Saturday, January 24, 2015

College Football Sneak Peek 2015-2016

Ezekiel Elliott
It has now been nearly two weeks since the Urban Meyer-led Ohio State Buckeyes managed to tame Marcus Mariota and Oregon, in the first ever College Football Playoff Championship. Now, for most diehard fans, that means months of waiting for the sport to kick back up again. Luckily, we have a good idea who the teams to beat are going to be next season. Following early departures to the NFL, here are the teams I believe will be in the hunt for the College Football Playoff next season, along with some other things to look forward to in 2015.

The Four to Beat

1. Ohio State Buckeyes
Despite some serious adversity throughout the 2014-2015 season, the Buckeyes managed to shock the nation and win Urban Meyer's third national championship. In 2015, they will have the nation's top roster, led with a scary amount of offensive playmakers. Junior Ezekiel Elliott will once more carry the load on the ground, while junior Michael Thomas, Jalin Marshal and a strong offensive line will give the Big Ten absolute fits. But, perhaps the scariest thing is their quarterback position, which includes three players who could realistically be on Heisman watch lists. Former two-time Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year Braxton Miller is set to return from shoulder surgery, while redshirt sophomore J.T. Barrett is returning from a broken ankle after setting records in Miller's absence. And, then there is Cardale Jones, who stiff armed the NFL to return for his junior season, after leading the Buckeyes to a title. Miller's name has been tossed around in transfer rumors and he could possibly change positions but even if he does, the Buckeyes will be stacked at the position. Defensive end Joey Bosa will be absolutely dominant next year and the secondary will be very experienced. After being a dark horse for much of the year, Ohio State will be expected to dominate this year. If the Big Ten struggles the way it did for much of 2014, that should happen.

2. TCU Horned Frogs
Behind the powerful arm of Trevone Boykin, the Horned Frogs won 12 games in 2014 (up from four the year prior) and were notoriously snubbed from the Playoff. Boykin will return, and in his second year in the Horned Frogs' new offense, he could put up insane numbers. Aaron Green has the chance to be a breakout candidate at running back along with steady vet B.J. Catalon, and deep threat Kolby Listenbee returns to lead the receiver corps. Defensively, a number of contributors return to lead a unit that was extremely underrated in 2014. While those things should be important perhaps the scariest thing about TCU is the motivation factor. This team will feel hungry to prove themselves as a worthy Playoff team, much like they were motivated when they thrashed Ole Miss 42-3 in the Peach Bowl. That should absolutely scare the Big 12 and the rest of the nation.

3. Baylor Bears
TCU certainly won't run away with the Big 12, not if Art Briles and Baylor have something to say about it. Even with the departure of gunslinger Bryce Petty at quarterback, Baylor could be even better, as the offense is still stocked with playmakers. Leading receiver K.D. Cannon, talented junior backs Shock Linwood and Johnny Jefferson, along with tackle Spencer Drango lead an offense that could be even better this next season. The defense could be the best in school history, with the return of massive end Shawn Oakman, who flirted with the NFL, and sophomore linebacker Taylor Young, who had a field day in the Cotton Bowl, recording 15 tackles. Seth Russell, who is set to take over for Petty, should be fine as he played tremendous when Petty struggled with injuries early last season.

4. Alabama Crimson Tide
Another long list of impact players leaving from Tuscaloosca. And yet, Alabama is expected to be among the nation's best, even without big names like Amari Cooper and Landon Collins. Derrick Henry finally has the complete reigns to the backfield with the departure of T.J. Yeldon and he could put up huge numbers if he stays healthy. The defense should be absolutely stout, with the return of versatile defensive linemen A'Shawn Robinson along a number of blue-chippers ready to step into bigger roles, like defensive back Tony Brown and hard-hitting Rueben Foster. Former Florida State transfer Jacob Coker should take over the quarterback position full time (although a year later than expected) and guide the offense. Plus, punter J.K. Scott is an absolute stud and his big leg will certainly help in close SEC contests.

Others in the Hunt

Michigan State Spartans: Quarterback Connor Cook returns for his senior season, hoping to guide a Spartans team that should be a major challenge to the Buckeyes in the Big Ten East. Although back Jeremy Langford is gone, receiver Tony Lippett has emerged as a dangerous deep threat and the defense will once more be dominant, led by senior Shilique Calhoun.

Georgia Bulldogs: It may be crazy to think right now, but Nick Chubb could end up being better than Todd Gurley, if he manages to stay healthy, something Gurley couldn't. The sophomore will have the chance to be dominant this season, and Mark Richt will have a number of impact defenders back, including pass rushing Leonard Floyd at linebacker.

USC Trojans: With Oregon and Stanford in a rebuild, USC may once more take the reigns of the Pac-12. Cody Kessler put up huge numbers in Steve Sarkisian's offense a year ago, and he returns along with the versatile Adoree' Jackson. The defense should also be decent, even with the absence of linemen Leonard Williams.

Clemson Tigers: Give him all the credit, Dabo Swinney has built a winner at Clemson. Even with Chad Morris, the offensive coordinator, ditching to SMU, the Tigers could be the class of the ACC this next year. If he stays healthy Deshaun Watson could absolutely breakout at quarterback as a sophomore and back Wayne Gallman could emerge as an absolute workhorse.

Dark Horse Teams to Watch
Tennessee Volunteers
Arkansas Razorbacks
Minnesota Gophers
UNC Tar Heels
Penn State Nittany Lions
California Golden Bears
Miami Hurricanes

Heisman Candidates
Dak Prescott, QB, Mississippi State
Laqoun Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
Trevone Boykin, QB, TCU
J.T. Barrett, QB, Ohio State
Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU
Cody Kessler, QB, USC
Scooby Wright, LB, Arizona
Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama
Justin Thomas, QB, Georgia Tech
Corey Clement, RB, Wisconsin
Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M
Samaje Perine, RB, Oklahoma
Nick Chubb, RB, Georgia
Thomas Tyner, RB, Oregon

Friday, January 16, 2015

NFL Mock Draft 2015: Edition 2

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Marcus Mariota, QB
One thing is painfully clear in Tampa Bay: Mike Glennon nor Josh McCown are going to be long term solutions at quarterback. Luckily for the Bucs, Heisman winning quarterback Marcus Mariota can fall into their lap and completely turn around the fate of the franchise. While not as big or strong as fellow QB Jameis Winston, Mariota's accurate arm and ability to make plays with his legs gives Tampa another offensive building block with rapidly improving receiver Mike Evans.
2. Tennessee Titans Jameis Winston, QB
When you have an offense that averages just 16 points a game, you need major changes. While the Titans did draft Zach Mettenberger last year, the Titans whole organization needs a gigantic spark. While his off-the-field antics might become a distraction, there is no denying Winston's potential for stardom, something Tennessee can't ignore if Mariota is already off the board.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars Leonard Williams, DT
The Jaguars' offense showed a lot of improvement throughout 2014, but the defense, especially the front seven needs some work. Williams, perhaps the best overall player in the draft when healthy, has the chance to grow into a dominant pass rusher in Gus Bradley's defense and form a great inside combination with Sen'Derrick Marks, who put together a strong 2014.
Amari Cooper
4. Oakland Raiders Amari Cooper, WR
The Jack Del Rio era has begun in Oakland and the new head coach has been gifted with something most don't usually have entering their jobs in Oakland: a serviceable quarterback. Derek Carr showed flashes of stardom in his rookie year, and that was without a clear proven target to throw too. Amari Cooper will add a proven target in the passing game for Carr, and give the Raiders the playmaker on offense they have lacked for so long.
5. Washington Redskins Brandon Scherff, OT
No matter who starts at quarterback next year for Washington, they will need some help from their offensive line, which was absolutely dreadful a year ago. While he doesn't have the potential of most linemen in this draft, Scherff is a hard-worker with grit and toughness who can add some much needed versatility to this unit.
6. New York Jets Randy Gregory, DE
While the desperate need for a quarterback may force New York to either trade down or reach on Brett Hundley, they should play it smart here and hope someone is available in the second round. Randy Gregory would be the best available here if he slips and he has the potential to grow into a perennial sack machine in new head coach Todd Bowles' scheme.
7. Chicago Bears Landon Collins, S
Chicago's defense as a whole was terrible this past season, and major changes will be needed. While a young pass rusher would certainly help, there is no denying how terrible the Bears' safety position is right now. Collins is a hard-hitting safety from Alabama, who can help in coverage or run support because of his impressive range.
8. Atlanta Falcons Shane Ray, DE/LB
The Falcons have need a pass rusher for years, and that was extremely evident throughout this season. The good news is that the 2015 Draft is stocked with elite defensive linemen prospects, including Shane Ray, who could be a steal here at eight. Ray is gifted with an incredibly quick first step and NFL level power and could be the solution to the Falcons long need for a pass rusher.
9. New York Giants Alvin "Bud" Dupree, DE
A defense that was far from strong a year ago could be an even worse shape this offseason if Jason Pierre-Paul (12.5 sacks in 2014) decides to leave. Dupree is a tremendous athlete who showed signs of dominance throughout his time at Kentucky. If Pierre-Paul does indeed leave, the Giants could fill his void with the talented Dupree.
10. St. Louis Rams La'El Collins, OT
The Rams first round selection a season ago, Greg Robinson, struggled mightily in his rookie campaign, which should force the Rams to continue to search for solutions on their offensive line. Collins is a massive brick wall of a tackle with decent athleticism and could add some insurance to a unit that has been dreadful the past decade.
11. Minnesota Vikings Andrus Peat, OT
Matt Kalil has gone from a Pro Bowler and possible building block to a real problem in his short time with Minnesota and while it is too early to completely get rid of him, the Vikings should add some insurance. Peat is a project but slowly working him into the rotation would give Minnesota a pass blocker for the future that can protect Teddy Bridgewater.
12. Cleveland Browns DeVante Parker, WR
Josh Gordon has been one of the best receivers in the NFL when actually on the field the past couple seasons but his off-the-field issues have overshadowed his immense talent. If those continue, Cleveland will have to consider looking elsewhere at the position, and Parker is a pretty good solution. The Louisville product has tremendous size and speed and could grow into a dangerous deep threat for Johnny Football.
13. New Orleans Saints Dante Fowler, DE/LB
Other than Junior Galette and Cameron Jordan, the Saints lack any significant pass rushers. If Fowler is still on the board here, it will be incredibly tough to resist the versatile talent out of Florida. Fowler is still a young guy and he will only grow in Rob Ryan's aggressive defensive scheme.
14. Miami Dolphins Shaq Thompson, LB
The Dolphins were absolutely terrible in defending the run a year ago, letting up over 120 yards a game. Enter Thompson, a hybrid defender who could fill a number of different defensive roles for Miami and he a major help in run support. At Washington, Thompson spent time at safety, where he was originally recruited, linebacker and even at running back.
15. San Francisco 49ers Dorial Green-Beckham, WR
Few players in this draft have the potential of Green-Beckham, who was formerly the nation's top high school recruit. But, off-the-field problems got him kicked out of Missouri and he sat out this past season at Oklahoma. He is gifted with incredible size for a receiver and fabulous hands but he could be a risk this high. Though, San Francisco really needs another weapon for Colin Kaepernick and Green-Beckham could really grow into a dangerous weapon.
16. Houston Texans Danny Shelton, DL
Imagine a defensive line with a healthy Jadeveon Clowney, J.J. Watt and a dominant interior linemen that has the speed to get to the quarterback... That is what Houston could have if they pick up Shelton. Shelton, from Washington, is incredibly quick for his size but also is a strong run defender and has the athleticism to bat down balls. If Clowney does get healthy and Shelton continues to grow, the Texans' front seven will be downright scary.
17. San Diego Chargers Trae Waynes, CB
Michigan State's secondary in 2014-2015 wasn't quite the dominant force it was a year prior, but Waynes was still extremely productive at cornerback for the Spartans. Although somewhat undersized, Waynes would bring immediate insurance to a weakness on the Chargers' defense.
18. Kansas City Chiefs Kevin White, WR
The Chiefs' receivers managed to accomplish something this year that is pretty hard to believe: not one of them caught a touchdown pass the whole year. No matter who is on the board, Kansas City needs some help at the position. They would be extremely pleased if White, who had a monster senior season at West Virgnia, slipped here.
19. Cleveland Browns Benardrick McKinney, LB
Even with the addition of veteran Karlos Dansby, the Browns still were the worst defense against the rush, something that clearly has to improve this season if Cleveland is to take any steps up inside the AFC North. McKinney is a strong, aggressive linebacker out of Mississippi State, who could be a long term answer at inside 'backer.
20. Philadelphia Eagles P.J. Williams, CB
Neither Mark Sanchez nor Nick Foles fits Chip Kelly's offensive system very well at quarterback, and that seems to be a problem. But, the Eagles should go with the smarter pick here if they can't trade up and select Williams out of Florida State, who would immediately upgrade their inconsistent secondary.
21. Cincinnati Bengals Jaelen Strong, WR
While A.J. Green is among the best receivers in the NFL, the receiver position in Cincinnati is still a problem. Mohamed Sanu should not be a No. 2 option on most NFL teams, and the position must be upgraded. Strong has a good mix of speed and size and would give defenses enough issues that they won't completely focus on Green, as they have done in the past.
22. Pittsburgh Steelers Gerod Holliman, S
The Steelers' secondary was a concern last year, and Troy Polamulu's inevitable retirement is on the near horizon. While Holliman is overly aggressive on jumping routes and still learning, there is no denying his potential and ball skills, which he showcased with his 14 interceptions this past year at Louisville.
23. Detroit Lions Malcolm Brown, DT
No defensive line in the league was more dominant than the Lions last year but both Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley hit the open market as free agents this offseason and could both leave. Brown is a gritty tackle out of Texas who has the potential to rise up into the late first round. He isn't the pass rusher of Suh, clearly, but he is a major help in run support.
24. Arizona Cardinals Brett Hundley, QB
It is easy to blame the Cardinals complete late season collapse on the fact third-stringer Ryan Lindley was thrust into the role, but the fact of the matter is, Carson Palmer isn't getting any younger. Hundley could well be a steal here in the late first and he could learn under Palmer in his first few years in the league.
25. Carolina Panthers Ereck Flowers, OT
The Panthers have given Cam Newton a dangerous long term threat in the passing game in Kelvin Benjamin, and should give help some protection with this selection. Flowers is a massive tackle with the physical gifts to be a dominant tackle, although he struggled throughout his time in Coral Gables. It would be a risk here, but it worked last year for Carolina when they selected Benjamin.
26. Baltimore Ravens Devin Smith, WR
Steve Smith was tremendous in his first season in Baltimore but he doesn't appear to have much time left in the league, as he is now 35. Torrey Smith's contract expires at the end of this year, and his future is uncertain. With that in mind, the Ravens should pick up another "Smith" in Devin from Ohio State, a scary deep threat who has the athleticism to reel in anything Joe Flacco throws in his direction.
Danielle Hunter
27. Dallas Cowboys Danielle Hunter, DE/LB
While the Cowboys' defense has been solid this season, it still needs some work on getting to the quarterback, which is where Hunter comes in. Although his production wasn't great at LSU, he has the quickness and agility to constantly be disrupting backfields.
28. Denver Broncos Cedric Ogbuehi, OT
Denver needs a lot of help on their line, especially on the right side of the unit. Although Ogbuehi continues to struggle at left tackle, he has emerged as a real force on the right, and could grow into a dominant exterior linemen for years to come in Denver.
29. Indianapolis Colts Todd Gurley, RB
Trent Richardson has been completely terrible since arriving from Cleveland and Dan Herron is far from an every-down back. Picking up Gurley down here at 29 would be an absolute steal for Indy, no matter what injury concerns still linger. With a dominant back like Gurley, offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton could finally add some versatility to his scheme.
30. Seattle Seahawks Devin Funchess, WR/TE
Although Seattle has prided themselves on being a power-run team the past couple years with Marshawn Lynch, they need an upgrade in their receiving corps. Funchess can play either tight end or receiver and has the speed and great hands to be scary at either spot. He could become the vertical tight end with speed that are becoming extremely common throughout the league.
31. Green Bay Packers Eddie Goldman, DT
The Packers' defense is certainly not devoid of problems, especially against the run. Eddie Goldman has shown signs of becoming a dominant defensive tackle but has yet to put it all together. If he can, he could become a dominant bruiser in the heart of Green Bay's defensive line.
32. New England Patriots Rashad Greene, WR
Give him a ton of credit: no quarterback does as much damage as Tom Brady does, despite not having the dangerous receivers other quarterbacks enjoy. Rashad Greene isn't the biggest receiver prospect but he is a reliable veteran who can move the chains and add another weapon to the Patriots' passing game.

Sunday, January 11, 2015

College Football Playoff National Championship Prediction

Marcus Mariota
The inaugural season of the College Football Playoff era has been filled with upsets, exciting finishes and a fair share of controversy. Now, the 2014-2015 season will all culminate this Monday in a matchup of two teams with something left to prove. Oregon has been among the best programs in the sport the last five to ten years but has yet to claim the elusive national title (lost to Cam Newton and Auburn in 2011). On the other side, Ohio State will try to prove the Big Ten is still a conference to be reckoned with and that they truly did deserve a Playoff berth, if beating Alabama did not already prove it to the entire nation.

Oregon, as usual, will bring their high-flying offense to the table, and one that has speed all over the place. The return of stud sophomore back Thomas Tyner now means the Ducks have three legitimately fantastic backs, including Tyner, true freshman Royce Freeman and the veteran of the trio, Byron Marshall. The offensive line, which struggled with injuries throughout the year is now at their healthiest, and it will pave a way for the Ducks' backs. Hroniss Grasu, a steady veteran at center, is finally healthy and Oregon will lean on the senior for leadership and his calming demeanor on this huge stage. At quarterback, Marcus Mariota has been the perfect example of why staying another year in college can be a very good thing. Despite first round projections, Mariota had unfinished business and decided to stay in Eugene another year. He has responded with 3,783 passing yards, 38 touchdowns and a Heisman trophy, and will hope to add a national title to his resume. Mariota's success has been completely different from other recent quarterbacks who have stayed in school an extra season. Matt Barkley at USC, Jake Locker at Washington and Tajh Boyd at Clemson all struggled in their senior seasons and fell down draft boards significantly (Boyd didn't even get drafted). While those quarterbacks struggled, Mariota has seemingly improved in his redshirt junior season. The native Hawaiian has showcased an amazing deep ball, a much better feel for the game and the ability to make big plays in crunch time, something he struggled with his first two years for the Ducks. Having the Heisman winner and a multitude of options at back will certainly fuel Oregon's offense, but they are without a couple key components at receiver. Electric playmaker Devon Allen, who is also a track star at Oregon, is out for the game after injuring his knee in the first play of the Rose Bowl against Florida State. Then, Darren Carrington, who ripped apart that Seminoles' defense in the Rose Bowl, was suspended for the title game. Add to that the longtime absence of explosive Bralon Addison, who tore his ACL during the spring (there was hope he might be able to return for this game) and the Ducks' receiving corps has been decimated. Still, Keanon Lowe is a dangerous weapon through the air, nearly all of Oregon's dynamic backs can catch, and tight end Evan Baylis, who is filling in for another injured Duck, had a strong showing against FSU. Plus, when you have a Heisman winner at quarterback who can do damage with his legs and his arm, you don't need a ton of help from your receivers.

Ohio State has proven time and time again they can also put up points in bunches, even with a third-
Jalin Marshall
stringer at quarterback. Redshirt freshman Cardale Jones, filling in for J.T. Barrett, who filled in for Braxton Miller, has been great in two starts. Despite playing in two huge games, the Big Ten Championship Game and Sugar Bowl, Jones has not let the pressure overwhelm him and he has played extremely well. While still mistake prone, Jones is a big, powerful thrower who has the arm strength to beat defenders over the top and the accuracy to fit the ball into tight windows on short or intermediate throws. Jones is also a dangerous dual threat, and the Oregon defense will have to be disciplined and smart in containing him. At running back, the Buckeyes on sophomore Ezekiel Elliott, who has filled in wonderfully for the graduated Carlos Hyde this season. Elliott has ran for 1,402 yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging 6.5 yards per carry. Elliott's speed and shiftiness helped carry him to a 85-yard touchdown against Alabama in the Sugar Bowl, which propelled OSU to the victory. The Ducks will have their hands full containing home run threat Devin Smith, a senior who has had a huge second half for Ohio State this season. Smith is an absolute speedster and has nice size, allowing him to make unbelievably tough catches on deep balls. Jones will almost certainly look for the senior deep a couple times early against a Ducks' secondary that is also banged up. Along with Smith, reliable Evan Spencer will almost certainly give Oregon problems as well, along with Jalin Marshall. A redshirt freshman, Marshall might be the most versatile athlete on the field in a game full of absolute studs on both sides of the ball. The receiver can not just do damage as a weapon in the passing game, he can carry the ball, throw the ball (on the depth chart, he is Jones' backup right now) and is an absolute load to handle on special teams. While the Ohio State offensive line did not get much credit this year, it has been superb ever since a disastrous showing earlier in the year against Virginia Tech.

For years, the Oregon offense has gotten all the credit for the Ducks being a constant national title contender. It does make sense, the offense has rewritten the rules for "up-tempo" offenses and has had some incredible athletes pass through the past couple seasons. But, the change of fortunes for the Ducks this year has not been the offense getting any better, it has been all defensively. The defense isn't superb statistically, in fact it allows over 400 yards of offense per game. But, somehow it was 27th in scoring defense and causes turnovers at a dizzying rate, something Florida State knows first hand. The front seven has heard all the talk about the defense being "soft" for too long and has been absolute beastly in 2014-2015. Arik Armstead, a 6'8" monster of a defensive end leads the front seven, along with physical DeForest Buckner and Joe Walker, a major help in run support. Hybrid linebacker Tony Washington has always had the talent to be great but has had major ups and major downs in his collegiate career. A dazzling showing in the Rose Bowl that included recovering Jameis Winston's fumble for a touchdown has convinced me he has fulfilled his vast potential.  The big question for the Ducks' defense will be their secondary, which is without All-American cornerback Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, who injured his knee leading up to the Rose Bowl. Though, the questions were the same against Florida State and led by Troy Hill and a number of other contributors the Ducks' pass defense shut down the Seminoles best receiver (and one of the best in the nation) Rashad Greene. The secondary once more will have to have a great day but it is worrying going up against a team like the Buckeyes, who spread the field so well. FSU doesn't have the deep threats of OSU and if the Buckeyes can hit some deep throws, they will definitely be in great position.

The Ohio State defense had some major question marks entering the year, especially when they allowed over 300 yards of rushing to Navy in the season opener. But, much like the offense improved, the defense took major steps throughout the course of the year and is strong, especially in the front seven. Defensive end Joey Bosa is among the nation's most intimidating linemen and he has had a huge 2014-2015. After recording a solid 7.5 sacks in his freshman campaign, Bosa has exploded for 14 sacks and 20 tackles for loss, which is seventh best in all of the land. Joining him up front is senior Michael Bennett, who clogs running lanes, and junior Adolphus Washington, a very nimble tackle. The loss of Noah Spence, who has been suspended all season long, seemed to hurt the Buckeyes originally, but Steve Miller has come on down the stretch. He made an absolute wonderful play in the Sugar Bowl to pick off Blake Sims and take it to the house, a key turning point in the game. Add to that Joshua Perry, a linebacker who recorded 112 tackles on the season, along with Darron Lee, who had 66 tackles and six sacks, and Ohio State will almost certainly put up a great fight against the Ducks' fantastic rush offense. The Ohio State secondary was a major question mark entering the year but it has solidified itself as a great unit, much like this defense as a whole. Doran Grant and the rest of the secondary, which includes playmakers Vonn Bell and Eli Apple, held Amari Cooper to his lowest output of the year and if they can contain Lowe and Byron Marshall of Oregon, Mariota will have a tough time getting the ball to any receiver.

This going to be the perfect Championship game for fans of the sports. After years of SEC slugfests in the BCS system, the CFB Playoff has pitted two explosive offenses against each other in a game full of storylines. While it seems obvious to pick the team with the Heisman winner and an extremely motivated defense against a team with a third-stringer at quarterback, the Buckeyes have a real chance to win Urban Meyer's third national championship, and first in Columbus. In normal circumstances, Oregon might well be the more talented team between these two. But, the Ducks are banged up in so many key areas, and the absence of Ekpre-Olomu could be a major problem if Smith continues his hot stretch. Plus, the Buckeyes amount of momentum entering this game could easily propel them to a victory. Sure, Oregon has quite a bit of momentum too, following a 39-point beat down of the defending champion, but Ohio State has been absolutely terrifying under Cardale Jones and I think they can continue it. This one is sure to be a high-scoring affair unless turnovers become a problem (but with Mariota, who has just two interceptions all season, that is doubtful) and an exciting one to the very end. I think the magic of the Buckeyes' late postseason run under Jones can continue, especially considering the injuries and suspensions throughout the Ducks' lineup.
Ohio State, 42 Oregon, 38

Saturday, January 10, 2015

Big Ten Power Rankings

Melo Trimble (2)
College football season is winding down to a final halt, and that means one great thing: college basketball is heating up, as conference play has opened. The Big Ten, notorious for it's strength and craziness the past couple seasons, once more will play an important role on the national stage (nearly half of the Elite Eight teams hailed from the conference). While Wisconsin appears head and shoulders above the rest of the conference at the moment, there are a number of teams who are poised to make runs. Although it is very early in both conference play and the season as a whole, here are my Big Ten Power Rankings.

1. Wisconsin Badgers 15-1 overall record (3-0 conference)
Other than a tough non-conference loss to Duke (which clearly is a great team this season), the Badgers have played flawlessly. Versatile center Frank Kaminsky continues to be a popular Big Ten POY candidate as well as the National Player of the Year. The senior has shown an improved strength around the basket, mixed in with his consistently smooth three-point shot. Along with Kaminsky, the Badgers have a ton of length and depth in their backcourt, with Sam Dekker, Nigel Hayes and Duje Dukan as reinforcements. Bo Ryan had a great team a season ago when the Badgers rose to the Final Four, but this one could be even better. They have the smarts and experience of a typical Bo Ryan team but with even more depth and versatility. With all the talent on this roster, they could roll through the Big Ten and position themselves as a No. 1 seed.

2. Ohio State Buckeyes 13-3 overall record (2-1 conference)
One thing is very, very clear to both the Buckeyes and the rest of the Big Ten, highly touted guard D'Angelo Russell is the real deal. The explosive guard from Louisville is averaging 18.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game, while shooting nearly 46% from downtown. While Ohio State has always been a stout defensive team under head coach Thad Matta, they really lacked a go-to scorer last year. With Russell emerging as that and the defense of Shannon Scott and shot-blocking ability of Sam Thompson, the Buckeyes have enough talent to keep up with Wisconsin. If Russell can continue his hot start to his collegiate career, Ohio State could be very dangerous down the stretch in 2015.

3. Michigan State Spartans 11-5 overall record (2-1 conference)
This appears to be a typical Tom Izzo team in East Lansing. A team that lost so much when Keith Appling and Adreian Payne graduated the Spartans limped to a relatively pedestrian non-conference posting. But, with a healthy Branden Dawson leading the way in the frontcourt and Denzel Valentin continuing to hit shots, Michigan State will only grow and get hot in Big Ten play, something they seem to do every single season. Though, the real need for the Spartans is a threat down low, something Izzo has had on every successful Spartans team. Matt Costello and Gavin Schilling are just two of a long list, but once the Spartans find one they will have the pieces set to be very strong in Big Ten play, evidenced by an impressive win over Iowa in Iowa City this week.

4. Maryland Terrapins 14-2 overall record (2-1 conference)
One of the newest members of the conference, Maryland appears to be a legitimate threat this season. Although many will be quick to call their non-conference schedule soft, they did beat Iowa State and Oklahoma State and had a nice showing against Virginia, who is still undefeated. Do-it-all guard Melo Trimble leads an explosive Terps' offense that has more weapons than any Mark Turgeron team up to this point. While Trimble and dynamic wing Dez Wells have been great, the major reason for Maryland's resurgence has been Jake Layman. A three-point sniper who couldn't find his groove through much of 2013-2014, Layman has been superb this season and has added a number of different layers to his game. While Maryland will have to adjust to the new conference, they have a very comfortable January schedule, other than Michigan State and Ohio State every game appears to be a clear win, which would put them in contention early in Big Ten play.

5. Iowa Hawkeyes 11-5 overall record (2-1 conference)
Head coach Fran McCaffrey might well have his best team in Iowa City, despite a tough loss to Michigan State earlier this week that snapped their undefeated conference record. Aaron White is among the nation's most underrated forwards, a versatile veteran who can score in a variety of ways. If Iowa can find a consistent three-point scorer to replace Roy Devyn Marble's production and big man Adam Woodbury can become a dominant low post presence, the Hawkeyes could be a dark horse down the stretch, contrary to last season, when the wheels fell off during the Hawkeyes' last couple weeks of play.

Friday, January 2, 2015

Bowl Predictions 2014-2015: Armed Forces Bowl to Alamo Bowl

James Conner
Armed Forces Bowl: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas on January 2nd
Houston Cougars (7-5) vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (6-6)

Before a new era begins for both programs, as Houston ushers in former Ohio State OC Tom Herman and Pitt welcomes former Michigan State DC Pat Narduzzi as head coaches, they will try to end their seasons on a high note. The Panthers will be all about running the football in this one, as they have done well all year long. Back James Conner is among the ACC and nation's top ball carriers and Houston does not have the proven rush defense needed to contain Conner. Tyler Boyd will make plays at receiver for Pitt and challenge a Cougars' secondary that has also been far from perfect, while Panther quarterback Chad Voytik only gets better as the season goes on. While Pittsburgh has missed stud defensive linemen Aaron Donald, one of the best players to ever play at the school, their defense is still stout and will still challenge an inexperienced Houston offense. Quarterback John O'Korn was so bad, Tony Levine benched him in favor of converted receiver Greg Ward Jr. Ward has played decent since taking over for O'Korn, leading the Cougars to a 4-3 mark. Though, he still struggles to make the big throws on third downs or down the field, and Pitt could soon be stacking the box to get pressure on him and stop the ground attack. Kenneth Farrow is a playmaker at running back for Houston and he could break open some big runs. At receiver Deontay Greenberry is among the nation's top deep threats when someone can get him the football. Unfortunately, Houston does not have a consistent enough offense to keep up with Pitt's methodical approach. If Ward struggles with turnovers and Pitt runs the ball well, and controls the clock they should be able to pull out a victory and hand Narduzzi some momentum as he enters his first year as head coach.
Pittsburgh, 27 Houston, 17

TaxSlayer Bowl: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, on January 2nd
Iowa Hawkeyes (7-5) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (6-6)

One year after signing a Top 25 recruiting class and re-energizing the fanbase, Butch Jones has Tennessee playing in a bowl game, against a struggling Iowa team. Jones seemingly has found his quarterback in quickly improving Joshua Dobbs. While turnovers and dumb mistakes still plague the youthful Dobbs at times his strong arm and comfort in the Tennessee offense he has shown plenty of signs of being great. It will be interesting to see how Dobbs handles the Iowa pass rush, though. Carl Davis and Louis Trinca-Pasat are two of the Big Ten's best tackles and they will be pestering Dobbs all game long. A healthy center Mack Crowder, who has missed a big chunk of the season's second half, and a healthy back will certainly help both Dobbs and the Tennessee offense. Jalen Hurd, a true freshman, led the Vols with 777 yards on the ground this season is healthy once more after missing some action. He will be key in not just running the ball but also making plays as a receiver, considering the Vols are severely banged up in their receiver corps. The Hawkeyes' offense will play their typical brand of football: powerful and tough. Mark Weisman has slowed down after a hot start to the year but the powerful runner still has 14 touchdowns and over 800 yards on the year and is an absolute load to bring down. At quarterback, Jake Rudock put together a solid 2014 and will hope to continue it. While he won't be asked to do too much, Rudock is a solid passer who excels at short to intermediate throws and doesn't make too many mistakes. The Volunteers' defense will need a big day from their star linebacker A.J. Johnson, a tackling machine and will also need a strong performance from the rest of their front seven. If you are not properly prepared, Weisman can go from a good running back to a an absolutely fantastic back and Tennessee must be ready. While Iowa certainly has the grit and power to challenge the youthful (and banged up) Volunteers, Jones has Tennessee rolling. If Dobbs can make some plays and the defense can contain Weisman, Tennessee will in good position to win seven games this year, making great progress on the road back to contention inside the unforgiving SEC.
Tennessee, 24 Iowa, 20

Alamo Bowl: Alamodome, San Antonio, on January 2nd
Kansas State Wildcats (9-3) vs. UCLA Bruins (9-3)

Two teams that had shots at both conference titles and an outside shot of a Playoff berth will hope for redemption in San Antonio. Bill Snyder and his Wildcats will have to find ways to score against a strong UCLA defense, especially against the run. Erik Kendricks is among the most versatile linebackers in the nation, Myles Jack is a tremendous athlete and the Bruins have a number of linemen built to stop the run. Kansas State will not completely abandon the run, considering the success they have had using it this year. Jake Waters is a dual threat quarterback who is dangerous in the read-option or quarterback draw sets, while Charles Jones is a solid back who can break some lanes open for big gains. While containing Waters, UCLA must also be wary about his arm and the two weapons he has on the outside, Tyler Lockett and Curry Sexton. Both seniors, the pair has combined for over 2,000 yards and has given defenses serious problems. While Lockett uses his speed to stretch defenses vertically, Sexton does his work underneath as a possession guy who is very effective at moving the chains. Kendricks or Jack will have to offer some support in coverage if the Wildcats are going to stop the pair. On offense for UCLA, Brett Hundley is the X-factor. Quite possibly playing in his final collegiate game, Hundley still has moments where he wows and moments where he is far from great. Of course, he will need help from his inconsistent offensive line, along with the ground game, led by Paul Perkins. Hundley will have to avoid solid K-State defensive end Ryan Mueller and a number of other Wildcat defenders who are sure to try to take advantage of the Bruins' porous offensive line. Jordan Payton will have to be available for big plays deep and stretch the Wildcats defense to take them away from the line, which will also open up running lanes for Perkins and Hundley. Along with Mueller, linebacker Jonathan Truman is among the Big 12's best linebackers and a sure tackler. His versatility and instincts allow him to make plays all across the field and he will have to make a number of plays in this one. While the Bruins have a ton of talent on both sides of the ball, things have struggled to come together for them this year. They could be exposed against Waters and the deep threats of K-State and unless Hundley has a masterful performance, they will likely fall to 10-4.
Kansas State, 34 UCLA, 28


Thursday, January 1, 2015

College Football Playoff Picks 2014-2015: Rose and Sugar Bowl

Blake Sims
Sugar Bowl: 1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes

 

When Ohio State and third string quarterback Cardale Jones managed to jump both TCU and Baylor for the final Playoff spot, it was met mixed reviews by the college football world. The Buckeyes played in the Big Ten (which has been notoriously down for years), didn't play much of a non-conference slate and lost to a pretty weak Virginia Tech team. Now, the Buckeyes will get a chance to prove those doubters wrong with what would be a pretty major upset over Alabama in a clash of coaching legends, Urban Meyer and Nick Saban. While the loss of J.T. Barrett for the rest of the year spelled doom for Ohio State, Jones filled in a big way in the team's Big Ten Championship game victory, making some fabulous throws en route to a 59-0 beatdown of Wisconsin. The Tide have a defense superior to Wisconsin's and one that will put pressure in Jones' face. A'Shawn Robinson is a 300-plus linemen who has amazing athleticism for his size and could force Jones into mistakes. Though, it isn't Jones who the Tide really have to worry about, it is his weapons around him. Ezekiel Elliott has had a huge year at back for the Buckeyes and gets better as the season goes on. Senior receiver Devin Smith has embarrassed defenders on countless occasions throughout the season, and Jalin Marshall can impact the game in so many different ways, especially on special teams. That offense will certainly be tough to stop, but Kirby Smart and Alabama's defense will be up to the challenge. Not only will Robinson look to make a major impact, inside linebacker Trey DePriest is a leader who can make plays all across the field. In the back, ball-hawking safety Landon Collins will look to capitalize off any mistakes Jones makes, and he will make some. Lane Kiffin has done tremendous things in his one year in Tuscaloosca and he has Alabama's offense humming. Somehow, Kiffin's change to a more up-tempo, spread offensive look has worked seamlessly, despite Saban running a pro-style type look for years. Quarterback Blake Sims has been absolutely fantastic in his senior season, dazzling in his time after waiting for years for this opportunity. Derrick Henry and T.J. Yeldon, if healthy, will run the ball and challenge an Ohio State rush defense that has had some rough moments. The real challenge for Ohio State will be containing Amari Cooper, who seems to only play better when the stage is elevated. Darian Hicks will most likely be the corner tasked with stopping Cooper, though he will have reinforcements behind him. Hicks is a good athlete with the size and speed to keep up with Cooper in the most part. It will be tough for the Buckeyes to completely stop Cooper, but holding him to relatively pedestrian numbers would be a huge win. OSU defensive end Joey Bosa will play a major role in this game. Bosa is the Buckeyes best pass rusher and will therefore need to apply pressure to Sims, but will also need to help in run support, something he is pretty unfamiliar with. Depending on how well he completes those tasks will be a key point in this Sugar Bowl battle. Few teams can lose both their starting and second-string quarterback and be expected to compete with one of the best teams in the land, but Ohio State is talented enough to hang with Alabama. Though, if Cooper isn't contained or the running game dominates, they will have little chance of an upset. If Jones can limit his mistakes and Elliott and the Buckeyes' other weapons can make plays they have a shot to squeeze out a victory. Unfortunately, stopping Cooper and scoring many points against Alabama might be too much for the Buckeyes to handle.
Alabama, 31 Ohio State, 21

Rose Bowl: 2 Oregon Ducks vs. 3 Florida State Seminoles

Jalen Ramsey
Last year, Jameis Winston was able to win the Heisman and lead the Seminoles to a national championship, doing magical things all along the way. This year, Marcus Mariota has done much the same for the Ducks, except with one major part missing: the national title, which has eluded Oregon since the program's sudden rise under Chip Kelly. Mariota leads an Oregon offense that will put points on the board in bunches. Royce Freeman has rejuvenated the Ducks' ground attack, while Devon Allen is a speedster at receiver. The major change though has been at offensive line, where the return of versatile linemen Jake Fisher has helped keep Mariota on his feet, where he does crazy things. It is hard to get a read on just how good Florida State's defense is this season. While it has had some superb moments, it has also struggled in close wins over Oklahoma State, Notre Dame and Clemson. But, the Seminoles' defense always finds ways to make plays when they need them. Defensive back Jalen Ramsey is among the nation's most versatile playmakers. Ramsey can make some great plays in coverage, in run support or even as a blitzer, where his long, strong frame can bat down balls and get in the face of opposing quarterbacks. Mario Edwards and Eddie Goldman are massive loads to handle as pass rushers and they could also help contain Freeman and the rest of Oregon's playmaking backs in rush defense. While he has not been nearly as good as last year, Jameis Winston is still undefeated as a starting quarterback and continues to lead a balanced Florida State offensive attack. Winston has struggled throughout first halves all year but there are few players in the country that can make some of the plays he makes in clutch times. He seems to come out stronger and more aggressive in the second half and he has made some huge throws this year. The emergence of true freshman Dalvin Cook at back has helped the 'Noles become more versatile and not one-dimensional, which will keep defenses guessing. Rashad Greene, improving Travis Rudolph and steady tight end Nick O'Leary will be Winston's top targets in this one and at least one will have to step up in a big way (like Kelvin Benjamin in last year's BCS Championship Game) if the Seminoles are too pull off the victory. Ifo Ekpre-Olomu is a playmaker at cornerback for the Ducks and he will be likely tasked with containing Greene. Ekpre-Olomu has struggled at times but there isn't a better defensive back in the entire nation than him when playing well. Arik Armstead and a plethora of massive Oregon linemen will be tasked with pressuring Winston and forcing him out of the pocket, along with containing Cook. It has been a really weird year for the Seminoles, they are clearly undefeated but if not for a lucky bounce or missing opportunity for the opponent, they could have three or four losses at this point. While the Ducks and their proven Heisman winning quarterback Marcus Mariota are clearly the safer pick, something points to FSU. If Winston can make some of the plays he has made all year in the second half and the defense can pressure Mariota, the Seminoles will be in good position. Too often Oregon has choked in big games and while they might jump out to an early lead, Florida State has the clutch (or maybe just luck) ability to win this game in a thriller.
Florida State, 38 Oregon, 35

Bowl Predictions 2014-2015: Outback Bowl to Citrus Bowl

Nick Marshall
Outback Bowl: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, on January 1st
Wisconsin Badgers (10-3) vs. Auburn Tigers (8-4)

The SEC West has been relatively unspectacular (2-3) in their bowl games to this point, putting pressure on Auburn to get the job done against Melvin Gordon and Wisconsin. Gordon is as good of a college running back as they come, with electrifying speed and tremendous versatility. Auburn's rush defense has been consistently average but they will need to have a great day to tame Gordon, who is complemented by rising sophomore Corey Clement. Cassanova McKinzy does it all as a linebacker for the Tigers, but Auburn could be exposed against the pass, where they have evidently struggled much of the season. Wisconsin certainly won't be thought of as a dangerous passing team but quarterback Joel Stave has shown the ability to move the ball and they could capitalize on play action opportunities. Offensively, Auburn will also lean heavily on their ground attack which is led by solid Cameron Artis-Payne along with Nick Marshall. Marshall, playing in his final collegiate game, continues to shown signs of being an improved passer but still has moments where he can't make an accurate throw whatsoever. Playmaking receiver D'haquille (Duke) Williams and Sammie Coates have helped and they should play pivotal roles on third downs, where Badger defenders will struggle to defend against their large frames. Statistically, Wisconsin's defense has been among the strongest in the nation, led by safety Michael Caputo and a powerful front seven. That front seven will have to perform against the plethora of backs Auburn has ready to make plays, or else the Badgers will have a rough time. While it hasn't been the follow-up to their SEC title and National Championship game appearance many fans would have wanted, Auburn is a really strong football team. If Marshall can make some key throws and the defense contains Gordon and Clement, the Tigers could sneak away with a nice win to kick off an exciting day of college football.
Auburn, 28 Wisconsin, 20

Cotton Bowl Classic: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas on January 1st
Baylor Bears (11-1) vs. Michigan State Spartans (10-2)

Yesterday, TCU made a strong statement by absolutely pummeling Ole Miss 42-3 in the Peach Bowl. Now, Baylor has a chance to reinforce their case that they should have the CFB Playoff against a tough Michigan State team. Bryce Petty and Baylor's high-powered offense will once more in full effect, one that has so many weapons. Receivers K.D. Cannon, a healthy Antwan Goodley, Corey Coleman and backs Shock Linwood and Johnny Jefferson led the Bears against one of the toughest defenses in the land. Although he is off to Pitt to become their head coach after this game, Pat Narduzzi will have his defense playing hard and well. Shilique Calhoun and Marcus Rush will be pains to handle on the front line, while Kurtis Drummond leads a talented number of playmakers in the back. While the Spartans' defense has once more been superb, it has been exposed in Michigan State's two biggest games of the year. It was exposed constantly in the second half in the loss to Oregon, and was torn to shreds by J.T. Barrett in the Ohio State game. Petty has the arm and weapons to do much the same, and the Spartans' offense won't be able to keep up. Connor Cook has been great all year for Michigan State, along with Jeremy Langford (1,360, 19 touchdowns). Add to that Tony Lippett, who has emerged as clear No. 1 receiver, and the Spartans can put up points in a hurry. But, Baylor's defense is hungry and will force turnovers, which have been an issue for Cook throughout his young career. Defensive end Shawn Oakman has announced his decision to return to Waco next year and he could begin his 2015 by taking down Cook a couple times. The Spartans have a very improved offense, but they can't compete with a Baylor team that is rolling. If MSU continues to make their same mistakes in pass coverage, especially late in games, they'll struggle to stay in this one. It could well be a high-scoring Cotton Bowl classic, and a great start to the new year for Baylor.
Baylor, 45 Michigan State, 33

Citrus Bowl: Florida Citrus Bowl, Orlando, on January 1st
Minnesota Gophers (8-4) vs. Missouri Tigers (10-3)

Despite severe losses on both sides of the ball, Missouri and magical Gary Pinkel managed once more to win the SEC East, despite a rough loss early in the year to a terrible Indiana team. Behind the big arm of Maty Mauk, the Mizzou offense has been great for much of the year (except for lackluster performances against Georgia and Alabama). Bud Sasser has emerged as a legit stud as a receiver for the Tigers and him and Mauk will look to make big plays against the Gophers early and often. Minnesota's defense has been solid all year, especially against the pass, which should push Missouri to explore more on the ground in this one. Minnesota's game plan will be the same it was for all of 2014, run the ball constantly. David Cobb, playing in his last game with the Gophers, has quietly put together a huge year playing behind a solid Gophers' offensive line. Add in the very mobile Mitch Leidner, and Missouri could be in for problems, especially for a rush defense that has been anything but consistently strong. The Gopher's O-Line will be in for an awfully tough challenge in this one though: containing Shane Ray and Markus Golden, two of the best pass rushers in the SEC and the entire nation. Ray, who can make plays at end or as an outside linebacker, has superb athleticism and instincts and will constantly put pressure on Leidner. Leidner leaves a lot to be desired as a passer, and if flushed out of the pocket he will rarely have success. Redshirt sophomore Maxx Williams is great at tight end and has been a security blanket for Leidner all year. Williams could find open space in the play action game or on third downs. Missouri's pass defense has been decent this year, but the Gophers will still try to get the ball to Williams as much as possible. Normally, an SEC school against Big Ten West school would usually warrant a chance at a blowout. But, Minnesota's run-orientated offense could still give Missouri problems, and Mauk could have an off day against a very underrated Minnesota secondary.  While Minnesota is never a good pick to win a bowl game, considering some of the embarrassing performances they've displayed in years past, they got a nice setup against Missouri and now have weapons on both sides of the ball to get the job done in what should be a close one.
Minnesota, 27 Missouri, 24