Sunday, December 31, 2017

College Football Playoff 2017-2018: Previewing the Sugar Bowl

Travis Entienne, Clemson
The last two seasons, Clemson-Alabama have given us memorable ends to the college football season. Two years ago, Deshaun Watson dominated but it wasn't enough as a bold onside kick to start the second half guided Alabama to victory. Last season, the Tigers started off slow but Watson led an epic comeback capped off by a last-second touchdown grab by Hunter Renfrow. There is no Watson this season, and this isn't the National Championship game, but it should still be a thrilling game. Clemson earned the No. 1 seed in the Playoff field, and hopes to defend that National Title. On the other side, Alabama looks to validate getting into the field over Ohio State, and get vengeance for last year.

Without Watson, Clemson's offense isn't quite as dangerous, but the group still proved it could get the job done on countless occasions this season. First-year starter Kelly Bryant isn't a great passer but he is dangerous with his legs and can really break games open. When paired with freshman Travis Entienne (744 yards, 13 touchdowns) and Tavien Feaster (659), Clemson's rushing attack can really be scary. Facing an Alabama defense that is very beat up on the D-Line and at linebacker could be a great opportunity for the group to show what they can do. On the outside, Clemson possesses some real weapons, namely Deon Cain and Renfrow. Cain is the next in a long line of talented Clemson wide outs, while Renfrow has played insane each of the past two teams he has played the Tide. Up front, Clemson has had some injuries, but the line should still be enough to control the line of scrimmage. In the past, Alabama was able to bully opponents and beat them with their insane athleticism defensively. That isn't going to be the case for Clemson. This offense might not drop 50 every night, but it has good balance and any number of guys can go out and break the game open.

While the offense will obviously need to play well to win this one, the Tigers will turn to their defense, which has been their strength all season. Clemson may have the nation's best defensive line, featuring four guys who should soon be playing on Sundays. Austin Bryant has had a breakout campaign, with 14.5 tackles for loss and 7.5 sacks, Clelin Ferrell dominated in last year's Playoff and had 17 tackles for loss this year, and interior linemen Christian Wilkins and Dexter Lawrence are two of the best out there. Beyond that, the Tigers feature two superb linebackers in Kendall Joseph and Dorian O'Daniel who should be able to slow down Alabama's ground game. In the secondary, Clemson has plenty of talent but the group has lacked much consistency, and has been prone to big plays. Alabama still won't throw the ball a ton, but it could be cause for concern for the Tigers if Jalen Hurts is able to get the ball down the field. Even so, Clemson defensive coordinator Brent Venables is one of the best there is, and devised a perfect defense to stem the Tide last season.

The first season of new Alabama offensive coordinator Brian Daboll wasn't exactly a booming success, but the Tide have proven they can still move the ball with a stellar rushing attack and consistent play from Hurts. Hurts hasn't had the breakout sophomore season some expected but he still has put up good numbers and showed great command of the offense. He also is still dangerous as ever with his legs, which could give the Clemson defense some serious problems. At running back, the Tide are stacked, per usual. Damien Harris leads the team in rushing, and is averaging 8.2 yards per rush. Powerful Bo Scarbrough and youngsters Joshua Jacobs and Najee Harris also will provide plenty of help. At receiver, there is no secret who Hurts will look to often. Junior Calvin Ridley led the team with 55 receptions and 896 yards on the season. The second closest was true freshman Jerry Jeudy, who had just 13 catches for 244 yards by comparison. If Clemson can shut down Ridley, this Alabama offense could really become one-dimensional.

The biggest reason why Alabama wasn't quite their dominant selves towards the end of the season was their defense. The unit is still as talented and deep as ever, but it has a long list of players sidelined with injury. That list includes defensive back Minkah Fitzpatrick, who won the Jim Thorpe Award for the nation's best defensive back. Fitzpatrick has been dealing with a hamstring injury for awhile, but luckily, is probable in this one. Alabama is still pretty strong in the front seven, even with a number of linebackers out. Raekwon Davis has evolved into a top-notch defensive linemen, while nose guard Da'Ron Payne will be tasked with slowing down Clemson's rushing attack. Alabama also should have a great counterattack to Bryant through the air with the talent they possess in the defensive backfield. Not only is Fitzpatrick a proven difference-maker, Levi Wallace and Anthony Averett are terrific. Wallace has proven himself as a game changer on the season, while Averett is one of the country's best cover corners, and will be tasked with slowing down likely Deon Cain.

Neither of these teams are their 2016-2017 selves, but that isn't necessarily a bad thing. Clemson has proven they can with Bryant leading the way, and the defense, which was once the team's Achilles Heel, has morphed into a Top 10 unit. On the other side, Alabama has proven themselves countless times on the biggest of stages and has insane amounts of depth. I expect it to be a hard-fought, hard-hitting football game, but I think Clemson will pull it out. The Tide just don't seem like they are at Clemson's level right now, and the Tigers have more overall versatility and balance.


College Football Playoff 2017-2018: Previewing the Rose Bowl

Over the course of his three seasons in Norman, Baker Mayfield has won three Big 12 titles, made the
Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
College Football Playoff twice, won a Heisman, and set countless records while leading the Oklahoma Sooners. However, there is one big thing missing from his legendary career: a National Title. Mayfield will get an opportunity to manage just that as he begins his quest against the Georgia Bulldogs, who pounded Auburn in the SEC Championship to win a conference title in Kirby Smart's second season. The game will feature an explosive, balanced Oklahoma offense against a physical, well-built Bulldogs' defense in a historic venue. It should be the perfect way to kick off 2018 in the world of college football.

Mayfield, who of course was once a walk-on at Oklahoma after transferring from Texas Tech (where he was also a walk-on), has put together one of the most impressive seasons ever by an Oklahoma QB, a list that includes various Heisman winners and many record-setting signal-callers. The senior has played with his usual confidence and fearlessness, but has cut down on turnovers and played even better in the bigger games. Mayfield has been the driving force behind an offense that is averaging 45 points per game and 583 yards per game (best in the nation), but he isn't the only weapon the Sooners will use to attack that fantastic Georgia defense. Oklahoma has a three-headed monster at running back, where Rodney Anderson, Trey Sermon and Abdul Adams will lead the way. Anderson led the team in rushing, with 960 yards and 11 scores, but Sermon and Adams offer some major big-play potential, particularly Adams, who averaged a whopping 9.2 yards per carry. Georgia has done a good job of containing the big play all season long, but OU head man Lincoln Riley is fantastic at finding ways to create space and wearing defenses down. Mayfield also has a very capable receiver group to work with, which includes reliable Marquise Brown and John Mackey Award winner Mark Andrews, who had 906 yards at tight end. He also operates behind one of the country's best offensive lines, which will have to deal with an aggressive and experience UGA pass rush. Overall, the group has great balance and solid experience, which puts them in a good spot to still light up the scoreboard, even with how much talent Georgia has on that side of the ball. 

The bigger question for Oklahoma is on defense, where the group has struggled for a big chunk of the season. With their offense being so good, it hasn't really derailed the Sooners, but it could become a major problem against some of the talented teams in the four-team field. Georgia's offense is not as explosive as Oklahoma, but it is still a group that can certainly attack a weak defense. Oklahoma will have to hope for a big day from sack machine Ogobonnia Okoronkwo, as well as a good day from an inconsistent secondary. If Okoronkwo can apply pressure on true freshman QB Jake Fromm and the secondary can force some turnovers, the Sooners should really be in a good spot.

What is very impressive about Georgia this season is their success despite having Fromm, who is just 19, leading the charge. Fromm took over when former five-star recruit Jacob Eason went down early in the season with an injury, and has subsequently cemented himself as the leader of this football team. Fromm doesn't have the big play ability of Mayfield or other quarterbacks across the country, but he plays smart football and gets down the field without turning the ball over. The true frosh is also exceptional on back-shoulder throws towards the sideline, so expect to see UGA attack the Oklahoma defense horizontally as well as vertically. The Bulldogs lean heavily on their rushing attack, which includes seniors Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. Both could have left for the NFL and likely been high picks, but opted to return for their senior season to try to bring a National Championship to Athens. Chubb is the workhorse that thrives between the tackles, while Michel has a little bit more wiggle to him. Outside of Ohio State, Oklahoma hasn't seen this skilled of a rushing attack, so it will be interesting to see how they react to it. On the outside, UGA also has a number of guys that should be able to attack the Sooners' secondary, mainly wide receiver Javon Wims and Terry Godwin. The offensive line also is known for its physical nature and should be able to perform well, even against an Oklahoma defense that loves to blitz.

The real strength for Georgia is definitely their defense, which is allowing just 13.4 points per game, which is fourth nationally. It starts with their defensive line, which lacks any big names and is far from flashy, but eats up running holes and should be able to get in Mayfield's face. The real strength is at linebacker, where Roquan Smith, who finished tenth in Heisman voting, is the unquestioned leader of the unit. Smith managed 103 tackles on the season and can play from sideline to sideline as well as anybody in the country. The linebacker corps is hurt, however, by the absence of Natrez Patrick, a hard-hitting linebacker is out after being arrested. In the defensive backfield, UGA has a lot of veteran leadership and established playmakers. It is hard to imagine them completely shutting down Mayfield and the Sooners' aerial attack, but they should certainly be enough to at the very least, slow it down.

It should be an interesting clash of two teams with different philosophies. Oklahoma will want to come out and play aggressive on both sides of the ball, while the Bulldogs should slow down the game and play smart, physical football. Both are clearly good football teams, and their differing strengths still make them very evenly matched. In a game where neither team is really a clear favorite, it makes sense to go with the team with the best player, which is Mayfield. The last time he played in a Playoff game it was short-lived, as Mayfield was unable to overcome Clemson in '15-'16. Don't expect that to be the case this time. Oklahoma is my pick to win the National Championship.

The Pick: Oklahoma, 31 Georgia, 24

Friday, December 29, 2017

Bowl Picks 2017-2018: Belk Bowl to Cotton Bowl

Parris Campbell & J.K. Dobbins, Ohio State (Cotton Bowl)
Belk Bowl
Texas A&M Aggies (7-5) vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (7-5)
Its a new day at Texas A&M, as Jimbo Fisher begins his tenure with the Aggies against an old ACC opponent. Wake Forest put together a solid 2017, and continue to make strides under head coach Dave Clawson. QB John Wolford, along with workhorse tailback Matt Colburn will lead the offense, while Jessie Bates and a ball-hawking defense will try to force turnovers. Texas A&M still has an explosive offense, which includes stars Trayveon Williams and wide out Christian Kirk (who confirmed he will play in this one despite some who thought he might sit out). If A&M can make some stops defensively, and the offense can win the turnover battle, the speed and explosiveness of this Aggies' team should guide them to victory.
Texas A&M, 35 Wake Forest, 30

Hyundai Sun Bowl
NC State Wolfpack (8-4) vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (7-5)
After a tough end-of-the-year stretch, NC State looks to finish the season on a high note against an Arizona State undergoing a coaching change, as former NFL head man Herm Edwards moves to the collegiate game. Offensively, NC State doesn't have a clear superstar, but quarterback Ryan Finley is as smart and efficient as they come, and do-it-all running back/receiver Jaylen Samuels should be able to do some serious damage against a weak ASU defense. On the other side of the ball, the Wolfpack have a future first-round NFL Draft pick in defensive end Bradley Chubb, who should wreak havoc against a porous Sun Devils' O-Line. Arizona State has some dangerous weapons, particularly wide receiver N'Keal Harry, but they've struggled with consistency and turnovers all season long. The Wolfpack should be able to roll in this one.
NC State, 31 Arizona State, 17

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Kentucky Wildcats (7-5) vs. Northwestern Wildcats (9-3)
Neither got much attention prior to this season, but Kentucky and Northwestern both put together quality seasons in 2017. Kentucky survived the always-tough SEC thanks in large part to running back Benny Snell Jr., who ran for 1,318 yards and 18 scores this season. Snell and the rest of the Kentucky offense will have to have a field day, because the defense has been unreliable all year long, and Northwestern's offense has been on fire. Dual threat QB Clayton Thorson is always a threat, and tailback Justin Jackson is a threat to have a huge day anytime he runs onto the field. Northwestern is also playing great defense, holding opponents to under 20 points per game on the season. They should be able to control Snell enough to seal a win.
Northwestern, 28 Kentucky, 20

Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl
Utah State Aggies (6-6) vs. New Mexico State Aggies (6-6)
One of the coolest stories of this college football season was New Mexico State, who went 6-6 and will be playing in their first bowl game since 1960. NMSU has a dangerous aerial attack, the fourth best in the country this past season. Signal-caller Tyler Rogers and a quick group of receivers should give Utah State some serious issues. Utah State reached the postseason behind a solid defense and a disciplined offense. Their defense has decent depth and experience, but they have struggled to defend the pass at times this year. That should only make things better for NMSU, who should finish their first bowl appearance in nearly six decades with a win.
New Mexico State, 38 Utah State, 27

Cotton Bowl Classic
Ohio State Buckeyes (11-2) vs. USC Trojans (11-2)
Two conference champions, Ohio State and USC, should be able to give us an exciting Cotton Bowl that is sure to keep the scoreboard operators busy. Quarterback Sam Darnold didn't quite dominate like some expected prior to the season, but he has improved as the season has gone on, and is aided by backs Ronald Jones II (1,486 yards) and Stephen Carr (363 yards). However, USC's defense has struggled with consistency, and has had trouble supporting a turnover-prone offense. They will be in store for a tough game against the Buckeyes. True freshman J.K. Dobbins has had a huge season, and QB J.T. Barrett expects to end his lengthy collegiate career with a resounding win. Ohio State also has the motivation factor advantage here; they will play angry after being snubbed from the College Football Playoff.
Ohio State, 40 USC, 31

Wednesday, December 27, 2017

Bowl Picks 2017-2018: Pinstripe Bowl to Military Bowl

Drew Lock, Missouri (Texas Bowl)
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Iowa Hawkeyes (7-5) vs. Boston College Eagles (7-5)
Neither Iowa nor Boston College are teams known to light up the scoreboard, but that has slightly changed in 2017. BC found their offense in the second half of the year and put up 45 against Louisville, 41 against Virginia and 35 over Florida State. They've relied on the play of youthful running back A.J. Dillon (1,432 yards) but it will be interesting to see what he will able to do against a stout Iowa rush defense that includes star linebacker Josey Jewell. For the Hawkeyes they've had some poor moments offensively, but did score 55 against Ohio State and 56 against Nebraska and feature a potent rush attack. If the Hawkeyes can have a solid day offensively and stud defenders like Jewell and cornerback Joshua Jackson trip up the Eagles, Iowa should end a crazy season with a win.
Iowa, 28 Boston College, 21

Foster Farms Bowl
Arizona Wildcats (7-5) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (6-6)
Not much was expected in the preseason from either Arizona or Purdue, but the two have been pleasant surprises this year. Arizona has rode rushing QB Khalil Tate heavily but the offense seemed to struggle late in the year and it is still extremely one-dimensional. For Purdue, new head coach Jeff Brohm has brought a more exciting, up-tempo attack offensively, but with mixed results. Injuries have hurt the Boilermakers, but they are averaging just 24.3 PPG (100th in the nation). The good news is that the defense has tons of experience and is really good in the linebacker corps. Purdue still worries me offensively but I think the defense can be the fueling force in a slight upset here. The Boilermakers seem to be playing harder right now than 'Zona and are healthier overall.
Purdue, 30 Arizona, 26

Academy Sports+Outdoors Texas Bowl
Texas Longhorns (6-6) vs. Missouri Tigers (7-5)
Former Big 12 foes clash in the Texas Bowl, which should give us a pretty high-scoring, exciting football game. Missouri has been on fire over the season's second half and are potent offensively, where QB Drew Lock engineers a big-play group. However, the defense has lagged behind all season long, and could be in store for a tough meeting with the 'Horns. True freshman quarterback Sam Ehlinger has been very good in his first season in Austin, and leads the team in passing and rushing. If he can limit mistakes, which have haunted him at times in '17, he should be able to dice up that very porous Mizzou D. Tom Herman seems to have already injected this Texas team with plenty of life, and a victory here could only be the start of something special for the Longhorns.
Texas, 35 Missouri, 31

Military Bowl presented by Northrop Grumman
Virginia Cavaliers (6-6) vs. Navy Midshipmen (6-6)
After a dismal 2016 that included a loss to FCS foe Richmond, Virginia had a really good season, and has a very winnable bowl game against Navy. Veteran QB Kurt Benkert has looked much more poised and confident all season, and is helped by two great running backs in Justin Ellis and Olamide Zaccheaus. The defense is also rock-solid, and brings linebacker Micah Kiser and safety Quin Blanding to the table. Navy still runs the triple-option, but the offense hasn't been as crisp and effective as usual under first-year starting QB Zach Abey. Facing a triple-option is still going to adjustment for the Cavaliers but head coach Bronco Mendenhall is a great defensive mind and should have them ready to go.
Virginia, 27 Navy, 24

Tuesday, December 26, 2017

Bowl Picks 2017-2018: Heart of Dallas Bowl to Independence Bowl

Josh Rosen, UCLA (Cactus Bowl)
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl
Utah Utes (6-6) vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-5)
Two teams with vastly different philosophies square off in the Heart of Dallas Bowl. West Virginia has one of the nation's most explosive offensive units, headlined by quarterback Will Grier, running back Justin Crawford and receivers David Sills and Gary Jennings. They pose a big challenge for Utah, who has long been more conservative offensively and leans more on the defense. However, in order to keep up with WVU, the Utes will need the offense to have a big day. Back Zack Moss and Oregon transfer Darren Carrington give the unit some weapons, but unless the defense shuts down Grier and company, the Mountaineers should be able to snatch up their eighth win of the year.
West Virginia, 33 Utah, 23

Quick Lane Bowl
Northern Illinois Huskies (8-4) vs. Duke Blue Devils (6-6)
Northern Illinois has earned a reputation as a small school dark horse over the past decade in college football, and now they have a shot to take down an ACC school in 6-6 Duke. The Blue Devils aren't very imposing offensively but have still proven they can move the ball with the help of QB Daniel Jones and wide out T.J. Rahming, but there real strength is on defense, where they allow just 20.8 points per game (25th nationally). That is also the case for the Huskies, who have struggled to move the ball through the air consistently all season long, but rely on a methodical rushing attack and strong defense. It should be a competitive game, but Duke brings just more experience and overall talent to the table.
Duke, 27 Northern Illinois, 21

Cactus Bowl
Kansas State Wildcats (7-5) vs. UCLA Bruins (6-6)
Even though both teams dealt with injuries, it was a very disappointing 2017 for K-State and UCLA. The Wildcats couldn't get consistent QB play for a big chunk of the year, but youngster Skylar Thompson has played great down the stretch and orchestrated the upset of Oklahoma State. Meanwhile, UCLA struggled mightily after beating Texas A&M and plan to bring in Chip Kelly to turn around the program. The Bruins have a proven star in junior QB Josh Rosen, but the weak ground attack continues to make the offense very one-dimensional. That isn't going to work against a Wildcats' defense that is well-coached and has solid experience throughout. If Thompson and the offense can pound a lackluster UCLA defense, K-State should roll.
Kansas State, 31 UCLA, 20

Walk On's Independence Bowl
Florida State Seminoles (6-6) vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (8-4)
After losing star quarterback Deondre Francois to a season-ending knee injury, Florida State had a rollercoaster of a 2017, barely sneaking into bowl play with a 6-6 mark. They hope to give new head coach Willie Taggart some momentum to work with by ending the year with a win over Southern Miss. The Golden Eagles are a good football team, and have one of the country's most under-the-radar superstars in running back Ito Smith, who ran for 1,321 yards and 13 touchdowns on the year. FSU has loads of talent defensively, including cornerback Tavarus McFadden and safety Derwin James, but the unit has underperformed for much of the year. That puts more pressure on a young offense, which leans on QB James Blackman and true frosh back Cam Akers. Even so, the Seminoles impressive talent and recent hot streak should guide them to a victory.
Florida State, 34 Southern Miss, 28

Thursday, December 21, 2017

Bowl Picks 2017-2018: Famous Idaho Potato Bowl to Hawaii Bowl

Logan Woodside, Toledo (Dollar General Bowl)
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Central Michigan Chippewas (8-4) vs. Wyoming Cowboys (7-5)
If you are a fan of hard-hitting, smashmouth defenses than the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl is the one for you. It pits Central Michigan and their 8-4 mark against Wyoming, who has been led by the nation's 13th best scoring defense. Offensively, the Cowboys are hoping NFL Draft prospect Josh Allen (considered by many to have first-round potential) can create some big plays and mask a rushing attack that has been close to nonexistent on the season. Allen will have his work cut out for him against a Chippewas defense that is well-coached and is great at creating turnovers. If Central Michigan can get production from an offense headed by Michigan transfer Shane Morris at quarterback and solid running back Jonathan Ward, they should be able to end the 2017 campaign on a high note.
Central Michigan, 28 Wyoming, 21

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Army Black Knights (9-3) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (10-2)
Expect plenty of running the football in the Armed Forces Bowl, as Army and their triple-option attack square off against Rashaad Penny and the SDSU Aztecs. Penny was not invited to New York as Heisman finalist, but he certainly had a case to be after managing 2,027 yards and 19 touchdowns on the year. He is almost sure to give a porous Army rush defense some serious problems in this one. For the Black Knights, they rely almost exclusively on the run, throwing just 61 passes on the season (an average of just over five per game). QB Ahmad Bradshaw is their most dangerous playmaker, while backs Darnell Woolfolk and Kell Walker help out. Facing a triple-option offense is always a difficulty, but the Aztecs have had weeks to prepare. They should be able to slow it down enough to clinch a victory.
San Diego State, 34 Army, 24

Dollar General Bowl
Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-4) vs. Toledo Rockets (11-2)
Outside of UCF and perhaps USF, Toledo and Appalachian State may be the two best Group of Five teams in the country, and eager to finish off the season with a win in the Dollar General Bowl. The Rockets have been consistently terrific, using a big-play offense and well-rounded defense to become MAC Champions. QB Logan Woodside is helped by 1,000-yard rusher Terry Swanson and 1,000-yard wide out Diontae Johnson, two guys sure to give the Mountaineers issues. For Appalachian State, the key will be getting production from a methodical rushing attack and a very strong defense that came in 33rd in points allowed per game. It should be a pretty evenly matched bowl and one of the better of the early ones, but I like Toledo and their explosive offense to keep the momentum rolling.
Toledo, 35 Appalachian State, 30

Hawai'i Bowl
Fresno State Bulldogs (9-4) vs. Houston Cougars (7-4)
Despite having two first-year head coaches, both Fresno State and Houston managed to put together successful 2017 seasons, and now meet in the Hawai'i Bowl. Fresno State was especially surprising, going from a 1-11 2016 to 9-4 this season and a spot in the Mountain West Championship Game. Former Oregon State QB Marcus McMaryion has led a very solid offense, but the defense has been the real key to their improvement, allowing just 17.2 PPG (ninth nationally). Meanwhile, the Cougars also rely heavily on the defensive side of the ball, where they have future NFL Draft selection Ed Oliver leading the way, and plenty of experience throughout. However, in order to overcome the Bulldogs they'll need the offense to find it's groove. The unit has struggled mightily this season (despite head coach Major Applewhite's offensive roots) and won't have it easy in this one.
Fresno State, 27 Houston, 18

Saturday, December 16, 2017

Bowl Picks 2017-2018: Boca Raton Bowl to Bahamas Bowl

Jason Driskel, FAU (Boca Raton Bowl)
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl
Florida Atlantic Owls (10-3) vs. Akron Zips (7-6)
Lane Kiffin has engineered an impressively quick turnaround at Florida Atlantic, where the Owls have risen into a viable program and just won the Conference USA. They should be able to end the year on a high note, squaring off against a good, not great, Akron team. Running back Devin Singletary (1,796 yards) and dual threat QB Jason Driskel should be able to have a big day against an inconsistent Akron rush defense and the Owls' opportunistic defense will look to force some turnovers. FAU has a significant advantage playing at home in this (game is at FAU Stadium) and should be able to use it to finish the season with 11 victories.
Florida Atlantic, 38 Akron, 24

DXL Frisco Bowl
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (6-6) vs. SMU Mustangs (7-5)
Despite a tough late-season stretch SMU managed to find their way into the postseason and will meet up with a Louisiana Tech that can really move the ball. The Mustangs will be without head coach Chad Morris (who has taken the job at Arkansas) but the new coaching staff should still be able to get the team to fight hard. Underrated QB Ben Hicks will lead the efficient offensive attack, and should have a field day against a weak Tech secondary. On the other side, the Bulldogs will lean heavily on a ground game that includes senior Boston Scott (937 yards, eight touchdowns) and dual threat signal-caller J'Mar Smith. The Mustangs are probably the more talented team, and new head coach Sonny Dykes is well-known for being able to attack teams weaknesses. Dykes should be able to begin the new era with the Mustangs with a decisive win.
SMU, 35 Louisiana Tech, 21

Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl
Temple Owls (6-6) vs. Florida International Panthers (8-4)
Two first-year head coaches clash as Temple and Geoff Collins meet with Butch Davis and Florida International. The Panthers were a pretty big surprise, finishing 8-4, despite little preseason expectations. They have done so by playing a smart brand of football and not turning the ball over, which has masked some of their serious deficiencies on the defensive side of the ball. QB Alex McGough and wide out Thomas Owens are a dangerous 1-2 punch, but the Owls are led by Collins, a great defensive mind who loves to get pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Temple's offense has lacked much bite for much of the season, however, which could force this into a low-scoring affair.
FIU, 24 Temple, 17

Bahamas Bowl
UAB Blazers (8-4) vs. Ohio Bobcats (8-4)
UAB is one of the greatest stories of this college football season, as the Blazers have returned from their two-year absence to finish 8-4 and make their first bowl since 2004, their lone bowl appearance. Their reward is a matchup with Ohio, one of the most consistent Group of Five programs in the country. The Bobcats have a very dangerous rushing attack, and rely on a defense with a lot of veteran leadership and depth. They will be quite a tough game for UAB, although the Blazers will counter with star running back Spencer Brown (1,292 yards) and rock-solid quarterback A.J. Erdely. Ohio is a good football team, but UAB has played with a chip on their shoulder all season long, and should have extra motivation in this one.
UAB, 24 Ohio, 23

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

Bowl Picks 2017-2018: New Orleans Bowl to Camellia Bowl

Brett Rypien, Boise State (Las Vegas Bowl)
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Troy Trojans (10-2) vs. North Texas Mean Green (9-4)
Two of the best Group of Five teams meet in the New Orleans Bowl, which kicks off bowl action on Saturday, December 16th. Troy is led by an efficient, methodical offense and one of the country's most underrated defenses (17.5 points against per game, 11th in the nation) and have been flaming hot, ending the regular season with six straight victories. North Texas relies more on their offense, and are very explosive through the air. However, veteran QB Mason Fine will be in store for a tough game against the Trojans' opportunistic defense, which feeds off turnovers.
Troy, 27 North Texas, 24

AutoNation Cure Bowl
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-6) vs. Georgia State Panthers (6-5)
Old Sun Belt foes (WKU is now in the C-USA) square off in Orlando, and things should be highly competitive. Western Kentucky slipped a little bit without head coach Jeff Brohm this season, but they still move the ball down the field and are a disciplined football team. The Panthers are led by solid quarterback Conner Manning and stud wide receiver Penny Hart, who has attracted the attention of some NFL scouts. With Western Kentucky trending down over the past couple weeks, losing four of their last five, it looks like Georgia State should be able to pull off this one.
Georgia State, 30 Western Kentucky, 27

Las Vegas Bowl
Boise State Broncos (10-3) vs. Oregon Ducks (7-5)
The last time these two West Coast squads met, LeGarrette Blount made headlines with a sucker-punch following a loss. Don't expect that type of drama in this game, but it should still be a good one. Boise has a terrific down the field passing attack, and running back Alexander Mattison has done a fine job replacing star Jeremy McNichols. They also feature a well-coached, well-built defense, which will be key against an Oregon offense that still loves to go fast. The Ducks have missed injured signal-caller Justin Herbert, but will still run the ball well. Motivation could be an important factor; Oregon just lost head coach Willie Taggart to Florida State. Will the players play harder for the coaching staff, or come out flat?
Boise State, 33 Oregon, 31

Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Marshall Thundering Herd (7-5) vs. Colorado State Rams (7-5)
After a rough end-of-the-year stretch, Colorado State hopes to end the year on a high note, facing a quality Marshall opponent. The Rams still have some serious issues on defense, but offensively, they are one of the nation's most explosive. QB Nick Stevens, back Dalyn Dawkins and wide out Michael Gallup are one heck of a trio, and should be able to give the Herd headaches. Marshall will need their own offense to show up, which has some real talent, but has struggled to find any consistency.
Colorado State, 35 Marshall, 24

Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-4) vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (6-6)
While they still played their way into the postseason, Middle Tennessee's 6-6 mark was disappointing to some. They will hope to end the year with some momentum, which will require them to beat one of the Sun Belt's most consistent programs. Injuries have crippled the Blue Raiders, as they've missed star QB Brent Stockstill and receiver Richie James, but the offense still has proven it can move the ball. However, Arkansas State has a rock-solid defense and should be able to attack Middle Tennessee's thin secondary, with QB Justice Hansen leading the country's sixth-best aerial attack.
Arkansas State, 27 Middle Tennessee, 20

Sunday, December 10, 2017

My Favorite Moments from the 2017 College Football Regular Season

Now that bowls have been announced and the four Playoff teams are known, the college football season has nearly reached its inevitable end. While there are still some memorable moments left to come, I took some time to reminisce on some of my favorite moments from the 2017 college football regular season:

Baker Plants the Flag

After being dominated by Ohio State early on in the 2016 season, Oklahoma entered their Week Two meeting with the Buckeyes eager for revenge. The Sooners did just that, handling the Buckeyes without much issue, rolling to a 31-16 victory. The victory didn't just assert Oklahoma as serious National Title contenders, but also began Baker Mayfield's Heisman run. It was all capped off with Mayfield rushing to the middle of the field and planting an Oklahoma flag right in the heart of the OSU logo. While the move rubbed some people the wrong way and Mayfield was forced to apologize, I loved it. The senior quarterback had just had a huge victory and was celebrating, in typical Baker Mayfield fashion. The veteran quarterback is not only one of the best players in the sport, his confidence and charisma exemplify some of the things that are the best in sports.

Saquon Barkley Hurdling Iowa

Fourth-ranked Penn State began their conference play on the road against Iowa, a tall task for anyone. While the Hawkeyes don't have the talent or stars Penn State possesses, going on the road in Iowa City is always difficult. The Hawkeyes gave the Nittany Lions a very tough game, and nearly had it won before a last-minute drive by Trace McSorley and PSU. Beating Iowa not only kept Penn State's Playoff hopes alive for the time being, it began to show the college football world just how good PSU running back Saquon Barkley was. Barkley ran for 211 yards and recorded 94 receiving yards and also provided us with some highlight-reel plays, including a hurdle over Iowa defender Joshua Jackson that produced one of the coolest GIFS you'll ever see. Barkley became a Heisman favorite following the win, but struggles later on dropped him out of the race for the sport's most prestigious award. Yet, his play against a good Iowa team on primetime TV on the road was an absolute thrill to watch, and gave us a good indication of what Barkley may soon be doing on Sundays.

Syracuse Stuns Clemson

For the first half of the 2017 season, Clemson looked primed to have a good shot at repeating as National Champions, prior to a Thursday night clash with Syracuse. Not much was thought of Syracuse's chances to win at home, but the Orange came out and outplayed the ACC favorite. Junior quarterback Eric Dungey threw for 278 yards and guided 'Cuse to a thrilling victory (which was helped by Clemson losing QB Kelly Bryant to a concussion). Clemson did end up recovering, winning out and earning the No. 1 seed in the Playoff race, and the Orange were unable to keep the momentum going, as they fell back towards the bottom of the ACC. Even so, watching the fans storm the field and head coach Dino Babers embrace his winning QB (right) was awesome, and again, is one of the things that make college sports so great.

Iowa State Beats Another Top 5 Team

Iowa State has long been a punching bag in the Big 12 over the years, and while second-year coach Matt Campbell looked like he was ready to turn things around in Ames, the Cyclones still were picked eighth or ninth in the preseason by most. However, despite losing their starting QB (Jacob Park) early on in the season, Iowa State proved to be one of the country's biggest surprises. Walk-on Kyle Kempt played masterful and out-dueled Baker Mayfield in a huge upset on the road, then a few weeks later, once again guided Iowa State to a Top 5 victory, overcoming TCU, who at that point was the Big 12 favorite. It was great to see a program that had endured some tough times over the past few seasons have the type of success they did, and even better considering they were led by a walk-on, and veteran Joel Lanning, who starred at both QB and linebacker. The Cyclones were unable to play their way into the Big 12 Championship Game, but finishing at 7-5 was still a major improvement after going 3-9 in Campbell's first year on campus.

The Turnover Chain

I don't think there was a cooler tradition in college football this season than the "Turnover Chain" broken out by Miami. The gold, shiny "U" chain was brought out every time a Hurricanes player forced a turnover, which happened aplenty as Miami jumped out to a 10-0 start on the year. It was great to see Miami, of course one of the sport's storied programs, be dominant once more and even cooler to see them doing it with their version of "swagger". The 'Canes were unable to beat Clemson in the ACC Championship, and won't be playing in the Playoff just yet, but the 2017 season really saw them return to prominence, as they won the Coastal Division for the first time since they moved to the ACC a decade ago, and got the fans the most excited they've been in a long time.

The Iron Bowl

No matter how good Auburn or Alabama is playing, their annual rivalry in the Iron Bowl has big implications for the people of Alabama. The rivalry is always heated and usually has major implications when it comes to the SEC West, which was certainly the case in 2017. The winner would not only win the division, they would put themselves in prime position to earn a Playoff berth. Undefeated Alabama didn't play poorly, they were simply outplayed by Auburn who looked confident en route to their second win over a No. 1 team of the season. Auburn did eventually lose to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, but the victory still represented a major power shift in the SEC West, and showed that Alabama, who had ruled the SEC with an iron fist the last few years, wasn't exactly invincible.

Other Cool Moments

  • Ohio State and Penn State in the rematch of their 2016 thriller
  • UCF going undefeated two years after going 0-12 (and their classy send-off to head coach Scott Frost)
  • Florida QB Feliepe Franks' Hail Mary to stun Tennessee
  • Breakout stars like Stanford's Bryce Love, San Diego State's Rashaad Penny, UCF's McKenzie Milton and Wisconsin's Jonathan Taylor


Sunday, December 3, 2017

Reaction to the 2017 College Football Playoff Field

J.T. Barrett, Ohio State
After over three months of fall Saturdays, primetime duels and a decent amount of controversy we have arrived at the culmination of the 2017 college football regular season, and the releasing of the four teams competing for the national title. Unsurprisingly, Clemson locked down the top seed following a dominating ACC Championship win over Miami, Oklahoma came in at number two with the SEC Champ Georgia rounding out the top three. The final spot was where the big debate was set to happen: would the two-loss Big Ten Champ Ohio State get in or could one-loss Alabama make their fourth straight Playoff bid? In the end, the Tide gained the final spot in the four-team field, surprising more than a few folks. Once again, the move by the Selection Committee makes the qualifications to make the Playoff even more unclear, and indicates just how hard it is to make it into the sport's most exclusive club.

The debate between Ohio State and Alabama for the fourth and final spot was clear, even if Alabama wasn't going to get a chance to play in a conference championship field. The Buckeyes win over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship clearly proved that Ohio State was the top team in the conference, and showed their potential when they were fully healthy. Ohio State also seemed to have a stronger resume, which included victories over Michigan State, Michigan and Penn State and a nine game conference schedule (the SEC only plays eight, which is why Alabama played Mercer late in the season). Yet, that doesn't mean the Buckeyes weren't without downsides. They were dominated in the non-conference at home by Oklahoma and also went on the road and lost to 31 to Iowa, who ended up 7-5 and under .500 in the conference. On the other hand, Alabama owned a better record and did beat a fully healthy Florida State in the opener, but were dominated by an Auburn team that went out and looked flat against Georgia in the SEC Championship. The Tide were also hurt by a resume that lacked much substance beyond wins over LSU and Mississippi State. The Selection Committee still decided that Alabama deserved the last spot, which again throws the Playoff system into question. In 2014, we learned how much the Committee seemed to value conference championships when Ohio State jumped TCU and Baylor then we've seen two teams that haven't won conference championships make it in the last two years (Ohio State last year, Alabama this year). The Committee made it clear how important having a strong resume and overall quality opponents were, then puts Alabama in, despite Ohio State having a stronger strength of schedule and nine conference games. So, what exactly is the Selection Committee looking for? Does Alabama get a free pass just because they are Alabama? While the Playoff system seems like a vast improvement over the BCS, with more teams getting representation, there has to be a way to better figure out the best four teams in the country. Whether it comes to computers or a Committee that is more consistent in their selection of teams, the recent decisions throw serious questions into the future of the Playoff system.

Despite the claim that the implementation of the Playoff would give us a wider variety of teams able to fight for a National Title, the Playoff system continues to exclude Group of Five teams, which includes UCF this year. Sure, the Knights didn't exactly play a brutally tough schedule (their toughest non-conference game was against Maryland) but going undefeated should at least get you more respect than 12th in the country. An ideal solution would be to move the Playoff to eight teams, and include one Group of Five team to get more representation across the country. It seems almost inevitable that this will happen eventually, but perhaps now, in a year where there are a number of teams that have a great case to make the field and were still excluded, that really set the events in motion towards an eight-team Playoff.

There is sure to be plenty of continued debate about how Alabama was able to get in over Ohio State, but the decision has been made and despite these complaints, this year gives us some intriguing battles. Alabama and Clemson are set to meet for the third time in as many years, while Oklahoma and Georgia give us a duel between an elite offense and shutdown defense. It should still be an exciting finish to the 2017 college football campaign, and one sure to still involve plenty of fireworks.

Monday, November 27, 2017

Coaching Carousel 2017: Is Chip Kelly the Right Fit at UCLA?

Chip Kelly
Every single season, the end of the college football season gives fans plenty of drama on the field, but a lot of chaos off it, when coaches leave and arrive throughout programs across the country. Drama was certainly the case this coaching carousel season when it came to Chip Kelly. Kelly, the highly successful former Oregon head coach, who had a less-than-successful run in the NFL, had been in serious talks to become the next head man at Florida but after plenty of rumors he ends up at UCLA. The move is an interesting one on both sides: for UCLA they get a huge name that has proven he can win, but hasn't coached at this level since 2012. For Kelly, he gets a chance to once more showcase his high-flying, up-tempo offense in the collegiate ranks, but will also have plenty of pressure on him following failed experiments with the San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles. No matter what happens the Kelly hire will be a polarizing storyline for years to come. Was it the right fit, or will the Kelly hire haunt the Bruins for years to come?

The most interesting part of the Kelly hire has to be how he plans to run the program in 2017. Kelly was obviously highly successful running an extremely up-tempo style in college football that was revolutionary during that time, but the sport has changed. Spread offenses have become the norm in the sport, as has the no-huddle, go-go-go style that Kelly popularized. It will be interesting to see how Kelly runs a new-look offense, but there are many things in his favor. First off, Kelly will still coach in the Pac-12, a conference not known for its defense and a conference he knows very well. He also already has some serious talent on his roster in Westwood, even if projected first-round draft pick Josh Rosen leaves at quarterback. However, the biggest advantage for Kelly in his arrival at UCLA is the recruiting pipelines. Kelly was never considered an ace recruiter while at Oregon, but he still did a tremendous job of getting guys who fit his system and guys he knew could contribute. He'll have an even easier job getting recruits to come to sunny LA, which is a major destination improvement over Eugene, Oregon. Kelly will also be able to recruit all of southern California, which is one of the mot talent-rich areas in the United States. He has already gotten out on the recruiting trail, in fact, as he recently posed with five-star recruit defensive back Brendan Radley-Hiles.

On paper, Kelly has many of the tools he will need to succeed, but that doesn't mean that this hire doesn't have some question marks. The biggest question is on the defensive side of the ball, as it was when Kelly was originally at Oregon. For all the special things the offense was able to do, Kelly was never able to get a defense that would put him over the top. The key will be identifying a defensive coordinator that knows how to succeed in the Pac-12 and being able to consistently add young defensive talent. The tough part is that with his style of offense, the defense spends so much time on the field, which means finding depth and good conditioned athletes will be key. Another major question for Kelly will be the lack of money at UCLA. Not too say that the Bruins are in debt, but they do not have the same luxuries Oregon did. Oregon was able to get a ton of money poured in the program from legendary alum Phil Knight (the founder of Nike, of course), which helped them get top-notch facilities and crazy uniforms. Those things appealed to young recruits and also gave Oregon a brand. Kelly won't have that at UCLA, which could lead to some challenges in building a culture with the Bruins.

The key to Kelly's success in Westwood will be his ability to add depth and talent defensively, as well as develop players in the right manner. His predecessor, Jim Mora, was able to consistently land elite talent, but had a long list of players that never really adjusted to the collegiate level. In order to change that, Kelly must evolve his system and once more be able to connect with young players. There will be challenges ahead of Kelly, but all signs point to it being a successful tenure for the controversial head coach. With the recruiting area he is able to cover and his proven success on the West Coast, UCLA should be able to become the true Pac-12 title contender Mora was never able to quite create.

Friday, November 24, 2017

College Football Picks 2017: Week Thirteen

Kerryon Johnson, Auburn
College Football Picks 2017: Week Thirteen
Current Record: 69-27

(11-0) 1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. (9-2) 6 Auburn Tigers
@Jordan-Hare Stadium (Auburn), 2:30 PM CBS on Saturday

Considering how intense of rivals Alabama and Auburn are, the Iron Bowl always is important, but that importance is at a whole new level this year. The Tide enter this one undefeated but lacking a true, overwhelmingly win, while Auburn enters 9-2 with a significant chance of crashing the College Football Playoff party. The winner takes not only the SEC West, but likely becomes the representative of the conference in the four-team field, depending on what occurs in the SEC Championship Game. Alabama has jumped out to their 11-0 start by using a familiar formula: running the ball and being physical up front. The team's committee of running backs, which includes Damien Harris, Bo Scarbrough, Joshua Jacobs and Najee Harris, has a ton of versatility and the amount of depth allows the group to never tire. That ground attack will be quite a challenge for Auburn, but this is a defense that played wonderful early in the year against Georgia, who has a scary good running games themselves. The Tigers must also deal with true sophomore quarterback Jalen Hurts, who continues to grow as a passer and has a couple potent wide receiving options in Calvin Ridley and Jerry Jeudy. An important key for Auburn in this one will be how their pass rush performs. When Alabama controls the line of scrimmage, they are nearly impossible to stop. If the Tigers are able to match their physicality and cause some chaos in the backfield they will disrupt the Tide rhythm, key to any upset. On the other side, Auburn will need a spectacular showing from Jarrett Stidham at QB, but he has shown he is up to the challenge. After a shaky start to 2017, Stidham has played as good as any signal-caller in the nation, including a tremendous performance against a top-flight defense in UGA. The big-armed signal-caller can really stretch defenses out, has improved as a decision-maker and has really benefitted from an offensive line that has really improved over the season's second half. Auburn will also lean heavily on feature back Kerryon Johnson, who has had a monster senior season. Johnson runs as hard as anybody, and could be in store for a big day, particularly against a 'Bama defense that is severely beat up. The Tide have lost big-time contributors throughout their front seven, and even a team that prepares as well and has as much talent as Alabama could be susceptible. On paper, these teams look incredibly even and this could come to the little things, like special teams and the turnover game. I have never had luck picking up against Alabama, and the Tide could still be the dominant team we've seen in the past once more in this one. But, I think there is something special about the way this Auburn team is playing. If Stidham can once more play the game of his life (which he can) and the defense can hold up, I like the Tigers to cause some Playoff chaos by pulling off a thrilling upset at home.

The Pick: Auburn, 31 Alabama, 28

(10-1) 3 Clemson Tigers vs. (7-3) 24 South Carolina Gamecocks
@Williams-Brice Stadium (Columbia), 6:30 PM Saturday on ESPN

While Auburn could cause plenty of chaos by beating Alabama, South Carolina could do much the same by stunning Clemson at home. The Gamecocks have quietly put together a superb 2017, jumping to a 7-3 record behind the play of quarterback Jake Bentley and a strong defense. A sophomore, Bentley has shown plenty of progress in his second year with the Gamecocks, and has some really dangerous weapons around him, including speedy sophomore A.J. Turner and wide out Bryan Edwards. The offense did take a hit when star receiver Deebo Samuel was lost for the year early on, but it still has shown the ability to move the ball down the field. The Clemson defense has some problems in the defensive backfield, but it still is superb up front. All four of the Tigers' starters on the defensive line (Clelin Ferrell, Austin Bryant, Christian Wilkins, Dexter Lawrence) all have NFL futures and should present an interesting challenge for South Carolina. On offense, Clemson is the healthiest that they have been in a long time. Quarterback Kelly Bryant has had issues staying healthy and throwing the ball down the field, but he is a dangerous runner and the offense still has plenty of big-play potential. Clemson is equipped with a number of talented running backs to choose from, while also featuring a number of quality receivers. Deon Cain is the team's premier deep threat, while Hunter Renfrow and Ray-Ray McCloud give the team two possession wide outs that can spring open games. Defensively, South Carolina has played with a lot more fight and energy this season, in large part to head coach Will Muschamp's ability to recruit and develop on that side of the ball. Senior linebacker Skai Moore missed all of 2016 due to injury, but has come back and played like an All-American in his final year with South Carolina. He will be tasked with containing the Clemson rush offense, while also supporting the Gamecocks' pass defense. That secondary has played well for much of the season, but playing in the run heavy SEC East, they haven't seen much great pass offenses. Clemson and South Carolina is always quite intense, and South Carolina should be especially fired up, considering they have lost three straight to the Tigers. However, the Gamecocks will need a masterful showing from Bentley and a superb defensive performance to take down Clemson, who could be even more scary with their improved health.

The Pick: Clemson, 38 South Carolina, 27

(9-2) 13 Washington State Cougars vs. (9-2) 17 Washington Huskies
@Husky Stadium (Seattle), 7 PM Saturday on FOX

Now nearly 13 weeks into this college football season something seems pretty clear: the Pac-12 is not putting a team in the Playoff. The preseason favorite, USC, had their moments but lost two games, Washington was unable to avoid choking away two games, Washington State lost two as well, and nobody else was able to avoid the upset bug. However, Washington or Washington State could still find a way into the Pac-12 Championship Game with a win in the Apple Cup. Both teams feature high-octane offenses that want to move the ball down the field. The Cougars feature Mike Leach's patented Air Raid attack, which is especially lethal with veteran quarterback Luke Falk leading the way. Falk has already shattered countless records while at the helm in Pullman, and he would love to finish his career here with a Pac-12 title. Falk somewhat struggled against Washington's secondary last year, but this Huskies' defense is not at that level. The absence of NFL draftees Kevin King, Budda Baker and Sidney Jones has really hurt the group, which also lost possible breakout candidate Byron Murphy to injury early on. However, the Huskies still have a stout front seven that includes defensive tackle Vita Vea and linebackers Keishawn Berria and Azeem Victor, so the group should still be able to hold their own. The real question mark this season for Washington has been their offense, which has been wildly inconsistent. Quarterback Jake Browning still has his games where he is dominant, but he has also had his struggles. He'll need his offensive line, which has dealt with injuries and inexperience, to really perform to overcome a vastly underrated Washington State defense. The Cougars still struggle with their consistency as well, but Leach and staff have really rebuilt the group, and they've proven they can get after opposing quarterbacks, as they did against Sam Darnold when they upset USC. UW will hope to get some help from a talented backfield, which includes Myles Gaskin and Lavon Coleman, as while as some big plays from wide out Dante Pettis. Gaskin and Coleman are a superb 1-2 punch, while Pettis is deadly not only as a receiver but in the return game, where he has nine career punt returns. Neither of these teams will be going to the CFB Playoff, but they should still play with plenty of passion and fight. If Browning can have a good one, the Huskies should be able to come out on top, but I actually like the Cougars on the road. Falk has proven himself in big games before this year, and the defense seems to be playing with some significant momentum.

The Pick: Washington State, 37 Washington, 31

Other Picks
(#8) Notre Dame, 34 (#21) Stanford, 30
(#9) Ohio State, 35 Michigan, 17
(#7) Georgia, 30 Georgia Tech, 20
(#5) Wisconsin, 38 Minnesota, 17
(#4) Oklahoma, 45 West Virginia, 31

Friday, November 17, 2017

College Football Picks 2017: Week Twelve

Alex Hornibrook, Wisconsin
College Football Picks 2017: Week Twelve
Current Record: 61-27

(10-0) 5 Wisconsin Badgers vs. (8-2) 24 Michigan Wolverines
@Camp Randall Stadium (Madison), 11 AM Saturday on FOX

Despite the fact they sit undefeated deep into the season, Wisconsin hasn't got a lot of national respect because of one glaring issue: the lack of a signature win. The Badgers did play terrific last week against an Iowa team that pummeled Ohio State but they still lack a win that really jumps out at you. That could change this week as they square off against Michigan, a team that has a frustrating year at times but is still 8-2 and has looked much improved behind the arm of QB Brandon Peters. Peters, a redshirt freshman, has played with impressive confidence and composure despite his youth, but he will have to deal with one of the nation's premier defenses. Even though the Badgers have lost a big chunk of their defense to injury, it is still an incredibly stingy and hungry group. Linebacker T.J. Edwards is one of the best in the conference, while defensive backs D'Cota Dixon and Derrick Tindal ensure this is not an easy team to pass on. The Wolverines will likely run the ball early and often, particularly with underrated rusher Karan Higdon having such a good year. But, it remains to be seen whether the UM offensive line has enough to open up some holes for Higdon against this Wisconsin front. On defense, the Wolverines' defense has improved as the season has gone on, as the nine new starters this group has continue to improve. They are particularly strong up front, where defensive linemen Chase Winovich, Mo Hurst and Rashan Gary know how to create chaos and should be able to apply plenty of pressure to Wisconsin quarterback Alex Hornibrook. There should be no doubt what Michigan's defensive strategy will be in this one: stack the box and force Hornibrook to throw the ball. The redshirt sophomore has made some strides this year, but still struggles to get the ball down the field and will face a defense that has plenty of ball-hawking playmakers. However, that strategy has been used by more than a few teams this season, and they've been unable to contain true frosh Jonathan Taylor. Taylor, who wasn't even projected to be the starter prior to the season, has broken out thanks to impressive vision and burst. He is a real problem for any defense, and is especially potent when operating behind the Badgers' massive O-Line. It will be interesting to see what Michigan DC Don Brown does to counter the power and impressive efficiency of the Wisconsin offensive attack. Overall, this one has all the looks of a Big Ten slugfest where there will be a lot of big hits and not a ton of big plays. Michigan has looked much improved with Peters under center, but this is still a team that lacks the weapons Wisconsin has, on both sides of the ball. Things should be competitive, but at home in deafening Camp Randall, the Badgers should be able to come out 11-0.

The Pick: Wisconsin, 27 Michigan, 21

(9-1) 7 Georgia Bulldogs vs. (7-3) Kentucky Wildcats
@Sanford Stadium (Athens), 2:30 PM on CBS

While Georgia has dominated the SEC East for much of the season here is a crazy thought: if Kentucky had not missed a late field goal against Florida early on, this game would decide the division. Georgia now does have the division on lock, but the Wildcats are a tough opponent, and will look to attack this UGA much team the same way Auburn did last week when they pounded the Bulldogs 40-17. For the Wildcats to pull off an upset, they will need their rushing attack to be as lethal as it has all year long, and for QB Stephen Johnson to make some big throws. Johnson isn't an elite-level QB but he has proven he can run this offense and move the ball. With that being said, Georgia has one of the best secondaries in college football and will be very motivated after Auburn's Jarrett Stidham carved them up last Saturday. Kentucky running back Benny Snell Jr. is extremely explosive and can also contribute as a receiving option, but he will also be in for a tough test against a strong Georgia rush defense, that is particularly good at linebacker. Kentucky's defense is vastly underrated, although it is a group that lacks much consistency, and struggles to contain the big play. They will be in store for an interesting battle against a Georgia offense that looked lost for much of last week. The Bulldogs will need true freshman quarterback Jake Fromm to regain his rhythm after last week's struggles. Fromm won't beat you deep too often, but he very good at intermediate throws and doesn't make many mistakes. His top receiving weapons, Terry Godwin and Ryan Ridley, both can break open games at any moment, which could be concerning for this Kentucky defense. The Wildcats must also find a way to contain the 1-2 punch of Nick Chubb and Sony Michel at tailback. Neither are known as speedsters but they are both workhorses who are deadly in the second half, when their fresh legs feast on tired defenses. However, Auburn found a way to keep them both contained and they showed that if you can get Fromm uncomfortable, he can really struggle. Kentucky should be very aggressive if their pass rush and lean on top linebacker Jordan Jones to stop Chubb and company. After their flawless season came to a crashing halt a week ago, keeping their focus is the top priority for Georgia. They won't go undefeated, but their Playoff path is still clear if they can win out and beat Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. They should be able to overcome some of the difficulties from the Auburn game and recover enough to avoid an upset at the hands of UK.

The Pick: Georgia, 34 Kentucky, 20


(9-2) 11 USC Trojans vs. (5-5) UCLA Bruins
@Memorial Coliseum (Los Angeles), 7 PM Saturday on ABC

Neither USC or UCLA has any shot at making the College Football Playoff, but that doesn't mean there is nothing to play for in this LA rivalry. For the Trojans, a win here would lock down the Pac-12 South, and reassert them as the clear power program in the city. On the other side, UCLA needs a win to secure a bowl bid after missing out in 2016, and head coach Jim Mora could very well be coaching for his job. After a fabulous start to 2017, Josh Rosen has disappeared from the national radar, but that doesn't mean the junior isn't putting together a fine year. He has tossed for 3,094 yards and 21 touchdowns and came in clutch on more than one occasion. Unfortunately though, Rosen has not got much support. The Bruins' ground game has continued to be an issue, and the offensive line is not playing very well either. Expect UCLA to let Rosen once more throw as much as he wants, but it is hard to find a way to beat this USC defense by being too one-dimensional. The Trojans meanwhile, haven't quite been the offensive juggernaut some expected and the preseason Heisman frontrunner, Sam Darnold, hasn't absolutely dominated like some expected. Even so, they've found a way to have a successful season and Darnold has still played very well. After struggling with turnovers early on in the year the redshirt sophomore has played a lot smarter and let the game come to him, which has led to some good results. He also has found some serious chemistry with a receiver corps that doesn't have a clear-cut superstar, but has a ton of talent. UCLA's secondary has been very porous throughout much of the year, so expect Darnold to put on a show. He is also supported by running back Ronald Jones II, who has put together a marvelous season. Jones was banged up early in the season but has been terrific since getting healthy. UCLA still has yet to find a new group of defenders to replace a number of departed defensive linemen and linebackers, which leaves them susceptible on the ground. The only way this defense finds success is if they are able to find their pass rush against a USC offensive line that lacks much experience and has had an up-and-down season. Considering this is a rivalry game expect both teams to fight hard and play with a chip on their shoulder. Rosen gives UCLA a fighting chance and this defense could have success if they can get some turnovers, but I won't bet on it. The Trojans should be able to finish the job and clinch the South Division.

The Pick: USC, 38 UCLA, 34

Other Picks
(#20) LSU, 24 Tennessee, 14
(#10) Penn State, 35 Nebraska, 20
(#8) Notre Dame, 30 Navy, 24
(#3) Miami, 38 Virginia, 24
Kansas State, 33 (#13) Oklahoma State, 31



Thursday, November 16, 2017

DIII Football Championship

While we are in week 3 of the CFB Football playoff rankings, it’s a good time to remember that there are three other divisions that have had a full tournament championship for many years.


DIII Tournament


Division III has a 32 team tournament in four regions.   27 teams are automatic qualifiers for conference champions and 5 are at large births.  The five at large teams are: Illinois Wesleyan (CCIW), St. John’s (MIAC), Hardin-Simmons (ASC), Case Western Reserve (PAC) and Frostburg State (NJAC).  The top seeds in each region:


Here are some comments on each of the these regions:

West Region

This is usually a tough region and this year is no different.   UW-Oshkosh is last year's national runner up, and after an undefeated season they look like the team that will advance from this region.   The first round game to watch is St. John’s at North Central.   It’s unfortunate that these two teams are meeting in the first round as in another region, both of these teams might have advanced past the second round.    The award for the winner of this game is to face UW-Oshkosh.   The other half of this region has two an undefeated teams - Wartburg and Trine.

North Region

While this Region has 3 undefeated teams, it still looks like Mount Union is the likely winner.   No team has defeated Mount Union on the road in the first round and a win over Illinois Wesleyan in the second round looks likely.   Frostburg State has the talent to come out of the other half of the bracket, but not enough to overtake Mont Union.

South Region

While there are two undefeated teams in this region, we look for St. Thomas to come out of this region.   They would have likely been a number one seed if not for a surprising first round loss to UW-Stout team.    Penalties cost them that game, while 8 turnovers cost them against UW-Oshkosh last year.  They have a very stingy defense and a strong running game.   IF they clean up the errors wining this region is well within their reach.  Mary Hardin-Baylor  will need more stable quarterback play if they hope to challenge St. Thomas or undefeated Berry.

East Region

The one guarantee is that an team from the East Region will be in the final four since all teams placed in this region are from the east region.  Much like our thoughts on St. Thomas, defense wins championships, so we are picking Brockport to come out of this region.   Delaware Valley’s chances will depend on the health of MAC Offensive Player of the year Devauntay Ellis who injured his hamstring late in the season.

McGowan Mania Picks
West Region - UW-Oshkosh
North Region 2  - Mount Union
South Region - St. Thomas
East Region - Brockport


Championship — UW-Oshkosh defeats St. Thomas.

Wednesday, November 15, 2017

DII Football Championship

While we are in week 3 of the CFB Football playoff rankings, it’s a good time to remember that there are three other divisions that have had a full tournament championship for many years.  McGowan Mania will cover each of them.

DII Tournament


Division II has a 28 team tournament based 4 Super Regions.   The top seed in each Super Region gets a first round byes this coming weekend.   The top seeds by each Super Region
  • Super Region 1 - Indiana (Pa)
  • Super Region 2 - West Alabama
  • Super Region 3 - Fort Hays State
  • Super Region 4 - Central Washington

It’s hard to call each of the Number 1 seeds the favorites as much like the CFB rankings, these seeds to differ greatly from other polls and rankings taken throughout the season.    Here are some comments on each of the these regions:

Super Region 1

Indiana (Pa) is the number 1 seed overall.   They have victories over three teams that are in the 28 team field.  The game to watch this weekend is a rematch between #4 Shippensburg vs #5 West Chester.   Shippensburg cracked the top 25 this week and their lone loss of the season against un-ranked West Chester.

Super Region 2

Four teams from the Gulf Conference (West Alabama, West Georgia, West Florida, and Delta State) made the 28 team field.  (The number of teams / conference is always of interest to fans that wonder how the field is chosen).   Though ranked #17 in the last D2Football.com rankings, West Alabama gets the #1 seed after the 9-2 season in this tough conference.

Super Region 3

After an undefeated season, Fort Hays State gets the number #1 seed in this region.   This region also includes two time defending champion, Northwest Missouri State as the #6 seed after a 9-2 season.   Don’t count them out with two losses, as they have the top-ranked defense in DII averaging only 8.3 points allowed each game.   The first round won’t be easy for them as they face a 10-1 Ashland, that was ranked #3 in the nation in the final D2Football.com rankings.

Super Region 4

This region looks like the most competitive with at least three teams deserving of the #1 seed.   Puzzling that an undefeated Minnesota State team was seeded #2 in this region after being ranked #1 in the Super Region and #2 nationally just one week ago.   What did they do this week?  They defeated #11 ranked Sioux Falls on the road.   The seeding committee preferred to give an 11-0 Central Washington the #1.    Minnesota State will face a legitimate  challenge when they host 9-2 Colorado State Pueblo.   Minnesota State plays in the Northern Sun Conference that also placed Winona State, and Sioux Falls in the tournament.  Midwestern State 11-0 and ranked #5 nationally is also in this region.

McGowan Mania Picks
Super Region 1 - Indiana (Pa)
Super Region 2  - West Alabama
Super Region 3 - Norwest Missouri State
Super Region 4 - Minnesota State


Championship — Indiana (Pa) defeats Minnesota State 

Sunday, November 12, 2017

Post-Week Eleven College Football Playoff Power Rankings

Travis Entienne and Christian Wilkins, Clemson
The Four

1 Alabama Crimson Tide (10-0, 7-0 SEC)
Alabama got quite the challenge this Saturday, as 16th-ranked Mississippi State played some of their best football of the season, matching the Tide for the vast majority of their matchup. However, the Tide were able to pull away late and avoid a stunning upset. The victory kept Alabama flawless, and with Georgia losing to Auburn, likely means the Crimson Tide should rise to No. 1 in the new set of Playoff rankings set to come out on Tuesday. It should be a pretty relaxed week for the Tide this week as they meet FCS foe Mercer, but it should be an opportunity to figure some things out prior to a Iron Bowl battle that has huge SEC and Playoff implications. A victory there would likely lock in 'Bama into yet another Playoff bid, no matter what happens in the SEC Championship.

2 Miami Hurricanes (9-0, 6-0 ACC)
It is probably safe to say that "The U" is officially back following the Hurricanes dominant showing against Notre Dame in primetime on Saturday. Prior to the win over ND, Miami had been undefeated but their resume paled in comparison to many other serious Playoff contenders. Beating the Irish, who have one impressive resume themselves, certainly changed that, especially the way they did it. Miami came out with a chip on their shoulder and looked locked in from the moment the first quarter started. The key going forward is for them to keep their focus the rest of the regular season and not get caught looking ahead to the ACC Championship or beyond. Neither Virginia nor Pittsburgh are serious threats but both could be trap games, and then the 'Canes finish their season with what will be back-to-back games against Clemson, one in the regular season finale and another in that ACC Championship. If they are able to run the table, the 'Canes have a serious case for No. 1 in the country but even if they lose, they could still realistically get into the four-team field.

3 Clemson Tigers (9-1, 7-1 ACC)
Before the season began, Clemson-Florida State was not only supposed to decide the ACC race, but likely the Playoff chase. That was not the case in reality, as Clemson entered the game against 3-5 Florida State simply trying to not come in overconfident. The Seminoles were able to make it pretty competitive, but Clemson still rolled to their ninth win of the year. At this point, Clemson still has the best resume of any one-loss team in the country, even though Virginia Tech losing this weekend did hurt them. What really helps the Tigers is their early-season win over Auburn, which now looks like a huge victory, considering the way Auburn dismantled Georgia. However, because that one loss was to Syracuse, Clemson really has no room for error. Any loss, even to Miami, likely would eliminate their chances of making the Playoff and defending their National Championship.

4 Oklahoma Sooners (9-1, 6-1 Big 12)
It was a big weekend in the Big 12, with Oklahoma and TCU squaring off to become the prohibitive Big 12 favorite, and Oklahoma State-Iowa State meeting in essentially a Big 12 Championship elimination game. The Sooners managed to get the job done, rolling past the Horned Frogs behind the big play of Baker Mayfield and company. The victory not only puts Oklahoma in the drivers seat in the conference, but also pushes them into a good place in the Playoff chase. Oklahoma's non-conference win over Ohio State on the road is still incredibly impressive, and a resume that includes beating Oklahoma State and TCU is not bad either. What has also seriously helped the Sooners' hopes is the fact that Iowa State has put together a good season. When the Sooners lost to the Cyclones, it was threatening to be a bad loss, but the Cyclones play has made it look a lot better, which should only help OU going forward.

Next Four Out

5 Georgia Bulldogs (9-1, 6-1 SEC)
It obviously wasn't a great weekend for Georgia, who were pounded by Auburn 40-17 then saw their most impressive win of the year, Notre Dame, get beat even worse by Miami. With that being said, UGA's Playoff hopes are not dead. They will end the regular season with Kentucky and rival Georgia Tech, two dangerous, but beatable teams, before the SEC Championship. No matter whether it is Auburn or Alabama that they meet, a win there would likely guarantee a Playoff berth. Beating 'Bama might look better just because of what the Tide have done all season long, but getting vengeance against Auburn would be extremely satisfying and give this team a ton of momentum. Either way, Georgia will now definitely have to run the table to get into the Playoff, which makes them difficult, but not impossible.

6 Wisconsin Badgers (10-0, 7-0 Big Ten)
For the first time this season, Wisconsin came out and beat a team that was ranked when they played, as they ran past Iowa at home. It wasn't exactly a signature win, but it certainly strengthened Wisconsin's resume, which is much weaker than most in the Playoff hunt. What would really help the Badgers going forward is not only for them to keep winning, of course, but some of the teams they have beaten to keep rolling. Florida Atlantic and Northwestern are two teams that they beat that have played very well down the stretch. FAU looks like they might win the Conference USA and Northwestern is quietly 7-3 and now ranked. Wisconsin's biggest game of the year is on this Saturday, when they meet Michigan. These Wolverines aren't the 2016 edition, but they have looked reinvigorated with Brandon Peters at quarterback. Handling the Wolverines and winning the Big Ten Championship would have to get Wisconsin into the Playoff, especially with some of the chaos that ensued this weekend.

7 Auburn Tigers (8-2, 6-1 SEC)
If there is one remaining wild card in the Playoff race, it has to be Auburn, who cause some serious craziness depending on how they finish up the season. The Tigers obviously beat Georgia this week, and now has two more opportunities to prove themselves to the Committee. If they are able to beat Alabama in the Iron Bowl and then beat Georgia once more in the SEC Championship, it'd be awfully hard to leave them out, even with their two losses. That is definitely easier said than done, but the way that QB Jarrett Stidham and this defense is currently playing, Auburn is incredibly scary and a team that could do serious damage.

8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-2)
Before this Saturday, Notre Dame was one of the hottest teams in the country, and a team that looked like a near Playoff lock. The Hurricanes were able to throw a serious wrench into that, and now the Irish will have to find a way to regroup. They will end the season with meetings with Navy and Stanford, who present interesting challenges. Neither is ranked currently, but the two have some of the best rushing offenses in the nation, and Stanford has stud running back Bryce Love, who is trying to make a last-ditch effort to overcome Mayfield and Saquon Barkley to win the Heisman. Beating those two may be enough to impress the Committee slightly, but Notre Dame will still probably need some chaos in front of them to have any shot at the Playoff now.

Others in the Mix
Ohio State Buckeyes
UCF Knights
Oklahoma State Cowboys
USC Trojans
Penn State Nittany Lions