Wednesday, February 25, 2015

NFL Mock Draft 2015: Edition 4 (Combine Edition)

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jameis Winston, QB
Winston didn't have an absolutely wonderful combine, but Tampa Bay shouldn't take that too much into consideration. Winston measures in at 6'4" and has NFL-caliber anticipation and a rocket of an arm but he will have to learn to be more dependable and smarter at the next level. Lovie Smith will be able to instill more discipline in the young quarterback, and playing in the smaller market of Tampa would take a lot pressure off of him.
Previous Selection: Jameis Winston, QB
Other Possibility: Marcus Mariota, QB
2. Tennessee Titans Leonard Williams, DL

Leonard Williams
Williams didn't do anything but further convince scouts and fans alike that he is the best defensive player in this draft. Measuring in nicely, Williams impressed with a 4.97 40-yard-dash (same as Winston) and continued to showcase his elite athleticism throughout the drills. The Titans have a chance to draft a steady linemen who could be dominant for years to come, they won't miss their chance.Previous Selection: Leonard Williams, DL
Other Possibility: Randy Gregory, DE
3. Jacksonville Jaguars Randy Gregory, DE
The versatility of former Nebraska pass rusher Gregory has been on full display with the Huskers, along with amazing athleticism, which was clear during the Combine. While the Jags are rumored to be bringing back linemen Tyson Alualu in the future, they still surely need at least another pass rusher, as Andrew Luck will be in their division for years to come.Previous Selection: Randy Gregory, DE
Other Possibility: Shane Ray, DE/LB
4. Oakland Raiders Kevin White, WR
Size has never been an issue for White, who only impressed more measuring in at 6'3", 215 pounds. But, the thing that pushed him over the top was a blazing 4.35 40, showcasing an amazingly quick first step and incredible speed to go along with his size and great hands. While taking too much from one single event (The Combine) is risky, White's performance there was enough to jump Amari Cooper at the No. 1 receiver spot in my mind.
Previous Selection: Amari Cooper, WR
Other Possibility: Amari Cooper, WR
5. Washington Redskins Dante Fowler, DE/LB
Brandon Scherff (my previous selection here) nor any other top offensive linemen was terrible at the combine so far, so why the sudden change to the other side of the ball? Reevaluation of the situation. Sure, the Redskins desperately need some offensive line help but Scherff and nearly other O-Linemen would be a stretch, and Washington will lose impact pass rusher Brian Orakpo this offseason, most likely. Filling him in with Fowler, a freak of an athlete, could be a solid solution for the Redskins here.
Previous Selection: Brandon Scherff, OT
Other Possibility: Brandon Scherff, OT
6. New York Jets Marcus Mariota, QB
The common knocks against Mariota was size and system. He was too small to be an effective quarterback in the brutal NFL, and his Oregon style offensive scheme fit would only work in Philadelphia all the way down at No. 20. Mariota answered at least one of those concerns at the Scouting Combine, measuring in at 6'4", 220-plus pounds, and recording a blazing 4.52 40. Those numbers should only further convince New York they should make a move on the reigning Heisman trophy winner.
Previous Selection: Marcus Mariota, QB
Other Possibility: Amari Cooper, WR
7. Chicago Bears Danny Shelton, DT
As stated in my previous mocks, Danny Shelton would almost certainly rise from his spot at No. 16 to Houston, and here we are at seven. The Bears need help in nearly every area of their defense, especially against the run and Shelton, a beast of a tackle who moves pretty well and has drawn comparisons to Baltimore's Haloti Ngata, would be a major help.
Previous Selection: Shane Ray, DE/LB
Other Possibility: Landon Collins, S
8. Atlanta Falcons Shane Ray, DE/LB
Former Seattle Seahawk defensive coordinator Dan Quinn arrives in Atlanta trying to fix a defense that was a major problem all of 2014. A quick fix would be a franchise pass rusher and Shane Ray could easily develop into one. The edge rusher has an incredibly quick first step and his superb versatility could greatly help the Falcons' defense.
Previous Selection: Dante Fowler, DE
Other Possibility: Vic Beasley, DE/LB
9. New York Giants Brandon Scherff, OT
Eli Manning just hasn't been very good lately and while a healthy Victor Cruz combined with Odell Beckham would be a major help, so would a strengthened offensive line. The gritty Scherff could play all along the unit and fit in nicely with rising prospect Justin Pugh and would reinvigorate a down unit.
Previous Selection: La'El Collins, OT
Other Possibility: Amari Cooper, WR
10. St. Louis Rams Andrus Peat, OT
Unless by some crazy circumstance Jameis Winston or Marcus Mariota falls into their lap at 10, St. Louis should continue to work on their questionable line. The offense as a whole has been extremely bland under Jeff Fischer and rebuilding the O-Line could give the unit a strength it hasn't had in a while. Peat remains a safe pick here, and offers considerable upside for a pretty low risk situation.
Previous Selection: Andrus Peat, OT
Other Possibility: La'El Collins, OT
11. Minnesota Vikings Amari Cooper, WR
Suddenly, the Vikings are faced with a tough quandary, going in with the more polished pass catcher in Cooper, or the high-risk, high-reward guy in DeVante Parker. It's a good problem to have for an offense that desperately needs some more help in the passing game. If he does drop past Oakland and both New York teams, Cooper would a be a steal here. The Alabama product has incredible speed and is much more of a polished route runner than either Parker or White, who took his spot in Oakland.
Previous Selection: DeVante Parker, WR
Other Possibility: DeVante Parker, WR
12. Cleveland Browns DeVante Parker, WR
The Browns' offense is a complete mess (so is their whole organization). Johnny Manziel took over for the struggling Brian Hoyer, but is now in rehab. No running back has emerged and Josh Gordon's future with Cleveland is in serious, serious jeopardy. The unit desperately needs direction, and drafting Parker would be a nice start. The strong, big target could be the versatile pass catcher that the Browns have been waiting for and doesn't have the off-the-field problems of Gordon.
Previous Selection: Kevin White, WR
Other Possibility: Dorial Green-Beckham, WR
13. New Orleans Saints Bud Dupree, DE
It seems nearly inevitable the Saints go with a pass rusher here. While Cameron Jordan has emerged as a solid pass rusher, New Orleans still constantly struggles to get pressure on opposing quarterbacks and that is a clear problem for a team with Super Bowl aspirations. Dupree would offer a young end with a ton of potential who will only grow in Rob Ryan's defensive scheme.
Previous Selection: Vic Beasley, DE/LB
Other Possibility: Vic Beasley, DE/LB
14. Miami Dolphins Marcus Peters, CB
A quick look at Miami's secondary offers little long term potential. Brent Grimes is among the most underrated cornerbacks in the league but Cortland Finnegan has been a disappointment with the 'Fins and Will Davis never developed. Peters continues to impress scouts and even with concerns off-the-field, his freakish athleticism and superb ball skills make him worth the risk.
Previous Selection: Shaq Thompson, LB
Other Possibility: Trae Waynes, CB
15. San Francisco 49ers Dorial Green-Beckham, WR
It now appears nearly certain Michael Crabtree's time in a Niner jersey have ended and it is also clear aging vets Anquan Boldin and Stevie Johnson offer no long term help. While he is still a worry because of his off-the-field issues coupled with the fact he hasn't played in over a year, "DGB" has the athleticism that will make San Francisco drool, and the deep threat ability to cause defenses headaches, if Colin Kaepernick can take advantage.
Previous Selection: Jaelen Strong, WR
Other Possibility: Arik Armstead, DL/LB
16. Houston Texans Vic Beasley, DE/LB
Reading too much into Combine performance can be very dangerous. Years ago, Vernon Gholston had an outstanding combine before the Jets selected him sixth overall. The former Ohio State Buckeye never developed and has been out of the league for a while. But, there is no denying how impressive Beasley was this past weekend. The Clemson product ran a 4.53 40 and impressed many with his extremely agility on the other drills. Jadeveon Clowney's is a complete unknown for Houston and even if he does comes back, solid pass rusher Brooks Reed is most likely gone this offseason. If he gets stronger, Beasley could be a steal here.
Previous Selection: Danny Shelton, DT
Other Possibility: Trae Waynes, CB
17. San Diego Chargers T.J. Clemmings, OT
With D.J. Fluker sit to slide to guard this offseason, the Chargers will be searching for another tackle to pair with King Dunlap on the O-Line, and Clemmings, whose stock is only going to rise over the next couple months, could be a nice pickup. Clemmings is a massive brick wall who could play right tackle for San Diego and moves very well, he could help improve San Diego's suspect ground attack.
Previous Selection: Melvin Gordon, RB
Other Possibility: Melvin Gordon, RB
18. Kansas City Chiefs Landon Collins, S
It is the extremely unpleasant truth in Kansas City but it is the truth; Eric Berry, a stud safety since Kansas City selected him from Tennessee years ago, could be done in the NFL after receiving a grim Hodgkin Lymphoma diagnosis this offseason. It may be tough, but the Chiefs will have to move on and selecting the long, rangy Alabama defender, Collins could make the best of the predicament.
Previous Selection: Landon Collins, S
Other Possibility: Jaelen Strong, WR
19. Cleveland Browns Malcolm Brown, DT
Already fixing their severe problem at receiver, Cleveland should continue to improve, this time on the other side of the ball. Cleveland needs more help at defensive tackle, as neither Phil Taylor nor Ahtyba Rubin has consistently helped in run support. Selecting Brown, a steady tackle who has decent athleticism could fix the Browns' rush defense.
Previous Selection: Arik Armstead, DL/LB
Other Possibility: Arik Armstead, DL/LB
20. Philadelphia Eagles Trae Waynes, CB
It would be ideal for Philadelphia if Marcus Peters dropped here, but the former Washington corner might just be too good, though Waynes is not a consolation prize. Already known for being pretty fast and having great size (6'1"), Waynes ran a crazy quick 4.31 40-yard-dash. He will add much needed speed, size and versatility to a very weak Philadelphia secondary that will have to contend with division foes like Dez Bryant, Odell Beckham and DaSean Jackson for years to come.
Previous Selection: Marcus Peters, CB
Other Possibility: Brett Hundley, QB
21. Cincinnati Bengals Shaq Thompson, LB
The Bengals' front seven as a whole was shaky for much of 2014 and now veteran linebacker Rey Maualuga hits the open market. While solid Vontaze Burfict is set to return from injury, Cincy still need reinforcements, which is where Thompson comes in. The versatile athlete will offer a linebacker that can do it all for the Bengals and start right away if needed.
Previous Selection: Bud Dupree, DE
Other Possibility: Eli Harold, DE/LB
22. Pittsburgh Steelers Jalen Collins, CB
Collins, an exceptional athlete from LSU, will only rise up draft boards, following a very impressive showing at the Combine. Collins showed strong speed, posting a 4.48 40, while also displaying ideal size at 6'1" and great footwork. While he is still young, he has the raw talent needed to become a superb corner one day and would give Pittsburgh a nice young prospect to work with in their depleted secondary.
Previous Selection: Trae Waynes, CB
Other Possibility: Ronald Darby, DB
23. Detroit Lions Eddie Goldman, DT
It appears like almost a foregone conclusion that Ndamukong Suh could be on a new team with a month or two, and Nick Fairley is not a sure resign either. The Lions absolutely need a defensive tackle and while Arik Armstead out of Oregon is a freak, Goldman is a more natural tackle who doesn't move as well but appears to be a safer pick to contribute right away.
Previous Selection: Eddie Goldman, DT
Other Possibility: Arik Armstead, DL/LB
24. Arizona Cardinals Eli Harold, DE/LB
If not for all the other great pass rushers in this draft, the multi-talented Harold could be a Top 10-caliber pick. The Virginia Cavalier prospect has NFL size and superb athleticism and will only grow into a more powerful pass rusher. Arizona still needs at least one more pass rusher for their defense to become even more dominant, and Harold would be a nice fit in the desert.
Previous Selection: Eli Harold, DE/LB
Other Possibility: Erik Kendricks, LB
25. Carolina Panthers La'El Collins, OT
If Collins does slip (Peat or him have a high possibility to), Carolina would get an absolute steal here. It is clear the Panthers need another tackle after a disastrous season from Byron Bell, who could leave in free agency. Collins could play either play tackle positions and be an upgrade at the spot, and also provides valuable experience, after being the leader of the LSU Tiger offensive line for the past couple years.
Previous Selection: Ereck Flowers, OT
Other Possibility: Ereck Flowers, OT
26. Baltimore Ravens Todd Gurley, RB
Baltimore needs a lot more offensive firepower and while taking a receiver here is a possibility, the Ravens may be inclined to select Gurley, who could turn into a steal here. Justin Forsett did an admirable job taking over after the Ray Rice debacle but is no long term fix and Gurley, when healthy, is clearly the best back in this draft. If the Ravens are smart with him and don't overwork him, he could be even better than Rice.
Previous Selection: Dorial Green-Beckham, WR
Other Possibility: Devin Smith, WR
27. Dallas Cowboys Arik Armstead, DL/LB
While the return from injury of linebacker Sean Lee will certainly improve the Cowboys' rush defense, more help is needed and Dallas would also likely need another pass rusher. Why not fit both needs in one with Armstead? While the former Oregon Duck is not the most polished prospect in the draft, he is a freak, towering at 6'7". He moves extremely well and while he is not superb in run support, he couldn't hurt.
Previous Selection: Malcolm Brown, DT
Other Possibility: Jordan Phillips, DT
28. Denver Broncos Cam Erving, OL
Projected as a first-round pick by many entering the season, Erving slumped miserably early in the season for Florida State before a move to center, where he was superb and stabilized the Seminoles' offensive line. Denver is set to lose starting center Will Montgomery and even if Erving isn't the fix there, he could help anywhere else along an aging O-Line.
Melvin Gordon
Previous Selection: T.J. Clemmings, OT
Other Possibility: Maxx Williams, TE
29. Indianapolis Colts Melvin Gordon, RB
Andrew Luck is a great quarterback, but even he will find it tough to succeed if the Colts can't run the ball. Defenses will feast on every opportunity to pressure Luck because they have no respect for Indianapolis' rush attack, and who could blame them? Trent Richardson has been absolutely terrible since arriving in Indy, and Dan Herron is average at best. Gordon provides plenty of explosiveness and firepower to the Colts' dull backfield.
Previous Selection: Paul Dawson, LB
Other Possibility: Tevin Coleman, RB
30. Green Bay Packers Quentin Rollins, CB
Sam Shields has quickly established himself as one of the league's premier cornerbacks, but the Green Bay secondary still could need some help, especially opposite him. Rollins continued to impress at the Combine and had a superb career at Miami (Ohio). Having Shields, Rollins and quickly rising HaHa Clinton-Dix, the Packers' secondary would be set for a long time.
Previous Selection: Benardrick McKinney, LB
Other Possibility: Jordan Phillips, DT
31. Seattle Seahawks Phillip Dorsett, WR
Dorsett had a great Combine and continues to shoot up my boards. While there are safer picks, Dorsett's explosiveness is impressive and Seattle desperately needs some more vertical threats in their offense, which relies heavily on their ground attack.
Previous Selection: Sammie Coates, WR
Other Possibility: Devin Smith, WR
32. New England Patriots Devin Smith, WR
The Patriots' up-tempo offense, explosive offense was superb this past season and a major reason why they became Super Bowl Champs. Now, imagine a true deep threat on their offense to open up underneath lanes for Julian Edelman and Rob Gronkowski and the champs become even more scary. Smith stretches the field vertically like few others and provides a young piece for Tom Brady to have fun with as his career draws to a close.
Previous Selection: Devin Smith, WR
Other Possibility: Ronald Darby, DB

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Early Look at the 2015 NBA Draft Lottery

While NFL Draft season is in full swing and the Combine is happening as I write this, June will arrive quicker than expected and Adam Silver will be calling out the No. 1 pick. While it is still very early in the process, expect this to be how the NBA Draft lottery 2015 to shake out:

Jahlil Okafor
1. New York Knicks Jahlil Okafor, C, Duke
The Knicks are absolutely terrible, no other way to put it. They need help everywhere, so why not start with the best player in this year's class? Okafor has only impressed in his short time with Duke, showing a wide range of post moves, an ability to crash the boards extremely well and the ability to hurt defenses in a variety of ways. New York needs a center desperately, and Okafor would be a perfect solution.

2. Minnesota Timberwolves Karl-Anthony Towns, C, Kentucky
Nikola Pekovic is a solid center, but can he lead a championship team? Maybe that is premature to think about in Minnesota, but a long term upgrade needs to be a thought. Towns has had some superb moments in Lexington this year and while he lacks overall consistency, the raw tools are there for him to grow into a dominant big man for years to come for the T-Wolves.

3. Philadelphia Sixers Emmanuel Mudiay, PG, International
Just this past deadline, the Sixers decided it was time to change things up even more. Less than a year after winning Rookie of the Year honors, Philly shipped off their starting point guard, Michael Carter-Williams. Mudiay can be the starter right away, as he has already played pro ball, opting to skip college to play in China.

4. Orlando Magic D'Angelo Russell, SG, Ohio State
Although Orlando has spent lottery picks on both Victor Oladipo and Elfrid Payton the past two years, not selecting Russell, easily the best player available here would be tough. The Ohio State stud continues to dazzle offensively and while he has some defensive holes, he could be the consistent wing scorer the Magic have lacked for some time.

5. Los Angeles Lakers Stanley Johnson, G/F, Arizona
Much like New York, Los Angeles should be in best player available mode here, as they need help in so many areas. Johnson is still raw in some areas, especially shooting the ball, but he has the natural athleticism to turn into a stud at the NBA level. And who knows, maybe long term, he could be Kobe's replacement?

6. Sacramento Kings Justise Winslow, G/F, Duke
The Kings' last couple picks, Nik Stauskas and Ben McLemore, have not a lot, although it is early, to warrant thinking about them as cornerstones for the future. Winslow is raw but much like Johnson, he has outstanding athleticism and extreme versatility and new coach George Karl could plug him in wherever he pleases.

7. Denver Nuggets Mario Hezonja, G, International
After just a couple months in the organization, Denver shipped off Aaron Afflalo and Wilson Chandler's future in the franchise is uncertain. It would be the perfect time for Denver to look for a replacement, by selecting the smooth Croatian guard, who has a polished jumper.

8. Utah Jazz Willie Cauley-Stein, C, Kentucky
Already equipped with one of the NBA's best rim protectors, in Rudy Gobert, the Jazz could continue to solidify their frontcourt by bringing in the lengthy Cauley-Stein. Although Cauley-Stein's offensive game is a work in progress, he has the size and defensive skills needed in order to become an impact player in the league.

9. Boston Celtics Myles Turner, F/C, Texas
Turner's season in Texas has been full of ups-and-downs, but he still has established himself as a lottery-caliber player. With a strong, NBA frame and the ability to stretch the floor, the still improving Turner could become an important piece to the puzzle in the long term for Brad Stevens and Boston.

10. Indiana Pacers Kevon Looney, F, UCLA
To nobody's surprise, the Pacers have missed Paul George and Lance Stephenson and have gotten absolutely no answer to their problems on the wing. Even with George likely coming back next season, selecting Looney, a great athlete with exceptional versatility could add some much needed depth to the equation in Indiana.

11. Atlanta Hawks (from Brooklyn) Cliff Alexander, F/C, Kansas
Even with a career year from Paul Millsap, Atlanta must still keep an eye towards the future. Millsap is aging and center Al Horford isn't getting any younger. Alexander, who has shown signs of becoming a dominant big man despite not a lot of minutes at Kansas, could learn and grow under Millsap and Horford before becoming an important contributor in Atlanta.

12. Detroit Pistons Kelly Oubre, G/F, Kansas
The Pistons certainly made the right move by getting rid of Josh Smith, who was playing completely out of position at small forward, but Kyle Singler is not the future at the position. Oubre has also had some major ups-and-downs but is growing more reliable by the passing day. Already gifted with outstanding athleticism, Oubre can grow into a stronger rebounder and better shooter.

13. Houston Rockets (from New Orleans) Bobby Portis, F, Arkansas
While the Rockets have added some pieces this season, they still have some major depth issues. The good news is that they secured this pick from New Orleans in the Omer Asik swap and could add a talented young piece in Portis, from Arkansas. Portis has a strong body and can work well in the paint, but also shown exceptional range for the Razorbacks.

14. Philadelphia Sixers (from Miami) Kristaps Porzingis, F/C, International
The Sixers really have nothing to lose with his selection, so selecting Porzingis, a high-risk, high-reward prospect wouldn't be a terrible move. The Latvian forward would bring size (7'1") and immediate shot-blocking and would further solidify a frontcourt that could be truly nasty in a few years, if Embiid and Noel develop and Dario Saric comes over from Europe.

Friday, February 13, 2015

Bracketology: In/Out for College Basketball's Top Bubble Teams

With college football and the Super Bowl seeming like just days ago (it has now been nearly two weeks since the Patriots stifled Russell Wilson and Seattle for their fourth title), it has overshadowed the fact that March Madness is fast approaching, now just a month away. For many teams, like Kentucky, Virginia, Wisconsin, etc., they will not have to worry about playing in March, no matter what happens in the month between now and then. But, for others, now is the most important part of their seasons. Every single game could mean the difference between playing in the Big Dance or sitting at home watching it on TV. Which of the sports' biggest bubble teams appear destined to make some noise in March, and which appear destined for the NIT (or worse)?

Will Cummings and Temple
Temple Owls 18-7, 9-3 conference (American Athletic)
RPI: 34 SOS: 56 Big Win: vs. Cincinnati, February 10th

Fran Dunphy's first season leading the Owls in the new look American Athletic Conference was by all standards a complete disaster. A program that had perennial success in the Atlantic 10, the Owls limped to a 9-22 overall record, and a 4-14 conference mark. But, this year they have looked great, going 18-7, 9-3 in the conference (3rd as of right now), even with some injuries. Despite having little offensive threats beyond sharpshooting guard Will Cummings, Temple has been strong all year and does have some solid wins. An overtime victory against UConn adds a nice win to their resume, and getting vengeance against Cincinnati this past Tuesday really helped. Though, the thing helping the Owls' case the most, is the fact they have no bad losses. Outside of a two-point loss to St. Josephs early on the year, all of their losses have been to likely tournament teams, and strong tourney teams at that. While Dunphy's club has a tough stretch ending February (face the two teams in front of them inside the conference, Tulsa and SMU) they appear to be in very good position to get back to the tourney.
Verdict: In

Miami Hurricanes 15-9, 5-6 conference (ACC)
RPI: 64 SOS: 52 Big Win: @ Duke, January 13th

The Hurricanes have been one of those weird teams that is so tough to get a read on this whole season, and if the season ended today, it would probably be a toss up whether they would be dancing or not. An exciting win over Florida, who was ranked No. 8 at the time, has lost most it's luster, but beating Duke in Durham and dropping 90 on them still is a huge win. The 'Canes also have wins over Syracuse, Illinois and pushed Virginia to double overtime before losing. Though, there have been some bad, bad losses. They lost by nearly 30 points to Eastern Kentucky, lost by 20 to an underwhelming Georgia Tech team and were downed earlier this week by Wake Forest, dropping them to a sub-500 conference record. Miami is an extremely talented team, led by two Big 12 transfers, explosive Kansas State transplant Angel Rodriguez and Texas transfer Sheldon McClellan, and their schedule isn't terrible down the stretch. Though, their bad losses are so weak it overshadows a pretty decent strength of schedule and that big win over Duke.
Verdict: Out

Seton Hall Pirates 15-9, 5-7 conference (Big East)
RPI: 68 SOS: 76 Big Win: vs. Villanova, January 3rd

Through the first half of the season, Seton Hall was one of the nation's biggest surprises. Behind electric guards Sterling Gibbs and Isaiah Whitehead, the Pirates got off to a fast start, going 12-2 with victories against Top 25 teams in Villanova and St. John's to begin conference play. But, they have fallen apart lately, losing six of eight, with their lone wins coming against struggling Marquette and at home against Xavier. They sit at 15-9 at the moment but 5-7 inside the Big East is not very impressive to the committee, despite the fact the conference has been much improved this season. Sure, the win over Villanova was nice, but St. John's is now a bubble team, and adding in a weak SOS, Seton Hall appears to be on the outside looking in now.
Verdict: Out

Boise State Broncos 18-6, 8-3 conference (Mountain West)
RPI: 39 SOS: 91 Biggest Win: vs. San Diego State, February 8th

One of college basketball's stronger conferences over the past few years, the Mountain West has a legit shot to only put in two teams into the field, especially if Boise State misses out (San Diego State and Colorado State appear to be relative locks). The Broncos resume on paper is rather underwhelming. Their only two wins over Top 50 teams were inside the conference, against those two other likely tourney squads, Colorado State and SDSU, and they have a number of bad losses, including losses to Utah State, Wyoming and Loyola (Illinois). But, a recent hot streak, winning their last eight games, has put them in prime position to possibly get into the tournament and bumped them to an 18-6 overall record. While their weak SOS and bad losses could haunt them, they have a very nice schedule along the rest of the regular season to possibly run the table. If they do, the Mountain West will almost certainly be a three-bid league.
Verdict: In

Purdue Boilermakers 16-9, 8-4 conference (Big Ten)
RPI: 69 SOS: 78 Biggest Win: vs. Ohio State, February 4th

Although the Big Ten has been done this year, mainly because of the struggles of the two Michigan schools, it is still a tough conference to win in and Matt Painter has done a great job keeping Purdue in tournament contention. The Boilermakers have a relative decent resume, a strong conference record with wins over Ohio State and Indiana to boot, and with no terrible losses outside of a bad performance against Gardner-Webb that wrapped up non-conference play. Unfortunately, their non-conference slate could hold them back. Outside of Notre Dame, the Boilermakers played a very soft slate of teams, and the Irish appear like they may be the only team in their non-conference schedule to make the NCAA Tournament. Their weak non-conference schedule puts them at a 78 SOS, very low for a team from a notable conference like the Big Ten. The Boilermakers aren't out of it yet though, an early March slate will be tough (Ohio State, Michigan State and Illinois, all likely tourney teams) but it could also greatly boost Purdue's resume.
Verdict: Out

UCLA Bruins 15-10, 7-5 conference (Pac-12)
RPI: 42 SOS: 18 Biggest Win: vs. Utah, January 29th

From November to early January, the Bruins appeared dead in the water. UCLA was sitting at 8-7 and had embarrassed on countless occasions. They were dominated by Kentucky and Gonzaga, but even more alarming were losses to Alabama and Colorado. Though, mid-January, few teams have been as scary as the Bruins, whose win over Oregon State this week bumps them to a 15-10 mark overall. The Bruins avenged a loss earlier in the year to Utah (in which they lost by over 30 and scored just 39) by upsetting the Utes in late January. UCLA got a big win later by beating Stanford, who appears to be firmly in the tournament, and they have an opportunity to get a huge win in a week's time, when they get seventh-ranked Arizona. Their brutal non-conference slate has helped them gain an RPI of 42 and an SOS of 18, two numbers usually reserved for tournament teams. While Steve Alford still has a ton of pressure on him, the Bruins appear to have figured things out, and would likely barely sneak into the field if the regular season ended today.
Verdict: In

Sunday, February 8, 2015

Can Kentucky Go Undefeated?

Willie Cauley-Stein
It has been nearly three decades since the Indiana Hoosiers went 32-0 in the 1975-1976 season, becoming the last college basketball team to finish a season with zero in the losses column. Sure, there have been times that have been close since then. Just a few years later the Larry Bird-led Indiana State Sycamores were flawless until an NCAA Tournament Championship loss to Magic Johnson and Michigan State, and just this past season Wichita State was undefeated before a third round loss in the tournament to none other than Kentucky. But, someday, it is bound to happen, that a team is just too dominant not to be denied a flawless record. Could this be that season? Could John Calipari's Army of McDonald's All-Americans do something that hasn't been done in years?

The 2014-2015 Wildcats have been built on three things: size, depth and defense, which has translated to a flaming hot 23-0 start, that has included a 32-point walloping of Kansas, along with victories over Texas, Louisville and UNC. That size has been key to the Wildcats' suffocating defense, which could be the best in the entire nation. Led by a frontline that includes seven-footers Willie Cauley-Stein and Karl Towns (both shot-blocking machines), along with bullying big man Dakari Johnson, plus a perimeter defense that is stifling with Tyler Ulis and Dominique Hawkins, the 'Cats have allowed over 70 points just once on the year, in their SEC opener to Ole Miss that went into double overtime. Their depth is also crazy impressive, even without junior forward Alex Poythress (out for the remainder of the season), something that comes naturally when you have nine McDonald's All-Americans on your roster. One thing is clear in Lexington, that has been clear all year long and really, throughout Coach Cal's tenure; they are crazy talented. When the Harrison twins are playing smart and aggressive, when Towns is physical, when Devin Booker is shooting well and when Johnson utilizes his wide frame in the low post, there isn't a team in the entire nation that matches up with them.

Yet, this is not a team of robots that comes out every single night on their "A" game. They are still young, even with the unusual presence of upperclassmen under Calipari, and they will be prone to mistakes. Too often Kentucky's offense gets stuck in the half-court and doesn't know what to do when they aren't out in transition. The Wildcats turn the ball over way too often, something that is clearly very typical for young teams, and other than Booker, they don't really have a proven shooter. The Harrisons have their moments but lack general consistency from deep, and Ulis is not much of a scorer, let alone a shooter. Though for those deficiencies, this team always seems to have answers. In crunch time against Ole Miss, Texas A&M and just this past night against Florida on the road, a young team answered the bell. They control the ball much better in the second half, and always seem to get the job done at the free throw line. Few teams in the history of the sport can be so young but yet so strong in crunch time, an obvious reason why the Wildcats are 23-0 and even if they don't finish the year undefeated, they will clearly be a major threat in the tourney.

The Wildcats' season is far from over, and now is the crunch time when too many strong teams fall apart. Mid-February to early March is hazardous for many top teams, especially ones with an undefeated record. Conference play is in full bloom, and night after night you have to perform your best. Many teams get caught looking ahead to the tourney, something Kentucky can not afford to do. Sure, the SEC is not the deep, talented basketball conference as it is in football, but it is full of scary, dark horse teams that can come out any night and take down the Wildcats. Most notably of the teams remaining on Kentucky's roster; a trip this Tuesday to a hostile environment in Baton Rouge to take on sophomore Jordan Mickey and LSU, the upset-minded South Carolina Gamecocks just days later, and a three-game stretch to end the regular season that includes Arkansas, Georgia and Florida. Even if Kentucky does get through that the SEC Tournament awaits just days later, and after that an NCAA Tournament, where of course, anything can happen. Clearly there is a reason why no team has gone undefeated since Indiana back in '75-'76. Conference play is grueling and the Tournament is a six-game crazy couple weeks (Indiana did not play in the modern era of 68 teams, the 64-team was set a decade later in 1985).

The odds are stacked against Kentucky, there shouldn't be much denying. Sure, they have a crazy-talented stockpile of playmakers and anybody on their team can get scorching hot when the team needs it. But, the Wildcats have a tough schedule remaining, no matter what you think about the SEC. Anybody in the conference can come out at any time and strike, and the conference tournament could also expose them. And, then there is the NCAA Tournament, that includes 67 of the other best teams in NCAA Basketball. Though, don't write any chances of Kentucky finishing up flawless completely off. They have the depth (especially when Trey Lyles, who has missed the last three games returns) the defense, and the weapons to get the job done. While the 'Cats may need some magic along the way, Indiana's long hold on the last true unbeaten of college basketball may come to an end after three decades, though not likely, as there is just too much standing in the way between now and April when the NCAA champ is crowned.

Who Could Beat Them? (Remaining Tough Games)
@LSU Tigers (17-6) on February 10th: Quietly, Johnny Jones has built a program to be reckoned with in Baton Rouge. The Tigers sit at 17-6 and in great position to make a tournament bid (plus, five-star recruit Ben Simmons arrives next year) and have a ton of versatility in the frontcourt. Though, they need to hit some big threes, as they do not have the size Kentucky has up front.

Arkansas Razorbacks (18-5) on February 28th: Arkansas pulled off a memorable upset against the Wildcats a year ago, and may be in good position to do much the same this year, in their lone opportunity in the regular season to hunt the 'Cats. Forward Bobby Portis has been a stud this year and his floor-stretching ability will greatly challenge the Wildcats' defense.

Florida Gators (12-11) on March 7th: It has not been a fun year for Billy Donovan and the Gators. Without their four senior studs, the Gators have struggled, losing close game after close game to falter to a 12-11 mark. Though, they are still extremely talented, with Michael Frazier a deadly three-point shooter and the versatile Dorian Finney-Smith.

Tuesday, February 3, 2015

NFL Mock Draft 2015: Edition 3

Jameis Winston
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jameis Winston, QB
Off-the-field issues overshadowed Winston's success in Tallahassee but as the NFL Draft combine inches closer (and the Draft just weeks later), Tampa Bay may not be able to resist "Famous Jameis". Winston has NFL size for the quarterback position, standing at 6'4" and an arm that can wow you at times. The Buccaneers may be taking a risk here by opting not to go with the safer pick in proven Marcus Mariota, but keeping Jameis in the state of Florida would be the smartest move here.
Previous Selection: Marcus Mariota, QB
2. Tennessee Titans Leonard Williams, DL
Williams was absolutely dominant his past two seasons at USC, and that was without being 100 percent in 2013-2014. He has the high motor, versatility and brute power to become a dominant defensive linemen and play a role similar to the one Albert Haynesworth played in Tennessee, although much more athletic. While Tennessee needs an offensive spark, picking up Williams to shore up their average front seven would be the right decision.
Previous Selection: Jameis Winston, QB
3. Jacksonville Jaguars Randy Gregory, DE/LB
Blake Bortles was not terrible in his rookie season after being selected third overall a year ago, in fact he showed a lot of promise. But, the Jags missed a key opportunity to pick up a player who could dominate defensively for years to come by not selecting Khalil Mack. They shouldn't miss out on a pass rusher this year; Gregory is the top available.
Previous Selection: Leonard Williams, DL
4. Oakland Raiders Amari Cooper, WR
While receivers Kevin White and DeVante Parker are slowly creeping up draft boards, Cooper is still the best option at the position as of right now. Cooper's incredible athleticism and Derek Carr's huge arm could give Oakland a dynamic passing game, something that they have lacked for at least a decade.
Previous Selection: Amari Cooper, WR
5. Washington Redskins Brandon Scherff, OT
The Redskins still have some major defensive deficiencies and have no clue who their quarterback will be moving forward but one is paramount for Washington: offensive line help. The gritty Scherff, a veteran leader out of Iowa, won't wow anything with his physical tools but he could be the steadying force this unit needs after a dreadful 2014.
Previous Selection: Brandon Scherff, OT
6. New York Jets Marcus Mariota, QB
Nobody can deny how terrible the Jets' offense has been the past couple seasons, especially the passing attack. It is clear that major changes must be made if new head coach Todd Bowles is ever going to win in New York. Luckily for Bowles and new GM Mike Maccagnan, Mariota could fall all the way to six if Tampa doesn't choose the Oregon star. If this happens, the Jets could be gifted with a young signal-caller who does everything well, and can deal with the pressure of playing in New York.
Previous Selection: Randy Gregory, DE/LB
7. Chicago Bears Shane Ray, DE/LB
The Bears have lacked a legitimate pass rusher for some time now, as Julius Peppers was a disappointment there and Jared Allen barely did anything this past year and is not a long term solution. Ray is the perfect solution to the Bears' problems; he has the versatility to play either end or linebacker and has a lightning quick first step, something that helped him rack up 14 sacks this year at Missouri.
Previous Selection: Landon Collins, S
8. Atlanta Falcons Dante Fowler, DE
Fowler has the physical gifts to rise up very quickly up boards in the coming months, so Atlanta could be getting a steal here. Fowler, a former Florida Gator, has superb athleticism, is extremely strong and has an NFL frame. He has the talent to grow into a dominant pass rusher for years to come in Atlanta.
Previous Selection: Shane Ray, DE/LB
9. New York Giants La'El Collins, OT
The Senior Bowl rarely impacts prospects' draft stocks as much as the NFL Combine but putting on an impressive performance there can still move you up some boards. Collins played extremely well in the Senior Bowl and will give the Giants some much needed protection for Eli Manning, at either tackle slots.
Previous Selection: Bud Dupree, DE
10. St. Louis Rams Andrus Peat, OT
Offensive tackle has long been a problem for the Rams' offense, which has attempted to pick up Jason Smith and just last year, Greg Robinson to fill the void. Robinson still may have a future for St. Louis but even so, drafting someone here for extra insurance wouldn't hurt. Peat is a solid, steady prospect who was extremely productive at Stanford and could help fix the Rams' tackle woes.
Previous Selection: La'El Collins, OT
11. Minnesota Vikings DeVante Parker, WR
Don't be surprised to see Parker absolutely shoot up draft boards in the coming months. The Louisville product is blessed with great size and tremendous leaping ability, allowing him to make fantastic plays on jump balls and feast on smaller defenders. Plus, to further convince Minnesota this is the right move, Parker even played with Teddy Bridgewater at Louisville, reeling in 885 yards and 12 touchdowns from the quarterback in 2013.
Previous Selection: Andrus Peat, OT
12. Cleveland Browns Kevin White, WR
Following yet another failed drug test this week that will result in a one-year ban, Josh Gordon's career in Cleveland, and possibly the NFL, has come to a close. Cleveland will hope either Cooper or Parker drops here, but White is not a bad consolation prize. White was dominant his senior season at West Virginia and can catch nearly everything. If Johnny Manziel ever is going to be the franchise guy in Cleveland, he needs weapons like White surrounding him on the field, a player that can actually stay out of trouble off of it.
Previous Selection: DeVante Parker, WR
13. New Orleans Saints Vic Beasley, DE/LB
Few teams in the NFL this past season struggled to get pressure on the quarterback as much as the Saints did. If Rob Ryan's aggressive defensive scheme is going to have success he needs another pass rusher. That is where Vic Beasley, a sack machine with excellent versatility, can come in and contribute right away.
Previous Selection: Dante Fowler, DE
14. Miami Dolphins Shaq Thompson, LB
While the Dolphins' offense still needs some work done, the defense also has some very notable deficiencies, especially in stopping the run. Enter Thompson, an incredible athlete who can do it all in Miami. While not excellent in run support, Thompson could grow, and he is already proven as a quality coverage linebacker.
Previous Selection: Shaq Thompson, LB
15. San Francisco 49ers Jaelen Strong, WR
San Francisco's receiving corps is a complete disaster. The oft-injured Michael Crabtree is set to hit free agency this summer, Anquan Boldin continues to age and the team's most reliable pass catcher, Vernon Davis, struggled in 2014. The best option for the Niners here could be to trade down as selecting a receiver here with White, Parker and Cooper off the board may be a stretch. Whether they do or not, Strong is a physical weapon with reliable hands who would certainly help out.
Previous Selection: Dorial Green-Beckham, WR
16. Houston Texans Danny Shelton, DT
Already armed with recently award NFL Defensive MVP J.J Watt, Houston could get only better in their front seven by adding Shelton, who was absolutely dominant this past year at Washington. The 345-pound punisher of a tackle can clog up running lanes but is also gifted with pretty decent athleticism. He has the chance to be the best pass rusher at nose tackle since Ndamukong Suh, a major reason why this would be an absolute steal here at 16.
Previous Selection: Danny Shelton, DT
17. San Diego Chargers Melvin Gordon, RB
It is time for a major change in the San Diego backfield after years of average play by former first-rounder Ryan Matthews. Matthews' contract is up, and Branden Oliver did not prove he is a long-term option for the Bolts. While Gordon isn't as big or powerful as fellow back Todd Gurley, he has no injury concerns and has the explosiveness that this San Diego offense needs.
Previous Selection: Trae Waynes, CB
18. Kansas City Chiefs Landon Collins, S
The Chiefs are in a tough predicament here. They clearly need a receiver, but the major ones have been off the board for a while. Trading down or up is an option here, but perhaps the smartest move would be Collins, who has the potential to be a Top 10 pick. Eric Berry was one of the NFL's best safeties but a Hodgkin Lymphoma diagnosis could end his promising career. Filling the void with the ball hawking Collins would be a quality solution to an extremely tough situation.
Previous Selection: Kevin White, WR
19. Cleveland Browns Arik Armstead, DL
With their major problem solved offensively, Cleveland should focus on the other side of the football. They need another pass rusher, and Armstead would be a fantastic option. The 6'7" beast of a linemen can play multiple positions and can contribute as a pass rusher or in run support. Armstead is an intimidating force at the very least, who will only grow with the Browns.
Previous Selection: Benardrick McKinney, LB
20. Philadelphia Eagles Marcus Peters, CB
There are rumors the Eagles and Chip Kelly want to trade up and select Marcus Mariota, but that would take a lot of value to do and Philadelphia must address other needs first. Cornerback is the biggest issue on this team, and Peters could be a solution. Although his dismissal from Washington raises questions, Peters has the exceptional athleticism and strong build needed to be a shutdown corner.
Previous Selection: P.J. Williams, CB
21. Cincinnati Bengals Bud Dupree, DE
The Bengals could go any direction here, but improving the team's inconsistent pass rush would be the smartest route. Not only is Dupree an elite pass rusher with loads of potential he is the best defensive player available if he does slip all the way down here (No. 9 in previous mock) and Cincinnati would be foolish not to make a move on the Kentucky talent.
Previous Selection: Jaelen Strong, WR
22. Pittsburgh Steelers Trae Waynes, CB
The "Steel Curtain" that was the Steelers' defense has been pretty weak the last couple years, especially in the secondary, where injuries and inexperience have been a problem. Trae Waynes had a superb career at Michigan State and has all the tools needed to be a solid contributor to Pittsburgh's secondary for years to come.
Previous Selection: Gerod Holliman, S
23. Detroit Lions Eddie Goldman, DT
Ndamukong Suh has been one of the league's most dominant pass rushers since he was selected out of Nebraska, but his high price tag and dirty play could force the Lions to look elsewhere. Goldman is still growing as a defensive tackle but the Florida State product could be a quality option for Detroit's dilemma at tackle.
Previous Selection: Malcolm Brown, DT
24. Arizona Cardinals Eli Harold, DE/LB
Eli Harold

While the Cardinals fielded one of the worst offenses in Playoff history this past January, it should be much better next year if Carson Palmer is healthy. What the Cardinals need is another pass rusher to solidify a unit that was very strong for much of 2014. Eli Harold is still very young but his potential, size and ability to contribute at either end or linebacker make him a good move here for Arizona.
Previous Selection: Brett Hundley, QB
25. Carolina Panthers Ereck Flowers, OT
Last year's left tackle, Byron Bell, was extremely underwhelming throughout 2014 and now he hits the open market. Even if Carolina does want to bring him, which would be a surprise, adding a young talent like Flowers, who has heaps of potential, would give the Panthers a building block on their O-Line for the future.
Previous Selection: Ereck Flowers, OT
26. Baltimore Ravens Dorial Green-Beckham, WR
The Ravens are a complete wild card with this pick. They could draft a long term replacement at back after the Ray Rice debacle or invest at corner or somewhere else on defense. Though, the most pressing concern in Baltimore should be at receiver, where they have no long term options, especially if Torrey Smith does not resign. While character concerns are a question for "DGB" he has the speed, size and stamina to be a steal.
Previous Selection: Devin Smith, WR
27. Dallas Cowboys Malcolm Brown, DT
Led by Demarco Murray, the Cowboys' rush offense was among the NFL's best; but on the other side of the ball, their rush defense was average at best. Help arrives in the form of 6'4", 320-pound Texas Longhorn brute Malcolm Brown, who will immediately add a proven run stopper to the interior of the Dallas front seven.
Previous Selection: Danielle Hunter, DE/LB
28. Denver Broncos T.J. Clemmings, OT
Peyton Manning's future in the Mile High City is uncertain but no matter whether he is back or not, the Broncos need some serious help on the line, in multiple spots. Clemmings, a converted defensive end at Pitt who helped fill the void of talented Aaron Donald, would be an absolute steal here, as he has Top 15 grades by many scouts and scouting services.
Previous Selection: Cedric Ogbuehi, OT
29. Indianapolis Colts Paul Dawson, LB
The Colts' defense wasn't a serious problem a year ago but it certainly could improve, especially in coverage. Having a superb coverage linebacker with leadership abilities and good tackling discipline would definitely help Indy's defense. Dawson, who was absolutely fantastic at TCU this past year would add those things and could rise very quickly in the coming months.
Previous Selection: Todd Gurley, RB
30. Green Bay Packers Benardrick McKinney, LB
Clay Matthews is a great athlete with excellent versatility but he is not suited to play long term at inside linebacker like he spent serious time at in 2014. The solution to the Packers' inside linebacker woes could come with McKinney, a Mississippi State Bulldog with a nose for the ball and the ability to play a variety of different roles
Previous Selection: Eddie Goldman, DT
31. Seattle Seahawks Sammie Coates, WR
Seattle was one yard away from a second-straight Super Bowl and while the play call was foolish in that situation, it would have helped to have a more physical receiver than Ricardo Lockette. Coates, who does have some injury concerns but is still supremely talented, is stronger and faster than anyone the Seahawks have right now and could quickly become a go-to target for Russell Wilson.
Previous Selection: Devin Funchess, WR/TE
32. New England Patriots Devin Smith, WR
Like I said in my previous mock, no QB gets the most out of his receivers than Tom Brady. But, there comes a time when he needs a little more help, and that is where Smith should come in. Smith, a speedster who had a fantastic career at Ohio State, will open up openings underneath for Julian Edelman and lanes for Rob Gronkowski.
Previous Selection: Rashad Greene, WR