College Football Playoff Picks 2022: Fiesta Bowl & Peach Bowl

J.J. McCarthy, Michigan

Fiesta Bowl

(#2) Michigan Wolverines vs. (#3) TCU Horned Frogs

The 2022-2023 College Football Playoff kicks off in Glendale, Arizona, with a duel between the undefeated Michigan Wolverines and one-loss TCU Horned Frogs. Both programs are still searching for their first Playoff victories, with the Horned Frogs making their first-ever appearance. In order to do so, they'll have to get past one of the nation's top defenses, one that has fueled the most successful campaign in Ann Arbor since Jim Harbaugh arrived. 

Despite plenty of turnover on the coaching staff and the drama that unfolded as Harbaugh openly flirted with NFL job openings, Michigan has taken a step forward in 2022. While a lot of that can be credited to an elite defense, the offense deserves a bunch of credit for the strides they've taken this fall. J.J. McCarthy overtook Cade McNamara for the starting quarterback job and has helped create a much more explosive unit. Although his numbers don't pop out at you, he's taken care of the football (a 20-3 TD-INT ratio) and his ability to create with his legs has helped open up a new element in this offense. Unfortunately, his backfield mate for much of the season, Doak Walker Award finalist Blake Corum, won't be alongside him. Corum went down with a knee injury in the Michigan win over Illinois and then re-aggravated it against Ohio State, costing him the rest of the year. It's without a doubt a major loss, but backup Donovan Edwards has proven more than capable of handling the load. He went for 216 yards against the Buckeyes, then followed it up with 185 in the Big Ten Championship Game. I am curious if we'll see anybody else contribute alongside Edwards; freshman C.J. Stokes has been more of a change-of-pace back than anything else, but could see more opportunities in this one. McCarthy and Edwards have the luxury of playing behind this Joe Moore Award-winning offensive line, anchored by the nation's best center, Olu Oluwatimi. It's an experienced, overpowering group that has set the tone for Michigan's resurgence this season. Add to all of this a capable receiver corps and Michigan has more than enough to put up points, even if they aren't known as an explosive offense. They match up well against TCU, too. The Horned Frogs have epitomized the idea of a "bend-don't-break" defense, but they're not very physical up front. In fact, the one team in the Big 12 that plays the most similar style to Michigan has to be Kansas State, the team that beat TCU in the Big 12 Championship Game and likely would have won in the regular season had their quarterback not gotten hurt.

There's no questioning what a great story TCU has been this season. After a rough 2021 in which they parted with longtime head coach Gary Patterson, the Horned Frogs have rebounded in a major way, going undefeated in the regular season. The Big 12 Championship Game loss to Kansas State threatened to leave them out of the CFB Playoff, but they instead have an opportunity to make a statement against the Big 12 Champion. The heart-and-soul of the team is unquestionably quarterback Max Duggan. Although Caleb Williams might not taken home the actual hardware in the Heisman race, Duggan was the true MVP for his team, in my books. He doesn't have the most natural arm talent, but his passing ability has really taken off under Sonny Dykes, and he's always been a hard-nosed runner. He gave it his all in the Big 12 Championship Game loss and came up just short, which may be the extra motivation he needs. With that being said, I do wonder if there's still some wear and tear on him from that contest. Duggan took an absolute beating over the course of four quarters and despite the fact it's been nearly a month, he now faces down an extremely physical Michigan defense. Much like Michigan's offense is fueled by their rushing attack, Kendre Miller has also proven to be a powerful force for the TCU offense, joining Duggan in the backfield. Despite plenty of usage, he is averaging over six yards per carry and has notched 17 touchdowns, although it's fair to point out he was held in check down the stretch in the season's final three weeks. Whether that was a result of his workload or the fact he faced good defenses is unclear, but the Wolverines are not going to give him an inch. The Horned Frogs are going to have to open up things over the top for Miller to get holes, so Quentin Johnston's importance is amplified. Johnston has been one of the nation's best this fall, but he was also beat up down the stretch and will be a key focus for Michigan defensively. Other receivers like Taye Barber and Derius Davis present interesting options, but the key will be Johnston.

Going undefeated is hard enough, but it's not just the fact Michigan did it, but how they did it. They pummeled opposing foes all year and in their biggest game of the season, they crushed Ohio State. Now, they enter a CFB Playoff semifinal against a TCU team that had an amazing campaign, but did so winning close game after close game. That's not a knock against the Frogs, they did what they needed to do to get here, but a reality. Duggan is going to keep this team fighting no matter what, but I just don't see how they move the ball against this Wolverine defense. As I've said, there may not be any Aidan Hutchinsons on this Wolverine team, but they're so disciplined and always in the right spots. They have a clear advantage in the trenches, that should help them bottle up Miller, and the pass defense has been superb all year. They should have no troubles mucking it up defensively, and as long as the offense can be decent, I like their chances. 

The Pick: Michigan, 27 TCU, 17

Peach Bowl

(#1) Georgia Bulldogs vs. (#4) Ohio State Buckeyes

It took four decades, but Georgia once again reached the pinnacle of the college football world a year ago, taking down Alabama to win it all. Fast-forward nearly 365 days and the Bulldogs remain the team to beat, fresh off a 13-0 season. The team tasked with doing so will be the Ohio State Buckeyes, whose loss to Michigan may have left a sour taste in many people's mouths, but a team with a treasure chest of weapons.

Last year's Georgia team was defined nearly entirely by their defense. This year's team still has a top-notch defense, but the offense has also taken it up a notch. Stetson Bennett remains one of the most fascinating players in recent college football history. There's nothing flashy or spectacular about the former walk-on, but he just goes out and gets the job done. Sure, it helps that he has plenty of help from a supporting cast full of future NFL contributors, but Stetson still deserves his credit. After some ups-and-downs in 2021, he's been more consistent this season and more confident. His top target on the outside remains superstar tight end Brock Bowers, although there's plenty of Bulldogs that can hurt you. Fellow tight end Darnell Washington remains an absolute matchup nightmare and the receiver group has a lot of versatility. Ladd McConkey has been their most consistent wide out, but it feels like a new Bulldog receiver rises up and has a big performance each week. As for the ground attack, there's no Todd Gurley or Nick Chubb back there, but Kenny McIntosh is certainly serviceable. Daijun Edwards, Kendall Milton, and Branson Robinson have also seen regular action and should in this one, too. In fact, that backfield depth has been really crucial; it allows Georgia to stay particularly fresh and punishing deep into the second half. The depth on the roster as a whole is pretty overwhelming, and I do have to wonder how Ohio State handles it.. There's no shortage of talent on this Buckeye roster, either, but can the defense compete for an entire sixty minutes? Jim Knowles has helped turn this group around, but they still aren't as strong up front as past Ohio State teams, and the Michigan defeat showed the game plan on how to defeat them. They'll try to mix things up and dial up different pressures, but I have real concerns on their ability to compete at the lines of scrimmage.

I said it before the season and the statement still doesn't seem hyperbolic: Ohio State may have the greatest collection of receivers we've seen in college football history. Unfortunately, the group has taken a real hit with the ill health of star Jaxon Smith-Njigba, but the trio of Marvin Harrison Jr., Emeka Egbuka, and Julian Fleming remains extremely impressive. It doesn't hurt that they have a future NFL quarterback throwing to them in C.J. Stroud, who is hoping to send off his illustrious Buckeye career with a big finale. However, this Georgia secondary has been terrific all season long and may be one of the only teams in the country that can match up with the Buckeyes. While Jalen Carter gets most of the headlines, the secondary has been the real fuel of the defense, with Kelee Ringo, Chris Smith, and Malaki Starks. That doesn't mean they'll be able to completely shut down this passing attack, but at least contain it enough. Ohio State also needs more from a ground game that has been a disappointment for much of the year. There's injury issues here, TreVeyon Henderson has not been himself, but the offensive line has also had its fair share of issues. Unfortunately, Henderson will not play in the CFB Playoff, meaning that Miyan Williams and youngster Dallan Hayden are likely to handle the load. Williams also hasn't been 100 percent and Hayden only saw two carries against Michigan, so former Arizona State transfer Chip Trayanum could also feature heavily. 

It's been a month since Ohio State's loss to Michigan, but that loss still seems to hang over them like a shadow. It was the first time in a long, long time that the Buckeyes were truly dominated and despite the fact they ended up in the Playoff, there's some pressure on Ryan Day entering this one. I still firmly believe Day is a great coach and one that should be able to make adjustments leading up to this semifinal, but the fact of the matter is this is a bad matchup for Ohio State. Georgia's imperfect, but they are extremely physical and exceptionally athletic on both sides of the ball. They're going to come out and punch OSU in the mouth right away, and I'm just not sure this 2022 Buckeye team is going to be able to absorb that and respond. It may be boring, but I believe the right pick is sticking with the nation's No. 1 to move on to the National Championship.

The Pick: Georgia, 34 Ohio State, 21

Transfer Portal 2022-23: Ranking the Top 10 Available Quarterbacks (So Far)

Devin Leary, NC State

Updated: 12/28/2022*

The new era of college football has been on display this winter, with players entering the NCAA transfer portal at a dizzying rate. From graduate transfers looking for one more home to end their collegiate careers, to young, untested prospects with potential, there's something for everyone this year. There's plenty to talk about already, but I thought I'd begin my breaking down the available options at the game's most important position. These players have all entered the portal, but few have committed and there could be even more set to enter in the near future. However, we have to start somewhere, and I thought beginning with the best available right now would be the right choice.

1. Devin Leary, NC State -> Kentucky

Career Stats: 568-944 (60.2%), 6,807 passing yards, 67 total TD, 16 INT

Possible Destinations: N/A

Devin Leary is a prime example of how the transfer portal has changed the collegiate game. He's an accomplished quarterback who entered 2022 as an All-ACC selection and likely high NFL Draft selection. Unfortunately, he suffered a season-ending injury in October and youngster M.J. Morris was impressive in relief. Leary saw the writing on the wall and now enters the portal as one of the most valuable commodities available. Injuries have been an unfortunate reality during his career, but there's no denying his worth when fully healthy; in 2021, Leary went for over 3,000 passing yards and 35 touchdowns, with just five interceptions. He's an experienced, consistent signal-caller looking for a one-year pit stop where he can show NFL scouts he's still worthy of a chance on Sundays. Leary recently committed to Kentucky, a QB-needy team looking to jolt their offense after a rough season, as they bring back OC Liam Coen to the same role he held in 2021.

2. Grayson McCall, Coastal Carolina -> TBD

Career Stats: 549-780 (70.4%), 8,019 passing yards, 1,053 rushing yards, 94 total TD, 8 INT

Possible Destinations: Florida, Liberty, NC State

Speaking of Coastal Carolina, their multi-year starter, Grayson McCall, recently hit the portal himself. It's a massive loss for the Chanticleers, but an understandable one. Head coach Jamey Chadwell left for Liberty and McCall is likely looking to show what he can do at the Power Five level, unless he decides to reunite with Chadwell in Lynchburg, Virginia. McCall is one of my favorite players in college football right now; he's quite the character, sporting a mullet and playing with fearlessness, but he backs it up. He put up incredibly impressive numbers running an interesting scheme at Coastal, and set a single-season NCAA record for passing efficiency in 2021. McCall may be the most accomplished quarterback available, but he's behind Leary only because of questions on how he will fit in a more traditional offense. What Coastal Carolina ran under Chadwell was very unique, and it's hard to know how effective McCall will be in a different system, especially if he does jump to the Power Five level. He's still certainly worth the risk and it looks like Florida is the frontrunner right now to land his services.

3. D.J. Uiagalelei, Clemson -> Oregon State

Career Stats: 515-860 (59.9%), 5,681 passing yards, 913 rushing yards, 51 total TD, 17 INT

Possible Destinations: N/A

A former five-star recruit who first burst onto the scene in 2020 when Trevor Lawrence missed time with COVID, D.J. Uiagalelei's time at Clemson has come to a close. Many may be quick to call it a disappointing tenure for the California native, but "D.J. U" battled injuries, questionable play-calling, and a receiver group that was a step below past Clemson teams. It certainly felt like he needed a change-of-scenery, and with Cade Klubnik undoubtedly the quarterback of the future, his decision to enter the portal was no shock. He recently announced his decision to transfer to Oregon State, forming an interesting rivalry between him and his younger brother, Matayo, who announced his commitment to Oregon. It seems like a good fit for him out on the West Coast and he instantly becomes the most talented Beaver quarterback since at least Sean Mannion.

4. Spencer Sanders, Oklahoma State -> TBD

Career Stats: 765-1,253 (61.1%), 9,553 passing yards, 1,956 rushing yards, 85 total TD, 40 INT

Possible Destinations: Florida, Arizona State, Illinois, Missouri, Virginia Tech

Most of the quarterbacks on this list were not surprising additions to the portal. They either had a coach or coaches leave for a different job, suffered an injury last fall, or saw a rising name below them on the depth chart. Oklahoma State's Spencer Sanders doesn't fit nicely into any of those categories, and his decision to spend his fifth and final year elsewhere was a real surprise. Sure, Sanders did struggle with injuries while in Stillwater, but he was still the favorite to be the starter once again in 2022. However, the longtime Cowboy is now essentially a free agent, and there should be ample interest. Sanders has earned a reputation as a gunslinger with a rocket of an arm, but he seemed to hold back at times with the Cowboys. He put up solid numbers under Mike Gundy and company, but was never considered an elite signal-caller in the Big 12. Still, a lot of Power Five teams would be interested in an experienced, solid piece like him.

5. Brennan Armstrong, Virginia -> TBD

Career Stats: 685-1,131 (60.6%), 9,034 passing yards, 1,267 rushing yards, 78 total TD, 35 INT

Possible Destinations: NC State, Wisconsin, Oklahoma State, Baylor

Think coaching doesn't matter in high-level college football? Look no further than the case of former Virginia QB Brennan Armstrong. Under the leadership of offensive coordinator Robert Anae, Armstrong passed for 4,449 yards and 31 touchdowns in 2021 and was one of the best quarterbacks in college football. Following Anae's departure to the same post at Syracuse, things went south for Armstrong at Virginia as he suffered through a season in which he had just over 2,000 yards and a 7-12 TD-INT ratio, with the Cavaliers going 3-8. Armstrong is now in the portal looking to wrap up his long career in a big way, and there should be plenty of interest. Despite his struggles this past year, he's proven to be a capable leader, with a quality arm, and the ability to make plays with his legs. There's a chance Armstrong could pair up with Anae again, who is now OC at NC State, but if not, plenty of other Power Five schools will be in the mix.

6. Hudson Card, Texas -> Purdue

Career Stats: 127-194 (65.5%), 1,523 passing yards, 12 total TD, 2 INT

Possible Destinations: N/A

A former high-profile recruit who stayed in his native Austin to begin his collegiate career, Hudson Card earned the Texas starting quarterback job out of fall camp a season ago. After a rough performance in the loss to Arkansas, Steve Sarkisian instead turned to Casey Thompson, and Card was relegated to bench duty. He had another opportunity to win the starting job again this past fall, but couldn't beat out Quinn Ewers. While Card did still see action, the return of Ewers and the impending arrival of Arch Manning left him forced to move on. Although his resume isn't quite as strong or lengthy as other quarterbacks on this list, he's a high-upside signal-caller who has impressed in the short spurts of action we've seen of him. 

7. Cade McNamara, Michigan -> Iowa

Career Stats: 267-463 (63.1%), 3,181 passing yards, 23 total TD, 7 INT

Possible Destinations: N/A

It's not often a player with a CFB Playoff appearance and Big Ten Title under his belt hits the portal, but so is the case with Cade McNamara. McNamara led the Wolverines to a dream 2021 campaign, even though his numbers didn't jump off the page (2,576 yards, 16 total TD) but lost his job to up-and-comer J.J. McCarthy. After sticking around for the end of the season, McNamara entered the portal and made a quick decision to land elsewhere in the Big Ten, joining Iowa. It's an interesting decision; the Hawkeyes aren't exactly known for producing elite-level quarterbacks and the offense was among the worst in the country this past fall. However, McNamara should be a clear upgrade over Spencer Petras and company, and he's a proven leader who is a great locker room guy. He may not have the ceiling of a player like Hudson Card, but he has a high floor and should put together a stellar 2023.

8. Shedeur Sanders, Jackson State -> Colorado

Career Stats: 613-896 (68.4%), 6,963 passing yards, 156 rushing yards, 79 total TD, 14 INT

Possible Destinations: N/A

There may not have been a splashier hire this coaching carousel than Colorado landing Deion Sanders. To add to the intrigue, "Primetime" is bringing both of his college-aged sons with him, Shedeur and Shilo. While Shilo will have to fight for snaps somewhere in the defensive backfield, there's no question that Shedeur will be the Day One starter, with Deion proclaiming so in his first press conference. It's not a surprise that Shedeur will take over starting duties in Boulder and the former four-star recruit has lived up to his billing so far in his collegiate career. However, he is taking the jump from an FCS school playing in the SWAC to a Power Five program; there's a major learning curve here, and he's not going to be able to get away with the same types of things he did the last two seasons. The athletes that Utah, USC, and the likes will throw at you in the Pac-12 are a completely different breed than what he saw in the SWAC. It doesn't help that Colorado's receiver corps may be the worst in the league, although there is some dust that needs to settle here from the transfer portal. Needless to say, I envision some growing pains for Shedeur in 2023, but his raw talent should put him in a good spot in the long-term.

9. Kedon Slovis, Pittsburgh -> BYU

Career Stats: 836-1,268 (65.9%), 9,973 passing yards, 68 total TD, 33 INT

Possible Destinations: N/A

Few players in college football were greater surprises back in 2019 than Kedon Slovis. Slovis began the year third on the USC depth chart but injuries forced him into a larger role than expected, and he delivered. Slovis passed for 3,502 yards and 30 touchdowns, looking like the next great quarterback in Southern California. Unfortunately, he was never able to build on that, as COVID essentially robbed him of the 2020 campaign and he then suffered through an underwhelming 2021 in the midst of a brutal season for the Trojans. With Lincoln Riley coming in and bringing Caleb Williams with him, Slovis moved across the country, landing at Pittsburgh. Playing in a rather pedestrian offense, Slovis had a quiet season, tossing for 2,397 yards and 10 touchdowns. Now, he enters the portal once again as a graduate transfer and is likely to return out West. It's unlikely he'll ever reach his 2019 heights again, but he brings plenty of experience and he's proven to be at the very least, serviceable. 

10. Hank Bachmeier, Boise State -> TBD

Career Stats: 536-870 (61.6%), 6,605 passing yards, 44 total TD, 19 INT

Possible Destinations: Stanford, Oregon State, San Jose State, Baylor, 

Hank Bachmeier first exploded on to the scene back in 2019, when a dazzling showing as a true freshman against Florida State looked like the introduction to something special. Since then, Bachmeier's career has been defined mainly be injuries and uneven play. He's had stretches where he's been very effective but his entire Boise State career feels like a major what-if. It didn't exactly help his reputation that the Broncos became flaming hot after he left the program and entered the portal in September this fall. Even so, Bachmeier has ample experience and has a talented arm. If he can improve his decision-making and stay healthy, it wouldn't shock me at all if he has a strong finale to his career. A jump to the Power Five feels like the likely outcome, and there is likely plenty of interest on the West Coast.

Others to Watch

J.T. Daniels, West Virginia -> Rice: Former Gatorade Player of the Year J.T. Daniels has been playing quarterback in college since 2018 and here's the crazy thing: he still has one more year of eligibility after 2023. It's been a wild journey for him, as he went from USC, to Georgia, then West Virginia, and now what is likely his final pit stop, Rice.

Graham Mertz, Wisconsin -> Florida: Two things can be true at once; Graham Mertz was a massive disappointment during his time in Madison, and he also brings experience and a decent arm. Florida desperately needed a quarterback following the departure of Anthony Richardson, but Mertz will have to stave off Jack Miller and hyped newcomer Jaden Rashada. 

Collin Schlee, Kent State -> UCLA: Collin Schlee put up decent numbers in his lone season as starter in an explosive Kent State offense, and now takes the leap to Westwood. The system he played in at Kent is certainly different from what he'll run at UCLA, and he will also have to hold off a talented freshman in five-star Dante Moore.

Haynes King, Texas A&M -> Georgia Tech: Brent Key has his new quarterback after multiyear starter Jeff Sims left for Nebraska in the form of Haynes King. It was a frustrating couple seasons for King in College Station, as he broke his leg in 2021 then suffered through a rough 2022. Maybe a change of scenery will do him good, and less pressure feels like a major positive.

Tony Muskett, Monmouth -> Virginia: Coming from an FCS program like Monmouth, Tony Muskett isn't going to receive the same type of attention as others on this list, but he has big-time talent. He was the Big South's Offensive Freshman of the Year during the weird FCS spring year, and followed it up with two quality campaigns. He hopes to reinvigorate a Virginia offense that had a brutal year during Tony Elliott's debut.

* = Transfer destinations have been updated as of 12/28/2022. Any quarterback that entered after 12/22/2022 was not eligible for this initial list, including Wake Forest quarterback Sam Hartman.

Big Ten Power Rankings 2022-23: Edition 1

Zach Edey, Purdue

1. Purdue Boilermakers (10-0 overall, 2-0 Big Ten)

Preseason Rank: 4

Matt Painter just keeps on churning out winning basketball teams in West Lafayette. Despite not having Jaden Ivey to handle the offensive load this season, the Boilermakers have looked dominant over the season's first month-and-a-half. Behemoth big man Zach Edey looks like the early National Player of the Year favorite, averaging 22.0 PPG, 13.7 RPG, and shooting 61% from the field. He's become the focal point on offense, but this Purdue team is much more balanced than the last several editions. The trio of guards Braden Smith, Brandon Newman, and Fletcher Loyer have all been impressive so far this winter, and young forwards Caleb Furst and Trey Kaufman-Renn have the potential to be excellent complementary pieces up front. Purdue has already gotten through their toughest games of the non-conference, now it looks like smooth sailing until they reach the thick of their Big Ten schedule, which picks back up with Rutgers in early January.

2. Wisconsin Badgers (8-2 overall, 2-0 Big Ten)

Preseason Rank: 8

The Badgers are fast risers in the first edition of these rankings, in large part to quality victories over Maryland and Iowa to start Big Ten play. Even the two non-conference losses are quality defeats; the Badgers came up just short in a loss to Top 10 Kansas, and a three-point loss to Wake Forest isn't terrible either, particularly with Wake's Tyree Appleby going for 32. This year's Wisconsin team plays like a typical Greg Gard team; they're short on elite star-power, but they're well-rounded and play tough defense. Tyler Wahl has shown he can handle an expanded role on offense, and freshman Connor Essegian has been a pleasant surprise. Yet, Chucky Hepburn is the key; he's been less than 100 percent the month of December, but is the heart-and-soul of this team. How he goes will determine whether the Badgers are conference title contenders, or merely another team in the middle-of-the-pack.

3. Indiana Hoosiers (8-2 overall, 1-1 Big Ten)

Preseason Rank: 3

There have been significant ups-and-downs for Indiana over the course of their 10-game season so far. The win at home over UNC originally looked like a major one for Mike Woodson and company, but the Tar Heels have struggled since, and Indiana's offense sputtered in their next game, a 63-48 loss to Rutgers. They lost their second game of the year this past weekend to Arizona, which isn't a bad loss by any means, but indicates this team still has some growing to do. Trayce Jackson-Davis has been unsurprisingly terrific, but the Hoosiers are still looking for a more consistent No. 2 weapon. That will likely end up being highly touted freshman Jalen Hood-Schifino, who has been a joy to watch when he's been playing, but has missed their last several contests. Once he's back, this team should look more like the one that was earning significant preseason adoration.

4. Ohio State Buckeyes (7-2 overall, 1-0 Big Ten)

Preseason Rank: 5

A buzzer beating win over Rutgers kicked off Ohio State's Big Ten season in a major way, but this team still has some growing to do as they finish off their non-conference slate. They're still figuring out how to fit all the new faces, such as Isaac Likekele, Brice Sensabaugh, and Sean McNeil, in with the remaining ones, like Zed Key. The result has been a team that has their impressive stretches, but is still an incomplete product. Even so, that incomplete product is a real threat in the conference, especially if the youngsters can grow up quickly.

5. Illinois Fighting Illini (7-3 overall, 0-2 Big Ten)

Preseason Rank: 1

It's been a rollercoaster of an early season for Illinois, with wins against UCLA and Texas in the non-conference, but also consecutive losses in league play. Losing on the road to Maryland wasn't a major problem; the Terrapins look like a contender in the conference, and College Park is a tough place to play. But, then there was the Penn State loss, a 15-point defeat to a team most consider to be near the bottom of the conference. The Nittany Lions could certainly be better than we think, but the Illini looked completely flat in front of their home crowd, resulting in an openly frustrated Brad Underwood. I remain under the belief Illinois is among the best in the Big Ten, but this is another team breaking in a lot of fresh faces. There's no questioning the talent, but they have some kinks to work out as they wrap up a three-game non-conference stretch before returning to the Big Ten.

6. Michigan Wolverines (6-3 overall, 1-0 Big Ten)

Preseason Ranking: 3

For the second straight year, Michigan had a rough go of it in the non-conference, with a 5-3 record to their names before starting league play. However, there's no sense of panic around the program; aside from a 25-point stinker to Arizona State, the Wolverines went toe-to-toe with a pair of Top 25 teams in Virginia and Kentucky, then pounded Minnesota to open up their Big Ten slate. Losing star guard Jaelin Llewellyn for the season may be a point of concern, but the young pieces in the backcourt have looked good early on and if not for Zach Edey, Hunter Dickinson would be the Big Ten Player of the Year frontrunner today. There will still be some growing pains as this youthful Michigan team figures it out, but I firmly believe they still have the ceiling to win a Big Ten Title.

7. Maryland Terrapins (8-2 overall, 1-1 Big Ten)

Preseason Ranking: 10

The Terrapins haven't faced as difficult of a schedule as others in the conference, but they've done what's asked of them en route to an 8-2 start. Charlotte transfer Jahmir Young has been terrific since arriving in College Park, but it's the offensive balance that has struck me in watching Maryland so far this season. They have four players averaging double-digit points, and go deeper in their bench than we assumed they would in the preseason. That doesn't mean there aren't some problem areas; the three-point shooting in particular has been rough, and is the primary reason for the Terps dropping their last two games, against Wisconsin and Tennessee. Things don't get a ton easier in the near future, as Maryland hosts UCLA this week and tips off the bulk of conference play with consecutive road games against Michigan and Rutgers.

8. Michigan State Spartans (7-4 overall, 1-1 Big Ten)

Preseason Ranking: 6

Michigan State plays a brutal non-conference schedule every year, so it's not surprising they took some lumps early on in this year. While the Kentucky win represents a bright spot, the Spartans dropped games to Gonzaga, Alabama, Notre Dame, and now Northwestern. The offensive inconsistency has been at the core of Michigan State's streakiness. Joey Hauser has looked improved and Tyson Walker is leading the team in scoring, but it still feels like the Spartans are missing something. Is there another level that Malik Hall can reach this year? Or is there another piece off the bench ready to take a major leap? Tom Izzo still has a quality squad, but it feels like this is more of a middle-of-the-pack MSU team than one that can challenge for conference supremacy.

9. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-3 overall, 0-1 Big Ten)

Preseason Ranking: 7

Keegan Murray be playing in the NBA, but Iowa has reloaded with his brother, Kris, who is off to an impressive 2022-23 campaign. Kris is averaging over 19 points per game and over 10 boards per game while shooting over 50%, pacing a Hawkeye offense that is once again one of the most explosive in the Big Ten. But, can they stop anyone going the other way? So far, Iowa's defensive numbers show progress, thanks to more athleticism on the perimeter and rim protector Filip Rebraca underneath, but this still feels like it could another season where Iowa lives and dies by their offense. That still means they're a threat in the league, but you wonder if they have the pieces to make a run at a conference title. Fortunately, the early Big Ten slate is soft (by Big Ten standards), which could give this team an opportunity to make a strong early impression.

10. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (6-4 overall, 1-1 Big Ten)

Preseason Rank: 9

It's looking like another typical campaign for Stevie Pikiell's program in Piscataway. They will lose a couple head-scratchers, beat a couple highly ranked teams, and probably finish around the middle in the league standings. Any hopes for a jump up the rankings likely hinges on Paul Mulcahy returning to form after struggling through injuries at the start of the year. The same can be said for Caleb McConnell, who has played in just half of Rutgers' contests up to this point. Once they get the pair of wings back, the Scarlet Knights represent a very tough out in the league, and one of the best atmospheres.

11. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-3 overall, 1-1 Big Ten)

Preseason Ranking: 11

Micah Shrewsberry's Nittany Lions have shown real growth in his second year, off to a strong 7-3 start. The schedule's been awfully soft, but Penn State showed they were real by traveling to Champaign and stomping Illinois by 15. They've been a fun watch, too, with a flurry of explosive guards running an up-tempo offense. Jalen Pickett has been the star, but Seth Lundy, Andrew Funk, and Camren Wynter offer an impressive supporting cast. You wonder if they have the frontline to compete with the elites of the Big Ten, but they could certainly become a factor.

12. Northwestern Wildcats (7-2 overall, 1-0 Big Ten)

Preseason Ranking: 13

Northwestern played a buttery soft non-conference schedule, with the notable exception being a home tilt with Auburn that they lost. However, the Wildcats proved themselves quite a bit by going to East Lansing and upsetting 20th-ranked Michigan State, 70-63. It wouldn't be the first time in recent years the Wildcats have started off the season strong, but maintaining it over the course of the Big Ten slate has been the challenge. There are interesting pieces on this roster, namely guards Boo Buie and Chase Audige, but you wonder if Northwestern has the depth to make a serious push up from the bottom-tier.

13. Nebraska Cornhuskers (6-5 overall, 0-2 Big Ten)

Preseason Rank: 14

Could Nebraska finally be showing signs of life in Year Four of Fred Hoiberg? The 'Huskers got one of their biggest wins in recent program history by defeating in-state rival Creighton in Omaha and have looked competitive in losses to two of the Big Ten's best, Indiana and Purdue. A healthy Derrick Walker underneath has been huge, but Nebraska's improvement this season has been primarily spurred by newcomer Sam Griesel, a transfer from North Dakota State. Griesel has been an absolute stat-stuffer in the early going, averaging 10.7 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 4.8 APG, and 1.4 SPG, injecting new life into a program that needed it. There's still a long way to go for Nebraska to be considered a genuine threat, but this team isn't the pushover they've been over the last three seasons; they have a chance to rise up the league totem pole this winter.

14. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-6 overall, 0-2 Big Ten)

Preseason Ranking: 12

It's looking like it will be a rough second season for Ben Johnson and company in Minneapolis. The Gophers didn't look particularly inspiring in the non-conference, and have followed that up with two blowout losses to Purdue and Michigan. Granted, those are two tough outs, but the Gophers have been a rough watch so far this year. Star forward Jamison Battle missed several games with injury and has shown rust in his return, big-name transfer Dawson Garcia has been underwhelming, and the roster is full of youth. Gopher fans have to hope some of the freshmen can grow up quick and Battle and Garcia return to form, but even if that happens, they'll be hard-pressed to show much improvement in 2022-23.

NFL Mock Draft 2023: Edition 2 (Early Edition)

Will Levis, Kentucky to Indianapolis Colts

Edition 2.0 (Early Edition)

View my Edition 1.0 here

College football and NFL remain in full swing across the country, but as we gear up for December, the clock is already ticking on the 2023 NFL Draft. NFL teams out of the postseason race are already looking ahead, while college football's stars have been jockeying to rise up draft boards. So, why not recklessly speculate about a sporting event months away? 

1. Houston Texans

Bryce Young, QB, Alabama

In the months since my first 2023 NFL Mock Draft, things have not changed at the top. Bryce Young remains the most likely player to go No. 1 and the Texans, in the midst of a 1-10-1 season, appear to be in a great spot to land him. He'll inject some life back into a franchise that has had a frustrating half-decade, but remains in an AFC South that appears fairly wide-open moving forward.

2. Las Vegas Raiders

Will Anderson Jr., LB, Alabama

A freak of nature who has posted 34.5 sacks in his Alabama career, Will Anderson Jr. is the best prospect in the 2023 NFL Draft. That doesn't mean he'll go No. 1 overall in a quarterback-centric league, but whoever gets him will be bringing a superstar defender. In this mock, it's Las Vegas, who is hoping to rid themselves of an atrocious recent NFL Draft history.

3. Carolina Panthers

C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State

It will be the dawn of a new era next fall for Carolina, who made the unsurprising decision to move on from Matt Rhule earlier this season. It looks like a complete teardown here, so why not invest in a new quarterback of the future with C.J. Stroud? They'll need to upgrade the weapons around him, but Stroud checks a lot of boxes with his physical tools.

4. Pittsburgh Steelers

Myles Murphy, DL, Clemson

The absence of T.J. Watt has made it clear that Pittsburgh's pass rush could use some reinforcements. Myles Murphy doesn't receive the same attention of a Will Anderson Jr., but he's been a productive contributor at Clemson since the moment he stepped on campus and brings an unlimited motor.

5. Chicago Bears

Peter Skoronski, OL, Northwestern

This is your classic draft selection of a team trying to protect their franchise quarterback. Chicago needs to address their offensive line, and they might not have to go too far to do so by adding Northwestern's Peter Skoronski. There's nothing flashy about the way Skoronski plays, but he could play either tackle or guard at a high level in the NFL.

6. Philadelphia Eagles (from New Orleans)

Jalen Carter, DL, Georgia

Philadelphia is loaded on both sides of the ball, so they can afford to take best player available with the pick they earned when the Saints traded up last NFL Draft. That best player available is Georgia's Jalen Carter, the latest Bulldog who will earn millions playing on Sundays. Carter has been productive all year long in Athens and has the tools to play in the pros for a long time.

7. Indianapolis Colts

Will Levis, QB, Kentucky

Will Levis is going to be a polarizing prospect this cycle. NFL personnel love his stature and physical gifts, but he hasn't exactly been the most consistent quarterback in the collegiate ranks. He'll likely still end up being a Top 10 selection and the Colts need to start over at quarterback. Taking on aging veterans hasn't worked and Sam Ehlinger isn't a starting QB in the modern NFL.

8. Jacksonville Jaguars

Kelee Ringo, CB, Georgia

Jacksonville's porous pass defense has been a source of frustration all season and needs to be addressed in the offseason. They'll likely bring in a veteran or two, but this also has a chance to be a strong defensive back class this year. Kelee Ringo, the hero of the 2022 National Championship Game, appears to be the top corner on the board at this juncture.

9. Detroit Lions

Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon

Another team that could be in play for a quarterback in the 2023 NFL Draft, it's not unrealistic to think the Lions may hold off and run it back with Jared Goff for at least one more season. Instead, they address a pass defense that remains among the worst in the NFL by selecting Christian Gonzalez, a big-bodied, versatile corner who came to Oregon by way of Colorado.

10. Arizona Cardinals

Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas

The Cardinals have been a major disappointment, which should make them an interesting player in the offseason. Clearly, something needs to change on offense and tailback is a place to start, as James Conner is simply average. Bijan Robinson is one of the most complete running back prospects we've seen in recent memory and could be quite a pairing with Kyler Murray.

11. Houston Texans (from Cleveland)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State

Ten picks after making Bryce Young their quarterback of the future, the Texans grab their long-term No. 1 wide out. It's been a frustrating campaign for Jaxon Smith-Njigba as he's dealt with injuries, but he remains a first-round lock and a receiver that projects well to the NFL. He could be the top guy immediately, with journeyman Brandin Cooks' status unclear for 2023.

12. Atlanta Falcons

Bryan Bresee, DL, Clemson

It seems like Atlanta has had a need for a pass rusher forever, but they still have the league's worst pressure rate. Fortunately, there will be plenty of options available this upcoming spring and Bryan Bresee makes the most sense at this spot. It's been a tumultuous couple years for Bresee, who was injured in 2021 and lost his sister this fall, but he's a super impressive talent.

13. Seattle Seahawks (from Denver)

Tyree Wilson, DE/LB, Texas Tech

The Seahawks have been a pleasant surprise this fall, which gives them more freedom with the selections they earned from Denver in the Russell Wilson deal. Pass rusher seems like an obvious direction, and Texas Tech's Tyree Wilson offers impressive versatility and an explosive first step off the edge.

14. Detroit Lions (from LA Rams)

Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame

Detroit dealt away T.J. Hockenson earlier this fall, but they can act quickly in securing a replacement by drafting Michael Mayer out of Notre Dame. Mayer has been a Day One contributor with the Irish and one of the most consistent tight ends you'll find in the nation. He's built like a truck, but his quickness and hands should make him an impactful pass-catcher.

15. Green Bay Packers

Jordan Addison, WR, USC

The Packers have been one of the most disappointing teams in the NFL this season and it's hard to know what they'll look like in 2023 and beyond. If it really is the final year for Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay, the Packers need to upgrade the talent around Jordan Love. Enter Jordan Addison, who won the Biletnikoff in 2021 and has followed it up with another impressive campaign on the West Coast.

16. Washington Commanders

Joey Porter Jr. CB, Penn State

Washington is another team that could be in play for quarterback in the 2023 NFL Draft but considering where they land in this mock, the smarter option may be to invest in their pass defense. There's plenty of options available at this spot, but Penn State's Joey Porter Jr. makes the most sense. The Nittany Lion corner has been a breakout star this fall and has established himself as a first-round lock.

17. Los Angeles Chargers

Rashee Rice, WR, SMU

Keenan Allen's injury-plagued season has demonstrated that the Chargers could use an upgrade at receiver. Even when Allen does return, he'll be 31 at the start of next season and seems to be nearing the end of his prime. Los Angeles can find a new long-term weapon at the position in Rashee Rice, a well-built wide out who could become a star in the pre-Draft process.

18. New York Jets

Olu Fashanu, OL, Penn State

Few players have helped their draft stock this fall quite as much as Penn State's Olu Fashanu. He's emerged as a viable candidate to land somewhere in the upper-half of the first round and could continue to rise up boards. There's a chance he could be the top offensive linemen off the board, but he finds himself with the Jets in this mock.

19. Cincinnati Bengals

Isaiah Foskey, DE, Notre Dame

Cincinnati could go any number of direction in the 2023 NFL Draft, but edge rusher makes quite a bit of sense. They were in the market for one last spring, but instead chose to upgrade their pass defense during the Draft. Isaiah Foskey is a long, athletic pass rusher who has been extraordinarily productive during his time with the Irish.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Clark Phillips III, CB, Utah

Tampa could be in a bit of a conundrum at corner this offseason, with Sean Murphy-Bunting and Jamel Dean both set to be free agents. It wouldn't be surprising at all if they opt to replace one of those two, or both, by taking a CB here. Clark Phillips III makes plenty of sense, as he's one of the best in college football this fall and is a legit Jim Thorpe Award candidate.

21. New England Patriots

Paris Johnson, OL, Ohio State

Another team that could be heading for an interesting offseason, New England is always a mystery when it comes to the NFL Draft. It's anybody's guess who they might draft and that's particularly tough to predict months out. Offensive line seems to make a lot of sense and Paris Johnson is a physically imposing presence who can play multiple different spots.

22. Seattle Seahawks

Trenton Simpson, LB, Clemson

The Seahawks may have already added an impact defender earlier in Tyree Wilson, but you can never have too many playmaking defenders in the modern NFL. They chose to further upgrade the front seven with Trenton Simpson, an instinctive inside linebacker who has been very impressive at Clemson but still has plenty of potential to offer.

23. Denver Broncos (from San Francisco)

Jared Verse, DE, Florida State

Denver moved on from Bradley Chubb at the trade deadline and will likely now be in the market for an impactful edge rusher. Jared Verse began his career at Albany before transferring to Florida State, and he has not looked intimidated by the move to the Power Five whatsoever. On the contrary, he's been a relentless force for the Seminoles and likely has cemented himself as a first-rounder.

24. Buffalo Bills

Brian Branch, DB, Alabma

The Bills are a fascinating team to me looking ahead to the offseason. They've been Super Bowl-level good the last several years (and could certainly finish the job yet this season) but always feel a piece or two away from reaching their true ceiling. Running back could be in play here, but continuing to strengthen the defensive backfield feels like the right call in a conference with Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, and Joe Burrow. Brian Branch is a versatile, well-rounded defensive back who had a productive career in Tuscaloosa.

25. Baltimore Ravens

Quentin Johnston, WR, TCU

Lamar Jackson has had mediocre weapons around him for a big chunk of his career, including 2022. Rashod Bateman seems to have a bright future, but Baltimore has needed to upgrade this receiver room for years. Fortunately, Quentin Johnston drops to them in this iteration, which would be a dream come true for the Ravens. The TCU product has had a monster season and could earn Top 10 consideration, even in a strong receiver class.

26. New York Giants

Cam Smith, CB, South Carolina

Could the Giants be in play for a quarterback in this Draft? It will be fascinating to see how they handle the Daniel Jones situation moving forward, but that doesn't mean they don't have other needs to address. The pass defense has been okay in 2022, but they could use another corner, and Cam Smith is one of the best available players here, regardless of position. 

27. Tennessee Titans

Jalin Hyatt, WR, Tennessee

No matter how much longer Ryan Tannehill is the guy for the Titans, they need to upgrade his supporting cast. They did just draft Treylon Burks a year ago, but you can never have too many dynamic weapons in the modern NFL. Jalin Hyatt had a breakout fall, thanks in large part to Hendon Hooker's dominance, and should be a first-rounder, even in a stacked receiver group.

28. Miami Dolphins

Forfeited

This Draft pick has been forfeited due to tampering.

29. Dallas Cowboys

Antonio Johnson, S, Texas A&M

It's been a frustrating two seasons in College Station, but safety Antonio Johnson has developed into a tremendous NFL Draft prospect in that span. He's a long, rangy defensive back who could become a true centerfielder for any NFL team. Dallas could use another piece like him in their secondary, and they won't have to go far to secure him.

30. Minnesota Vikings

B.J. Ojulari, LB, LSU

A tireless pass rusher with a nose for the ball, B.J. Ojulari would be a quality addition for any team looking to shore up their defensive front. The Viking defense has had a poor season, but it's not hard to imagine Ojulari playing a role similar to Anthony Barr as a pass rushing specialist.

31. Kansas City Chiefs

Josh Downs, WR, UNC

Yet another first-round wide receiver? This year's class is that good, and Kansas City is always looking for new toys for Patrick Mahomes to play with. Josh Downs has been one of college football's brightest stars, with two straight 1,000-yard campaigns, and has game-breaking speed. Anybody looking for evidence of his skillset should look no further than his three-game stretch from late October through mid-November. In three games against Pittsburgh, Virginia, and Wake Forest, Downs went for 37 receptions, 422 yards, and six touchdowns.

32. Philadelphia Eagles

Devon Witherspoon, CB, Illinois

This pick feels like trade bait considering Philadelphia already has a likely Top 10 selection from New Orleans, but if they do remain in this spot, Devon Witherspoon would be a tremendous move. Darius Slay and James Bradberry have been a great duo, but both are on the wrong side of 30, and I love Witherspoon as a prospect. He's not the most athletic player on the field, but is a hard-nosed, physical defender who should translate well to the next level.

2022 College Football Picks: Week Fourteen (Championship Week)

Deuce Vaughn, Kansas State

Current Picks Record: 69-48

Upset: 5-8

Superdogs: 5-8

Pac-12 Championship: (#4) USC Trojans vs. (#11) Utah Utes

Line: USC -3

O/U: 67

For years, the Friday night Pac-12 Championship Game has been more of a Championship Week sideshow than a truly important game. That's not the case this week, as this matchup between fourth-ranked USC and 11th-ranked Utah has major CFB Playoff implications. One would assume USC is in with a victory, but they won't have anything easy against the Utes, who handed 'SC their lone defeat earlier in the year.

Last Saturday wasn't the most dominant performance of the season for Caleb Williams, but another stellar week likely looked him in as the 2022 Heisman Trophy winner. The true sophomore has demonstrated an explosive playmaking ability all season long and unlike last year, he's done it week-in, week-out. He's set to become the third USC quarterback since the turn of the millennium to take home the award, and he did it all in his first season in Southern California. Williams has had the luxury of a truly special supporting cast around him, with star receivers Jordan Addison, Mario Williams, and Tahj Washington terrorizing opposing defenses all season. The supporting cast did take a bit of a hit late in the year when they lost Travis Dye for the remainder of the season, but the duo of Austin Jones and Raleek Brown should be able to pick up the slack. The Trojans will remain a pass-first team following the injury to Dye, and they should have opportunities against the Utes. This remains a good Utah defense, but they've been more susceptible through the air than past editions. Williams went for 381 yards and five touchdowns last time they played, and that was in Salt Lake City. On a neutral field, USC should be able to move the ball comfortably, and Williams should be eager to show out in the biggest game of the year up to this point.

This year's Utah offense looks very similar to many of the previous Kyle Whittingham-coached offenses. They aren't the most explosive group in the league, but run a ball-control, methodical offense that does just enough to get this team over the top. Quarterback Cam Rising continues to be one of the most underrated in college football; he doesn't jump out at you with his arm strength or athleticism, but he's an accurate, intelligent, consistent signal-caller. He's also a much more effective runner than people give him credit for, which USC knows firsthand, as he went for three rushing scores against them in mid-October. Rising's backfield mate, Tavion Thomas, hasn't quite built on his huge 2021 the way many had hoped, but he remains a major factor. Thomas has dealt with injuries and hasn't been able to find his rhythm, but it wouldn't be shocking at all to see him return to form against a mediocre USC defense. Micah Bernard and Jaylon Glover offer more shiftiness and playmaking prowess to this ground game, although Glover is banged up entering this one. Unsurprisingly, the pass-catchers are led by a tight end, another staple of the Whittingham era. However, it's not the one many had expected to be starring for this team at the start of the season, Brant Kuithe, but Dalton Kincaid instead. Kincaid was a proven commodity entering the season, but he's turned it up a notch since a season-ending injury to Kuithe, and he should be a real matchup problem for the Trojans. In fact, Utah should be able to have success moving the ball in general against this USC defense. It's very much a typical Lincoln Riley team; they'll put plenty of points in a dazzling display, and let up nearly just as many the other way.

I give Utah a lot of credit for finding a route to the Pac-12 Championship Game. After an underwhelming showing in a loss to UCLA, the Utes were 4-2 and could have mailed in a disappointing season. Instead, they won five of their final six and now have a great opportunity to play spoiler. Considering this is the Pac-12, a league known for beating each other up, it would not be shocking if they manage to pull off the upset. But, on a neutral field, the Trojans are the better team, and they should be able to stick the landing, as long as the defense can be at least serviceable. 

The Pick: USC, 38 Utah, 30

SEC Championship Game: (#1) Georgia Bulldogs vs. (#14) LSU Tigers

Line: Georgia -17.5

O/U: 52

Georgia enters the weekend as the clear National Title favorite (particularly with Michigan's Blake Corum officially done for the year), but they have to avoid falling short on the goal-line against LSU. The Tigers managed to win the SEC West in Year One of the Brian Kelly era, but a humiliating loss to Texas A&M showed this team still has some issues to work out as they head to Atlanta.

The Georgia offense has been by no means perfect despite their 12-0 record, but they've done everything necessary to keep this team humming. Quarterback Stetson Bennett has followed up his incredible run last season with another impressive campaign, leading a pass offense that is in the Top 20 nationally. He's helped by a deep receiver corps that also includes the nation's most imposing 1-2 punch at tight end, Brock Bowers and Darnell Washington. Then there's the ground game, which hasn't been quite as dominant as past Bulldog groups, but remains productive. All of that operates behind a capable and experienced offensive line that should be well prepared for a ferocious LSU pass rush that includes B.J. Ojulari and Harold Perkins. What makes this Bulldog offense so difficult to stop is that depth; they don't lean on 1-2 pieces and struggle if those guys are having an off day. They have so many different weapons that can overwhelm a defense, and OC Todd Monken has been very adept at spreading the ball in creative ways. It's always a guessing game which Bulldog will have a coming out party offensively each week, which is a testament to this unit. My pick this week is wide out Kearis Jackson; he's had a quiet two years after being their most productive pass-catcher in 2020, but always seems to show out in big games near the end of the year.

I will be the first to admit, I did not see this 2022 season coming for Jayden Daniels. The veteran quarterback was cast off of Arizona State and entered an intense quarterback competition in Baton Rouge. It wasn't a shock that he came out as the Day One starter, but it has been surprising just how productive he's been. Daniels won't air the ball out too often, but he's a capable deep-ball thrower and can absolutely decimate defenses with his legs. He's second among all FBS quarterbacks with 824 rushing yards, and his ability to create will give this Georgia defense something to think about. The rest of the offense has been rather pedestrian statistically, although receivers Malik Nabers and Kayshon Boutte are not your typical perimeter duo. Boutte in particular is a supreme talent who just hasn't been used the right away this fall; could the SEC Championship Game be his return to the spotlight? With that being said, this is a brutal matchup for this LSU offense. Georgia is just so stacked on this side of the ball, and they're so unbelievably athletic. LSU has moved the ball against good defenses, but the 'Dawgs are a different breed, and I'm just not sure whether there is enough here to compete with Georgia going the other way.

The SEC Championship Game has been dominated by the favorites since its inception; prior to Georgia losing as a favorite last year to Alabama, the last underdog to win was Auburn in 2013 over Missouri, and they were just two points 'dogs. I don't see that trend reversing this year; the Bulldogs are simply too overwhelming, and this LSU team is the weakest West Division winner in years. 

The Pick: Georgia, 31 LSU, 17

Big 12 Championship Game: (#3) TCU Horned Frogs vs. (#10) Kansas State Wildcats

Line: TCU -2.5

O/U: 62

TCU's miraculous turnaround has been a constant talking point among national media this fall, but I still don't believe we are giving it the respect it deserves. The Horned Frogs were an absolute disaster a season ago and fired longtime head coach Gary Patterson. A year later, they're 12-0 and within reach of their first CFB Playoff appearance. The only thing standing in their way is Kansas State, a feisty underdog who would love nothing more than to ruin TCU's perfect season. 

Quarterback Max Duggan has a very real chance to end his TCU career as a Heisman finalist. Amazingly, the veteran signal-caller wasn't even the Day One starter in 2022, but has made the most of his opportunity following an injury to Chandler Morris. He's always been a powerful, hard-nosed runner, but it's Duggan's growth as a passer that has been a joy to watch. He has gone for over 3,000 yards and 29 touchdowns, and Sonny Dykes has adjusted his scheme to fit Duggan's strengths. Duggan is likely to finish the year as the Horned Frog with the most accolades, but tailback Kendre Miller has been arguably more important. Miller has 1,260 yards on the season and 16 touchdowns, while notching over six yards per carry. He was building a streak of five games with at least 100 yards before Baylor was able to keep him in check in TCU's thrilling, come-from-behind win. Add in Quentin Johnston, who missed against Iowa State but is expected back for this week, and do-it-all Taye Barber, and it's no shock why the Horned Frogs have been so successful moving the ball this fall. I like their chances to put up points in this game, even against a solid K-State defense. The Horned Frogs went for nearly 500 yards in these two team's first meeting, and should be ready to roll once again.

Chris Klieman's Kansas State program has been one of the most consistent in the Big 12 since he took over, but they have their first opportunity for a league title since he took over. This year's team has been built on a similar formula to previous editions. They have a strong defense, effective rushing attack, and they control the line of scrimmage. However, tailback Deuce Vaughn isn't your typical K-State back; he's a danger to score every time he touches the ball and OC Collin Klein has been very creative in getting him the ball. Vaughn has had to take on an extra load with the injury to starting quarterback Adrian Martinez, although the offense has really found a groove under backup Will Howard. Howard has looked in complete command in his last four starts, with an 11-1 TD-INT ratio, and the Wildcat offense hasn't looked back. That doesn't mean Howard is going to be chucking the ball all over the field, but Kansas State has more balance these last few weeks than they did to start the season. That's a good thing, because this TCU defense is very gettable. This isn't the same program that was churning out elite defenses at the peak of Patterson's leadership; they're prone to the big play and aren't as physical at the line of scrimmage.

I've said it time and time again this fall: I don't believe TCU is going to finish the regular season undefeated. Each time that I've picked against them, they've made me look like a fool, and have completed comeback after comeback. However, I remain under the belief that somebody is going to get them, and Kansas State matches up well against them. The Wildcats are playing hot right now and have the roster composition to muck this one up and control the tempo. I'm picking them to complete the "upset" and win the Big 12 for the first time since they earned a share of it back in 2012.

The Pick: Kansas State, 28 TCU, 24

Other Picks

ACC Championship: (#9) Clemson @ (#23) North Carolina -- A very tough matchup to pick at this moment. Drake Maye should give this Clemson defense fits, but the Tigers are the better team top to bottom, even if they've been underwhelming down the stretch.

The Pick: Clemson, 35 UNC, 32

American Athletic Championship: (#22) UCF @ (#18) Tulane -- I have picked against Tulane on several occasions this year, and been wrong each time. I hate to do it once again, but UCF's offense puts them over the top.

The Pick: UCF, 34 Tulane, 24

Big Ten Championship: Purdue @ (#2) Michigan -- Purdue emerged from the chaos of the Big Ten West to took the division, but I don't see an upset here. Corum may be out, but Michigan's suffocating defense is the real fuel of this team.

The Pick: Michigan, 29 Purdue, 14

C-USA Championship: North Texas @ UTSA -- Expect plenty of fireworks as these two offenses collide, but the scorching hot UTSA Roadrunners are the smarter pick.

The Pick: UTSA, 40 North Texas, 28

MAC Championship: Toledo @ Ohio -- This is essentially a coin flip in my eyes. Ohio has reeled off seven straight wins, but just lost star QB Kurtis Rourke for the rest of the year. Even so, they're the better team, and should come out on top.

The Pick: Ohio, 27 Toledo, 21

Mountain West Championship: Fresno State @ Boise State -- Kudos to both these teams for how they have managed to completely turnaround horrific starts to the season. Boise in particular has been a great story, winning seven of their last eight.

The Pick: Boise State, 37 Fresno State, 26

Sun Belt Championship: Coastal Carolina @ Troy -- Coastal was already without star QB Grayson McCall and now rumors are swirling head coach Jamey Chadwell could be on his way to Liberty. Even if that doesn't end up materializing, Troy is the better football team, with an elite defense.

The Pick: Troy, 27 Coastal Carolina, 18