College Football Preview 2021: 12. USC Trojans

Kedon Slovis, USC

 12. USC Trojans

They're the most talented team in the division, but will need more consistency from the QB and staff to take the Pac-12

2020 Review

Even by 2020 standards, USC's season was a strange one. They began their schedule in November with a 9 a.m. local time kickoff, coming from behind to beat Arizona State in a thriller. In fact, they were forced to come from behind in multiple games during the shortened campaign, but still earned entry to the Pac-12 Championship Game with a perfect 5-0 record. A loss to Oregon in that game, a team that technically didn't even win its division, showed that the Trojans still have work to do as they prep for 2021. 

2021 Outlook

Offense: Offensive coordinator Graham Harrell has been a tremendous addition to the coaching staff over the last two years, re-energizing an offense that had lagged during a 5-7 2018 season. Despite the fact he received some interest from other schools and even the NFL, he returns to lead what should be his most talented 'SC offense yet.

Quarterback Kedon Slovis came on in 2019 in a huge way, winning Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year after beginning the year as a backup. Even greater things were expected in 2020 and while Slovis had strong numbers, he struggled to maintain consistency. He finished with 1,921 yards, 17 touchdowns, and a 67% completion percentage, but left a little to be desired. Slovis has the natural arm talent and confidence to be a true Heisman-caliber QB, and the hope is that a normal off-season will work wonders for him. He's the unquestioned starter moving forward, but the Trojans did upgrade the quarterback room around him, bringing in highly touted freshmen Miller Moss and Jaxson Dart.

The Trojan ground game has lagged behind what it could be over the last several years, but the staff is hoping that changes in 2021. Former five-star prospect Stephen Carr might have transferred, but steady veteran Vavae Malepeai returns, and former Texas transfer Keontay Ingram arrives. Ingram was forced out of Austin due to the talent of youngster Bijan Robinson, but he's still an awfully talented tailback. He notched over 1,500 yards in his first two seasons with Texas, but wasn't healthy last fall.

Even though Amon-Ra St. Brown and Tyler Vaughns move on from this receiver group, it still has the chance to be one of the country's best. There's plenty of talent and depth, with a clear headliner in sophomore Drake London. London is built more like a tight end than traditional wide out, but still has the burst in the open field to be a difference-maker. He finished with 502 yards in just six games last season, but even greater things should be in store now that St. Brown and Vaughns are gone.

Joining London are an abundance of intriguing options. Freshman Gary Bryant didn't see the field a ton in his first year on campus, but is a big-name recruit who has the versatility to do damage in a variety of ways. Colorado transfer K.D. Nixon doesn't have the ceiling of others in the receiver room, but he was productive while in Boulder, with 23 starters under his belt over his four years there. Then there's redshirt freshman Bru McCoy, who became somewhat of a household name for his wild recruitment back prior to 2019. He missed all of 2019 with a mysterious illness but returned for 2020 and finished fourth on the team in receptions and yardage. McCoy has superstar potential, even if his recruitment process probably earned him some detractors.

The USC offensive line remains mostly intact, although the lone loss is a big one. Tackle Alijah Vera-Tucker was an All-Pac-12 performer and went in the first round to the New York Jets. His departure leaves the Trojans very thin at left tackle. The rest of the unit returns with a healthy amount of experience, namely guard Andrew Vorhees. He's made 25 starts throughout his 'SC career, including five last fall after missing most of 2019.

This has potential to be one of the best offenses USC has had in awhile, even though there are several notable losses. Slovis is more talented than the edition we saw last fall, and the other skill positions should be strong. Expect this to be a fun and potentially explosive bunch, but cutting down on turnovers will be key.

Defense: Much like he did with his offense following the disappointing 2018, head coach Clay Helton shuffled the defensive coaching staff following 2019. The result was a new coordinator in former Texas DC Todd Orlando, as well as several new assistants. Although it's difficult to take too much away from 2020, it appears as though the move has paid off, as the Trojan defense improved statistically and also seemed to play with more edge.

The defensive line may be the most interesting position group on the roster. There's plenty of experience returning, but it's the newcomers that are sure to catch eyes. Alabama transfer Ishmael Sopher was, unsurprisingly, a high-profile recruit who found himself pushed out of the DT spot in Tuscaloosca. He's talented enough to come in and start right away, likely to pair next to Tuli Tuipulotu in the middle. Off the edge, there's freshman Korey Foreman, the top player in the 2021 Class. Although he will need time to acclimate to Power Five football, it's going to be difficult to keep Foreman off the field. He might have a chance to leapfrog former JUCO transfer Nick Figueroa, who had seven tackles for loss in his first season with the Trojans.

USC has always been a school that produces elite linebackers and next in line is sophomore Drake Jackson. Jackson makes the move to outside linebacker from defensive end, freeing him up to do even more for this Trojan defense. He had six tackles for loss in 2019 as a true freshman and would've built on that last season if not for the shortened schedule. Jackson was an All-League performer in 2020 and is the star of the defense, at least for now. However, the Trojans do still have several other linebackers with experience, even if they may not be recognizable stars. Sophomore Ralen Goforth notched 38 tackles last season, while junior outside 'backer Kana'i Mauga is the top returning tackler. There's also Hunter Echols, who provides valuable depth to the unit.

The Trojan secondary suffered through an injury-plagued 2019 season but displayed solid progress in the shortened 2020 season. They did suffer a big loss over the off-season when Talanoa Hufanga, the reigning Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Year, moved on. His absence will put more pressure on the returnees, namely corner Chris Steele and safety Isaiah Pola-Mao. Steele began his career at Florida before traveling west, and he's developed into a quality cover corner. He was an All-League performer a year ago and has the talent to be even better. Sophomore Isaac Taylor-Stuart is the favorite to start alongside him, mainly because there aren't many proven options beyond him. Fellow sophomore Jayden Williams played some a season ago and has a chance to push for more snaps, but will have to battle of numerous freshmen. Don't be surprised if Ceyair Wright seriously pushes for the starting job in 2021.

Pola-Mao finished third on the team in tackles last fall and his limitless range at free safety will be critical for this defense. Depth at the safety spots will be aided by the addition of two big-name transfers, Chris Thompson and Xavion Alford. Thompson played in six games as a true frosh at Auburn, but it's Alford that has earned significant attention. He arrived at Texas with plenty of fanfare and while he didn't see the field much his first year on campus, he was in for the spring and flashed serious upside.

Orlando seemed to be a great fit with the USC defense during a pandemic year, which bodes well as things shift back to normal. There are pieces that will need to be replaced, but the Trojans added several transfers and freshmen who should immediately make an impact. They're still probably not going to be one of the Pac-12's elite defenses, but should be good enough to keep this team as a conference title contender.

Special Teams: Kicker Parker Lewis had a decent first season with the Trojans in 2020, but they're hoping for even more after he went 9-13 on field goals. He has massive range, but will have to develop consistency in 2021. Punter Ben Griffiths could be one of the best in the league, giving new special teams coordinator Sean Snyder a weapon to work with.

Bottom Line: USC remains perpetually on the quest back to national prominence and while they've flashed potential under Clay Helton, the perennial hot-seat head man is still waiting to get them over the top. The 2021 team has the potential to do so, with a talented quarterback leading a fun offense, and an improved defense likely to play better in a more-normal season. It also helps that this team has a generally favorable schedule, and the Pac-12 South as a whole is full of mystery. Their biggest threat is Arizona State, whose future is completely uncertain due to an ongoing NCAA investigation. Beyond that, Utah, Colorado, and UCLA could all be dangerous, but all are still unproven commodities right now. With that in mind, the Trojans are not just a division favorite, but should seriously challenge for a Pac-12 crown. The ultimate question remains: can USC finally live up to their vast potential? They haven't in recent years, but the blueprint is in place.

Further Breakdown

Team Projections

Projected Record: 10-3 (7-3 Pac-12, Lose Pac-12 Championship Game)

Offensive MVP: QB Kedon Slovis

Defensive MVP: LB Drake Jackson

Breakout Player of the Year: WR Gary Bryant

Impact Freshman: DE Korey Foreman

Recruiting Breakdown

After a down year on the recruiting trail in 2020, this staff responded in a big way when loading up for the 2021 Class. They finished seventh in the country and came just behind Oregon inside the conference. The obvious headliner is defensive end Korey Foreman, the nation's No. 1 recruit, who was once committed to Clemson. He has the chance to be the best pass rusher USC has had in years and years. Behind him, the staff also hauled in two highly-touted QB recruits in Jaxson Dart and Miller Moss. Moss hails from inside the state, but Dart is slightly higher rated, and the Trojans took him away from the state of Utah. Other names to watch include linebacker Raesjon Davis and tight end Michael Trigg. Davis is a former LSU commit who can be used in a wide variety of ways, while Trigg was a nice get from the Southeast. The tight end position has been down for 'SC in recent years, but Trigg may be able to change that. 

Five-Year Trend

NBA Mock Draft 2021: Edition 3 (Final Edition)

Scottie Barnes, No. 5 to Orlando

With the unique sports calendar this year, it's easy to forget that the 2021 NBA Draft wraps up this Thursday, with sixty prospects set to complete a lifelong dream of making the NBA. This year doesn't seem to have much intrigue around the No. 1 selection, but the rest of the first round could be awfully chaotic, with several huge trades possibly taking place. I never predict trades in my mocks, but I wouldn't be surprised if the draft order is shaken up quite a bit by the time both rounds conclude late Thursday night.

1. Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham, G, Oklahoma State

Barring some major change late in the process, Cade Cunningham will be the top selection in the 2021 NBA Draft. Cunningham stuck it out with an Oklahoma State team that was originally going to be ineligible for the NCAA Tournament and helped put together one of their best regular seasons in school history. He's the type of difference maker any team at the top of the lottery covets, and he immediately becomes the face of a Pistons franchise that has been floundering over the last several years.

2. Houston Rockets

Jalen Green, G/F, G League

Things get very interesting at the second spot, but rumors are swirling that Jalen Green is likely to be the selection. Green was one of the first big names to make the jump to the G League instead of college and while he had growing pains playing against professionals, he has already displayed rapid improvement. Green gives the Rockets a dynamic scorer who will guide them through the post-James Harden era.

3. Cleveland Cavaliers

Evan Mobley, F/C, USC

An athletic big who can both run the floor and space it, Evan Mobley will be able to fit in just about any NBA offense. While Cleveland does still have Kevin Love on the roster, it appears time to move on in the frontcourt. Mobley should be able to pair nicely with Darius Garland and Collin Sexton, who have flashed serious upside.

4. Toronto Raptors

Jalen Suggs, PG, Gonzaga

The Raptors had a frustrating 2020-21 season, but the roster can still contend, even with Kyle Lowry likely on his way out. Trading out may be a possibility, but with Jalen Suggs still available on the board, Toronto takes a chance. He's already an elite playmaker and clutch shot-maker, and if the jump shot is more consistent, he can be the best player in this class.

5. Orlando Magic

Scottie Barnes, G/F, Florida State

Although there remains a drop-off at pick No. 5, Scottie Barnes looks more and more like the selection here. The Florida State product flashed impressive versatility and scoring potential, even if his college production doesn't necessarily jump off the page at you. He's well worth the risk for an Orlando team that doesn't look like they will be contending any time soon.

6. Oklahoma City Thunder

James Bouknight, G, UConn

Few players in this Draft have had a meteoric rise quite like James Bouknight, who has gone from a late lottery selection to a possible Top 5 pick. He brings a proven scoring punch to an Oklahoma City roster that lacks much proven playmaking beyond Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. 

7. Golden State Warriors

Jonathan Kuminga, G/F, G League

With Klay Thompson back healthy next season, the Warriors are likely to return to serious contention in the Western Conference. With that in mind, this Top 10 pick may be better used adding a developmental piece, such as Jonathan Kuminga. Kuminga is a jaw-dropping athlete and has raw offensive tools but at just 18 years old, he will need time to figure things out in the NBA.

8. Orlando Magic

Davion Mitchell, G, Baylor

Davion Mitchell is one of my favorite players in this Draft, but he has an interesting range of where he could land. Some mocks have him as high as fifth to the Magic, while others have him dropping out of the lottery. My bet is somewhere in between, as Orlando picks him up with their second selection of the first round. Even if his playmaking ability isn't there right away as he transitions to the pros, Mitchell's on-ball defense are worthy of a lottery pick.

9. Sacramento Kings

Franz Wagner, F, Michigan

The Kings are going to be fascinating players on Draft Night, with rumors of a possible Buddy Hield trade circulating. If they do stay put at nine, Franz Wagner has been linked to Sacramento for some time. He offers a combo forward who could defend multiple positions and immediately bring spot-up shooting to a team that has lacked shooters for some time.

10. Memphis Grizzlies

Moses Moody, G, Arkansas

Moses Moody might not have the ceiling of others in this cycle, but he's a rock-solid NBA prospect. In his one season with Arkansas, he proved to be a capable defender, quality shooter, and natural athlete. He also offers ideal size for an off-guard, especially considering his massive, seven-foot wingspan. The Grizzlies would love a quality guard to pair up with Ja Morant, particularly when you consider the newly-acquired Eric Bledsoe is unlikely to remain in town long.

11. Charlotte Hornets

Alperen Sengun, F/C, Turkey

In a Draft that is underwhelming in terms of international prospects, Turkish big Alperen Sengun may take the cake as the best option from overseas. Despite being slightly undersized at 6'9", Sengun is a ferocious rebounder and solid defender who also shoots at a nice clip from the free throw line. He has been playing against professional competition in Europe for years, so the adjustment to the NBA should be smooth.

12. San Antonio Spurs

Josh Giddey, G/F, Australia

Josh Giddey, who spent this past season playing for the Adelaide 36ers of the NBL, is very much a Spurs-esque prospect. He's already an elite playmaker and intelligent basketball player for his age, and he has the chance to continue to grow as a scorer. Giddey is seeing his stock rise, to the point where he may be gone by the time the Spurs are on the board, but he'd be a nice get if he is available at this spot.

13. Indiana Pacers

Corey Kispert, F, Gonzaga

Corey Kispert may take a backseat to former teammate Jalen Suggs as a prospect, but he proved that he was a key cog on a Gonzaga team that came one win away from a perfect season. Kispert grew from a limited, questionable athlete into a dominating offensive force with genuine power around the rim. He's older than most prospects in this Draft, but that shouldn't scare away teams in the late lottery.

14. Golden State Warriors

Chris Duarte, G, Oregon

After taking a chance on Jonathan Kuminga earlier, Golden State rolls with a safer, rather unexciting, selection in Oregon's Chris Duarte. Duarte may be a flashy athlete or lockdown defender, but he's an incredibly efficient scorer who hits the three ball at a quality rate. He's the type of winning basketball player an organization like the Warriors is always looking to add on the bench.

15. Washington Wizards

Trey Murphy, G/F, Virginia

It's unclear whether the Wizards will move forward with their core of Russell Westbrook and Bradley Beal but either way, they're going to need to add shooters to this roster. Enter Trey Murphy, a well-built wing with a smooth stroke. Murphy's offensive numbers aren't overly impressive while at Virginia, but that is never a program that is going to churn out high-scoring players.

16. Oklahoma City Thunder

Ziaire Williams, F, Stanford

Despite being a huge recruit, Ziaire Williams is a project at this point in his career. He has a lot of the offensive tools to be an elite scorer and impactful defender, but he still has serious holes in his game right now. Oklahoma City still has years before they are looking to seriously contend, meaning they can take a chance on a piece like this in the mid-first.

17. New Orleans Pelicans

Keon Johnson, G, Tennessee

One of the most intriguing players to watch on Thursday night is Tennessee's Keon Johnson. Some projections have him going comfortably in the Top 10, while others seem to think he'll drop to the late first. My guess again lands somewhere in between, offering New Orleans a high upside, two-way contributor with the pick they acquired in the recent deal with Memphis.

18. Oklahoma City Thunder

Kai Jones, F/C, Texas

Another player that is seeing his stock rise at the right time, Kai Jones certainly could be a lottery selection. Jones still has a fairly limited offensive game, but he offers a lot of things modern NBA teams are looking for: size, rim running potential, and rim protection. If he can polish his post game and perhaps grow a more effective mid-range shot, Jones could be a great pick here.

19. New York Knicks

Jared Butler, G/F, Baylor

Along with Davion Mitchell, Jared Butler was the fuel that helped guide Baylor to their first National Title in school history in 2020-21. He's not quite as flashy as Mitchell, but Butler is a deadeye shooter and tremendous leader on the court. Too often the Knicks have gone with the "flash" over the substance, but that should change with Butler here.

20. Atlanta Hawks

Cam Thomas, G/F, LSU

With a logjam of young players already on the wing, rumor is that Atlanta has looked into trading away Cam Reddish or other pieces. That should open up the door for Cam Thomas, who had a tremendous one-year run with LSU. Thomas has a proven scoring pedigree and lives for the big moment, but he'll have to become a better distributor if he is to pair with Trae Young.

21. New York Knicks

Usman Garuba, F, Spain

Already adding Jared Butler a little bit earlier, the Knicks go with a developmental frontcourt piece in Usman Garuba. Garuba reminds me a lot of a smaller Clint Capela; a beast on the glass, powerful offensive player, and decent on-ball defender. He'll add froncourt depth to a roster that desperately needs it if they want to contend in the East next year.

22. Los Angeles Lakers

Jalen Johnson, F, Duke

Kyle Kuzma could be on the move this off-season, but the Lakers could immediately find his replacement in the form of Jalen Johnson. Johnson has loads of offensive upside and had flashes during his short run at Duke, but he has plenty of room for growth. Who better to learn under than LeBron James and Anthony Davis?

23. Houston Rockets

Isaiah Jackson, F/C, Kentucky

With Kentucky coming over one of their worst seasons in program history, big man Isaiah Jackson is the best prospect set to come out of Lexington. Jackson is still a bit of a project on offense, but he's extremely active around the rim and already an elite shot-blocker. He's well worth a slight risk for a Rockets team with three first-round selections.

24. Houston Rockets

Jaden Springer, G, Tennessee

Don't be surprised if this selection becomes trade bait for a Houston team that will be very active, but if they stick firm, Jaden Springer makes plenty of sense. Springer is an elite defender who can play next to just about anyone in the backcourt. He's exceptional from mid-range and can occasionally create his own shot, but there's work to be done.

25. Los Angeles Clippers

Tre Mann, G, Florida

With Kawhi Leonard's status unclear for the 2021-22 season, Los Angeles is stuck in a weird sort of limbo as far as Western Conference contention goes. Either way, they'll need more scoring punch off the bench if they want to compete for an NBA Title. Tre Mann certainly fits that billing, as an explosive scorer out of Florida. He'll have to be more selective to survive in the NBA, but he has the talent.

26. Denver Nuggets

Nah'Shon Hyland, PG, VCU

Denver has traditionally been an organization that's able to find great value in the late first round and they have a potential steal here in the form of Nah'Shon Hyland. The VCU product isn't super well-known but is an impressive athlete with a 6'9" wingspan. Hyland's shooting numbers dropped slightly this season, but that was likely more of a result of him being the vocal point of the Ram attack than anything else.

27. Brooklyn Nets

Isaiah Todd, F/C, G League

Another team that should be willing to take a chance on a boom-or-bust prospect is Brooklyn, who is clearly a Finals favorite when fully healthy. Isaiah Todd offers great value in the late first as a tremendous athlete who has some wiggle to him. Todd was once a Michigan commit but like Green and Kuminga, instead chose the G League route.

28. Philadelphia Sixers

Ayo Dosunmu, G, Illinois

Will Ben Simmons be a Sixer next season? There's plenty of talk about him being traded elsewhere, but I wouldn't be surprised if Philadelphia trots him out for at least one more season. No matter what happens there, I like them adding a savvy playmaker like Dosunmu. Dosunmu was overshadowed by Luka Garza in the Big Ten this year, but was the best all-around player in the league.

29. Phoenix Suns

Quentin Grimes, G, Houston

Even though they ultimately came up short in the Finals, Phoenix had a marvelous postseason run this year. However, there's a chance that both Chris Paul and Cam Payne could move on over the summer, meaning the Suns will need to find some new faces to complement Devin Booker. Quentin Grimes has been rising up boards late and offers proven scoring punch.

30. Utah Jazz

Day'Ron Sharpe, F/C, UNC

Even though his one season in Chapel Hill was full of ups-and-downs, Day'Ron Sharpe is likely to land somewhere in the late first round. He's an active big around the rim who has the tools to become even more of a factor offensively, but he's still raw in many areas. Sharpe would definitely benefit from backing up Rudy Gobert for a season or two in Utah.

NBA Draft 2021: Top 40 Big Board

Jalen Green, G League Ignite

 1. Cade Cunningham, G, Oklahoma State

Strengths: Elite, day-one playmaking ability, ideal size for modern NBA, significant defensive upside

Weaknesses: Not as quick as elite NBA guards, jump shots needs further refinement

Ceiling: NBA Superstar

Bust Potential: Moderate

Cade Cunningham is nearly a 100 percent lock to be heading to Detroit on Thursday night, and for good reason. The 19-year old combo guard put together an incredible one-year run with Oklahoma State, operating as their chief playmaker. He put up a statline of 20.1 PPG, 3.5 APG, and 6.2 RPG, while playing in one of the most competitive leagues in America. As an NBA prospect, he checks just about every box you could imagine, with the size to play and defend multiple positions, tremendous passing ability, and good shooting numbers. There are things to nitpick in his game like every player coming out of college, but he's well worth the top selection in this Draft. 

2. Evan Mobley, F, USC

Strengths: Seven-footer who can run the floor and play both ends, skilled rim protector, spaces the floor with a smooth jumper

Weaknesses: Needs to bulk up to survive the NBA, polish his touch around the rim

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: Low

Elite big men seem to be a lost art in today's NBA, but USC's Evan Mobley is the perfect post for the modern game. He's a legit seven-footer with long arms and the ability to become a top-notch shot-blocker, but his offensive game is ripe with potential. He can run the floor incredibly well for someone of his size, and the jump shot is there too. Mobley shot 30% from three in college, but one could imagine that those numbers could be even better as he develops. Around the rim, he isn't quite as polished as you might hope, but he's still crafty enough to get his own shot and understands how to impact the game as an offensive rebounder. I've seen him compared to Chris Bosh and Anthony Davis, and when you see his size mixed with his offensive game, the comparisons aren't unfounded. However, in order to reach his vast ceiling, he'll need to bulk up and show he has the work ethic and energy to be an elite player. If there is one clear criticism for Mobley, it's that he had moments where it looked like he was taking plays off for USC. If he wants to be great, that can't happen at the NBA level.

3. Jalen Suggs, PG, Gonzaga

Strengths: Eye-popping athleticism, amazing passing instincts and skill, clutch player who loves the big stage

Weaknesses: Jump shot will continue to need work, must developer the finer parts of his game

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: Low

Jalen Suggs had quite the run in his lone season with Gonzaga, growing into one of the game's most recognizable stars. His vision, feel for the game, and natural competitiveness helped him develop into one of the best distributors we've seen coming out of the college ranks in some time. He's always willing to push the pace and set up his teammates, but can also turn into the No. 1 scoring option when needed. Suggs had good shooting splits with the Bulldogs and of course made the legendary shot against UCLA in the Final Four, but continuing to develop his outside game should be his top priority at this point in his career. Defensively, the tools are all there for him to be a plus-defender in the pros, even at a loaded position, but further consistency on that end would continue to accelerate his rapid development.

4. Jalen Green, G/F, G League

Strengths: Highlight-reel athlete, offensive potential, skilled ball-handler

Weaknesses: Three-point shot needs work, turnover concerns

Ceiling: NBA All-Star 

Bust Potential: Moderate

Jalen Green was of the first major names to take the G League route instead of a one-year stint in college and it's hard to know whether the decision has helped or hurt his stock. On one hand, Green now has a year of experience playing in professional basketball, even if the G League is obviously a step down from the NBA. On the other, he didn't get the exposure that names like Cunningham, Mobley or Suggs did during their NCAA Tournament runs. NBA scouts still adore Green, primarily because of his offensive potential. He arrived in the G League as a tremendous athlete who could occasionally create his own shot, and evolved into a more consistent option who could do a wide variety of different things. He's still at his best getting downhill and attacking the basket, but his jump shot has improved, and so has his passing. He still needs to become smarter with the ball because he forced up too many difficult shots and bad passes, but that should come as he joins an NBA offense. 

5. Davion Mitchell, G, Baylor

Strengths: Dominant isolation scorer, continues to grow as a three-point shooter, pesky on-ball defender

Weaknesses: Limited ceiling compared to others in this Draft, undersized for the NBA

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

There's a drop-off here after the top four prospects in this cycle, but Davion Mitchell slides in comfortably at No. 5. Playing a key role in Baylor's National Championship run, Mitchell proved to be an exciting shot creator who excels in isolation. He's undersized at 6'1", but makes up for it with a fearless offensive game and acrobatic finishes around the rim. On defense, he's incredibly pesky and can often get his hands in passing lanes to disrupt opposing offenses. He won't lead the NBA in steals, but has the potential to be a truly elite on-ball defender, even with his limited size. With all that being said, I don't envision him having All-Star level potential in the pros, but he can still be a really important piece for a future contender. If I'm Orlando at pick five, he's my selection.

6. Franz Wagner, F, Michigan

Strengths: Long, athletic frame, capable shooter who should only get better from three, intelligent basketball player 

Weaknesses: Needs to bulk up, a slight tweener, not an elite athlete

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

Every NBA team is looking for young prospects who can hit the three ball at an efficient clip and also play plus defense, hence the "3-and-D" moniker. Plenty of prospects fit this mold at the top of the Draft, but few hit it quite on the tee like Franz Wagner. He shot 38% from three this past season at Michigan and is a consistent spot-up shooter, while also displaying strong defensive abilities. Wagner is not exactly an elite athlete, but makes up for it on defense with his length and size (6'9") and natural instincts. Much like Mitchell, he might not have the ceiling of an NBA star at the next level, but he's the type of solid, well-rounded prospect that is worth a stab in the middle to late lottery. Out of nearly all the prospects in my Top 10, Wagner might be the one I'd be the most surprised if he busted.

7. Scottie Barnes, G/F, Florida State

Strengths: Size and versatility to play multiple positions, tremendous finisher at the rim, defensive upside

Weaknesses: Jump shot needs a lot of work, came off the bench in college, raw in many areas

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: Moderate

Florida State has quietly become quite the factory for quality NBA Draft talent, and the next Seminole set to be taken is wing Scottie Barnes. Barnes came off the bench for pretty much the entire season at FSU, but still caught NBA eyes with his versatility, powerful finishing ability, and potential on defense. His numbers don't jump off the page at you, but he flashed serious two-way potential and seemed to improve every time he stepped on the court. His offensive skill set is still fairly limited at this point and he'll need to land in the right situation to be worthy of a lottery pick, but the tools are certainly in place. He has a real chance to go as high as No. 5, but a slide into the late lottery also wouldn't be a shock.

8. Jonathan Kuminga, G/F, G League

Strengths: Insane athlete, plays above the rim, still growing at just 18 years old

Weaknesses: Very raw throughout his offensive game, very sloppy defender at this point, very questionable shooter

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: High

Jonathan Kuminga reclassified from the Class of 2021 into 2020, then opted to take the professional route and join the G League. Playing against professional competition at just 18 years of age, Kuminga naturally had growing pains, but he did still flash potential. He's an explosive athlete that should rival Jalen Green in terms of highlight-reel plays, and he showed that he could defend multiple different positions at a quality level. Unsurprisingly, Kuminga still has a long ways to go in terms of development to be worthy of a Top 5 selection, as his shooting is extremely suspect, and he often gets lost defensively. He's the type of prospect that absolutely needs to land in the right situation, and may need further time in the G League to hone his skills. He has upside to be a real difference-maker, but there are just too many questions at this point for him to be any higher on the big board.

9. Josh Giddey, G/F, Australia

Strengths: Crafty, polished playmaker, perfect size for the modern game, still just 18 years old

Weaknesses: Shooting is suspect, average athlete

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

One of my favorite players in this Draft is Josh Giddey, who played this past season in Australia with the Adelaide 36ers. He reminds me a lot of a young Ricky Rubio, although with more size to offer and a little bit less flash. He has a natural leadership ability when running the offense and is a smooth passer and finisher. Giddey is dominant in the pick-and-roll and has great feel for it for his age, but has to continue to grow in creating his own looks. The shooting is not quite there just yet, as he shot 29% from three this past season for Adelaide, but his mechanics are solid for his age. The defense could also use further work, but he has the size and length to become solid, if rather unspectacular, at that end of the court. Giddey is the type of polished playmaker that might never average 20 points per game, but whose impact will be felt wherever he lands.

10. Moses Moody, G, Arkansas

Strengths: Proven two-way ability, great rebounder for his position, quality shot-maker

Weaknesses: Unclear position at the next level, not a shot creator

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

Moses Moody was a key component of one of the best Arkansas teams in recent memory, winning SEC Rookie of the Year, as he averaged 16.8 PPG and 5.8 RPG in just 34 minutes per game. He offers plenty of quality attributes as a prospect, a wing with good size and a seven-foot wingspan who can rebound and defend incredibly well for his position. He didn't come to college with a reputation as an elite offensive player, but he put up strong numbers throughout his time with the Razorbacks, including shooting 36% from three-point range. Moody is somewhat limited as an athlete and ball-handler, restricting his ability to create and finish his own shots, but he can make up for it in creative ways. He projects as a late lottery pick right now and would fit nicely on any number of NBA teams. Much like others outside the Top 5 range, he might not have All-Star potential, but he can be a quality asset in various situations.

11. Corey Kispert, G/F, Gonzaga

Strengths: Improved every single year at Gonzaga, smooth offensive game, plays with an edge

Weaknesses: 22 years old already, not necessarily an elite athlete

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

12. Sharife Cooper, PG, Auburn

Strengths: Explosive offensive player, natural instincts and incredible feel as a distributor, strong free throw shooter

Weaknesses: Needs serious work on his jump shot, played just 12 games beyond high school

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: High

13. James Bouknight, G, UConn

Strengths: Silky scorer with a wide variety of skills, great ball-handler, plays bigger than 6'4"

Weaknesses: Injury concerns throughout his career, spotty defender

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

14. Chris Duarte, G, Oregon

Strengths: Efficient scorer, ideal size and can defend multiple positions, mature leader

Weaknesses: Already 24 years old, limited athleticism

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

15. Isaiah Jackson, F/C, Kentucky

Strengths: Athletic big who can run the floor, already a skilled rim protector, can eat up rebounds

Weaknesses: Still very limited offensively, needs to develop at least a mid-range jumper

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

16. Ziaire Williams, F, Stanford

Strengths: Great ball-handler for his size, long and athletic, defensive upside

Weaknesses: Still limited offensively, needs to add muscle to his frame

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

17. Usman Garuba, F, Spain

Strengths: Ferocious rebounder, defensive versatility, high energy player

Weaknesses: Suspect shooter, poor at free throw line, foul trouble issues

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

18. Kai Jones, F/C, Texas

Strengths: Bouncy athlete, runs the floor very well for his size, potentially dominant in pick-and-roll

Weaknesses: Post moves need work, lacks any shooting stroke

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

19. Cam Thomas, G/F, LSU

Strengths: Dominant isolation scorer, loves to take and make difficult shots, thrives in just about any offense

Weaknesses: Must continue to improve from three-point range, some defensive question marks

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

20. Jalen Johnson, F, Duke

Strengths: Good size and versatility, can get to the rim and finish through contact, defensive potential

Weaknesses: Poor shooting mechanics, is he a team player?

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

21. Tre Mann, G, Florida

Strengths: Fearless, pure scoring ability, improved significantly from freshman to sophomore season, decent defender

Weaknesses: Still awfully streaky, thin frame for an NBA two-guard

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

22. Alperen Sengun, F/C, Turkey

Strengths: Plays larger than his 6'9" build, intelligent and physical rebounder, polished skill moves for his age

Weaknesses: Fairly average athleticism, questionable in defending pick-and-roll

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

23. Greg Brown, F, Texas

Strengths: Possibly the best pure athlete in this class, explosive dunker, quality defender

Weaknesses: Extremely raw offensively, jump shot is nearly non-existent

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: High

24. Keon Johnson, G, Tennessee

Strengths: Natural athlete, two-way potential, still learning the game after beginning playing in high school

Weaknesses: Not a great free throw shooter, will not space the floor, simply didn't produce as much as hoped in college

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: High

25. Jared Butler, G/F, Baylor

Strengths: Proven leader who makes winning basketball plays, consistent shooting threat, good steal numbers in college

Weaknesses: Average athlete compared to his peers, undersized for the pros

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

26. Trey Murphy, F, Virginia

Strengths: Can play both forward spots and offers a seven-foot wingspan, fluid athlete, strong shooter

Weaknesses: Has a tendency to disappear offensively, not a shot creator at this point in his career

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

27. Ayo Dosunmu, G/F, Illinois

Strengths: Electrifying playmaker and scorer, explosive first step, clutch player able to make big shots

Weaknesses: Turnovers are a problem, forces too many passes and shots

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

28. Isaiah Todd, F, G League

Strengths: Good build with powerful finishing ability, decent passer for his position, will continue to grow on offense

Weaknesses: Streaky scorer, tweener right now without a defined role

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

29. Josh Christopher, G/F, Arizona State

Strengths: Superb athlete and finisher, extremely effective in transition, can hit difficult shots

Weaknesses: Simply didn't produce as much as hoped in one season at Tempe, shooting numbers were poor

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

30. B.J. Boston, G/F, Kentucky

Strengths: Shot creator willing to take anything, decent three-point shooter, instant offense

Weaknesses: Extremely inconsistent, forces his teammates into trouble with decision-making

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

31. Charles Bassey, F, Western Kentucky

Strengths: Moves extremely well for his size, elite shot-blocker, can occasionally space the floor

Weaknesses: Didn't quite make the jump throughout his collegiate career you would like to have seen, some injury concerns

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

32. Nah'Shon Hyland, G, VCU

Strengths: Good shooting numbers throughout college, acrobatic finisher underneath, defensive playmaking

Weaknesses: Extremely undersized, not a great passer for his position

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

33. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, F, Villanova

Strengths: Size and skillset to play multiple positions, superb rebounder, strong midrange shooter

Weaknesses: Still working on three-point range, streaky shooter overall

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

34. Day'Ron Sharpe, F/C, UNC

Strengths: Imposing, physical build, ferocious offensive rebounder, potential to be an elite rim protector

Weaknesses: Offensive game is very limited, poor at the free throw line, prone to foul trouble

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: High

35. Miles McBride, G, West Virginia

Strengths: Capable scorer who shoots good numbers, strong passer, pesky on-ball defender

Weaknesses: Unclear position at the next level, very undersized

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

36. Joshua Primo, G, Alabama

Strengths: Great spot-up shooter, powerful finisher at the rim, still just 18 years old

Weaknesses: Not a great distributor for his position, streaky three-point shooter

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Moderate

37. Jaden Springer, G, Tennessee

Strengths: Energetic defender, capable contributor both on and off-ball, good three-point shooting numbers in small sample

Weaknesses: Unclear positional fit, not a shot creator 

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

38. Austin Reaves, G, Oklahoma

Strengths: Crafty offensive player, confident shooter who can heat up in a hurry, quality playmaker who doesn't turn the ball over often

Weaknesses: Shooting numbers just weren't there this past season, already 23 years old with limited ceiling

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Low

39. Quentin Grimes, G/F, Houston

Strengths: Former big-time recruit who had a tremendous career at Houston, quick and smooth jump shot, passionate player

Weaknesses: Free throw shooting could improve, can force up shots when hurried

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

40. Joel Ayayi, PG, Gonzaga

Strengths: Good size, slippery offensive specimen, elite rebounder for his position, proven college pedigree

Weaknesses: Three-point and free throw shooting needs improvement, needs to bulk up

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Moderate

College Football Preview 2021: 13. Iowa Hawkeyes

Tyler Goodson, Iowa

 13. Iowa Hawkeyes

The skill positions are extremely talented and the defense will be stingy enough to deliver a Big Ten West Title

2020 Review

Following a tumultuous off-season, Iowa's 0-2 start in 2020 could have spiraled into disaster. However, the Hawkeyes responded in a big way, winning their next three games by 20 or more points. They capped off their regular season with a 28-7 dismantling of Wisconsin, and they would've had a shot to play for a Big Ten Title if not for the one-point loss to Northwestern in the second week of the year. Cancellations against Michigan and then Missouri in the bowl game was an abrupt finish to the season but considering the start, a 6-2 record was an incredible accomplishment. With a normal off-season and plenty of talent returning, even greater things could be ahead in '21.

2021 Outlook

Offense: The Hawkeyes were forced to replace a three-year starter in Nate Stanley prior to 2020 and naturally, had a difficult job in doing so. Spencer Petras won the job out of camp and ended up starting all eight, but never looked completely comfortable in the role. He finished with 1,569 yards and nine touchdowns but also threw five interceptions with a 57% completion percentage. Further experience should help, but he missed some routine throws last fall that raised eyebrows.

It will be interesting to see whether any of the other quarterbacks on the roster can push Petras. Alex Padilla saw action in two games last fall, while Deuce Hogan was the quarterback they brought in during the 2020 cycle. The edge in experience for Petras is important and he doesn't have to be an All-League QB for this offense to be successful. Iowa would be just fine with him cutting down on the interceptions and throwing for a higher completion percentage.

After two productive years, it's about time for Tyler Goodson to evolve into a true superstar. He became the first Iowa true freshman to lead the team in rushing back in 2019 and then built on it with a 762-yard 2020 season. Goodson put up those numbers splitting time with a pair of veterans in Mekhi Sargent and Toren Young, but both are now gone, clearing the path for huge numbers from Goodson. His vision and patience is something we've seen from past Hawkeye backs, but the explosiveness in the open field is truly special. 

The Hawkeyes are still likely to rotate in a change-of-pace back or two, even though Goodson has shown he can be a workhorse. Junior Ivory Kelly-Martin gained 54 yards buried on the depth chart last fall, but appears ready for a larger role. This is also a program that isn't afraid to use their fullbacks, so keep an eye on sophomore Monte Pottebaum.

Iowa's receiver group last fall might have been their best in school history, with several headliners and plenty of depth. Ihmir Smith-Marsette was the type of game-breaker this offense has often lacked, but he is off to the NFL. Even so, the Hawkeyes have quality options waiting in the wings, including Nico Ragaini and Tyrone Tracy. Tracy is the type of dynamic playmaker that could help open things up, while Ragaini has flashed serious upside, but was unable to build on a strong 2019. True freshmen Arland Bruce and Keagan Johnson both enrolled for the spring and could be counted on to make an immediate impact.

Few schools in the nation have as proven of a pedigree at producing elite tight ends as Iowa. In just the past half-decade, they've sent names like George Kittle, T.J. Hockenson, and Noah Fant all to the NFL. Sophomore Sam LaPorta is looking to become the next great weapon at the position and he has shown promise in his young career. With that being said, LaPorta did have struggles with drops in 2020, which will have to be solved.

Head coach Kirk Ferentz specializes on the offensive line, and has sent 17 offensive linemen to the pros during his time in Iowa City. This particular O-Line group isn't as experienced as past editions, but it should still be a strength. Center Tyler Lindebaum is likely to dot preseason All-American and Outland Trophy watchlists. He will be the anchor of the unit, but the tackle spots will have to be figured out. Sophomore Jack Plumb made two starts at right tackle last fall and is the early favorite to start at left tackle, while redshirt freshman Nick DeJong is the favorite on the right side. Even with some question marks, this is always a unit you feel comfortable with at Iowa.

Don't expect this Iowa offense to look much different than past editions. They'll play ball control, run the ball, and be very physical in the trenches. Having a weapon like Tyler Goodson is likely to make it more exciting, but this offense really needs Petras to take a step forward. Again, he doesn't need to put up gaudy numbers for them to be successful, but has to be more consistent than he was in 2020. 

Defense: Iowa's defense remains among the most consistently strong anywhere in the country. They currently are riding a 22 game streak  allowing less than 25 points to opponents. With plenty of familiar faces returning, expect that streak to continue deep into 2021.

The defensive line will undergo a transition after losing key cogs Chauncey Golston and Daviyon Nixon, but five of the top eight return. The ends should still be in a very good spot, with veteran Zach VanValkenburg manning one spot and sophomore John Waggoner the favorite on the other. VanValkenburg finished with 3.5 sacks and five tackles for loss in 2020 and should have no issues stepping into a leading role. Waggoner has played in 14 games over the last two seasons, but don't be surprised if he's pushed by freshman Deontae Craig, who arrived on campus prior to last season. The larger concern is on the interior, where Nixon played such a huge role. Expect names like Yahya Black, Noah Shannon, and Logan Lee to rotate into the mix. Lee is a converted tight end who saw limited action last fall but gets a full off-season to acclimate to defensive tackle.

Nick Niemann is a notable loss at linebacker, as the long-time linebacker finished first on the team with 77 tackles last year. However, the 2021 group may actually be more talented, with a pair of sophomores set to lead the charge. Seth Benson finished just behind Niemann with 47 tackles in '20 and is back to start at outside linebacker. Jack Campbell is slated to take over Niemann's spot at MLB after making a big leap last year. After just five tackles the year prior, Campbell totaled 29 tackles and 4.5 TFL in 2020. At 6'5", 243 pounds, Campbell is the type of physical linebacker that fits the Iowa mold.

The real strength of the defense lies in the secondary. Although it may not be as naturally talented as some other groups in the Big Ten, expect it to challenge as the league's best. Both corners, veterans Riley Moss and Matt Hankins, return. They're both similar builds as well-rounded, instinctive defenders that don't shy away from the opposing team's best players. Behind them are a pair of stud safeties in Jack Koerner and Kaevon Merriweather. Koerner is a former walk-on who has emerged as a real leader on the back-end of the Hawkeye defense. He led the team with 81 tackles in 2019 and then added 45 more last fall, while showcasing playmaking potential, with three interceptions. Merriweather is another lightly recruited defensive back who has quickly adjusted to life in the Big Ten. He redshirted in 2019 but made five starts last season and is slated to be the starting strong safety this fall. 

Defensive coordinator Phil Parker enters his tenth season in the role equipped with yet another veteran-laden and well-coached defense. There may not be as much NFL talent as past Hawkeye groups but there's little question it should be an elite group. It will once again challenge as one of the best in the Big Ten.

Special Teams: Ultra-reliable kicker Keith Duncan moves on after going 14-18 on field goals last season. That leave senior Caleb Shudak as the default starter after spending most of his previous time with Iowa as their kickoff specialist. Punter is certainly a strength, with Tory Taylor coming back after earning All-Big Ten honors in 2020. The return game will need to reload, as Smith-Marsette was always a threat to take it to the house.

Bottom Line: The job that this staff and entire program did following a rocky 2020 off-season was extremely impressive, even without considering all the other major complications caused by COVID-19. The momentum this team earned at the conclusion of 2020 should serve them well as they push into this fall. Nearly all the trademarks of past successful Hawkeye teams are in place, from a stud tailback, to a strong offensive line, to an experienced, loaded defense. The key for this particular group will be handling a tough slate to begin the year that includes a home tilt with Indiana and the Cy-Hawk rivalry in Ames. They'll also have to finish off close games better than they have other the last two seasons. In 2020, their two losses were by a combined five points. In 2019, their three losses were by a combined 14 points. If they can do that, they are my pick to win the Big Ten West and challenge Ohio State for the conference crown.

Further Breakdown

Team Projections

Projected Record: 10-3 (8-1 Big Ten, Lose Big Ten Championship Game)

Offensive MVP: RB Tyler Goodson

Defensive MVP: S Jack Koerner

Breakout Player of the Year: TE Sam LaPorta

Impact Freshman: WR Keagan Johnson

Recruiting Breakdown

The Hawkeyes finished with a strong 2021 Class, finishing 24th nationally and highlighted by seven four-stars. Unsurprisingly, this group is especially strong along the trenches, but there's also nice skill position talent sprinkled in. Offensive tackle David Davidkov and interior linemen Connor Colby are two guys that are built to play right away, but will likely have to wait their turn. Davidkov could factor into the left tackle position battle that should be an interesting watch through fall camp. Keagan Johnson and Arland Bruce IV are important gets, adding much-needed athleticism to this roster. Johnson is technically an athlete who could play several different roles, but he's most natural at wide out. The quarterback the Hawkeyes took in this cycle was three-star Joey Labas, a former Ball State commit. It will be interesting to see whether he can eventually factor into the quarterback competition in the long-term, but with three current signal-callers on the roster all in their first or second years on the roster, it won't be in 2021.

Five-Year Trend

College Football Preview 2021: 14. Florida Gators

Kaiir Elam, Florida

 14. Florida Gators

The offense will need to reload, but an improved defense will keep the Gators in SEC East contention

2020 Review

After going 8-1 to begin the 2020 campaign, Florida went into their final few weeks in serious contention for the program's first ever Playoff berth. However, the Gators were then shocked by LSU in Gainesville in one of the most chaotic games of the season, likely killing any chances at earning a spot in the four-team field. They responded by giving Alabama their toughest game of the season in the SEC Championship Game, but still ended up coming up short. In the Cotton Bowl, with a major chunk of their team opted out to prepare for the NFL, the Gators were blown out by five touchdowns to a scorching hot Oklahoma team. The three consecutive losses left the program with a bad taste in their mouth as they prepare for the 2021 campaign. 

2021 Outlook

Offense: Quarterback Kyle Trask was a great story over the last two seasons for the Gators. He was a backup for several years and waited his turn before finally getting an opportunity in 2019 when Feleipe Franks went down with injury. He was able to build on that with a Heisman-level 2020, in which he threw for 4,283 yards and 43 touchdowns. Unfortunately for Florida, Trask is now off playing on Sundays, meaning that head coach Dan Mullen will need a new guy to run his show.

The obvious favorite to take over is redshirt junior Emory Jones, who has seen playing time each of the last few seasons. Jones is a much different quarterback than Trask; his arm leaves a little bit too be desired, but he's an elite athlete whose legs add an interesting element to this offense. However, don't be surprised if redshirt frosh Anthony Richardson ends up pushing him. The Gainesville native flashed some upside in garbage time of the Cotton Bowl.

The Gator offense has really lacked a ground game the last few seasons, ranking as one of the worst in the SEC in 2020. They have talent at the position, but it's unclear who the feature guy is at this point. Seniors Dameon Pierce and Malik Davis both have played a lot of snaps, with Pierce finishing as the top rusher a year ago. Looking to push them are a pair of former transfers from the ACC: Demarkcus Bowman and Lorenzo Lingard. Both were former five-star recruits who just never got an opportunity to show what they could do at their original schools, Clemson and Miami. Bowman transferred out a matter of weeks into his freshman season, but has serious potential. 

Although the quarterback situation certainly needs to be ironed out, the biggest question mark on this offense is at receiver. The Gators had a trio of elite pass-catchers in 2020, all with different strengths. Kadarius Toney was the ultra-versatile game-breaker on the perimeter, Kyle Pitts was the nation's best tight end and a touchdown machine, while Trevon Grimes was a highly reliable, traditional wide out. With all three gone, the Gators must turn to a group of Justin Shorter, Xzavier Henderson, Jacob Copeland, and Trent Whittemore. Shorter is technically their top returning receiver in the position group, but the former Penn State transfer has struggled to live up to the hype he received coming out of high school. My bet is a breakout from Henderson, a speedster with serious yards after catch potential.

Pitts will go down as one of the best tight ends in school history, becoming the first at his position to finish in the Top 10 of Heisman voting since 1977. Junior Keon Zipperer stepped into his role in the Cotton Bowl and should be the favorite to start, while senior Kemore Gamble will also feature. It will be interesting to see what role the position plays; is the Mullen offense becoming a breeding ground for successful tight ends, or was Pitts a special case?

The offensive line was average in 2020, but should be better this fall. Seniors Stewart Reese and Jean DeLance are crucial returnees, with Reese anchoring at center and DeLance at tackle. Neither guard spot is settled at this point in the off-season, which could lead to some interesting competition in fall camp.

It will be awfully difficult to replicate last year's offensive numbers, when Florida finished with a Top 10 offense and the top passing attack in the nation. There's definitely talent here, but a lot of it is unproven at this point. Mullen has earned a reputation as an elite offensive mind, and this year could be the time to show it.

Defense: Once the unquestioned strength of the Florida program, the Gator defense took a major step back in 2020. They allowed nearly 31 points per game, their worst mark since World War II, and also had the 100th ranked pass defense. The pressure is on for coordinator Todd Grantham, a longtime Mullen assistant who is one of the higher-paid coordinators in the game.

The defensive line should be solid, even if it's short on big-name stars. Senior end Zachary Carter is the team's top pass rusher, coming back after a five-sack 2020 season. On the inside, a pair of former transfers, Daquan Newkirk and Antonio Shelton, are likely to start. Newkirk comes over from SEC foe Auburn, while Shelton comes south from Penn State. Shelton played in 40 games during his PSU career, but will need some time to adjust to the SEC. Don't be surprised if former five-star recruit Gervon Dexter begins to emerge as a contributor on the interior. He didn't see much action last fall, but the coaching staff has raved about his potential.

The linebacker corps has a chance to be very, very good, although depth could be a concern. Junior Brenton Cox is a pure pass rusher who has attracted NFL Draft attention playing at the "Buck" end/linebacker spot. He was dismissed from his first stop, Georgia, but seems to have acclimated nicely to Gainesville. Returning next to him are steady veterans Ventrell Miller and Mohamoud Diabate, who finished No. 1 and 2 in tackles on the Gators last year. Senior Jeremiah Moon last his spot when Cox came on but returned for a sixth year, likely backing him up, while Diwun Black should also find a role. Black was a big-name recruit in 2019 but due to eligibility problems, never enrolled. He instead played the last two seasons at Mississippi Gulf Coast Community College and now returns as the top linebacker coming up from the JUCO ranks.

Although losing C.J. Henderson certainly played a role, it was still surprising how bad Florida's pass defense was in 2020. Not only did they let up a bunch of yardage, they also let up the most touchdown passes by a wide margin. The unit has the potential to be better this fall, although there are several notable names missing. Junior Kaiir Elam emerged as the team's most consistent coverage option in 2020 and has a chance to be a Jim Thorpe Award candidate. However, it's unclear who will start opposite him at corner, with junior Jaydon Hill and true freshman Jason Marshall Jr. set to compete. Marshall's the top recruit in the '21 Class and impressed in the spring, but can he handle the SEC in his first year on campus? 

Trey Dean III came on and played a key role for the Gator secondary in both 2018 and 2019, but saw his playing time decrease in a big way last season. With several pieces gone, expect Dean to step into the starting strong safety position, where he will play an important leadership role. Free safety is set to be a competition between sophomores Mordecai McDaniel and Rashad Torrence II.

The defense simply has to be better in 2021, and there's enough talent here for Grantham to have a really strong unit. The secondary is still the primary concern and while Elam and Dean are key returnees, the lack of proven experience behind them is a real worry. We will see just how improved this group is early on, as they face Alabama in mid-September.

Special Teams: Evan McPherson moves on at kicker following a 2020 in which he was 17-22 on field goal attempts. Luckily, the Gators have a proven option waiting in the wings in former Mississippi State transfer Jace Christmann. Christmann, who once kicked for Mullen while in Starkville, went 32-40 in his MSU career. Punter is slightly concerning as of right now, and we will have to see what becomes of the UF return game.

Bottom Line: It's difficult to effectively evaluate Florida's weird 2020 season. They won the SEC East for the first time in the Mullen era and were in the Playoff race until the very end, but going 8-4 with generational talent like Pitts seems underwhelming. Expect the 2021 group to be more consistent overall, but both sides of the ball have questions. The offense will have to find out whether Emory Jones is really ready to step in for Kyle Trask, and the receiver group leaves something to be desired. Defensively, the front seven should be stout, but it's hard to imagine the secondary being good enough to keep up with some of the SEC's elites. A slight step back from the reigning division champs may be expected, but Mullen has proven he can build winners no matter the roster construction. The schedule should also be a help, as the Gators get a bye before their huge meeting with Georgia in Jacksonville, and the November slate is very favorable, assuming Florida State is still in a rebuilding mode. With this schedule working in their favor, the Gators may be worse overall than the 2020 team but actually end up winning more games.

Further Breakdown

Team Projections

Projected Record: 9-3 (5-3 SEC)

Offensive MVP: RB Dameon Pierce

Defensive MVP: CB Kaiir Elam

Breakout Player of the Year: WR Xzavier Henderson

Impact Freshman: CB Jason Marshall Jr.

Recruiting Breakdown

Mullen and this staff's recruiting has been criticized, but the 2021 group is strong across the board. It ranks 12th nationally, which comes in at fifth in the SEC. Corner Jason Marshall Jr. is the headliner as a five-star prospect from the Miami area and due to the team's need at corner, expect him to see immediate action. Fellow secondary pieces Corey Collier Jr. and Donovan McMillon may also see action this fall, particularly Collier. Collier was high school teammates with Marshall, both coming from powerhouse Miami Palmetto. Another name to watch is quarterback Carlos Del Rio-Wilson, coming from the state of Georgia. He's got a huge arm and could be a nice fit in a Mullen offense, but it would be a shock to see him playing at all this fall.

Five-Year Trend

College Football Preview 2021: 15. Miami Hurricanes

D'Eriq King, Miami

 15. Miami Hurricanes

An explosive offense and improved defense gives the 'Canes a real shot at the ACC Coastal Title

2020 Review

Following a frustrating 2019, head coach Manny Diaz chose to switch things up offensively, bringing in a pair of big-name additions from the American Athletic Conference in coordinator Rhett Lashlee and QB D'Eriq King. The moves paid immediate dividends, with Miami starting off 2020 8-1, with their lone loss coming to the league's superpower, Clemson. The offense continued to play well in their next two games, but terrible defensive showings led to Miami losses, leaving them with an 8-3 overall record. King announced prior to the Cheez-It Bowl that he planned to return for a fifth year in 2021, but tore his ACL in the loss to Oklahoma State. His health will be at the front of everyone's minds as we inch closer to the start of the '21 season.

2021 Outlook

Offense: There's little denying how impactful the additions of Lashlee and King were to this offense. The group was significantly more explosive, fast-paced, and fun to watch, with the numbers backing up the decision. The Hurricanes ranked fourth in the ACC in scoring and just missed out on the Top 25, coming in 26th nationally.

King had no issues with the transition from Group of Five football to Power Five. He totaled over 3,000 yards of total offense and finished with 27 total touchdowns, finishing second on the team in rushing. The ACL injury was a major blow to a guy who could still have an outside shot at a Heisman run, but the timing means that he could still start the 2021 season, which opens September 4th against Alabama. If not, Miami will be forced to turn to a very unproven quarterback room, without an obvious backup now that N'Kosi Perry and Tate Martell have transferred. Tyler Van Dyke saw playing time in two games last fall so he has the very slight edge in "experience", but true freshman Jake Garcia could also vie for snaps. 

Even with King's running ability, Miami didn't record as strong of rushing numbers as they would've liked in 2020. Expect better production this fall, as the position group is deep and talented, while running behind a quality offensive line. Junior Cam'Ron Harris was the top option a season ago and will enter '21 as the feature guy. He proved to be the most explosive weapon the team has at running back and he also recorded 10 touchdowns. Don Chaney Jr. and Jaylan Knighton return as well, two guys who could see expanded roles. They were used primarily as third down backs or situational pieces in 2020, but have the potential to do much more.

The receiver corps had their moments last year, but also dealt with a barrage of drops. The group remains pretty much intact, although they did say goodbye to tight end Brevin Jordan, one of the best at his position in the country. Senior Mike Harley led the team in receptions and yards in 2020 and has a chance to break some of Miami's all-time receiving numbers. Also back are juniors Dee Wiggins and Mark Pope, who provide solid support on the outside. The name to watch is Oklahoma transfer Charleston Rambo, who had 743 yards in 2019 but couldn't build on those numbers last season. Rambo is talented enough to be a very impactful transfer on offense, and he could also help out on special teams.

While a lot of Miami's offensive growth was credited to King and Lashlee, the offensive line's improvement was also crucial. It went from one of the ACC's worst to one of the conference's best, and now four starters are back. The headliner is redshirt sophomore Zion Nelson at left tackle, who showed tremendous growth last season and has now earned NFL Draft attention. At right tackle, former Houston transfer Jarrid Williams joined back up with King and has made an impact, while junior center Corey Gaynor anchors the middle.

Obviously King's health is at the front of everyone's minds as the Hurricane offense prepares for 2021. The good news is that even if he's unable to go to begin the year or not 100 percent, Miami has enough offensive pieces to put up points. If the receiver room can cut out the drops, it could rival teams like Clemson and North Carolina as the ACC's best.

Defense: Manny Diaz has his roots on the defensive side of the ball, but the Hurricane defense was awfully disappointing in 2020. Their numbers weren't atrocious, but the group played their worst ball against the best competition, including being ran all over by UNC in the regular season finale. Diaz decided to take matters into his own hands, shuffling up the coaching staff and taking over as the play-caller. He has earned a reputation as an aggressive defensive mind, so expect this Miami group to attack future opponents.

The top priority for Diaz and the entire defensive staff should be figuring out the rush defense. It was easily the worst part of this defense in 2020 and will need to be improved. The defensive line has to be better and there is several key names returning. Veterans Nesta Jade Silvera and Jonathan Ford are key returnees inside, but it's unclear how the Hurricanes will replace NFL-bound pass rushers Jaelan Phillips and Quincy Roche. Zach McCloud, a three-year starter at linebacker who is back for his sixth year on campus, is expected to move to defensive end and fight for a starting job. He was a key cog for this rush defense from 2016-2018 but redshirted in 2019 and then gained an extra year of eligibility due to COVID-19. Who starts opposite him at end is unclear, although senior Deandre Johnson appears to be the early favorite.

The linebacker group also has to be better and there's reason to believe that it will be. Junior Bradley Jennings Jr. and sophomore Gilbert Frierson are both returning and will start. Jennings was quiet his first two years in Coral Gables before emerging last year, while Frierson is a playmaker at the "Striker" position who finished third on the team in tackles, with 53. Depth is a potential concern with this group, which may become a factor the deeper we get into the season.

In the secondary, the Hurricanes retain most of their key pieces and also add a big-name transfer in Tyrique Stevenson. Stevenson looked like he would contend for a starting spot with Georgia this year but instead decided to head to the ACC, where he's likely to start right away. Joining him at corner will be a pair of juniors, D.J. Ivey and Al Blades Jr., who both have played a healthy amount of snaps in their 'Canes career so far. Sophomore Te'Cory Couch came on strong late in 2020 and should also vie for playing time.

Safety Bubba Bolden didn't receive quite as much fanfare as King, Phillips, or Roche when he transferred to Miami from USC, but he provedto be just as impactful. He ended up leading the team in tackles with 74 and proved to be their most consistent defender. His versatility and natural instincts make him the ideal defensive back for a defensive coach like Diaz. The starter joining him at safety is unclear, with junior Gurvan Hall Jr. and redshirt freshman Avantae Williams competing for the starting gig. Senior Amari Carter will also factor into this secondary after notching 53 tackles a season ago, while true freshman James Williams was a huge recruit who comes from nearby American Heritage High School.

Even though losing Roche and Phillips may hurt the Miami pass rush, the defense as a whole should be improved. The front seven has more experience than in year's past, and the secondary will be good, particularly with new DB coach Travaris Robinson in town.

Special Teams: Kicker Jose Borregales is a huge loss on special teams, a former transfer from Florida International who earned All-American honors after going 20-22 on field goals. The Hurricanes are hoping his younger brother, true freshman Andre Borregales, can come on and replace his older brother. Punter Lou Hedley is a Ray Guy Award contender who averaged over 47 yards per punt last season. He's one of college football's most intriguing personalties at the position, looking more like a linebacker than punter at 6'4", 225 pounds.

Bottom Line: Miami made improvements across the board in Year Two of the Diaz era, but the blowout losses to Clemson and UNC inside the conference showed that there's still room for growth. The return of both King and Lashlee offensively ensures this group will be explosive once again, but the defense will determine whether this is simply a "good" Miami team or one that can contend for an ACC Title. The Hurricanes are talented enough to win the Coastal, but the non-conference schedule will serve as a true measuring stick of what this program is capable of. Not only do they open the season playing against college football's best program in Alabama, they also welcome a sneaky Appalachian State team and a Power Five foe in Michigan State to Coral Gables. Surviving that trio of games and then pushing for a division title will be difficult, but not completely out of the question.

Further Breakdown

Team Projections

Projected Record: 9-3 (6-2 ACC)

Offensive MVP: QB D'Eriq King

Defensive MVP: S Bubba Bolden

Breakout Player of the Year: CB Tyrique Stevenson

Impact Freshman: S James Williams

Recruiting Breakdown

Although Miami's work in the transfer portal has received significant attention, the staff continues to do a great job on the high school recruiting trail. They landed the 11th-rated group in the Class of 2021, coming in second in the ACC behind only Clemson. Five-star prospects Leonard Taylor and James Williams are candidates to see immediate action, even at positions that are generally considered strengths for the Hurricanes. Quarterback Jake Garcia is a former USC commit who transferred all the way from California to Georgia after his high school cancelled their season. He's a high four-star recruit who will surely factor into the quarterback competition with King's health currently a question. Other names to watch include tight end Elijah Arroyo and athlete Chase Smith. Arroyo was a nice pickup from the state of Texas who has all the tools to be a tremendous weapon in the passing game, while Smith is incredibly versatile and could line up just about anywhere for the Hurricanes.

Five-Year Trend

College Football Preview 2021: 16. Penn State Nittany Lions

Noah Cain, Penn State

 

16. Penn State Nittany Lions

PSU's four-game win streak to end the disastrous 2020 should provide the momentum they need to return to Big Ten Title contention

2020 Review

Penn State opened up the shortened Big Ten season with a heartbreaking, controversial overtime loss to Indiana. The early season loss seemed to cripple PSU's drive and motivation the entire rest of the way, and they opened up the year with five consecutive losses. James Franklin and staff were eventually able to right the ship and the Nittany Lions recovered to win their final four games, including a beatdown of Illinois in mid-December. The frustrating 4-5 mark forced Franklin to reconsider the program and its path towards contention in the tough Big Ten East. He shuffled up his coaching staff, brought in several transfers at need positions, and will hope for better luck on the injury department heading into 2021.

2021 Outlook

Offense: Franklin brought in Kirk Ciarrocca from Minnesota to run the offense prior to the 2020 season after Ricky Rahne took the head coaching job at Old Dominion. Although Penn State's offensive numbers were solid across the board, the relationship between Franklin and Ciarrocca was rocky. Franklin ended up to move on from Ciarrocca after just nine games running the offense, choosing to replace him with former Oklahoma State and Texas OC Mike Yurcich.

Yurcich has leaned on explosive, aerial offensive attacks during his time calling plays. His offensive style should be reminiscent of former coordinator Joe Moorhead, who helped PSU secure a Big Ten Title before taking over at Mississippi State. But, in order for the offense to work, the Nittany Lions need better production from the quarterback position.

Veteran QB Sean Clifford has put up solid numbers during his two seasons as starter, but still leaves a little to be desired. He has struggled against the top competition the league has to offer, and turnovers have been an occasional issue. One would imagine that he might be pushed through fall camp, but there aren't any obvious contenders to take his job now that backup Will Levis has transferred. Redshirt sophomore Ta'Quan Roberson might be able to give him a run for his job, but it's highly unlikely.

The running back position was crippled by injuries in 2020, but now may be among the deepest in the entire country. Sophomore Keyvone Lee took advantage of the injuries in front of him on the depth chart and led the team with 438 yards and four touchdowns. He'll get plenty of opportunities again in 2021, but Devyn Ford and Noah Cain could overtake him. Cain has proven to be an absolute workhorse when healthy, and is the most talented tailback on the roster. The staff also brought in fifth-year senior John Lovett from Baylor over the off-season, only adding to the depth. Lovett never put up gaudy numbers while in Waco, but proved to be a playmaking threat, especially as a pass-catcher.

The absence of K.J. Hamler was another reason why the offense struggled to create explosive plays in 2020. Jahan Dotson came on and proved that he could be a real go-to guy, but will need others to continue improving around him. Dotson tallied 884 yards and eight touchdowns last fall and became well-known around the college football landscape for amazing, acrobatic catches. Parker Washington proved to be a nice complement, finishing with 489 yards of his own. While Dotson is more of your traditional, perimeter receiver, Washington is Hamler-esque in his ability to weave through traffic and make things happen over the middle. Beyond those two, the depth chart is fairly light, although KeAndre Lambert-Smith showed flashes a year ago. Cam Sullivan-Brown and Daniel George are two players who have been in the program for a long time and are still waiting for their respective breakouts.

Penn State has become a breeding ground for talented tight ends in recent years, sending Mike Gesicki and Pat Freiermuth to the NFL in recent years. Freiermuth was one of the nation's top players at his position, but he played in just four games last fall. Now that he's gone, PSU turns to either Theo Johnson or Brenton Strange. Johnson in particular is a name to keep an eye on; he's a tremendous athlete for his position and had some moments in 2020, even in very limited opportunities.

The offensive line was good but far from great during the 2020 campaign. Three starters are back, but the two that the Nittany Lions lost are significant, in program staples Michael Menet and Will Fries. Left tackle Rasheed Walker is a huge returnee; he could have gone pro and been a fairly high NFL Draft selection, but instead opted to return for a redshirt junior season. He's grown significantly since being thrust into the role as a young blocker. Caedan Wallace will handle duties at right tackle, while junior Mike Miranda is back at center.

Terrible injury luck and a COVID year, mixed altogether with a new offensive coordinator, unsurprisingly led to frustrating results for this offense in 2020. Even so, they weren't some complete disaster, finishing second in the Big Ten and Top 40 nationally in total offense. Yurcich brings a proven pedigree to the table, and the Nittany Lions have plenty of weapons at the skill positions. Whether or not it can truly take the next step and be an elite group will hinge on Clifford.

Defense: Considering PSU lost their best defender just weeks before a wacky 2020 season, it also wasn't a shock their defense took some lumps. They were still solid themselves, ranking in the Top 30 in total defense, rush defense, and pass defense.

The big concern for this group entering 2021 is the defensive line. Shaka Toney and Jayson Oweh are both off to the NFL, while tackle Antonio Shelton transferred to Florida. The lone returning starter is senior P.J. Mustipher, a quality defender, but far from a star. Mustipher at least provides proven run stuffing abilities in the middle, coming off a 2020 in which he racked up 35 tackles, but the end spots are really concerning. Sophomore Smith Vilbert and junior Adisa Isaac look set to battle it out on one side, while Temple transfer Arnold Ebiketie gets the first crack at the opposite spot. Ebiketie had six sacks over the last two seasons for Temple, but isn't the typical type of player you usually see lining up at end for PSU.

Losing a star like Parsons a matter of weeks before the season proved to be awfully difficult for Penn State, even at a school that prides itself on being "Linebacker U". The linebacker corps was able to gain valuable experience without Parsons, which should serve them well in 2021. Seniors Ellis Brooks and Jesse Luketa led the team in tackles, with 60 and 59 respectively. Luketa played outside linebacker last fall due to the absence of Parsons, but the staff appears ready to move him back inside, which is his more natural position. The move could mean that Luketa and Brooks essentially split time at middle linebacker, with Brandon Smith and Curtis Jacobs the likely starters on the outside. Jacobs came on as a highly touted recruit last season and flashed enough for the staff to be excited about what he can bring. Depth could be an issue in this unit, with a lack of proven commodities beyond those four.

The greatest weak spot on Penn State's 11-2 team in 2019 was the pass defense, which ranked among the Big Ten's worst. They managed to swing a major turnaround in 2020, ranking second in the league in pass defense. The group could be even better this fall, thanks to plenty of returning talent and a healthy Tariq Castro-Fields. Fields has been a real playmaker when healthy, but missed over half of the 2020 campaign. He will be helped at corner by redshirt sophomore Joey Porter Jr., a potential breakout candidate. Porter, the son of the longtime NFL linebacker, finished with 33 tackles and four pass deflections. He showcased impressive closing speed and natural instincts that should only get better with more Big Ten football under his belt. Those two should lean the way, but depth is also a concern here. Don't be surprised if true freshman Kalen King sees plenty of snaps in Year One. He comes from Detroit area powerhouse Cass Tech, along with his brother Kobe, a linebacker.

Senior safety Jaquan Brisker is also a huge returnee, coming off a season in which he evolved into one of the Big Ten's premier safeties. A former junior college transfer, Brisker still struggles with consistency, but looked like he turned a corner at the end of 2020. Perhaps the most notable question mark in the secondary is at free safety. Senior Jonathan Sunderland has a good chance to win the job, as he's played in 35 games during his PSU career.

Although the defensive line will undergo a transition this fall, Penn State's back-seven should keep them in every game they play. Forcing turnovers, once a real strength of this defense, needs to be of higher priority in 2021 after the team finished 112th nationally in turnover margin last season.

Special Teams: Jake Pinegar and Jordan Stout split time at placekicker in 2020 with mixed results, as they combined for 11 of 18 on field goals. Pinegar will hope for more success as he takes the lead role, while Stout will also split time at punter. Jahan Dotson is a factor in the return game but PSU might be cautious to use him for fear of injury.

Bottom Line: Prior to last season's shocking drop-off, Penn State had gone four straight seasons of at least nine wins and had finished ranked in the Top 10 three out of those four years. Needless to say, last year's drop to sub-.500 seems more like the result of a weird season, combined with injuries and a new offensive coordinator. A return to normal should be expected, although the 2021 season won't be without challenges. For one, the Nittany Lions open the year on the road at Wisconsin and then welcome Auburn to Happy Valley two weeks later. There's more than enough talent for them to make a push back towards the top of the division, particularly with what they have at the skill positions. However, they still appear a step below the true elites of the Big Ten, including Ohio State, who they haven't taken down since winning the league in 2016. PSU fans should still be satisfied getting back to 9-10 wins and some better injury luck but anything more would hinge on a magical improvement from Clifford, which seems unlikely at this point in his career.

Further Breakdown

Team Projections

Projected Record: 9-3 (6-3 Big Ten)

Offensive MVP: WR Jahan Dotson

Defensive MVP: S Jaquan Brisker

Breakout Player of the Year: TE Theo Johnson

Impact Freshman: CB Kalen King

Recruiting Breakdown

The 2021 Class wasn't James Franklin's best group at Penn State, but still ranked in the Top 25 nationally. The grand prize was Maryland product Landon Tengwall, a bruising offensive tackle that has the raw tools to be playing on Sundays for a long time. At 6'6", 300 pounds he looks ready to play right away, but is surprisingly light on his feet. Landing the King brothers was quite a get for the staff and both could theoretically play in 2021. Kalen King is higher rated, but Kobe is a hard hitter for a guy who is just a hair over 220 pounds. Another name to keep an eye on is Davon Townley, who the Nittany Lions snatched away from the state of Minnesota. He probably needs a year to bulk up in order to play defensive line in the Big Ten, but he's a tremendous athlete.

Five-Year Trend