Wednesday, April 26, 2023

NFL Mock Draft 2023: Edition 5 (Final Edition)

Bryce Young, Alabama

1. Carolina Panthers

Bryce Young, QB, Alabama

We've officially reached the point in the NFL Draft process where wild rumors seem to be coming out of nowhere, but don't be fooled: Bryce Young will be a Carolina Panther. The key for the Panthers the rest of the Draft will be surrounding the former Heisman winner with quality weapons, although Young has proven he can handle the playmaking load himself.

Previous Selection: C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State

Other Possibility: Will Levis, QB, Kentucky

2. Houston Texans

Will Anderson Jr., LB, Alabama

The 2023 NFL Draft really begins with the Houston Texans, who are the ultimate wild card at the top of the board. Their preferred quarterback, Young, is almost 100 percent going to be gone, and they haven't been heavily connected to any of the remaining trio of C.J. Stroud, Will Levis, or Anthony Richardson. It feels like Houston is going to wait on a signal-caller and instead add a dynamic edge rusher. Tyree Wilson seems to be trending right now, but Will Anderson Jr. is my best available here.

Previous Selection: Bryce Young, QB, Alabama

Other Possibility: Tyree Wilson, DE/LB, Texas Tech

3. Arizona Cardinals

Tyree Wilson, DE/LB, Texas Tech

Arizona is in perfect position to trade down to a QB-needy team and continue filling out their roster. However, I never do trades in my mocks, meaning that the Cardinals instead remain at pick No. 3 and take the best player available, Tyree Wilson. It's a testament to Wilson's skillset that he has become a likely Top 5 lock despite not working out due to a lingering foot injury from the fall.

Previous Selection: Will Anderson Jr., LB, Alabama

Other Possibility: Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon

4. Indianapolis Colts

C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State

Rumors of a Draft night free fall for C.J. Stroud feel exaggerated to me. Something tells me that someone in the first round is trying to manufacture drama that could drop the signal-caller, but I don't envision him lasting past Indianapolis. Although his ceiling doesn't feel quite as high as a Will Levis or Anthony Richardson, Stroud arguably has the highest floor of any QB in this Draft.

Previous Selection: Anthony Richardson, QB, Florida

Other Possibility: Will Levis, QB, Kentucky

5. Seattle Seahawks

Jalen Carter, DL, Georgia

Although the Seahawks have chosen to bring back both Geno Smith and Drew Lock, don't overlook them being in play for a quarterback here, particularly if both Levis and Richardson are still available. But, the reality is that Jalen Carter is too enticing to pass up, even if the pre-Draft process has negatively impacted his stock. He's probably the most complete interior D-Line prospect we've seen since Ndamukong Suh, and Seattle needs to upgrade their front seven.

Previous Selection: Tyree Wilson, DE/LB, Texas Tech

Other Possibility: Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon

6. Detroit Lions

Devon Witherspoon, CB, Illinois

Detroit is another team that could create some chaos in the Top 10, as they go could go any number of different directions. Everything from Bijan Robinson to an impact corner feels in play, but Devon Witherspoon appears to be trending at this spot. The Illinois product seems to have overtaken Christian Gonzalez as CB1 on most boards, and offers unlimited potential at a need position.

Previous Selection: Jalen Carter, DL, Georgia

Other Possibility: Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas

7. Las Vegas Raiders

Will Levis, QB, Kentucky

Mocks all over the board for Las Vegas right now, who seem to want to be in contention but are playing in arguably the toughest division in the NFL. Raider brass brought in Jimmy Garoppolo, but I still think there's a real possibility they take a chance on a quarterback in the first round. Will Levis is the type of toolsy prospect that the Raiders have typically fallen in love with, no matter who is calling the shots in the front office.

Previous Selection: Will Levis, QB, Kentucky

Other Possibility: Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon

8. Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas

Bijan Robinson is the prospect who perfectly epitomizes how strange of a Draft this will be. The stud tailback could go anywhere from the Top 5 to the late 20s based on how things shake up. Atlanta is the current betting favorite to land his services, particularly now that they've added several veterans to shore up their pass rush. Atlanta may have gotten a strong rookie season from Tyler Allgeier in 2022, but Robinson is too tantalizing to pass up.

Previous Selection: Lukas Van Ness, DE, Iowa

Other Possibility: Peter Skoronski, OL, Northwestern

9. Chicago Bears

Peter Skoronski, OL, Northwestern

I've had this selection mocked here for awhile, and it just makes too much sense. Perhaps it's the Chicago-Northwestern connection that's clouding my judgment, but the reality is that Peter Skoronski is the safest offensive line prospect in this Draft and would bring immediate value in protecting franchise quarterback Justin Fields.

Previous Selection: Peter Skoronski, OL, Northwestern

Other Possibility: Paris Johnson, OT, Ohio State

10. Philadelphia Eagles

Nolan Smith, DE/LB, Georgia

What a luxury to be the Philadelphia Eagles. They played for a Super Bowl, locked down their franchise signal-caller, and now have a Top 10 selection to play with. There isn't an obvious need, particularly now that they've brought back both veteran corners that looked like they could leave over the offseason, so they take a chance on a boom-or-bust pass rusher in Georgia's Nolan Smith.

Previous Selection: Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon

Other Possibility: Lukas Van Ness, DE, Iowa

11. Tennessee Titans

Anthony Richardson, QB, Florida

Tennessee doesn't appear ready to completely blow things up just yet, but this Draft will be telling. The Titans have needs along both lines of scrimmage and could choose to add a receiver. But, I have a tough time dropping Anthony Richardson anywhere below pick 11, and the Titans are still looking for their long-term guy. Is it a bit repetitive after they took Malik Willis last year? Perhaps, but Willis was the 86th pick, and the front office already seems ready to move on.

Previous Selection: Paris Johnson, OT, Ohio State

Other Possibility: Paris Johnson, OT, Ohio State

12. Houston Texans

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State

Houston would love if Richardson or another QB were to fall to them at this spot, but that feels unlikely. Instead, the Texans work on building out the rest of their roster, including landing a dynamic receiver to open up the offense. His disappointing 2022 aside, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is still widely considered the top wide out in this cycle, and would immediately jolt this offense.

Previous Selection: Jordan Addison, WR, USC

Other Possibility: Jordan Addison, WR, USC

13. Green Bay Packers

Lukas Van Ness, DE, Iowa

Conventional wisdom suggests Green Bay finally adds a pass-catcher in the first round, but the Packers have been far from conventional in their drafting strategy lately. Instead, it feels like they'll take a chance on a player who fits what they want to do, and the high motor, high intensity Lukas Van Ness would bring an immediate edge to their pass rush.

Previous Selection: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State

Other Possibility: Jordan Addison, WR, USC

14. New England Patriots

Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon

This selection would be peak New England Patriots. They're able to land a sliding prospect in Christian Gonzalez, who is much better than this range may indicate, but could fall based on team need and preference. Now, the Patriots added a talented, proven corner into a defensive backfield that desperately needs young blood.

Previous Selection: Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State

Other Possibility: Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State

15. New York Jets

Paris Johnson, OT, Ohio State

The Aaron Rodgers saga is officially over, as the Jets have their new star under center. Now, the key will be surrounding the future Hall-of-Famer with the right pieces, including upgrading the O-Line. Paris Johnson could easily go higher than this, but would be an ideal fit for the Jets and could spell the disappointing Mekhi Becton.

Previous Selection: Broderick Jones, OL, Georgia

Other Possibility: Broderick Jones, OL, Georgia

16. Washington Commanders

Broderick Jones, OL, Georgia

The Dan Snyder selling the team drama continues to hang over Washington as they prepare for the NFL Draft, but the hope is that this will be the dawn of a new era in the nation's capitol. I don't hate the idea of the Commanders taking a swing at a quarterback if things work out, but there are more pressing needs to address. Chief among them being the O-Line, where aging tackles Charles Leno Jr. and Andrew Wylie, are getting older. Washington gets a long-term answer in Broderick Jones, who could slide inside as needed.

Previous Selection: Brian Branch, DB, Alabama

Other Possibility: Anton Harrison, OT, Oklahoma

17. Pittsburgh Steelers

Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State

A decade-and-a-half after his dad's final season in Pittsburgh, Joey Porter Jr. lands with the Steelers in a revamped secondary. The long, physical corner had a dominant 2022 campaign for Penn State and now will get to stay inside the state and continue the Porter legacy.

Previous Selection: Darnell Wright, OT, Tennessee

Other Possibility: Darnell Wright, OT, Tennessee

18. Detroit Lions

Myles Murphy, DL, Clemson

The Lions are hopeful the addition of Devon Witherspoon at pick six can shore up their porous pass defense, but the front seven could also use some additional bite. Myles Murphy was highly productive throughout his time at Clemson and seems to have one of the higher floors of any D-Linemen in this Draft. With that being said, don't rule out Detroit taking a swing at Jahmyr Gibbs here, even after passing on Bijan earlier.

Previous Selection: Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame

Other Possibility: Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Alabama

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Darnell Wright, OT, Tennessee

After eight years, Tampa has officially decided to move on from Donovan Smith at left tackle. The expectation is that Tristan Wirfs will slide from right to left, potentially opening a starting spot up front. Enter Darnell Wright, a multiyear contributor at Tennessee who consistently worked against the best the SEC had to offer.

Previous Selection: Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas

Other Possibility: Anton Harrison, OT, Oklahoma

20. Seattle Seahawks

Quentin Johnston, WR, TCU

D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett may be a formidable duo, but Lockett is now on the wrong side of 30 and you can never have too many dynamic receivers in the modern NFL. Seattle uses this selection to add a game-changer in Quentin Johnston, who I have rated as the No. 1 wide out of this year's grouping.

Previous Selection: Quentin Johnston, WR, TCU

Other Possibility: Jordan Addison, WR, USC

21. Los Angeles Chargers

Deonte Banks, CB, Maryland

The Chargers may have one of the most talented young quarterbacks in the league, but they also happen to play in an AFC that boasts Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen, and more. If they want to seriously compete for a conference championship, adding another disruptor on the back-end, like the ultra-quick Deonte Banks, feels right.

Previous Selection: Myles Murphy, DL, Clemson

Other Possibility: Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Alabama

22. Baltimore Ravens

Jordan Addison, WR, USC

The Odell Beckham signing feels more like a peace offering than a serious move to upgrade Baltimore's receiver corps. This team should still look to add a young receiver somewhere early on in this Draft, and it would be ideal if one of the trio of Smith-Njigba, Johnston, or Jordan Addison lasts until this pick. Addison will be able to take the top off of defenses with his home run ability and could form a potent combo with Lamar Jackson, assuming the two sides are able to reconcile.

Previous Selection: Jalin Hyatt, WR, Tennessee

Other Possibility: Zay Flowers, WR, Boston College

23. Minnesota Vikings

Emmanuel Forbes, CB, Mississippi State

Smoke continues to swirl around the Vikings looking to trade up for a quarterback but if I were a betting man, I'd say it's much more likely they trade down and select Hendon Hooker. Yet, I still believe the organization will be content waiting on the position for one more year and instead investing further in a defense that was atrocious a season ago.

Previous Selection: Devon Witherspoon, CB, Illinois

Other Possibility: Hendon Hooker, QB, Tennessee

24. Jacksonville Jaguars

Brian Branch, DB, Alabama

There weren't many defenses worse against the pass than Jacksonville in 2022, and the Jaguars will need to address the position early on. It's unclear exactly what role Brian Branch will fill in the NFL, but his versatility will be an immediate asset. He could line up at nickel, safety, or even linebacker if needed, giving new DC Mike Caldwell a fun toy to play with.

Previous Selection: Deonte Banks, CB, Maryland

Other Possibility: Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame

25. New York Giants

Zay Flowers, WR, Boston College

This mock works out a bit unfortunately for the Giants, with runs on both their main areas of need, corner and receiver. If this does happen, New York could opt to move down, although Boston College's Zay Flowers is quite the consolation prize. The shifty, 5'9" dynamo could add an interesting element to this offense.

Previous Selection: Zay Flowers, WR, Boston College

Other Possibility: Bryan Bresee, DL, Clemson

26. Dallas Cowboys

Dalton Kincaid, TE, Utah

Beyond CeeDee Lamb, Dallas is perilously thin on capable pass-catchers. The situation was exacerbated when Dalton Schultz moved on to Houston. The Cowboys snag a replacement here in Dalton Kincaid, a matchup nightmare who seems to trending as the No. 1 tight end over Notre Dame's Michael Mayer.

Previous Selection: Darnell Washington, TE, Georgia

Other Possibility: O'Cyrus Torrence, OL, Florida

27. Buffalo Bills

Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Alabama

The Bills are right on the cusp of something special, but will look to add more firepower offensively this Draft. Taking a receiver probably makes the most sense, but with four already off the board, Buffalo instead invests in a first-round running back. Even with three capable tailbacks on the roster, Jahmyr Gibbs adds a playmaking element that few in this Draft do.

Previous Selection: Nolan Smith, DE/LB, Georgia

Other Possibility: O'Cyrus Torrence, OL, Florida

28. Cincinnati Bengals

Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame

Joe Burrow is already terrifying enough for opposing defenses, and now you add another dangerous pass-catcher in Michael Mayer here? The Notre Dame product could slide into the second round if teams fall in love with Kincaid, but he would be an immediate upgrade over Cinncinnati's current No. 1 tight end, Irv Smith Jr.

Previous Selection: O'Cyrus Torrence, OL, Florida

Other Possibility: Anton Harrison, OT, Oklahoma

29. New Orleans Saints

Calijah Kancey, DL, Pittsburgh

New Orleans needs help throughout their defense, but they were hit especially hard by defections across the defensive line. There are several options available here, but I like the idea of them adding Pitt's Calijah Kancey, an active, powerful force who proved to be a highly productive defender in college.

Previous Selection: Bryan Bresee, DL, Clemson

Other Possibility: Bryan Bresee, DL, Clemson

30. Philadelphia Eagles

O'Cyrus Torrence, OL, Florida

This would be the perfect pick to trade for Philadelphia, who could take advantage of a team looking for a spot to take Hendon Hooker in the bottom of the first. If by chance they do stick firm, why not continue upgrading the offensive line? O'Cyrus Torrence is too strong of a prospect to drop into the second round.

Previous Selection: Calijah Kancey, DL, Pittsburgh

Other Possibility: Anton Harrison, OT, Oklahoma

31. Kansas City Chiefs

B.J. Ojulari, LB, LSU

The Chiefs have worked hard to upgrade their pass rush over the last two offseasons, taking George Karlaftis last year and signing Charles Omenihu. They have a chance to add another disruptor here in the form of B.J. Ojulari, a pure pass rusher off the edge and the younger brother of current New York Giant, Azeez.

Previous Selection: Anton Harrison, OT, Oklahoma

Other Possibility: Anton Harrison, OT, Oklahoma

Monday, April 24, 2023

NFL Draft 2023: Defensive Player Position Rankings

Trenton Simpson, Clemson
 Defensive Line

1. Jalen Carter, Georgia -- On the football field, Jalen Carter checks just about every box. The 6'3", 315-pounder was a disruptive force in the middle for several years while at Georgia, crushing SEC competition with his mix of size, athleticism, and explosiveness. Even among a defensive line that included a former No. 1 overall pick (Travon Walker) and several other high draftees, Carter shone through as a formidable defender with a bright future. However, recent legal troubles and off-the-field concerns have threatened to hurt his draft stock. Carter pleaded no contest to charges of speeding and reckless driving in March, involved in a car accident that resulted in two deaths. It's certainly enough to make teams wary of the former Georgia Bulldog, but the reality is that talent can oftentimes outweigh any negatives. He has generational upside who I still view as a Top 5 prospect in this Draft. Simply watch him throw aside veteran Oregon offensive linemen Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu in this clip and tell me an NFL team isn't going to fall in love with this guy.

Projected Range: Early to mid-first round

2. Bryan Bresee, Clemson -- Formerly the No. 1 recruit in the country, Bryan Bresee broke onto the scene in a big way with Clemson as a true freshman. He earned Freshman All-American honors and took home the ACC Defensive Rookie of the Year during the COVID-shortened 2020 season and looked like the next great Clemson defensive linemen. Unfortunately, he wasn't able to quite meet those expectations, mainly due to circumstances out of his control. He tore his ACL early on in 2021, limiting him to just four games and then had a tragic 2022, losing his sister to cancer. Considering the circumstances, it wasn't surprising that Bresee had underwhelming game tape this past fall, and reportedly was not in great shape. Although those factors have threatened to drop him out of the first round, I remain very high on the former blue-chipper. He's much more athletic than his physique would suggest and is a much better run defender than most give him credit for. If an NFL team can get him back on track, I believe he has potential to be one of the steals of this cycle.

Projected Range: Late first round to late second round

3. Myles Murphy, Clemson -- Myles Murphy came to Clemson at the same time as Bresee and while the former dealt with injuries, Murphy was a consistent three-year contributor for the Tigers. He earned Freshman All-American honors with Bresee in 2020 and built on it with two quality campaigns, including leading the team in sacks this past fall. He projects favorably to the NFL and has the versatility to fit in a number of schemes, although I'm not sure the upside is as high here as in others. Murphy feels more like a prospect that will come in and put together long, solid pro career but never reach beyond that. That shouldn't be a knock against him, as there's plenty to like about his skillset.

Projected Range: Early to late first round

4. Mazi Smith, Michigan -- Although he may have been overshadowed by Aidan Hutchinson and David Ojabo for a big chunk of his Michigan career, Mazi Smith offers plenty of value as a likely late first-rounder or early second-rounder. He's a big-bodied, active presence who won't get after it in the pass rush very often, but is an elite run defender. There are some who wonder if Smith will be an every-down defensive tackle at the next level, but I think he's much more than a rotational piece.

Projected Range: Mid-first round to late second round

5. Isaiah Foskey, Notre Dame -- In my opinion, Isaiah Foskey was among the most underrated pass rushers we've seen in recent memory. Despite several very productive seasons at a brand name school, Foskey never quite got the national attention he deserved. As an NFL prospect, he provides a massive, long frame that can cause chaos for opposing defenses. He's not as fluid of an athlete as other top edge rushers, but feels like a safe bet to be productive at the next level. Considering most mocks now have him lasting deep into the second round, there's steal potential here.

Projected Range: Late first round to late second round

Sleeper: Siaki Ika, Baylor -- Although he won a National Title as a freshman with LSU back in 2019, most of Siaki Ika's playing time in college came during his final two seasons at Baylor. Under the coaching of Dave Aranda, Ika proved to be a powerful interior force who could eat blocks. At 6'3", 335 pounds, Ika is always going to project as a run stopper at the next level, but he is a lot quicker than he looks, and could occasionally create pressure for opposing backfields. Ika feels like the type of active linemen that every NFL team wants, and could end up being quite a steal if he does slide into the later rounds.

Projected Range: Late third round to late fifth round


Linebackers

1. Will Anderson Jr., Alabama -- It's rare we see a player come into college and dominate quite the way Will Anderson did the past three years. As an 18-year old, Anderson was ripping through opposing blockers as a true freshman to the tune of 10.5 tackles for loss and seven sacks. The encore wasn't just impressive, it was one of the greatest defensive seasons in college football history, with Anderson notching 17.5 sacks and 34.5 tackles for loss. Although his numbers dipped in 2022, Anderson is still my favorite player in this Draft and the player I would take No. 1 overall. It's not everyday you see a player with his blend of size and speed, and he's incredibly slippery off the edge. Whether it's at defensive end or at outside linebacker, I have little doubt that Anderson's pass rushing prowess will translate to the next level.

Projected Range: Early first round

2. Nolan Smith, Georgia -- Although his final season in Athens ended prematurely due to a torn pectoral, Nolan Smith still put together an impressive career with the Georgia Bulldogs. Smith played 46 games over a four-year career and proved to be a reliable, consistent defender off the edge. That type of experience should provide plenty of reason to feel good about the former Bulldog, even if it's a bit unclear what his position will be in the NFL. At 240 pounds, he's way smaller than others at this position, but his explosive first step and quickness have always been his strengths. You do wonder, if he does add weight in the pros, will it slow him down?

Projected Range: Mid-first round to early second round

3. Tyree Wilson, Texas Tech -- An athletic 6'6" pass rusher who excelled at Texas Tech, Tyree Wilson appears likely to land somewhere in the Top 10 later this week. He's proven he can play either defensive end or standup linebacker at a high level and despite an injury in November that cost him a big chunk of 2022, it hasn't negatively impacted his draft stock. That should tell you all you need to know about how high NFL teams are on Wilson, although medical red flags still could be a lingering concern come draft night.

Projected Range: Early to late first round

4. Trenton Simpson, Clemson -- After several seasons of success at Clemson, Trenton Simpson has made the unsurprising jump to the professional ranks. There appears to be a heavy split amongst NFL teams in their opinion on the inside linebacker; rumor is some view him as a first-round lock, while others have a second or third round grade on him. He is an interesting prospect, a bit undersized for the position who some think could play a linebacker/defensive back hybrid role at the next level. That type of versatility is a valuable asset for Simpson and there's no questioning his talent, but he's another guy whose production never quite matched his potential. I still think he offers plenty of value, especially if he lasts until Round 2 or 3, but there are questions here, too.

Projected Range: Late first round to early third round

5. Jack Campbell, Iowa -- Iowa may not boast the freakish athletes of other programs, but the Hawkeyes continue to churn out quality defenders. Next up is inside linebacker Jack Campbell, who many believe could be a late first-rounder on Thursday night. The 6'5", 250-pounder towers over just about every other inside 'backer in this Class, but still moves exceptionally well. But, it's his instincts that has always jumped out to me. He's an incredibly disciplined, well-coached defender who is always in the right spots. The overall ceiling may not be as high as others, but the types of intangibles he brings to the table shouldn't be overlooked.

Projected Range: Late first round to late second round

Sleeper: Andre Carter II, Army -- Will Anderson's dominance in 2021 received most of the national attention, but he wasn't the only edge rusher racking up sacks that season. Army's Andre Carter II notched 15.5 sacks and was nearly unstoppable in several contests, including multiple sack games against Georgia State, Ball State, and UMass. His play caught the eyes of NFL scouts, but Carter was a bit of a disappointment in 2022, with 3.5 sacks and eight TFL. Even so, I find him to be an intriguing prospect who is going to add a lot of weight to his 6'7" frame. He's a guy that will need time on an NFL roster to figure it out, and will have to refine his technique, but the growth potential is massive here. He's certainly worth a flier in the later rounds, particularly if he lasts past the fifth.

Projected Range: Late fourth round to early seventh round


Cornerbacks

1. Christian Gonzalez, Oregon -- I've been a big fan of Christian Gonzalez going back to his shortened freshman season with Colorado in 2020, and have no issue ranking him as the top corner prospect in this cycle. Gonzalez checks so many boxes; he's got good size, offers versatility, and is a fluid athlete with the ability to change directions instantly. Gonzalez also offers a nice body of work; even with the shortened 2020 season and the fact he spent just three years in college, he brings ample experience. I view Gonzalez as a Top 10 prospect in this Draft and the best available in a deep cornerback group.

Projected Range: Early to mid-first round

2. Devon Witherspoon, Illinois -- Although I rank Devon Witherspoon below Christian Gonzalez, this is more of a "1A" and "1B" scenario, rather than 1 vs. 2. Anybody who watched Illinois this year could tell that Witherspoon was a shutdown defender with a bright future. He improved steadily throughout his time in the collegiate ranks, and I think he's just scratching the surface of what he can be. Now, I do rank Witherspoon lower than Gonzalez because I do wonder about scheme fit. I'm not sure if the versatility is there with the Illini product, and he played in a system quite different than what I assume he will play in at the next level.

Projected Range: Mid to late first round

3. Joey Porter Jr., Penn State -- The son of Pittsburgh Steeler legend Joey Porter, Joey Porter Jr. will soon be playing on Sundays himself. The sturdy corner has long had potential, but had a tremendous 2022 campaign, which should help lock him in as a first-rounder. His size, at 6'3" with freakishly long arms, is what really stands out to you when viewing Porter as an NFL prospect, but he has been able to improve his consistency and take less risks as he's gotten older. He's a safe pick with a bright future who would be ranked even higher in most cornerback classes.

Projected Range: Mid-first round to early second round

4. Cam Smith, South Carolina -- Long considered a first-round possibility, Cam Smith appears to be trending more towards a Day Two selection at this point in the NFL Draft process. However, I think there's a lot of potential here with the former South Carolina Gamecock, even if there are notable weaknesses. For one, Smith is a proven playmaker, who made a living jumping routes and displaying impressive ball skills. He's not the most fluid athlete, but has tremendous closing speed and his length allows him to get in the way of passing lanes. At times, Smith's playmaking ability can get him in trouble, as he's been mistake prone and was often penalized at South Carolina. Whoever does choose to invest in him will be getting a player with loads of potential, but also a guy who will need plenty of work. 

Projected Range: Early second round to late third round

5. Deonte Banks, Maryland -- A strong pre-Draft process has vaulted Deonte Banks from a likely second or third-rounder into first round consideration. NFL teams love his blazing speed and feel like he can be a real difference-maker on the back-end with his tools. With that being said, lack of discipline was a problem for Banks at Maryland and he has to learn how to use that speed effectively. Receivers have learned to use double moves against him, and there were times when he was burned down the field more than he should have been. Banks dealt with injuries and a shortened COVID campaign that hampered his development slightly, but could still have a bright future ahead of him.

Projected Range: Late first round to late second round

Sleeper: Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson, TCU -- The uncle of TCU and NFL legend LaDainian Tomlinson, Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson lived up to the family name with an impressive career in Fort Worth. He was a three-time All-American and won the Jim Thorpe Award this past fall, helping lead the Horned Frogs to a National Championship Game appearance. After measuring in at 5'8", 178 pounds at the Combine, it's no surprise that NFL teams are a bit wary about his size and fit in a pro defense. Yet, I still think he has a bright future ahead of him as a nickel back in the NFL, an explosive athlete with a proven pedigree. He's one of the better corners in this Class in terms of run support and should be able to be an asset to any pro team.

Projected Range: Early third round to late fourth round


Safeties

1. Brian Branch, Alabama -- In one of the weaker safety classes I can recall, Brian Branch takes the cake as the best available. That shouldn't come off as a knock against the Tide defender, who appears to be a first-round lock. He's the latest in a long line of Alabama defensive backs who put together impressive careers in Tuscaloosa and will be earning millions on Sundays. We've seen past Alabama defenders who may be more athletic than Branch, but he's about as good of a tackler as you'll find at this level. He's got NFL-level instincts, a nose for the ball, and could realistically play either nickel or safety in the pros. It feels like a safe bet to assume Branch will land somewhere in the first round.

Projected Range: Mid-first round to early second round

2. Antonio Johnson, Texas A&M -- It's difficult to know how to categorize Antonio Johnson, whether he's a corner or safety at the next level. It feels like his physique and play style lends itself to end up being a safety, but there's some thought he could move around as needed. He put together an extremely impressive career in College Station, even though he dealt with injuries in 2022. A relatively underwhelming showing at the Combine has threatened to drop him, but he makes up for it with refined fundamentals and fabulous instincts. Another guy who feels like he doesn't have superstar upside, but is going to have a long, productive NFL career.

Projected Range: Early second round to early third round

3. Daniel Scott, California -- Although I believe this safety group is weak this year, I've become a big fan of Daniel Scott. He was the unsung hero on a stingy Cal defense and also made his presence felt on special teams. He followed it up with a nice pre-Draft process that showcased nice speed, a well-rounded game, and a fundamentally sound football player. The biggest weakness for Scott as a prospect isn't even necessarily a fault of his own, but the ageism of the Draft process. He will be a 25-year old rookie next fall, and spent six years in Berkeley. The reality is that his ceiling is capped in comparison to others, although I still believe he's worth a flier. 

Projected Range: Late fourth round to early seventh round

4. Jordan Battle, Alabama -- Much like his fellow defensive backfield mate, Brian Branch, Jordan Battle doesn't jump out at you the way past Alabama defensive backs have. He's never going to be the most athletic player on the field or make a game-changing interception. But, what he does bring to the table is plenty of experience and a proven piece in pass coverage. Battle played a bunch of snaps with the Tide and proved to be a reliable, consistent force on the back-end. He also showed the ability to come up and make plays when needed, and can be used creatively. It's unclear whether he will end up being a starter at the next level, but he's well worth a selection in the middle rounds.

Projected Range: Late second round to late fourth round

5. Brandon Joseph, Notre Dame -- Few players broke out during the shortened 2020 season quite like Brandon Joseph, who was playing for Northwestern at the time. He picked off six passes as a true freshman, playing a key role in helping guide the Wildcats to the Big Ten Championship Game. He followed that up with a pair of steady seasons, one more with the Wildcats and then one with Notre Dame. But, as an NFL prospect, his lack of top-end speed and inconsistent tackling make him a likely middle round selection. The ball-hawking ability is always an important asset to have and Joseph can also help out on special teams, but it's hard to get overly excited about him with some of the flaws. 

Projected Range: Early fourth round to early sixth round

Sleeper: Marte Mapu, Sacramento State -- Marte Mapu isn't your typical NFL Draft prospect in a lot of ways. For one, it's not often we see players from Sacramento State getting much attention at this point in the process. Second, Mapu has a fascinating physique, at 6'3" and weighing in at 215 pounds. There's some who feel that Mapu would be more natural at linebacker and his ability to make plays in run support seems to bail that out. But, he will need to put on weight if that is going to be the case and he could be a real asset in coverage with his skillset. Either way, the reigning Big Sky Defensive Player of the Year is going to find some way to make an impact in the NFL.

Projected Range: Early fourth round to late sixth round

Tuesday, April 18, 2023

NFL Draft 2023: Offensive Player Position Rankings

Jahmyr Gibbs, Alabama

The 2023 NFL Draft is now less than two weeks away but despite its impending status, there's plenty of intrigue throughout the first round. In preparation, it's time to unveil my annual "Player Position Rankings" beginning with the offense. I power-rank each position group in terms of the order I'd draft each one if I were an NFL GM, regardless of where they may be projected in mock drafts. Without further ado, let's get into it.


Quarterbacks

1. Bryce Young, Alabama -- It still boggles my mind that in the year 2023, the height of a quarterback can be such a major storyline. Sure, Bryce Young doesn't look like your prototypical NFL signal-caller at 5'10", 195 pounds, but I still view as the best quarterback in this Class. Anybody that watched him during his time at Alabama can tell that Young possesses a fantastic arm, a tremendous feel for the game, and the type of instincts you simply can't teach. He won a Heisman Trophy despite playing with arguably the weakest receiver corps Alabama has had in a decade, and looked well on his way towards another huge year before injury struck this past fall. Young is the type of prospect that should be able to succeed no matter the situation, which you don't always see with young quarterbacks. It feels like NFL personnel force themselves to overthink this sometimes; just go out and get the guy who has dominated at every level he's been at.

Projected Range: Early first round

2. C.J. Stroud, Ohio State -- Although Bryce Young appears to be trending as the No. 1 pick, C.J. Stroud is likely to land somewhere in the Top 5 himself. Things could still change, but it's not surprising that NFL scouts and front office folks adore the Ohio State prospect. He's a well-built QB with a rocket for an arm who ran a very modern scheme during his time in Columbus. And although he isn't known for being a runner, he's proven he can open things up with his legs and extend plays when needed. If there is a concern for me, it's Stroud's play in big games, which didn't always live up to the moment. Yet, even that negative feels a bit unfair to him, as he threw for 348 yards and four touchdowns in the biggest game of his college career in this past season's Peach Bowl loss. Stroud may have been gifted a truly remarkable group of receivers to work with, which may not be the case in the NFL, but that shouldn't be a knock against him either. The former Buckeye has followed up a terrific two-year showcase with a strong pre-Draft, and it doesn't feel like a stretch in any way for Carolina to invest the top overall pick in him.

Projected Range: Early first round

3. Hendon Hooker, Tennessee -- Four quarterbacks - Young, Stroud, Will Levis, and Anthony Richardson - are first-round locks at this point in the process. But it appears there could be one more set to be taken within the first 31 picks of this year's Draft: Tennessee's Hendon Hooker. The one-time Virginia Tech transfer put together a record-setting 2022 campaign before a torn ACL in November ended his UT career prematurely. Even coming off such a significant injury, I love Hooker as a prospect. It's rare to see a player with his dynamic running ability be able to pair it with such a strong, accurate arm. He may have played in a cheat code offense while with Tennessee but he also proved to be a difference-maker at VT, and has the type of skillset that should be able to fit in a wide variety of offenses. Hooker may not have the ceiling of other quarterbacks in the Class, but his high floor makes him worthy of this ranking.

Projected Range: Late first to late second round

4. Will Levis, Kentucky -- Few players in this Draft seem to garner the controversy of Kentucky's Will Levis. Those who love him adore his skillset, large frame, and long-term upside. Those who don't point to his rather pedestrian numbers at both Penn State and UK. I fall somewhere in my between in my evaluation of Levis. I think he's got plenty of arm talent and is certainly an elite athlete, but is the type of quarterback prospect that absolutely needs to land in the right situation to fulfill his potential. This is just not the type of QB who elevates those around him the way a Young or Hooker might. That's not to say he can't be successful, but the boom-or-bust potential is obvious here.

Projected Range: Early to mid-first round

5. Anthony Richardson, Florida -- As a college football fan, I'll admit to bias with certain prospects. There may be times when I view a player solely in the context of what they did in college and not how they project to the NFL. So maybe that's the reason I'm so low on Anthony Richardson, at least compared to most mock drafts I see. I do understand why Richardson is an attractive prospect; anybody who watched Florida upset Utah earlier this year saw a full display of how many special things he can do on a football field. But at the end of the day, it's hard to wrap my head around the fact that a player who couldn't beat out Emory Jones at Florida, a guy now on his third school, could be a Top 5 selection. Richardson is far too streaky and mechanically broken for me to go anywhere near him in this Draft.

Projected Range: Early to mid-first round

Sleeper: Jaren Hall, BYU -- Jaren Hall put together one of the most underrated seasons from a quarterback anywhere in the country in 2022, surpassing 3,000 yards passing and 31 touchdowns. However, an underwhelming pre-Draft process has hurt the BYU Cougar, and now his range appears to be anywhere from the middle rounds to undrafted. It's obvious NFL folks aren't in love with the combination of him being undersized and average arm talent, but that only tells part of the story. Hall also stuck out to me as an incredibly poised, intelligent decision-maker who didn't have the athletic traits that could blow you away, but still was an awfully effective QB. Add in the fact that he has plenty of mobility and throws a very accurate, catchable ball, I love his value, especially if he does last into the late rounds.

Projected Range: Early fourth round to undrafted


Running backs

1. Bijan Robinson, Texas -- Not since Saquon Barkley have we seen a running back prospect as complete as Bijan Robinson. The one-time Texas Longhorn can hurt defenses in so many different ways; his speed and shiftiness make him a real pain to tackle in open space, but he's proven he can handle life between the tackles, as well. As a receiver out of the backfield, Robinson has soft hands and the ability to make catches in high-traffic areas. I still feel as though he wasn't used as much as he should have been with the Longhorns, and still looked like the nation's most dominant tailback. Any NFL team would value his services and will be immediately adding a spark to their offense by adding him.

Projected Range: Early to late first round

2. Jahmyr Gibbs, Alabama -- Jahmyr Gibbs was my preseason Heisman Trophy pick heading into 2022 and although he wasn't quite able to live up to those lofty goals, he still put together an impressive lone year in Tuscaloosa. Gibbs finished with 926 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground, but that's just a fraction of what he can do. He's proven to be a tremendous receiver and will also make his presence felt on special teams, although Alabama didn't want him adding too much wear and tear returning kickoffs. He finished with over 1,000 yards receiving over the course of three seasons with Georgia Tech and Alabama, and should be able to bring that playmaking ability to the next level. I've compared him to Reggie Bush in the past, and although he obviously wasn't quite as prolific as Reggie was in college, the versatility and explosiveness are all there.

Projected Range: Late first round to late second round

3. Zach Charbonnet, UCLA -- There's a fairly steep drop-off after these top two, although UCLA's Zach Charbonnet should offer some value in the middle rounds. Charbonnet immediately impressed as a true freshman with Michigan, but the arrival of Blake Corum and Donovan Edwards forced him to head west, and put together prolific numbers in Chip Kelly's offense. He totaled 1,359 yards and averaged seven yards per carry, which include five consecutive 100-yard performances. The thing that has always intrigued me about Charbonnet is his blend of power and speed. He runs incredibly hard and loves to battle through contact, but he's got more burst in the open field than most give him credit for. He ended up running a 4.53 40 at the Combine, which likely helped out his draft stock in a major way.

Projected Range: Early third round to late fifth round

4. Kendre Miller, TCU -- Max Duggan received most of the attention on offense during TCU's miraculous 2022 season, and for good reason, but Kendre Miller still played a major role in the turnaround. After rushing for 623 yards in 2021, Miller broke out with a 1,399-yard, 17 touchdown performance that was fourth among Big 12 rushers. As an NFL prospect, Miller provides plenty of speed and open-field ability, although he may have to add some weight to be an everyday back. The ending to the 2022 season also left something to be desired, as he was held in check in each of TCU's final four games. Although, that really shouldn't be too much of a knock against him, as those were among the toughest rush defenses in FBS ball this year.

Projected Range: Early third round to early fifth round

5. Zach Evans, Ole Miss -- The player that Kendre Miller replaced at TCU is none other than Zach Evans, who transferred to Ole Miss and put together a strong final year in the collegiate ranks. A former five-star prospect, Evans had three good seasons at two different destinations and yet, remains a very interesting NFL Draft prospect. There's little denying his talent; in fact, he may be the most talented tailback in this Draft not named Bijan Robinson. But it hasn't always translated to on-field success, and there have been complaints in the past about Evans' attitude and work ethic. Even so, he's well worth a flier in the middle rounds and it wouldn't shock me at all if he ends up putting together a quality NFL career.

Projected Range: Late second round to late fourth round

Sleeper: Chase Brown, Illinois -- It's hard to call a guy who ran for over 1,500 yards in 2022 a "sleeper" but Chase Brown is still undervalued by a lot of the NFL community. He doesn't jump out at you athletically and feels more like a third-down back in the pros than a regular contributor. However, Brown did have a strong Combine and ran faster than expected, and brings more elusiveness and shiftiness than most people give him credit for. He's also a very good blocker for his position and should be able to benefit any NFL team in a variety of ways.

Projected Range: Early fourth round to late sixth round


Receivers

1. Quentin Johnston, TCU -- It's yet another year full of quality receivers, but at this point it's hard to pick just one to be top guy. However, if I had my choice as an NFL GM, TCU's Quentin Johnston would be my selection. He offers plenty of size at 6'3", 210 pounds, but also real game-breaking ability on the perimeter. He was proven that can he can hurt defenses over the top, but played a bit of a different role in this Horned Frog offense in 2022, acting more as a possession guy than big-play threat. Johnston has proven he can do both at a high level, and the route running skills are already at an NFL level. 

Projected Range: Early to late first round

2. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Ohio State -- Going into the season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba was considered by most to be the top receiver in college football and a Biletnikoff Award favorite. Instead, "JSN" struggled through an injury-riddled campaign and never quite seemed at 100 percent. Instead of building on his record-setting 2021, he watched as other Buckeye receivers broke out into superstardom. However, he's still almost certainly a first-round lock, and provides a lot of upside. He's an elite playmaker who can operate either inside or outside at a high level. The route running and hands aren't yet at NFL levels, but they will feel like they can get there quickly if he lands in the right scheme. The key for him will be getting healthy and making the most of this offseason. It's unfair to call 2022 a complete wash, but it provides a bit of pressure as we look ahead towards the Draft and this fall.

Projected Range: Early to late first round

3. Jordan Addison, USC -- After winning the Biletnikoff Award in 2021, Jordan Addison's transfer to USC sent shockwaves throughout the college football universe. No matter your opinion on how the move went down, there's no denying that Addison put together an impressive campaign in Southern California and now appears to be a first-round prospect. His home run ability is what sets him apart from others in this Class, even if some of the fundamentals aren't as strong as others. It feels like he has arguably the highest ceiling of any of the receivers in this group, but there is still bust potential to be wary of. One thing to note: Addison's two big years in college came catching passes from one Heisman finalist (Kenny Pickett) and one Heisman winner (Caleb Williams). Does he have the skillset to put up numbers if he isn't catching from an elite QB in the NFL? 

Projected Range: Mid to late first round

4. Jalin Hyatt, Tennessee -- Going into 2022, Cedric Tillman was expected to be the star receiver on the outside in Josh Heupel's aggressive offensive scheme. Instead, Tillman dealt with injuries, and it was his fellow wide out, Jalin Hyatt, that broke on to the scene. He finished with 1,267 yards and 15 touchdowns on the year, but it was the Alabama game that enshrined Hyatt as a legend in Knoxville. He decimated the Tide defense to the tune of 207 yards and a record-setting five touchdowns, helping secure UT's biggest win in over a decade. I don't think Hyatt was just a one-hit wonder, but I'll be curious to see what he can do in a more traditional NFL offense. His blazing speed and quick feet helped him get wide open often with the Volunteers, but Heupel also drew up plays to spring him on the outside. If he is going to be worthy of a first-round selection, he'll have to refine his route running skills and also improve as a blocker, a major weakness in his game right now.

Projected Range: Mid-first round to early second round

5. Zay Flowers, Boston College -- It's not surprising that not a lot of football fans tuned into Boston College games over the last several years, but those that did got treated to a special talent in Zay Flowers. The dynamic slot receiver may be small in stature, measuring in at 5'9" at the Combine, but he makes up for it with his big-time playmaking ability. He's shifty and slippery in traffic and when he does get a lane, there's no stopping Flowers taking it to the house. The fact that he put up such impressive numbers despite playing in an anemic Boston College pass offense says a lot to me. He should be able to make an impact in any offense and any scheme, which can't be said for all of the top wide outs this year.

Projected Range: Mid-first round to mid-second round

Sleeper: Tyler Scott, Cincinnati -- One player that appears to be trending up at the right time is Cincinnati's Tyler Scott. A strong pre-Draft has pushed the former Bearcat into the first round discussion, although it's more likely he lasts somewhere on the second day of the event. It isn't a surprise what has caught the attention of NFL teams: Scott is one of the fastest players in this Draft, a former junior Olympic sprinter who turned heads with a 4.44 40 yard dash. However, his speed is just one aspect of Scott's skillset, as he offers reliable hands and plenty of versatility, even if he'll spend most of his time in the slot. Scott played in an offense at Cincinnati that didn't take too many shots down the field, even when they had Desmond Ridder under center, but he should be able to bring home run ability to any team at the next level.

Projected Range: Early second round to early fourth round


Tight Ends

1. Darnell Washington, Georgia -- The term "boom-or-bust" tends to get overused this time of year, but I'm not sure if there's a player that fits that definition better than Georgia's Darnell Washington. He's a once-in-a-generation prospect in the way he looks on the field, standing 6'7", 265 pounds. He will be blocking future NFL defenders in the SEC and dwarf them. Even so, Washington moves well for his size and has decent hands, which you'd hope could get even better at the next level. But, the production didn't always match the potential, as Washington played a complementary role rather than a starring one. Sure, there were injuries, and Georgia also happened to have the nation's best tight, Brock Bowers, playing alongside him, but I wonder if Washington is the type of player that wows you with his physical tools, but doesn't always back it up with his play. But if an NFL team can turn those physical gifts into assets for an offense, he's not only the top tight end in this Draft, but a Top 10 prospect overall.

Projected Range: Late first round to mid-second round

2. Michael Mayer, Notre Dame -- Michael Mayer is the latest in a long line of Notre Dame tight ends who will be playing on Sundays. The former high-profile recruit has been a difference-maker since Day One in South Bend and projects well to the NFL. He's a strong, well-rounded pass-catcher with reliable hands and good route running abilities. At times he was the lone Notre Dame pass-catcher that could move the chains and despite facing double and triple teams, found ways to make an impact. Mayer will have to get better as a blocker, but the tools are there and everything we've heard about him is that he's a hard-worker.

Projected Range: Mid-first round to mid-second round

3. Dalton Kincaid, Utah -- Dalton Kincaid took advantage of a season-ending injury to Brant Kuithe to put together a huge final season in Salt Lake City. Now, the 6'4", 250-pounder looks like he could end up going somewhere in the first two rounds and be one of the top tight ends off the board. Whichever NFL team adds him will be getting an uber-athletic specimen who can be a real problem for opposing defenses. He's got quality hands and can catch either in space or in high-traffic areas. Kincaid is a tad undersized for a modern tight end in the NFL, but not enough that it should be a major knock against him. In fact, it could even be an asset for him if he lands in the right system.

Projected Range: Early second round to early third round

4. Luke Musgrave, Oregon State -- If the NFL Draft was based solely on college production, Luke Musgrave would not even be in the discussion to be the top tight end off the board. Fortunately for him that's not the case, and NFL teams have fallen in love with the fast-rising Oregon State Beaver. Although his game is still raw, Musgrave is an elite athlete who came out as one of the big winners at the NFL Combine. He's extremely quick for 6'6" with a massive catch radius who projects extremely well at the next level. With that being said, the COVID-shortened 2020 campaign and a knee injury this past fall have really limited his snaps. For all the potential he brings to the table, he may need more time than any other tight end in this cycle.

Projected Range: Late first round to mid-third round

5. Sam LaPorta, Iowa -- For all the flack Iowa's offense receives, there might not be a better program in America at producing NFL-ready tight ends. They'll be sending another one to the pros again this spring in Sam LaPorta, who could potentially sneak into the end of the first round. LaPorta is a tremendous athlete for the position who is a better blocker than many others in this Draft. Much like Mayer, everybody in the stadium knew that he was going to be fed the ball, and LaPorta still produced at an incredibly high level throughout his time in college. I'm not sure if he has the upside of a Washington or Musgrave, but he should have a high floor, making him a safe selection, especially if he lasts into the second or third round.

Projected Range: Early second round to late third round


Offensive Linemen

1. Peter Skoronski, Northwestern -- This doesn't feel like a great class for the offensive line, particularly at tackle, but Peter Skoronski still feels worthy of a Top 10 selection. He's not as athletically gifted as his former teammate, former No. 13 overall pick Rashawn Slater, but he's more powerful and has a larger body of work. Shorter arms make it a possibility that Skoronski could eventually move from his natural position at tackle inside to guard, but it's up to whichever team eventually ends up with the Northwestern product. That team will be getting a quality, experienced blocker who consistently proved himself against some of the best the Big Ten has to offer.

Projected Range: Early to mid-first round

2. Paris Johnson Jr., Ohio State -- Another linemen hailing from Big Ten country, Paris Johnson jumps out at you in a way not every blocker in this Draft does. He's 6'6", 315 pounds with massive arms that make him appear even more formidable. He also has a large body of work during his time in Columbus, playing right away and spending time at both guard and tackle. Although Johnson put up strong numbers and projects favorably as a franchise left tackle, it felt like he was a bit inconsistent with the Buckeyes and never quite able to break through. It wouldn't shock me if he ends up being the best tackle in this Draft, but the bust potentially is also higher here than say, Skoronski.

Projected Range: Early to late first round

3. Tyler Steen, Alabama -- A player that I've become a big fan of over the past year is Tyler Steen, a former Vanderbilt Commodore who spent his final season with Alabama. He's another guy with the versatility to play either guard or tackle at the next level, and his growth as a run blocker has been one of the biggest things I've noticed. Steen has always had good size, but he's become much stronger and been able to push around defenders in a way he wasn't able to before. The growth over three seasons at Vanderbilt was evident and spending his final year at 'Bama should really help him. Interestingly enough, NFL folks don't seem super high on him, as I've seen everything from third round grades to sixth round.

Projected Range: Late second round to late fourth round

4. O'Cyrus Torrence, Florida -- O'Cyrus Torrence followed his head coach, Billy Napier, from UL-Lafayette to Florida this past fall and didn't seem intimidated at all by SEC competition. On the contrary, the guard seemed to reach another level in 2022 and cleared the path for a revitalized Florida rushing attack. He's been trending as a first-round pick for some time now even if guards aren't typically valued the same way as tackles, but he'll have to get in better shape for the next level. His measurements at the Combine weren't superb and some NFL teams have expressed concern about his athleticism.

Projected Range: Mid-first round to late second round

5. Broderick Jones, Georgia -- After serving primarily as a backup in the prior two seasons, Broderick Jones was the starting left tackle for the National Champion Georgia Bulldogs this past fall. He proved to be a capable tackle, even against tough competition, but didn't exactly jump out at you when you watched him play. Jones is a bit undersized for tackle and is yet another player that could eventually move inside and play guard, but NFL teams adore his athleticism and feel like he could be the best linemen in this Draft. He feels like another guy with significant boom-or-bust potential.

Projected Range: Mid-first round to late second round

Sleeper: Steve Avila, TCU -- A three-year starter at TCU, Steve Avila was a real anchor for the Horned Frogs. He played a key role in helping build a powerful rushing attack that really burst out this past fall en route to a National Championship run. He isn't the most athletic offensive linemen set to be available somewhere in the middle rounds, but he's a forceful blocker who didn't allow a single sack in pass protection in 2022. Avila played guard throughout college, but could also realistically play at center in the pros.

Projected Range: Early third round to early fifth round

Thursday, April 13, 2023

Spring Football 2023: Breaking Down the 10 Most Important Quarterback Competitions

Jalen Milroe, Alabama

As the calendar flips to April, we move one more month closer to the start of the 2023 college football season. There's still plenty of time between now and then, but spring practice and spring games give us a nice appetizer to carry us through the summer months. It's one of the first times for many quarterbacks in position battles across the country to make a strong impression, all of which will have a major impact on the college football landscape this season. These ten battles are the most important ones to watch throughout the spring and into summer.


Alabama Crimson Tide

Competitors: Jalen Milroe (RSo.), Ty Simpson (RFr.)

Things will look quite different for Alabama's offense this fall, as Bryce Young takes his talents to the NFL and Tommy Rees takes over as offensive coordinator. There's no sugarcoating how big of a loss Young will be, arguably the best quarterback of the Nick Saban era. Yet, there's at least some returning experience here, as redshirt sophomore Jalen Milroe started the Texas A&M game and saw action in eight contests. That slight edge in experience should give Milroe the upper hand in the Tide quarterback competition, but he'll have his work cut out for him holding off redshirt freshman Ty Simpson. The former blue-chipper maintained his redshirt despite seeing game action in 2022, and has the physical tools to be a star under center. This pair seems to have varying strengths; Milroe is a dual-threat with game-breaking ability, while Simpson is a bit more of your prototypical pocket passer. That could be important, as the hire of Tommy Rees should naturally have a major influence here. Rees ran a pro-style, traditional scheme while at Notre Dame and the expectation is that the offense will look a bit more like what Saban used to run in the earlier 2010s. If that is indeed the case, it seems to cater to Simpson's strengths, who has come out and reportedly had a strong spring. If he can follow it up with an impressive showing in fall camp, it seems like a fairly good bet he'll be the starter when Alabama takes the field against Middle Tennessee on September 2nd.

Favorite: Simpson


Cincinnati Bearcats

Competitors: Ben Bryant (RSr.), Emory Jones (RSr.), Evan Prater (RJr.)

After arguably the most successful stretch in program history, Cincinnati is off to the Big 12 with a new head coach leading the way. Scott Satterfield starts anew after a four-year stint at Louisville that started off promising but quickly floundered. His first major decision with the Bearcats will be deciding on a starting quarterback, and there are three experienced options available. Ben Bryant started the first 11 games of 2022 and put up solid numbers across the board before a season-ending injury. He's a proven, stable option under center, but one has to wonder if either junior Evan Prater or senior Emory Jones are better fits in Satterfield's offense. Prater is a former high-profile recruit who has flashed potential, but never put it together. It was a bit disappointing that he wasn't able to break through and take away the job from Bryant a season ago, which might not be a good sign for his future prospects as a starting QB. Jones has started games at both Florida and Arizona State, but hasn't been much more than a mediocre Power Five quarterback. Satterfield and staff brought him on for a reason, but it would surprise me if he's able to hold off both Bryant and Prater in the long-term. 

Favorite: Bryant


Florida Gators

Competitors: Jack Miller (RSo.), Graham Mertz (RJr.), Max Brown (RFr.)

Billy Napier's debut campaign at Florida started off with a massive home win over Utah before derailing, as the Gators limped into the offseason at 6-7. As Napier and the Gators gear up for 2023, there's a sense of pressure permeating throughout the program. Florida brass will need to see progress this fall, which means the ongoing QB battle will be crucial for Napier and his long-term future here. In the midst of the battle are two former transfers from Big Ten country, Jack Miller from Ohio State and Graham Mertz from Wisconsin. Miller never really got a chance to show what he could do at OSU and then backed up Anthony Richardson in 2022. With Richardson skipping out of the Las Vegas Bowl, it was the ideal opportunity for him to grab hold of the job. Instead, he went 13-22 and threw for 180 yards in a blowout loss, an extremely underwhelming debut for the former four-star recruit. Napier and staff were active in the transfer portal, with the result being Mertz, who started 32 games over three years in Madison. Aside from a dominant debut back in 2020 against Illinois, Mertz had a rough go of it, finishing with a 38-26 TD-INT ratio and a 19-13 starting record. Even so, it's hard to find any quarterback who has started 30-plus games at the Power Five level and Mertz has arm talent, even if it hasn't always translated to on-field success. Napier and his staff brought him on for a reason and I think he should be the favorite to start right now, although Miller and Max Brown, a raw but talented redshirt freshman, will be firmly in the mix.

Favorite: Mertz


Georgia Bulldogs

Competitors: Brock Vandagriff (RSo.), Carson Beck (Jr.), Gunner Stockton (RFr.)

The quest for a third consecutive National Title is underway at Georgia, but identifying a new starting quarterback will be chief priority for Kirby Smart and company this offseason. A trio of talented, but inexperienced, options reside in Athens, all with their pros and cons. Junior Carson Beck is the veteran of the quarterback room, set to enter his fourth year in the program. After barely playing in 2020 and 2021, Beck played in seven games last season and played well. He was 26-35 for 310 yards and four touchdowns, but nearly all of that was in garbage time against inferior foes. Competing with him is redshirt sophomore Brock Vandagriff and redshirt freshman Gunner Stockton. Vandagriff has a huge arm and can make defenders miss with his legs, but simply has not seen enough action at the collegiate level to be considered a frontrunner here. Stockton hasn't either, but is a well-rounded young quarterback who has a close relationship with new offensive coordinator Mike Bobo. There doesn't seem to be a real favorite at this point in the process, although Beck's experience is a selling point, but the Bulldogs will have ample time to figure it out. Not only are there several months between now and the start of the 2023 season, Georgia has one of the softest non-conference schedules in FBS ball this year.

Favorite: Beck


NC State Wolfpack

Competitors: Brennan Armstrong (Sr.), M.J. Morris (So.)

Devin Leary is off to Kentucky, leaving the door open for a new signal-caller in Raleigh. Most assume that Leary transferred because of the impressive play by M.J. Morris during his freshman campaign, but the soon-to-be sophomore doesn't have the position on lock. NC State brought in veteran QB Brennan Armstrong from Virginia over the offseason as a one-year rental, and paired him with his old play-caller, OC Robert Anae. It's a low-risk, high-reward move by the Wolfpack if Armstrong can regain his old 2021 form. He surpassed over 4,000 yards passing that year and added 31 touchdowns, while adding a nice running element. One year later, it became clear that the absence of Anae, who had take the OC job at Syracuse, was a major issue and Armstrong was one of the most disappointing in the country. Will his old play-caller help him go out with a grand finale, or was 2021 merely an aberation? Morris will be breathing down his back after impressing when Leary was out with injury, but the job appears to be Armstrong's to loss, at least for the time being.

Favorite: Armstrong


Nebraska Cornhuskers

Competitors: Casey Thompson (Sr.), Chubba Purdy (RSo.), Jeff Sims (Jr.)

A new staff always shakes things up, as is the case in Lincoln. The Matt Rhule era has begun and despite the fact returning starter Casey Thompson is back, a QB battle is unfolding. Thompson put together a solid season in 2022 despite Nebraska's struggles, finishing with 2,407 yards and 17 touchdowns. However, turnovers continue to be a problem for the veteran, and he's still working his way back from shoulder surgery. That opens the door for Georgia Tech transfer Jeff Sims, who started 23 games over three seasons with the Yellow Jackets. Sims was impressive as a true freshman during the COVID-shortened 2020 campaign, but dealt with injuries and poor play over the next two years. He can make things happen with his legs, but accuracy remains a problem. There's also Chubba Purdy, who has started games with Florida State and Nebraska, but remains more of a long shot than serious contender for this job. It wouldn't shock me if he enters the transfer portal and heads to another destination in the spring window. Overall, Thompson holds a slight edge in terms of experience, at least in Lincoln, but the new staff has no loyalties to him. Add in the fact he's still not 100 percent, Sims has a good chance to get the inside track to the starting gig as we head into summer.

Favorite: Sims


Ohio State Buckeyes

Competitors: Kyle McCord (Jr.), Devin Brown (So.)

There's no quarterback competition more important in the Big Ten than the battle brewing in Columbus. Junior Kyle McCord is competing against sophomore Devin Brown to take over the starting job vacated by C.J. Stroud. Whoever comes out on top will have the chance to enjoy one of the nation's best receiver corps, headlined by Marvin Harrison Jr. McCord is the slight favorite, set to enter his third year in the program in 2023. McCord came in as a true freshman and impressed the Buckeyes with his arm talent and poise, and was considered a serious challenger for the starting job before Stroud won it. Since, McCord has thrown a total of 58 passes over the last two years, nearly all of them being in garbage time. On the other side, there's Devin Brown, who enrolled early in January of 2022 and has yet to attempt a collegiate pass. He saw the field just once last fall, coming in for a 1 yard run in a 56-point thumping of Toledo. While McCord has the edge in arm ability, Brown's a natural athlete and lethal with his legs. He could give this Ohio State offense a different element than they had under Stroud, who wasn't as dangerous of a runner as his predecessor, Justin Fields. Brown is still probably at a disadvantage because of the lack of experience, and McCord has had an opportunity to develop chemistry with these receivers, but on a personal note, I hope Brown wins. Why? He wears number 33. Any quarterback willing to wear such an untraditional number instantly garners my attention and admiration.

Favorite: McCord


Ole Miss Rebels

Competitors: Jaxson Dart (Jr.), Spencer Sanders (Sr.), Walker Howard (RFr.)

After the disappointing conclusion to the 2022 season, it appears Lane Kiffin has taken on a new strategy at Ole Miss: simply stockpiling every quarterback he can. Despite the fact the Rebels returned an incumbent starter in Jaxson Dart, Kiffin brought on Oklahoma State's longtime starter, Spencer Sanders, as well as a highly touted youngster in Walker Howard from LSU. The decision to bring in those two seems to indicate Kiffin wasn't super satisfied with Dart, who finished with 2,974 yards and 20 touchdowns a year ago. The junior has plenty of talent and can make things happen with his legs, but he just never seemed comfortable in this offense in 2022. You would think another offseason would work wonders, but now Dart will be competing for first-team reps with two others. Sanders has to be considered the more serious competitor, at least in regards to 2023. He spent five seasons with Oklahoma State and started 42 games, finishing with nearly 10,000 passing yards and 85 total touchdowns. He's proven to be a capable Power Five quarterback, but never really had his breakthrough under Mike Gundy. Could that change under Kiffin? As for Walker Howard, this appears to be more of a long-term play for Kiffin, as the redshirt freshman is still incredibly raw. That should bring some clarity to this position battle, but it remains one of the most fascinating in college football and one of the toughest to get a read on. At the end of the day, Kiffin brought on Sanders and the veteran transferred here for a reason, and that's not to sit on the bench.

Favorite: Sanders


Tennessee Volunteers

Competitors: Joe Milton (Sr.), Nico Iamaleava (Fr.)

It's easy to forget that prior to his season-ending injury, Hendon Hooker was considered a Heisman frontrunner. He took full advantage of his opportunity in a wide-open, QB-friendly offense and thrived, likely cementing himself as a Day One or Day Two NFL Draft selection. Which quarterback is next to take the reigns of Josh Heupel's offense? One would assume it will be former Michigan transfer Joe Milton, who started several contests in 2021 and led the Volunteers to a smashing Orange Bowl victory over Clemson. However, he will still have to hold off true freshman Nico Iamaleava, who may be the most hyped recruit in Tennessee history. Some view him, not Arch Manning, as the best QB in the Class of 2023 and the Volunteers weren't shy in doing whatever to secure his services, with Iamaleava signing a multimillion dollar NIL deal. Even with all the attention surrounding him, it's important to reminder Iamaleava is still just 18 years old and this is the SEC we're talking about. No, I think it will be Milton to start things out, but the moment the offense starts to struggle? Fans will be quick to call for their prized newcomer. 


UCLA Bruins

Competitors: Ethan Garbers (RJr.), Collin Schlee (Sr.), Dante Moore (Fr.)

Chip Kelly enters his sixth season in Westwood in 2023 and for the first time since he took over, he's looking for a new starting quarterback. Dorian Thompson-Robinson took over early on during Kelly's debut campaign and proceeded to start 48 games, finishing as the program's all-time leading passer. Now, Kelly is deciding between an interesting trio where only one, Ethan Garbers, was on the roster at this time a year ago. Garbers, a one-time Washington transfer, knows the program, but it's likely he'll be overshadowed by the pair of newcomers. That includes Kent State grad transfer Collin Schlee and Dante Moore, one of the highest-rated recruits in program history. Schlee is the veteran in the room, throwing the ball 266 times with the Golden Flashes last season. He proved to be serviceable, but one has to wonder if he'll be able to acclimate to Power Five ball. Fans are already clamoring for Moore, a former Oregon commit who has all the physical tools to be a superstar at this level. But, the reality is that he arrived on campus just weeks ago and is only 17 years old. It would come as a surprise to me if he ended up winning the starting job by the season opener, but there's no way UCLA is going to keep him off the field. It may end up being a situation where Schlee starts the year but the allure of Moore is too much to ignore and he takes over.

Favorite: Schlee



Monday, April 3, 2023

March Madness 2023: National Championship Prediction

Adama Sanogo, UConn

One of the strangest NCAA Tournaments in recent memory concludes Monday night in Houston, with a game few, if any, expected. The fifth-seeded San Diego State Aztecs, who had never advanced past the Sweet 16 prior to this year, are looking to take down the four seed and favorite, UConn Huskies. For the Huskies, it's an opportunity to prove themselves as one of the sport's true elites; they're searching for their fifth National Title since 1999, a feat no other program has accomplished in that span.

If you're looking for an up-tempo team that plays at a relentless pace, the San Diego State Aztecs are not your team. No, Brian Dutcher's club is one of the slowest-paced teams you'll find in Division I basketball, instead leaning on an efficient half-court offense and smothering defense. That's not to discredit this Aztec offense, which has been very effective this March. They've shown they can beat high-scoring teams by slowing it down and leaning on a balanced offensive approach. Guard Matt Bradley is still the focal point, but I've been routinely impressed just how many Aztecs can contribute on this side of the ball. Senior forward Jaedon LeDee had 12 points in the win over Florida Atlantic in the Final Four and it feels like somebody new steps up every single game. It could be Darrion Trammell, Lamont Butler, Micah Parrish, any of these guys can step up and make a couple big shots to spring an upset. With that being said, it still feels like SDSU is going to need Bradley to be on his "A" game. They've been able to survive even during poor performances from him, such as his two-point showing in the Elite Eight, but the reality is that this team is significantly scarier when he's on. Defenses have to respect his shooting and his ability to stretch the floor opens up ample opportunities for the Aztecs, who thrive off getting to the rim. We will see pretty early which Bradley has come to play; he hit several big shots against FAU early on that helped fuel the eventual victory. No matter what, defense is still the strength for San Diego State and if they do manage to come out on top, it will be the reason. Every young basketball team should watch how the Aztecs play on this side of the ball. They communicate as well as any team I've seen at the collegiate level, and their perimeter defenders are relentless. It also helps that Nathan Mensah is the final defender in the post, as his 7'4" wingspan effects everything at the rim. The defense will be in for a tough battle against the flaming hot Huskies, but they've shut down offense after offense during this run. 

While San Diego State's run has been a major surprise, UConn has splattered opponent after opponent on their journey to the National Championship. They have not had a single-digit win, instead blowing out each team that has stood in their way. That remained the case this past Saturday, as they controlled the Miami game from start to finish. San Diego State will have to contend with a team that is shooting lights out from everywhere on the court, an offense that has dropped at least 70 in every game this NCAA Tournament. Big man Adama Sanogo continues to punish defenders; he had yet another double-double in the Miami game and feels like the runaway favorite to win the Tournament's Most Outstanding Player Award. He'll face a battle against Mensah on the block, but I'm not sure if the Aztecs have seen a player with his skill-set. This isn't your prototypical back-to-the-basket big man. He can step out and hit a three or two and is one of the best passing big men in the country. Surrounding Sanogo are a collection of high-flying guards, including Jordan Hawkins, Tristen Newton, Andre Jackson, and Joey Calcaterra. Hawkins and Jackson are spark-plugs for this offense, while Newton and Calcaterra both understand their roles and find ways to contribute. Then, you add on forward Alex Karaban and center Donovan Clingan, one of the most efficient bigs in the nation, it's no surprise UConn has been so dominant on this run. The Aztecs present an obvious challenge to this offense, but I think it's important to note, UConn is not a one-dimensional team. Not only can they score in a variety of ways on offense, but they play both ends incredibly well. They've matched their offensive intensity with strong defense, including holding Miami to 32% from the field in their win.

The "David vs. Goliath" angle gets overplayed in sports media and it doesn't quite fit this one, considering the fact these two have similar seeds. But there's no denying these two programs are vastly different, one of them being in uncharted territory and the other searching for another title to add to their trophy case. It creates an interesting matchup, particularly between two teams who have opposing strengths. I've said throughout this Tournament that people shouldn't overlook San Diego State, and I feel the same way looking at this one. I may not have expected the Aztecs to make this run, but this is the type of tough, veteran-laden team that is an incredibly difficult out in March. They know exactly what they are and do it well. Plus, that veteran experience really comes out down the stretch in close games, which has helped the Aztecs win several consecutive close contests.

With all that being said, I would feel foolish picking against UConn at this point in the Tournament. This has been one of the most dominant runs I can remember in college basketball history and the team feels like they are on a mission. I suspect Danny Hurley and the Huskies claim their first National Title together, the program's first since Shabazz Napier and company in 2014, a satisfying conclusion to a season that has been full of ups-and-downs in Storrs.

UConn by nine


Saturday, April 1, 2023

NFL Mock Draft 2023: Edition 4

Anthony Richardson, Florida
 1. Carolina Panthers

C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State

Carolina's decision to move up to No. 1 created shockwaves throughout the Draft and with a few weeks until the event, there isn't a clear top selection. They'll almost certainly go quarterback, but as many as four names could be in serious contention. C.J. Stroud seems to be getting the most buzz right now and checks all the boxes physically. Patience will have to be preached here, as he goes from one of the best receiver corps in college football history to an awfully bad group in Charlotte.

2. Houston Texans

Bryce Young, QB, Alabama

No reason to overthink this if you're Houston here. They've had their eyes on Bryce Young for some time now, and I regard him as the top signal-caller in this Draft. The height problems just don't really bother me very much. It hasn't been a serious detriment to talented quarterbacks in the past and anybody who has seen Young play knows he's ready for the bright lights of the NFL.

3. Arizona Cardinals

Will Anderson Jr., LB, Alabama

Arizona may have the best draft position of any team in the first round. They can either sit here and draft the best defender available this cycle, or trade down to a QB-needy team. It wouldn't be shocking if the Cardinals to indeed move down but if not, Anderson is one heck of a consolation prize. He was un-blockable throughout his time in Tuscaloosa, and should translate to the next level.

4. Indianapolis Colts

Anthony Richardson, QB, Florida

The Colts are among a number of teams linked to Lamar Jackson but could instead invest their first-rounder into a quarterback. The team has gone too long using bridge quarterbacks since Andrew Luck's retirement and it's time to start thinking in the long-term. I'm not personally a fan of Anthony Richardson, but this feels like the range for him at this juncture.

5. Seattle Seahawks

Tyree Wilson, DE/LB, Texas Tech

Few players have improved their NFL Draft stock quite as much as Tyree Wilson has these past several months. He had a strong season with Texas Tech, but his pre-Draft process has been tremendous, likely cementing him as a Top 10 selection. Seattle is going to have a tough time passing up a long, powerful athlete like him at a need position.

6. Detroit Lions

Jalen Carter, DL, Georgia

Legal troubles and an underwhelming showing throughout the pre-Draft process has increased the likelihood of a short slide for Jalen Carter, but the former Georgia Bulldog looks like he could land around the Top 5. It's hard for NFL teams to resist a player who absolutely dominated in the collegiate ranks and projects even better to the pros.

7. Las Vegas Raiders

Will Levis, QB, Kentucky

Sure, the Raiders brought on Jimmy Garoppolo, but I still suspect they could be in the market for a quarterback in this Draft. Even if "Jimmy G" is able to regain his old form, he's 31 years old and hasn't been a true game-changer at any point in his career. Will Levis is a polarizing prospect, but one who a team like Las Vegas could take a flier on.

8. Atlanta Falcons

Lukas Van Ness, DE, Iowa

Lukas Van Ness was a productive player during his time in Iowa City, but strong performances in the pre-Draft process have vaulted him into Top 10 consideration. NFL teams are excited about his versatility and athleticism and it's fair to think there may still be untapped potential here, as he only played two seasons with the Hawkeyes. Atlanta has a long-standing need up front, and adds a dynamic pass rusher at this spot.

9. Chicago Bears

Peter Skoronski, OL, Northwestern

This feels like a match made in heaven. After moving down, the Bears get an opportunity to not only strengthen their offensive line, but also add a Northwestern alum and Chicago native. Peter Skoronski can help out just about everywhere along the line and provides a long-term foundation for the group that will be blocking for Justin Fields for years to come.

10. Philadelphia Eagles

Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon

It feels like Christian Gonzalez is starting to separate himself from the rest of the pack in a fairly strong corner class. He was very productive during his time with both Colorado and Oregon and has the tools to be a shutdown defensive back for a long time. Philadelphia is aging at this position, so it feels right for them to go with Gonzalez with the selection they acquired from New Orleans.

11. Tennessee Titans

Paris Johnson, OL, Ohio State

Addressing their offensive line should be of primary concern for the Titans, and they're in a good spot to land a high-upside prospect here. Paris Johnson is a Day One starting tackle, but he also played some on the interior in college and could realistically slide inside if needed. He was an instant contributor at Ohio State and held his own against some of the most fearsome pass rushers in the Big Ten.

12. Houston Texans

Jordan Addison, WR, USC

The Texans got their franchise quarterback in Bryce Young earlier on, now it's time to add a dynamic weapon on the perimeter. There isn't a clear top receiver in this class, but several that could compete to be the top off the board. My money is on Jordan Addison, the 2021 Biletnikoff Award winner, who can terrorize opposing defenses over the top.

13. New York Jets

Broderick Jones, OL, Georgia

The Aaron Rodgers saga continues in New York. Although it appears he will indeed be a Jet this fall, things still seem awfully strange as the team looks ahead to the Draft. No matter what happens, bolstering the O-Line is a smart move for the Jets and Broderick Jones makes plenty of sense. Yet another Georgia product, Jones can play either tackle or guard at a high level.

14. New England Patriots

Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State

New England's cornerback room is thin and aging, a recipe for disaster in an AFC East that suddenly features plenty of great quarterbacks. They would love if Christian Gonzalez were still available, but Joey Porter Jr. is well worth a Top 15 selection. The Penn State product had a dominant 2022 and has ideal NFL size for his position.

15. Green Bay Packers

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State

It appears as though we will finally have a new QB under center in Green Bay this fall, as the Jordan Love era begins. Yet, the same issues that crippled the conclusion of the Rodgers era persist, namely at wide receiver. Green Bay has been willing to address other position groups first, but Jaxon Smith-Njigba is among the best available here, and may be too tempting to pass up.

16. Washington Commanders

Brian Branch, DB, Alabama

Dak Prescott and Daniel Jones may both receive their fair share of hate, but the reality is that the NFC East boasts three good quarterbacks (and well, Sam Howell). If the Commanders want to compete, they need to upgrade their secondary. Enter Brian Branch, a rangy defensive back who can be a valuable asset at either corner or safety.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers

Darnell Wright, OT, Tennessee

Kenny Pickett showed flashes during his rookie campaign, but the goal for Pittsburgh this offseason should be surrounding him with help. That not only includes their receiver corps, but their offensive line group, too. Darnell Wright was a longtime contributor at Tennessee and the bulldozing tackle will be a welcome addition in the mid-first.

18. Detroit Lions

Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame

Detroit got rid of T..J. Hockenson midseason, but I suspect they're still looking to find a difference-maker at the position. They could potentially upgrade in the long-term by securing Michael Mayer, a tight end who checks all the boxes. Mayer has soft, receiver hands and route running abilities, but he's also proven his worth as a blocker while at Notre Dame.

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas

Bijan Robinson is one of the most fascinating prospects in this Draft. There shouldn't be much question that he's RB1 at this point, but he could go anywhere from the Top 5 to the second round. I'll hedge my bets somewhere in the middle with Tampa, who has greater needs but are unlikely to be able to pass up on Robinson. Even though the Bucs did recently sign Chase Edmonds, they lack a true difference-maker in this backfield.

20. Seattle Seahawks

Quentin Johnston, WR, TCU

Seattle has to love this draft position at this spot. They've already added a disruptor in Tyree Wilson and could add another one with Myles Murphy, invest this selection in another position, or trade down. I love the idea of them adding an explosive receiver like Quentin Johnston, who is way too good to slide out of the Top 20.

21. Los Angeles Chargers

Myles Murphy, DL, Clemson

Do the Chargers invest in their offense and add a weapon for Justin Herbert here? Or, do they address their defensive holes on the line and in the secondary? Considering that Myles Murphy is one of the best available at 21, I'm going with D-Line. You'll see mocks with Murphy going as high as the Top 5, so this could be a real steal for LA.

22. Baltimore Ravens

Jalin Hyatt, WR, Tennessee

The Lamar Jackson situation clouds over everything in Baltimore, but the receiver corps needs help anyways. Rashod Bateman has shown flashes but has battled through injuries, and the Ravens lack difference-makers beyond him. Jalin Hyatt can certainly change that, a talented wide out who is a big play waiting to happen.

23. Minnesota Vikings

Devon Witherspoon, CB, Illinois

Hiring Brian Flores as coordinator will help shore up Minnesota's miserable defense, but reinforcements are still needed. Devon Witherspoon is one of my favorite prospects in this Draft; a tad undersized, but full of potential after a stellar career at Illinois.

24. Jacksonville Jaguars

Deonte Banks, CB, Maryland

A strong Combine has elevated Deonte Banks into a first-round lock, and this feels like about the range where he'll land. Jacksonville had the worst pass defense in the NFL a season ago and need all the help they can get, with Banks offering plenty of speed and athleticism.

25. New York Giants

Zay Flowers, WR, Boston College

Daniel Jones has had to make do with an underwhelming receiver corps over the first several seasons of his career. It's about time the G-Men seriously invest in the position by snagging Zay Flowers out of Boston College. Even in an offense that had an anemic aerial attack, Flowers was extremely productive and is one of the shiftiest receivers you'll find at this level.

26. Dallas Cowboys

Darnell Washington, TE, Georgia

Dalton Schultz is now in Houston, and Dallas needed to upgrade their pass-catchers anyway. Dalton Kincaid would be a fine addition here, but I envision the Cowboys taking a shot at Georgia's Darnell Washington instead. He never quite put it together over an extended period of time in Athens, but it's rare you see a player with his combination of size and athleticism. If somebody can figure out how to use him correctly, he could be one of the steals of the Draft.

27. Buffalo Bills

Nolan Smith, DE/LB, Georgia

Yet another Georgia Bulldog off the board, as the Bills add end/outside linebacker Nolan Smith. Buffalo has long leaned on the best player available approach and Smith could easily go much higher than this spot. Although the Bulldogs still won a National Title, his absence down the stretch was still evident.

28. Cincinnati Bengals

O'Cyrus Torrence, OL, Florida

Cincinnati has spent plenty of money to shore up their offensive line and protect Joe Burrow, but it remains a group that could use some young blood. O'Cyrus Torrence is arguably the best interior offensive linemen in this cycle and would offer great value at the bottom of the first round.

29. New Orleans Saints

Bryan Bresee, DL, Clemson

Formerly the nation's top recruit, Bryan Bresee battled injuries and unfortunate off-the-field problems. Yet, he was still awfully productive when he was on the field at Clemson and has all the physical tools an NFL team would want. New Orleans was hit hard by defections on the D-Line this free agency, so this feels right.

30. Philadelphia Eagles

Calijah Kancey, DL, Pittsburgh

The reigning NFC Champion Eagles already addressed their needs in the defensive backfield by adding Christian Gonzalez, so something tells me they'll work to upgrade one of their lines of scrimmage with their second first-rounder. They can stay inside the state of Pennsylvania and add a disruptive force in Calijah Kancey, an active presence in the heart of the D-Line.

31. Kansas City Chiefs

Anton Harrison, OT, Oklahoma

Losing Orlando Brown stings and although Kansas City spent a bunch of money to bring in Jawaan Taylor, you can never have too many quality blockers in this league. Anton Harrison had a long and productive career in Norman and although his upside may not be as high as other linemen in this Draft, he's worthy of a late flier here.

* Miami's 2023 first-rounder forfeited