Tuesday, August 30, 2016

College Football Preview 2016-2017: Previewing the Pac-12

Luke Falk, Washington State
Pac-12 Conference

2015 In Review: The 2015 season was supposed to be the year the Pac-12 put itself on par with the SEC as the best conference in America. The league returned plenty of talent, particularly the Pac-12 South, as USC, UCLA and both Arizona schools entered last year with tremendous hype surrounding them. The league didn't quite deliver on that hype. Stanford lost to Northwestern non-conference and a late season loss to Oregon sunk their Playoff hopes. Oregon lost non-conference to Michigan State and struggled with injuries and a poor defense. In the South Division, USC was a complete disaster and head coach Steve Sarkisian was canned, UCLA was too young, and neither Arizona school delivered. Utah was a pleasant surprise early on, but injuries soon sunk their Playoff and conference championship aspirations. Overall, last season was pretty disappointing for football on the West Coast, but the conference is planning a grand return as we enter 2016.

Pac-12 North Rankings

1. Stanford Cardinal National Rank: 9
After a very disappointing 8-5 mark in 2014, Stanford was hoping to prove it was still one of the top programs in college football last season, and they did just that. The Cardinal recovered from a terrible opener to look like one of the most complete teams in college football. Back Christian McCaffrey did it all, QB Kevin Hogan was playing well and the defense was its usual dominant self. Stanford will miss Hogan and many members of that defense, but this team should still have a chance to be a Playoff contender this season. McCaffrey is back and while defenses can focus on him, he does so many different things he can still impact the game in a major way. The passing attack is a question, with senior Ryan Burns slated to start their opener over talented junior Keller Chryst. He will have senior receivers Michael Rector and Francis Owusu available to help in what will be a conservative scheme. Defensively, Stanford should still be wonderful. Junior defensive end Solomon Thomas has big-time talent but is yet to fully deliver, and should be joined on the D-Line by junior Harrison Phillips. Seniors Peter Kalambayi and Kevin Palma should also be important contributors at linebacker. The Cardinal have a brutal opening month (Kansas State, USC, UCLA and Washington), which doesn't give them much time to try out their quarterback situation. That could be a problem, but this program has enough depth and experience to still be in the hunt for the Pac-12 crown regardless.
2. Oregon Ducks National Rank: 15
Oregon stumbled by sorts last season, dropping to 9-4 and losing a heartbreaking Alamo Bowl to TCU. The Ducks will almost certainly be improved in 2016, thanks to the return of back Royce Freeman and some help on defense. Freeman was wonderful in '15, proving to be the next great Oregon back. He rushed for 1,836 yards last year and it would be silly not to include him in the vast race for the Heisman. He will be helped offensively by an abundance of playmakers, most notably do-it-all Charles Nelson (who can also play defense), a healthy Pharoah Brown at tight end and Devon Allen, a speedster who recently just ran in the 2016 Rio Olympics. Quarterback may be interesting, but it appears Montana State transfer Dakota Prukop will take over the pivotal role. Prukop was one of the best players in FCS football last season, and Vernon Adams was in the same situation with the team a year ago and was superb. He will have to work with an offensive line that has some holes, but some astounding speed on the outside. On the other side of the ball, Oregon has to improve. They were brutal a year ago, and hope that the addition of former Michigan head coach Brady Hoke will change that. Hoke doesn't have a bare cupboard to work with, even with DeForest Buckner departed on the defensive line, but the group still needs to improve in a big way. This should be a typical Oregon team that will light up the scoreboard but may struggle to stop teams from doing the same. Even so, that is good enough to be in the hunt for a double-digit win season and Pac-12 crown.
3. Washington Huskies National Rank: 25
So begins Year 3 for Chris Petersen at Washington, and the expectations have been raised. The Huskies were decent last year, showing flashes of potential as they went on to go 7-6. However, they did that with an extremely young team that wasn't fully healthy. This year, they will be much more experienced, particularly at the skill positions. Sophomore Jake Browning should lock down the QB job after showing promise a year ago. Sophomore Myles Gaskin is among the most underrated in the nation at running back and the Huskies get talented receiver John Ross III back from injury. Defensively, the Huskies have one of the nation's top secondaries, headlined by safety Budda Baker and corner Sidney Jones. They have some holes to fill in the front seven, but UW's defense should still be very stout. The Huskies were the talk of the summer with how much hype they were receiving, many even picking them to win the conference. I like their potential, but I think that may be a year premature for their breakout under Petersen. Even so, ten wins is very feasible, particularly with a weak non-conference slate.
4. Washington State Cougars National Rank: Unranked
It has been a rocky few years at times, but it appears Mike Leach finally has a legit Pac-12 title contender at Washington State. The Cougars won nine games a year ago and return their key piece, junior QB Luke Falk. Falk averaged over 380 yards a game through the air a season ago, and should do much the same in the Cougars' Air Raid attack in 2016. He will be helped by a wonderful cast of receivers, mainly Gabe Marks, who opted to hold off on the pros. Reliable senior River Cracraft is also back along with an improved offensive line. Defense has long been Leach's Achilles Heel, but it could be pretty solid this year in Pullman. Sophomore defensive end Hercules Mata'afa has the upside to be one of the best pass rushers in the conference, and their is potential in the secondary. With a dynamic passing game and improved depth, Washington State could take even bigger leaps in 2016. Even in the crowded and deep Pac-12 North, the Cougars could be in the hunt for their first Pac-12 title under Leach.
5. California Golden Bears National Rank: Unranked
Sonny Dykes continues to do great work at Cal, who won just 1 game in his debut season (2013) but has responded with a 5-7 2014 and 8-5 mark last year. Unfortunately, he will move into his fourth year without the quarterback who was been under center for him every year he has been in Berkeley. Jared Goff jumped to the NFL and was soon snatched up by LA with the first pick of the draft. Cal still could be great at the position, as former Texas Tech transfer Davis Webb opted to join the Bears. Webb was originally committed to Colorado after opting to transfer from Tech, but saw a better opportunity with the Bears. He shined in the opener and could have a special season. His receiver corps is inexperienced, but having a great back helps and Cal returns Tre Watson there. Cal was one of the worst defenses in the Pac-12 last season, which hindered what Goff and the offense did. The rushing defense must improve, and the red zone D must become more aggressive. Even if Webb is terrific, this team still has plenty of questions. In a brutal division, repeating the four conference wins the Bears managed in '15 will be tough.
6. Oregon State Beavers National Rank: Unranked
2015 was not how Gary Andersen hoped to debut at Oregon State after plenty of success at previous stops Utah State and Wisconsin. The Beavers lacked a passing game, their defense was inconsistent and they were sloppy. Most importantly, however, was the fact they couldn't close out games as Oregon State choked plenty of games en route to a deflating 2-10 record last season. The quarterback position is at a crossroads. Sophomore Seth Collins started last year but was up-and-down and replaced. He moved to receiver in the spring, but could still assist at the position. That leaves Utah State transfer Darrell Garretson as the likely replacement. Garrettson will have a couple good receivers to work with, namely senior Victor Bolden and junior Jordan Villamin. The defense could have some growing pains, but has good depth. Unfortunately, 2015's leading tackler, Rommel Mageo, transferred to Ole Miss for his final collegiate season. Senior Caleb Saulo is returning and many other pieces to the front seven, so Oregon State has plenty of upside. The Beavers have some impressive pieces and Andersen is a good coach. It is just a matter of time before they hit their stride. However, a tough schedule and a brutal road schedule could leave them struggling to stay out of the North cellar.

Pac-12 South Power Rankings

1. USC Trojans National Rank: 19
I was one of the many people who bought into USC last year, picking them to win the Pac-12 and make the College Football Playoff. Things didn't quite work out as planned. Head coach Steve Sarkisian struggled on the field and had some personal issues to deal with, leading to his firing halfway through the year. Interim coach Clay Helton did a great job taking over midseason and leading the Trojans to a Pac-12 South title. USC opted to bring the interim coach in a full-time role, and Helton will provide much needed stability to a program that has insane talent, but has not yet put it altogether since Pete Carroll left years ago. The offense has impressive talent, led by one of the nation's top receivers in JuJu Smith-Schuster and a two-headed monster at running back with Justin Davis and Ronald Jones II. Max Browne is slated to take over for the departed Cody Kessler at quarterback, and will have plenty to work with. Sophomore Cameron Smith is one of of many key contributors back on defense, a group that was inconsistent in 2015. Sophomore cornerback Iman Marshall is a breakout candidate, while USC will also hope for big things from junior Adoree' Jackson, who can do so many different things. Helton has a ton to work with and is a great coach, but the Trojans face a brutal schedule in Year One, which includes non-conference dates with Alabama, Notre Dame and Utah State, while getting Stanford, Oregon and Washington all from the other division. Even so, this team should be able to win the division with their vast collection of talent and more experience.
2. UCLA Bruins National Rank: 23
Much like their Los Angeles counterpart, UCLA had impressive talent entering last year, but wasn't quite able to deliver. True freshman Josh Rosen, one of the nation's top recruits, took over for Brett Hundley at quarterback and was terrific. Despite his youth, the signal-caller threw for 3,668 yards and 23 touchdowns a year ago.  If he can cut down on turnovers, UCLA has a Heisman contender at quarterback. The ground attack and receiver corps will have to be revamped after suffering major losses, but sophomore Soso Jamabo is expected to have a breakout year at tailback, and junior Eldridge Massington has potential at receiver. The Bruins' defense could be much improved, thanks in large part to the return of defensive linemen Eddie Vanderdoes, who missed all of last year but is dominant when healthy. No Myles Jack may hurt this team's versatility on defense, but they still have loads of weapons to utilize on that side of the ball. Senior Jayon Brown is a tackling machine that should play a major role in the rush defense, and senior Deon Hollins could be a beast at pass rusher as a senior. The Bruins will still be very young this season and their offense does have more question marks than USC. However, they still have enough to compete for the a conference title, particularly if Rosen takes bigger leaps as a sophomore.
3. Utah Utes National Rank: Unranked
Utah started off 2016 flaming hot, as wins over Michigan and Oregon put them in the conversation for a Playoff berth. Naturally, they cooled down as the passing game started to struggle and they suffered injuries. Yet, they still managed to win 10 games and put together their best season since taking the jump to the difficult Pac-12. They lose some talent, but head coach Kyle Whittingham has developed a consistent winner in the conference, and they should still be dangerous in 2016. Quarterback is a problem; former starter Travis Wilson never quite put it together, but the Utes are hopeful for better play from his replacement. Junior Troy Williams is competing with freshman Tyler Huntley and Brandon Cox for the job, and apparently they are pretty equal as we inch towards the season-opener against Southern Utah. Running back will miss Devontae Booker, but Joe Williams came in for the injured veteran a year ago and was very good, and should bring stability at the position. The Utes have long been a defense-orientated team, and they return loads of talent on that side of the ball. Junior Lowell Lotulelei is back as a dominant force at defensive tackle, while the secondary brings back All-Pac-12 safety Marcus Williams and corner Brian Allen. Adding in highly touted junior college transfer Garrett Bolles will give even more strength to a great rush defense. The Utes may take a step back with their losses offensively, but this is still a very good football team. A favorable schedule could help them stay in the mix for another ten-win campaign.
4. Arizona Wildcats National Rank: Unranked
After a breakthrough 2014 that saw the Wildcats make a New Year's Six Bowl, Arizona fell back to Earth last season. The passing game was inconsistent, the team struggled with turnovers, and the defense struggled without the help of linebacker Scooby Wright, who was injured much of the year. The Wildcats hope to improve on their 7-6 2015 and will need their offense to improve to do that. Quarterback Anu Solomon is back for his junior year, but is getting pressured by a host of players for his job, namely Brandon Dawkins. Junior Nick Wilson should guide an electric rush attack, and the Wildcats still have plenty of speed and explosiveness at receiver, with seniors Samajie Grant and Nate Phillips back. On defense, the Wildcats are searching for somebody to take over the production and leadership void left by Wright, who left to the NFL. Junior end Parker Zellers has a chance to be very productive, and the linebacker corps gets Cody Ippolito back from a torn ACL that cost him all of 2015. If the defense can take the necessary steps and the offense gets its swagger back, Arizona very well could be a major dark horse in the conference. If not, the 'Cats may have to settle for another .500 year.
5. Arizona State Sun Devils National Rank: Unranked
After also recording an impressive 2014 season (10-3 overall) Arizona State also took a major step back in '15. The big problem was a defense that was aggressive but incredibly leaky, and one that gave up 33.5 points per game. Despite the offense being productive, it couldn't recover from a defense that too often surrendered points without much fight. Third-year defensive coordinator Keith Patterson will get pressure on the quarterback, but the rest of the group has to prove themselves. Linebackers Salamo Fiso and Christian Sam will have to stop opponents, and the secondary needs to find a leader. While the defense will undergo some growing pains, ASU should still put up points in a hurry, much like they did a season ago. Sophomore Manny Wilkins is expected to take over at quarterback, and will be supported by a host of characters. Junior receiver Ellis Jefferson is incredibly dangerous, and junior Demario Richard proved he could carry the running back position. Paired with a talented offensive line, the Sun Devils have the pieces to improve on their 6-7 mark last season. However, unless the defense takes major steps, competing for the Pac-12 South crown may be out of reach.
6. Colorado Buffaloes National Rank: Unranked
Sefo Liufau, Colorado

So begins the fourth year of Mike MacIntrye's long rebuild in Boulder, Colorado. The Buffaloes have won just 10 games under his leadership, but they showed progress last season. They were very competitive in Pac-12 play and won four games overall. They may not improve their record a ton in '16, when considering they get Michigan non-conference and a tough road slate, but they should be improved on the field. Quarterback Sefo Liufau appears ready to go for his senior season, after missing a big chunk of last year with a Lisfranc injury. Liufau needs just only a handful of yards to become CU's all-time passing leader. He'll be helped by receivers Shay Fields and Juwann Winfree, a talented newcomer. On defense, the Buffaloes have to improve, but the group showed plenty of fight in '15. Senior Josh Tupou is back after missing all of last season with legal issues following an arrest. His return bolsters the front seven in a big way, and will further be helped by the return of Addison Gillam and Kenneth Olugbode at linebacker. The secondary has enough pieces to survive in the pass-happy Pac-12. Colorado continues to slowly make progress under MacIntrye, and this season should be no different. If Liufau comes back 100 percent, this team could very well compete for a bowl berth.

Pac-12 Championship: Stanford over USC

Projected All-Pac-12 Team
First Team
QB Luke Falk, Washington State
RB Christian McCaffrey, Stanford
RB Royce Freeman, Oregon
WR Gabe Marks, Washington State
WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, USC
TE Pharoah Brown, Oregon
OL Johnny Caspers, Stanford
OL Zach Banner, USC
OL J.J. Dielman, Utah
OL Conor McDermott, UCLA
OL Chad Wheeler, USC
DL Solomon Thomas, Stanford
DL Eddie Vanderdoes, UCLA
DL Lowell Lotulelei, Utah
DL Hercules Mata'afa, Washington State
LB Cameron Smith, USC
LB Azeem Victor, Washington
LB Salamo Fiso, Arizona State
CB Adoree' Jackson, USC
CB Sidney Jones, Washington
S Budda Baker, Washington
S Marcus Williams, Utah

Second Team
QB Josh Rosen, UCLA
RB Ronald Jones II, USC
RB Myles Gaskin, Washington
WR Josh Ross III, Washington
WR Victor Bolden, Oregon State
TE Dalton Schultz, Stanford
OL Tyrell Crosby, Oregon
OL Damien Mama, USC
OL Kolton Miller, UCLA
OL Evan Goodman, Arizona State
OL Casey Tucker, Stanford
DL Porter Gustin, USC
DL Takkarist McKinley, UCLA
DL Harrison Phillips, Stanford
DL Kylie Fitts, Utah
LB Peter Kalambayi, Stanford
LB Addison Gillam, Colorado
LB Deon Hollins, UCLA
CB Iman Marshall, USC
CB Chris Seisayy, Oregon
S John Plattenburg, USC
S Randall Goforth, UCLA

Sunday, August 28, 2016

College Football Preview 2016-2017: Previewing the Big 12

Seth Russell
Big 12 Conference

2015 In Review: The Big 12 as a whole entered the 2015 season with a chip on their shoulder. Last year, the conference had been left out all together of the inaugural College Football Playoff, despite TCU and Baylor being firmly in the mix. As they charged into '15, both programs were eager to prove what they could do, while traditional powers like Oklahoma and Texas, were hoping to rebuild after disappointing seasons. TCU and Baylor both started off flaming hot but their seasons soon fell apart as injuries ravaged both sides of the ball. The Horned Frogs still rebounded by winning their bowl game in miraculous fashion to finish off 11-2, while Baylor also ended their season on a high note by running all over North Carolina in the Russell Athletic Bowl. The big story of the conference in 2015 however wasn't those two schools. It was the Oklahoma schools, who ruled the conference for much of the year. The Sooners used their explosive offense to build a strong resume that earned them a spot in the Playoff, while Oklahoma State won ten games and was in the Playoff mix after a hot start.

Big 12 Rankings

1. Oklahoma Sooners National Rank: 4
Things fit together nearly perfectly last season in Norman, Oklahoma. The Sooners entered last year with a quarterback competition between incumbent starter Trevor Knight and Texas Tech transfer Baker Mayfield, a job that soon went to Mayfield. The former walk-on at TTU quickly shined under new offensive coordinator Lincoln Riley's aggressive spread system, and was in the Heisman mix until late in the season when he was banged up. The ground attack was also lethal, as Samaje Perine and Joe Mixon provided a lethal combo. All three of those are back, giving Oklahoma one of the nation's most talented backfields. The Sooners still have some holes, however. The wide receiver position will need to be figured out after top target, Sterling Shepard, graduated and the defense must replace dynamic linebacker Eric Striker and top corner Zack Sanchez. Those things may be concerning but the Sooners have unbelievable talent on both sides of the ball. If they can survive a tough schedule that includes non-conference dates with Ohio State and Houston, they could earn themselves a spot in the Playoff for the second straight year.
2. TCU Horned Frogs National Rank: 17
Many people were excited about what TCU could do entering last season (I had them ranked No. 2 in my College Football Preview 2015-2016), mainly because of their offense. That offense returned 10 starters to a dominant unit in '14, and looked like it could be even better. While it ended up being terrific, the defense was the problem, something rare in Gary Patterson's tenure. There was a ton of youth and injuries, and it left the offense needing to work some magic to win football games. The good news is that the defense should be extremely improved heading into 2016. The defensive line possesses two All-Conference talents in Josh Carraway and James McFarland, and corner Ranthony Texada is back to guide the secondary after missing all of last season. The offense will be without much of their star-power from last year, mainly QB Trevone Boykin and receiver Josh Doctson. However, Texas A&M transfer Kenny Hill has shown flashes of stardom at quarterback, and sophomore receiver KaVontae Turpin is among the most electrifying athletes in college football. While TCU doesn't have the raw talent of Oklahoma, they are a strong, well-rounded football team. They could very well be a dark horse Playoff contender.
3. Oklahoma State Cowboys National Rank: 18
Oklahoma State began last season 10-0 and rose as high as sixth in the College Football Playoff power rankings. However, they had yet to hit the real teeth of their schedule and once they did, their weaknesses showed. The Cowboys lost their final three games, including a four-touchdown loss to Ole Miss in the Sugar Bowl. While last year's ending was disappointing, Oklahoma State had plenty of promise as they enter 2016. Junior quarterback Mason Rudolph made big strides last year (3,770 yards, 21 touchdowns) and should get even better with more experience. He will be joined by one of the Big 12's best receiving combos in James Washington and Marcell Ateman. The ground attack could be greatly improved with the addition of Stanford transfer Barry Sanders Jr. Defensively, OSU has some holes, but returns stud junior linebacker Chad Whitener and dynamic safety Jordan Sterns, which should keep them afloat in Big 12 play. The Cowboys may not be on the level of Oklahoma, but they should still be in the mix for a conference crown, particularly if they end their year much better.
4. Baylor Bears National Rank: Unranked
It obviously hasn't been a fun off-season in Waco, Texas. A sexual assault scandal rocked a program that had been steadily climbing and molding into one of the Big 12's elite. That scandal led the Bears to fire head coach Art Briles and a number of other high-ranking members of the university. Interim head coach Jim Grobe (formerly at Wake Forest) then watched as much of the 2016 recruiting class opted to go elsewhere and talented QB Jarrett Stidham transferred. That leaves Baylor entering '16 with significant questions, but a lot of prime talent still remains. Senior QB Seth Russell should lock down the starting role as he returns from a serious neck injury that forced him out last season. He will be joined by senior back Shock Linwood and a talented receiver corps, even without Corey Coleman. Baylor's defense continues to make strides, and should be pretty good this season. Junior linebacker Taylor Young is one of the conference's best and the line should be very good, even without overrated defensive end Shawn Oakman. Baylor has some major long-term questions and the fallout from the scandal could continue to hurt them for a long time. Even so, they have enough talent still on their roster this year to contend for a conference title and fight for double-digit wins.
5. Texas Longhorns National Rank: Unranked
Traditionally, the third year of a head coach's tenure at a school is the year the team finally gets it going, when the recruits he has landed finally get on the field and his offensive and defensive schemes begin to fit the personnel better. Charlie Strong certainly hopes that is the case for the 2016 Texas Longhorns. In Strong's first two years, Texas has gone 11-14 and missed a bowl last year, a year that also included a 24-0 drubbing at the hands of Iowa State, who won three games. This season, Texas has the same question they have had since Colt McCoy left town years ago: who is their quarterback? Senior Tyrone Swoopes has long been trying to lock down the job but has struggled, Jerrod Heard showed potential last year but is moving to receiver, and highly touted true freshman Shane Buechele is in the mix. Whoever locks down the gig will have a lot to work with, as the Longhorns return a great 1-2 punch at back (Chris Warren III and D'Onta Foreman) and get a smart new offensive coordinator in Sterlin Gilbert. Defense has been Strong's bread-and-butter over his coaching career, but it wasn't great last season. That could change, as the Longhorns return one of the nation's best defenders in true sophomore Malik Jefferson, along with a much more experienced D-Line. If Texas is ever going to breakout under Strong this would be the year. They are the most experienced and talented they have been under the head coach and get much of their tough competition at home. If they can solve their quarterback woes, they would very well make a run at the Big 12 title, but that is a huge if.
6. West Virginia Mountaineers National Rank: Unranked
Skyler Howard

Long known for their aggressive and high-scoring offense, West Virginia switched things up last year. Instead of their offense solely carrying them, WVU played the best defense they have in years, which helped them improve to an 8-5 mark in 2015. However, that defense was hit hard this off-season by graduation and NFL departures, most notably first-round NFL selection Kaleb Joseph and talented linebacker Nick Kwiatkowski. That should leave the Mountaineers searching for answers on that side of the ball, but the offense will still put up points. Senior quarterback Skyler Howard is back after becoming just the fourth Big 12 quarterback since 2010 to throw for over 3,000 yards and rush for 500 more in a conference that has its fair share of wonderful signal-callers over the years. He will miss running back Wendell Smallwood, who ditched for the NFL after leading the conference in rushing with 1,519 yards. Smallwood helped take the pressure off the passing game and made WVU very balanced. His departure hurts, but former Pitt transfer Rushel Shell has the talent to lock down the position he left. With plenty of firepower returning and getting Oklahoma, TCU and Baylor at home, the Mountaineers could surprise some folks and improve on their eight wins from '15.
7. Texas Tech Red Raiders National Rank: Unranked
After a disappointing 4-8 record in 2014, Texas Tech and head coach Kliff Kingsbury were eager to show what they could do last season with a healthy team and reinvigorated offense. Led by gun-slinging QB Patrick Mahomes, the Red Raiders improved to 7-6, as the offense was dominant. Mahomes is back and could be a dark horse Heisman threat with the numbers he is supposed to put up, while running back Justin Stockton should bring much needed balance to the group and will operate behind an improved offensive line. The question is the defense, which hasn't improved at all since Kingsbury arrived and has been Texas Tech's issue since the Mike Leach era. Michigan transfer Ondre Pipkins gives the Red Raiders a physical defensive tackle up front, and the secondary includes talented safety Jah'Shawn Johnson. However, if that group doesn't improve wildly this year, it is hard to imagine TTU making much progress beyond .500 football.
8. Kansas State Wildcats National Rank: Unranked
Kansas State under Bill Snyder has long been a team that overachieves, usually finishing off a lot better than most expect from the Wildcats. That really wasn't the case last year as K-State's offense struggled and they needed three straight wins to qualify for a bowl which they lost, leaving them at 6-7. They should be better this year, hopefully with stability at quarterback, where junior Jesse Ertz returns from an ACL injury that sidelined him all of last season. If he doesn't lock down the starting job, talented newcomer Skylar Thompson could push him. Senior back Charles Jones and sophomore full back Winston Dimel (son of OC Dana Dimel) should keep the ground attack rolling. On defense, K-State should be solid, led by safety Dante Barnett who was injury early and received a medical redshirt. A tough opener on the road against Stanford will be a great test for this young team, but Big 12 play will not be easy for a team still figuring out their offense in a conference known for being high-scoring. However, Snyder has surprised more than a few times before, and the Wildcats have enough talent on both sides of the ball to make a bowl and finish in the conference's upper division.
9. Iowa State Cyclones National Rank: Unranked
After early success with the Cyclones, the Paul Rhoads era was becoming stale in Ames entering 2015. The Cyclones had been 5-19 over the past two years entering last year and while they had some bright spots they still limped to a 3-9 mark that ended Rhoads' tenure. New head coach Matt Campbell arrives from Toledo with plenty of energy and inherits a roster that has some legit playmakers. Sophomore back Mike Warren rushed for 1,339 yards last year and should be even better this year, while receiver Allen Lazard has a chance to set records at the school as he enters his junior campaign. Quarterback has been an issue for ISU over the past few years, but Campbell is hoping junior Joel Lanning can lock down the role after Sam B. Richardson graduated. Defensively, the Cyclones will lean heavily on an improving linebacker corps and a secondary that includes safety Kamari Cotton-Moya, a Freshman All-American two seasons ago that has struggled with injuries.
10. Kansas Jayhawks National Rank: Unranked
Kansas was completely and absolutely dreadful last season, and there isn't a whole lot of other ways to look at it. They went 0-12 and lost to FCS foe South Dakota State, and weren't competitive at all in conference play. That winless campaign leaves Kansas a lowly 9-51 over the past five seasons. By comparison, Oklahoma and Baylor, the two winning-est programs in the conference during that span, have won 50 games. Second-year head coach David Beaty has some pieces, namely sophomore QB Ryan Willis and junior LaQuvionte Gonzalez, a transfer from Beaty's old job, Texas A&M. Willis didn't have a lot of help last year but showed flashes, and Gonzalez is a speedster that should open up the offense. On defense, Kansas looks towards junior Joe Dineen Jr. for leadership, along with ball-hawking safety Fish Smithson, who led the Big 12 in tackles in '15, mainly because nobody else on the defense could stop anybody. Kansas still has a long, long road to respectability but first they need to win some games in Beaty's second year. If they don't win against either Rhode Island or Ohio to open up the year, they could realistically go 0-24 in the young head coach's first two seasons in Lawrence.

Big 12 Champion: Oklahoma Sooners

Projected All-Big 12 Team
First Team
QB Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
RB Samaje Perine, Oklahoma
RB Mike Warren, Iowa State
WR James Washington, Oklahoma State
WR KaVontae Turpin, TCU
TE Blake Jarwin, Oklahoma State
OL Kyle Fuller, Baylor
OL Orlando Brown, Oklahoma
OL Jonathan Alvarez, Oklahoma
OL Patrick Vahe, Texas
OL Victor Salako, Oklahoma State
DL Charles Walker, Oklahoma
DL Josh Carraway, TCU
DL Will Geary, Kansas State
DL James McFarland, TCU
LB Malik Jefferson, Texas
LB Jordan Evans, Oklahoma
LB Taylor Young, Baylor
CB Jordan Thomas, Oklahoma
CB Ryan Reid, Baylor
S Fish Smithson, Kansas
S Jordan Sterns, Oklahoma State

Second Team
QB Patrick Mahomes, Texas Tech
RB Shock Linwood, Baylor
RB D'Onta Foreman, Texas
WR K.D. Cannon, Baylor
WR Allen Lazard, Iowa State
TE Mark Andrews, Oklahoma
OL Connor Williams, Texas
OL Austin Schlottman, TCU
OL Michael Wilson, Oklahoma State
OL Will Ash, Kansas State
OL Dom Desouza, Baylor
DL Byron Bonds, Baylor
DL Naashon Hughes, Texas
DL Ondre Pipkins, Texas Tech
DL Vincent Taylor, Oklahoma State
LB Chad Whitener, Oklahoma State
LB Elijah Lee, Kansas State
LB Travin Howard, TCU
CB Ranthony Texada, TCU
CB Ramon Richards, Oklahoma State
S Kamari Cotton-Moya, Iowa State
S Dylan Haines, Texas

Friday, August 26, 2016

College Football Preview 2016-2017: Previewing the Big Ten

Justin Jackson, Northwestern
Big Ten Conference

2015 In Review: After a miraculous run to win the first ever College Football Playoff Championship in 2014-2015, Ohio State appeared to be the nation's most complete team entering last year. The Buckeyes struggled to find their rhythm offensively early on, but found their groove as the season progressed. However, a late loss to division rival Michigan State ruined their Big Ten title hopes. OSU still responded by punishing archrival Michigan 42-13 and winning the Fiesta Bowl over Notre Dame. Michigan State got a big win early in the non-conference against Oregon, but inched by mediocre opponents for a long time. Even so, win against Ohio State and Michigan in crazy ways helped them get to the Big Ten Championship and eventually the Playoff. Michigan doubled their win total from 5 to 10 and appear to be extremely dangerous as we enter 2016, while Iowa came out of nowhere to go 12-0 in the regular season and win a disappointing Big Ten West. A loss to MSU finished their undefeated season, and a blowout loss at the hands of Stanford in the Rose Bowl left them hungry to prove last season wasn't a lucky fluke.

Big Ten East Rankings

1. Michigan Wolverines National Rank: 3
In the midst of beefs with rivals through social media or drama pertaining to satellite camps, Jim Harbaugh had quite a year on the football field with Michigan in 2015-2016. The Wolverines won 10 games and their defense pitched three shutouts, the most of any FBS football team. This is the perfect time for Michigan to take the next step and win the Big Ten, particularly considering Ohio State and Michigan State are in a rebuilding state. Offensively, receivers Amara Darboh and Jehu Chesson will hope to break in new quarterback John O'Korn, a Houston transfer. Running back De'Veon Smith could be UM's first 1,000-yard rusher since 2007, after piling up 753 last year. On defense, new defensive coordinator Don Brown should run an aggressive, varying scheme. Do-it-all Jabrill Peppers will likely move to linebacker, where the Wolverines will ask him to rush the passer and help in coverage. Cornerback Jourdan Lewis gives the Wolverines one of the conference's best. With all their talent and a soft non-conference slate, UM has a prime opportunity to win the Big Ten and be in serious Playoff contention in 2016.
2. Ohio State Buckeyes National Rank: 8
This past spring, Ohio State was decimated by the NFL Draft. Offensive weapons like Ezekiel Elliott, Michael Thomas and Jalin Marshall along with defenders Joey Bosa, Darron Lee and Eli Apple all decided to turn pro. While that leaves Ohio State as one of the nation's most inexperienced teams, they still have the talent to be very good. Junior QB J.T. Barrett should lock down starting duties full-time and should have a huge year, while redshirt freshman Mike Weber could be just as good as Elliott in the long run at back. The receiver corps will need new stars to emerge, but people are excited about what sophomore speedster Noah Brown can do. Defensively, the Buckeyes still have a rich abundance of talent, namely defensive end Sam Hubbard and linebacker Raekwon McMillan (119 tackles in '15). The secondary will be youthful, but junior corner Gareon Conley has all the tools to be shutdown. OSU doesn't have quite the easy schedule as Michigan (Oklahoma non-conference, road trips to Wisconsin, Penn State and Michigan State) but they still have the playmakers to win the Big Ten.
3. Michigan State Spartans National Rank: 12
It was a pretty magical year in East Lansing last season for Michigan State. The Spartans won 12 games, won the Big Ten, made the Playoff and had some crazy wins over rivals Michigan and Ohio State. They enter 2016 without star quarterback Connor Cook and a proven passing game, but they will still be in the mix for the Big Ten crown. Senior Tyler O'Conner appears to be the heir to Cook's throne, and will be supported by a deep stable of backs, led by workhorse sophomore L.J. Scott. On defense, MSU should be as stout as ever. Defensive tackle Malik McDowell is a monster that should soften the loss of Shilique Calhoun, and senior linebacker Riley Bullough will make tackle after tackle. Don't expect the Spartans to be very flashy entering '16, but they have been one of the league's most consistent programs over the past five years, they'll be very strong again.
4. Penn State Nittany Lions National Rank: Unranked
Entering just his third year in State College, head coach James Franklin is feeling significant heat with the Nittany Lions. Penn State has had two consecutive 7-6 records under his lead, but that doesn't tell the whole story. Penn State is 0-5 against ranked teams under Franklin, 0-6 against the Big Ten East powers (OSU, Michigan, MSU) and went a very average 4-4 against the conference in 2015. That has put significant pressure on the former Vanderbilt head coach, but this may be his most talented team since ar
riving here. Sophomore Trace McSorley takes over for the departed Christian Hackenberg, who was frustratingly inconsistent in his final two seasons with the Nittany Lions. While McSorley doesn't have the arm strength of Hackenberg, he is a better fit for the offense. Sophomore back Saquon Barkley rushed for 1,076 yards last year and should be even better, and PSU possesses a dangerous 1-2 punch at receiver in Chris Godwin and DaeSean Hamilton. However, the defenses loses some key pieces, namely end Carl Nassib and tackle Anthony Zettel, and is very inexperienced. PSU should be much better this season, but imagining them hopping over UM, OSU or MSU to win the East is unrealistic when considering their inexperience and lack of depth in many areas.
5. Indiana Hoosiers National Rank: Unranked
After five years at the helm, head coach Kevin Wilson finally got Indiana to a bowl game last season. It was loss in the Pinstripe Bowl, but it was still definitely progress for a football program that had been floundering for years. The Hoosiers will put up quite a bit of points in 2016 in Wilson's fast-paced offense, even without QB Nate Sudfeld and back Jordan Howard. Junior receiver Simmie Cobbs Jr. is criminally underrated, and junior back Devine Redding (who should replace Howard) ran for 1,012 yards a year ago. Indiana has long struggled defensively under Wilson, but there is talent on that side of the ball, led by junior linebackers Tegray Scales and Marcus Oliver. Indiana should put up quite a bit of points, but unless their defense steps up in a big way, moving into the upper half of the division will be tough. Even so, a bowl berth is certainly within reach.
6. Maryland Terrapins National Rank: Unranked
After a solid but unexciting first season in the Big Ten in 2014 going 7-6, Maryland fell apart last season. The offense sputtered early, head coach Randy Edsall was let go, and the team lost much of its fight, resulting in a 3-9 record. The Terrapins move ahead in a new era with former Michigan defensive coordinator D.J. Durkin as their head coach. Durkin's defensive expertise will be particularly important, as Maryland struggled mightily on defense last season, allowing 34.4 points per game. Senior cornerback Will Likely is a playmaker in the defensive backfield, but the Terps' pass rush is average at best. On offense, Maryland will hope senior QB Perry Hills can jumpstart a passing game that struggled last season. A very easy non-conference slate (Howard, Florida International, UCF) should help Maryland at least gain some momentum before Big Ten play hits. If they can improve defensively the Terrapins could fight to get over .500.
7. Rutgers Scarlet Knights National Rank: Unranked
Last season was not a fun year in Piscataway, New Jersey, as Rutgers limped to a 4-8 overall record and a 1-7 mark in Big Ten play, which was further overshadowed by academic scandal and suspensions. That disappointing 2015 led the Scarlet Knights to move on from head coach Kyle Flood and end up turning to former Ohio State DC Chris Ash. Ash, much like Durkin at Maryland, will hope to bring his defensive expertise to Rutgers, considering they were also very poor on that side of the ball last year. The defense does have senior defensive linemen Darius Hamilton (six sacks in '15) and some talent in the secondary, but it could still struggle against some of the elite offenses in the division. Offensively, Rutgers has settled on inconsistent Chris Laviano as their go-to at quarterback over former LSU transfer Hayden Rettig. Along with junior backs Robert Martin and Josh Hicks, the offense at least has some serious potential. Even so, Rutgers faces a brutal schedule this season that includes all the Big Ten East powers and Iowa in a cross-division conference battle. Staying out of the cellar may be a goal for Ash in Year One.

Big Ten West Rankings

1. Iowa Hawkeyes National Rank: 14
Few teams in college football surprised as much last year as Iowa, who jumped out to a 12-0 start in the regular season behind a methodical offense and physical defense. Losses in the Big Ten Championship and Rose Bowl put a damper on what was definitely a successful year in Iowa City. The Hawkeyes should be tough to stop once more in 2016, as they return many of the top playmakers that helped them so much a season ago. Senior QB C.J. Beathard won't throw deep too often but he is an accurate signal-caller that doesn't make mistakes. The backfield should also be a strength, as senior LeShun Daniels Jr. and junior Akrum Wadley are back from the committee approach Iowa uses last year. On the other side of the ball, Iowa will miss defensive ends Drew Ott and Nate Meier, but should still be stout up front. Linebacker Josey Jewell and cornerback Desmond King (eight interceptions last year) are among the best in the conference and should fuel the unit.
Jordan Westerkamp, Nebraska
2. Nebraska Cornhuskers National Rank: Unranked
After a long tenure at Oregon State, Mike Riley's first season in Lincoln was as disappointing as it could have been. After four straight seasons of at least nine wins, Nebraska slipped to 6-7 this past season, slightly helped by a bowl victory over UCLA. While it was certainly frustrating, those seven losses were by a combined 31 points, as the 'Huskers simply didn't close out games the way they should have last season. With more experience and Riley more comfortable, expect that to change in a big way this year. Senior QB Tommy Armstrong Jr. continues to struggle with turnovers but has the arm strength and talent around him to have a successful final run with Nebraska. Senior receiver Jordan Westerkamp had 918 receiving yards last season and junior De'Mornay Pierson-El is a dangerous threat; they should help guide the inconsistent quarterback. Senior safety Nate Gerry should guide the defense, after leading the 'Huskers with four interceptions and 79 tackles a year ago. While Nebraska could still have growing pains as the Riley era continues to progress, they should find a way to close out more games this season, which could push them back to the nine or ten-win range.
3. Wisconsin Badgers National Rank: Unranked
It wasn't always pretty, but Wisconsin found ways to win last season. The Badgers' poor quarterback play continued on to 2015 and the rushing game, usually their strength, was surprisingly average. Even so, the defense helped fuel Wisconsin to a 10-3 record and a bowl win. The good news entering the 2016 campaign is that the ground attack should certainly improve. Senior back Corey Clement was supposed to breakout last year but struggled with staying healthy. Fellow senior Dare Ogunbowale is also returning after leading the Badgers in rushing last season, with 819 yards. The QB position could continue to be a concern, as Joel Stave moves on, leaving senior Bart Houston (281 passing yards, 57.4 completion percentage) as the likely starter. Defensive coordinator Dave Arranda left to take the same gig at LSU, but the defense should still be very good. Linebacker Vince Biegel is an explosive pass rusher (eight sacks last season) and the secondary has plenty of experience. The biggest question facing the Badgers will be their schedule. Not only do they get cross-division meetings with Ohio State, Michigan State and Michigan, they open their season with LSU non-conference. That will challenge Wisconsin certainly, but they still have what it takes to serious contend for the Big Ten West crown.
4. Northwestern Wildcats National Rank: Unranked
After two consecutive 5-7 marks in 2014 and 2015, Northwestern was a surprise last season, winning 10 games and beating Stanford to open the year. The Wildcats should be dangerous once more, thanks to the return of much of a dynamic offense. Sophomore Clayton Thorson was extremely young last season and had some growing pains, but will look to improve as a pure passer this year. He'll be joined in the backfield by junior Justin Jackson, one of the Big Ten's best at his position. On defense, Northwestern will lean heavily on linebacker Anthony Walker, who recorded 122 tackles and 20.5 tackles for loss in '15. Having him to help the rush defense and an experienced secondary headed by corner Matthew Harris should give Northwestern one of the best defenses in the conference this year. However, the offense continues to struggle with consistency and the schedule is loaded with tough road games. Northwestern could be very dangerous, but it is hard to know what you are getting from them. A middle-of-the-road finish in the division seems likely.
5. Minnesota Golden Gophers National Rank: Unranked
Last season, Minnesota appeared to be a dark horse Big Ten West title contender after two straight 8-5 campaigns. Unfortunately, things didn't go quite as planned. The offense never really found its stride without back David Cobb and tight end Maxx Williams, and things became even worse when popular head coach Jerry Kill was forced to retire due to health concerns. New head Tracy Claeys (a long-time Kill assistant) won't change a whole lot. This team will still run the ball behind a powerful O-Line and play their bend-not-break defense. Senior quarterback Mitch Leidner continues to make strides, and will be helped out by the Gophers' dangerous 1-2 punch at back, with sophomores Shannon Brooks and Rodney Smith. The Gophers took major steps defensively last season and could be very good on that side of the ball again in 2016. Junior linebacker Cody Poock is a tackling machine and the secondary could still be great, led by senior safety Damarius Travis and sophomore cornerback KiAnte Hardin. The Gophers will have to show they can move the ball more effectively this season, but with a relatively favorable schedule they should certainly reach a bowl, at the very least.
6. Illinois Fighting Illini National Rank: Unranked
New Illinois athletic director Josh Whitman didn't wait to make his first big splash with the Illini. In an unexpected move he ditched head coach Bill Cubit after he earned a full-time job this past season (previously an interim head coach for the team) and replaced him with former Chicago Bears head coach Lovie Smith. Smith will bring a winning pedigree and some energy to a stale program, but the roster still has serious holes. Former Oklahoma State transfer Wes Lunt is solid, but will miss his top receiver Mike Dudek, who was injured in spring and will have to operate behind a poor offensive line. Defensively the Illini possess talent but are rather unproven. Defensive tackle Chunky Clements is a disruptive force in the front seven, and ball-hawking safety Taylor Barton should make plenty of plays in the back. Yet, the team still lacks a great rush defense or dominant pass rush, which could make them average this season. Smith will endure some growing pains in his first season in Champaign, but they still have enough to fight for a bowl appearance.
7. Purdue Boilermakers National Rank: Unranked
The pressure is on for Darrell Hazell at Purdue. The head coach enters his fourth season with the Boilermakers with a 6-30 career mark and 2-10 record last season. The cupboard isn't completely bare in West Lafayette, but they could still be in store for a rough season. Sophomore David Blough s set to take over at quarterback, and will be joined by Markell Jones, a dangerous back. Senior DeAngelo Yancey gives him something to work with on the outside, but the O-Line still lacks much experience or depth. The defensive line should be the strength of the team, as veterans Jake Replogle and Ra'Zahn Howard are back and junior Gelen Robinson has loads of potential. Senior safety Leroy Clark will help the pass defense, but that could still be a problem in '16. With a pretty soft non-conference slate (Nevada, Cincinnati, Eastern Kentucky) Purdue should have enough to at least equal last year's two victories. Anything beyond that is a mystery.

Conference Championship Prediction: Michigan over Iowa

Projected All-Big Ten Team
First Team
QB J.T. Barrett, Ohio State
RB Saquon Barkley, Penn State
RB Justin Jackson, Northwestern
WR Jehu Chesson, Michigan
WR Jordan Westerkamp, Nebraska
TE Jake Butt, Michigan
OL Pat Elflein, Ohio State
OL Dan Feeney, Indiana
OL Kyle Kalis, Michigan
OL Brian Allen, Michigan State
OL Jamarco Jones, Ohio State
DL Sam Hubbard, Ohio State
DL Malik McDowell, Michigan State
DL Chris Wormley, Michigan
DL Tyquan Lewis, Ohio State
LB Anthony Walker, Northwestern
LB Raekwon McMillan, Ohio State
LB Jabrill Peppers, Michigan
CB Desmond King, Iowa
CB Jourdan Lewis, Michigan
S Nate Gerry, Nebraska
S Taylor Barton, Illinois

Second Team
QB C.J. Beathard, Iowa
RB L.J. Scott, Michigan State
RB Corey Clement, Wisconsin
WR Chris Godwin, Penn State
WR Simmie Cobbs Jr., Indiana
TE Josiah Price, Michigan State
OL Benny McGowan, Michigan State
OL Damian Prince, Maryland
OL Erik Magnuson, Michigan
OL Jonah Pirsig, Minnesota
OL Cole Croston, Iowa
DL Chunky Clements, Illinois
DL Jake Replogle, Purdue
DL Ryan Glasgow, Michigan
DL Demetrius Cooper, Michigan State
LB Marcus Oliver, Indiana
LB Josey Jewell, Iowa
LB Cody Poock, Minnesota
CB Gareon Conley, Ohio State
CB Will Likely, Maryland
S Leroy Clark, Purdue
S Damarius Travis, Minnesota

Tuesday, August 23, 2016

College Football Preview 2016-2017: Previewing the ACC

Isaiah Ford, Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast Conference

2015 In Review: Entering 2015, the big question throughout the ACC was simple: could Florida State get knocked down, after three straight conference titles and a record of 27-1 over the past two season? Their division foe, Clemson, proved they certainly could. Beyond the big arm of Deshaun Watson, the Tigers won every single one of their regular season games, and cruised past the Seminoles. Clemson ended up losing in the National Championship Game, but still showed enough that they are widely considered ACC favorites entering '16. FSU slipped to 10-3 after a Peach Bowl loss to Houston, but return an abundance of talent. Meanwhile, in the Coastal division, North Carolina recovered from a poor opener loss to South Carolina by winning 11 straight. They were unable to beat undefeated Clemson in the ACC Championship, but were still a major surprise. Georgia Tech, many people's preseason Coastal pick, struggled with injuries and inexperience and slipped downhill to a 3-9 mark just a year after winning the Orange Bowl.

ACC Atlantic Rankings (click on Top 25 teams for in-depth previews)

1. Clemson Tigers National Rank: 1
After the Tajh Boyd era passed and went by without much to show for it, Clemson quickly bought into his eventual replacement, Deshaun Watson. Questions about Watson's health threatened to hold him back, but he still dominated as a true sophomore. He returns as perhaps the favorite to take home the Heisman. Watson is supported by a plethora of offensive weapons, mainly junior back Wayne Gallman and junior receiver Artavis Scott. Junior Mike Williams is back and ready to go after missing most of 2015 with a neck injury. Clemson will have to reload defensively, but defensive coordinator Brent Venables is one of the best in the land and the cupboard is not bare. Senior defensive tackle Carlos Watkins is a monster, and the Tigers have speed and athleticism in their secondary. With Watson under center, Clemson is the team to beat, no matter what else FSU brings.
2. Florida State Seminoles National Rank: 5
Florida State slipped by their usual standards last season, going 10-3 and missing out on an ACC Atlantic title. The Seminoles should be better this year, thanks to the return of junior back Dalvin Cook, a Heisman frontunner, and an extremely talented defense. That defense includes stud defensive ends DeMarcus Walker and Josh Sweat and the secondary will still be strong even without Jalen Ramsey, with safety Derwin James back. The question will be quarterback, where FSU juggled Sean Maguire and the now-departed Everett Golson last season. Maguire is back for his senior season, but redshirt freshman Deondre Francois or true freshman Malik Henry could overtake him. If FSU can solve their QB woes, they could very much be a Playoff team.
3. Louisville Cardinals National Rank: 24
While the ACC figures to mainly be a two-headed race between FSU and Clemson to win the conference, don't forget about Louisville. The Cardinals will be led by true sophomore quarterback Lamar Jackson, who was brilliant last year and should only get better. The mobile signal-caller will have to improve as a passer, but is still a proven playmaker either way. Louisville should be stout defensively, especially in their front seven. Nose tackle DeAngelo Brown is an All-ACC defender, while edge rusher Devonte Fields could lead the conference in sacks. The Cards schedule is no breeze, but they could still win double-digit games and put some pressure on the big powers in the Atlantic Division.
4. Boston College Eagles National Rank: Unranked
After two consecutive 7-6 seasons under head coach Steve Addazio, Boston College fell apart last year. The offense disappeared and the Eagles lost a number of close games, falling to 3-9 overall and failing to win a conference game. They should be extremely improved this season, with new offensive coordinator Scot Loeffler coming in. Kentucky transfer Patrick Towles will compete with sophomore Darius Wade at QB, while the ground attack will look towards sophomore Jon Hilliman. On defense, BC should still be stout even as DC Don Brown ditches to Michigan. Senior linebacker Matt Milano had 60 tackles last year, while junior defensive end Harold Landry recorded a whopping 15.5 tackles for loss.
5. NC State Wolfpack National Rank: Unranked
The Wolfpack feasted on a weak non-conference slate to make their second straight bowl game under the lead of QB Jacoby Brissett and head coach Dave Doeren. However, they enter 2016-2017 with some significant questions. Brissett is gone, leaving the quarterback position a serious concern. The defense also has some major holes, and the non-conference slate is no breeze, with Notre Dame and underrated East Carolina ready to go. Senior back Matt Dayes should still put up big numbers, and tight end Jaylen Samuels could prove to be one of the best in the league. Even so, NC State could struggle to make a bowl game.
6. Wake Forest Demon Deacons National Rank: Unranked
Third-year head coach Dave Clawson is eager to show what he can do at Wake Forest, after the team began his tenure with consecutive 3-9 seasons. Sophomore Kendall Hinton and junior John Wolford will compete to lead Wake Forest's offense at quarterback, but will have the luxury of an established target returning, as junior tight end Cam Serigne is back. Defensively, Wake Forest has enough talent to be solid, with end Wendell Dunn returning, and ball hawking safety Ryan Janvion also ready to go. A very easy schedule (home meetings with Tulane, Delaware and Army non-conference) could help Wake surprise some people and maybe sneak into a low-tier bowl.
7. Syracuse Orange National Rank: Unranked
Throughout much of 2015, Syracuse was dull and unexciting. The Orange's offense was mediocre at best, and the defense lacked much fight. The result was a 4-8 mark that led to Scott Schafer's firing after three seasons at the helm. New head coach Dino Babers is anything but dull and unexciting. Babers engineered explosive offenses as OC at Baylor and as head coach at Eastern Illinois and Bowling Green. He will hope to do the same with the Orange in '16. Sophomore QB Eric Dungey is inconsistent, but showed dual threat abilities, and has a proven target in junior receiver Steve Ishmael. Syracuse should improve defensively, helped by the return of junior linebacker Zaire Franklin, who had 81 tackles last year. Babers will breath some life into the program, but 'Cuse is still too thin and inexperienced to be a real contender in the division.

ACC Coastal Rankings

1. North Carolina Tar Heels National Rank: 16
Not much was expected of UNC heading into 2015. The Tar Heels were coming off a 6-7 season, and there were questions about Larry Fedora's ability to turn around the program. A year later, those questions have disappeared. UNC won 11 games last season, thanks to a wonderful season by QB Marquise Williams and a greatly improved defense. The Tar Heels could be even better this year, even without Williams. Junior Mitch Trubisky gained valuable experience as a backup to Williams and could be even better, and will be joined by one of the ACC's best rushers in junior Elijah Hood. Seniors Ryan Switzer and Mack Hollins will lead a talented receiver corps, and the offensive line should also be very good. Defensive coordinator Gene Chizik worked wonders his first year in Chapel Hill, but the group is still improving. Junior safety Donnie Miles and senior corner Des Lawrence should keep the group going. North Carolina is the most complete team in the Coastal, and could give either Clemson or FSU a run for their money in the ACC Championship Game.
2. Virginia Tech Hokies National Rank: Unranked
A brand new era begins in Blacksburg this fall. After 29 seasons of Frank Beamer leading the football team, Justin Fuente will take over the reigns as Beamer retired. Fuente, who worked wonders at Memphis, has the talent to have a successful first season with the Hokies. Juniors Isaiah Ford and Cam Phillips lead a talented and dynamic receiver corps, and the backfield includes rising sophomore Travon McMillian and indispensable fullback Sam Rogers. The question will be at quarterback, as former Texas Tech transfer Michael Brewer graduated. Senior Brenden Motley (Brewer's backup) will have to fight off talented newcomers Jerod Evans, a junior college transfer, and highly touted Josh Jackson. The defense should be its usual smart, disciplined self under longtime coordinator Bud Foster. However, if the quarterback can't get the ball to the talented offensive weapons the Hokies possess, improving on the 7-6 mark Tech has managed the past two years may be tough.
3. Miami Hurricanes National Rank: Unranked
Much like Virginia Tech, Miami is eager to break in a new head coach. After 15 years at Georgia, Mark Richt arrives in Coral Gables after Bulldogs fans became fed up with the program's uneven and inconsistent results. Richt has a group that should be solid right away, with junior quarterback Brad Kaaya leading the charge. Kaaya had 3,238 yards and 16 touchdowns last season and has NFL scouts intrigued about what he can do. He will have his top receiver, senior Stacy Coley (689 yards, four touchdowns) back, so big things are expected. Defensively, Miami does have some holes but the unit could still be pretty disruptive. Senior corner Corn Elder could be shutdown, and Hurricanes fans are still hoping defensive linemen Chad Thomas can cash in on his enormous potential. Richt has hit the recruiting trail hard and the future is bright in Coral Gables, but the team may have some growing pains in a transition year.
4. Pittsburgh Panthers National Rank: Unranked
Pat Narduzzi's first season at Pittsburgh was an undeniable success. After a 25-27 record in the four years previously, Narduzzi's team was greatly improved, going 8-5 and sticking in the Coastal race all year long. They should be very dangerous entering 2016-2017, thanks in large part to their running back situation. The 2014 ACC Player of the Year, James Conner, appears ready to play this season. Conner missed all of last season with a knee injury before becoming diagnosed with Hogkin's lymphoma. Despite the illness, Conner participated in all workouts with the team and is prepared to start the season. He will be supported by sophomore Qadree Ollison, who was wonderful last year in his absence. Defensively, Pitt will lean on senior linebacker Matt Galambos and dynamic safety Jordan Whitehead.
Justin Thomas, Georgia Tech
5. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets National Rank: Unranked
Georgia Tech's dropoff last year was surprising, but in many ways, understandable. The Yellow Jackets were extremely young, especially in their backfield, and faced injuries. Senior QB Justin Thomas returns after a frustrating junior campaign. Thomas became a star after a wonderful sophomore season, but he has to show he can still run the triple-option offense after his struggles in '15. Sophomores Clinton Lynch and Marcus Marshall join him in the backfield to give the Yellow Jackets a typical potent ground attack. GT's defense wasn't great last year, but could be in store for improvements this season. Linebackers P.J. Davis and Brant Mitchell will keep teams honest, and there is talent in the secondary. The Yellow Jackets and head coach Paul Johnson are eager to prove last year was merely a fluke. Non-conference tests against SEC foes Vanderbilt and Georgia will be tough as will a meeting with Sun Belt power Georgia Southern. Even so, this team has enough talent to reach a bowl.
6. Duke Blue Devils National Rank: Unranked
David Cutcliffe has completely turned around Duke football, but they enter 2016 with some questions. The defense loses their unquestioned leader in safety Jeremy Cash, last year's ACC Defensive Player of the Year, and the defensive backfield has serious concerns. On the offensive side of the ball, Duke has issues at QB. Last year's starter, Thomas Sirk, tore his Achilles this spring and his future is uncertain. Junior Parker Boehme is likely to start in his place, but Boehme lacks experience. Duke's top receiver and a pair of key offensive linemen also depart, leaving the offense with question marks. Even so, Cutcliffe has proven he can work magic more than once in Durham. The Blue Devils should still have enough to contend for a bowl berth.
7. Virginia Cavaliers National Rank: Unranked
Not surprisingly, Virginia decided it was time to move on from Mike London after six frustrating seasons. What was surprising, however, was London's replacement. Bronco Mendenhall was a consistent winner at BYU, but takes more money and a job in a Power Five Conference in Charlottesville. Mendenhall won't have an easy job, but the cupboard is not completely bare at all. Senior QB Matt Johns showed he could move the ball last year, and will be joined by senior back Taquan Mizzell on offense. On defense, UVA has some NFL-caliber talents in safety Quin Blanding and defensive end Andrew Brown, who looks to breakout. It may not be enough to keep Virginia from sinking to the cellar in a deep Coastal, but the Cavs could still surprise some people this year.

Conference Championship Prediction: Clemson over UNC

Projected All-ACC Team
First Team
QB Deshaun Watson, Clemson
RB Dalvin Cook, Florida State
RB Elijah Hood, UNC
WR Travis Rudolph, Florida State
WR Artavis Scott, Clemson
TE Jaylen Samuels, NC State
OL Roderick Johnson, Florida State
OL Caleb Peterson, UNC
OL Jon Heck, UNC
OL Dorian Johnson, Pittsburgh
OL Shamire Devine, Georgia Tech
DL Carlos Watkins, Clemson
DL DeMarcus Walker, Florida State
DL A.J. Wolf, Duke
DL DeAngelo Brown, Louisville
LB Devonte Fields, Louisville
LB Matt Milano, Boston College
LB Ben Boulware, Clemson
CB Des Lawrence, UNC
CB DeVon Edwards, Duke
S Derwin James, Florida State
S Quin Blanding, Virginia

Second Team
QB Lamar Jackson, Louisville
RB Wayne Gallman, Clemson
RB Qadree Ollison, Pittsburgh
WR Isaiah Ford, Virginia Tech
WR Mike Williams, Clemson
TE Jordan Leggett, Clemson
OL Wilson Bell, Florida State
OL Jay Guillermo, Clemson
OL Mitch Hyatt, Clemson
OL KC McDermott, Miami
OL Lukayus McNeil, Louisville
DL Christian Wilkins, Clemson
DL Josh Sweat, Florida State
DL Naz Jones, UNC
DL Bradley Chubb, NC State
LB Micah Kiser, Virginia
LB Matt Galambos, Pittsburgh
LB Keith Kelsey, Louisville
CB M.J. Stewart, UNC
CB Brad Watson, Wake Forest
S Jordan Whitehead, Pittsburgh
S Nate Andrews, Florida State

Sunday, August 21, 2016

College Football Preview 2016-2017: 1. Clemson Tigers

Deshaun Watson
1. Clemson Tigers

Conference: ACC (Atlantic)
Location: Clemson, South Carolina
2015-2016 Record: 14-1 (8-0 ACC)
Bowl Result: Lost in National Championship
Breakout Player: DL Christian Wilkins
Heisman Hopeful: QB Deshaun Watson
X-Factor: WR Mike Williams
Recruiting Rundown (via Rivals)
Schedule
Roster

For years, there had been one common theme among Clemson teams: they would win a lot of games but frustrating losses to poor ACC foes or choking in big games would consistently sink National Championship aspirations. It happened so often, many people ended up coining great teams choking as "Clemsoning". Last year, however, there was no "Clemsoning" going on at Clemson. Behind the arm of super sophomore Deshaun Watson, the Tigers barreled over much of their ACC competition, including previous three-peat conference champ Florida State and an underrated UNC team in the ACC Championship. They even went non-conference against a very good Notre Dame team and managed to hang on as hurricane-type rain and winds approached. Clemson further showed how far the program had come by smacking Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl, clinching them a spot in their first National Championship under rising head coach Dabo Swinney. Despite the fact they would end up losing, the Tigers played terrific, and Watson showed the whole college football world what he could do on the sport's grandest stage. As they enter 2016, the 15-0 record Clemson came agonizingly close to last year could be reality this time around.

Backfield: Coming into 2015, there was plenty of hype surrounding then-true sophomore Deshaun Watson, and for good reason. Watson had won over the quarterback job from veteran Cole Stoudt and had been dominant despite his youth. However, there were plenty of questions surrounding the young signal-caller as well. He had limped through injuries all of 2014 and even suffered a torn ACL later in the year. Could he stay healthy this season? Could he take the next step as a quarterback? He certainly answered those questions, and more. Watson would end up throwing for 4,104 yards and 35 touchdowns while rushing for 1,105 more yards and 12 more scores. He finished off third in Heisman voting, and also asserted himself as likely the top signal-caller entering the 2017 NFL Draft. This season, he will hope to stay healthy and also continue to grow as a quarterback. Watson was wonderful overall, but there are still certainly parts of his game that need improvement. The junior tossed 13 interceptions last year, which is understandable when considering he threw the ball nearly 500 times. Even so, that number needs to continue to drop. He also needs to continue to improve his accuracy and prove himself in even more big games. If he does all that, he could very well be the top overall pick in the NFL Draft next spring. Watson's big year led many to forget about his backfield mate, fellow junior Wayne Gallman. Gallman quietly put on a show, rushing for 1,527 yards and 13 touchdowns, while averaging over five yards a carry. That was enough to set Clemson's single-season rushing record, very impressive when considering some of the great rushers that have played for the Tigers over the years. Defenses will likely pay more attention to Gallman this year, but they should still be focused primarily on Watson, which could allow the back to continue to pick up plenty of yardage. Gallman is joined in the Tigers' backfield by a pair of sophomores, Adam Choice and C.J. Fuller. Fuller could replace the departed Zac Brooks (234 yards, three touchdowns) as Gallman's primary backup, while Choice is explosive in the open field and appears ready to go after missing all of last year with a torn ACL. Clemson is also hoping to get some contributions from newcomer Tavian Feaster. Feaster is one of the top recruits in the Tigers' 2016 class, and has the talent to be the future at the running back position. Even behind Gallman, Choice and Fuller, expect the Tigers to see what the explosive prospect can do.

Mike Williams
Receivers: Helping out one of the nation's top quarterbacks will be a receivers corps that could be
among the nation's best as well. The Tigers return four of their top five receivers from last season, and get one of their most dynamic back from injury. Junior Artavis Scott emerged as Watson's favorite target last year. The speedy playmaker recorded 93 receptions, 901 yards and six touchdowns and was reliable as they come. With more talent around him, Scott may not get quite the usage he got in 2015, but is elusiveness and quickness will still make a major impact on each game. Sophomore Hunter Renfrow emerged late last year as a receiving threat. Renfrow will benefit mightily from the talent around him, which will take focus off of what he can do. Renfrow compiled 33 catches for 492 yards and five scores, while proving he could pick up yardage in chunks, averaging nearly 15 yards per catch. Sophomore Deon Cain is another returnee who was very good last year, and also proved to be a very dangerous deep threat. Cain managed 582 yards off 34 catches (average of 17.1 yards per reception) and gave teams headaches gameplanning against him. Cain's field-stretching ability will open up the ground attack for Gallman and Scott's routes over the middle of the field, where he does plenty of damage. Those three give Watson one heck of a supporting cast to work with, but it is a player that missed all of 2015 that may be his top threat. Junior Mike Williams has proven himself as an explosive and versatile receiving threat with NFL size, at 6'4", 220 pounds. He entered last season as the Tigers' top receiver, but barely got a chance to show what he can do with an improved Watson, injuring his knee in the season opener. Williams is a proven commodity (1,030 receiving yards in 2014), so we know what he can do. With Scott, Cain and Renfrow all stretching the field, Williams will get less attention on him, and should have a big comeback. He will also join senior tight end Jordan Leggett as one of Clemson's top targets in the red zone. Leggett was the best tight end in the conference last year, and should be among the best in the nation in '16. He recorded 40 catches for 525 yards and eight scores. He doesn't game-changing speed or athleticism, but has incredibly good hands for his size (6'5", 255 pounds) and is a refined route runner. Sophomores Milan Richard and Cannon Smith will provide Clemson with some quality backups at tight ends who offer loads of potential.

Offensive Line: The speed and explosiveness of Clemson's offense often masked the problem of a mediocre O-Line. The unit wasn't terrible by any means, but it doesn't quite push you off the ball like some of the offensive lines found at Alabama or Stanford. Senior Jay Guillermo is a solid returnee and should help guide the group. Guillermo was a Second-Team All-ACC interior linemen, and should return at center. Having great chemistry in a shotgun offense is important for centers and quarterbacks, and Guillermo and Watson make an excellent pair. Junior Tyrone Crowder is also back to strengthen the interior of the line. Crowder is a great athlete that gets down the field and opens up big gaps for Gallman. The last returning starter to the group is sophomore Mitch Hyatt, the youngest of the trio, but a player with loads of potential. Hyatt was Freshman All-American last year, and proved to be a force at left tackle. His play was definitely unexpected, as that position appeared to be a major weakness as Clemson entered 2015. Those three give the Tigers plenty of bite, but the unit is rather average after that. Right tackle is certainly a question mark, as sophomore Jake Fruhmorgen and true freshman Sean Pollard vie for a starting role. Fruhmorgen has slightly more experience but Pollard was terrific in the spring, and has a higher ceiling. Left guard could be a concern going forward, as sophomore Taylor Hearn is a relatively unproven. The Tigers don't have a lot of experience beyond him. Overall, the depth is the unit is pretty worrisome. The Tigers do have plenty of returning talent returning at the position for it to be a strength early on, but as wear and tear sets in, it will be interesting to see how the group performs.

Defensive Line: The huge question for Clemson's defense entering 2015: who would replace Vic Beasley? Beasley had been a dominant edge rusher for the Tigers, and his replacements were inexperienced. Turns out, Clemson did just fine without Beasley, as a new wave of stars rose to the occasion. Defensive end Shaq Lawson, who had been struggling with injuries, was superb, record 12.5 sacks and 13 tackles for loss. The end opposite of him, Kevin Dodd, proved to also be extremely disruptive and played terrific in Clemson's near title run. Dodd joins Lawson as a high NFL Draft pick, and his 12 sacks will have to be replaced. That leaves the group with concerns, but it could still end up being Clemson's top defensive group in 2016 if the young studs step up. Sophomore Austin Bryant has plenty of potential at defensive end. Bryant had 23 tackles and 1.5 sacks last year, and will miss the opener against Auburn. However, he could still have a huge breakout, similar to Lawson's this past season. Clemson will also hope for a breakout from sophomore Christian Wilkins. Despite being a reserve all last year, Wilkins made his presence felt with his agility and versatility. He had 33 tackles and 4.5 sacks a year ago, and should be much more of a factor. No matter what Clemson gets from those two, they'll lean on the veteran presence of senior Carlos Watkins heavily. Watkins had 34 tackles and 3.5 sacks in '15, and was extremely powerful in the heart of the unit. Despite his size, Watkins can still get to the quarterback, which will challenge slower interior linemen. His starter next to him at defensive tackle is a concern, however. Junior Scott Pagano has plenty of experience and knows how to produce at a high level. However, many Tigers fans are eager to see what newcomer Dexter Lawrence can do. Lawrence is an elite defensive tackle, who is widely considered as Clemson's gem of their 2016 class. Lawrence measures in at 6'5", 340 pounds and closes gaps quickly with his bulk. He already has supreme talent despite being extremely young, he could definitely steal some snaps from veterans in defensive coordinator Brent Venables' aggressive scheme. Clemson is not extremely deep on their defensive line, but does add some impressive young talent. Newcomers Xavier Kelly and Nyles Pinckney should fight for action in their first season. Kelly provides pass rushing ability at end, while Pinckney gives Clemson a physical presence in the middle.

Linebackers: Clemson's rush defense fared very well last season (important in a conference that loves to run the ball), thanks mainly to the contributions of veterans Ben Boulware and B.J. Goodson. Goodson and Boulware rarely left the field, and proved to contribute in a variety of ways. Goodson had 108 tackles and 5.5 sacks, while Boulware added 82 tackles, 3.5 sacks and seven pass deflections. The Tigers will have to move on without Goodson, after he was selected in the fourth round of the 2016 NFL Draft. That will leave them scrambling for answers at middle linebacker, but Boulware does return at WLB. Boulware isn't the type of athlete that Goodson has, but is a tough, gritty linebacker that should be a great leader for the defense. Sophomore Kendall Joseph appears to be the favorite to take over at the ever-important middle linebacker spot. Joseph appeared in seven games last season and had just six tackles, but he looked greatly improved in the spring. True freshmen Shaq Smith and Tre Lamar are considered the other possibilities for the starting gig. Lamar is a physical, game-changing prospect at linebacker, who is widely rated as a five-star recruit. Meanwhile, Smith is a reckless pass rusher out of IMG Academy in Florida, which has produced some impressive talents over the years. While both are young, they have the potential and talent to impress right away with the Tigers. At nickelback, Clemson should have very good stability, as junior Dorian O'Daniel appears to be ready to lock down the role full-time. O'Daniel split time with the versatile but oft-injured Travis Blanks last year, but Blanks graduated. O'Daniel had 36 tackles last year, with 5.5 of them going for loss. He doesn't have the versatility that Blanks has, but has a great nose for the ball. Last year's projected starter at nickelback was Korrin Wiggins, but he was lost for the season in August before really getting an opportunity to show what he can do. He could very well push for action at either NB or a defensive back spot.

Secondary: This past season, Clemson had one of the nation's most talented secondaries, and it showed when NFL Draft season rolled around. Cornerback Mackensie Alexander, safety Jayron Kearse and safety T.J. Green all left a year early for the pros, leaving the Tigers with some questions entering 2016. Alexander was absolutely shutdown throughout his time with the Tigers, and Kearse and Green were talented playmakers. While those losses may leave Clemson with some growing pains, this is still a strong unit. Senior corner Cordea Tankersley played very well in '15, and many consider him even better than Alexander, a second-round pick for Minnesota. Tankersley had 48 tackles last season, but made a living getting his hands on the ball, as he made nine pass breakups and five interceptions. Opposing teams will likely throw his way less this season (they were forced to often in 2015 with Alexander on the other side), but he should still have very positive production. The other corner spot is a question, with sophomores Mark Fields and Cameron Scott appearing to be the frontrunners. Fields is a rock-solid defender who would be a very good fit with Tankersley. Clemson doesn't have much experience returning at safety, but they have loads of potential at the position. Senior Jadar Johnson has had just two starts in his time with the Tigers, but has proven he can make plays when he gets on the field. He has a big frame and is a hard hitter over the middle of the field that will provide serious ferocity to this unit. Junior Ryan Carter and redshirt freshman Denzel Johnson will be his backups. At free safety, Clemson will likely turn to sophomore Van Smith, a versatile defender. Smith had 19 tackles as a reserve last season, a number that should go up in a big way this season. Not only can he be an important asset at safety, Smith could also help out the Tigers at cornerback. Newcomers Isaiah Simmons and Trayvon Mullen will bring depth to a group that needs more of it. Mullen in particular has a bright future as a four-star corner who could follow Alexander and Tankersley in a line of great corners.

Special Teams: Special teams should be a definite strength for Clemson as they enter '16, thanks to the return of nearly every key contributor returning. Sophomore kicker Greg Huegel was Second-Team All-ACC last year after knocking down 27 of 32 field goals, while senior punter Andy Teasdall returns as well. Artavis Scott handled nearly all return duties last season for the Tigers, and returns to do much the same this season.

Clemson proved they were a top-flight program last season, coming within minutes of college football's first 15-0 season. They should once again be incredibly dangerous with their explosiveness and versatility offensively, and Brent Venables should keep the defense humming. The Tigers also have the schedule to run the table. An opener against Auburn is sneaky but they are still figuring out their QB situation and just dismissed their leading rusher, and Clemson gets their toughest regular season opponent of the season, Florida State, a week after their bye. The Tigers also have the motivation after being doubted all last season and coming so close to their Championship goal. Top to bottom, they are the nation's most complete team. They are my pick to win the National Championship this time around.

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

College Football Preview 2016-2017: 2. Alabama Crimson Tide

Tim Williams
2. Alabama Crimson Tide

Conference: SEC (West)
Location: Tuscaloosca, Alabama
2015-2016 Record: 14-1 (7-1 SEC)
Bowl Result: Won National Championship
Breakout Player: DE Da'Shawn Hand
Heisman Hopeful: WR Calvin Ridley
X-Factor: RB Bo Scarbrough
Recruiting Rundown (via Rivals)
Schedule
Roster

There was some notable anxiety surrounding the state of Alabama's program entering 2015. The Tide weren't coming off a terrible year by any means, as they won 12 games, won the SEC and made an appearance in the first ever Playoff. However, the Tide lost to Ole Miss earlier in the year and played a very uninspired game against Ohio State in a Sugar Bowl loss. Beginning '15, the Tide once more dropped a game to Ole Miss in which they allowed 43 points and had five turnovers, leading to more questions about whether the dominant "Saban Dynasty" was beginning its inevitable end. All Alabama did after that was dominate the college football world and win a National Title. Powerful running back Derrick Henry ran all over defenses, Alabama's defense figured it out and the quarterback situation improved as former FSU transfer Jake Coker finally settled down into the role. Those things combined to help 'Bama win their fourth title under Nick Saban, and set themselves up as heavy favorites for yet another title entering 2016. While the QB questions continue, this team certainly has the talent to dominate the SEC once more this season.

Backfield: Offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin has done a wonderful job in Tuscaloosca, particularly considering he has had to break in two different quarterbacks each year. His first season, Kiffin's up-tempo, aggressive scheme worked wonders with senior Blake Sims and Alabama's offense was the most potent it had been in years. When Sims graduated heading into last year, Coker stepped up and while he had some ups-and-downs, he played wonderful football the second half of the year. The same story begins again for Alabama, as Coker has graduated. Junior Cooper Bateman, redshirt freshman Blake Barnett, sophomore David Cornwell and true freshman Jalen Hurts are all competing to take over the coveted starting job. Bateman is likely the favorite, as he started the Ole Miss game last season when the Tide were frustrated with Coker's play. He was 37 for 52 in passing attempts and added 291 yards and one score. Bateman doesn't have a huge arm, but is a solid, accurate quarterback that can move the chains, very similar to Coker. Barnett adds slightly more athleticism and a big, strong frame but lacks any experience. Cornwell has struggled with injuries in the past but also can move the ball. Then there is Hurts, certainly the wild card of the entire group. The four-star recruit out of Channelview, Texas, is very different from the other three competing for the job. He still has unrefined mechanics, but his arm strength and mobility are extremely impressive. Kiffin could certainly work some magic with all that Hurts has to offer. At the end of the day, I expect Bateman to win the job. He has the most experience and seems like a good fit in Alabama's current system. However, the other three will be in the mix and the position will be very interesting to watch all year long. Alabama also has to replace their feature back after Heisman winner Derrick Henry bolted to the NFL. The production at the position should not see much of a drop-off, as the Tide possess some absolute freaks at the position. Sophomore Bo Scarbrough is expected by many to take over and while Henry was huge, Scarbrough may be even larger, at 6'2", 230 pounds. Scarbrough is also a similar runner, a bruiser that can bust things open when he gets into open space. Behind a veteran offensive line and a system that produces 1,000-yard backs like its nothing, Scarbrough almost certainly will have a big year. Sophomore Damien Harris is also back after rushing for 157 yards and a score in a very reduced role. The smaller and quicker Harris will be a great change of pace from the power of Scarbrough. Combined, those two should make Alabama just as lethal on the ground as they were with Henry and Kenyan Drake.

Calvin Ridley
Receivers: There was major questions surrounding the receiver corps entering last year. The program's all-time receiving leader, Amari Cooper, had just left for the NFL and the Tide were hoping somebody else would emerge. It didn't take too long for that to happen, as true freshman Calvin Ridley was wonderful right away. Ridley recorded 89 receptions for 1,045 yards and seven touchdowns, while often breaking open games. Ridley's 1,045 receiving yards smashed Amari Cooper's freshman receiving record, and he could be chasing more of Cooper's records very soon. Alabama still play plenty of smashmouth football between the tackles with Scarbrough, but having a deep threat like Ridley gives this offense so much more versatility. Junior ArDarius Stewart is also returning after putting up solid numbers in 2015. Stewart had 63 catches for 700 yards himself and proved to be extremely reliable. With defenses focusing heavily on Ridley, Stewart could see an increase in touches. The Tide are hoping for junior Robert Foster to return healthy and play a bigger role, as former Oregon State transfer Richard Mullaney departs. Foster was putting up good numbers very early on last season, with 10 catches for 116 yards before a shoulder injury lost him for the year in the Ole Miss loss. An experienced weapon with good hands, Foster should produce this season. The big newcomer to the receiver corps is not a highly touted true freshman but instead a transfer. Gehrig Dieter arrives from Bowling Green as one of the nation's top grad transfers, after he recorded 1,033 receiving yards with the Falcons last season. Dieter's numbers will almost certainly drop playing against better competition and in a not as pass-happy offense, but the veteran should still make a variety of plays and open things up underneath. Ridley, Dieter, Foster and Stewart give Alabama perhaps one of the best receiver corps in school history, and a group that Lane Kiffin should work wonders with. Helping them out should be a tight end position that will be a notable strength, thanks to the return of senior O.J. Howard. Howard was a hyped recruit when he arrived in Tuscaloosca, and his best season was probably his true freshman campaign. Many have awaited his breakout and although he has shown flashes, it really never came his sophomore year or much of his junior year. That was, until his breakthrough in the National Championship, when he had two touchdowns and was perhaps the Tide's best offensive player. Howard is 6'6", 245 pounds but has the hands and athleticism of a receiver. He should be a major threat in play action situations and in the red zone.

Offensive Line: No other program in the nation reloads their offensive line quite the way Alabama does. Each year, the Tide watch plenty of dominant linemen earn high selections in the NFL Draft and then comes back even stronger the next year. This season, Alabama will be without Rimington Award winner Ryan Kelly, their center, or All-SEC tackle Dominick Jackson, but the unit could be even better. Junior Cam Robinson has had a controversial off-season but returns as one of the nation's best tackles. Robinson and 'Bama defensive back Hootie Jones were arrested this spring with felony possession of an illegal handgun and possession of narcotics. The case against them was eventually dropped with no punishment for the star left tackle, which has left many questioning how head coach Nick Saban disciplines his players. While that may hang over his head as he begins the season, there isn't any denying how great Robinson is on a football field. The gigantic tackle has started all 29 of the Tide's games the past two years, coming into the physical SEC as a true freshman and promptly dominating. He is widely projected as a sure-fire first-round draft pick in the 2017 NFL Draft if he leaves after this season, and many even believe he could be a candidate for the No. 1 pick. While Robinson will be critical at tackle, Alabama will lean heavily on the services of Ross Pierschbacher and Alphonse Taylor inside. Pierschbacher made 15 starts last year and played extremely well. Pierschbacher should help out Alabama at either left guard, his more natural position, or the Tide could move him inside more to center to replace Kelly. Taylor is a veteran that knows how to block in the brutal SEC. Despite weighing in at 345 pounds, Taylor still finds a way to get down the field and open up lanes for 'Bama backs. Sophomore Dallas Warmack is the younger brother of former Alabama offensive linemen Chance, who dominated in Tuscloosca before he was taken tenth overall by the Titans in the 2013 NFL Draft. Dallas could earn a starting spot at either guard spot after an impressive spring. The right tackle spot, where Jackson left, is certainly a question mark. Freshman Jonah Williams has the talent to earn a starting gig, but will face plenty of competition from a wide range of blockers. That includes junior college transfer Charles Baldwin, one of the nation's premier talents from those ranks, as he arrives from Asa College in New York.

Defensive Line: Under Saban, Alabama players ditching early to the NFL is no surprise. High-rated recruits show up, win a bunch of games and continue to develop and then head for millions in the pros. It is a surprise, however, when talented defenders do spurn the NFL and that just happened to be the case for defensive end Jonathan Allen. Allen likely would have a first or second round pick this past spring but instead opted to stay for his senior season and vie for another national title. Allen was a huge returnee for the Tide, as he had 12 sacks last year. At 6'3", 295 pounds Allen isn't huge but still uses his strength and quickness to get to opposing quarterbacks. While A'Shawn Robinson and Jarran Reed opted to head pro, Allen will be joined by a wonderful supporting cast, as the D-Line could end up being the strength of the defense. At nose guard, Alabama will turn to senior Dalvin Tomlinson to take over where Robinson primarily played. Tomlinson is a powerful linemen whose physicality helps him succeed. Tomlinson doesn't have the pass rushing ability of Robinson, but finds other ways to make plays, as he had 34 tackles and six pass deflections in 2015. Rounding out the starting unit should be junior Da'Shawn Hand. Hand was a well-respected five-star recruit two years ago who hasn't really seen the playing time needed to show what he can do. His lengthy, athletic frame and high motor have plenty of people excited. Hand recorded three sacks a season ago despite limited playing time and looked great in the spring. With blockers focused on Allen and the bulky Tomlinson, Hand could wreak havoc. Sophomore Da'Ron Payne is also a prime breakout candidate this year. At 6'2", 320 pounds the young defender can play inside or out, and Alabama's new defensive coordinator Jeremy Pruitt (who replaces Kirby Smart) will be creative in how he utilizes Payne. Guys like junior Josh Frazier, senior Dakota Ball and true freshman Raekwon Davis provide valuable depth to a unit that could miss some quality reserves, namely D.J. Pettway (18 tackles, two sacks in '15).

Linebackers: He wasn't flashy, but nobody can deny how much middle linebacker Reggie Ragland impacted the game. The gritty veteran did it all for the Tide last season and stuffed the stat sheet full, with 102 tackles, 2.5 sacks and seven pass breakups. Unfortunately, Ragland will move on to the NFL after graduating, leaving the door open for a new star to step up at an inside linebacker spot that has produced some wonderful talent over the years. The obvious candidate has to be junior Rashaan Evans, a much quicker and athletic version of Ragland. Evans has shown plenty of potential in practice and in limited playing time, but the Tide will count on him to actually produce big numbers. He won't have as much pressure on him as he could though, as senior Rueben Foster is back after also spurning the NFL. Foster finished off second on Alabama in tackles last year, only behind Ragland, as he had 73 while adding six tackles for loss. Foster also plays similar to Ragland but relies more on his excellent closing ability than instincts. Senior Ryan Anderson is also back to give Alabama more help at inside 'backer. Anderson has a wonderful athlete and can get after the quarterback, evidenced by his six sacks last season. While Foster, Evans and Anderson alone give Alabama a wonderful linebacker corps, the player coaches, fans and scouts alike are most excited to see is senior outside linebacker Tim Williams. Williams played a pass-rushing specialist role last year, playing just 178 total snaps. He certainly made the most of them, recording 10.5 sacks and four quarterback hurries. After doing all that in a small role last year, the Tide are counting on Williams to not only take over a starting job, but perhaps be even better in '16. Williams has an explosive first step and powerful hands, but he will have to improve his stamina to play a much higher volume of snaps this year. The senior was absolutely unblockable in the spring, so he should be just fine. At the other outside linebacker spot, Alabama will likely to turn to junior Shaun Dion Hamilton. Hamilton has never locked down a full-time starting job (although he did have five starts last year) but has played plenty of SEC football and fits the system well. He isn't the pass rusher that Williams is, but brings impressive versatility to the table.

Secondary: While Alabama and Saban produce elite prospects nearly everywhere on their football team, they do an especially good job in the secondary. Over the years, the Tide have had many shutdown corners and ball-hawking safeties pass through their ranks, and the group should be very good once more in 2016. Senior Eddie Jackson opted to stay for his final year and will play a key role. Jackson originally began his time with 'Bama as a cornerback but has switched to a strong safety role, where he appears very comfortable. Jackson's excellent range and closing speed help him pick off plenty of passes, as he recorded six last season and helped put Alabama in great position by often bringing them back for big gains. Pruitt won't change Jackson's assignments much this season; he will still be an aggressive, ball-hawking defensive back and should record plenty of interceptions. The Tide should also be very good at cornerback, despite being young there. Sophomore Minkah Fitzpatrick was very impressive last season despite his youth, and he could blossom into a superstar this season. Fitzpatrick has great size, speed and ball skills and he will only continue to grow and develop under this great Alabama staff. He'll be joined at the position by fellow sophomore Marlon Humphrey. Humphrey may not have the vast ceiling of Fitzpatrick, but he is one heck of a football player himself. Humphrey gets by with fabulous athleticism and a good feel for the game, and he proved to be quite the playmaker last year, with three interceptions. Those two may experience some growing pains early as they adjust to a starting role and a slightly different system under Pruitt, but there isn't a more talented 1-2 corner punch in the land. Free safety is the only significant question in the defensive backfield, as Geno Smith departs. Smith had 72 tackles last season and dominated the middle of the field. Sophomore Ronnie Harrison is viewed by many as the favorite to win the job, but rising redshirt freshman Deionte Thompson continues to impress. Junior Tony Brown has all the talent to be a star, as a former five-star recruit. He has impressed on special teams but is still awaiting a breakout at his cornerback position. However, Brown faced a serious suspension from the NCAA and likely will miss at least six games. His status with the team is very murky entering 2016 as he has had plenty of issues, but the talent is there for him to still be productive this season.

Special Teams: Kicker has been a problem for Alabama for a long time under Nick Saban. The Tide hope they finally have stability at the position in senior Adam Griffith. Griffith has a huge leg (long of 55) but is inconsistent. Junior J.K. Scott is a great punter, but the return game will miss Kenyan Drake and former cornerback Cyrus Jones.

It appears to be the same story in Tuscaloosca as it has been the past few years. The quarterback situation is a question mark, the defense loses plenty of talent and a usual tricky schedule awaits. Even so, it is hard to imagine the defending champs taking much of a step back this season. The ground game should still be good enough to carry the offense, and while there will be plenty of new starters defensively, the talent throughout it is truly mind-boggling. The Tide will have to endure a tough opener against a dangerous and hungry USC team, a road trip against Tennessee in a cross-division meeting and then the brutal SEC West slate. That will certainly test this Alabama team but lets be honest this is Saban and this is Alabama. A fifth National Title in his tenure
and a third straight College Football Playoff berth all are well within reach.