Friday, October 4, 2024

College Football Picks 2024: Week Six

Marquis Johnson, Missouri

Current Picks Record: 28-16

Upsets: 2-3

Superdogs: 2-3

Locks: 1-4


(#9) Missouri Tigers @ (#25) Texas A&M Aggies

Line: Texas A&M -2.5

O/U: 48.5

Old Big 12 foes clash in the only ranked game of the weekend, with the ninth-ranked Missouri Tigers traveling to College Station to face Texas A&M. It hasn't always been a pretty start for Mike Elko and the Aggies, but they've done what they need to do over the course of a 4-1 start, while Missouri is looking to add a ranked win to their College Football Playoff resume.

The Texas A&M offense has looked a bit different than expected under first-year offensive coordinator Colin Klein, primarily because the person running it has been a new face in Marcel Reed. With Conner Weigman sidelined for a big chunk of the first month of the year, Reed has stepped in as starter and gone 3-0 as their quarterback. Weigman is listed as a game-time decision come Saturday, but something tells me it will be Reed out there in this one. With all due respect to Weigman, the offense has looked significantly better under Reed, and his rushing ability gives this Missouri defense something to worry about in a way they don't have to with Weigman. No matter who is starting quarterback, running the football will still be the name of the game for one of the top rushing attacks in the country. Le'Veon Moss has been a workhorse, and the change-of-pace ability of Amari Daniels, particularly combined with Reed's rushing, helps the Aggies ground-and-pound. A lot of credit should also go to an offensive line that has rolled with the punches so far in 2024, and looks like a much improved unit as they enter the weekend. It should set up an interesting battle against a Missouri defense that has looked surprisingly strong despite several major NFL defections in the offseason, not to mention the loss of coordinator Blake Baker to LSU. They've been very good against the pass, but will need to up their physicality and play with an edge in front of the raucous crowd of Kyle Field. 

Although the Tigers have to feel good about entering October 4-0, their last two games have left something to be desired. They won both, but got all they could handle from both Boston College and Vanderbilt, so there's clearly some work to be done. The offense has had no issues moving the ball, but has struggled to get it in for six when they've gotten in the red zone, leading to ample work for kicker Blake Craig, who already has 16 attempts on the young season. Quarterback Brady Cook has been good, but he needs more from a receiver corps that looked to be one of the best in all of the land entering the fall. That's not to say Missouri's receivers have been bad, but Luther Burden III and Mookie Cooper are much better than their stats may indicate. Marquis Johnson will also look to get more involved - the big-play threat in this offense last season, he's been held in check through the first five weeks. With Nate Noel having a strong start to the year out of the backfield, Missouri has been able to lean on the ground game, but the Aggies do present a challenge in that respect. This has long been a strong defensive front and they'll look to bring the heat consistently against Cook and company. How the Tigers handle the pressure and whether they are finally able to find the rhythm consistently through the air may make all the difference.

The Aggies enter this one more battle-tested and do get the Tigers at home, but I still like Missouri's chances to come in and pull off what is technically an upset. They have far too many offensive weapons to continue settling for field goals, and the A&M defense has lived and died off turnovers so far this fall. If Cook and company take care of the ball, I think they find a way to come out on top.

The Pick: Missouri, 34 Texas A&M, 24

Friday, September 27, 2024

College Football Picks 2024: Week Five

Jalen Milroe, Alabama
Current Picks Record: 24-11

Upsets: 2-2

Superdogs: 2-2

Locks: 1-3


(#2) Georgia Bulldogs @ (#4) Alabama Crimson Tide

Line: Georgia -2

O/U: 48.5

Nick Saban may be gone, but the animosity between Alabama and Georgia is high as ever as we head into their pivotal regular season matchup on Saturday. Alabama's victory in last year's SEC Championship Game effectively knocked the Bulldogs out of the College Football Playoff and killed their dreams of a three-peat. Now, the Crimson Tide welcome Georgia to Bryant-Denny Stadium with both teams trying to add the crown jewel to their Playoff resumes.

The last time we saw Georgia on the field wasn't the type of dominant performance we've come to expect of Kirby Smart's Bulldogs, but they had the bye week at the right time last weekend. After managing just 262 yards and 13 points in an ugly win over Kentucky, the Bulldogs are hoping their offense is fresh and ready to attack this Alabama defense. Getting more from their ground game will be paramount - Georgia managed just 3.4 yards per carry against a stifling Wildcat defensive front, and it threw the entire offense out of their rhythm. It doesn't help that Georgia is beat up along the offensive line, but this is still a much better rushing attack than what we saw. I suspect they'll look to rotate more beyond just Trevor Etienne, so expect to see more of Branson Robinson and Nate Frazier, and also look to get more of their playmakers in space in creative ways. Dillon Bell in particular has been held in check all season long, but he feels like the type of versatile game-changer that is going to have to show up for the Bulldog offense to get rolling. They should have their opportunities against the Crimson Tide, as this is simply not the same group we saw dominate for so long in the peak Saban years when Kirby Smart just happened to be their defensive coordinator. That's not to say Alabama will be a pushover, as they'll still attack up front, but there's not the same depth here and the secondary has taken their lumps so far on the young season. The gameplan has to be for Georgia to pound the rock early and tire out this defense, with the hopes that the play-action passing game will open up in the second half. It may have a feel more similar to what we came to expect of this rivalry back in the mid-2010s before these offenses really took off in recent years.

Alabama also has had their moments of offensive struggles, most notably in the South Florida game, but still enters this one averaging 49 points per game. It's not a surprise that Kalen DeBoer has come in and the transition has been so smooth - we saw the same thing at Washington. But, it has been surprising how much balance we've seen from them and how productive they've been on the ground. We got so used to seeing DeBoer and Washington chuck the ball all over the field, it's easy to forget that the rushing attack plays a key role in setting up so many of their opportunities. Between Jam Miller, Justice Haynes, and Jalen Milroe, Alabama is going to test this Georgia front seven in a way they simply haven't been tested so far in 2024. The Tide should also benefit from their offensive line continuing to get healthier and healthier, with Kadyn Proctor back to near 100 percent after returning for the Wisconsin game. It's a matchup that should be advantageous for the Crimson Tide, going up against a Bulldog rush defense that hasn't proven themselves just yet, as opposed to their superb secondary. But still, Jalen Milroe is going to make some key throws in order to come out on top and avoiding costly turnovers could make all the difference. It would certainly help if the Tide got more consistency from their receiver corps beyond freshman phenom Ryan Williams, namely from Kobe Prentice and Germie Bernard. 

This has all the makings of another classic between two of college football's premier programs. Neither program is at their peak or playing their best football, but both rosters are loaded with talent, and DeBoer's presence adds an interesting dynamic to this renewed rivalry. You better believe he'll have some tricks up his sleeve for the Bulldogs and playing in Tuscaloosa is an obvious factor working in their favor. But even so, something about Georgia just feels like they are going to come out in this one swinging. They'll be fresh and Smart always has his teams ready for these types of games, with the added layer of motivation after the loss last season. They feel like the more complete team at this stage of the season, and I think they go into Bryant-Denny and squeak out the win.

The Pick: Georgia, 31 Alabama, 28


(#19) Illinois Fighting Illini @ (#9) Penn State Nittany Lions

Line: Penn State -18.5

O/U: 47.5

Oregon and Ohio State may still sit above them in the polls, but Penn State's impressive start to the 2024 campaign has them thinking Big Ten Title as they kick off their conference season this weekend. But arriving in town is none other than Illinois, a pleasant surprise through the first four weeks fresh off a big win. The Fighting Illini would love nothing more than to come into Happy Valley and spoil Penn State's undefeated record.

Just a month into the season, Penn State offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki looks like the Broyles Award frontrunner, with the Nittany Lion offensive renaissance on full display through their first three games. Penn State is one of just two teams, the other being Tennessee, currently averaging 250+ passing yards and 250+ rushing yards at this point of the season, with the trio of Drew Allar, Nicholas Singleton, and Kaytron Allen leading the way. Allar has played with a confidence we didn't see last season, and has been willing to take his shots down the field, giving PSU a verticality to this offense we haven't seen from them since Trace McSorley was running the show. In turn, that's opened things up for Allen and Singleton, and we've gotten to see the home run hitting ability of Singleton on full display, averaging over eight yards per carry. The Nittany Lion receiver corps deserves plenty of credit, too, as this was a group that struggled mightily throughout 2023. So far this fall, Harrison Wallace III and Omari Evans have been terrific, with tight end Tyler Warren the type of matchup nightmare every offense needs in this day and age. That's all to say that this is going to be quite the stiff challenge for an Illinois defense that has put together a strong start to the season themselves. In both of their big wins, over Kansas and Nebraska, they've done a superb job limiting the big play and keeping everything in front, and this is a sure tackling team that fills gaps as well as any team at this level. They don't have the athletes Penn State can boast, but they'll make the Nittany Lions work for their yardage in a way others simply haven't. With that being said, a big run from Singleton or big throw from Allar could open the floodgates.

The Illini defense still remains the strength of the team, but their steady improvement offensively is another reason for their 4-0 start. This is never going to be a unit that's going to go out and drop 50 points a night, but it's been highly efficient and consistent through the first few weeks of the season. Quarterback Luke Altmyer is finally starting to look like the blue-chip prospect we saw coming out of high school, with ten touchdowns to zero interceptions through the first four weeks. He's benefitted from the stellar play of Pat Bryant and Zakhari Franklin, a pair of physical receivers that are brutal covers on the perimeter. With Kaden Feagin and the rest of a deep running back room pounding behind the offensive line underneath, Illinois can certainly move the ball, if not in quite the explosive manner of Penn State. The Illini should pose an interesting challenge for a Penn State defense that hasn't missed a beat in the transition to Tom Allen from Manny Diaz. The elite Nittany Lion linebacker group should be able to stymie this Illinois passing attack, but Franklin and Bryant will really test their corners, particularly if they get them in man-to-man. Even against Kansas, a team that boasts a strong cornerback duo, these two were able to make key plays, and Allen will have to find a way to slow them down enough to keep PSU on top.

It feels unwise to pick against Penn State after their hot start, especially in Happy Valley at night. But, the Illini should be able to give them a game, at least until deeper into the second half. Unfortunately for them, Allar and the Nittany Lions should prove to be simply too much.

The Pick: Penn State, 35 Illinois, 23


(#15) Louisville Cardinals @ (#16) Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Line: -6.5

O/U: 46.5

With Florida State and both UNC and NC State struggling, Louisville has to feel as though there's a path to the ACC Championship Game alongside Clemson and Miami. But the Cardinals still need to take care of business in the non-conference, and traveling to South Bend to square off with the Irish will be a difficult one. Notre Dame has taken their early season lumps, but remains the favorite as we inch towards Saturday.

Louisville hasn't exactly faced elite competition en route to their 3-0 start, but the Cardinals still deserve plenty of credit for just how effective their offense has looked. They're averaging 45.3 points per game, and veteran QB Tyler Shough has looked terrific, leading a passing attack that's averaging over 300 yards per contest themselves. It helps that wide receiver Ja'Corey Brooks is finally turning into the receiver we thought he could be when he was at Alabama, and Jeff Brohm's offensive genius has been on full display. This passing attack should be quite the battle against a Notre Dame secondary that is considered one of the nation's best. Benjamin Morrison and Xavier Watts are two of the most consistent defenders anywhere in the country and should relish the opportunity to show what they can do against the high-flying Cardinals. Although, the Irish secondary did take a bit of a hit this week when Jaden Mickey hit the portal, but this remains a well-coached, disciplined unit that will make Louisville work for every yard they get. I will be curious to see how Brohm sets up the passing game with the run - the Cardinals have leaned on a committee approach so far on the young season. The quartet of Isaac Brown, Duke Watson, Keyjuan Brown, and Maurice Turner should all see a healthy amount of action, and the depth should keep them fresh deeper into this game. That will be key against this Notre Dame defense, a relentless group that just never seems to tire under coordinator Al Golden.

New offensive coordinator Mike Denbrock has clearly needed some time to acclimate himself with new quarterback Riley Leonard and the rest of the Irish offense. There have been some bright spots, like dropping 66 points in a demolition of Purdue, but Notre Dame seems to still be figuring things out offensively as their schedule gets tougher. Fortunately, the ground game has remained a consistent fuel for this group, with the emergence of Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price, plus the scrambling ability of Leonard. This is a rush offense averaging 6.7 yards per carry, with a nice blend of speed and power, posing quite the threat to this Louisville defense. The Cardinals have been strong statistically against the run so far in 2024, but this is a whole different challenge for them. The Irish are a physical team in a way that Louisville hasn't seen so far, and hasn't traditionally played well against. The best hope is to stack the box and make Leonard make plays with his arm, which certainly doesn't appear to be a bad strategy. The former Duke transfer simply has not looked comfortable throwing the ball, and the Irish have struggled to find the right complement to Beaux Collins on the outside. They'll look to set up this passing game through play-action and get Leonard comfortable with easy throws and screens but at the end of the day, it's up the veteran quarterback to get things going. His play feels like the X-factor in what will be a real test for them at home.

This is an extremely tough game to pick because we simply don't know much about Louisville at this point in the season. They've looked good, but their most impressive win came against a Georgia Tech team in a game that was tight into the fourth quarter. Despite the ups-and-downs they've gone through over the season's first month, Notre Dame is still the smarter choice at home. They should do enough to slow down this Cardinal passing game, and their ground attack the other way will make all the difference.

The Pick: Notre Dame, 27 Louisville, 21


Other Picks

(#20) Oklahoma State Cowboys @ (#23) Kansas State Wildcats -- This will be a get right opportunity for both of these teams after frustrating losses last weekend. K-State in particular looked shockingly bad in a blowout loss to BYU, but Chris Kleiman teams always respond - they should be hungry to prove themselves at home.

The Pick: Kansas State, 34 Oklahoma State, 24

Washington State Cougars @ (#25) Boise State Broncos -- Boise is on the inside track towards the Group of Five Playoff spot, but can't afford a slip-up here. Washington State is a formidable foe, but I figure their luck may run out after two close victories.

The Pick: Boise State, 35 Washington State, 30

Washington Huskies @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights -- A classic Big Ten conference game, huh? I said before the season how high I am on Rutgers, and getting Washington going across the country feels like it should give them a clear advantage. But, I actually like the Huskies to spoil the undefeated season for Rutgers, thanks to their offensive balance and a defense that's playing great.

The Pick: Washington, 27 Rutgers, 18

Upset: Arkansas Razorbacks @ (#24) Texas A&M Aggies -- I'm not under the impression Arkansas is going to go on some type of magical run that saves Sam Pittman's job, but the Razorbacks are much more explosive this year under Bobby Petrino than in the past. They have enough to go into College Station and win a hard-fought rivalry game.

The Pick: Arkansas, 34 Texas A&M, 28

Superdog (covers > 21 point spread): South Alabama Jaguars (+22) @ LSU Tigers -- South Alabama has plenty of deficiencies, but this is a team that can put up points - in a hurry. Against a LSU defense that is still figuring things out, they may do just enough to cover.

The Pick: LSU, 49 South Alabama, 31

Lock of the Week: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-3) vs. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -- Finally I'm out of the winless column on my locks, now it's time for a run. Wake Forest likely isn't going to be bowling this year, but Louisiana has plenty of issues themselves and has to travel to Winston-Salem.

The Pick: Wake Forest, 28 Louisiana, 14


Friday, September 20, 2024

College Football Picks 2024: Week Four

Miller Moss, USC

Current Picks Record: 17-9

Upsets: 1-2

Superdogs: 1-2

Locks: 0-3


(#6) Tennessee Volunteers @ (#15) Oklahoma Sooners

Line: -7

O/U: 56.5

Life in the SEC begins for Oklahoma this weekend, and if they needed any reminder of their new reality, they'll face five teams currently ranked in the Top 7 of the AP Poll over the coming two months. That slate begins with Tennessee, who has shredded their competition en route to a 3-0 start and come into Norman as a touchdown favorite.

Now entering the fourth week of the regular season, the Sooners have to be hoping now is the time for their offense to hit its rhythm after a slow start to the fall. They did manage to put up 34 points against Tulane last weekend, but finding consistency has been a real challenge. Quarterback Jackson Arnold has showed his youth and inexperience, and hasn't been helped by a rash of injuries to his receiver corps, which is now extremely thin beyond Deion Burks. On the ground, Taylor Tatum came on and scored two touchdowns in the first half last Saturday, but the unit has been surprisingly inefficient early on. Much of that struggle can be blamed on an offensive line that simply has not looked up to Oklahoma's typical standards, even against Group of Five competition. This is going to be a particularly tough matchup for this unit this weekend. They face a Tennessee defense that loves to blitz, and features one of the game's premier pass rushers in James Pearce Jr. I'm sure the Sooners will try and disguise this weakness by getting the ball out quickly on the perimeter and utilizing screens, but there isn't the speed or explosiveness on the outside we've come to expect of Oklahoma. The Volunteers can be susceptible to the big play, but the secondary has clamped down so far this fall, and will look to see if Arnold can beat them. Perhaps having the Sooner faithful behind him in Norman could lead to some extra magic for the sophomore signal-caller, but the supporting cast around him simply doesn't strike fear into defenses the way it used to be, particularly with the injury bug biting so soon.

No, Oklahoma is probably going to look to slow this game down and turn it into something of a defensive slugfest - an objective easier said than done against this Tennessee offense. Josh Heupel is one of the best in the business right now, and he has the perfect personnel to run his scheme. In short, the Volunteer offense has terrorized opponents through the first three weeks of the season, and doesn't look to be slowing down anytime soon. Quarterback Nico Iamaleava is the mastermind, a fearless gunslinger who can beat defenses with his rocket arm or his legs, but he's far from the only Volunteer that can hurt defenses. Tailback Dylan Sampson provides just enough out of the backfield to keep defenses honest, so that the Volunteers can collapse the defense and beat them over the top. With an abundance of weapons for Iamaleava to work with, this offense can spread the defense thin and attack in so many different ways. Playmakers like Bru McCoy, Squirrel White, Dont'e Thornton - this is an embarrassment of riches for an offensive mind like Heupel. With that being said, this will be the toughest defense Tennessee has seen yet in 2024, even more difficult than NC State. Brent Venables' fingerprints are all over the defense, and this group is much more physical and tough at the line of scrimmage than we became accustomed to under Lincoln Riley. They're particularly stout up front, with linebacker Danny Stutsman setting the tone, and the back-end has also proven to be incredibly disciplined over the course of the fall. But, the offenses they've seen so far have all been focused on their rushing attack, and Tennessee offers a unique challenge. It will be fascinating to watch the chess match unfold between Heupel and Venables in real time.

There's an extra bit of motivation for Heupel here, as he returns to his alma mater, a school that chased him off as offensive coordinator a decade ago. You better believe he is going to bring out all the tricks in this one, and the way Tennessee has looked early is terrifying prospect for Oklahoma. Even if the Sooners are to succeed in making this one ugly, I'm just not sure there is enough offensive punch the other way to come out on top - the Volunteers just look to be too much.

The Pick: Tennessee, 38 Oklahoma, 24

Tuesday, September 17, 2024

Conference Realignment: Breaking Down Pac-12 Expansion Options

Memphis Tigers athletics

The never-ending saga of conference realignment in college athletics took yet another twist last week, when the Pac-12 announced they were bringing in four schools from the Mountain West in advance of the 2026-27 academic year. The four - Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State, and San Diego State - in essence bring the league back from the dead after its collapse saw 10 of 12 universities head elsewhere, with only Oregon State and Washington State still around when the dust settled. The details will still need to be ironed out, but one thing appear certain: the conference is not going to stop at six schools. It seems almost a foregone conclusion they'll look to expand further, and there are interesting possibilities that dot the college football landscape from coast-to-coast. With this additional realignment, it's time to break down where the league may go next, and which schools would be the best fit in this new era of Pac-12 athletics.


Tulane Green Wave

Geography will be of little importance to the Pac-12 as they look to bolster their ranks. We do, after all, live in a world where Cal and Stanford currently play in the Atlantic Coast Conference. With that in mind, I firmly expect the Pac-12 to go shopping in the American Athletic, and Tulane certainly is one of the most appealing options. The addition of the Green Wave would expand the Pac-12's geographic footprint into the Southeast (seriously, what a ridiculous world we live in) by bringing in an elite academic institution. It doesn't hurt, either, that Tulane has experienced something of a renaissance on the gridiron in recent years and seems well-positioned to continue that momentum nestled in fertile recruiting grounds. Add in a wealthy alumni base, Tulane checks just about every major box you could hope for in an expansion candidate.

Memphis Tigers

Along with Tulane, Memphis is the AAC school that seems to be gaining the most traction for a Pac-12 move. Much like Tulane, the addition of Memphis would allow the Pac-12 to expand their geographic footprint into a valuable part of the country, and the school has a proven track record of success in both football and basketball over the past two decades. Perhaps most importantly, Memphis has upgraded their facilities in a major way in recent years and become a major player in the NIL space, landing a 5-year, $25 million deal with FedEx that should make them a significant player in this new-look college sports landscape. It always felt like it was only a matter of time before Memphis made the jump to a power conference, and with neither the ACC or Big 12 showing interest at the moment, the Pac-12 has become their most likely route.

Thursday, September 12, 2024

College Football Picks 2024: Week Three

Tetairoa McMillan, Arizona
Current Picks Record: 12-5

Upsets: 1-1

Superdogs: 1-1

Locks: 0-2


(#20) Arizona Wildcats @ (#14) Kansas State Wildcats

Line: Kansas State -6.5

O/U: 60.5

The best game of the weekend looks to be this one on Friday night, a clash between a pair of new Big 12 rivals. On one side, Arizona has cruised to a 2-0 start after blowing apart New Mexico and Northern Arizona, while Kansas State needed a hard-fought win over Tulane last weekend to arrive here with an undefeated mark. This has all the makings of a Friday night thriller, and the type of game that makes the Big 12 the most intriguing power conference this fall.

After going for 627 yards and 61 points in their opener, Arizona's offense cooled down last week, struggling to find a rhythm as they clawed to a 22-10 win over NAU. It felt like a reminder that, for all the talent on this side of the ball, this is still a team with a young quarterback breaking in a new coaching staff and plenty of fresh faces. Having a shorter week heading into this one isn't an ideal situation, but the Wildcats won't shy away from what they do best - they are going to attack down the field with an aggressive passing attack. Quarterback Noah Fifita is still prone to the occasional mistake, but few quarterbacks in the country are as impressive when he's on his "A" game. It certainly helps that Fifita has the luxury of throwing the ball out wide to arguably the nation's best receiver, Tetairoa McMillan, whose 304-yard, four touchdown performance in the opener was one of the most impressive single-game performances in recent memory. Yet, for this Arizona team to reach their potential, it does feel like they are going to need others to get involved. Outside of McMillan, they've struggled to get anyone going in the passing game, and the ground game could be in for a tough matchup against an always-stout Kansas State defensive front. This feels like an opportunity for a veteran like Montana Lemonious-Craig to show what they can do, with K-State almost certain to key in on McMillan all night. Fifita also should look to reel in his game, at least early on - this is a well-coached Kansas State defense that capitalizes on turnovers as well as anyone. A key early turnover or two and this feels like a game where K-State could get an early lead and slow the game down to a grinding halt with their style of play.

Kansas State may have gotten all they could handle from Tulane a week ago, but they showed excellent grit and determination in coming away with the win. Still, they have to feel like they are going to have to play at a different level to come away with a victory against a Top 20 team, even at home. Offensively, that means Avery Johnson has to be better. The sophomore quarterback entered the year with significant hype and he's been solid, but the Wildcat offense feels rather one-dimensional at this point in time. Tailback D.J. Giddens is a stud and sure to have a field day against an Arizona defense that has struggled to defend the run, but finding balance could make all the difference. Between Keegan Johnson, Will Swanson, and Jayce Brown, Kansas State boasts an abundance of weapons, but it's up for Johnson to get them the ball and let them make plays. It also feels like the coaching staff has been holding Johnson back as a runner, with just 11 attempts over the first two weeks of the season. Perhaps the Wildcats are worried about running him too much for fear of injury, but a dual-threat like this, Kansas State becomes a much scarier team if he's unleashed. Perhaps in a close game like this figures to be, Chris Klieman and offensive coordinator Conor Riley will finally let the talented QB show what he can do with his legs.

Arizona now owns the longest win streak in FBS football after Michigan's loss last weekend, but they'll be hard-pressed to keep it going on the road in Manhattan. Arizona should be able to put points, especially after what Tulane did last Saturday, but K-State is more battle-tested at this point in the young season. They also feel better on the margins, such as on the line and on special teams, which could make all the difference in a tight one like this. Add in the home crowd, which is sure to be raucous on this Friday night, I'll take the favorite.

The Pick: Kansas State, 31 Arizona, 28

Thursday, September 5, 2024

College Football Picks 2024: Week Two

Dylan Raiola, Nebraska
Current Picks Record: 4-4

Upsets: 0-1

Superdogs: 0-1

Locks: 0-1


(#3) Texas Longhorns @ (#10) Michigan Wolverines

Line: Texas -7.5

O/U: 42.5

Two of college football's biggest brands collide in Ann Arbor this weekend for just the second trip in their respective histories. The two are coming off different opening week games - Texas took it to Colorado State in a 52-0 victory, while Michigan took their time Fresno State, before coming away with a 30-10 win. But, don't expect that to matter too much when these two take the field Saturday, as this one should come down to the wire.

Michigan's quarterback competition was one of the more intriguing storylines over the offseason and it came as a notable surprise that former walk-on Davis Warren was named the starter over Alex Orji for the opener against Fresno State. Warren wasn't asked to do too much against the Bulldogs and didn't exactly light the world on fire, finishing 15-25 for 168 yards, with a touchdown and an interception. That's likely to be the case all season, with the Wolverines leaning on their ground game that includes Donovan Edwards and Kalel Mullings. But, this Texas defense represents a whole different animal than the one Warren and Michigan saw on the first weekend. There are NFL athletes at all three levels, but the biggest difference you'll notice with recent Longhorn defenses is the discipline and attitude they play with. No longer is this defense missing tackles or letting up the big play - they get to their spots and fill their gaps as well as anyone in the nation. It feels like Michigan is going to need to change things up or open up the playbook a bit more to effectively move the ball here, especially with the offensive line looking downright bad a week ago. Edwards and Mullings may be capable backs, but the Longhorns will be ready to stack the box until they have a reason not to. Perhaps that means getting Semaj Morgan more involved, or getting tight end Colston Loveland the ball in creative ways? We'll learn about the Wolverine offense quickly in this contest.

The Longhorns had the luxury of resting their starters early on in the second half against Colorado State after building a big lead, so they should be fresh and ready to go on Saturday. Quarterback Quinn Ewers runs the show still, despite Arch Manning coming on and looking impressive in relief, but it does feel like the Longhorns are still working to figure out who among their cast of characters they can lean on at the other skill positions. Isaiah Bond and Johntay Cook II are likely to be key figures on the perimeter, but it will be interesting to see how running back continues to unfold after the injuries in fall camp. Jerrick Gibson and Jaydon Blue were impressive in the opener, but now they face this suffocating Michigan defense. The Wolverines do have plenty of new faces but the core of the defense remains intact, a group that includes future high NFL Draft selections Will Johnson and Mason Graham. They remain a physical, well-coached group that is going to test this Texas offense so early on in the season. This feels like a potential legacy opportunity for Ewers - he's been the type of QB who can show out in some of the biggest games, and then play down to his competition in others. In one of the biggest games of what is almost sure to be his final season in Austin, which Ewers comes out?

Although Texas dominated in the opener and Michigan looked rather unimpressive, I'd argue we shouldn't read too much into Week One results. Both teams are still figuring out their personnel and making adjustments, and I have little doubt the Wolverines will be playing at a whole different level in front of their home crowd. But, I'm just not sure this offense has the weapons to be able to move the ball against the Longhorns, unless they have a few tricks up their sleeves. They feel predictable right now, and the Texas defense will be up for the challenge. Even if the Wolverines slow them down the other way, how many points can we count on them scoring? There's a reason Texas is favored, even walking into a hostile environment of 107,000-plus.

The Pick: Texas, 21 Michigan, 14

Wednesday, August 28, 2024

College Football Picks 2024: Week One

Cade Klubnik, Clemson

(#14) Clemson Tigers @ (#1) Georgia Bulldogs (Atlanta)

Line: Georgia -13.5

O/U: 48.5

Two of college football's premier programs in the last decade collide in Atlanta to kick off the 2024 college football season. Despite their success, these two seem to be going in opposite directions - Georgia may not have been able to pull off the historic three-peat in 2023, but looks to still be firing on all cylinders entering the fall. Clemson, who won a pair of National Titles in the 2010s and played for two more, is out to prove they still belong in the National Title conversation with three or more losses each of the last three years. 

This Georgia team is going to look and play different than what we've come to know them under Kirby Smart. With Carson Beck under center, the Bulldogs are not going to be afraid to test this Clemson secondary over-the-top, and there's enough versatility in this receiver corps to use the entire field. Brock Bowers and Ladd McConkey may be gone, but look for names like Dominic Lovett, Arian Smith, and Colbie Young to ensure there's no drop-off for this aerial attack this fall. If that's not enough Georgia should still be able to lean on their usual power-rushing attack with the addition of Trevor Etienne and a healthy Branson Robinson. Teams simply aren't going to be able to stack the box against Beck's arm, and that's going to provide ample opportunities for this offense to pound the rock, particularly later in games once fatigue sets in. It will be interesting to see how Clemson is able to counter the other way. This defensive front is still at peak Clemson levels, with a host of future NFL defensive linemen and one of the best linebackers in the game today, Barrett Carter. It's going to be an absolute bloodbath in the trenches, and watching the chess match between Mike Bobo and Georgia versus Wes Goodwin and Clemson will be worth the watch alone. It's the secondary where my concerns lie with the Tigers, and they've been prone to the big play in recent years - with the way Beck finished 2023, that has to be the biggest advantage for Georgia on this side of the ball.

Was another offseason all Garrett Riley and Cade Klubnik needed to work out their differences after an up-and-down 2023? In many ways, it should have been expected that a young QB would struggle with a new play-caller, but the Tigers will need more from this offense if they have hopes of retaking the ACC this year. The reviews from the offseason for Klubnik have been good, but he faces quite the test to kick off the season against a strong Georgia defense. This is a group that may not quite have the star power of previous Bulldog defenses, but is as fast and athletic as anything we've seen Kirby Smart and staff put out. They're particularly good in the secondary, where safety Malaki Starks can change the game on just about every snap. For Clemson to win, Klubnik will need to take care of the ball, and he'll need help from a receiver group that was wildly inconsistent last season. Being without workhorse tailback Will Shipley is also a cause for concern. Although Phil Mafah should be able to handle the load, Shipley consistently got this Clemson offense out of tight spots throughout his time with the program. Do they have that type of consistent, clutch playmaker that can move the chains on this roster? Perhaps, but they'll still be identifying who it is as they suit up for this one.

There's been a lot of negativity surrounding Clemson throughout the offseason, but I think this one may be a reminder to college football fans everywhere this is still a program loaded with talent. They match up in the trenches against Georgia much better than a lot of SEC teams, and the skill positions have some real weapons. But, Beck gives Georgia an edge over Klubnik and the Tigers, at least until we see it from Klubnik in a big game like this. Add to the fact this is about as much of a home game as you can get for a neutral site contest for UGA, you have to roll with the Bulldogs here.

The Pick: Georgia, 31 Clemson, 21

Monday, August 26, 2024

Full College Football Preview 2024

Donovan Edwards, Michigan

Top 25

1. Ohio State Buckeyes -- After bringing in Quinshon Judkins through the portal and with several major names holding off on the NFL, Ohio State is all in on this being the year. Even in a treacherous Big Ten, I suspect Ryan Day finds a way to finish the job.

2. Georgia Bulldogs -- Georgia wasn't able to complete the "three-peat" after coming up short against Alabama in last year's SEC Championship Game, but the program is showing no signs of slowing down. With Carson Beck under center, they have a legit Heisman frontrunner, and arguably the most talented roster in all of the land.

3. Oregon Ducks -- Life in the Big Ten begins this fall for the Ducks, but this roster is ready to go. Dillon Gabriel will lead an explosive passing attack that features an elite receiver corps, while the defense is stocked with future NFL defenders.

4. Texas Longhorns -- 2023 was the breakthrough year for the Longhorns after years of waiting - now what will they do for an encore? The return of Quinn Ewers gives them a proven leader under center, but it's the continued growth from the defense that should guide them back to the College Football Playoff.

5. Alabama Crimson Tide -- Nick Saban may be gone, but I don't envision the Crimson Tide slowing down just yet. Kalen DeBoer has more than enough talent at his disposal to keep this thing rolling in 2024, especially with Jalen Milroe the established quarterback.

6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish -- It's Year Three for Marcus Freeman, and the ultimate make-it-or-break-it season for the 38-year old head coach. He's got the new QB (Riley Leonard), a roster loaded in the trenches, but most importantly, a favorable schedule. Anything short of a Playoff berth would be a major disappointment in South Bend.

7. Penn State Nittany Lions -- Penn State could be a major beneficiary of the expanded Playoff and new-look Big Ten, getting out of the rugged East Division. But to make the Playoff, they'll need more from their passing game - not just QB Drew Allar, but a receiver corps that was pedestrian for much of 2023.

8. Michigan Wolverines -- Forget all the offseason drama - this remains one of the premier rosters in college football. However, with major questions at QB and turnover throughout the roster, a step backwards is a near certainty in 2024.

9. LSU Tigers -- Jayden Daniels is gone, as are two NFL receivers in Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas. But, the Tigers have a chance to rebound defensively with new coordinator Blake Baker, who should get the most from a talented group, if they can fix their issues in the secondary.

10. Florida State Seminoles -- I won't move Florida State down despite their Week 0 loss to Georgia Tech. It was clear this team wasn't going to replicate last season's success, and the ACC remains wide open. 

College Football Preview 2024: SEC Part 2

Graham Mertz, Florida
Realignment Recap: It was the SEC's decision, along with Texas and Oklahoma, to join together that kicked off the latest round of conference realignment across the college sports landscape. No matter what you think of the end result, there's no denying that the addition of two of college football's blue bloods further bolsters the ever-strong SEC and gives us new, exciting matchups to enjoy each fall. With its ranks swelled to 16 teams, the SEC joined the rest of the college football world and removed divisions, meaning the league's two best teams will collide each year in the SEC Championship Game. With two teams that made the final four-team College Football Playoff now part of the conference, along with Georgia, LSU, Ole Miss, and Missouri, the SEC is as strong as ever, setting up what could be a banner year for the new-look league.


Power Rankings

Teams 1-8 in Part 1 


9. Kentucky Wildcats

Offense: Following Liam Coen's decision to return to the NFL, Mark Stoops acted quick to name Boise State's Bush Hamdan the new OC in Lexington. Hamdan is still likely to lean on a power-run attack, but the Wildcats will look to pick up the pace this year, and with new QB Brock Vandagriff, potentially test defenses vertically.

Vandagriff is the presumed starter after transferring in from SEC foe Georgia, where he spent three seasons but was unable to break through. He's a former blue-chip recruit with all the physical tools, but it will be interesting to see how he adjusts to a new scheme and being the face of the offense. Another transfer quarterback, Gavin Wimsatt, also arrives from Rutgers and brings experience to the equation after 19 starts with the Scarlet Knights.

Kentucky will have a new tailback next to Vandagriff in the backfield after Ray Davis and his 1,129 yards and 14 touchdowns graduated. They'll likely lean on transfers here, too, with Chip Trayanum from Ohio State and Demie Sumo-Karngbaye from NC State likely to see the most action. Sumo-Karngbaye did average seven yards per carry in limited usage with the 'Cats last fall and Trayanum had 373 yards with Ohio State, but it does feel like a slight stepdown at the position. Fortunately, they'll run behind an offensive line that brings back four starters, including stalwarts Marques Cox and Jager Burton.

The combination of Barion Brown and Dane Key out wide is among the most underrated in the country, with both looking to take off during their third seasons with the program. Key led the team in yardage and touchdowns, but Brown has proven to be a steady presence during his time in Lexington. add in Ja'Mori Maclin from North Texas, this could be an explosive passing game if Vandagriff can acclimate quickly.

Defense: The Wildcats reload on this side of the ball just about as well as anyone in the SEC but this fall, there won't have to be much reloading. Just about every major piece is returning, with one major exception - Trevin Wallace left for the NFL after recording 80 tackles and 5.5 sacks a year ago.

Even without Wallace, this front seven is going to be nasty. Nose guard Deone Walker is fresh off an All-SEC season and will cause damage on the interior, while ends J.J. Weaver and Keeshawn Silver terrorize opponents off the edge. Add in tackle Octavious Oxendine, the perfect balance to Walker on the inside with his quickness, and this may end up being the best defensive line group in the SEC.

The linebacker corps will undoubtedly miss Wallace, but veterans Jamon Dumas-Johnson and D'Eryk Jackson should ensure there's no major slippage in 2024. Jackson led the team in tackles last fall, while Dumas-Johnson joins Vandagriff in coming over from Georgia after 24 starts in the last three seasons.

The Wildcat pass defense took their lumps a season ago, but there's reason to believe this could be an improved group this year. Three starters are back in the fold, including standout corner Maxwell Hairston Jr., who picked off five passes last season. The staff also worked to add in some reinforcements through the portal in the form of Michigan transfer D.J. Waller and Alabama's Kristian Story.

Bottom Line: The ever-steady Wildcats are bound to look quite different on the offensive side of the ball in 2024, at least in the backfield, but the core of the program has not changed. Mark Stoops has an experienced team that will battle in the trenches and be an absolute pain to play on any given Saturday. The schedule is a difficult one, so the Wildcats will have an uphill climb, but this is a program you can trust to go out and win 7-8 games consistently. And who knows, if Vandagriff ends up being the real deal, they could be quite the dark horse near in the middle-of-the-pack in this conference.

10. Texas A&M Aggies

Offense: The Bobby Petrino experiment actually ended up being a mild success despite the external forces working against him, with Conner Weigman going down for the season after four games and Jimbo Fisher's eventual demise. But, there was no chance new head man Mike Elko was going to hold onto him, instead convincing Collin Klein to leave his alma mater, Kansas State, to run the show. 

The hope is that Weigman is ready to go after after flashing significant upside in eight starts in his first two seasons in College Station. Weigman has the tools, a 6'3", 215-pounder with running ability and a crisp arm, and he looked well on his way to something big in 2023 before the injury. If he can stay healthy, he has a chance to be one of the SEC's breakout stars.

Weigman will have to even more this season after the unfortunate news that tailback Rueben Owens would miss most of the 2024 season with a foot injury suffered in fall camp. Junior Le'Veon Moss is more than capable, but losing a potential workhorse like Owens stings. It may, however, afford further opportunities to newcomer E.J. Smith and Amari Daniels, who was actually A&M's top rusher in 2023.

With Ainias Smith off to the NFL and Evan Stewart transferring out, finding new weapons at receiver for Weigman will be key. Senior Jahdae Walker is the most proven option right now, but Klein and staff are also hoping for more from junior Noah Thomas and veteran Moose Muhammed. Transfers Cyrus Allen from Louisiana Tech and Jabre Barber from Troy will also be counted on, and A&M is hopeful sophomore tight end Donovan Green returns to form after missing the entire season last fall.

The Aggies do lose a pair of starters up front in Layden Robinson and Bryce Foster, which will hurt him on the interior, but the unit appears to still be in fine shape as they gear up for the fall. Left tackle Trey Zuhn is an All-SEC possibility, while sophomore Mark Nabou is expected to take over for Foster at center after primarily playing left guard.

Defense: Jay Bateman was who Mike Elko selected to run the A&M defense in 2024, although there's little doubt Elko will also have his hands in it considering his background. They'll take over an Aggie defense that was consistently strong under Jimbo Fisher, and should be in a good spot once again as we look ahead towards this fall.

The two Shemars, Shemar Stewart and Shemar Turner, are quite the starting point on the defensive line and A&M further bolstered this group with the addition of Purdue transfer Nic Scourton. A potential first-rounder next spring, Scourton had 10 sacks for the Boilermakers a year ago and will require constant attention off the edge.

There are some notable departures in the back seven, but plenty still returns, and Elko and this staff plugged holes through their work in the portal. At linebacker, Pitt transfer Solomon DeShields could come in and be a Day One starter next to Taurean York, with Edgerrin Cooper now in the NFL. However, Florida transfer Scooby Williams is expected to push him at weakside linebacker, a position to watch into the regular season.

Veteran cornerback Tyreek Chappell leads the secondary, which also brings back rising junior Bryce Anderson. The two spots that will be interesting to watch will be the corner spot opposite of Chappell and free safety, where transfers have a fairly good chance to start immediately. Will Lee, a long and sturdy corner who started nine games at Kansas State in 2023, is likely to pair with Chappell at corner.

Bottom Line: Following the epic implosion that was the Jimbo Fisher era, Mike Elko seems like a shrewd hire by Texas A&M brass. He's not going to be as flashy in the way he does things as Jimbo and may not bring in the nation's top recruiting class, but he's an elite football mind who knows the program well and understands its culture. Year One will surely have its share of growing pains but the roster remains talented, and a healthy Weigman provides A&M with plenty of upside. Replicating last season's seven wins is a fair goal and with the way the schedule breaks, even greater things could be expected.

Wednesday, August 21, 2024

College Football Preview 2024: SEC Part 1

Jalen Milroe, Alabama

Realignment Recap: It was the SEC's decision, along with Texas and Oklahoma, to join together that kicked off the latest round of conference realignment across the college sports landscape. No matter what you think of the end result, there's no denying that the addition of two of college football's blue bloods further bolsters the ever-strong SEC and gives us new, exciting matchups to enjoy each fall. With its ranks swelled to 16 teams, the SEC joined the rest of the college football world and removed divisions, meaning the league's two best teams will collide each year in the SEC Championship Game. With two teams that made the final four-team College Football Playoff now part of the conference, along with Georgia, LSU, Ole Miss, and Missouri, the SEC is as strong as ever, setting up what could be a banner year for the new-look league.


Power Rankings

1. Georgia Bulldogs

Offense: Carson Beck waited his turn in Athens, and was as good as advertised in his first full season as starter for the Bulldogs. In 14 starts, he finished just below 4,000 yards in passing (3,941) and also set the Georgia single-season record for completion percentage, previously held by his predecessor Stetson Bennett. Now, he enters the 2024 season as a Heisman frontrunner and has the chance to solidify himself as a household name with another big season.

Beck is only one half of the reason the Bulldog passing game was able to take off last year, as tight end Brock Bowers and the rest of the UGA pass-catchers was the best collection Kirby Smart had in some time in 2023, despite suffering through injuries. Bowers may be gone, as is second-rounder Ladd McConkey, but the rest of this group remains strong. Dominic Lovett and Miami transfer Colbie Young will be one of the top receivers on this roster, and could this be the year Arian Smith finally puts it together? The speedster could be in store for a larger role after the recent dismissal of Rara Thomas.

Look for junior Oscar Delp, who saw his role expand after a mid-season injury to Bowers, emerge as the new top tight end on this roster. He's just as athletic as the departed Bowers and his versatility will allow the Bulldogs to move him around in advantageous matchups. Add in Stanford transfer Benjamin Yurosek, who the staff has raved about over the offseason, this remains a position of strength for UGA.

The emergence of an explosive passing game last fall overshadowed the fact that this was the worst Georgia rushing attack in some time. Although, to be fair, the Bulldogs dealt with an abundance of injuries at the position, meaning they had to rely on walk-ons, like Cash Jones, or receivers like Dillon Bell just to move the ball.

With Daijun Edwards and Kendall Milton, last year's top two rushers moving on, one would assume Georgia's ground game would remain a problem. However, neither Edwards nor Milton are severe losses, and the addition of Florida transfer Trevor Etienne means the position is in line for improvement. Etienne ran for 753 yards for the Gators last fall and will also be joined by a healthy Branson Robinson, who was out for the year in fall camp a year ago.

Much like the rest of this offense, the O-Line has losses, but could actually be in position to improve given the circumstances this fall. Amarius Mims and Sedrick Van Pran may both be in the NFL, but Mims missed time with injury, and four other starters return. Those returnees include All-American guard Tate Ratledge, versatile senior Xavier Truss, and the rapidly improving Earnest Greene, who could be a breakout candidate.

Defense: It's hard to call a defense that allowed just 15.6 PPG last season a disappointment, but it didn't feel like Georgia was up to their usual standard on this side of the ball last season. That was reflected in the NFL Draft last spring, where no Bulldog defenders went in the first round, and just four defenders were drafted overall.

Expect that to change in 2024, as Georgia is loaded at all three levels this year and should be well-equipped with the star power that was absent at times in 2023. Up front, junior defensive end Mykel Williams looks to be on the cusp of superstardom and should see this fall as the breakthrough year, while the combo of Warren Brinson and Nazir Stackhouse will swallow up opposing rushers all fall long.

The linebacker corps has seen a bit of a step-back in recent years, but a resurgence here could be in the cards. Smael Mondon is one of the best in the country and a Butkus Award favorite as a senior, while junior Chaz Chambliss will be one of the team's top pass rushers off the edge. Add in Jalon Walker and C.J. Allen, who was a revelation as a true freshman in 2023, this will feel like a typical UGA linebacker group, with the speed, athleticism, and range to overwhelm opposing offenses.

Hard-hitting Javon Bullard and corner Kamari Lassiter both went in the second round of the NFL Draft this spring, but the back-end remains in a good spot. Headlining the position group is one of college football's top defenders in Malaki Starks, a human highlight reel safety who built on an impressive freshman season by earning All-American honors last year.

Starks and corner Daylen Everette are familiar names, but it will be interesting who takes over for Bullard and Lassiter in the secondary. A place like Georgia, there's no shortage of talented options, but none that have cemented a starter job throughout the fall. Could we see highly touted freshman K.J. Bolden emerge next to Starks at safety?

Bottom Line: The Bulldogs weren't quite able to stick the landing in their quest to win a third straight National Title last season, but Kirby Smart still has the machine humming in Athens. Even with the NFL Draft defections, the Bulldogs should be healthier than they were a year ago and did a precise job filling holes on their roster through the portal. The schedule is tricky, with Clemson at a neutral site to kick off the year, and road trips to Alabama and Texas, but the 12-team Playoff allows Georgia more room for error than they had previously. With how talented this roster is, and the usual elite staff on the sidelines, u have the Bulldogs returning to the National Championship Game once more, after a one-year hiatus.


2. Texas Longhorns

Offense: Steve Sarkisian's offense truly hit their stride in 2023, with the Longhorns finishing with averages of over 478 yards and 36 points per contest. Those numbers alone were impressive, but were particularly special when you consider that QB Quinn Ewers missed several games and star running back Jonathan Brooks was lost for the year after ten games.

Now a junior, Ewers is back to run the show after sticking out on the NFL for one more year. We saw the potential in 2022, but last season things really came into fruition, with Ewers throwing for 3,479 yards and 22 touchdowns, despite missing time. With all the attention paid to Arch Manning, it almost feels like Ewers is underrated entering 2024, a strange dilemma for a multi-year starter at arguably the most identifiable position in all of college football. 

Ewers will have a new running mate in the backfield now that Brooks is off to the NFL, and it looked like C.J. Baxter was ready to take up the mantle after an impressive freshman campaign. However, Baxter suffered an injury in fall camp last week that will take him out for the entirety of the season. And then, true freshman Christian Clark tore his Achilles, leaving Texas with just three scholarship backs as they prepare for the season. Jaydon Blue ran for 398 yards in a reserve role last fall and looks to be the guy, and freshman Jerrick Gibson comes in with plenty of hype, but the lack of depth at the position is a real concern as the Longhorns acclimate to the SEC. 

The injuries at running back will put emphasis on the receiver corps to step up, a group that is losing a star in Xavier Worthy. Yet, they should still provide Ewers ample support, as sophomores Johntay Cook and DeAndre Moore both look like breakout candidates, and transfers Isaiah Bond and Silas Bolden bring proven playmaking ability. Tight end is a position to watch, as well, now that Ja'Tavion Sanders is gone, although the staff is hopeful converted receiver Amari Niblack, another Alabama transfer, can emerge.

The offensive line has moved from the program's greatest problem area when Sarkisian arrived to the strength of the offense within the span of a few years. Junior left tackle Kelvin Banks is one of the nation's best and a top candidate to go No. 1 overall in next spring's NFL Draft, while veteran center Jake Majors and junior guard D.J. Campbell offer plenty of support.

Defense: For all the credit the Longhorn offense deservedly got last fall, it was their progress on defense that allowed them to take the final step to a College Football Playoff. They allowed just under 19 PPG, and stepped up in some of their toughest games on their schedule. Yet, after giving up 37 to Michael Penix and Washington in the Sugar Bowl, they should have an extra layer of motivation heading into 2024.

Losing Outland Trophy winner T'Vondre Sweat and Byron Murphy II, two players who went within the first two rounds of the NFL Draft, is a huge blow to this defensive line. With that being said, the Longhorns are hopeful newcomers Collin Simmons and UTSA transfer Trey Moore can team up with returnees Ethan Burke and Barryn Sorrell to keep this unit from any falloff. There's still questions on the interior, but Alfred Collins and Vernon Broughton are two players who have spent significant time with the program, even if they aren't at the level of Sweat or Murphy.

The linebacker corps has one of college football's rising stars leading the charge in sophomore middle linebacker Anthony Hill, who won Big 12 Newcomer of the Year after finishing with 67 tackles in 2023. He'll play all over the field once again and look for him to get after the passer even more than he did as a freshman. Veterans David Gbenda and "Star" Jahdae Barron are also back, meaning this could be one of the best units in the SEC.

The secondary has been a problem for Texas in the past and while they progressed in a major way last season, there is still work to be done. There are losses here, but the 'Horns worked in the portal to bring in reinforcements with Andrew Mukuba from Clemson and Jay'Vion Cole from San Jose State, who will be Day One starters. Sophomore Malik Muhammed is also ready for more after two starts as a freshman - he made my "Ten Players Ready for the Sophomore Leap" piece

Bottom Line: The long-awaited Texas breakthrough finally happened in 2023 - now 2024 is all about sustaining it. That challenge will be more difficult as the Longhorns make the jump to the SEC, but this remains an exceptionally talented roster led by a coach that knows how to play to the strengths of his personnel. There is offensive turnover that could lead to some growing pains, but the defense looks to be as good as its been in a long time and with Ewers under center, it's hard to imagine a huge drop-off. The schedule is tricky enough to imagine more than one regular season loss this time around, but a College Football Playoff appearance in an expanded field should be a no-brainer.