ideal tools in today's NBA. He is lengthy, an excellent rim protector and can shoot the ball fairly consistently. Memphis would love to add his abilities at this spot, particularly with Marc Gasol possibly on his way out.
5. Dallas Mavericks
Michael Porter Jr., F, Missouri
We got to see very little of Porter Jr., the nation's top recruit, in his lone season in Columbia due to back injury, but he still remains an intriguing NBA prospect. Dallas is a team that lacks much offense and while there are still concerns surrounding Porter's back, he could be a real value pick here. When healthy, MPJ is the most electrifying and dominant offensive weapon in this Draft class.
6. Orlando Magic
Mo Bamba, F/C, Texas
There is so much great talent in this Draft, but not one big in it has the body of Mo Bamba, who already is flourishing into a dominant defensive stopper. The former Texas Longhorn has an unprecedented 7'9" wingspan and superb athleticism. At the very least, he can be a defensive anchor for Orlando and if he grows offensively, he could be extremely special.
7. Chicago Bulls
Trae Young, PG, Oklahoma
People are so heavily split on Trae Young it seems he could go nearly anywhere in the Top 10. If he is available for Chicago, I envision them going with the deadeye shooter. There are concerns about his height and overall efficiency, but there is no denying what a great talent this guy can be. He would immediately jolt a stagnant Bulls' offense.
8. Cleveland Cavaliers
Collin Sexton, G, Alabama
Cleveland will be in a weird position here given LeBron James' uncertain future, and they could go any number of directions. If they do stick with the selection, a player like Collin Sexton would make a lot of sense. The Alabama product is a proven playmaker with unlimited upside, who has the talent to take over starting PG duties right away for the Cavs.
9. New York Knicks
Wendell Carter, F/C, Duke
He doesn't have the crazy potential of fellow frontcourt mate Marvin Bagley, but Wendell Carter is still a Top 10 talent in this Draft. The powerful big can play either PF or C at a high level, brings high energy, and is a proven rebounder and defender. He still has to grow offensively, but all the tools are there for him to be a difference-maker, and a good fit with Kristaps Porzingis in the Big Apple.
10. Philadelphia Sixers
Mikal Bridges, G/F, Villanova
The Sixers got quality production this year from J.J. Reddick and their collection of wings, but Reddick could be set to leave and Philly would love to replace him with some young talent. Bridges was a guiding force in Villanova's last two National Titles, and his defense and shooting ability are already at NBA levels.
11. Charlotte Hornets
Kevin Knox, F, Kentucky
There are some concerns about whether Kevin Knox's game will be able to translate to the next level, but this is a guy I'm very high on. He showed immense offensive potential in his lone season in Lexington, and has NBA size, even if he is a bit of a tweener. The Hornets need some scoring help off the bench, making Knox an ideal selection here.
12. Los Angeles Clippers
Robert Williams, F, Texas A&M
I'd be pretty surprised if this upcoming fall DeAndre Jordan is still on the Clippers roster. He has long been a trading chip for this team, and should test free agency this summer. If that is truly the case, Los Angeles gets his younger self in Robert Williams. Coming from the same alma mater, both have terrific athleticism and finishing ability around the rim.
13. Los Angeles Clippers
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, G, Kentucky
Despite being one of the lowest rated prospects in Kentucky's 2017 recruiting class, Gilgeous-Alexander impressed scouts with his scoring ability and control of the offense. He played like an NBA player, and likely played his way into a lottery pick. The Clips need a new solution at point guard with Chris Paul long gone, giving way to Gilgeous-Alexander here.
14. Denver Nuggets
Lonnie Walker IV, G, Miami
The Nuggets missed the Playoffs this season, but this is still a roster that clearly is at a high level. They could, however, use some scoring punch off the bench, clearing the way for a Lonnie Walker selection. Even though he had a streaky season in Coral Gables, the combo guard has proven he can score in bunches and has great overall upside.
15. Washington Wizards
Miles Bridges, G/F, Michigan State
A popular preseason National Player of the Year pick, Miles Bridges had an up-and-down 2017-2018. He had his moments, but seemed to shy away from the leadership role many had hoped for him. He still projects favorably as a quality, well-rounded wing with more experience than most in this Draft. Washington could use a lot of help to fix a pretty bad bench, and Bridges is a nice fit here.
16. Phoenix Suns
Zhaire Smith, G, Texas Tech
Phoenix may try and package this pick to try and move up into the late lottery, but if they stay firm at 16, Zhaire Smith makes a lot of sense. Smith's defensive ability and shooting potential paint him as an ideal "three-and-D" player in the Association, which are incredibly valuable in today's NBA. He doesn't have the potential or ceiling of others, but Smith would fix a need right away.
17. Milwaukee Bucks
Aaron Holiday, PG, UCLA
After a terrible postseason performance, it is unclear what the future is for Eric Bledsoe in Milwaukee. He'll probably stick around another year, but this Milwaukee team wants to develop a core around Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Bledsoe just may not be the guy. Aaron Holiday, the younger brother of Jrue, is still raw, but has the offensive upside to come in and overtake the PG duties in the near future.
18. San Antonio Spurs
Troy Brown, G/F, Oregon
San Antonio's aging roster could really use a weapon like Oregon's Troy Brown. Brown is a superb athlete that can beat a variety of defenses with his shooting and playmaking. He also proved to be a strong defender, which will be particularly important with Kawhi Leonard's uncertain future.
19. Atlanta Hawks
Kevin Huerter, G, Maryland
Among many of the other problems they had, Atlanta was a terrible shooting team in '17-'18. Already bolstering their offense by adding Doncic at pick three, they will look to Maryland's Kevin Huerter. Huerter was a superb shooter throughout his tenure with the Terps, and would immediately open up space for this offense.
20. Minnesota Timberwolves
Anfernee Simons, G, IMG Academy (HS)
Head coach Tom Thibodeau is well known for rarely playing his rookies, which could end up really helping some young talent develop in this Draft. Anfernee Simons didn't play a minute in the collegiate ranks (played at a prep school for a year after graduating) but scouts still are impressed by his offensive upside and finishing ability. He should take essentially a "redshirt" year where his raw game can really come out, possibly in the G League.
21. Utah Jazz
Khyri Thomas, G, Creighton
He doesn't have the same type of potential or hype as others in this Draft, but Creighton product Khyri Thomas is going to be a fine NBA player. The off-guard has developed into a knockdown shooter with an excellent stroke and a fine overall leader. He is the type of high character guy Utah would love to surround Donovan Mitchell with in the backcourt.
22. Chicago Bulls
Chandler Hutchison, SF, Boise State
Rumors are swirling that Chicago has promised Hutchison they will draft him if he is available here, and he likely will be with the talent on the wing ahead of him. Hutchison can still be a great value pick, as a quality scorer that can play good, strong defense. He is another guy this Bulls' staff can further develop on a youthful roster.
23. Indiana Pacers
Josh Okogie, G, Georgia Tech
After a strong showing at the Combine, where he measured at 6'4" with a staggering 7'0" wingspan, Georgia Tech guard Josh Okogie is rising up Draft boards. He isn't just a guy with an ideal body for a two-guard; he averaged over 18 PPG and shot 38 percent from three this past season, showing a diverse and rounded out game. Indiana could use another lengthy, athletic weapon to pair with Victor Oladipo.
24. Portland Trail Blazers
Jacob Evans, G/F, Cincinnati
A team already equipped with a high-scoring backcourt, Portland desperately needs a perimeter defender (or two) to really succeed in defending opposing Western Conference teams. Jacob Evans played in a great defensive system in college, and proved to have a well-built game overall. He could help fill the aging shoes of Al-Farouq Aminu.
25. Los Angeles Lakers
Mitchell Robinson, C, USA
There are some commitment and character concerns associated with former five-star recruit Mitchell Robinson, but there is also no denying his immense talent. The center can be an absolute force on the block, and his length makes him a terror defensively as well. Los Angeles has their focus on LeBron and Paul George, but why not take a chance on a potential huge steal?
26. Philadelphia Sixers
Elie Okobo, PG, France
Okobo, a 6'2" guard from France, is another guy getting late buzz in this Draft. Okobo is still a very raw young prospect, but people are excited about his versatility and feel for the game. Some have gone as far as to compare him to another beloved French guard, Tony Parker. That will take time, but the Sixers could be a good fit for the young talent.
27. Boston Celtics
Donte DiVincenzo, G, Villanova
The hero of this year's National Championship, Donte DiVincenzo surprised some by staying in the Draft. He did impress at the Combine, and he has a game built for the league. I love the fit of him going to Boston, who could use some guard help, even if Gordon Hayward and Kyrie Irving come back 100 percent.
28. Golden State Warriors
Gary Trent Jr., G, Duke
Already equipped with two of the best shooters in the league's history, why not go out and get one of the best in this Draft? There remains a chance guard Patrick McCaw could leave in free agency, and Nick Young is no long-term answer on the wing. Golden State simply takes Trent, who had some ups-and-downs with Duke, but proved to be a deadeye three-point shooter.
29. Brooklyn Nets
Dzanan Musa, G/F, Bosnia & Herzegovina
I would not be surprised to see Brooklyn take a flier on an International prospect here in the hopes of hitting gold. Musa decided to stay in the Draft despite reports of him pulling out, likely because he received first-round grades from most. At 6'9" with a good jumper, you can imagine why people may be high on the European product.
30. Atlanta Hawks
Omari Spellman, F/C, Villanova
The Hawks could go best player available here and add either Jerome Robinson or De'Anthony Melton, but considering they already have two guards taken earlier I have them going big. Omari Spellman really played well all year long at 'Nova, and his game has drawn comparisons to Draymond Green.

Thursday, June 7, 2018

NBA Draft 2018 Player Profile: Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton
At the exact time when it appears that the traditional, old-school NBA big man was on its way out of the game Deandre Ayton shows up. The former five-star recruit ended up at Arizona, where he put together a masterful '17-'18 under head coach Sean Miller, posting averages of 20.1 PPG, 11.6 RPG and 1.9 BPG. There were times when Ayton looked like a man against boys in the collegiate ranks, and it looks like a near lock at this point he will be Phoenix's No. 1 pick come late June. Is the powerful center really worth the top overall selection in a strong Draft? Will he really be a right fit in the modern NBA? Diving deep into his game indicates just how special he could be, and cements his status as a "generational" talent.

Quick Facts
Deandre Ayton
From: San Diego, California
Height: 7'0"
Age: 20
Team: Arizona Wildcats

Strengths
The way that Deandre Ayton operates on the low block is truly reminiscent of some classic, legendary NBA bigs. He has power, soft touch around the rim and plays with an incredible passion and stamina. Standing at seven foot tall, with arms that are built like tree trunks, he overpowered so many opponents in his time in high school and college. He isn't going to be able to do that at the next level, but his versatile game should still hold up. Ayton is a beast on the glass, offensively and defensively. He is great at reading the ball and positioning himself correctly, and is able to finish when he does snatch up offensive boards. He is such a monster around the rim, just look at this dunk against Oregon earlier this year, in which he is able to control the ball and finish over multiple defenders. If he can become a little bit more polished in the low post, and develop a wider set of moves, you see the immense potential that is there. Ayton is also a very good shooter, although he isn't going to be considered a stretch five in the Association. He attempted just 35 three-pointers in his lone season with Arizona, and hit at 34%, a very respectable rate. However, his real strength is in the mid range, where he has a well-built jumper and can create his own shot. You can imagine how good he could be with an even better jumper, where he could be next to unstoppable. Defensively, Ayton isn't going to be an elite-level rim protector, but he can still be an impact defender. He swatted two shots per game while with Arizona, and he has incredibly long arms, allowing him to cover an insane amount of space.

Weaknesses
The big question I have about Ayton is whether he can do what he did against college competition in the NBA. It is one thing to dominate meager Pac-12 competition, and it is completely different to go up against the elite big men in the Association, from Anthony Davis to Karl-Anthony Towns and Demarcus Cousins. The next level will be significantly faster, stronger and well-rounded, which will be obviously a huge adjustment for Ayton. With that being said, rookies join the league every year and are able to adjust, and Ayton already looks like an NBA veteran. I'd also like to see Ayton get better at the finer parts of his game, such as free throw shooting and setting good, strong screens. He shot 73 percent from the stripe with Arizona, and has the potential to get even better. He could become a real threat as the big on pick-and-roll plays, with how massive he already is. If he can get better at opening up teammates and become a threat as a jump shooter off the roll, he becomes terrifying to stop.

My Take
I hate to overreact and get hyperbolic with 20-year-olds who have played against college competition for a couple months, but I think Deandre Ayton is going to be special. Watching him this past season, he looked like an NBA big, and his numbers speak for themselves. I think he is the best NBA Draft big to come out since Anthony Davis in 2012, but there are still questions to answer. Can he grow his offensive game, and become a shooter? Can he get even better defensively and read NBA offenses? If he does, he evolves into a big man like KAT, instead of going the other route, like a Jahlil Okafor.

Where He'll Go
Ayton has been primed to go near the top of this Draft for the entire season, and has only impressed scouts throughout his time with the Wildcats and in workouts. I'm a fan of Luka Doncic and I have also been a huge advocate for Marvin Bagley, but I don't think either of those guys are at Ayton's level. He has the chance to be something incredibly special, and he should be the No. 1 selection in this Draft. All the rumors we are hearing is that the Suns think the same, and they'll stay within the state to land the dynamic center.