The Top Seed: Duke Blue Devils
It may have been a down year for the ACC in basketball this winter, but that was certainly not the case for the league's flagship program. The Duke Blue Devils went out and won 31 games total, including 19 in the conference, and now enter the NCAA Tournament as a National Title favorite. It's clear this is Jon Scheyer's best team since taking over for the legendary Coach K, as the Blue Devil roster is flush with talent. There's the generational star leading the way in Cooper Flagg, tremendous complementary pieces in Kon Knueppel and Sion James, and the steady veterans like Tyrese Proctor. If there is a concern as the Blue Devils reach their most important part of the season, it could be a pair of unfortunately timed injuries. Cooper Flagg's startling sprained ankle in the ACC quarterfinals threatened to derail Duke's season, and he proceed to miss the remainder of the ACC Tournament. It sounds like he'll back for the NCAA Tournament, but it's still worth monitoring, as he's likely not 100 percent. Arguably more important than the Flagg injury just based on the severity of the injury was the loss of forward Maliq Brown, who dislocated his shoulder in the same game. It could be a more important loss than the average person may realize, robbing the Blue Devils of one of their best interior defenders. And yet, you almost wonder if the injury questions could be spun into a positive in a way for Duke as they enter the Big Dance. Not the Brown injury, but the Flagg one, as it gave the rest of the roster a chance to shine in an ACC Title run. Knueppel in particular elevated his play, and now enters the NCAA Tournament playing his best basketball of the season. The same goes for Tyrese Proctor, who just goes out and hits big shots for this team every single game. I mean, would it not be the most Duke thing ever for an injury to the likely National Player of the Year somehow end up being a good thing? This feels like a Duke team on a journey, and another reason to believe? They have the easiest and most straightforward path to the Final Four of any of the No. 1 seeds. This is, without a doubt, a team equipped to win it all this time around, which would be the first National Title brought back to Durham since Jahlil Okafor and Tyus Jones did it in 2015.
Exercise Caution: Arizona Wildcats
The Arizona Wildcats had a fine introduction year to the Big 12 this winter, recovering from a bumpy non-conference to go 14-6 inside the league. It was good enough to earn a No. 4 seed and set themselves up with a date in the first round against the 13-seed Akron Zips. Arizona head coach Tommy Lloyd keeps on churning out victories since taking over in Tucson, but I still have an uneasy feeling about these Wildcats as they prep for the NCAA Tournament. For one, despite Lloyd's success in the regular season, it still feels like he's awaiting his March breakthrough. He's been to the Sweet 16 twice in three seasons, but considering the Wildcats have earned two No. 2 seeds and one No. 1 seed, that feels a bit underwhelming, especially with a shocking first round loss to Princeton sandwiched in there. Even more worrying for me than Lloyd's March struggles, is the fact that point guard Caleb Love is by far and away the most confusing and volatile player in the country. The former UNC transfer can take over games when he's playing well, and it wasn't too long ago he was the heart and soul of the Tar Heels team that played for a National Title in 2022. At the same time, no player can shoot his team out of games quite like Love, and he's had poor numbers across the board this winter for the Wildcats. He's shot 38% from the field and 32% from three-point territory, while shooting at a remarkably high volume - he attempts nearly eight per game. I simply can't put my trust in a team that is led by a player like Caleb Love, the maddening inconsistency just is not worth dealing with. With that in mind, perhaps Love goes out and proves myself and all the detractors wrong with a signature run. He's just that type of player that you have no idea what you're getting on any given night, and that scares me away from Arizona in general.
Don't Forget About: Wisconsin Badgers