College Football Picks 2023: Week Nine

Bryson Barnes, Utah

Current Picks Record: 49-23

Upsets: 4-4

Superdogs: 5-3

Locks: 6-2

(#8) Oregon Ducks @ (#13) Utah Utes

Line: Oregon -6.5

O/U: 47.5

Oregon and Utah have been two of the most consistent programs in the Pac-12 over the last half-decade, and now they square off in their final conference meeting before moving on (assuming they don't collide again in the conference championship game). It's an interesting battle; Oregon has looked every bit like a Playoff contender and their lone loss is a quality one, a close defeat on the road to an undefeated Washington. Utah has not looked very impressive for much of the year, but the ever-steady Utes are still firmly in the Pac-12 Title mix at 6-1 overall and 3-1 in the league. 

The Washington loss likely knocked Bo Nix out of Heisman frontrunner status, but the veteran quarterback remains one of the country's best. He responded with a three-touchdown performance over Washington State and has looked in complete control of a Duck offense that has been explosive all year. It helps that the Ducks have found an effective supporting cast around him, with a two-headed monster at tailback in Bucky Irving and Jordan James, plus Troy Franklin and Tez Johnson out wide. But for me, the X-factor for this Utah matchup is up front. Dan Lanning has continued what Mario Cristobal started in loading up in the trenches and turning this into a program that closely resembles a typical Big Ten or SEC team, which has been crucial in maintaining Oregon's status on the national stage. But, will this offensive line will be up for the unique challenge Utah poses? The Utes don't always have star power up front, but there are few programs as consistently physical as this one - they are simply a pain to play each and every single Saturday. The good news for Oregon is that the Ute pass defense looks susceptible, and they will also be without their star linebacker, Lander Barton, who is officially done for the season. That should help Oregon establish a rhythm on the ground early and be able to take the top off this defense down the stretch. But again, that relies on the offensive line, which has been superb all season but will likely have to turn it up a notch in this one.

Considering the adversity Utah has faced offensively, it remains remarkable that this team enters this weekend 6-1. They have been without quarterback Cam Rising all season and after the USC win last weekend, Whittingham confirmed what has been become clear the deeper we get into 2023: Rising is not going to return this fall. That means it's officially Bryson Barnes' team, and the gritty signal-caller has shown he's up for it, fresh off a strong showing against the Trojans. Still, the offense is rather limited with Barnes under center; they aren't going to take many deep shots but instead play ball control and take their opportunities through the air as they come. Ja'Quinden Jackson and Jaylon Glover have given the Utes quality production on the ground all season, but it's the sudden emergence of do-it-all Sione Vaki that has been the real storyline for Utah. The converted safety is their most explosive weapon through the air and on the ground, giving this offense some potency that they've missed throughout most of the fall. He'll be the main priority for this Duck defense, but the Utes have been creative in how they get him the ball. If he can bust open a big play or two, this team has a shot to hang with Oregon, especially considering the Duck back-end has been underwhelming for most of the season. 

I find this to be an extremely difficult matchup to predict. Oregon looks like the better team on both sides of the ball, but there's just something about this Utah team. They're always going to play incredibly hard and they just find ways to win, even if the talent advantage isn't on their side. Plus, it's so tricky to go into Rice-Eccles Stadium and beat the Utes, the atmosphere alone is a touchdown advantage. I think Oregon finds a way to squeak it out with Nix and company, but this could essentially be a coin flip scenario.

The Pick: Oregon, 30 Utah, 24

(#1) Georgia Bulldogs @ Florida Gators

Line: Georgia -14.5

O/U: 49

The World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party celebrates its 102nd meeting this Saturday, with the top-ranked Georgia Bulldogs clashing with the 5-2 Florida Gators at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville. It's no surprise the Bulldogs are comfortable favorites, but Billy Napier's Gators have made major strides this year and should be up for a battle in this rivalry game.

After managing just 11 points in the season-opening loss to Utah, it appeared as though the Gator offense was going to be in for a long season. Instead, there's been real growth on this side of the ball, with Florida dropping 38 and 41 points over the last two weeks. Those two games may have been against two of the worst defenses in the SEC, but there's no denying the Gators are starting to find their groove, and QB Graham Mertz has been rock-solid running the show. He's helped by two tremendous tailbacks in Trevor Etienne and Montrell Johnson, while wide out Ricky Pearsall should be a Biletnikoff Award candidate, with 619 yards over the first seven games. Things get taken up a notch against the always stingy Georgia defense, but the Bulldogs aren't quite as dominant on this side of the ball as they have been in the past. There's still loads of future NFL talent and real star-power, but there isn't that alpha up front we've become accustomed too. Instead, it's been the secondary leading the way, namely veteran Tykee Smith and rising sophomore Malaki Starks. That means Florida could still find ways to move the ball on the ground, although Mertz still remains a deciding factor. Nobody is expecting the former Wisconsin transfer to sit back and sling it up for 300-plus yards against UGA, but he's going to have to force the Bulldogs to respect the passing game and stay honest. If he can do that and not turn the ball over, the Gators could still find a way to succeed through their ground-and-pound style.

Georgia's offense has also been a pleasant surprise in many ways, but particularly when you consider the injury troubles they've faced throughout the year. Key contributors at just about every group have gone through injury pains, but most notably the star of the show, tight end Brock Bowers. Bowers has been ruled out for the rest of the regular season, forcing the Bulldogs to find new ways to move the ball. Quarterback Carson Beck has been tremendous in his first season as starter and even without his favorite target, should be set for another impressive performance this weekend. In fact, Georgia currently boasts the nation's No. 5 passing offense, a far cry from the usual ground-oriented scheme we've become accustomed to under Kirby Smart. Part of that can be attributed to the injuries the Bulldogs have suffered in the backfield, but Beck's steady presence makes this an effective and entertaining offense. The Bulldogs are getting healthier in the backfield with Kendall Milton working his way back to full strength, so they'll look to have more balance against a Gator defense that's inconsistent. Florida has had strong weeks, sure, but you can never quite be sure what product you're going to get on the field every Saturday. It feels like they dominate their inferior competition but don't play up to the top teams on their schedule, which could be bad news for a matchup like this.

I give Florida plenty of credit - after the bad loss to Utah to open up the year, this had the looks of a team that was going to be in for a rough season but now they have a chance to move into the driver's seat with an upset. That's easier said than done, but you never know in this types of neutral site rivalry games. I still think Georgia is certainly the safer bet and will be my pick, but this one could be a lot more interesting than the line indicates.

The Pick: Georgia, 34 Florida, 24

(#3) Ohio State Buckeyes @ Wisconsin Badgers

Line: Ohio State -14.5

O/U: 46.5

Fresh off a major win over Penn State, Ohio State looks to be on a collision course with Michigan for a Big Ten Title. But first, they have to avoid a potential trap game before that, which includes a road trip to Madison to face off with Wisconsin. The Badgers are also coming off a big win, albeit in comeback fashion against a much lesser opponent, and will be eager for their first win over Ohio State since 2010..

As I mentioned in my writeup of Ohio State-Penn State last week, this is a much different Buckeye team than we've become accustomed to under Ryan Day. The offense has been good, but far from great, and simply doesn't have the same rhythm or big-play ability that we've seen in the past. There are several reasons for that - for one, Brian Hartline is still getting acclimated to his new role as offensive coordinator. Just as important, first-year starter Kyle McCord is still getting adjusted himself and developing chemistry with his receiver corps. But perhaps most important, the Buckeyes have been hit hard by the injury bug all season, most notably at the skill positions. Emeka Egbuka, TreVeyon Henderson, and Miyan Williams have all missed time, which has forced McCord to do more and Marvin Harrison Jr. to essentially become superhuman to move the football. It looks like that trio should all be back for this matchup, and Ohio State has to hope it can finally spring a run game that has been nonexistent at times this fall. Williams and Henderson are a very effective 1-2 punch while healthy and if they are able to take some pressure off McCord, things should run smoother here. If all else fails, Harrison Jr. is easily the best player on the field and should have a chance to overwhelm this Badger secondary, plus tight end Cade Stover provides a nice element over the middle of the field. 

For all the talk of Wisconsin's offensive overhaul this offseason, this is your prototypical Badger offensive scheme. They are going to play their usual ground-and-pound style, control the ball, and hope that strong defense and special teams is enough to come out on top. That strategy has been taken up a notch since the injury to starting QB Tanner Mordecai, which has forced former Mississippi State transfer Braedyn Locke into a starting role. Nobody expects Locke to do too much in this offense; he's going to feed Braelon Allen out of the backfield, make smart throws underneath, and potentially take a deep shot or two. It's a gameplan that isn't always pretty but has remained overall effective, thanks in large part to Allen being one of the nation's premier tailbacks. But to pull an upset, there has to be some balance here, or else the Buckeyes are going to load up the box with a bunch of NFL talent. I do think Locke has real arm talent, but is there a receiver that can make things happen? Will Pauling has been a revelation and Chimere Dike has been in the program for awhile, but they face a real test against one of the best Ohio State secondaries we've seen in some time. Bryson Green is another guy that I've long been high on and he certainly could help open things up, but the consistency has never been there. This is just a very tough matchup for the Badgers based on the way they play, and that's particularly true against this Ohio State team. This is a physical Ohio State defense that plays with real edge, a testament to the work Ryan Day and staff have done in response to how their last two seasons have ended.

This has the makings of the perfect upset opportunity, with Ohio State going on the road against a stingy Badger team one week removed from an emotional victory. But, I'm just not sure this year's Wisconsin team is the one to end the losing streak against OSU. It would take magic from Locke, making just his third start, plus a heroic defensive showing. They may be able to keep things tight, but the difference in talent on the depth chart will show through eventually.

The Pick: Ohio State, 35 Wisconsin, 20

Other Picks

(#20) Duke Blue Devils @ (#18) Louisville Cardinals -- Duke is the toughest team to pick in college football right now. They've looked legit when Riley Leonard has played, but the star quarterback remains banged up and his status is uncertain for this one. Playing at home, Louisville is the safer pick over the mystery of the Blue Devils.

The Pick: Louisville, 28 Duke, 24

(#21) Tennessee Volunteers @ Kentucky Wildcats -- For as frustrating as the second half of the Alabama loss was for Tennessee, it may provide extra motivation as they travel to Lexington. Kentucky has looked completely outclassed against every ranked team they've played this year, so this is a comfortable Vols pick for me.

The Pick: Tennessee, 31 Kentucky, 17

(#6) Oklahoma Sooners @ Kansas Jayhawks -- There's real upset opportunity for a good Kansas team playing in Lawrence, but with Jason Bean once again being forced to fill in at QB for the injured Jalon Daniels, I'm sticking with OU.

The Pick: Oklahoma, 40 Kansas, 28

Upset: (#11) Oregon State Beavers @ Arizona Wildcats -- This one is giving major "Pac-12 After Dark" energy. Oregon State has been great all year, but Arizona has been a completely different team under QB Noah Fifita, and they get the Beavers in Tucson.

The Pick: Arizona, 38 Oregon State, 35

Superdog (covers > 21 point spread): Vanderbilt Commodores (+24.5) @ Ole Miss Rebels -- Ole Miss may be 6-1, but they've won close game after close game. This is not the 13th best team in the nation and while Vanderbilt may not beat them, they should cover.

The Pick: Ole Miss, 30 Vanderbilt, 10

Lock of the Week: North Carolina Tar Heels (-11) @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -- Last week's stinker at the hands of Virginia might have been just what UNC needs for the second half of the season. Georgia Tech is a mystery each and every week which makes me nervous, but a focused UNC team should have no issues with them.

The Pick: North Carolina, 41 Georgia Tech, 24

College Football Picks 2023: Week Eight

Drew Allar, Penn State

Current Picks Record: 44-19

Upsets: 4-3

Superdogs: 5-2

Locks: 6-1

(#7) Penn State Nittany Lions @ (#3) Ohio State Buckeyes

Line: Ohio State -4.5

O/U: 45.5

Three Big Ten East teams currently sit in the top seven nationally, but this weekend will go a long way in telling us how the division race will shake out. Michigan appears to still be the team to beat, but both Ohio State and Penn State remain firmly in the hunt and have an opportunity for a major resume boost on Saturday in Columbus.

We've come to know Ohio State for explosive offenses under Ryan Day, but the 2023 Buckeyes have a different feel to them. The offense has still been good, but not the potent group we've seen in recent years. Instead, it's been an elite defense that has led the way all year long, which could be the case again as Ohio State deals with extensive offensive injuries. They're hoping to have tailbacks TreVeyon Henderson and Miyan Williams, along with receiver Emeka Ebguka, back in action, but it's fair to wonder just how many snaps they'll be able to handle. All three play crucial roles; Henderson and Williams are their top two rushers, while Egbuka helps alleviate some of the pressure on Marvin Harrison Jr. out wide. That could put additional pressure on quarterback Kyle McCord, who has an up-and-down first year as starter. It's natural for McCord to have growing pains and he seems to be getting more comfortable, but the reality is that he is no C.J. Stroud, at least not yet. The offense just doesn't have the same bit to it, which is a real concern as they face a hungry Penn State defense. Manny Diaz is never afraid to dial up the pressure, and now he gets an opportunity to show out against a young quarterback? The Buckeye offensive line could be an X-Factor and McCord better be ready. This could be the toughest test he's seen yet, likely even more difficult than a Notre Dame team who held the Buckeyes to a pedestrian 366 yards.

Much like Ohio State, the focus most of the season for Penn State has been on the defensive side of the football. They're allowing just eight points per game, surrendering just 13 total over their last three games, but the offense also appears to be hitting its stride. Again, like the Buckeyes, we knew it was going to take some time for the Nittany Lion to find itself with a young quarterback, but Drew Allar has been as good as advertised. The sophomore hasn't been taking many shots down the field, but he's been remarkably efficient, completing 65% of his passes with zero turnovers. Just as important, there's a certain poise that Allar plays with that seems to permeate itself through the entire offense. That's going to be important against a Buckeye defense with a host of future NFL pieces at every single level. Up front, J.T. Tuimoloau who took over in this game a year ago, while Denzel Burke and others patrol the air waves. It will be important for Allar to develop a ryhthm early on and it would also be nice if the receiver corps could step up beyond KeAndre Lambert-Smith. That includes tight end Theo Johnson, but also wide outs Harrison Wallace III and Dante Cephas, who have been fairly quiet for much of the fall. However, Penn State does retain one significant advantage in this game: their ground attack. Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen are a two-headed monster who have overwhelmed defenses all season long. Even against a stout Buckeye front, they are the type of weapons that can make the ultimate difference in what is sure to be a tight one.

It feels like every Ohio State-Penn State game is a battle and this game should be no different. But, instead of the offenses lighting things up, it may end up being more of a defensive duel, where field position is at a premium. I actually think that type of game favors Penn State, a team with an elite ground and physical defense, but the Buckeyes are tough to pick against. They've owned the series as of late and playing at home, I like them to squeak out a victory.

The Pick: Ohio State, 28 Penn State, 27

(#17) Tennessee Volunteers @ (#11) Alabama Crimson Tide

Line: Alabama -9

O/U: 48

The "Third Saturday in October" is one of my favorite rivalries in college football. Sure, Alabama has dominated the series the last decade-and-a-half, but when both programs are on, it's one of the most intense and passionate rivalries you'll find anywhere in the nation. That appears to be case this season with both teams residing in the Top 20 and in the SEC Title mix, even with the pair suffering through pronounced ups-and-downs.

Certainly this is far from the best Alabama team Nick Saban has fielded in Tuscaloosa, but they've recovered nicely from an early-season defeat to Texas. The Tide have ripped off five straight victories, making them the team to beat in the SEC West. Jalen Milroe has locked down the quarterback position after early-season controversy and despite the growing pains, he looks to be settling in. Milroe remains quite volatile; he'll make one or two plays a series that truly wow you and then follow it up with a head-scratcher, but Alabama seems to have figured out how to live with it. It helps that Milroe can extend things with his dynamic running ability, which has given this offense another way to move the ball. Around Milroe, other pieces also appear to be hitting their stride. The ground attack has been effective, with Jase McClellan and Roydell Williams, while Jermaine Burton and Isaiah Bond give the passing game some bite. But, my main focus is going to be the offensive line, which hasn't played like a typical Alabama group over the course of the 2023 campaign. Tide fans have been spoiled with a run of elite blockers but this unit just hasn't been up to the task. That's a real concern against a team like Tennessee, who blitzes constantly and is going to be extra aggressive. Milroe may have to create out of the pocket more than usual and although it's a strength of his, it also increases the likelihood for turnovers. You also wonder how effective running the ball is going to be when the line isn't up to par. Alabama has made it work but to beat quality teams like Tennessee, they're going to need more up front.

Tennessee's offense has taken an understandable step back, not surprising considering the departures of Hendon Hooker and Jalin Hyatt over the offseason. Quarterback Joe Milton has been effective in Hooker's stead, but simply is not the weapon the departed signal-caller was, and has been maddeningly inconsistent at times. It's a mystery which Milton you're going to get each week, and he doesn't always show up for these types of huge games. The Volunteers have leaned more heavily on their running backs than in the past and Jaylen Wright has shown up in a big way, so that balance will be big. The junior has shown he can do it against elite defenses, too, rushing for 136 yards against Texas A&M a week ago. Expect that ground game to continue to be vital as the Volunteers figure out who their top guys are going to be on the perimeter. They're still reeling from the season-ending injury to Bru McCoy, which has put additional burden on names like Ramel Keyton and Squirrel White. Both bring their own strengths and have been able to produce, but the lack of depth among the receiver corps is concerning. Alabama can choose to hone in on that pair and if they're able to contain them, this offense becomes significantly less intimidating. Neither are Hyatt, either, which should give the Tide solace after they were burned by the wide out in this game last fall.

Last season's Alabama-Tennessee game was arguably the game of the year, with the Vols able to get the monkey off their back and finally secure a series victory. This season will be a tougher challenge; although the Tide are susceptible, the Volunteer offense just doesn't have the same spark, and they will also be playing on the road. Add in the fact this defense has struggled to contain running quarterbacks like Milroe, the Tide are a safe bet to avenge last year's defeat.

The Pick: Alabama, 28 Tennessee, 20

(#16) Duke Blue Devils @ (#4) Florida State Seminoles

Line: Florida State -14

O/U: 49.5

Duke has been one of the best stories in college football over the first month-and-a-half of the season, with a resounding victory over Clemson in the opener setting the stage for a 5-1 start. But now, things get serious - they face Florida State in Tallahassee this weekend and then Louisville, Wake Forest, and North Carolina over the coming weeks. It will tell us a lot about whether this team has legit ACC Title aspirations, or whether they were merely a flash in the pan.

Duke's season trajectory threatened to derail when star quarterback Riley Leonard was injured in the closing minutes of the Notre Dame loss. The dynamic dual-threat is the heart-and-soul of the offense and one of the premier signal-callers in the ACC. Fortunately, what looked like a serious injury at the time turned out to be a high ankle sprain and there's a chance Leonard could play this Saturday, which could end up making all the difference. Leonard is a notoriously difficult QB to game plan against and if he's able to go at all, Duke's chances of pulling out an upset rise exponentially. If he can't go, the Blue Devils instead turn to freshman Henry Belin IV, who started the NC State win. Belin can make things happen with his legs, but his lone start wasn't particularly encouraging, albeit against a strong NC State defense. Duke will also need more from a supporting cast to move the ball against the Seminoles, namely tailback Jordan Waters and wide outs Jalon Calhoun and Jordan Moore. It's not an especially flashy group of playmakers, at least when you compare it to other Top 20 teams, but can be very effective with Leonard at the helm. The offensive line play is also going to be crucial; Jared Verse and the rest of this Florida State defensive front are going to come after the Blue Devils, no matter who's taking snaps under center.

The Seminoles boast one of the most potent offenses anywhere in the nation, a group that's averaging over 42 points per game. Quarterback Jordan Travis doesn't seem to be receiving the Heisman attention that he received early on in the year, but he hasn't slowed down. Against Syracuse and Virginia Tech, the yardage numbers weren't gaudy, but he was in complete command in the pocket and picked apart both defenses. It helps that he has a tremendous 1-2 punch on the outside in Johnny Wilson and Keon Coleman, plus do-it-all tight end Jaheim Bell. When you add in tailback Trey Benson running behind a deep and experienced offensive line, it's no wonder Florida State has been in such a groove offensively. Just as important, Mike Norvell has proven himself as one of the elite play-callers in the game. He has a superb understanding of his personnel now at Florida State and is a master tactician. It's going to be a real test for a Duke defense that has put up strong numbers, but simply doesn't have the talent that FSU boasts. Now, that doesn't mean they can't have success - they proved against Clemson that they could make the big plays when necessary and turn the tide of the game. But, Florida State is a better offense and now that we are deep into October, they won't experience the early-season jitters that doomed the Tigers.

All eyes will be on Leonard's status as we count down to kickoff, but even if he does return Duke is fighting an uphill battle. Florida State has been on an absolute tear all season long and seems focused on one goal: a National Title. That doesn't mean they are going to get caught in a trap game, either. Norvell will have his team prepared no matter who the starting QB is on the other side, and they should continue their winning ways.

The Pick: Florida State, 35 Duke, 21

Other Picks

(#14) Utah Utes @ (#18) USC Trojans -- The absolute last thing you want to do after coming off an ugly loss is play the Utah Utes. Few teams are as tough and disciplined as Kyle Whittingham's program and even with their offense struggling, I think they shut down Caleb Williams and company.

The Pick: Utah, 24 USC, 21

(#2) Michigan Wolverines @ Michigan State Spartans -- Despite all the controversy surrounding Michigan following the news that broke earlier in the week, these two teams are far apart from each other on the field.

The Pick: Michigan, 42 Michigan State, 17

Clemson Tigers @ Miami Hurricanes -- What looked like it could be the ACC Championship Game preseason is now relegated to an unranked duel on the ACC Network. Yet, Clemson has been playing well since their slow start and seems to be the more balanced team on both sides.

The Pick: Clemson, 35 Miami, 26

Upset: (#13) Ole Miss Rebels @ Auburn Tigers -- Ole Miss may be 5-1, but no part of me believes this is the 13th best team in the country. They're certainly beatable and despite Auburn's struggles, this is a program always primed for an upset opportunity. 

The Pick: Auburn, 28 Ole Miss, 20

Superdog (covers > 21 point spread): Army (+32) @ LSU Tigers -- A strange matchup for late October, but a great opportunity for LSU to get back on track. With that being said, 32 is a big number and the triple-option's ability to drain the clock makes this pick feasible.

The Pick: LSU, 38 Army, 10

Lock of the Week: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3) vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers -- As much as it pains me to lock against my Golden Gophers, Iowa has dominated this series for far too long. In fact, Minnesota hasn't won in Kinnick Stadium since 1999. 

The Pick: Iowa, 14 Minnesota, 10

College Football Midseason Awards 2023

Luther Burden III, Missouri

It's always amazing just how fast a college football season can flew by. After a long offseason, it feels like we blink and we're already deep into October, with the first half of the season already in the rearview mirror. There's still plenty of exciting moments on the horizon but now that we've reached the halfway point, it's time for my annual "Midseason Awards", predicting the official and unofficial winners of some of the sport's most prestigious honors.

Projected National Champion: Michigan Wolverines

My preseason National Title selection, the Michigan Wolverines remain the smart bet to come out on top when it's all said and done. While other top-tier contenders appear to still be working out the kinks on their respective rosters, the Wolverines have been absolutely decimating their competition, fresh off a 52-7 dismantling of Indiana. They should roll into the final month of the season undefeated, where a three-game stretch of Penn State, Maryland, and Ohio State will decide their ultimate fate. 

Others in Consideration: Georgia Bulldogs, Florida State Seminoles, Oklahoma Sooners, Washington Huskies, Ohio State Buckeyes, Penn State Nittany Lions

Projected College Football Playoff Field: Michigan Wolverines, Georgia Bulldogs, Florida State Seminoles, Washington Huskies

The Big Ten East race will have the greatest impact on the eventual College Football Playoff field, with a trio of teams battling it out for a spot in the four-team field. We could realistically see a scenario where the division sends two teams to the Playoff once again, such as an undefeated Big Ten Champion Michigan and a one-loss Ohio State or Penn State. Aside from those three, the smart money is on Florida State, who has already built a strong resume and has a clear path forward. If they get past Duke at home this weekend, they'll be comfortably favored in all their remaining regular season games, with an ACC Championship Game battle against North Carolina looming. The path for Georgia is also clear, albeit with a thin margin for error. The Bulldogs face a favorable schedule the rest of the way, but that also means that just one defeat could doom their hopes of a third consecutive National Title. That leaves a host of teams battling it out for the final berth, at least at this point in the season. Washington's a safe pick if they can find a way to finish the year undefeated, with a huge victory on their resume now, but Oklahoma would be tough to leave out if they also run the table. Oregon and Texas should also be in the mix, even with one loss, so this could be one of the most exciting CFB Playoff races in recent memory.

Others in Consideration: Oklahoma Sooners, Ohio State Buckeyes, Penn State Nittany Lions, Texas Longhorns, Oregon Ducks, North Carolina Tar Heels, Alabama Crimson Tide

Projected Heisman: Michael Penix Jr., QB, Washington

What a journey it's been for Michael Penix Jr. throughout his collegiate career. The 23-year old gunslinger suffered season-ending injuries while at Indiana each year from 2018-2020 before enduring a brutal 2021 in Bloomington that saw him benched. Penix opted to transfer and reconnect with his former Indiana OC Kalen DeBoer, now head man at Washington, breathing new life into his career. After a remarkable 2022, the encore has been even more impressive, with Penix tossing for 2,301 yards and 20 touchdowns over the season's first half. After out-dueling another Heisman frontrunner, Bo Nix, over the weekend, Penix is the clear favorite to take home the hardware, but he'll still have plenty of opportunities to impress before it's all said and done.

Others in Consideration: Dillon Gabriel, QB, Oklahoma; Caleb Williams, QB, USC; Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina

Projected Doak Walker (best RB): Audric Estime, Notre Dame

It's been all about the quarterbacks this college football season, but that shouldn't overshadow just how dominant Notre Dame's Audric Estime has been through two months. He's fourth nationally among FBS running backs with 787 yards and nine touchdowns, while averaging over six yards per carry. The numbers have slowed a bit as the schedule has gotten tougher, but Estime showed he was still a difference-maker by rushing for 95 yards and two scores in ND's decisive victory over USC over the weekend. The schedule sets up nicely for Estime to continue his run of dominance, with the Clemson game providing a game in the national spotlight to further convince voters.

Others in Consideration: Kimani Vidal, Troy; Ray Davis, Kentucky; Jonathon Brooks, Texas; Blake Corum, Michigan

Projected Biletnikoff (best WR): Luther Burden III, Missouri

Missouri has been a pleasant surprise over the season's first seven weeks and at the helm has been sophomore wide out Luther Burden III. We saw the flashes from Burden last season, but I'm not sure even the most optimistic of Missouri fans expected this, as he's fourth nationally with 56 receptions and second in receiving yards. It hasn't been just beating up on inferior foes either; two of Burden's biggest games on the year have come against Kansas State (7 catches, 114 yards, two TD) and LSU (11 catches, 149 yards). He's been the most dominant receiver in college football this fall and with Missouri's offense seemingly getting better each and every week, Burden should continue racking up the numbers.

Others in Consideration: Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio State; Malik Nabers, LSU; Rome Odunze, Washington; Troy Franklin, Oregon

Projected John Mackey (best TE): Brock Bowers, Georgia

This selection comes with an asterisk, as we just learned that a recent ankle injury for Brock Bowers will sideline him for the next four to six weeks. But, giving the midseason Mackey Award to any other tight end would feel wrong, as Bowers has put together a special 2023 up to this point. He leads all tight ends in receptions and yardage, the beating heart of the Georgia offense all season long. He's been so impressive there's even been Heisman whispers, a testament to his continued dominance. Although the injury is a tough pill to swallow, there's a good chance Bowers will be available for the most important games remaining on the Georgia schedule, namely the SEC Championship Game and College Football Playoff, assuming they get there.

Others in Consideration: Dallin Holker, Colorado State; Jack Velling, Oregon State; Mitchell Evans, Notre Dame

Projected Rimington (best C): Jackson Powers-Johnson, Oregon

Oregon has an impressive collection of skill position talent, but not enough credit has been given to their superb offensive line. Anchoring that unit is junior Jackson Powers-Johnson, a veteran blocker whose presence can be felt in both the run game and pass protection. He clears massive holes for Bucky Irving and Jordan James on the ground, while allowing just one pressure on 242 pass-blocking snaps. He was beat up in Oregon's heart-breaking loss to Washington this past weekend but assuming he can return to 100 percent, he should have a good chance at becoming the first Duck to take home the Rimington Trophy.

Others in Consideration: Matt Lee, Miami (FL); Sedrick Van Pran, Georgia; Duke Clemens, UCLA

Projected Butkus (best LB): Payton Wilson, NC State

A four-year starter for NC State, Payton Wilson's 2023 campaign has been his best yet in Raleigh. The hard-hitting linebacker ranks fourth nationally in total tackles, with 81, but can impact the game in so many different ways. He'll get after opposing quarterbacks, as evidenced by his four sacks, and has proven his worth in coverage, with three pass deflections. Wilson has been the key cog in the middle for a strong Wolfpack defense, which has taken on extra importance due to a struggling offense.

Others in Consideration: Jason Henderson, Old Dominion; Power Echols, North Carolina; Jay Higgins, Iowa

Projected Thorpe (best DB): Malaki Starks, Georgia

Georgia may not have their usual collection of elite front seven playmakers, at least in comparison to their last few teams, but that doesn't mean this defense doesn't have difference-makers. Chief among them is safety Malaki Starks, who has built on an impressive true freshman campaign and evolved into one of the best defensive backs in college football. He has 25 tackles and two interceptions on the season and according to PFF, he's the only defensive back with a Top 10 grade in both coverage and rush defense. He'll continue to play a vital role for a ball-hawking Bulldog secondary.

Others in Consideration: Denzel Burke, Ohio State; Kool-Aid McKinstry, Alabama; Kris Abrams-Daine, Missouri; Cooper DeJean, Iowa

Coach of the Year: Jeff Brohm, Louisville

I wouldn't say there's an overwhelming favorite for Coach of the Year as we stand today, so I'll pick Jeff Brohm as my selection. Brohm didn't inherit an absolute mess from Scott Satterfield, but the Cardinals weren't supposed to be ACC contenders, either. They went 8-5 overall in 2022 and 4-4 in the ACC, and were hit hard over the offseason by departures. Instead of a slow build, Brohm has injected a new energy into the program, with the Cardinals jumping out to a 6-0 start before last Saturday's upset at the hands of Pittsburgh. The Notre Dame win in particular felt like a warning shot to the rest of the ACC and as Brohm continues to build this and bring in his personnel, this program is going to be a force in the league.

Others in Consideration: Eli Drinkwitz, Missouri; Kalen DeBoer, Washington; Brent Venables, Oklahoma; Mike Elko, Duke; Mack Brown, North Carolina

Freshman of the Year: Zachariah Branch, WR, USC

Even missing two of USC's seven games this season, wide receiver Zachariah Branch has been the most electrifying freshman in college football this fall. He's brought in 15 receptions for 195 yards, but his true impact status comes in the return game, where he's a threat to take it to the house at every opportunity. He's taken both a punt and kickoff back for touchdowns and even when he doesn't score, you can typically rely on him to bust things open and create a big play. For a USC team that has serious questions as things stand today, having such a proven weapon you can flip the field every time they touch the play is a major luxury.

Others in Consideration: Caleb Downs, DB, Alabama; Kevin Concepcion, WR, NC State; Darius Taylor, RB, Minnesota; Dillon Thieneman, DB, Purdue; Anthony Hill Jr., LB, Texas

Transfer of the Year*: Ray Davis, RB, Kentucky

Originally beginning his career at Temple, Ray Davis made the rare intra-division transfer this offseason when he went from Vanderbilt to Kentucky. It's turned out to be a saving grace for Kentucky, as the former Commodore has been the focal point of their offensive attack, racing out to 781 yards and eight touchdowns on the season. His dominance was on full display during a route of Florida, where the senior ran for 280 yards and three touchdowns. It's even more impressive when you consider that the lack of a capable Wildcat passing attack has removed any semblance of balance on this offense. Everyone in the stadium knows Davis is getting the ball and yet, he still has managed seven yards per carry.

Others in Consideration: Travis Hunter, CB/WR, Colorado; Adonai Mitchell, WR, Texas; Ernest Hausmann, LB, Michigan; Sam Hartman, QB, Notre Dame; Shedeur Sanders, QB, Colorado

* = only transfers that transferred this past offseason are eligible

College Football Picks 2023: Week Seven

Bo Nix, Oregon

Current Picks Record: 37-17

Upsets: 3-3

Superdogs: 5-1

Locks: 5-1

(#8) Oregon Ducks @ (#7) Washington Huskies

Line: Washington -3

O/U: 67

Oregon and Washington have looked like two of the best teams in the country en route to their 5-0 starts, and now resume a fierce rivalry series this weekend in Seattle. The Huskies erased a three-game losing streak in the series and spoiled Oregon's CFB Playoff hopes with an upset last fall, providing additional motivation for a Ducks team with National Championship aspirations.

Michael Penix Jr. enters the weekend as the betting favorite to take home the Heisman Trophy, leading an explosive Washington offense that averages 46 points per game. The veteran has looked in complete control all season long, and it helps that the Huskies feature the best wide receiver trio in the nation with Rome Odunze, Jalen McMillan, and Ja'Lynn Polk. Don't expect the Huskies to alter their gameplan much heading into this one; they're going to continue to aggressively attack down the field, and this Duck pass defense has looked susceptible at times this year. With that being said, it does feel like this offense still needs to develop some semblance of balance, particularly as they face down better defenses throughout the meat of their schedule. Dillon Johnson is the team's top rusher and fresh off a two-touchdown showing against Arizona, I expect him to play an outsized role in this one. Washington's offense is unlikely to be able to create as many big plays against the Ducks as they have over the season's first five weeks, so having a short-yardage option like Johnson will be crucial. Just as important will be Washington's offensive line performance, a group facing their toughest test of the fall in this one. Oregon has legit NFL talent throughout the front seven and is going to come after Penix and company. How the Huskies handle the rush could be a deciding factor.

For as impressive as the Washington offense has been this season, Oregon's offense has been even better, currently pacing the country in scoring offense with 51 points per game. Bo Nix remains firmly entrenched in the Heisman mix and is looking for the type of signature showing that can move him up the board. He's joined by an elite cast of characters at the skill positions, both in the backfield and on the outside. The trio of Bucky Irving, Noah Whittington, and Jordan James is a terrifying group to go up against as an opposing defense. All three can bring it to the house each time they touch the ball and Oregon's ability to consistently switch between each of them keeps them fresh deep into games. At receiver, Troy Franklin has been one of the best receivers anywhere in the country so far this fall, with complementary pieces like Gary Bryant and Tez Johnson providing enough to keep opposing secondaries honest. Add in a strong, veteran-laden offensive line, it's no surprise the Ducks have been so effective on this side of the ball this fall, and I think they'll have opportunities to move the ball against the Huskies. Statistically, Washington is putting up good numbers, but their performance against Arizona showed some underlying issues. Do they have the play up front to counter the Huskies for an entire four quarters? There appears to be a clear advantage there for the Ducks.

Although both defenses have been effective so far in 2023, I'm a bit surprised the over/under was set at just 67. Both offenses are going to light things up and are fresh and rested, both coming off respective bye weeks. Yet, I'm slightly more confident in what Oregon has on that side of the ball, and I believe their offensive balance gives them a distinct advantage in big moments. Even on the road, I'm taking the Ducks to avenge last year's defeat and hit the second half of their regular season at a perfect 6-0.

The Pick: Oregon, 38 Washington, 34

(#10) USC Trojans @ (#21) Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Line: Notre Dame -3

O/U: 63

USC enters the weekend a perfect 6-0, but no Top 10 team nationally has as many questions as the Trojans, who have dropped in the polls for three consecutive weeks. Now, they go on the road to face off with a Notre Dame team dealing with a brutal stretch of games, fresh off a loss to Louisville. One team will have to come out on top and hope it's the springboard towards improvements in the second half of 2023.

Offense has not been the issue at USC, as the group averages over 523 yards per game, but this unit is coming off their worst performance of the fall against Arizona. The Trojans still found a way to come out with the victory, but the Wildcats did a superb job slowing down Caleb Williams. The reigning Heisman winner still made the plays when it mattered, but Arizona mixed up packages and didn't let the dynamic signal-caller beat them over the top. Just as important, Arizona slowed down a ground game that's been efficient all season long, containing MarShawn Lloyd and ensuring Williams didn't escape for any huge runs. Now, the Trojans face a Notre Dame defense that's even better, a group with a disciplined and well-coached front seven and proven secondary. It is without a doubt the most difficult test this USC offense has seen all season long and others are going to have to step up alongside Williams. Names like Brenden Rice and Tahj Washington have been great, but Lloyd needs a bounce back, and it would be helpful if some of the supporting characters stepped up. That may include true freshman wunderkind Zachariah Branch, who missed his second straight game against Arizona, but should be back in action for this contest. It's not just offensively where Branch shines, but his ability to bust things open in the return game has put USC in front of the sticks every time he's played. In a game where the margin between the two appears razor thin, having him back could make all the difference.

While USC's triple overtime win over Arizona left plenty to be desired, Notre Dame is coming off a horrific performance against Louisville. The offense managed just 298 yards and finished with five turnovers, effectively dooming any hopes of a late Irish comeback. It was shocking in a multitude of ways; for one, the ultra-efficient Sam Hartman played the worst game of his young ND career, tossing three interceptions. But more shocking was the fact the Irish got pushed around in the trenches essentially the entire night, completely abandoning the ground game later on. We've seen inconsistent Irish offenses, but at the very least they've been able to run the football. That's a real concern for this team as they face down the second half of their schedule. Fortunately, USC's defense is so terrible this year that it's exactly the group you want to face coming off a slump. The Trojans haven't been able to stop anyone all season; the transfers they brought in along the front seven haven't made a difference and this is one of the worst secondaries in college football. Notre Dame is going to have their opportunities to make things happen, as Audric Estime looks capable of getting things rolling again and the receiver corps is getting healthier. That's huge for the Irish, as Jayden Thomas returned last week and will be an X-Factor, while there's a chance Jaden Greathouse could be back this Saturday. If so, Hartman has much-needed playmakers to toy with on the perimeter, increasing the chances the Irish are able to take advantage.

I don't have much confidence with either of these teams, which is amazing considering their Top 25 status. We've seen diminishing returns from Notre Dame just about every week since a hot start, and the Louisville loss was a shock to the system. Meanwhile, USC has looked horrible against Pac-12 bottom-feeders, and it seems like only a matter of time before they suffer the loss. Going on the road across the country to South Bend to face a capable QB? That could be enough to do it.

The Pick: Notre Dame, 41 USC, 35

(#25) Miami Hurricanes @ (#12) North Carolina Tar Heels

Line: North Carolina -3.5

O/U: 57

Mario Cristobal has taken a beating from the college football community over the last week as his decision to not kneel the ball and subsequent fumble led to a thrilling, last-second Georgia Tech upset. Instead of getting a week to get things back on track, the Hurricanes were rewarded with none other than old ACC Coastal foe North Carolina, who is off to a flaming hot 5-0 start.

Cristobal's baffling late-game decision has received plenty of attention, and for good reason, but the reality is that it was not the only reason Miami lost that football game. The offense, despite racking up 453 yards, managed just 20 points against a bad Georgia Tech defense thanks to five turnovers. It felt like an unfortunate symptom of new offensive coordinator Shannon Dawson's aggressive offensive scheme, where Tyler Van Dyke is going to take plenty of chances down the field. It's worked out well for most of the year, but can also cost this team in tight games. Van Dyke should be able to respond against a North Carolina defense that's will working out issues of its own, as he has plenty of weapons on the perimeter to work with. Xavier Restrepo has had a redemptive 2023 after missing most of last fall and when you add in Colbie Young and Jacoby George, this Hurricane offense can be quite potent when it's firing on all cylinders. Yet, the unsung hero of the Miami offense so far this season has been an improved offensive line, gifting Van Dyke more time and allowing this ground game to flourish. It's given Miami good balance and flow, which is a real problem for the Tar Heels. They've improved on this side of the ball, but this looks to be their toughest test on the year so far and you can never be too sure what you're getting from this group each and every week. Up front, they have the bodies, but it still feels like the Hurricanes have an opportunity to differentiate themselves in the trenches.

While others have built more impressive resumes than the 5-0 Tar Heels, few teams anywhere are playing as well as this group at this point in the season. Since receiving a scare from Appalachian State at home, the Heels have beat three consecutive Power Five teams by double-digits, including a route last weekend of Syracuse. Drake Maye has built on an impressive 2022 and remains firmly in the Heisman mix, but others have stepped up to provide a strong supporting cast. The success on the ground has been a welcome surprise for the Tar Heels, as Omarion Hampton has had a breakthrough season, while the trio of Nate McCollum, J.J. Jones, and Kobe Paysour has given Maye enough weapons to beat teams over the top. Even better, Tez Walker was just recently ruled eligible after missing the first month of the season, giving North Carolina another dynamic piece to scare opposing defenses. This offense is going to be a real challenge for the Hurricanes, especially on the back-end. Miami may have one of the nation's top safeties in Kamren Kinchens, but how will their corners hold up? Yet, it's the battles along the line of scrimmage that I'm once again curious about it. North Carolina's play up front has been a welcome surprise, but the Hurricanes boast multiple future NFL pass rushers, namely disruptive defensive tackle Leonard Taylor. If the 'Canes are able to get into the backfield and make Maye uncomfortable, we've seen the prized signal-caller be prone to turnovers. It's a simple game-plan, but Miami DC Lance Guidry is going to have to dial things up a notch, as we've seen Maye torch opposing defenses all year long.

Most of the attention in the ACC has been focused on Florida State, a team with two high-profile wins on the season. But North Carolina has been mostly overlooked, and they should jump at the chance to prove themselves on a big stage. They're a more well-rounded team than Miami and with Maye under center, the ingredients are in place for them to come away with a resume-boosting win.

The Pick: North Carolina, 35 Miami, 27

Other Picks

(#18) UCLA Bruins @ (#15) Oregon State Beavers -- It's always a mystery to know which Dante Moore we're getting each week, which is the reality of life as a true freshman quarterback. Oregon State presents him with a real challenge, a physical team that looks to muck it up and make things ugly.

The Pick: Oregon State, 24 UCLA, 21

(#3) Ohio State Buckeyes @ Purdue Boilermakers -- Purdue has been a thorn in the side of Ohio State for some time now, but can Ryan Walters' team pull off the upset in West Lafayette? The defense may be able to make some stops, but it would take a heroic performance from Hudson Card and an offense that has been underwhelming all season.

The Pick: Ohio State, 42 Purdue, 20

Wyoming Cowboys @ Air Force Falcons -- My excitement for this 6 PM CBS Sports Network game between Wyoming and Air Force borders on irrational. But, it's a game with potentially important implications on which team takes home the Group of Five's NY6 berth, as Air Force is undefeated and Wyoming 5-1 (with their lone loss to Texas). The Falcons' triple-option is always a challenge to stop, but Wyoming has been preparing and is used to playing at altitude, so this has a chance to be a thriller.

The Pick: Air Force, 27 Wyoming, 21

Upset: Missouri Tigers @ (#24) Kentucky Wildcats -- Why is Kentucky ranked? Aside from a win over a 4-2 Florida team, the Wildcats have looked mediocre the entire season and I remain a firm believer in the Missouri Tigers.

The Pick: Missouri, 30 Kentucky, 17

Superdog (covers > 21 point spread): UMass Minutemen (+42) @ Penn State Nittany Lions -- With three straight close losses, UMass may be better than their 1-6 record indicates. Plus, what incentive is there for Penn State to play their starters into the second half?

The Pick: Penn State, 45 UMass, 7

Lock of the Week: Troy Trojans (-4) @ Army Black Knights -- Troy looks to be playing like the team that I had ranked in the Top 25 preseason, and they have the defense to shut down the triple-option, even on the road.

The Pick: Troy, 26 Army, 14

NFL Mock Draft 2024: Edition 1 (Early Edition)

Drake Maye, North Carolina

With college football in full swing across the country, we have a much better idea of where most NFL teams stand and which prospects will be off the board quickly next spring. For the teams at the bottom of the standings, it's likely they are already looking towards the draft, so why not take a swing at how the first round will shape up next April?

1. Chicago Bears (from Carolina)

Caleb Williams, QB, USC

Will Chicago choose to move on from Justin Fields this offseason? It's the question on everybody's minds, particularly after an underwhelming start for both Fields and the Bears this fall. There's still several months of football that will give us a better idea but as it stands today, the allure of Caleb Williams at the top of the Draft may be too difficult to pass up.

2. Chicago Bears

Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State

This would be a dream scenario for the Bears, allowing them a chance to reinvigorate a passing game that has been horrific for years. Marvin Harrison Jr. is the best wide receiver we've seen coming out of college since Calvin Johnson and makes plenty of sense here for Chicago. 

3. Arizona Cardinals

Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina

More and more, it looks like Arizona is set on moving on from Kyler Murray over the offseason. Even before his torn ACL, there seemed to be a gulf between him and the front office and with the 2024 NFL Draft loaded with elite quarterback prospects, the timing sets up for a new era in Cardinals football. Drake Maye should battle Caleb Williams for the top QB spot throughout the conclusion of the season and into the pre-Draft process and would be a value play here at pick No. 3.

4. Denver Broncos

Jared Verse, DE, Florida State

It's been a brutal start to the Sean Payton era in Denver, illuminating the fact that Nathaniel Hackett might not have been the problem for the Broncos. Denver is too committed to Russell Wilson to imagine them moving on this offseason, so instead they snag an impact edge rusher in Jared Verse, giving them an opportunity to upgrade a mediocre front seven.

5. Las Vegas Raiders

Quinn Ewers, QB, Texas

A hot start to the 2023 campaign has cemented Quinn Ewers as a likely Top 10 selection this next spring and he becomes the third quarterback off the board within the first five picks. He's an obvious upgrade over Jimmy Garoppolo at the position, who always felt like a bridge QB, and should be able to do damage right away with Davante Adams on the perimeter.

6. New York Giants

Olu Fashanu, OT, Penn State

For years, the Giants have struggled to develop an adequate offensive line and it appears to still be a problem area during a rough start to the fall. Enter Penn State's Olu Fashanu, who likely would have been a first-rounder last spring, but instead decided to spend one more season in Happy Valley. He has all the tools to be a franchise left tackle for years to come, and pick No. 6 may end up being too low for him in the long-term.

7. New England Patriots

Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia

New England is in a similar situation to Chicago, struggling through a rough season with a young quarterback under center. Mac Jones doesn't seem like the answer, but with the top three quarterbacks off the board, it doesn't feel very Patriots-esque to reach on a signal-caller as a replacement. Instead, they add a dynamic pass-catcher in Brock Bowers, who is a shoe-in to take home the John Mackey Award this year.

8. Minnesota Vikings

Michael Penix Jr., QB, Washington

Yet another team facing a quarterback quandary this offseason are the Minnesota Vikings. Kirk Cousins is not currently under contract for 2024 and it feels about time for the organization to move on. Head coach Kevin O'Connell needs a big-armed signal-caller to effectively run his offense and Michael Penix fits the bill. Eight may be slightly high for the Washington product so the more likely scenario is this pick is after a trade down but considering I don't do trades in my mocks, this is where he lands in this version.

9. Arizona Cardinals (from Houston)

Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame

If Arizona does indeed move on from Kyler Murray over the offseason, it feels likely their secondary focus will be on the offensive line. Paris Johnson is thriving at right tackle, but left tackle D.J. Humphries is under the final year of his deal and will be 30 this December. The Cardinals find a long-term replacement in Joe Alt, the latest in a long line of elite Notre Dame blockers.

10. New York Jets

J.C. Latham, OT, Alabama

It will be interesting to see what the Jets do this offseason after the Aaron Rodgers injury derailed their 2023 hopes. The defense is good enough to carry the team to the postseason and assuming Rodgers is back next fall, improvement along the O-Line will be key. This could very well be Mekhi Becton's last stand at tackle, so the Jets adding J.C. Latham from Alabama makes plenty of sense sense.

11. Washington Commanders

Amarius Mims, OL, Georgia

Washington is another team that should be looking to upgrade their offensive line, providing Sam Howell more help after his strong start to the 2023 campaign. Georgia's Amarius Mims has been out for most of the year with an ankle injury, which threatens to drop him slightly, but he's still worthy of a pick in this range after a stellar Bulldog career.

12. Atlanta Falcons

Emeka Egbuka, WR, Ohio State

Atlanta's ceiling is capped with Desmond Ridder under center, but I'm not sure there's an obvious solution at this point in the Draft. Instead, they may opt to give Ridder one more year and improve the weapons around him. Enter Emeka Egbuka, a primetime talent who would likely be the top receiver off the board in any Marvin Harrison-less draft.

13. Los Angeles Rams

Laiatu Latu, DE, UCLA

The Rams will be entering strange territory with this pick next spring, assuming it doesn't get dealt - they have not made a first-round selection since 2016. That makes this selection all the way more valuable, and I like the idea of improving a pass rush that lacks much bite behind Aaron Donald. Laiatu Latu is an ideal modern edge rusher, a stand-up end or outside linebacker with exceptional quickness and scheme versatility.

14. Tennessee Titans

Keon Coleman, WR, Florida State

Whether Will Levis or Malik Willis ends up as the future option under center for the Titans, this organization needs to upgrade the weapons around him. Bringing in DeAndre Hopkins was obviously a short-term fix, and we just haven't seen enough from Treylon Burks. Keon Coleman is a world-class athlete who should bring immediate playmaking to an offense that needs it.

15. Cincinnati Bengals

Dallas Turner, DE/LB, Alabama

It's been a slow start to the 2023 season for the Cincinnati Bengals, but I'm under the firm belief this team will get things rolling. But if by chance they don't, they should take advantage of drafting in the top-half of the first round and add a difference-maker off the edge, such as Alabama's Dallas Turner. Turner has been productive since the moment he stepped on campus for the Tide and much like Latu, brings the scheme versatility to be an asset in any defense.

16. Houston Texans (from Cleveland)

Jer'Zhan Newton, DT, Illinois

The Texans look like the early winners of the 2023 NFL Draft with the play of C.J. Stroud and Will Anderson Jr. Next, I think Demeco Ryans and the front office choose to continue bulking up the defensive front, and defensive tackle Jer'Zhan Newton is a value play here. The disruptive interior force has all the physical tools to be a stalwart on the interior D-Line for years to come.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers

Kalen King, CB, Penn State

Could Pittsburgh choose to pair two former Penn State corners together in Joey Porter Jr. and Kalen King? Porter Jr. has looked good early, but the rest of the Steeler secondary is a concern, with the short-term solution of Patrick Peterson looking like a disaster so far. King is a well-rounded defensive back with enough versatility to help in a multitude of ways.

18. Los Angeles Chargers

Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama

If the Chargers want to genuinely challenge Kansas City in the AFC West, the pass defense must improve. It's been one of the worst in the NFL over the season's first five weeks, and there are options available for them if they end up landing in the mid-first round. The most enticing would be Kool-Aid McKinstry, a shutdown corner with the athletic tools to add much-needed playmaking to this back-end.

19. New Orleans Saints

Chop Robinson, DE, Penn State

I'll be very curious to see which direction the Saints go with their 2024 first-round pick. Even with Chris Olave, wide receiver seems to be in play, but New Orleans could also use reinforcements along both lines. I'll bet on them going best player available at this spot, which happens to be Demeioun "Chop" Robinson. The one-time Maryland transfer has been unblockable since he got to Happy Valley and should be a star of the pre-Draft process.

20. Indianapolis Colts

Cooper DeJean, CB, Iowa

For all the attention their inept offense receives, and for good reason, Iowa remains an absolute NFL factory on the defensive side of the ball. The latest Hawkeye defender set to be playing on Sundays is dynamic corner Cooper DeJean, who is the type of weapon that NFL personnel are going to fall in love with. He makes plenty of sense for an Indianapolis team that needs to continue strengthening their secondary.

21. Green Bay Packers

Patrick Paul, OT, Houston

It's always a mystery which direction the Packers will go on any given draft night, but offensive tackle seems like the obvious direction as things stand today. David Bakhtari's 2023 season is officially done, and likely his Green Bay career. The Packers hope to land his replacement here in Houston's Patrick Paul, a powerful 6'7", 315-pound blocker who has been steadily rising up boards.

22. Seattle Seahawks

Kamren Kinchens, S, Miami (FL)

Jamal Adams' health problems have been extremely unfortunate for a well-rounded Seahawk defense, and exposed the fact the team could look to upgrade the position over the offseason. Even better, Kamren Kinchens is projected to land right away here, giving Seattle a chance to land a productive defensive back who is the heart-and-soul of the Hurricane defense.

23. Jacksonville Jaguars

J.T. Tuimoloau, DL, Ohio State

Jacksonville has invested significant draft capital in the front seven over the years, but the production just hasn't lived up to expectations. That could change with the addition of a piece like J.T. Tuimoloau, who still struggles with consistency, but can absolutely take over games when he's on. He could realistically play on the inside or perimeter in the NFL, although edge rusher is likely his future.

24. Baltimore Ravens

Kingsley Suamatia, OT, BYU

Sure, Lamar Jackson can create magic when he's forced out of the pocket, but you have to believe the Baltimore front office cringes every time they see their franchise centerpiece on the turf. They should focus on improving the offensive line over the offseason, and Kingsley Suamatia offers exceptional value near the late first-round. A former five-star prospect who originally landed at Oregon, Suamatia isn't your typical BYU Cougar.

25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Malik Nabers, WR, LSU

Has there been a more surprising quarterback over the first month of the season than Baker Mayfield? I'm still convinced he's the long-term answer here in Tampa, but looks capable enough to lead a talented roster to the postseason. However, questions could be looming in the receiver corps, as Mike Evans' future is uncertain and there's a lack of depth beyond Chris Godwin. Malik Nabers is an explosive, sure-handed target that seems like a great fit at this spot.

26. Dallas Cowboys

Denzel Burke, CB, Ohio State

With Trevon Diggs out for the rest of the year and Stephon Gilmore set to become a free agent this offseason, it's likely Dallas has real concerns about the state of their cornerbacks. Even if Diggs comes back at 100 percent, it would be wise to invest at this position and Denzel Burke is the type of proven, well-built corner that should have a long NFL career.

27. Buffalo Bills

Xavier Worthy, WR, Texas

Buffalo may have drafted a tight end early last spring, but I don't think that means they're done investing in their pass-catchers. Gabe Davis has been a steady No. 2 but could be looking at a big payday over the offseason, so the Bills add a cheaper option in Xavier Worthy here. The Texas wide out shouldn't be overshadowed by a loaded receiver group; he has significant upside.

28. Detroit Lions

Bralen Trice, DE, Washington

Aidan Hutchinson has developed into an elite pass rusher for the Lions and looks to be a cornerstone for the organization for a long time. It makes sense for Detroit to add another pass rusher to pair with him, considering the other ends on the roster. Enter Bralen Trice, a strong, relentless rusher from Washington who has gotten better each year in the collegiate ranks.

29. Miami Dolphins

Cooper Beebe, OL, Kansas State

I like the idea of Miami continuing to invest in their offensive line, considering Tua's lengthy injury history and the fact they could lose both starting guards in free agency. Cooper Beebe has been rising up draft boards and feels like the type of prospect that will cement himself in the first-round. He's an elite run blocker, but should be able to acclimate quickly to this offense.

30. San Francisco 49ers

Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson

A ferocious San Francisco pass rush has masked many of the issues the team has on the back-end. It feels likely John Lynch will move to shore up this position group in the draft, and this is the projected range for Nate Wiggins. The Clemson product has had a strong start to his 2023 campaign and offers all the necessary physical tools.

31. Kansas City Chiefs

Rome Odunze, WR, Washington

You may not need an elite receiver corps when you have Patrick Mahomes under center, but it's still fairly shocking to see how this group has declined in recent years. Rome Odunze would immediately bring a jolt to this receiver corps and with his big-play ability, he could form a fearsome duo with Mahomes for years to come.

32. Philadelphia Eagles

Javon Bullard, DB, Georgia

Howie Roseman and the Philadelphia front office keep going back to the Georgia well with great success and it's not crazy to imagine them doing so once again in 2024. They need long-term answers among an aging back-end, and Javon Bullard can realistically play either corner or safety in the pros.

College Football Picks 2023: Week Six

Dillon Gabriel, Oklahoma

 

Current Picks Record: 31-14

Upsets: 2-3

Superdogs: 4-1

Locks: 4-1

(#12) Oklahoma Sooners vs. (#3) Texas Longhorns (Dallas)

Line: Texas -6.5

O/U: 60.5

The 119th installment of the Red River Rivalry takes center stage in Week Six of the 2023 college football season, and this year's contest feels like it takes on extra weight. Not only is it the final regular season game between the two before they make their move to the SEC, both enter the game undefeated and eyeing a College Football Playoff berth. With so much on the line and the rivalry as fierce as ever, there's plenty of reason to tune in this Saturday in Dallas.

Texas has looked in complete control over the season's first five weeks, putting together their most impressive month since Colt McCoy was under center and Mack Brown was patrolling the sidelines. Not only are they 5-0, but they've built an impressive resume that includes victories over two ranked opponents in Alabama and Kansas. At the helm has been quarterback Quinn Ewers, who has asserted himself into the Heisman conversation with 15 total touchdowns over his first five games. Ewers isn't just stuffing the stat sheet with underneath stuff, either. He's shown a real willingness to take his chances down the field, and the 1-2 punch of Adonai Mitchell and Xavier Worthy on the outside can overwhelm even the most well-built secondaries. Just as important for the Longhorns is the fact the ground game and offensive line seem to be improving each and every week, with Jonathon Brooks emerging as the go-to guy in the backfield. The sophomore is fresh off a 218-yard, two touchdown performance against Kansas and looks ready to put his stamp on this rivalry. The balance Texas features is difficult to game-plan against, and this should pose quite the challenge for the Oklahoma defense. The Sooners have been playing lights out on this side of the ball, a complete turnaround from last fall, but not a single offense they've faced comes close to this group from Texas. I'll be curious to see what Brent Venables and Ted Roof draw up to try and counter it. One would assume they'll look to be aggressive and get after Ewers with relentless blitzes, but Ewers has shown he can make defenses pay when they do so - just watch the Alabama tape. 

The Sooners have feasted on a soft non-conference and early Big 12 slate, riding the arm of Dillon Gabriel to a flawless start. Gabriel did not play in this one last season and will be eager to get his first taste of the rivalry, but should also be prepared to play one of the best Texas defenses we've seen in a long time. It's a stout Longhorn defensive front, headlined by nose tackle T'Vondre Sweat and while Texas is still prone to the big play, the secondary is solid. That shouldn't deter the Sooners from playing their usual, fast-paced style of offense, but the key for this offense is finding some semblance of balance. The ground attack has completely disappeared, with the trio of Marcus Major, Tee Walker, and Jovantae Barnes struggling to get into a rhythm. Major is their leading rusher, with 199 yards, but simply has not been able to find many holes to run through, averaging under four yards per carry. That's a huge concern for this Sooner offense, even with Gabriel's huge arm and the weapons this team can through at you on the outside. My worry if I'm Oklahoma is, if they fall behind early, this becomes an offensive attack solely predicated on Gabriel standing back in the pocket and trying to make things happen with his arm. That's not to say Gabriel isn't a good quarterback or can't create plays, but this isn't Kyler Murray back there; he needs help. The ground game is going to need to find some bite, which also means the offensive line will need to get more push. That's a tough ask against this Longhorn defense, a battle that could be a deciding factor this weekend.

Motivation is never hard to find in this rivalry, but you would assume Oklahoma is feeling extra pressure after a humiliating 49-0 loss to Texas a season ago. It would be quite the response if they were able to derail the most hyped Longhorn team we've seen in a long time, but I just don't feel a lot of confidence in this Sooner team at it stands today. Even if their defense is able to make stops, I have real questions about this offense, which feels remarkably strange to say about an Oklahoma team. We just haven't seen enough for me to take the upset pick and as the more proven team, Texas remains the selection.

The Pick: Texas, 38 Oklahoma, 28

(#20) Kentucky Wildcats @ (#1) Georgia Bulldogs

Line: Georgia -15

O/U: 48

After five weeks, there's one huge question the college football world is grappling with: Are the Georgia Bulldogs beatable? We've become so accustomed to Georgia shredding their competition, but this year's team has had an underwhelming start, even as they remain perched at No. 1. Just last weekend, the Bulldogs got all they could handle from an Auburn team in the first year of the Hugh Freeze era, with Georgia needing late heroics to stay undefeated. Now, Kentucky comes to town with an upset on their mind and a goal of beating UGA for the first time since 2009.

Although they ended up coming out on top and actually put together decent numbers, Georgia's last two wins over SEC foes showcased an offense still in transition. Carson Beck has been rock-solid since taking over for Stetson Bennett, but the longtime backup is still working to develop chemistry with all the weapons the Bulldogs feature. Just as important, offensive coordinator Mike Bobo seems to also be in the process of learning his personnel, resulting in a more conservative approach than what we saw from Todd Monken in 2022. Georgia can still succeed in that way, but the margin for error becomes thin when the running game struggles to get things going, as has been the case for much of the fall so far. Daijun Edwards has remained a force, but the Bulldogs have struggled to identify difference-makers beyond him. The preseason injury to Branson Robinson is magnified now, but even more shocking to me has been the play of Kendall Milton. To be fair to Milton, he has been banged up with a sprained MCL, but are we ever going to see the former blue-chip recruit put it together over an extended period of time? Sophomore receiver Dillon Bell has also been seeing carries, which seems to put into perspective just how lethargic this ground attack has been. Going up against a disciplined and always tough Kentucky defensive front doesn't seem like the ideal scenario to turn things around, which in turn applies more pressure to Beck and tight end Brock Bowers. Bowers has been terrific, the true MVP of the team so far, but he needs others on this supporting cast to emerge. Getting reliable Ladd McConkey back healthy will be huge, but the Bulldogs are still looking for more from transfers Dominic Lovett and Rara Thomas. Florida and Graham Mertz moved the ball against this Kentucky offense last Saturday, so perhaps there will be opportunities here for the 'Dawgs.

Much like Georgia, Kentucky has spent most of their early season attempting to figure out their offense, but last weekend looked like a turning point. The ground game exploded, with former Vanderbilt transfer Ray Davis punishing Florida to the tune of 280 yards and three touchdowns. It felt like a game where Kentucky stopped trying to open things up through the air and just accepted their strength as a ground-and-pound team. Doing so against Georgia will be more difficult, but this is not the same Bulldog defensive front we've seen the last several years. Sure, there remains an abundance of future NFL Draft selections, but a lack of a Jalen Carter, Jordan Davis, or Nakobe Dean. The lack of an alpha has made them more susceptible and the Wildcats should look to attack. Still, they are going to need the aerial attack to find itself at some point, as Devin Leary has been a bit of a disappointment since coming over from NC State. Leary is learning a new scheme under Liam Coen, but last weekend was the ugliest start he's had in his collegiate career. Leary went just 9-19 for 69 yards, even against a Florida secondary not considered to be among the SEC's best. He has weapons to throw to, even with both Barion Brown and Tayvion Robinson banged up, but there seems to be a lack of confidence right now. Just as concerning, Leary's decision-making, long considered to be a strength, has taken a hit after five interceptions over his first five games. If he's not up for this one, it's hard to imagine Kentucky strolling into Sanford Stadium and coming away with a win.

Georgia may not look invincible, as they did throughout all of 2021 and 2022, but that doesn't mean this is an easy football team to beat. Kirby Smart will have his boys ready to go for this one and playing "Between the Hedges" seems to always add points to the Bulldog total. Kentucky is the type of team nobody wants to play, a tough, well-coached football team that leaves you bruised and sore after, but they have their flaws, too. Unless Leary comes on and has the game of his life, I don't see No. 1 going down this weekend.

The Pick: Georgia, 27 Kentucky, 16

(#10) Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ (#25) Louisville Cardinals

Line: Notre Dame -6.5

O/U: 54

The Fighting Irish survived a thriller last weekend on the road against Duke and remain in the College Football Playoff mix, but the schedule still contains numerous landmines, including Louisville this Saturday. The Cardinals are off to a surprising 5-0 start under Jeff Brohm and looking to boost their resume with a Top 10 win at home.

It's been two consecutive down weeks for the Irish offense, albeit against strong defenses, but this unit remains a strength. Quarterback Sam Hartman has been a difference-maker, not only unlocking a downfield passing game that has often eluded Notre Dame, but making smart decisions and completing clutch throws. Yet, I still wonder if we are going to see more consistency from the receivers, which have shown flashes throughout the year, but haven't put it together over a long period of time. Both Jayden Thomas and Jadon Greathouse, the two most talented pass-catchers on the roster, missed the Duke game and remain questionable as the Irish prep for Week Six. Even getting one back would add some much-needed explosiveness to this roster and give Notre Dame a real weapon against a Louisville pass defense susceptible to the big play. Fortunately, Notre Dame can still lean on a ferocious ground game when needed, as Audric Estime continues to asset himself as a Doak Walker Award frontrunner. He has been held in check by both Duke and Ohio State, but this feels like the week that he gets back on track, especially if the offensive line can establish some consistency after going through their own ups-and-downs in recent weeks.

Brohm has brought his high-powered offense to Louisville, overseeing a unit that is averaging 37 points per game. Jack Plummer reunited with his former head coach after a quick pit stop last fall at California and is having his best season yet, with 1,406 passing yards over the first five games. With that being said, he faces the toughest pass defense he's seen so far in 2023, and I do worry about the turnovers. Six interceptions over the first five games when you're passing as much as Plummer does may not be terrible, but it's a real concern against an opportunistic Irish secondary. This looks like one of the best defensive backfields anywhere in the country and I suspect they'll be aggressive against Plummer and company. Louisville is able to counter with an explosive supporting cast, notably wide out Jamari Thrash and tailback Jawhar Jordan, who has been a revelation so far this fall. Both Jordan and Thrash are threats to take the ball to the house every time they touch it; Jordan averages nearly eight yards per run, while Thrash over 20 yards per catch. But, the thing about this Notre Dame defense is they simply don't allow many big plays. It's always been a remarkably disciplined group, one that makes you fight for every yard. There may not be as much star-power or as many future NFL pieces, but this remains a stout group, one that may force Brohm to reach into his bag of tricks to keep the Cardinal offense humming along.

Louisville has been a great story, but the reality is that they've been feasting on a soft schedule up to this point in the season. Notre Dame is a whole different ball game and even on the road, they hold a distinct advantage. If they're able to get Thomas and Greathouse back, that's another reason to pick the Irish, who still have plenty of opportunities to build their resume as they remain in the Playoff hunt.

The Pick: Notre Dame, 31 Louisville, 20

Other Picks

(#23) LSU Tigers @ (#21) Missouri Tigers -- After a slow start to the season, Missouri's offense has been blazing hot in recent weeks, with wide out Luther Burden putting together a Biletnikoff-esque year. Burden, and this entire Mizzou offense, should feast at home against a LSU defense going through a rough year.

The Pick: Missouri, 35 LSU, 31

(#11) Alabama Crimson Tide @ Texas A&M Aggies -- Could this be the de-facto SEC West Championship Game, even so early on in the fall? Perhaps, and it should be a good one, but I'm leaning Tide over a Connor Weigman-less A&M team.

The Pick: Alabama, 24 Texas A&M, 20

Maryland Terrapins @ (#4) Ohio State Buckeyes -- Maryland has been absolutely decimating their competition throughout 2023 and I think they give the Buckeyes a game. But, what are the chances they go into Columbus and come out victorious?

The Pick: Ohio State, 38 Maryland, 30

Upset: (#24) Fresno State Bulldogs @ Wyoming Cowboys -- Few Group of Five teams are as upset-minded as the Wyoming Cowboys, and Laramie at night is an incredibly tough place to play. I like their chances to pull off a shocker against the 5-0 Bulldogs.

The Pick: Wyoming, 28 Fresno State, 27

Superdog (covers > 21 point spread): Arizona Wildcats (+23) @ USC Trojans -- Despite their undefeated record, USC's struggles on defense have been one of the enduring storylines of the fall so far. They'll put enough points to win, but can they get enough stops?

The Pick: USC, 49 Arizona, 34

Lock of the Week: NC State Wolfpack (-6) vs. Marshall Thundering Herd -- Marshall is among the top Group of Five teams in the country, but Raleigh is a much tougher place to play than most give it credit for. I think Brennan Armstrong and the Wolfpack put up enough points to lock this one in.

The Pick: NC State, 31 Marshall, 21