Friday, November 29, 2019

College Football Picks 2019: Week Fourteen

Current Picks Record: 74-30 (6-8 Upset)
(#12) Wisconsin Badgers @ (#8) Minnesota Golden Gophers
Rashod Bateman & Tyler Johnson, Minnesota
The Big Ten West all comes down to this, as Minnesota hopes to keep Paul Bunyan's Axe in Minneapolis in College GameDay's first ever visit to campus. An explosive aerial attack has been crucial to the surprising campaign for the Gophers, with QB Tanner Morgan getting better each week. He was beat up following the Iowa game, but looked fine this past weekend. He has a formidable 1-2 punch to work with at receiver in Tyler Johnson & Rashod Bateman, who pose a difficult challenge for a solid Badger secondary. Bateman in particular has played his best football in the biggest moments, while Johnson will hope to conclude his Minnesota career on a high note. With that being said, it was actually Minnesota's ground game that fueled their upset of Wisconsin last fall. A heavy dose of Rodney Smith & Shannon Brooks, also playing their final home game with the Gophers, should be expected. It won't be easy getting anything against this Wisconsin rush defense, which remains top-notch, led by a deep and experienced linebacker corps. The Minnesota offensive line is going to have to have a good game, as they've struggled to remain consistent throughout 2019. On the other side of the ball, the Gopher defense faces an obvious challenge against Jonathan Taylor. They did a good job containing Taylor in this matchup a season ago, but the rush defense has been inconsistent. A healthy Kamal Martin, who has dealt with various injuries throughout the second half of the year, will be vital for Minnesota. Even if Taylor is able to get this offense going, Jack Coan is going to have to make some big throws. Coan has been rock-solid all season long, but this is a tough Gopher secondary to throw against. Antoine Winfield Jr. in particular is a real ball-hawk who was instrumental in the Penn State upset. Wisconsin will do all they can to attack the defense in other ways, so guys like Coney Durr and Jordan Howden are going to have to step up. It will be fascinating to see how the Badgers try to open things up; they've used jet sweeps and other gadget plays this season more frequently than in year's past. A.J. Taylor in particular is a guy they like to use in a variety of different ways, along with Aaron Cruickshank. They did have some issues with turnovers doing so last weekend against Purdue, which can't happen against a Gopher team that knows how to capitalize off them. All in all, this is an extremely difficult game for me to pick. As a long-time Gopher fan, I may be biased, but this is an undoubtedly a strong Badger team that also wants revenge for last year's loss. I lean Minnesota only because of the home field advantage, but the rush defense has to show up if they want to take home the victory.
The Pick: Minnesota, 27 Wisconsin, 24

(#1) Ohio State Buckeyes @ (#13) Michigan Wolverines
Michigan's Playoff hopes have been extinguished for weeks now, but the Wolverines still play the role of spoiler in this year's edition of "The Game." This Michigan team is playing their best football of the season after the slow start to 2019. An offense that really struggled to get things going is trending up at the right time. Quarterback Shea Patterson especially is playing with a lot more confidence and comfortability. It has also helped that the Wolverine ground game has been humming along, as well as the emergence of wide outs Nico Collins and Ronnie Bell. That offense will be have to execute for the entire sixty minutes, because this Buckeyes team isn't slowing down either. Both sides of the ball are dominating, including a defense that was question mark for a big chunk of 2018. Not only is Chase Young the most dominant defender in the sport, Ohio State also features a physical, well-rounded secondary. Jeffrey Okudah, a finalist for the Jim Thorpe Award, has been crucial in a couple of OSU's big wins, and he'll be tasked with taking on Bell in this one. On offense, Justin Fields and J.K. Dobbins are an imposing duo in this backfield. Fields is a tall task for any defense he plays as a dual threat with a huge arm that simply doesn't turn the ball over. He hasn't seen a defense that is quite as aggressive as Michigan yet this year, so it will be interesting to see how he handles the pass rush. The matchup between Dobbins and the Wolverine rush defense is also going to be well worth a watch. After their rough start to the season, Michigan has found a way to slow down opposing rushing attacks, but Dobbins is a different breed. If that isn't enough, Ohio State can also hit you with their playmakers on the outside, namely K.J. Hill and Chris Olave. Stopping all these offensive weapons hasn't been accomplished by any team yet this season. However, UM has been preparing all season long for this offense, and I'm sure Jim Harbaugh and Don Brown will have them hungry and ready to go. The momentum the Wolverines are playing with this should make this is a competitive game, and at some point Harbaugh is going to find a way to down the Buckeyes. But, I just don't think this is the year. This Ohio State team is just playing too good of football, and they should still be able to get the job done in Ann Arbor.
The Pick: Ohio State, 34 Michigan, 24

(#5) Alabama Crimson Tide @ (#15) Auburn Tigers
Much like Michigan, Auburn has a chance to ruin their rival's season this Saturday, as a win would certainly knock Alabama out of the Playoff conversation. The Tigers still remain an extremely streaky team, but there is no denying their talent. On offense, true freshman quarterback Bo Nix continues to mature, while the ground attack is still finding their groove. "Boobie" Whitlow and D.J. Williams have had their moments, but they will have to really be running hard to get this Auburn offense rolling. The good news is that this Alabama rush defense is the weakest they have had in recent memory, with a load of injuries throughout the front seven. On the outside, the Tide also have to find a way to contain budding star Seth Williams, along with speed demon Anthony Schwartz. This is a good Alabama secondary, headlined by Trevon Diggs and Patrick Surtain Jr., but it was also the group that was shredded by Joe Burrow & LSU. Bo Nix is no Burrow, but he still has shown he can move the ball down the field when he gets adequate protection. The real strength for Auburn, however, is not their offense but their defense, a real change-of-pace for them under Gus Malzahn. The defensive line in particular is among the best in the entire nation, including future NFL contributors Derrick Brown, Nick Coe and Marlon Davidson. This pass rush presents a real challenge for Alabama backup Mac Jones, who has thrust into the starting role at QB after Tua Tagovailoa's injury. Jones has done an admirable job replacing the superstar signal-caller, and it helps that he is surrounded by NFL-caliber talent at wide out. Despite the fact that he was robbed off being a Biletnikoff Award finalist, DeVonta Smith will open up the offense on the perimeter, while tailback Najee Harris grinds up the middle. Beyond the D-Line, the defense has had its moments, but there is a lot of speed and explosiveness to contain. Coordinator Kevin Steele is well-respected in the league, but he will need his defense to tackle in space and force mistakes. I'm really intrigued to see what they can bring to the table beyond an elite pass rush. Taking a backup into the Iron Bowl on the Plains is going to be daunting for any program, but this is Alabama, and they'll perform. If the rest of the offense is up for it, the Tide should still find a way to put up enough points. That should be enough, unless Nix suddenly takes a turn.
The Pick: Alabama, 35 Auburn, 30

Other Picks
Texas A&M @ (#2) LSU: LSU, 42 Texas A&M, 28
(#7) Oklahoma @ (#21) Oklahoma State: Oklahoma, 41 Oklahoma State, 36
(#3) Clemson @ South Carolina: Clemson, 38 South Carolina, 17
Oregon State @ (#14) Oregon: Oregon, 33 Oregon State, 28
Upset: Kansas State, 27 Iowa State, 21

Wednesday, November 27, 2019

College Football Bowl Projections 2019

Zack Moss, Utah
College Football Playoff Bowls

Peach Bowl: (1) LSU Tigers vs. (4) Utah Utes 
Notes: The field to select from for the final Playoff spot will most likely come down to a battle between a one-loss Big 12 Champion Oklahoma, one-loss Pac-12 Champion Utah Utes, and a one-loss Alabama. I think there is a chance the Committee talks themselves into Alabama at four, but Utah makes the most sense to me. They're playing the best football of the trio, and their lone loss to USC doesn't look terrible in retrospect.
Fiesta Bowl: (2) Ohio State Buckeyes vs. (3) Clemson Tigers
Notes: Ohio State has a chance to overtake LSU for the No. 1 spot, depending on how they finish up against Michigan and then the Big Ten Championship. However, the most likely scenario is they end up taking on Clemson in the semifinal, a team that blanked them in their last Playoff berth.

Remaining New Year's Six Bowls

Sugar Bowl: Georgia Bulldogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Notes: A loss in the 2017-18 Playoff to Georgia should serve as motivation for Oklahoma if they don't earn a Playoff bid. Jalen Hurts will get a chance to come away victorious once more against the Bulldogs.

Rose Bowl: Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Oregon Ducks
A shocking loss to Arizona State this past weekend ended Oregon's Playoff hopes, but they would still settle for the Rose Bowl in Mario Cristobal's second year in Eugene. This would be the second Rose for Penn State in four seasons, and fourth straight New Year's Six.

Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Notes: After a lethargic 2-2 start to 2019, Virginia Tech has been playing great football down the stretch, and looks like they could take the ACC Coastal. It won't be easy going up against Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide, who needs to absolutely smash Auburn in the Iron Bowl to have any shot at the Playoff.

Cotton Bowl: Memphis Tigers vs. Baylor Bears
Notes: Memphis earns the NY6 bid given to the one Group of Five team, but they'll likely have to beat a one-loss Cincinnati in the AAC Championship to do so. Baylor has a chance for vengeance against Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship, but it's more likely they enter the postseason 11-2.

The Rest

Bahamas Bowl: Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Notes:After two bowls in their history prior to 2016, Eastern Michigan has a chance at their third in the Chris Creighton era. Western Kentucky has had a resurgent 2019 in Tyson Helton's first season, likely to end the year 8-4.

Frisco Bowl: SMU Mustangs vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
Notes: A loss this Saturday to Navy likely knocks SMU down a few pegs into the Frisco Bowl, where they'll meet a C-USA squad. Sonny Dykes' team still has a chance at double-digit victories, which would be a notable success in Year Two.

New Mexico Bowl: Charlotte 49ers vs. San Diego State Aztecs
Notes: Charlotte is bowl eligible for the first time in their history, going 6-5 so far this year. They'll likely face a quality Mountain West team, with San Diego State a good chance.

Cure Bowl: Temple Owls vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
Notes: An AAC-Sun Belt matchup here, with both teams sitting at 7-4 at the moment.

Boca Raton Bowl: Western Michigan Broncos vs. Tulane Green Wave
Notes: The slight favorite in the MAC West right now, it will be fascinating to see where they end up playing this postseason. Tulane is trending down, but still retains bowl eligibility.

Camellia Bowl: Buffalo Bulls vs. Georgia State Panthers
Notes: Georgia State already made waves by shocking Tennessee to begin 2019, and they've followed it up with a 7-4 record, earning them a chance to meet a MAC foe here.

Las Vegas Bowl: Boise State Broncos vs. Washington State Cougars
Notes: Boise still has a chance at a New Year's Six bowl if some losses happen in front of them, but the more likely outcome is a Las Vegas Bowl. It has been an up-and-down 2019 for Wazzu but at 6-5, they're bowl bound.

New Orleans Bowl: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Notes: Even at 10-1 and equipped with two Power Five victories (UNC, South Carolina), Appalachian State's ceiling is a relatively unimportant bowl. Louisiana Tech could still be an interesting matchup as one of the best in the C-USA.

Gasparilla Bowl: UCF Knights vs. Florida Atlantic Owls
Notes: Two of the top Group of Five programs in the country collide here, as UCF's three losses means no New Year's Six this year. Could this be Lane Kiffin's final game with FAU? He will be rumored for a variety of jobs this coaching carousel.

Hawaii Bowl: BYU Cougars vs. Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Notes: BYU has already accepted their invitation to travel to Hawaii to take part in this one, likely to face off with the local host Rainbow Warriors, who own two Power Five wins (Oregon State, Arizona).

Independence Bowl: Florida State Seminoles vs. Liberty Flames
Notes: In just their first season as an official FBS program, Liberty is 6-5 and continues to make strides under controversial head coach Hugh Freeze. They could continue to add to their momentum against an FSU squad playing hard under interim head coach Odell Haggins.

Quick Lane Bowl: UNC Tar Heels vs. Michigan State Spartans
Notes: After taking over a Tar Heel team that was 2-9 in 2018, Mack Brown has UNC one win away from a bowl berth. They'll be favored against a Michigan State team that needs to beat Maryland this weekend to get to 6-6.

Pinstripe Bowl: Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Notes: Dave Clawson continues to work his magic at Wake Forest, as he has the Demon Deacons set to appear in their fourth straight bowl game. They'll face a Big Ten opponent, possibly Lovie Smith's Fighting Illini.

Military Bowl: Florida International Panthers vs. Navy Midshipmen
Notes: Navy still has a chance to take the AAC West if Memphis were to lose this weekend to Cincinnati. If not, they'll settle for a Military Bowl matchup, which could pit them up against a FIU team who just beat Miami.

Texas Bowl: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Notes: A brutal schedule means A&M will likely finish the 2019 regular season 7-5. However, a victory over their former Big 12 foe could earn them plenty of momentum heading into 2020 and beyond.

Holiday Bowl: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
Notes: Arizona State's stunner of Oregon this Saturday ended a four-game skid, and likely bought them a berth in the Holiday Bowl. Led by freshman QB Jayden Daniels, they could end the season on fire.

Cheez-It Bowl: Kansas State Wildcats vs. Wyoming Cowboys
Notes: Although normally reserved for a Big 12-Pac 12 matchup, Wyoming gains a spot as a replacement here. If this were to happen, it would be a duel between two former NDSU coaches, Chris Klieman at K-State and Craig Bohl at Wyoming.

Camping World Bowl: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Texas Longhorns
Notes: Two storied programs land in a December 28th bowl. Disappointing for both teams, but Texas could still end their year with a win this upcoming weekend against Texas Tech.

First Responder Bowl: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Notes: TCU will need to beat West Virginia to earn bowl eligibility this season, which would be a major success considering the adversity they've faced at the quarterback position.

Music City Bowl: Louisville Cardinals vs. UAB Blazers
Notes: Louisville has really looked good in head coach Scott Satterfield's first season, but it would be interesting to see who they would play. Usually this spot would be go to an SEC team, but a replacement may be chosen, such as UAB.

Redbox Bowl: Indiana Hoosiers vs. California Golden Bears
Notes: Even though they were unable top either Penn State or Michigan the last two weeks, Indiana has been a good story in 2019. Cal's offensive struggles have hindered them over the second half of the year, but their defense still makes them a tough out.

Belk Bowl: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
Notes: A loss to Virginia Tech last Saturday ended Pittsburgh's ACC Coastal hopes, but they should still find their way into a favorable bowl. Mississippi State will have to win their annual meeting with Ole Miss to make the postseason.

Sun Bowl: Washington Huskies vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Notes: Virginia could still play their way into a New Year's Six, but I think the history against V. Tech drops them to the Sun Bowl. Washington has struggled to find consistency on both sides of the ball, but they still have loads of talent.

Liberty Bowl: Ohio Bobcats vs. Kentucky Wildcats
Notes: Even playing a converted wide out at quarterback, Kentucky will return to bowl season for the third straight season. The Liberty Bowl seems around their range, and they have a range of possibilities for opponents.

Arizona Bowl: Nevada Wolfpack vs. Georgia Southern Eagles
Notes: Georgia Southern owns a signature win (Appalachian State), and they went toe-to-toe with Minnesota earlier on the year. They'll be a tough battle for a streaky Nevada squad.

Alamo Bowl: USC Trojans vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Notes: A nice end to the season looks like it will earn USC a quality bowl berth. They still have a chance to play in the Pac-12 Championship Game if Utah were to lose this upcoming weekend against Colorado.

Outback Bowl: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Auburn Tigers
Notes: Minnesota still has the Big Ten West and an outside shot at the Playoff to play for, while Auburn's role this rivalry week is more of a spoiler, as they square off against Alabama.

Citrus Bowl: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Florida Gators
Notes: Two elite defenses would collide if this projection held. Wisconsin still has a chance to play their way into a Big Ten Championship Game but already left with two losses, a Playoff appearance is pretty much out of the question.

Birmingham Bowl: Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Miami Hurricanes
Notes: Cincinnati could play Memphis in consecutive weeks, which will essentially decide if they're able to make a New Year's Six Bowl. Depending on what happens, landing in the Birmingham Bowl is likely, against a replacement team.

Gator Bowl: Michigan Wolverines vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Notes: After a disastrous start to 2019 that included losses to Georgia State and BYU, Tennessee is trending up, with a good shot to finish the regular season 7-5. On the other side, Michigan's season could change if they stun Ohio State, but that's unlikely.

Idaho Potato Bowl: Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Utah State Aggies
Notes: Gary Andersen has put together a solid debut in his return to Utah State, and they'll meet a MAC team in the Idaho Potato Bowl. Sitting at 7-4, it could certainly be the Chippewas of Central Michigan.

Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force Falcons vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Notes: Nebraska is yet another team that would need to win their season finale to earn a spot in the postseason. They'd get Air Force, who would be a really tough matchup for their defense.

Mobile Bowl: Miami (Ohio) Redhawks vs. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Notes: Miami (Ohio) will represent the East Division in the MAC Championship, before playing in likely either the Idaho Potato Bowl or the Mobile Bowl. Louisiana is also likely a conference championship participant, as they should win the Sun Belt West.




Friday, November 22, 2019

College Football Picks 2019: Week Thirteen

K.J. Hamler, Penn State
Current Picks Record: 68-28 (6-7 Upset)
(#8) Penn State Nittany Lions @ (#2) Ohio State Buckeyes
The last three seasons, Ohio State-Penn State have given us some of the most exciting games of the college football season, and games that have essentially decided the Big Ten East. That should be the case once again this Saturday, as the winner will assert themselves as the favorite in the division, and in turn, the conference. The Buckeyes are the clear favorite, playing terrific football on both sides of the ball, well Penn State has been up-and-down the last few weeks. Containing Ohio State's explosive offense will be a stiff challenge for the Nittany Lions. Justin Fields remains a serious Heisman candidate, playing extremely confident behind center and boasting a 31-1 TD-INT ratio. He is joined in the backfield by Doak Walker Award candidate J.K. Dobbins, who has responded to a disappointing sophomore season by rushing for 1,289 yards so far in 2019. Ohio State is really good at finding ways to get both of their top weapons comfortable and confident, and Fields has a ton on the outside to work with. Receivers Chris Olave, K.J. Hill and Binjimen Victor are a load to handle for any defense, but especially for a Penn State secondary that has really struggled as of late. If Penn State has any chance of keeping OSU in check, it will have to start with a pass rush that has seemingly disappeared. Yetur Gross-Matos, Shaka Toney and Robert Windsor have to find a way to create chaos, which simply hasn't happened against Minnesota & Indiana. On offense, Penn State has loads of talent, but they've been incredibly streaky. Quarterback Sean Clifford has had his moments, but he can't turn the ball over if the Nittany Lions want to pull the upset. It would also help if PSU receivers could hold on to the ball, as they've struggled with drops all season. The rushing attack has been handled by a committee this season for Penn State, although Journey Brown and Noah Cain have separated themselves from the group. James Franklin is hopeful Cain can go in this one, after missing the last few games. He is the guy this offense likes to lean on when they're struggling to get things going. K.J. Hamler is also going to get opportunities to open things up, and he was dominant against the Buckeyes last fall. He is the top priority for this Ohio State defense. Another important thing to watch: Chase Young. The most dominant defender in college football is back from his suspension and should be extra motivated. He basically won this one for the Buckeyes in 2018 with a huge tackle for loss, and the PSU O-Line has to be ready. Penn State is a good football team, and I think they have enough on offense to keep things interesting. With that being said, the Buckeyes are the most well-rounded team in college football, and they get the Nittany Lions at home. They shouldn't have much difficulty pulling away here.
The Pick: Ohio State, 38 Penn State, 27

(#13) Michigan Wolverines @ Indiana Hoosiers
Even though this season has been somewhat of a disappointment in Ann Arbor, the Wolverines enter the final two weeks of the season poised as a spoiler. A win this weekend in Bloomington could provide them with the momentum they need to take down Ohio State at home next weekend. The thing is, this Indiana team is the best they've had in some time, and they aren't going to be a pushover. The Hoosier offense is actually extremely underrated, with a lot of ways to move the ball. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. has been a revelation in 2019, but an injury to his shoulder forces Indiana to turn to veteran Peyton Ramsey. Ramsey is a solid quarterback and a dual threat that could give this Michigan defense some issues. He is aided by tailback Stevie Scott, as well as wide out Whop Philyor. Philyor is working with his way through the concussion protocol, but if he is healthy, the Hoosiers have a real weapon that can hurt defenses in a variety of ways. Head coach Tom Allen is also well known for trying creative things to engineer yards, so the Wolverine defense will have to be properly prepared. The good news for UM is that their defense has been playing wonderful after a slow start to the season, particularly their secondary. Their offense also has been playing with more confidence, finally starting to gel under new offensive coordinator Josh Gattis. Quarterback Shea Patterson in particular is really starting to get things going. He is coming off a 384-yard, 4 touchdown performance against a really good Michigan State defense, and he'll have chances against the Hoosiers. Ronnie Bell and Nico Collins have emerged as elite playmakers on the perimeter, while the ground game has a variety of options to pound the ball with. It will be interesting to see whether it is Zach Charbonnet, Hassan Haskins or Tru Wilson getting the bulk of the carries. I also think that special teams is going to be a more important component of this matchup than most realize. Michigan has had issues with kicking in the past, which can't happen here if they want to avoid a possible upset. The Wolverines have escaped Bloomington with close victories in the past, but it seems like Indiana is due a win at some point. I think it should be a close game, but the absence of Penix for the Hoosiers swings this in UM's favor.
The Pick: Michigan, 28 Indiana, 24

Texas Longhorns @ (#14) Baylor Bears
Their undefeated season may be over following last Saturday's comeback loss to Oklahoma, but Baylor still remains a Playoff candidate if they can run the table. On the other side, Texas has experienced a frustrating 2019 campaign, but could still work their way into a favorable bowl if they win their final two. Baylor is hopeful their first half offense from last weekend can carry over into this one. QB Charlie Brewer has had his moments, but he must play with confidence. The Longhorn secondary is talented, but injuries and inexperience have really plagued them. It will be a tall task stopping Brewer and the rest of the Baylor pass offense. Wide out Denzel Mims has five touchdowns in his last three games, but is probable for this one. If he does play, Baylor gets a real matchup nightmare who the Longhorns will struggle to match up against. The real key for Baylor is going to be figuring out a defense that was so good in the first half against Oklahoma, then completely collapsed. The pass rush has some really good pieces, namely James Lynch and James Lockhart, but they really lost their energy down the stretch. If they can keep things up for the entire sixty minutes and the defense can force turnovers, the Bears are going to be in a good spot. Sam Ehlinger presents a real challenge for Baylor after what Jalen Hurts did to them last weekend. Although the rest of his offense has struggled through injuries, Ehlinger has 32 total touchdowns on the year. He's a much harder runner than Hurts as well, which is going to force Baylor to tackle well in space. I think this game could turn into a shootout with the weapons both teams can throw at you, and the way these types of November Big 12 games can turn out. I lean Baylor because of the home crowd factor, but this Texas team is probably better than a 6-4 team. I think they could end the season playing really strong football.
The Pick: Baylor, 35 Texas, 31

Other Picks
UCLA @ (#23) USC: USC, 34 UCLA, 24
(#6) Oregon @ Arizona State: Oregon, 30 Arizona State, 20
Arkansas @ (#1) LSU: LSU, 52 Arkansas, 21
Texas A&M @ (#4) Georgia: Georgia, 35 Texas A&M, 17
Upset: Utah State, 28 Boise State, 24



Friday, November 15, 2019

College Football Picks 2019: Week Twelve

Current Picks Record: 62-26 (6-6 Upset)
(#10) Oklahoma Sooners @ (#13) Baylor Bears
Kennedy Brooks, Oklahoma
The Big 12 race takes center stage as undefeated Baylor looks to stay perfect against Oklahoma, who remains on the outside looking in for the Playoff. The Bears' resurgent 2019 campaign has been based on a stellar defense and methodical, balanced offense. However, that offense appears to be trending down, with two straight off weeks against West Virginia & TCU. Junior QB Charlie Brewer has been solid in both games, but he needs others to step up around him. The good news for Baylor is they face an OU defense that is also struggling. After a strong start to the 2019 season under new coordinator Alex Grinch, the Sooners have allowed over 40 points their last two games. They have struggled to get any pressure on opposing quarterbacks, and a secondary that was playing very well hasn't looked good as of late. It will be interesting to see whether it turns into a shootout, which would play into Oklahoma's hands. Baylor does have one of the best defenses in the Big 12, but they recently lost No. 2 tackler Clay Johnston for the season, and the Sooners can hurt you in so many ways. Jalen Hurts remains a serious Heisman candidate, and he should be able to handle an aggressive Bears' pass rush. However, for the Oklahoma offense to really be humming, their ground game actually plays a much larger role than most realize. A trio of running backs lead the way in Kennedy Brooks, Rhamondre Stevenson and Trey Sermon. Brooks ran for nearly nine yards a carry in last weekend's win over Iowa State, but Stevenson and Sermon will need to provide a change of pace. If OU can really attack Baylor on the ground, they will open up things on the outside for their real speedsters, namely Biletnikoff candidate CeeDee Lamb. As the battle of the top two teams currently inside the Big 12, this is obviously a huge game for the league and a possible Championship Game preview. Even though both teams haven't been playing great as of very recently, I think both offenses should have a good night. It could come down to who is able to execute better and not turn the ball over. I trust Oklahoma slightly more in this regard, and I think they find a way to end Baylor's perfect season, even on the road.
The Pick: Oklahoma, 38 Baylor, 34

(#4) Georgia Bulldogs @ (#12) Auburn Tigers
After their win two weekends ago over Florida, Georgia now appears to be in control of the SEC East. They hope to avoid a slip-up on the Plains against Auburn, who plays an interesting spoiler role, with both UGA and Alabama still remaining on the schedule. Georgia's offense still lacks consistency, and now they have to find a way to put up points against a very stout Auburn D. It is hard to know what you are going to get each and every week from Jake Fromm. With that being said, Fromm has traditionally played better against his best opponents, and the receiver corps is really starting to emerge in Athens. Former Miami transfer Lawrence Cager in particular has really been crucial to this offense as of late, although he is probable in this one. It is hard to imagine any Auburn defensive back being able to contain the 6'5" matchup nightmare. Freshman George Pickens is coming off a two-touchdown showing against Missouri, and it will be fascinating to see how the Bulldogs plan to use him here. UGA will really need their offensive line to play well, as they face down a superb defensive line. They'll also be tasked with openings things up for D'Andre Swift as well. Utilizing the play-action pass will be pivotal in opening up routes for this offense, and give Fromm some huge windows to work with. On the other side of the ball, Georgia's defense continues to play terrific, as they've held Kentucky and Mizzou under 200 yards twice in the last three games. They've been especially elite in stopping the run, and a really strong linebacker corps is the reason. Guys like Monty Rice, Tae Crowder and Azeez Ojulari have been huge. Ojulari, who wasn't even very high up on the depth chart to begin 2019, is also important as a pass rusher. If the Bulldog rush defense continues their recent play, it is hard to imagine Auburn being able to move the ball. They really use the ground attack to set things up for freshman QB Bo Nix, and it is hard to see them getting anything easy here. I expect Gus Malzahn to try and be creative to open things up on the ground with different read options and sweep plays. Even so, Nix is going to have to make some big throws, which he has really struggled to do in important games, with the exception of the Oregon victory. A veteran UGA secondary will be very eager to try and force turnovers, even with one of their top corners, Tyson Campbell, nursing a toe injury. I still do like this Auburn offense a lot, but I just don't think they have enough to get things going against Georgia. If Fromm does again have another great showing in a big game, Georgia should win pretty comfortably, and continue to strengthen their Playoff resume.
The Pick: Georgia, 28 Auburn, 20

(#23) Navy Midshipmen @ (#16) Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Even though this Navy-Notre Dame rivalry game doesn't have any Playoff implications with the Irish essentially eliminated, it is still important for both teams. ND still has a chance for a New Year's Six bowl, as does Navy, as they sit at 7-1 and remain a genuine threat to be the Group of Five representative. Per usual, Navy is led by their triple-option offense, which has allowed them to average 358 yards rushing per game, and over 40 PPG. Quarterback Malcolm Perry is the main instrument in this offense, a tremendous athlete who knows how to make terrific reads. He really is a touchdown machine, with nine touchdowns in the last five games. The rest of the Midshipmen offense consists of fullbacks Nelson Smith & Jamale Carothers, as well as some under-the-radar receivers. Navy's triple-option is always going to be tough to stop, but this Irish defense should be well-equipped to contain them. They are really strong and experienced across their front seven, and defensive coordinator Clark Lea has done a fine job. I think they should do just enough to make things difficult for Navy. I still believe the Midshipmen are going to have to make some throws to really pull off this type of upset. Perry has been okay through the air, and sophomore Mychal Cooper is a big play threat, averaging nearly 27 yards per catch. Even with stud safety Alohi Gilman (who just happens to be a Navy transfer), I'm not sure how must I trust this ND secondary, even against a weak pass offense. However, far more questionable is the Notre Dame offense, which has been unbelievably inconsistent for much of the year. They looked pretty good this past Saturday against Duke, but really struggled against Michigan and Virginia Tech, combining for 35 points in total. Quarterback Ian Book is a steady veteran, but he has really had a tough time throwing downfield. He does have a superb wide out in Chase Claypool, but others are going to have to step up. That includes the running back situation, which simply hasn't been that great lately. Tony Jones Jr. had three straight games eclipsing 100 yards, but has totaled just 28 the last two weekends. Either he is going to have to get things going, or the Irish are going to have to try something different. The Midshipmen defense is consistently very strong, so I think a low-scoring affair should be in order. I like this Navy team a lot, and I think they have a real shot at taking down ND for just the second time since 2010. Yet, I think the Irish defense is going to have a good game, and going into South Bend and coming out victorious is a lot to ask. I'll stick with Notre Dame to come out in a close game without much points being added to the scoreboard.
The Pick: Notre Dame, 21 Navy, 17

Other Picks
(#8) Minnesota @ (#20) Iowa: Minnesota, 28 Iowa, 27
Indiana @ (#9) Penn State: Penn State, 34 Indiana, 28
Wake Forest @ (#3) Clemson: Clemson, 41 Wake Forest, 27
Arizona @ (#6) Oregon: Oregon, 31 Arizona, 21
Upset: Georgia State, 28 Appalachian State, 24

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

Post-Week 11 College Football Playoff Power Rankings

Joe Burrow, LSU
An important weekend of college football that featured two undefeated matchups helped further solve the CFB Playoff picture. Now over 11 weeks into the 2019 season, we have a clear list of contenders, and have eliminated most of the "pretenders". As we transition into the home stretch with less than a month of the regular season remaining, here is how I view the top contenders.

The Four
1 LSU Tigers
For the first time since 2011, LSU was able to down the Alabama Crimson Tide, coming out victorious 46-41 this Saturday. Not only did it give the Tigers a crucial win over a fierce rival, it earned them their fourth Top 10 win of the season, a resume nobody even comes close to. Now LSU gets three very winnable games before a likely SEC Championship Game duel with Georgia. With how many statement wins they already have under their belt, it isn't unreasonable to think the Tigers could still get a Playoff berth even with a loss there.

2 Ohio State Buckeyes
After a close win over Maryland in 2018, Ohio State didn't give them any chances this year, smashing them to the tune of 73-14. It was just the latest in a long line of resounding wins, but Ohio State's resume has actually taken some hits as of late that drop them to the No. 2 spot here. Michigan State was a quality win that has seemingly fallen off the map, and the Nebraska win keeps getting worse. The good news for the Buckeyes is that they still face Michigan & Penn State, both prime opportunities to bolster their resume and get the top Playoff spot.

3 Clemson Tigers
Even though they've lagged a little behind some of the other powers in the mix, Clemson still appears to be a near-lock to gain entry to their fifth straight Playoff. Following their one-point escape against UNC, the Tigers closest game has been a 35-point drubbing of Louisville. They will be heavily favored the rest of the way in the incredibly weak ACC, although it would have helped them if Wake Forest didn't lose this Saturday to Virginia Tech. The lack of quality competition inside the league hurts Clemson's likely seeding, but the Committee would still never leave out an undefeated reigning National Champion.

4 Oregon Ducks
The Pac-12 had a bad start to this college football season, but Oregon and Utah have both played their way back into the Playoff mix. Oregon especially is in a good spot, as their only loss was to Auburn, in a game where they outplayed the Tigers for a majority of the sixty minutes. The Ducks should be able to roll through their remaining regular season games (Arizona schools & Oregon State), but the Pac-12 Championship Game will be critical for their Playoff hopes. They have to hope Utah wins out and they are able to beat them convincingly.

First Four Out
5 Georgia Bulldogs
It may be easy to overlook a Georgia team that has lacked consistency for a big chunk of 2019, but the Bulldogs still remain a serious Playoff threat sitting in mid-November. They still own impressive victories over Florida and Notre Dame, with the opportunity to add to that list this weekend against Auburn. With one bad loss to South Carolina, the Bulldogs don't have a lot of room for error, as they will probably have to win out to gain entry back into the Playoff. In order to do that, the offense has to establish some consistency, although the top-notch defense keeps them in a good position.

6 Alabama Crimson Tide
Anytime Alabama loses, there is an immediate overreaction that the "Alabama dynasty is done" and "Saban has lost his touch". I don't think any of that is true, but I do think this Alabama team is in a bad spot when it comes to Playoff contention. Their best win is probably Texas A&M at this point, and the defense is a real concern, with injuries and inexperience everywhere. With that being said, the Tide are going to be in the hunt as long as Saban is on the sideline, and chaos in front of them could quickly move them back up.

7 Minnesota Golden Gophers
9-0 for the first time in over a century, Minnesota's resurgence has been one of the best stories of the 2019 season. Beating Penn State gave them a real signature win to point to, and they have opportunities to still add to that resume, as they still face Iowa & Wisconsin. Minnesota has a tradition of playing poor football against the Hawkeyes, so beating them this Saturday could really indicate this Gopher team is legit.

8 Baylor Bears
I put Baylor here at eight because its hard to ignore a 9-0 team that currently is the favorite in the Big 12 (especially with Oklahoma's recent problems), but the Bears certainly have some questions to answer. The offense has really struggled the past two weeks, needing a little bit of luck to overcome West Virginia and TCU in consecutive weeks, two teams that simply aren't very good this year. Playing Oklahoma this weekend will really tell us a lot about whether Baylor is legit, or has simply just capitalized from a breezy schedule. My guess is more of the latter, but getting the Sooners in Waco is a distinct advantage.

Just Missed the Cut
Utah Utes
Oklahoma Sooners
Penn State Nittany Lions
Florida Gators
Auburn Tigers
Michigan Wolverines
Wisconsin Badgers

Friday, November 8, 2019

College Football Picks 2019: Week Eleven

Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama
Current Picks Record: 56-24 (5-6 Upset)
(#2) LSU Tigers @ (#3) Alabama Crimson Tide
LSU's new-look offense and Heisman frontrunner Joe Burrow face their toughest test of the 2019 season: an Alabama team that they haven't beat since 2011. Its a tall task for the Tigers, but this is not your typical LSU team. Burrow leads an explosive offense that can hit you with speed on the perimeter, and yet still pound the ball behind tailback Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Wide outs Justin Jefferson and Ja'Marr Chase really open things up on the outside, and they have an interesting matchup with this Alabama secondary. That secondary currently ranks 12th nationally in passing yards allowed, headlined by future NFL contributors such as Patrick Surtain and Xavier McKinney. Another interesting battle will be in the trenches, which is always ultra-important in these kinds of SEC slugfests. The Tiger offensive line is rock-solid, but I expect the Tide to hit with a lot of different looks and blitzes. Linebackers Anfernee Jennings and Terrell Lewis really know how to get after the opposing QB, combining for ten sacks on the season. Burrow has looked poised and in control all season, but will he be the same after taking a few shots from these hungry 'Bama linebackers? It could determine his Heisman candidacy. The Alabama offense has some question marks as they enter this one. Star signal-caller Tua Tagovailoa suffered an ankle injury in the Tennessee win, and has had two weeks to try and get it right. According to most sources, Tua is expected to play, but it isn't unreasonable to think he might be a little bit limited. Fellow offensive weapons Najee Harris and DeVonta Smith also enter this game with injury concerns, but both are listed as probable. Harris will be especially huge as the real fuel in this Tide ground attack. His powerful running really opens up things downfield for 'Bama, as well as the play-action game. The Crimson Tide are also going to feature a collection of other playmakers to throw at the Tigers, namely Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs III and Jaylen Waddle. Much like LSU, they'll go up against possibly the toughest secondary they've seen on the season. The return of Grant Delpit will be huge for the Tigers, as one of the best defenders in the entire country has been beat up. He'll join up with freshman Derek Stingley Jr. and Kristian Fulton to form a ball-hawking back-end ready to get their vengeance after a weak showing against Tua last fall. It is still important to note LSU is still missing an important piece to this defense, as linebacker Michael Divinity recently announced he was taking a leave of absence from this team. A skilled tackler who really cleaned up opposing running games, Divinity might be a more important loss than most realize. Another important thing to watch is going to be special teams play. Missed field goals and field position has decided games in this rivalry before and with both teams so evenly matched on paper, it could again in 2019. I've gone back and forth on who I think will come out on top Saturday afternoon. I think that this LSU team is legit, and this could certainly be the year they are finally able to overcome Alabama. However, recent history remains on the 'Bama side, and playing in Tuscaloosca keeps them a distinct advantage.
The Pick: Alabama, 37 LSU, 34

(#4) Penn State @ (#17) Minnesota Golden Gophers
I'll admit some personal bias, as a Minnesota Gopher fan my entire life, I'm cheering for them to get what will be their biggest win in my lifetime. With that being said, I'd be silly not to recognize the team coming to Minneapolis, a Penn State team that looks like a full-fledged Playoff contender. The Nittany Lions are led by a stingy defense that knows how to get after the quarterback. A D-Line comprised of Yetur Gross-Matos, Shaka Toney and Robert Windsor will go up against a Minnesota offensive line that is talented, but wildly inconsistent. Are the Gophers going to be able to carve out any space running the football either? The Gopher offense all season has leaned on the inside zone to get them moving, but not only does PSU feature a good D-Line, they have loads of talent at linebacker as well. It is hard to imagine Minnesota being able to move the ball very effectively if they can't get their ground game going behind veteran Rodney Smith. Now, it is important to realize that Minnesota QB Tanner Morgan has been playing really good football. He has put together the best season for a Gopher QB in some time, tossing for 1,761 yards and 18 touchdowns, with just four interceptions. It has helped that he has two star playmakers on the outside, in senior Tyler Johnson and sophomore Rashod Bateman. Bateman in particular has had a breakthrough season, and going up against a good, but far from great, Nittany Lion secondary he could have a real coming-out party. Morgan is still going to have to take care of the football, because this is a Penn State team that knows how to force turnovers and convert them into points. On the other side of the ball, PSU can attack in a lot of different ways. They have a deep stable of running backs, namely freshman Noah Cain, and a 1-2 punch at wide out with K.J. Hamler and Jahan Dotson. Leading the way is quarterback Sean Clifford, who seems to be getting better each and every week. This Gopher defense doesn't get much national attention, but the secondary is Top 10 nationally. It helps that they've faced weak pass offenses, so it will be fascinating to see how they handle things. The Gopher rush defense is also going to have to step up, especially with stud linebacker Kamal Martin still likely out with a knee injury. This is an obvious golden opportunity for Minnesota to prove the detractors wrong with a huge win in front of their home fans. I think the Gophers manage to do just enough offensively to keep things competitive, but in the end, Penn State just has too much.
The Pick: Penn State, 30 Minnesota, 23

(#18) Iowa Hawkeyes @ (#13) Wisconsin Badgers
While Minnesota still leads the Big Ten West, Wisconsin and Iowa battle it out over the weekend to take control of second place in the division. Both teams feature dominant defenses and physical offensive lines, but whoever is able to make plays will come out victorious. Wisconsin has a clear advantage in this department, with a superstar in Jonathan Taylor, who has done serious damage against Iowa in his career. Even going up against a quality Iowa rush defense, Taylor will have holes to work with and should make things happen. The Badgers also have a QB who is far from perfect, but has still proven he can open up this offense when needed. Jack Coan showed what he could do against good defenses in wins over Michigan and Michigan State. The real strength of this Wisconsin team remains on the other side of the ball, where they feature an experienced, well-run unit. They are especially strong at linebacker, where Zack Baun, Jack Sanborn and Chris Orr clean up opposing offenses. Iowa does feature a nice three-person committee at running back, but they're still going to have a tough time running against the linebacker group. At quarterback, Nate Stanley is a proven winner in the Big Ten, but he is going to have to make some difficult throws. Stanley also has struggled to make plays against quality defenses, including rough times against both Michigan and Penn State. He had three interceptions against that Wolverine defense, and the Badger secondary is similar in a number of ways. Stanley is going to need some help from an Iowa receiver corps that has talent, but won't get anything easy here. With the way they've struggled against good defenses, it's hard to see Iowa really having much success here. Going into Madison and coming out with a win seems unlikely for the Hawkeyes.
The Pick: Wisconsin, 24 Iowa, 16

Other Picks
(#5) Clemson @ NC State: Clemson, 40 NC State, 20
(#15) Notre Dame @ Duke: Notre Dame, 27 Duke, 17
(#12) Baylor @ TCU: Baylor, 35 TCU, 31
Vanderbilt @ (#10) Florida: Florida, 33 Vanderbilt, 14
Upset: Texas, 38 Kansas State, 34

Thursday, November 7, 2019

Coaching Carousel 2019: Who Should Replace Head Coaches on the Hot Seat?

Chad Morris, Arkansas
While Chris Ash's dismissal at Rutgers officially started the 2019 coaching carousel, the firing this weekend of Willie Taggart really got it spinning. Taggart, who was let go after less than two seasons, shows how difficult leading a program is in modern college football, especially at a place like Florida State. Taggart will not be the last head coach to be removed as the 2019 season begins to wind down. Which positions are going to be available, and which direction will these programs go next?

Rutgers: Chris Ash (fired) Interim: Nunzio Campanile
The Scarlet Knights finally decided it was time to move on from Chris Ash, whose best record in Piscataway was a 4-8 2017. Interim coach Nunzio Campanile probably won't be brought back, so Rutgers should be starting anew with this hire. This is a tough job to sell, as whoever takes over will have to play Michigan, Ohio State and Penn State every year. It is also in a relatively weak recruiting area, especially compared to other Big Ten schools. For that reason, I think a former head coach, Greg Schiano, would make a lot of sense.
Projected Replacement: Greg Schiano (former Rutgers HC, former Ohio State DC)
Schiano is currently unemployed, but he won 67 games with Rutgers from 2001-2011, including a memorable 2006 campaign when they took down No. 3 Louisville. Schiano would probably jump at a chance to run back the "glory days", and the Scarlet Knights might not be able to afford anyone significantly better.
Other Possibility: Butch Jones (former Tennessee HC, Alabama offensive analyst)
Rutgers interviewed Butch Jones for the position this week, and he could make sense. Even though his Tennessee tenure ultimately ended in disappointment, Jones still won big at both Central Michigan and Cincinnati. He would definitely be able to recruit, something that cannot be said for the former staff.
Others: Joe Moorhead (Mississippi State HC), Lance Leipold (Buffalo HC), Major Applewhite (former Houston HC)

Florida State: Willie Taggart (fired) Interim: Odell Haggins
I thought Florida State would still give Taggart a third year despite a frustrating season. However, a bad loss to rival Miami was the final nail in the coffin, ending the Taggart era after just 21 games. Florida State boosters will have to pay a massive buyout, but that won't stop them from trying to attract some huge names to take over. Any new coach would enter with tough expectations, but a great recruiting area and some talent already in place.
Projected Replacement: Jeff Scott (Clemson co-OC)
Dabo Swinney has done a fine job keeping his coaching staff intact despite Clemson's success, but at some point the staff will have to breakup. Brent Venables is another candidate to finally take his talents elsewhere, but Scott seems like an interesting fit. His father was an assistant at FSU, and he knows this conference. Scott doesn't have head coaching experience at this level, but Swinney was in a similar spot when Clemson hired him away. He would be a fine consolation if the Seminoles aren't willing or able to take a swing at a huge name, such as Bob Stoops.
Other Possibility: Dave Clawson (Wake Forest HC)
Could FSU go inside the division to land Dave Clawson? Clawson isn't a flashy hire, but he is a guy with a resume that includes a lot of success. He came to Wake Forest from Bowling Green and has turned the Demon Deacons into a formidable program who is currently ranked. He also should be cheaper than most others FSU will look into.
Others: P.J. Fleck (Minnesota HC), Willie Fritz (Tulane HC), Jim Leavitt (Florida State analyst), Mark Stoops (Kentucky)

Arkansas: Chad Morris 
It takes time to build program, but Chad Morris has really struggled in his short time with Arkansas. A former Clemson OC who then took over at SMU, Morris is just 4-16 and has yet to win a league game. Making things even worse, the Razorbacks have some bad losses (hello, San Jose State!) and just got beat by 30 to a bad Mississippi State team. Oh, and that sub-.500 Mississippi State team put up 640 yards of total offense.
Projected Replacement: Mike Norvell (Memphis HC)
Mike Norvell has done a tremendous job continuing to lead Memphis after he took over things from Justin Fuente. The Tigers have already won the division twice under his leadership and are in the driver's seat to do it again in 2019. He is going to make the jump at some point, it is a matter of where not when. Norvell played football at Central Arkansas and was a grad assistant there, and a return close to home would be a win for the Razorbacks.
Other Possibility: Willie Fritz (Tulane HC)
Another AAC head coach ready for a promotion, Willie Fritz will be a possibility for this type of job. Fritz has built up both Georgia Southern and recently Tulane, who had won six games in the two years prior to his arrival, where he has now gone 22-24. He may still need a breakthrough season to really convince Arkansas fans, but Fritz has won everywhere he has gone and knows the region very well.
Others: Blake Anderson (Arkansas State HC), Kevin Steele (Auburn DC), Josh Huepel (UCF HC), Bill Clark (UAB HC)

USC: Clay Helton
Even though USC has dealt with a lot of adversity due to injuries this season, a 5-4 record following their 5-7 2018 simply won't cut it. Helton did have some moments, winning 21 games between 2016-2017 and the Pac-12, but the Trojans have really fallen off. There are some huge names that are going to be rumored for this type of job, namely Urban Meyer and James Franklin, but I see USC settling on somebody else at the end of the day.
Projected Replacement: Bryan Harsin (Boise State HC)
Bryan Harsin has done a terrific job leading Boise State in the post-Chris Petersen era, as the Broncos have gone 59-16 under his leadership, including two Mountain West Titles. Harsin continues to land some under-the-radar talent and develop it into NFL players, which isn't easy, even at a well-respected Group of Five school like Boise. It might be hard to pull Harsin away from his alma mater, but the right offer could bring him to Southern California. He is another guy that isn't a "flashy" hire but a smart, effective hire.
Other Possibility: Graham Harrell (USC OC)
Brought in from North Texas over the off-season following Kliff Kingsbury's abrupt departure, Graham Harrell has done a really job with this Trojan offense, as they are averaging 30.4 PPG despite playing a backup quarterback. It might make sense for 'SC to establish some continuity at this position by simply bringing in Harrell, who is going to get a head coaching gig somewhere. Harrell has learned under some respected coaches, namely Mike Leach, who he played and has coached under.
Others: Jack Del Rio (former USC LB, former Oakland Raiders HC), Jimmy Lake (Washington co-DC), Jeff Tedford (Fresno State HC), Andy Avalos (Oregon DC)

Vanderbilt: Derek Mason
Following James Franklin at a place like Vanderbilt is a lot to ask no matter who you are, and Derek Mason has done a fine job. After just seven victories in Mason's first two seasons, Vanderbilt has gone to two bowls and had their moments. However, a 2-6 start to 2019 that includes a bad loss to UNLV makes it clear this program just isn't going to get over the top with Mason. It probably is time to move on, and there are still plenty of options, even at a school without the football tradition of others in the SEC.
Projected Replacement: Clark Lea (Notre Dame DC)
Following Mike Elko's departure to take over the defensive coordinator job at Texas A&M, Clark Lea took over the Irish defense, and they've continued to be terrific. They rank highly in both points and yards allowed, and are well-known for getting after the QB with a ferocious pass rush. Lea is in line for a promotion, and it just so happens he is a Vanderbilt alum. He'd love to return to Nashville and take over a job that isn't easy, but has some potential. This is a great recruiting area, and the school's academic bonafides are obvious.
Other Possibility: Jeff Fisher (former Tennessee Titans HC)
Even though his NFL coaching career fizzled out with the St. Louis Rams, Jeff Fisher is still very popular in Nashville, as the former head man for the Tennessee Titans. In fact, there were rumors just this week he would be a top candidate for the job if Mason is indeed let go. Fisher does not have any college football coaching experience, but he could be the outside-the-box hire that ends up working out.
Others: Willie Fritz (Tulane HC), Mike MacIntrye (Ole Miss DC), Ken Niumatalolo (Navy HC)

Mississippi State: Joe Moorhead
Even though he earned a lot of respect for his work as Penn State offensive coordinator, Joe Moorhead was always a little bit of a weird hire for Mississippi State. He had no experience in the SEC, and had spent his entire coaching career in the Northeast. It hasn't made it easy Moorhead has had to follow up a Miss. State legend like Dan Mullen, but a 4-5 2019 just won't cut it anymore in Starkville, particularly with the talent on this roster. Moorhead has been rumored for the Rutgers job, which would make sense considering his ties to the region.
Projected Replacement: Todd Grantham (Florida DC)
Would Mississippi State turn back to the Dan Mullen coaching tree to go with a guy like Todd Grantham? Grantham served as associate head coach and defensive coordinator under Mullen in Starkville, prior to joining him in Gainesville. He continues to do a terrific job with the Florida defense and has a lot of experience in the SEC, spending time with Georgia as well. Going with a proven SEC guy just makes sense for Mississippi State, but it would be interesting to see if Grantham would take this job.
Other Possibility: Bill Clark (UAB HC)
Bill Clark has done an excellent job with UAB, sticking with the program during their financial problems and two-year hiatus and leading them in a brand new direction. Since UAB's return, they are 25-10 under Clark and won the Conference USA last season. As a guy with a bunch of experience coaching in the Southeast, Clark makes sense for a SEC program looking for a rising name. Pulling him away from UAB might be tough considering how committed he appears to be to the position, but dollars talk.
Others: Lane Kiffin (Florida Atlantic HC), Blake Anderson (Arkansas State HC), Mike Leach (Washington State HC), Skip Holtz (Louisiana Tech HC)

Other Jobs That Could Open
UCLA: Chip Kelly
South Florida: Charlie Strong
Ole Miss: Matt Luke
BYU: Kalani Sitake
Tennessee: Jeremy Pruitt
Arizona: Kevin Sumlin

NFL? Coaches Who Could Be Turning Pro
Brian Kelly, Notre Dame
Lincoln Riley, Oklahoma
Matt Campbell, Iowa State
Matt Rhule, Baylor
David Shaw, Stanford

Other Rising Coaches To Watch
Brent Venables, Clemson DC
Alex Grinch, Oklahoma DC
Tony Elliott, Clemson co-OC
Mike Elko, Texas A&M DC
Joe Brady, LSU Passing Game Coordinator
Jim Leonhard, Wisconsin DC
Steve Sarkisian, Alabama OC
Sean Gleeson, Oklahoma State OC

Sunday, November 3, 2019

College Basketball Preview 2019: My Top 25

Even though football season may be in full swing, the start of November brings a brand new season of college basketball into fruition. After last season's exciting finish, a crop of fresh faces and some familiar ones are sure to bring a new year of excitement, upsets and fun basketball. Here is how my preseason Top 25, and a couple others that could chaos come March.

1. Michigan State Spartans
Cassius Winston, Michigan State
BACKCOURT: Point guard Cassius Winston returns to East Lansing for his senior year as the favorite for National Player of the Year honors. Winston was really the engine that made MSU go last season, posting averages of 18.8 PPG and 7.5 APG, while shooting nearly 40 percent from three. Unfortunately, his fellow veteran backcourt mate, Joshua Langford, recently re-injured his foot that had kept him out for a big chunk of the 2019 season. Langford still hopes to be ready by Big Ten action, but the absence of the steady playmaker will hurt. Tom Izzo will be forced to turn to sophomore Foster Loyer and freshman Rocket Watts to see increased minutes. Loyer was solid in limited minutes last winter, while Watts is a superb shooter from deep.
FRONTCOURT: The Spartans got a big win over the off-season when Marquette transfer Joey Hauser announced he would be transferring to Michigan State. Hauser put together a quality freshman campaign with the Golden Eagles, putting up 9.7 PPG and shooting 45 percent from the field. He will team up with a number of Spartan mainstays in the frontcourt, namely junior Xavier Tillman and budding sophomore Aaron Henry. The Spartans are also hopeful swingman Kyle Ahrens will be 100 percent for the opener, after sustaining a scary injury in the Big Ten Championship last season.
OVERVIEW: Even though the loss of Langford for a significant period of time hurts, the Spartans are loaded with a ton of returning experience from a Final Four squad. With Winston at the helm and Izzo once again patrolling the sidelines, they seem to be the team to beat entering '19-'20. Izzo's first National Title in two decades seems like a distinct possibility.
2. Duke Blue Devils
BACKCOURT: While fellow teammates Zion Williamson and R.J. Barrett both decided to go pro after one season in Durham, guard Tre Jones decided he still had unfinished business with the Blue Devils, deciding to return for his sophomore season. Jones is an excellent defender and the perfect guard to run Coach K's offense, but it will be interesting to see how he handles being the "veteran leader" in this Duke lineup. He'll be joined in the backcourt by fellow returnee Alex O'Connell and highly touted newcomer Cassius Stanley. O'Connell will play a critical role as the team's top shooter, while Stanley can defend multiple positions and should be able to make an immediate impact.
FRONTCOURT: Sure, losing a transcendent talent like Zion Williamson hurts, but the Duke frontline should still be one of the country's best. Five-star signee Vernon Carey looks like the next great Duke big, as a powerful finisher who is extremely active on the block. He'll form a dynamic 1-2 combo with fellow newcomer Matthew Hurt, who brings excellent versatility and a nice shooting stroke. While those two may start right away, don't overlook Duke holdovers Jack White and Javin DeLaurier. Both played an underrated role in Duke's success last season, and will be important in guiding the young talent on this roster.
OVERVIEW: Duke was extremely top-heavy last season, but the return of a good crop of veterans ensures Coach K will finally have the depth that has eluded the Blue Devils the last few seasons. Even if the new guys need some time to gel, Jones, White and DeLaurier will be able to guide this lineup through the perilous ACC.
3. Kentucky Wildcats
BACKCOURT: Much like Michigan State and Duke, Kentucky was handed a big win over the off-season when both Ashton Hagans and Immanuel Quickley announced they would return for their second seasons in Lexington. Hagans, their top returning scorer, has all the tools to really take a jump, although he'll need to cut down on turnovers and prove he can evolve into a more complete offensive weapon. Quickley is going to have to compete with newcomer Tyrese Maxey for off-guard duties in this lineup. Maxey is an explosive combo guard who has received rave reviews from this coaching staff, and looks like the latest in a long line of John Calipari guards that have been selected at the top of the NBA Draft.
FRONTCOURT: Calipari rarely has returning experience in his frontcourt, but that isn't the case entering the new season. Both E.J. Montgomery and Nick Richards decided to return, despite serious NBA attention. Richards is a great low-post defender, but Montgomery is the big returnee. Even though he wasn't healthy for a massive chunk of last season, Montgomery showed he can hurt defenses in a variety of ways and even stretch the floor a little bit. Bucknell transfer Nate Sestina also brings veteran experience. He doesn't have the pure talent of Richards or Montgomery, but should be able to acclimate to his new role quickly. Add in the usual crop of highly touted freshman, namely forward Kahlil Whitney and Keion Brooks Jr., and this frontcourt should be really strong.
OVERVIEW: The return of so much veteran experience is huge for Calipari and Kentucky. It gives this team a really good starting point, even as they watch their young talent grow and develop. If Hagans and either Richards or Montgomery are able to really take that next step, it isn't unreasonable to think Calipari could finally return a National Championship, something he hasn't won since Anthony Davis was wearing Kentucky blue.
4. Louisville Cardinals
BACKCOURT: Youth abounds in the Cardinal backcourt, but there is no shortage of talent. A number of newcomers are likely to see big minutes right away, including Saint Joseph's graduate transfer Lamarr Kimble, and true freshman David Johnson, a Louisville native. Kimble averaged 15.6 points per game for the Hawks a season ago, and will bring immediate scoring potential. Veterans Ryan McMahon and Grant Williams should also see minutes. McMahon may be the best shooter on the entire team, both from three and at the free throw line.
FRONTCOURT: A versatile, well-balanced frontcourt should be the real guide for this Louisville squad. Junior wing Jordan Nwora is the best player on the team, their top returning scorer (17 PPG) and rebounder (7.6). Nwora isn't particularly flashy, but he has an excellent feel for the game, and seems to only be getting better under head coach Chris Mack. Senior Dwayne Sutton and junior Malik Williams will also play a crucial role. Sutton is a superb passer from the wing, while Williams is an absolute force in the paint, and one of the premier defenders in the ACC.
OVERVIEW: Mack's first season with the Cards wasn't perfect, but he showed the program was ready to return to the national stage. The returns of Nwora, Sutton and Williams give this team a great base to work with, and the newcomers should prove to make a real impact. The unforgiving ACC is going to be treacherous, but this Louisville team should be able to weather the storm.
5. Kansas Jayhawks
BACKCOURT: Bill Self's best teams in Lawrence always have a veteran guard leading the way, and while he isn't an upperclassmen, sophomore Devon Dotson fits that theme. After some early struggles, Dotson ended the year playing terrific basketball, and he gives this team a leader going forward. Junior Marcus Garrett is also going to play a huge role as an experienced playmaker who always takes on opposing team's best player and shuts them down. However, beyond those two, this backcourt has depth concerns. Losing Quentin Grimes, who decided to head to Houston, may hurt more than most realize.
FRONTCOURT: Even though he has struggled to stay healthy during his KU career, Udoka Azuikbe was a huge returnee for this Jayhawks team. At 7 feet tall and 270 pounds, Azuikbe is a load for any big to handle, and he has really worked on building an all-around game. He should be one of the best players in the entire Big 12 in '19-'20. Joining Azuikbe in this frontcourt will be junior Silvio De Sousa, senior Mitch Lightfoot, and Iowa transfer Isaiah Moss. Moss averaged 9.2 points per game a season ago for the Hawkeyes, and as a strong three-point shooter, he'll add an interesting element to this Kansas offense.
OVERVIEW: The Jayhawks' lengthy run atop the Big 12 might have ended last year, but don't expect KU to stay down for long. Self returns a ton of returning talent, and this team is significantly deeper than the last few years. The Jayhawks will also benefit from a weakened conference, as the Big 12 lacks much quality teams beyond a reloading Texas Tech team.
6. Virginia Cavaliers
BACKCOURT: Life after Kyle Guy and Ty Jerome won't be easy for UVA, but the cupboard is far from bare in Charlottesville. Head coach Tony Bennett will once again turn to the "next man up" approach, which means more of sophomore Kihei Clark and senior Braxton Key in the backcourt. Clark shot the ball very well last season and proved he could play smart basketball and not turn the ball over, while Key will grow into a starter after being the Cavaliers' sixth man last winter. Freshman Casey Morsell is also going to see minutes, as a pretty notable recruiting win out of Maryland.
FRONTCOURT: Although he may not be as naturally talented as other big men in the ACC, Mamadi Diakite looks ready to take the next step and become an All-Conference talent. Diakite is a well-rounded, mobile big who hit a couple huge shots for Virginia a year ago. He is an obvious breakout candidate going forward. Also back in the frontcourt is junior Jay Huff, who brings much needed length and defense (he is 7'1"). Then, there is also Sam Hauser, who will finish his collegiate career with the Cavs after three seasons with Marquette. Hauser has averaged over 14 points per game the last two seasons, and he will have to see big minutes right away with some of the losses UVA suffered over the off-season.
OVERVIEW: Three massive pieces to Virginia's National Title squad may be off to the NBA, but don't expect Bennett or UVA to slow down anytime soon. There is enough returnees back to carry on Bennett's "pack-line" defense, and the addition of Hauser is going to be huge. A second straight Title is probably too much to ask, but another postseason run isn't out of the question.
7. Maryland Terrapins
BACKCOURT: Steady point guard Anthony Cowan opted to spurn the NBA to once again run Mark Turgeon's offense in 2019-2020. Cowan is a quality scorer and a superb passer, averaging 4.4 assists per game a year ago. He'll spread the ball around to a number of different Terrapin scorers, including fellow guards Eric Ayala and Aaron Wiggins. Ayala is an important shooter, knocking down 41 percent from three last winter, while Wiggins has the tools to be a fine defender. 
FRONTCOURT: Despite the loss of Bruno Fernando, Maryland still returns a lot of important pieces up front. Sophomore Jalen Smith looks ready to have a big second season in College Park. A former highly prized recruit, Smith is still streaky, but he oozes potential. Turgeon seems to believe he is ready to be the go-to guy in this offense. A number of underrated new faces will also see major minutes, with the big names being Chol Marial and Donta Scott. Marial is especially interesting, as a long 7'2" forward who can block shots and run the floor. 
OVERVIEW: Turgeon managed to win 23 games last season despite having one of the youngest teams in D1 basketball. With Cowan, Ayala and Smith back in the fold, I firmly expect the Terrapins to really grow into a formidable opponent. They certainly have the talent to compete with Michigan State for Big Ten supremacy.
8. North Carolina Tar Heels
BACKCOURT: There are few freshman in college basketball that bring more hype to the table than new Tar Heel guard Cole Anthony. A springy, explosive playmaker that can score off the dribble and also hit the three, Anthony is fully equipped to be a star. It wouldn't be surprising to see the UNC offense lean on the youngster from the get-go this season. However, Anthony will need some supporting pieces to assist him in this backcourt. Senior Brandon Robinson and junior Andrew Platek both have been buried behind superior talent early in their Tar Heel careers, but now look ready to step up. Platek is particularly intriguing as a sharpshooter who can play really good defense.
FRONTCOURT: There is no Cole Anthony coming into this UNC frontcourt, but it should still be a formidable group. Junior Garrison Brooks displayed real finishing potential last year, and he could get even better with more opportunities in the low post. Junior Sterling Manley is also going to see an increase in minutes. That pair will have to mentor the youngsters coming in, which includes Armando Bacot and William & Mary transplant Justin Pierce. Pierce isn't young necessarily, but it will be a tough transition going from the Colonial Athletic Association to the ACC.
OVERVIEW: As the fourth team in my top eight coming out of the ACC, North Carolina won't get anything easy in the toughest conference in college basketball. Despite this, Anthony should be able to be a real rallying force for this maturing Tar Heel team, and Roy Williams has proven he can reload as well as anyone. 
9. Florida Gators
BACKCOURT: The Gators are going to be frightfully young in their backcourt entering the new season, but that doesn't mean there is any shortage of talent. Coach Michael White managed to bring in a pair of All-Americans in Scottie Lewis and Tre Mann, who could both start right away. Lewis is especially hyped, as a high-volume scorer with size and athleticism. Florida does bring back some holdovers, with the big names being sophomores Noah Locke and Andrew Nembhard. Nembhard considered going pro, but his return certainly helps Florida.
FRONTCOURT: There might not have been a bigger transfer in college basketball this off-season than Kerry Blackshear Jr., who decided to move on from Virginia Tech once coach Buzz Williams left for Texas A&M. A 6'10", versatile forward who has ample experience, Blackshear chose Florida over a number of other blue bloods. His addition will be especially vital to a frontcourt that loses a number of important options. Luckily, junior center Gorjok Gak is still around Gainesville after taking a redshirt a year ago. 
OVERVIEW: With the additions of Lewis, Mann and Blackshear, there is a massive influx of talent in this Gator program. If White is able to cultivate that talent, this Florida team certainly has the pieces to compete with Kentucky. After short-lived NCAA Tournament treks the last two seasons, a return to the Elite Eight could be in the cards.
10. Gonzaga Bulldogs
BACKCOURT: Losing program mainstays Josh Perkins and Zach Norvell leave a significant leadership void in Spokane, but coach Mark Few has shown he can reload. He managed to bring in his usual crop of graduate transfers, namely Texas A&M's Admon Gilder and North Texas' Ryan Woolridge. Both have proven they can handle the demands of high-major basketball, and they'll immediately see major minutes. Sophomore Joel Ayayi should be in store for a bigger role after barely seeing action at all last season. He impressed in the FIBA U19 World Cup this summer and has shown he can handle being a leading role.
FRONTCOURT: The Bulldogs must also deal with losses in their frontcourt, as both Brandon Clarke and Rui Hachimura were first-round NBA Draft selections this summer. Few will again need little-used options to step up in a big way, as well as a healthy Killian Tillie, who flirted with the NBA himself. Wing Corey Kispert is their top returning scorer, assist man, and rebounder. It will be interesting to see whether the junior is ready to go be the No. 1 guy. Sophomore Filip Petrusev is also going to see an expanded role, as the Serbian showed flashes of stardom a year ago.
OVERVIEW: No program in college basketball has been able to match the consistency of Gonzaga, and even with major losses, it's hard to see them taking much of a step back. Granted, the new transfers will have to gel quickly, and Kispert & Petrusev will have to step up. That would be a lot to ask at most places, but Few has proven time and time again he can lead 'Zaga back to a WCC Title.
11. Villanova Wildcats
BACKCOURT: Having a proven point guard at the helm has long been Jay Wright's recipe for success, and they have just that in junior Collin Gillespie. A steady, level-headed playmaker, Gillespie should look very comfortable engineering the Villanova offense this winter. He also has the luxury of being joined by some talented newcomers, including likely starting shooting guard Bryan Antoine. A five-star prospect, Antoine has great length for a two-guard, and should be featured heavily early. Less heralded but still important is Chris Arcidiacono, the younger brother of former 'Nova star Ryan.
FRONTCOURT: Antoine isn't the only prized recruit stepping onto Villanova's campus this season. Forward Jeremiah Robinson-Earl is also going to see minutes, and the Villanova coaching staff is already raving about him. He will be one of a number of Wildcats that will have to see a larger role with Eric Paschall off to the NBA. Dhamir Crosby-Roundtree is an excellent rebounder and solid defender, while sophomore Saddiq Bey has the upside to be a real factor. 
OVERVIEW: Although 'Nova will face plenty of resistance inside the Big East from Seton Hall, they still look like the slight favorites in the league. Gillespie gives them a veteran to run the show and if Robinson-Earl and Antoine live up to the hype, this Wildcats team is going to be tough to overcome. After a relatively down '19-'20, Villanova should be in store for a redemptive campaign.
12. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Davide Moretti, Texas Tech
BACKCOURT: New playmakers will have to step up in the Texas Tech backcourt, as a number of pieces from the National Runner-Up are gone. However, holdovers like Davide Moretti and Kyler Edwards should be ready to make things happen. Moretti is a skilled shooter who played some key minutes for Tech last year, while Edwards has a ton of upside after a promising freshman season. Freshman Jahmi'us Ramsey is also sure to make an impact, as one of the highest-rated recruits in recent Texas Tech history.
FRONTCOURT: He may arrive with slightly less hype than Blackshear at Florida, but fellow Virginia Tech transfer Chris Clarke was a big get for Chris Beard. Clarke fits this Red Raider roster perfectly, as a premier defender that continues to improve from downtown. He didn't play for the Hokies last season, but he should still make a major impact. Another transfer, T.J. Holyfield, arrives from Stephen F. Austin and should immediately see minutes. Holyfield is a proven veteran who has started 101 games during his time with the Lumberjacks. Him and Clarke will have to play well, and Beard will also need others to step up.
OVERVIEW: Beard has proven that he has built a consistent winner at Texas Tech, and last season's National Championship appearance is just the beginning. There are some serious absences, but a number of high-profile transfers should help fill the void. Another deep postseason run could certainly be possible.
13. Utah State Aggies
BACKCOURT: Sam Merrill, the MWC Player of the Year in '18-'19, is back for another run in Logan. Merrill averaged 20.9 PPG a season ago as the top option in this Utah State offense, but he is an underrated passer who can really get his teammates involved. He should become more of a household name after being one of the best players in college basketball nobody knows about. Sophomore guard Brock Miller is a fine complementary piece in the backcourt, while junior Abel Porter is perhaps the best pure three-point shooter on the roster. Overall, five of Utah State's top six minutes guys from a season ago are back, with most of those minutes coming in this backcourt.
FRONTCOURT: Reigning Mountain West Freshman of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year Neemias Queta returns for his second season with the Aggies. The springy seven-footer set a school record with 84 blocked shots last season, and is the defensive anchor of this Utah State team. Somebody else is going to have to step up alongside Queta in the frontcourt, possibly transfer Alphonso Anderson or rising sophomore forward Justin Bean. Lack of depth is somewhat of a concern, particularly with Queta nursing a knee injury entering the new campaign.
OVERVIEW: A 28-win 2019 was just the beginning for an Aggie program that should continue to get better and better under Craig Smith. The return of so much experience is a rarity in the modern world of college basketball, and there really isn't much competition from inside the conference beyond San Diego State. This could be a real postseason dark horse if things work out.
14. Memphis Tigers
BACKCOURT: A bunch of highly regarded true freshmen may be arriving in Memphis this season, but Tyler Harris will play a pivotal role as one of the few holdovers. Although just 5'9", Harris has great finishing ability and can still get to the rim. He will be particularly important as the only returning piece from Memphis' top six scorers last year. Boogie Ellis, Lester Quinones and Damion Baugh will join Harris in the backcourt. None have played a minute of collegiate basketball, but the talent is there.
FRONTCOURT: According to most recruiting services, 7'1" center James Wiseman is the top newcomer in college basketball this year. A local product from Memphis East High, Wiseman is already making NBA folks drool with his athleticism, touch around the rim and freakish upside. He'll be a top option in this Memphis offense right away. Fellow newbies D.J. Jeffries and Precious Achiuwa were also big recruiting wins for head man Penny Hardaway. Achiuwa is also a five-star prospect like Wiseman, and a superb showing in the McDonald's All-American game has the Tigers thrilled to see what he can do.
OVERVIEW: There hasn't been this much excitement around the Memphis basketball program since John Calipari was head coach, as Hardaway brought in an extraordinary collection of basketball talent into town. With that being said, there is so much inexperience on this roster, that patience will be important as the youngsters figure it out. It would be really helpful if there was at least some veteran presence beyond Harris, but that won't be the case. All of these freshmen are going to need to learn quick, and play big minutes. Even so, the pure amount of talent, and the fact Cincinnati and Houston are reloading, makes Memphis the AAC favorite.
15. Seton Hall Pirates
BACKCOURT: Seton Hall has produced some impressive backcourt talent over these past few years, and Myles Powell is no exception. The superstar combo guard decided to pass on the NBA after putting up 23.1 points per game as a junior, while placing second in the Big East in steals. He is going to be the preseason Big East Player of the Year, and he hasn't shied away from the pressure. Another Myles, Myles Cale, is going to be back for the Pirates on the wing, while veteran Quincy McKnight should bring the ball up for this offense after leading Seton Hall in assists a year ago.
FRONTCOURT: Depth is not much of a concern in this Pirate frontcourt, as loads of experience is back in the fold. Junior Sandro Mamukelashvili, junior Taurean Thompson and senior Romaro Gill all have played a lot of minutes. Then, there is Florida State transfer Ike Ogiabu, a skilled shot-blocker who will be the final piece in a gigantic and imposing frontline. 
OVERVIEW: Villanova has been the most consistent winner in the Big East since it split, but Seton Hall has been right there, and they have a chance to be the favorite in '19-'20. They have everything you could want: a smart, hungry head coach, a proven go-to guy in this offense, veteran guards and a monstrous frontcourt. The Pirates should make their first Sweet 16 in roughly two decades.
16. Purdue Boilermakers
BACKCOURT: The real fuel of the Purdue offense, Carsen Edwards, may be gone but don't expect Purdue to disappear. They still return a crop of pieces that can certainly handle the scoring load, especially in this backcourt. Junior Nojel Eastern is an unconventional but effective piece who has played a lot of minutes for Matt Painter, while sophomore guards Sasha Stefanovic and Eric Hunter Jr. will have to play a larger role. Losing Ryan Cline, a sharpshooter who did so much to space the floor for the Boilermakers, hurts more than you might expect. 
FRONTCOURT: Junior big Matt Haarms has been a steady option in this frontcourt the last two seasons, but he'll now be expected to play an even more important role as a No. 1 option. He led the Big Ten in blocked shots, but seemed to shy away offensively at times last winter. He'll have to be forceful underneath. Sophomores Trevion Williams and Aaron Wheeler are going to see lots of minutes at the forward spots. Williams is a real force on the low post, but he wasn't as in shape as he needs to be last season. Reports are that he has slimmed down and is ready for a big sophomore campaign in West Lafayette.
OVERVIEW: Losing such an important piece like Edwards is going to be a transition for Purdue, but Painter has proven he can rebuild as well as anyone. There is a lot of really solid options to work with, and this is a team that is going to have the depth to survive the rigorous Big Ten. They are still a serious candidate to put together some type of March Madness run.
17. Washington Huskies
BACKCOURT: Losing defensive stalwart Matisse Thybulle and point guard David Crisp puts Washington in a slight bind in their backcourt, but the hope is that some new faces can emerge. Chief among them has to be Kentucky transfer Quade Green. Green showed flashes with the Wildcats but was eventually pushed out by the additions of Ashton Hagans and Immanuel Quickley. He is expected to be eligible to play by early December. Outside of Green, sophomores Elijah Hardy and Jamal Bey are going to have to step up after playing pretty sparingly a season ago.
FRONTCOURT: Head coach Mike Hopkins really proved his worth on the recruiting trail this cycle, by landing a pair of five-star prospects. Isaiah Stewart is the No. 3 overall recruit in ESPN's rankings, and he was a huge get from Big Ten country. The 6'9" mobile big is going to be a real force on the block from the beginning. Fellow five-star Jaden McDaniels also arrives to Seattle, albeit with slightly less fanfare. He can play and defend multiple positions, which will be huge for this Huskies team replacing some key pieces. It isn't just the freshmen that will see minutes in the frontcourt, as senior Sam Timmins was an important returnee, and Nahziah Carter is their top returning scorer.
OVERVIEW: The best team in the Pac-12 throughout last season, Washington is set to reload in a big way. Stewart and McDaniels will need some time to figure it out, but should make an impact, while Green has the talent to be the real engineer of the backcourt. I expect the Pac-12 to take a step forward after two straight dismal seasons, but UW should still be the team to beat in the league.
18. Auburn Tigers
BACKCOURT: Auburn is yet another team losing their best player, Jared Harper, but still retaining enough else to feel good about what they have going into the new season. Samir Doughty now looks like he'll be one of their go-to guys on offense. Doughty excelled as an off-ball, spot-up shooter last year, but he has the talent to be so much more. He is their top returning scorer, notching 7.3 PPG last winter. Senior J'Von McCormick is probably going to play point guard, and while he isn't Harper, he can still be pretty effective. 
FRONTCOURT: Prior to a knee injury that ended his season prematurely, Chuma Okeke was perhaps the most important player on this Auburn team as their best defender and a force on the boards. He was drafted No. 16 this past June, so others will again have to step up. Senior center Austin Wiley has proven he can handle the physical SEC, even though he isn't a go-to scorer. Along with Wiley, senior forwards Anfernee McLemore and Danjel Purifoy are experienced options that should keep the Tigers rolling. 
OVERVIEW: Bruce Pearl finally had his breakthrough at Auburn, leading Auburn agonizingly close to a National Championship appearance. It is nearly inevitable they'll take a slight step back without Harper and Okeke, but there is still enough experience to stay afloat in the ever-improving SEC. 
19. Baylor Bears
BACKCOURT: Even though the Bears don't have a real superstar on this roster, this backcourt is stocked full with versatile, well-rounded guards. That includes former Mississippi State transfer Mario Kegler, who ended last season on fire after a streaky start. Junior Mark Vital is Baylor's top returning rebounder, while sophomore Jared Butler is their top returning passer, averaging 2.7 assists last fall. Butler in particular has real potential, as he looked like a seasoned vet as a freshman last year and should take a sophomore leap.
FRONTCOURT: Now fully healthy, Baylor is excited to see what forward Tristian Clark can do. He was putting together a marvelous 2018-2019 before his season was ended because of a knee problem. Head coach Scott Drew believes he'll be 100 percent to begin the season, and he'll immediately become a go-to scorer. Senior Freddie Gillespie and sophomore Matthew Mayer are two sturdy wings that are going to contribute. Although his minutes dwindled at the end of last season, Mayer showed significant upside in last year's Emerald Coast Classic, including 18 against Nicholls.
OVERVIEW: Kansas and Texas Tech are the favorites in the Big 12 heading into 2019-2020, but don't overlook the Bears. There is a ton of scoring punch back, especially with Clark fully healthy and ready to go. They don't have as much size in the post as others in the league, but that shouldn't matter if their wings can play well.
20. Marquette Golden Eagles
BACKCOURT: If you're searching for National Player of the Year favorite, a good bet is probably Markus Howard, who returns to Milwaukee for his senior season. Howard is a high-volume scoring machine who put averaged nearly 25 points per contest last season. The offense will once again run through him, and he needs just 31 points to become Marquette's all-time leading scorer. Sure, Howard will need some help, especially with the Hauser brothers transferring. Senior Sacar Anim is a fine wing who played a big role in the stingy Golden Eagle defense last season. He'll be tasked with shutting down most opponent's top scorers.
FRONTCOURT: The absence of the Hauser brothers, the second and third leading scorers on this team last winter, seriously hampers Marquette up front. It will force guys like junior Theo John to see a massive increase in minutes. John still has a ways to go on offense, but he led the Big East in blocks last season and remains an imposing presence on defense. More help protecting the rim arrives in the form of Utah transplant Jayce Johnson. A seven-foot grad transfer, Johnson's length should be crucial in keeping teams from getting anything easy around the rim. Expect senior Ed Morrow and sophomore Brendan Bailey, both reserves a year ago, to see expanded roles.
OVERVIEW: Howard's return keeps Marquette in prime position to steal a Big East Title, even with Seton Hall and Villanova sure to be tough outs. The hope for Howard is that he can finish off his collegiate career with a deep Tournament run. The Golden Eagles were ousted quickly by Ja Morant and Murray State last March, but they have the talent to do some damage.
21. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
BACKCOURT: Junior guard Taveion Hollingsworth is back in Bowling Green for WKU, and he will once again lead the Hilltoppers in minutes. In fact, Hollingsworth finished fifth in school history last season in minutes played, with 1,251. He is a versatile scorer as well as an adept passer (2.2 APG). Beyond Hollingsworth, head coach Rick Stansbury is turning to some newcomers, although they are not completely untested. IUPUI transfer Camron Justice averaged 18.6 PPG last season and can hit from downtown, as well as get to the line. Justice originally began his career at Vanderbilt, so he knows big-boy basketball. Freshman Jordan Rawls was a nice win on the recruiting trail; the four-star guard was considering a number of bigger schools but decided to join Stansbury at Western Kentucky.
FRONTCOURT: Stansbury proved his prowess on the recruiting trail prior to last season by landing five-star forward Charles Bassey, widely considered a one-and-done for the Hilltoppers. Instead, Bassey put his name in the NBA Draft then surprisingly decided to pull out, opening the door for what will likely be a huge sophomore season. He averaged a double-double (14.8 PPG, 10 RPG) for WKU a season ago, and has to be the favorite for the C-USA Player of the Year, especially if he can become more consistent. However, Stansbury is going to need somebody to emerge alongside Bassey, as the rest of the frontcourt appears pretty inexperienced.
OVERVIEW: Getting back Bassey immediately jolted WKU into national relevancy, even after a pretty quiet 2018-2019 when they went 20-14. He will be motivated and more confident now, and will have even more support in the backcourt besides Hollingsworth. I expect WKU to make their first NCAA Tournament bid since 2013, and perhaps cause some chaos when they get there.
22. Saint Mary's Gaels
BACKCOURT: The Gaels have a history of producing high-quality guards (look no further than Patty Mills and Matthew Dellavedova) and they have the next in line with Jordan Ford. Ford has improved every single season with Saint Mary's, and he had a huge 2018-2019, averaging 21.1 PPG and playing nearly 37 minutes per game. He is the preseason WCC Player of the Year, and will be the guiding force behind an up-tempo, aggressive Gael offense. Former walk-on Tommy Kuhse returns to pair with Ford. Kuhse led the Gaels in assists last season, and will once again be counted on to keep this offense rolling.
FRONTCOURT: Head coach Randy Bennett has a history of going overseas to land impressive basketball talent, and he has a number of Australians on this roster ready to contribute. Towering junior Jock Perry is going to be pretty crucial as a rim protector, as the 7'1" center should take over for the departed Jordan Hunter. Newcomer Kyle Bowen will also see minutes, after playing for Australia in the 2019 World Cup. Bennett also has his share of returnees from more traditional backgrounds, including Malik Fitts. The former South Florida transfer really took to his new home, posting 15.2 points per game. He should be even better with more experience under his belt.
OVERVIEW: Last year was supposed to be a rebuild for Saint Mary's but instead, they shocked Gonzaga to earn the WCC's automatic Tournament bid. Now, Bennett's team is equipped with a fearless leader in Ford, along with a bunch of important supporting characters. With Gonzaga in a little bit of a rebuild, it wouldn't be a shock to see the Gaels overtake them on the West Coast.
23. Arizona Wildcats
BACKCOURT: After one of the worst seasons in recent Arizona basketball history, head coach Sean Miller went out and immediately landed three backcourt pieces that should quickly shift the tide in Tucson. Point guard Nico Mannion is one of the highest rated recruits in the 2019 class, and the type of dynamic playmaker who can build an entire offense around. He'll probably start at PG right away. He also landed another big name on the recruiting trail in Josh Green, a dominant transition scorer who has received rave reviews from high school scouts. Lastly, bringing in UC Irvine transfer Max Hazzard was notable. Although not at the talent level of either Mannion or Green, Hazzard brings veteran experience and a steady intelligence. Also notable is former Kentucky transfer Jemarl Baker, who struggled with his health in Lexington but can provide a spark off the bench.
FRONTCOURT: A number of former high-profile transfers dot Miller's revamped frontcourt. Former Duke big Chase Jeter has already proven he can work well under Miller, leading the Wildcats in rebounds last season. He is still a project offensively, but the tools are there. Beyond Jeter, former Nevada forward Jordan Brown and Cornell transfer Stone Gettings will see action. Brown was used sparingly by Nevada but has undeniable talent, while Gettings played three seasons with Cornell and looked the part. Also notable is freshman Zeke Nnaji, a skilled big who Miller was able to reel in despite plenty of interest elsewhere.
OVERVIEW: Following a 17-15 season in which they had a losing record in the Pac-12, Sean Miller went out and completely revamped this lineup. A bunch of stud freshmen and high-profile transfers will provide much needed assistance, but they will also need time. If things can work together, overtaking Washington for conference supremacy is within reach, but things good go the other way just as quickly.
24. Wisconsin Badgers
BACKCOURT: Nearly every important piece to the Wisconsin backcourt remains, namely Brad Davison and D'Mitrik Trice. Davison is a typical, hard-working Wisconsin guard that might not have the most talent, but gets the job done. Meanwhile, Trice still remains pretty streaky, but has proven he can be a leader of this offense when he is on. Veteran Brevin Pritzl is also back in the fold, while the Badgers are hopeful Kobe King can finally take the big jump. King has long shown upside in Madison, but his ill health has really restricted what he can do so far in his Badger career.
FRONTCOURT: Moving on from Ethan Happ, the centerpiece of Wisconsin basketball for a number of years, won't be an easy task. Happ topped 2,000 points, 1,200 rebounds and over 400 assists during his career and is now off to playing professional ball in Europe. With that being said, the Badgers still have some options up front. Junior forward Nate Reuvers looked ready to step into the spotlight last year and well he isn't quite at Happ's level yet, his shooting touch gives this offense a different element. Others are also going to have to show what they can do, including junior forward Aleem Ford and newcomer Tyler Wahl.
OVERVIEW: It isn't often we see teams take a step forward once their best player leaves town, but with how much remains intact at Wisconsin, that could possibly be the case. Certainly, the frontcourt is going to need to get better, but Reuvers certainly looks like he can handle being a top option. The consistency of the Badger program also gives you reason to feel good about their chances. With the exception of a frustrating '17-'18 season when they went 15-18, the Badgers haven't missed the Tournament since the late 1990s. 
25. Iowa State Cyclones
BACKCOURT: A pair of transfers should join sophomore Tyrese Haliburton in keeping the Iowa State backcourt rolling, even with Talen Horton-Tucker and Marial Shayok off to bigger and better things. Colorado State transplant Prentiss Nixon and former Penn State guard Rasir Bolton should see major minutes. Nixon sat out all of last year, but averaged 16.1 points per game his final season with the Rams, and can really stroke it. Haliburton, meanwhile, put together a strong freshman campaign and had a fabulous off-season. He could be in store for a real breakout season.
FRONTCOURT: Yet another former transfer should help guide the Cyclones, this one being senior forward Michael Jacobson. Jacobson began his career at Nebraska, but has proven his worth in the Big 12, and is now ISU's top returning scorer. Not necessarily flashy, Jacobson gets it done with a polished offensive skill set and good hustle. Junior Solomon Young missed most of last year with injury, but played a lot as a freshman. He should be counted on to produce, as well as small forward Zion Griffin, who appeared in 17 games last winter.
OVERVIEW: After a one-year March hiatus, the Cyclones returned to the Big Dance last season only to get knocked out by Ohio State in the first round. They lose two big pieces in Horton-Tucker and Shayok, but the returnees are solid and this is a school with a tradition of success. If the transfers can gel quickly, this is a real dark horse in the Big 12.