Tuesday, December 31, 2019

Bowl Picks 2019-2020: Outback Bowl to LendingTree Bowl (Jan.1-6)

Bo Nix, Auburn (Outback Bowl)
Outback Bowl
(10-2) Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. (9-3) Auburn Tigers
Even though a bad loss to Wisconsin put a damper on their 2019 campaign, Minnesota has still had an extremely impressive season. They hope to end it on a high note against a difficult Auburn team, who may actually be better than a 9-3 record indicates. The Gophers will have to find a way to get their offense back in a rhythm, as it limped to the finish line this year managing just 39 total points against Iowa & Wisconsin. It won't get any easier with offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca taking the same post at Penn State, but Minnesota still has enough pieces to put up points. Quarterback Tanner Morgan has been the most impressive Gopher QB in some time, and he has two of the premier receiving threats in the conference in Tyler Johnson and Rashod Bateman. However, the biggest question on the Gopher offense lies on the O-Line. This group has been solid for much of the year, but how do they handle this NFL-laden Auburn defensive front? Even without Nick Coe, who is skipping the bowl game, the Tigers still have the tools to live in the Gopher backfield here. On the other side, Auburn isn't sure which Bo Nix they'll be getting at QB. Nix has looked like a true freshman signal-caller; he has had his moments, but still lacks consistency. This is not an easy secondary to pass on, particularly with interception machine Antoine Winfield Jr. roaming around. Gus Malzahn will try to make things easier with some creative play calls, but it's still hard to know what you're getting out of the Auburn offense each and every week. With that being said, Auburn still retains an advantage along the lines, and their underrated secondary should be able to keep Bateman and Johnson in check.
Auburn, 31 Minnesota, 27

Citrus Bowl
(9-3) Michigan Wolverines vs. (10-2) Alabama Crimson Tide
Both Michigan and Alabama entered 2019 hoping for bigger and better things than a Citrus Bowl berth, but this bowl matchup is still important for both coaching staffs. The Crimson Tide want to prove they are still one of college football's elite programs, while Jim Harbaugh needs to win to sooth some concerns about his own Michigan program. There is no Tua Tagovailoa for the Tide, but Mac Jones has looked like a seasoned vet in his absence, and there are still an abundance of options for him to throw too. All four of Alabama's top receivers should be playing, including Jerry Jeudy, who announced he would not skip the bowl. That foursome is a chore to contain for any defense, particularly one as inconsistent as the Michigan secondary. The Wolverines are physical enough to contain the Tide rushing attack, but the speed on the perimeter is a different story. The 'Bama defense will have a few players skipping (notably corner Trevon Diggs and linebacker Terrell Lewis), and this group already has had its issues. They've lacked the discipline and experience of past Tide defenses, leaving them with serious question marks. The secondary still has the talent to make Shea Patterson's finale a difficult one, but what about the rush defense? I wouldn't be surprised if Harbaugh and the Wolverines pound the ball against an Alabama defensive front that has really missed linebacker Dylan Moses in 2019. Yet, even so, I still retain more confidence in this Alabama program than Michigan at this point. Nick Saban will have his team motivated, and the offense should overwhelm UM here.
Alabama, 38 Michigan, 26

Rose Bowl
(11-2) Oregon Ducks vs. (10-3) Wisconsin Badgers
There's nothing like the "Granddaddy of Them All" in Pasadena, and this year's Rose Bowl should be very interesting. Oregon was agonizingly close to a Playoff berth in 2019, and is playing great football at this point in the year, while Wisconsin ended their year by blowing out Minnesota and knocking a significant scare into Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game. The Duck offense will be in store for a tough matchup against the Badger D, one of the best in the nation, but they still averaged nearly 36 points per game for a reason. QB Justin Herbert hopes to finish off his impressive collegiate career with another victory, but he'll need help from his receiver corps. Oregon has a number of weapons on the outside that can open things up, including Johnny Johnson and Jaylon Redd, but drops have been an issue. The Wisconsin secondary is solid, but if the Ducks can execute, they can still create some big plays. On the ground, C.J. Verdell and Travis Dye will occupy the terrific Badger linebacker group, while a physical Ducks' offensive line should provide plenty of resistance themselves. No matter what happens offensively, Oregon will need their defense to show up, which hasn't always been the case. Overall, the unit has great numbers, but it has really struggled against some of the better units they've faced. Wisconsin doesn't do anything flashy on offense, but they are still effective. Jonathan Taylor won the Doak Walker Award after rushing for 1,909 yards and 21 touchdowns on the year, while quarterback Jack Coan seems to be growing in confidence every week. The Ducks do a good job against the run, but can they force Coan into some mistakes and create turnovers? You get the feeling they'll need to do just that if the offense stalls, which is entirely possible. That could be pretty concerning; Oregon can create turnovers, but the secondary has been streaky all 2019. That doesn't mean Coan has a coming-out party, but he doesn't need to put up crazy stats to make his impact felt. I had a real tough time deciding between the two of these teams. On one hand, I've felt Oregon was a Playoff-caliber team all year, and if they had decided not to schedule Auburn in the non-conference they probably would've been one of the four Playoff teams. However, this is a really tough matchup for them, and I think it is about time the Badgers overcome some of their Rose Bowl demons.
Wisconsin, 28 Oregon, 24

Sugar Bowl
(11-2) Baylor Bears vs. (11-2) Georgia Bulldogs
Two conference runner-ups collide in the Sugar Bowl, as Baylor hopes to cap off a surprising 2019 with a victory, while Georgia hopes this doesn't turn into last year's Sugar Bowl, when they were dominated by Texas. A big question for the Bears was seemingly answered earlier this week when QB Charlie Brewer was ruled healthy and ready to go for this one (he was knocked out of the Big 12 Championship Game). Brewer isn't a superstar, but remains an effective passer that can really get the methodical Baylor offense going. Surrounding Brewer is a cast of under-the-radar, but effective, playmakers. Running backs John Lovett and JaMychal Hasty can both create plays on the ground and as receivers out of the backfield, while Denzel Mims and Tyquan Thornton are the go-to guys at wide out. Mims should be particularly motivated in this one; he was held to zero catches in the Big 12 Championship, after catching 61 passes on the year. Brewer will still have a tough time going up against this Bulldogs secondary; not only do they feature Jim Thorpe Award finalist J.R. Reed, they also have speed and skill throughout the unit. The biggest question on the Georgia sideline also pertains to their quarterback. What Jake Fromm will show up? He has had an up-and-down junior season, but has the tendency to play his best football in the biggest games. Granted, Fromm has been hurt by the lack of proven options at receiver, but he still is too talented to be having the type of inconsistent play he's been experiencing. Having an arsenal of weapons at running back certainly helps Fromm, but even that group isn't 100 percent. Feature back D'Andre Swift has been dealing with nagging injuries for much of 2019, and is listed as questionable for this one. Georgia can still roll with Brian Herrien, Zamir White and James Cook if he isn't able to go, but a limited Swift is still a concern. The good news is that the Bulldogs still retain one of the nation's best offensive lines, which will limit James Lynch and an aggressive Baylor pass rush. That could make all the difference in this one, giving Fromm the time he needs to finally fulfill his vast potential.
Georgia, 30 Baylor, 21

Birmingham Bowl
(6-6) Boston College Eagles vs. (10-3) Cincinnati Bearcats
Going up against a ten-win AAC team was already going to be difficult for Boston College, but things have gotten more complicated after they fired head coach Steve Addazio and lost star running back A.J. Dillon to the NFL. Although the Eagles decided to hire Ohio State co-DC Jeff Hafley as their new head guy, it will be assistant Rich Gunnell who will coach in the Birmingham Bowl, while Dillon and his 1,685 yards will skip this one. Will BC be able to move the ball without him? Their passing attack is among the worst in Power Five (108th nationally), but they're hopeful QB Dennis Grosel can make some things happen. Grosel is going to have to create against a stout Cincinnati defense that allows under 22 points per game. The Eagles defense does give them a fighting chance, but there is a mismatch there as well. BC will have to contain a balanced Bearcats' offense led by QB Desmond Ridder and powerful runner Michael Warren II. Cincinnati isn't necessarily explosive with what they do on offense, so don't expect the scoreboard operators to be too busy here. However, they are effective at what they do, and there are just too many questions for the Eagles at the moment. It would be pretty miraculous if they found some way to beat Cincy with all the questions surrounding the current state of the program.
Cincinnati, 24 Boston College, 14

Gator Bowl
(8-4) Indiana Hoosiers vs. (7-5) Tennessee Volunteers
No matter what happens in this year's Gator Bowl, both programs should feel pretty great about what they accomplished in 2019. Indiana's eight wins are their most since the early 90's, while Tennessee recovered from a disastrous 0-2 start, which included losses to Georgia State & BYU, to finish off 7-5. While there were a couple reasons for the Vols great finish to the year, much of it can be explained by a rapidly improved defense, which allowed just allowed just 12.5 points per game over their last four. This defensive front really looks like an SEC team, which hasn't always been the case in year's past. Not only do they feature a strong linebacker corps, including veteran Daniel Bituli and young prodigy Henry To'oto'o, but keep an eye on end Darrell Taylor, who NFL scouts adore. The Hoosiers have a decent offensive line, but they could still have some problems keeping quarterback Peyton Ramsey upright. Ramsey, who replaced Michael Penix Jr. at QB once he was lost for the year, is a good runner that can create with his legs, which adds an interesting element to this Indiana offense. He's aided by a number of other versatile playmakers, including back Stevie Scott and wide outs Whop Philyor and Ty Fryfogle. The Hoosiers averaged nearly 32 points per game on the season and has the 14th-ranked pass offense nationally, so they've done a good job in the post-Penix era. I still think they'll find a way to score points against the Vols. Tennessee, on the other hand, has had more issues with consistency on offense. Veteran Jarrett Guarantano remains a confusing player, having some great moments mixed into plenty of really, really bad ones. UT is going to lean on the run, but the Hoosiers have faced a lot of really good ground games in 2019, so they won't be intimidated. Even so, I give the slight edge to Tennessee, as they have the better athletes on the field, and appear to be entering with more momentum.
Tennessee, 27 Indiana, 21

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
(6-6) Ohio Bobcats vs. (7-5) Nevada Wolfpack
If you like explosive offense and big plays, this year's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl might just be for you. That isn't too say that these are the two best offenses in the land, but more of a comment on the other side of the ball, where these two have struggled to stop opponents for most of 2019. To be fair, Ohio's offense is playing well at the right time, scoring 66 and 52 in their final two games (both victories). They're led by a really underrated quarterback in Nathan Rourke, a really effective dual threat. In addition to his 2,676 yards through the air, Rourke also added 780 on the ground, which could give this Nevada defense some real headaches. The Bobcats also feature a stable of good, if not great, running backs, namely O'Shaan Allison and De'Montre Tuggle. The pair both averaged over six yards per carry on the season. The Wolfpack allow over 32 points per game on the year, and they've looked really lost against some of the better offenses they've faced. They're going to need to score to keep up, but it's hard to know what you're getting out of the Nevada offense each and every week. QB Carson Strong has looked good down the stretch, but turnovers remain an issue, and this is a Bobcats defense that knows how to capitalize off mistakes. Somebody else is also going to have to step up on this offense, whether it's at running back or out wide. Sophomore tailback Toa Taua has also been very streaky, but when is on, this offense does really move the ball. In the two games Taua rushed for over 100 yards, Nevada won both. With that being said, I lean Ohio in this bowl matchup. They've traditionally been more of a consistent program, and they are trending upwards at the right time. Rourke is also the best offensive player on the field, which gives them another advantage here.
Ohio, 37 Nevada, 27

Armed Forces Bowl
(7-5) Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. (6-6) Tulane Green Wave
Former Conference USA foes collide in the Armed Forces Bowl. Neither of these teams have very impressive records, but I think both may actually be better than that record indicates. Tulane began the year 5-1 before going 1-5 in the second half. However, those five losses were all against some of the best the Group of Five has to offer including Memphis, Navy, UCF and SMU. The Green Wave move the ball with an interesting offense that leans on the option and quarterback runs. Former LSU transfer Justin McMillan has really found a second home with Tulane, leading the team in passing and rushing. He didn't have a great second half, but he'll have opportunities against a mediocre Southern Miss defense. A major question for Tulane remains at running back and around Darius Bradwell. Bradwell rushed for over 1,000 yards in 2018, but has been held in check this season, dealing with nagging injuries and facing tough defenses. Yet, Bradwell should be able to go for this one, and he could finish up his Green Wave career with a great finale. Southern Miss moves the ball a little bit differently than Tulane, instead leaning on the pass more than a ground-orientated attack. Under center is Jack Abraham, who slings the ball around and has some weapons, but has issues with turnovers, throwing 15 on the season. Tulane's offense knows how to win the possession battle and maintain control of the ball, so losing the turnover battle against them could be a real problem for USM. Abraham did still throw for 3,329 yards on the year, so the Green Wave secondary has to be prepared, and must stop receivers Quez Watkins and Tim Jones on the outside. The good news for them is that they've faced even more explosive passing offenses, like UCF and SMU, so they already have experience going against it. I think that, along with the hope that Bradwell can really get going, gives Tulane the edge.
Tulane, 29 Southern Miss, 20

LendingTree Bowl
(10-3) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs. (8-5) Miami (Ohio) Redhawks
It may be a Group of Five versus Group of Five matchup in the LendingTree Bowl, but this one could still be a fun primer to the National Championship a week later. Both of these teams went to their respective conference championship games, and in the case of Miami, they won it. Louisiana quietly put together a very impressive campaign, with their only losses coming to Mississippi State and Appalachian State (twice). They have a pretty explosive offense, as well as an underrated defense that allows less than 20 points per game. They're a particularly potent running team, as their 265.3 yards per game on the ground ranks seventh in the country. A trio of backs, Elijah McGuire, Raymond Calais and Trey Ragas could give the Redhawks' defense some real difficulties. Miami Ohio is far from flashy, as their offense ranked near the bottom of the FBS. They are, however, excellent at finding ways to win close games, winning five conference games by a total of 21 points. They have a rushing attack that can still lead the way, but they need to figure out how to score quickly. They simply haven't thrown the ball well enough to assume they can keep up with the Ragin' Cajuns for the entire sixty minutes.
Louisiana, 35 Miami (Ohio), 21

Friday, December 27, 2019

CFB Playoff Picks 2019: Peach Bowl & Fiesta Bowl

Peach Bowl: #1 (13-0) LSU Tigers vs. #4 (12-1) Oklahoma Sooners
Joe Burrow, LSU

Even though this is now their fourth appearance in the College Football Playoff, Oklahoma is still searching for their first win in the event. In order to do so, they have to find a way to get past the undefeated LSU Tigers, led by Heisman Trophy winner Joe Burrow. Burrow has put together one of the most efficient and surprising quarterback campaigns in recent memory. Not only is the former Ohio State transfer second nationally in yards (4,715) and first in touchdowns (48), he finished his regular season with a staggering 78% completion percentage. Burrow has also been responsible for the rise of the LSU offense in general, which includes budding superstars in the backfield and on the outside. True sophomore Ja'Marr Chase had a breakout 2019, going from relative unknown to the Biletnikoff Award winner. He's an absolute nightmare to stop for opposing defensive backs, but is not the only weapon that can hurt you. Reliable veteran Justin Jefferson still remains a healthy security blanket for Burrow, while fellow sophomore Terrace Marshall Jr. can create big plays, hauling in ten touchdown receptions on the season. Then, there is running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who gets lost in the commotion surrounding Burrow and the receivers, but is a very crucial component to this offense. Edwards-Helaire is questionable for this semifinal duel, but if he is able to go, he'll be a real problem for an Oklahoma defense that struggles to tackle. This is not the type of back that will go down with simply arm tackles. If he isn't able to play, LSU will instead turn to a pair of freshmen, Tyrion Davis-Price and John Emery. The two remain relatively untested, but they won't have to be leaned on too heavily in an offense predicated on the pass.
Is there any hope for this Oklahoma defense against Burrow and the Tigers? Granted, this is a group that has made serious strides under the leadership of new coordinator Alex Grinch, as their 24.5 points allowed per game is a massive improvement over the 2018 edition. They do a good job of limiting the run, thanks in large part to the play of rangy linebacker Kenneth Murray, but the secondary is frightfully inconsistent. There is not a shortage of talent, but this is still a group prone to allowing the big play, and Burrow is undoubtedly the best quarterback they've seen on the season. I expect Grinch to try and throw some new things at Burrow, but will it be enough to rattle the poised veteran? Burrow has also had the luxury of playing behind a really quality offensive line, which has allowed him all the time he needs to gash opposing defenses. The Sooners already struggle to get enough pressure on the quarterback, and they're in an even tougher spot now that defensive end Ronnie Perkins was suspended for the semifinal (along with a number of offensive contributors). Perkins was a Freshman All-American for OU last fall, and followed it up with a six-sack 2019. His absence is going to be felt more than most realize.
On the other side of the ball, the Sooners look different as well. Even with a proven star at quarterback in Jalen Hurts, the offense has had its ups-and-downs. It still remains a group that can score in a hurry, averaging over 42 PPG in 2019, but they haven't eclipsed 35 since the Iowa State game. There are a few reasons for this; Hurts has had turnover problems at times, while the Oklahoma O-Line has also shown some cracks. Hurts will still give the Sooners an advantage because he has played on this big stage numerous times, but the line play is concerning. It has been the most under-appreciated aspect of the OU success, but the exterior of the unit has questions. This is a physical, aggressive LSU defensive front they're facing, so it could really end up being a problem here. Another issue that could arise for Oklahoma is the lack of depth in the backfield. Kennedy Brooks has proven himself a workhorse, totaling 976 yards on the campaign. However, beyond Brooks the Sooners have issues. Trey Sermon has missed most of the season with injury, forcing former JUCO transfer Rhamondre Stevenson into a larger role. Now, Stevenson is out, as he was also suspended for this game. Sure, Brooks and Hurts will be able to lead this ground attack, but against a physical SEC defense you'd like some other running backs available who have some fresher legs. Could we see little-used T.J. Pledger or Marcus Major, both who haven't played in over a month? Lincoln Riley may have to dig deeper than he'd like to keep the offense humming.
The LSU Tiger defense isn't perfect, and they've had issues stopping the run all season. They've definitely missed linebacker Michael Divinity for the second half of the season. after he initially left the team for "personal reasons" then was ruled ineligible. That is a weakness OU will hope to exploit, but LSU makes up for it with a star-studded secondary. They have the Jim Thorpe Award winner in Grant Delpit, who appears to be the healthiest he has been in some time. They also have two terrific corners in Derek Stingley Jr. and Kristian Fulton. Stingley has been absolutely wonderful as a true freshman, and is a future Day One NFL Draft pick. I'm really interested to see him match up against Biletnikoff Award finalist CeeDee Lamb.
LSU isn't a perfect team by any standard, but their offense and Burrow gives them an obvious edge over the vast majority of the teams they face. Oklahoma does have the tools to keep up with them, but their question marks are too significant to ignore. If they were entering this Playoff on absolute fire, I might feel differently about my pick here. However, they've sort of limped to the finish line in 2019, and barely came away with a victory against a third-string QB in the Big 12 Championship. I'm going LSU here, in what should be a high-scoring affair.
LSU, 38 Oklahoma, 28

Fiesta Bowl: #2 (13-0) Ohio State Buckeyes vs. #3 (13-0) Clemson Tigers
Isaiah Simmons, Clemson

Two balanced, dominant teams collide in this year's Fiesta Bowl. Ohio State is eager for vengeance as well, as their last meeting with Clemson was in the 2016 Playoff, a game they lost 31-0. The Buckeyes are skilled on both sides of the ball, but they wouldn't be 13-0 without the play of QB Justin Fields and tailback J.K. Dobbins. Fields has played efficient football while compiling over 3,000 yards of total offense and 50 touchdowns. He is a proven dual threat with a big arm who can really extend plays. The only similar QB Clemson has really seen like him this year is probably Virginia's Bryce Perkins, and Fields is a much better passer. With that being said, Fields did take a scary shot in the Michigan game, and it still isn't clear whether he is 100 percent in the knee. I don't think the knee will be a game-changer in this game, but it could be notable. Meanwhile, Dobbins was somehow not a Heisman finalist, despite finishing with 1,829 yards and 22 total touchdowns. He's a real nightmare for opposing defenses, because he can throw you and around you. Clemson's rush defense has been rock-solid all year, but much like Fields, Dobbins is a different breed than anything they've seen in the ACC. On the perimeter, the Tigers are going to have to find a way to contain a host of playmakers, namely Chris Olave and K.J. Hill. Olave is particularly versatile, and seems to play his best in the biggest moments.
Despite losing a host of talent to the NFL (including three defensive linemen in the first round), Clemson has done what they do every single year under coordinator Brent Venables: reload. In fact, statistically they are even better on defense than the 2018 edition, averaging just 3.96 yards per play this year, which is down 0.23 yards. They don't have quite as formidable of a pass rush, but this defensive group is more balanced top-to-bottom. The real star of the unit is linebacker Isaiah Simmons, who really does it all. The soon-to-be high Draft selection has six sacks, two interceptions and 93 total tackles on the season. He is aided by a number of other veterans in the linebacker corps, as well as a very strong secondary. This back seven has experience playing in big games and won't be intimidated by either the bright lights, or all the weapons the Buckeyes can throw at you.
Most of the Clemson Tiger offense that dropped 44 on Alabama in last year's National Championship returned for 2019, which has helped them average over 46 points per game on the year. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence had a slow start to his sophomore season, but is playing terrific football down the stretch. He hasn't thrown an interception since mid-October, playing with a lot of confidence and smarts. This is a guy that certainly has no problems playing on the biggest stages in the sport, as his play in last year's Playoff indicated. This is a really tough Ohio State defense he may be facing, but Lawrence should still be able to open things up. He also has the luxury of being joined by a wonderful supporting cast that includes back Travis Etienne and a potent trio of receivers. Etienne hasn't always been completely healthy in 2019, but still rushed for 1,500 yards and 17 touchdowns. He is an absolute speed demon that just needs one crease to reach the end zone, so the Buckeyes are going to have to tackle well, and tackle in space. The trio of receivers includes Tee Higgins, Justyn Ross and Amari Rodges. Higgins is the real go-to guy, while Ross was the breakout star in last year's National Championship. Then there is Rodgers, who doesn't get much attention but is really crucial to this offense and recovered miraculously quick from a torn ACL suffered in spring practice. All of this offensive talent is aided by a steady O-Line that has down a superb job keeping Lawrence upright all year long.
Obviously Ohio State wouldn't be 13-0 without the contributions of Fields and Dobbins on offense, but the real reason for their improved play in 2019 has been the defense. This was a real Achilles Heel for the group for most of last fall, but this unit has played with an improved energy and discipline all season long. Of course, it also helps when you have the most dominant defender in college football in defensive end Chase Young. Young missed two games on the year but still led FBS football with 16.5 sacks while facing double and triple teams. Clemson might have a solid offensive line, but even they're going to have a tough time blocking Young. In the back-end, the Buckeyes have really taken leaps, and a big thanks has to go to corner Jeffrey Okudah, a Thorpe Award finalist. Okudah has consistently covered opposing team's best receivers, but he can't defend this entire trio. Other Buckeye defenders are going to have to step up in the secondary, including Damon Arnette and Shaun Wade. Both of those guys are proven veterans, so I think they'll be ready for the challenge.
These are two of the most well-rounded, best-coached teams we've seen in college football in recent memory. It really is hard to pick one of them, and a coin flip might have to decide who will take on LSU in the National Championship. However, I lean going with the Clemson Tigers in Glendale. Most of this roster was here last year for the National Title, so they know the Playoff and how to take home the ultimate crown. They also have a coach who I trust a little bit more in Dabo Swinney (and Venables). That isn't a knock against Ryan Day, who has proven his coaching prowess this year, but more of Swinney's greatness. In fact, I trust Dabo and this team so much, they are my pre-Playoff pick to hoist the National Title for the second straight season, and third time in four seasons.
Clemson, 34 Ohio State, 30

Bowl Picks 2019: Camping World Bowl-Alamo Bowl (Non-NY6, Dec.28-31)

Chase Claypool, Notre Dame (Camping World Bowl)
Camping World Bowl
(10-2) Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. (7-5) Iowa State Cyclones
While Notre Dame will not be returning to the College Football Playoff this year, they could still finish the season 11-2 with a significant bowl victory. The Irish enter winners of five straight, as their offense has finally founds its legs down the stretch. Senior QB Ian Book in particular is playing terrific, with 12 touchdowns to zero interceptions in his last three games. The Cyclone defense is tough, but the secondary remains inconsistent. They also could be in store for a tough matchup against ND's top target, Chase Claypool, a 6'4", 230-pound weapon. On the other hand, Iowa State has a superb quarterback of their own, as Brock Purdy has wrapped up his sophomore campaign with 3,760 yards and 27 TD's. He has played well in ISU's biggest games, but this is a very difficult defense to play against. They pressure the quarterback for the entire sixty minutes, and the secondary has some real talent, including true freshman Kyle Hamilton. The Cyclones are really going to need to strike a balance on offense, which puts significant pressure on tailback Breece Hall. The youngster has flashed serious potential, but he has averaged just 3.7 yards per attempt over the last three games. It's hard to see Iowa State keeping up with this rapidly improving Irish offense unless he can create some big plays on the ground.
Notre Dame, 34 Iowa State, 24

First Responder Bowl
(8-4) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. (7-5) Western Michigan Broncos
Western Kentucky quietly was one of the better stories of the 2019 college football season. First-year head coach Tyson Helton took over a 3-9 Hilltopper team and transformed them into a pretty formidable 8-4 squad. They don't play a super exciting brand of football was a defense-first team that controls the ball, but the offense still has interesting pieces with junior running back Gaej Walker and senior wide out Lucky Jackson. Their defense is quality, but it could be in store for a tough one against WMU's LeVante Bellamy. One of the most underrated running backs in the country, Bellamy has 1,412 yards and 23 scores on the season. He has only had one single game where he didn't score a touchdown this year, which just happened to come against one of the nation's premier rush defenses, Michigan State. Western Michigan also features a veteran QB in Jon Wassink and a physical defense, but there are notable questions to ask when talking about special teams. They're just 8-15 on field goals this season, and the punting has been questionable at times as well. In bowl games between two competitive foes, those special teams issues could make all the difference.
Western Kentucky, 24 Western Michigan, 20

Music City Bowl
(7-5) Louisville Cardinals vs. (6-6) Mississippi State Bulldogs
Their wacky win over Ole Miss in the Egg Bowl might have allowed Mississippi State to sneak into a bowl, but they'll get nothing easy against Louisville, who I believe may actually be better than their 7-5 record indicates. The resurgence from the Cardinals has been centered around an innovative offense that spreads the ball around. Running backs Hassan Hall and Javian Hawkins, as well as dual threat QB Micale Cunningham, are a load to handle for any defense, especially one that has lacked leadership like Mississippi State's. The Bulldogs also need to identify someone who can contain Tutu Atwell, an electrifying sophomore who had four straight 100-yard receiving games before the loss to Kentucky. That Kentucky lost exposed just how much room Louisville's defense still has to grow under head coach Scott Satterfield. They may be in store for a real learning experience against Miss. State's Kylin Hill, who has declared for the NFL Draft, but still plans to play in their bowl game. With that being said, the Bulldogs still struggle to pass the ball, and remain frightfully one-dimensional. Joe Moorhead also simply isn't the coach Satterfield is, giving Lousiville the ever-important edge on the sidelines.
Louisville, 36 Mississippi State, 21

Redbox Bowl
(7-5) California Golden Bears vs. (6-6) Illinois Fighting Illini
Both Cal and Illinois have gone opposite directions over the course of their 2019 seasons. The Golden Bears started off 4-0 before an injury to starting QB Chase Garbers essentially doomed their season, losing five of their last six prior to his return. Illinois on the other hand started off 2-4 before a stunning upset of Wisconsin jumpstarted a four-game winning streak. Although they lost their final two games of the year, the Illini still have some momentum. They're going to need that to show up against a vaunted Cal defense that includes tackling machine Evan Weaver. Cal is especially hard to run on, so whoever starts at QB will have to make plays. The likely starter is still Brandon Peters, although he isn't 100 percent after a concussion in the Iowa game. The health of Garbers is huge for the Golden Bears; although he may not be a superstar QB, he makes a huge difference for this offense (just look at their numbers when he was out). The ground attack is also solid, and the Illinois defense is still tough to get a read on. I like Cal here, a team who would be a lot better than 8-5 if Garbers was indeed healthy for the whole year.
Cal, 20 Illinois, 17

Belk Bowl
(8-4) Virginia Tech Hokies vs. (7-5) Kentucky Wildcats
The fact that both of these teams ended up in a bowl is pretty miraculous, and a testament to the coaches on the sidelines. Kentucky lost starting QB Terry Wilson for the season early on, and struggled mightily under backup Sawyer Smith. In turn, they decided to turn to the emergency QB Lynn Bowden, their star wide out. Bowden didn't pass the ball much at the position (62 attempts) but his running ability still kept the Wildcat offense firing. Bowden is fresh off a 284-yard, 4 TD showing against Louisville, and he'll hope that hot play carries over into the bowl. For Virginia Tech, they started the year off 2-2, but a 45-10 loss to Duke seemed to validate concerns that the program was going in the wrong direction under Justin Fuente. Instead, the Hokies responded by winning six of their final eight, with their only losses coming by one to Notre Dame and nine to Virginia. The big reason for the turnaround was an improved defense, but more importantly the play of quarterback Hendon Hooker. Hooker was superb down the stretch, and he has some impressive talent at wide out in Tre Turner and Damon Hazelton. They should have success against this UK defense, even against a unit that allows just 18.4 PPG. I think there's a good chance the Wildcats still keep it rolling under Bowden, but Bud Foster's final bowl game as VT defensive coordinator should prove again why he is one of the best in the business.
Virginia Tech, 31 Kentucky, 28


Sun Bowl
(6-6) Florida State Seminoles vs. (7-5) Arizona State Sun Devils
Even though it has been another frustrating year for Florida State, they still have a chance to audition for their new coaching staff in the Sun Bowl. This is going to be a tough one for the Seminoles, who will have to find a way to contain freshman phenom Jayden Daniels, as well as score against a stout Arizona State defense. That chore for FSU got even more difficult when star running back Cam Akers announced that he was skipping the bowl game to prepare for the NFL Draft. The Seminoles will be forced to turn to Khalan Laborn at running back, but will he have success against this ASU defense? The Sun Devils are particularly strong at linebacker, so I expect them to be flying all over the field in this one. Can the Florida State aerial attack pick up the slack? James Blackman is going to get the start, but he has really struggled to get this offense going. The FSU defense has some pieces, but stopping Daniels has proven to be easier said than done. Not only is he a dual threat, but Daniels also plays his best in the big moments, including a 408-yard, 3 touchdown shredding of a really good Oregon defense. Don't forget about his supporting cast either; junior tailback Eno Benjamin has put together his second consecutive 1,000-yard season, while wide out Brandon Aiyuk has had a breakout 2019. That's just too much for Florida State, even if they can figure out some new offensive playmakers quickly.
Arizona State, 35 Florida State, 21

Liberty Bowl
(10-2) Navy Midshipmen vs. (8-4) Kansas State Wildcats
This may not get much attention in the grand scheme of things, but I think the Liberty Bowl could actually be a real fascinating matchup. On one hand, Navy has had a resurgent 2019 and is always worth a watch as a triple-option team, while Kansas State has had a nice debut under first-year head coach Chris Kleiman and is a well-coached, physical football team. The Wildcats don't play a pretty brand of football, but they still averaged nearly 31 points per game on the season. Running back James Gilbert and dual threat Skylar Thompson are effective, powerful runners who benefit from a really experienced and deep K-State offensive line. Navy has consistently fielded great defenses over the tenure of Ken Niumatalolo, but even they could have difficulties staying in front of the Wildcats over the course of four quarters. The Midshipmen aren't very flashy on offense either, leaning on a triple-option attack that relies on the right reads and excellent timing. QB Malcom Perry has had a tremendous 2019, leading Navy in passing and rushing on the year. K-State is going to have to tackle well in space, particularly as Perry is fresh off a 304-yard performance against Army. This triple-option is always difficult to contain, but I think this Wildcats team is up to the task. They're the type of disciplined, well-rounded team necessary to take down a Navy.
Kansas State, 24 Navy, 20

Arizona Bowl
(7-5) Wyoming Cowboys vs. (7-5) Georgia State Panthers
Both Wyoming and Georgia State burst on to the scene in 2019 with upsets of SEC East opponents, as Wyoming shocked Missouri, while Georgia State took down Tennessee. Neither was able to turn that momentum into a conference title, but a berth in the Arizona Bowl is not a terrible consolation prize for two Group of Five teams. This will be a really fascinating showdown between a dominating defense (Wyoming) and an explosive Panthers offense. The Cowboys allow just 17.8 points per game, but they haven't seen a lot of offenses quite like the one at GSU. Not only is Georgia State QB Dan Ellington difficult to stop, Wyoming will have to find to contain back Tra Barnett, who has 1,389 yards on the year. It will be interesting to see if the Cowboys can keep up; they've really struggled to strike any balance on offense on the year, with their leading passer being freshman Sean Chambers, who totaled just 915 yards. Even so, in competitive Group of Five matchups, I tend to go with the team that has the better defense. That is unquestionably Wyoming, who has developed into a consistent winner under head coach Craig Bohl.
Wyoming, 27 Georgia State, 19

Alamo Bowl
(11-2) Utah Utes vs. (7-5) Texas Longhorns
It's been a frustrating campaign for Texas, who has lagged through injuries en route to a 7-5 record. However, beating a really strong Utah team in the Alamo Bowl could set the stage for a resurgent 2020. The Utes are a difficult team to score on, with the No. 6 scoring defense in the country and a physical, experienced defensive front. Not only is this is a major challenge for UT quarterback Sam Ehlinger, but can the Longhorn O-Line hold up? They've been up-and-down all year, and this may be the best D-Line they've seen in 2019. The Longhorns do have a slight advantage at the skill positions, where veterans Devin Duvarney and Collin Johnson can open things up, but I still don't expect the scoreboard to be lit up regularly in this one. On the Texas defensive side, they won't face an explosive offense, but still a very efficient one. Utah QB Tyler Huntley and tailback Zack Moss are two of the most under-the-radar stars in the country. They know how to hit weak spots against opposing defenses, and Moss was the Offensive Player of the Year in the Pac-12 this year. There are certainly a lot of weak spots to hit against this Longhorn defense, which was forced to move on from coordinator Todd Orlando after such a frustrating year. There is still enough talent to keep this one interesting, but I simply don't trust this Longhorn team at the moment. Until they prove they can beat a quality opponent like the Utes, I roll with Kyle Whittingham and Utah.
Utah, 30 Texas, 21

Friday, December 20, 2019

Bowl Picks 2019: Gasparilla Bowl to Cheez-It Bowl (Dec.23-27)

Isaiah Green, Marshall (Gasparilla Bowl)
Gasparilla Bowl
(9-3) UCF Knights vs. (8-4) Marshall Thundering Herd
Although UCF wasn't able to win a third straight AAC Title, the Knights may actually be better than a 9-3 record indicates. Their three losses were by a combined seven points, and still have plenty to play for at Raymond James Stadium. Marshall is a well-rounded team who has won six of their last seven. Sophomore running back Brenden Knox is going to be the go-to guy on this offense against a streaky UCF defense. Can Isaiah Green and the aerial attack match UCF's, which is built on the arm of true freshman Dillon Gabriel? Gabriel has been a revelation in 2019, tossing for 3,393 yards and 27 touchdowns over the course of the fall. This Knights team is still one of the best in the Group of Five, and while the Herd will keep things close, I'll roll with Gabriel and UCF.
UCF, 38 Marshall, 28

Hawai'i Bowl
(9-5) Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. (7-5) BYU Cougars
Hawai'i came up short against Boise State in the Mountain West Championship Game, but they could still end the season with double-digit wins. Head coach Nick Rolovich runs an aggressive offense that really zips the ball all over the field. Junior quarterback Cole McDonald has 29 passing touchdowns on the year, but also has 14 touchdowns. He'll create some big plays with Warrior wide outs Cedric Byrd II, Jared Smart and JoJo Ward (all over 900 receiving yards), but he has to take care of the football. BYU is a program known for being to capitalize off turnovers. The Cougars beat Tennessee and USC in the month of September, but slowed down over the second half. However, they're finally starting to get healthy, and had won five straight prior to the regular season finale loss to San Diego State. They're going to win built on their defense, but this offense is still going to have to make things happen. QB Zach Wilson missed a month with injury, he tossed for 316 yards against the Aztecs, and will attack a porous Hawai'i secondary.
BYU, 31 Hawai'i, 29

Independence Bowl
(9-3) Lousiana Tech Bulldogs vs. (6-6) Miami Hurricanes
It's been a rocky Year One for Manny Diaz at Miami, but he could still build momentum for 2020 with a win here. Quarterback Jarren Williams has been streaky all year long, and the Hurricane defense has been pretty disappointing. The 'Canes need to find their rush offense, which is 120th nationally, with just 121.8 YPG. Louisiana Tech won't be intimidated of the big name program, although they don't enter with much momentum, losing two games in November. The Bulldogs feature a decent offense, behind QB J'Mar Smith and tailback Justin Henderson. Their offensive line will have some difficulty against a physical Hurricane defensive front, but I actually like Louisiana Tech in this one. The 'Canes are trending down, and it's hard to see the motivation factor this team.
Louisiana Tech, 27 Miami, 24

Quick Lane Bowl
(7-5) Pittsburgh Panthers vs. (6-6) Eastern Michigan Eagles
Eastern Michigan plays in just their fifth bowl game in school history, and third since 2016, but they have never faced a Power Five school in the postseason. It's a tough challenge for the .500 Eagles, although the passing offense should be really effective. Senior Mike Glass III is going to be aggressive in his final collegiate game, although the Pittsburgh secondary is not easy to move the ball against. The Panthers' offense limped down the stretch this fall, but it still has some tools to attack EMU. Kenny Pickett recorded just a 10-9 TD-INT ratio on the year, even though he moved the ball efficiently. He's going to have to make some important throws, even against a MAC school.
Pittsburgh, 23 Eastern Michigan, 18

Military Bowl
(6-6) North Carolina Tar Heels vs. (8-4) Temple Owls
UNC has been a great story over the course of the 2019 season, and head coach Mack Brown hopes to end his return season with a victory. Temple is a sneaky tough team, beating two Power Five programs and Memphis on the year. They don't have an elite offense, although junior QB Anthony Russo is underrated, but the Owl defense remains incredibly stingy. That defense is going to have to be on its "A" game, as they face McGowanMania's "Freshman of the Year", Sam Howell. Howell has 3,347 yards and 35 TD in his first season with the Heels, showcasing impressive arm talent and a veteran's poise. I don't think he'll have much difficulties with the Owls, and I like the Heel defense. They've been streaky for a big chunk of 2019, but allowed just 17 total in their last two. I think Howell is the difference here, and the coaching advantage is also notable.
UNC, 34 Temple, 27

Pinstripe Bowl
(6-6) Michigan State Spartans vs. (8-4) Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Although both of these teams are certainly excited to be going bowling in 2019, neither ended the season on a high note. Wake Forest was 7-1 before losing three of their last four, while Michigan State needed to beat Rutgers and Maryland in their final two games to get a bowl bid, ending a five-game skid. The Spartans still offer a very quality defense that is tough to run on, but the offense has to figure things out. They looked to be turning a corner early in Big Ten play, scoring 71 total in their first two games, before really falling apart down the stretch. They've really missed wide out Darrell Stewart Jr,, who hasn't played since the Penn State loss, but should be active. The Demon Deacons have also missed one of their go-to guys, wide receiver Sage Surratt, although he won't be back. Instead, Dave Clawson's group is going to have to lean more on the ground game, behind veteran Cade Carney and explosive Kenneth Walker III. I'm not super confident in either one of these teams the way they're playing, but I lean Wake simply because the offense has been more balanced and effective.
Wake Forest, 27 Michigan State, 17

Texas Bowl
(8-4) Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. (7-5) Texas A&M Aggies
Former Big 12 foes collide, as 8-4 Oklahoma State hopes to take down an A&M in the midst of a frustrating year. Granted, the Aggies have had such a tough season due to a brutal schedule, which not only includes the rest of the SEC West, but also a cross-division meeting with Georgia, as well as a non-conference duel with Clemson. The Aggie offense has been underwhelming, but having a proven veteran QB like Kellen Mond is still a distinct advantage come bowl season. A&M also features one of their better defenses in some time, allowing just 22.7 points per game. They will be in store for a tough matchup, as Oklahoma State year-in, year-out features an explosive offense. This season, the Cowboys are particularly good on the ground, with Doak Walker Award finalist Chuba Hubbard leading the way. The X-factor for Oklahoma State is instead the arm of young signal-caller Spencer Sanders. He has had some moments, but turnovers and bad decisions have too often doomed OSU on the year. With that being said, I think their offense gets the job done, particularly with the way A&M has played down the stretch.
Oklahoma State, 37 Texas A&M, 28

Holiday Bowl
(8-4) USC Trojans vs. (9-3) Iowa Hawkeyes
Winning five of their final six games may have saved Clay Helton's job, but USC still has to prove they're moving in the right direction in the Holiday Bowl. This is going to be a tough matchup for the Trojans, as the Hawkeyes are a well-rounded, experienced team that should have a clear advantage in the trenches. The Trojan offense has been a revelation under offensive coordinator Graham Harrell, with youthful QB Kedon Slovis putting together an impressive year, and Michael Pittman Jr. having a real breakout campaign. With that being said, they still struggle to defend, and Iowa has an efficient, if not explosive, offense. Veteran QB Nate Stanley should continue to play well against a thin 'SC secondary, while the Iowa three-headed monster at running back is led by freshman Tyler Goodson. The Holiday Bowl is always entertaining, and these are two well-respected programs on a national scale. However, I'm rolling with Iowa, who is a better balanced team and has an advantage in the coaching department as well.
Iowa, 28 USC, 27

Cheez-It Bowl
(10-2) Air Force Falcons vs. (6-6) Washington State Cougars
As a service academy that plays in the Mountain West, Air Force doesn't get much national attention, but the Falcons quietly went 10-2 on the year and have won seven straight entering bowl season. That's a far cry from Washington State, who only earned their way into a bowl because of a one-point victory over Oregon State in their second-to-last game of the season. These two teams also represent two polar opposite styles; Washington State is an air-it-out, typical Mike Leach team, while Air Force still runs the triple-option. The Cougars have an electrifying QB in Anthony Gordon, but you never know if the rest of this team is going to show up. The defense is particularly inconsistent, but has been very bad for much of the season. I wouldn't be surprised if they have a real tough time defending the triple-option, which is difficult for even the best defenses. The Falcons average nearly 293 yards per game on the ground this year, with a whole bunch of guys that can hurt you, namely QB Donald Hammond III and tailback Kadin Remsberg. Even as a Power Five team, I simply don't trust the 2019 Cougars. I think Air Force is a much superior team, and I could actually see this turning into a blowout if the Falcons' defense plays well.
Air Force, 38 Washington State, 24




Wednesday, December 18, 2019

Bowl Picks 2019: Bahamas Bowl-New Orleans Bowl (Dec.20-21)

Benny LeMay, Charlotte (Bahamas Bowl)
Bahamas Bowl (December 20th)
(7-5) Buffalo Bulls vs. (7-5) Charlotte 49ers
Both of these teams ended 2019 on a high note, as Buffalo has won five of six entering, and the 49ers five consecutive. For Charlotte, they're not only having to extend the win streak, but come out victorious in their first ever FBS postseason berth. They'll have to contain Group of Five Heisman Winner Jarrett Patterson, who finished the regular season with 1,626 yards and 17 touchdowns. Charlotte is able to counter with their own 1,000-yard back, Benny LeMay, and a methodical offense. I actually like the Niners here; they have the momentum and the defense is able to create turnovers. I don't think Buffalo has the vertical passing game to get the job done.
Charlotte, 27 Buffalo, 20

Frisco Bowl (December 20th)
(7-5) Utah State Aggies vs. (6-6) Kent State Golden Flashes
This bowl got a lot more interesting earlier this week when three Utah State players were charged with possession of a controlled substance, including QB Jordan Love. It remains to be seen what impact that will have on this game, particularly for Love, who already planning to go pro. Kent State has a mediocre offense, but we'll have to see what edition of the Aggie defense we'll get. The group has been solid for much of the 2019 campaign, but allowed 56 points to Boise State a few weeks ago.
Utah State, 30 Kent State, 21

New Mexico Bowl (December 21st)
(8-5) Central Michigan Chippewas vs. (9-3) San Diego State
San Diego State enters this one as a 3.5 point favorite, based mainly on the respect Rocky Long has garnered leading the Aztecs. They're guided this year by a terrific defense, allowing just 12.8 points per game. No team has eclipsed 31 against SDSU, and they've allowed just seven across their last three. That presents a stiff challenge for Central Michigan head coach Jim McElwain and OC Charlie Frye. The Chippewas can do some unique things offensively, and have a veteran quarterback in Quentin Dormady. This is still going to be a challenge even going up against an Aztec offense that has struggled to create big plays.
San Diego State, 21 Central Michigan, 17

Cure Bowl (December 21st)
(7-5) Liberty Flames vs. (6-6) Georgia Southern Eagles
This is another opportunity for a program to get their first ever victory, as Liberty completed the FBS transition just this year. Former Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze has developed an explosive offense with the Flames, but 6-6 Georgia Southern is no slouch. Liberty has an absolute gunslinger at QB in Stephen Calvert (3,393 yards, 26 TD) and a Biletnikoff Award contender in Antonio Gandy-Golden (1,333 yards, nine TD). The Eagles nearly upset 10-2 Minnesota earlier this season, and were the only team to take down Appalachian State this fall. Their triple-option is hard to replicate in practice, and I thin Liberty has a tough time with it.
Georgia Southern, 28 Liberty, 24

Boca Raton Bowl (December 21st)
(10-2) SMU Mustangs vs. (10-3) Florida Atlantic Owls
Even with the home-field advantage working in their favor, the Owls will be without Lane Kiffin, who left for Ole Miss. Florida Atlantic will still be able to throw some things at the Mustangs, with former Oklahoma transfer Chris Robison behind center and one of the country's premier tight ends, Harrison Bryant. But will it be able to keep up with the Mustangs over the course of sixty minutes? SMU can hit you everywhere on offense, with Texas transfer Shane Buechele the one pulling the strings at quarterback. I like them to cap off a resurgent year with a victory.
SMU, 44 Florida Atlantic, 34

Camellia Bowl
(6-6) Florida International Panthers vs. (7-5) Arkansas State Red Wolves
Winners of four of their last five games, Arkansas State rolls into Montgomery, Alabama, with significant momentum. The Red Wolves are headed by a vertical passing attack centered around getting the ball to Omar Bayless, who finished off second in FBS in receiving yards, with 1,473. They also have two important supporting pieces in Jonathan Adams Jr. and Kirk Merrritt, who both finished the regular season with over 700 yards. FIU barely snuck into a bowl at 6-6, but beat Miami early into November, proving they can knock off some of the big boys. They have a strong defense, but I'm not sure if the offense can keep up with the Red Wolves.
Arkansas State, 35 FIU, 26

Las Vegas Bowl
(7-5) Washington Huskies vs. (12-1) Boise State Broncos
This going to be one of the most fascinating early bowl games on the docket, as Washington head coach Chris Petersen coaches his final collegiate game against the school that got him established, Boise State. His Huskies have been incredibly streaky all season, particularly quarterback Jacob Eason and the secondary. They do have the talent advantage, but there is a reason this Broncos team came within three points of an undefeated season. They feature a balanced offense, along with a defense headlined by linebacker Curtis Weaver (13.5 sacks on the year). I think the motivation will be high on both sides, but I trust what I'm getting from Boise State a little more.
Boise State, 30 Washington, 27

New Orleans Bowl
(12-1) Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. (9-4) UAB Blazers
Speaking of teams that came awfully close to an undefeated season, Appalachian State was flawless beyond a three-point heartbreaker to Georgia Southern. That success ended up with head coach Eli Drinkwitz taking the Missouri job, although new head man Shawn Clark will ensure some continuity with the program, as he has been with the Mountaineers since 2016. App. State will still look awfully similar under him as they did under Drinkwitz, with a dominant ground attack. Junior Darrynton Evans has 1,323 yards on the campaign, and he'll give UAB some real troubles. The Blazers do have a defense that can keep them competitive, but their offense has struggled down the stretch. They'll have a tough time overcoming the Mountaineers' advantage in talent, especially coming off a 43-point loss in the C-USA Championship Game.
Appalachian State, 37 UAB, 24


Tuesday, December 10, 2019

2019 College Football Season Awards

Matt Rhule, Coach of the Year
College football seasons always seem to fly by, and the 2019 campaign was no exception. It seems like just yesterday Miami and Florida were kicking off the season but after three months, the regular season is officially over. Bowl games and the Playoff will still provide us excitement, but with the season closed, it is time to hand out awards for the season.

Projected National Champion: Ohio State Buckeyes
I don't think you can go wrong picking any of the four Playoff teams, even Oklahoma. Ohio State has a tough semifinal test with Clemson, but the way that they are playing on both sides of the ball, I still think is the best all-around team in the nation. You have to be a little bit wary about a beat up Justin Fields at quarterback, but the Buckeyes still have so many ways to attack you. I also think they have the best defense of the four-team field, which should do just enough to take down Joe Burrow and LSU.
Finalists: LSU Tigers, Clemson Tigers, Oklahoma Sooners (Playoff field)

Coach of the Year: Matt Rhule, Baylor
My mid-season Coach of the Year, I think Matt Rhule will win the final edition as well. You can't overlook just how impressive this turnaround in Waco has been, from 1-11 in 2017 to an 11-2 2019. This season also included a near Big 12 Title, as the Bears nearly ended Oklahoma's reign atop the league. Baylor also gets a chance to play once again on a major stage, taking part in the Sugar Bowl against SEC runner-up Georgia. There is talk of Rhule possibly taking his talents pro, but for now, let's just appreciate what he has built at Baylor.
Finalists: Ed Orgeron (LSU), P.J. Fleck (Minnesota), Ryan Day (Ohio State)

Biletnikoff Award (best receiver): Ja'Marr Chase, LSU
First off, I want to say I was absolutely shocked with the finalist list for this award, which didn't include either Omar Bayless or a single Alabama wide out. However, Ja'Marr Chase is still deserving of this honor, leading the nation in receiving yards and being the go-to guy in an explosive LSU Tiger offense. Chase was one of my ten players featured on this spring's "Ten Players Ready for the Sophomore Leap" and he has done just that and more, likely to be the top receiver taken in the 2021 NFL Draft (he isn't eligible this spring).
Finalists: Michael Pittman Jr. (USC), CeeDee Lamb (Oklahoma)

Doak Walker Award (best RB): Chuba Hubbard, Oklahoma State
Playing at 8-4 Oklahoma State, Chuba Hubbard didn't get much national attention, but he was absolutely dominant in 2019. He led the country in rushing yards, finishing the year with 1,936, while tying for second with 21 rushing touchdowns. He did all that despite operating behind a mediocre offensive line, particularly compared to what Jonathan Taylor ran behind at Wisconsin, or J.K. Dobbins at Ohio State. Hubbard has to be considered a Heisman frontrunner entering 2020, as he isn't eligible to go pro either.
Finalists: Jonathan Taylor (Wisconsin), J.K. Dobbins (Ohio State)

Davey O'Brien Award (best QB): Joe Burrow, LSU
The story of the 2019 college football season was LSU's offensive evolution and in turn, Joe Burrow's 2019 season. Burrow decided to transfer from Ohio State and take a leap of faith in the SEC with a Tiger offense that had been mired in the stone ages for years. All he did was set the SEC record for touchdowns and finished second in the nation in yards, all while completing 78 percent of his throws. He is essentially a lock to win the Heisman Trophy, capping off a year that will forever be remembered in Baton Rouge.
Finalists: Justin Fields (Ohio State), Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma)

Breakout Player of the Year: Ja'Marr Chase, LSU
I don't think you could go wrong with Joe Burrow or Chuba Hubbard here, but I went Chase because the other two were already pretty established prior to 2019. Chase increased his receiving yardage from 1,200 yards, while increasing his touchdown total by 15. He went from a relatively unknown with potential to an absolute superstar, and Chase seems to only be getting better. It will be fascinating to see what he can be with even more time under his belt.
Finalists: Chuba Hubbard (Oklahoma State), Joe Burrow (LSU), Omar Bayless (Arkansas State), Kenneth Gainwell (Memphis)

Freshman of the Year: Sam Howell, North Carolina
A major recruiting win for Mack Brown and the Tar Heels, Sam Howell did not disappoint in his first season in Chapel Hill. He was a leading force in the UNC resurgence this fall, as he finished the year with 3,347 passing yards and 36 total touchdowns, both ranking in the Top 15 nationally. He also kept his turnovers pretty limited, which is extremely impressive for a true freshman, as he had just seven interceptions. Howell capped it all off with a 401-yard, 3 TD domination of the Heels' big rival, NC State.
Finalists: Jayden Daniels (QB, Arizona State), Dillon Gabriel (QB, UCF), Gregory Rosseau (DL, Miami), Derek Stingley Jr. (CB, LSU)

Chuck Bednarik Award (Defensive Player of the Year): Chase Young, Ohio State
Even though he missed two games due to a suspension, Chase Young put together the most dominant defensive season we've seen in college football since Tyrann Matheiu in 2011. Young faced double and triple teams all season long, and still ended up as the FBS leader with 16.5 sacks. That number included some incredible individual performances, such as his three-sack game against Penn State, and his four sacks against Wisconsin in their regular season matchup. In addition to all the sacks, Young was quietly a turnover machine, forcing six fumbles on the season. I'd be shocked if he wasn't the first non-QB taken off the board in this spring's NFL Draft.
Finalists: Isaiah Simmons (Clemson), Derrick Brown (Auburn)

Jim Thorpe Award: Jeff Okudah, Ohio State
While Chase Young was causing chaos up front, it was Jeffrey Okudah who was cleaning things up in the back for the Big Ten Champion Buckeyes. Okudah would finish the season with 30 tackles, seven pass deflections and three interceptions. He was absolutely instrumental in an Ohio State defense that allowed just 12.5 points per game. I'll give Okudah the nod over the other two SEC finalists, although Grant Delpit and J.R. Reed are right there.
Finalists: Grant Delpit (LSU), J.R. Reed (Georgia)

Transfer of the Year: Jalen Hurts, Oklahoma (unofficial award)
Jalen Hurts made history this past weekend when he officially became the first player in college football history to make the Playoff with two separate teams. He has put together a marvelous finale to his illustrious collegiate career, with nearly 5,000 yards of total offense and 51 total touchdowns. Hurts has brought over from Alabama the ability to close out big games, leading a thrilling comeback over Baylor, and then taking down the Bears once again in the Big 12 Championship. It will be fascinating to see what he can do in the CFB Playoff against LSU, a team he is undefeated against in his career.
Finalists: Shane Buechele (QB, SMU), Justin Fields (QB, Ohio State), Jonathan Greenard (LB, Florida), Oluwole Betiku (DE, Illinois)

Heisman: Joe Burrow, LSU
It would be an absolute shock if anybody not named Joe Burrow took home the Heisman this season. He has been the best player on the nation's best team, and his play in huge games against Alabama, Auburn and Georgia give him a whole bunch of Heisman moments to choose from. The race is really for second place here. My pick? Justin Fields, who put together a 50-1 TD-INT ratio while leading a loaded Ohio State squad.
Finalists: Justin Fields (Ohio State), Chase Young (Ohio State), Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma)

Other Minor Award Picks
Broyles Award (best assistant): Joe Brady, LSU
John Mackey Award (best TE): Harrison Bryant, Florida Atlantic
Lou Groza Award (best K): Keith Duncan, Iowa
Outland Trophy (best interior linemen): Penei Sewell, Oregon
Paul Hornung Award (most versatile): Lynn Bowden Jr., Kentucky
Ray Guy Award (best punter): Sterling Hofrichter, Syracuse
Rimington Trophy (best center): Tyler Biadasz, Wisconsin
Ted Hendricks Award (best DE): Chase Young, Ohio State
Group of Five Heisman: Jarrett Patterson, Buffalo

Thursday, December 5, 2019

College Football Picks 2019: Week Fifteen (Championship Week)

Charlie Brewer, Baylor
Current Picks Record: 80-32 (7-8 Upset)
SEC Championship: (#4) Georgia Bulldogs vs. (#2) LSU Tigers
Playoff hopes are on the line down in Atlanta for both of these SEC teams. LSU probably is in even with a loss, but they'd love to take back the No. 1 spot they held for so many weeks. On the other hand, the Bulldogs will need to win to find their way into the four-team field. It will be fascinating to watch Heisman frontrunner Joe Burrow and the rest of the explosive Tiger offense go up against one of the nation's premier defenses. Burrow has been so good all season long, and his receiver group is tough to handle for any secondary. They can hit you with speed and downfield potential (Ja'Marr Chase) as well as size and excellent route running (Justin Jefferson), so the Georgia secondary is going to need to be prepared. They have a lot of proven veterans in the back-end, with J.R. Reed and Richard LeCounte, so this is going to be a really competitive showdown. LSU can also throw in Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who proved just how important he is to this Tiger offense with his play in the Alabama game. He faces one of the best rush defenses anywhere, in a Bulldog group that plays with a lot of ferocity and speed. I still think LSU is going to be able to move the ball, but it isn't crazy to think this is the best defensive group they've seen all year, so it won't be easy. The bigger questions for Georgia are on the offensive side. Jake Fromm has been up-and-down at times in 2019, but he is a guy who plays his best in big moments, and I think he will be ready for the big stage. He was terrific in last year's SEC Championship, but can he get things going in this one? This LSU defense has unquestionable talent, but it hasn't always showed up on the field. The secondary is particularly strong, so it should be confident. Georgia is still waiting for a real No. 1 guy to emerge on the outside, and it hurts that impressive freshman George Pickens will miss the first half. He can really add an interesting element on the perimeter, but was ejected in the Georgia Tech game for fighting. The Bulldogs will need someone like Lawrence Cager or Demtris Robertson to open things up. What is also concerning for UGA is the health of running back D'Andre Swift. He really has been a consistent weapon for much of 2019 for the 'Dawgs, but was beat up in the Tech win. He is currently listed as questionable, so it wouldn't be surprising if Georgia turns to Zamir White or Brian Herrien often. They should be able to find success, because this is a real questionable Tiger defensive front, that got smoked by Ole Miss a few weeks ago. The Bulldogs have to be hopeful they can get things going there, and Fromm has a successful afternoon. Yet, the absences could be notable, and they are going to have to play their "A" game to overcome the top-ranked Tigers. I also have some questions about the sideline for UGA. Kirby Smart has won a lot of games in Athens, but he hasn't coached the best in the brightest lights. I just don't know if there is enough there for the Bulldogs to take this one.
The Pick: LSU, 34 Georgia, 27

Big Ten Championship: (#1) Ohio State Buckeyes vs. (#8) Wisconsin Badgers
Nobody has been able to stop Ohio State in their dominant 2019 campaign so far, but the Wisconsin Badgers hope to change that in Indianapolis. Stopping all the pieces the Buckeye offense can throw at you is a stiff challenge for any defense, even one that is traditionally as strong as the Badgers. Wisconsin does have a stacked linebacker corps that includes Jack Sanborn, Chris Orr and Zack Baun, but they must find a way to slow down J.K. Dobbins. Michigan learned this past weekend just how difficult that is, as Dobbins ran all over them to the tune of four touchdowns. The way the star tailback is playing, it would be crazy if he was left away from New York as a Heisman finalist. Ohio State also flaunts a stud QB in Justin Fields, although his health is a little bit of a concern. He took a scary shot in the Michigan game, and while he recovered, it has to be a little bit concerning. I expect Ohio State is going to have him a little bit less aggressive as a runner, which is when he is playing his best. Fields is still an excellent decision-maker with the football, which is going to be vital against a Wisconsin defense that knows how to create turnovers. As notable as the question of Dobbins is for Wisconsin, I have bigger questions about whether they can contain all these Buckeye wide outs. Chris Olave, K.J. Hill, and Binjamin Victor can all hurt you in a variety of ways, and the Badger secondary has struggled with consistency. On the other side of the ball, the Badgers have to find a way to move the ball against an OSU defense that has been really good itself. They are an experienced, athletic and aggressive group, and they feature the best defender in the country, Chase Young. The defensive end has been basically unstoppable this year, and he should demand plenty of attention. This is a good Wisconsin O-Line, per usual, but they aren't used to seeing the type of athletes the Buckeyes can throw at you. Beyond Young, linebackers Malik Harrison and Baron Browning can really get after the quarterback. I expect that Jack Coan is going to have to make throws under pressure, or get it out quick. Coan has been real solid all season for the Badgers, but this is the fastest defense he has seen all season. It helps to have Jonathan Taylor to give the ball off to, and the Doak Walker Award finalist has been humming along. This won't be a defense that gives up much opportunities on the ground, but I still have confidence Taylor will be able to do something. The major question I have for Wisconsin is whether they can create enough explosive plays to keep up with OSU for sixty minutes. Guys like Aaron Cruickshank and A.J. Taylor can make things happen, but will it be enough? I like Wisconsin to be competitive, but this is another situation where I just don't think they quite have enough to come out victorious. The Buckeyes look like the best all-around team in the country, and they are just playing too well to pick against.
The Pick: Ohio State, 30 Wisconsin, 21

Big 12 Championship: (#6) Oklahoma Sooners vs. (#7) Baylor Bears
Even though both teams sit on the outside looking in when it comes to the CFB Playoff, things could work out where one is able to find a way into the field. Oklahoma won this matchup the first time, although they had to come back from a 28-3 deficit. They haven't been playing great football as of late, but having quarterback Jalen Hurts is still an advantage. Hurts has 50 total touchdowns in his final collegiate season, and a whole host of options to work with. He was tremendous down the stretch in their previous battle and Baylor has to find a way to slow him down for the entire sixty minutes. Beyond Hurts, the Sooners can trot out a host of options at running back and at receiver. In the backfield, Kennedy Brooks and Rhamondre Stevenson are an absolute load to handle, while Biletnikoff Award finalist CeeDee Lamb opens things up on the perimeter. This is a Bears team that should be able to stop the run with their defensive front, but their secondary is more of a concern. Do they have the pieces necessary to contain Lamb? The good news is that the Baylor offense should be able to keep up, even if they don't have Hurts under center. Charlie Brewer is one heck of a quarterback himself, but he has to stay consistent through the entire game. After a hot start to the last game with the Sooners, he really struggled down the stretch. The Bears don't have quite the offensive weapons Oklahoma does, but backs John Lovett and JaMychal Hasty can still make plays, as well as wideout Denzel Mims. On defense, Oklahoma began the year with significant improvement, but they've had real issues as of late. The secondary remains incredibly streaky from week to week, and the pass rush is hit-or-miss. Coordinator Alex Grinch has helped, and he devised a gameplan last time against Baylor that worked as well as it needed to. I think the Bears will try to be more creative in what they do to mix things up. I think this game is going to end up in a similar manner as last matchup. It should be a very close one, but I still think Hurts gives OU the edge. Even with the defensive issues, I'm rolling with the four-time (soon to be five) reigning Big 12 Champs.
The Pick: Oklahoma, 40 Baylor, 35

Other Picks
ACC Championship: (#3) Clemson, 38 (#23) Virginia, 24
American Athletic Championship: (#17) Memphis, 34 (#20) Cincinnati, 28
Conference USA Championship: Florida Atlantic, 27 UAB, 23
MAC Championship: Central Michigan, 26 Miami (Ohio), 20
Mountain West Championship: (#19) Boise State, 31 Hawaii, 21
Pac-12 Championship: (#5) Utah, 28 (#13) Oregon, 24
Sun Belt Championship: (#21) Appalachian State, 35 Louisiana, 27

Friday, November 29, 2019

College Football Picks 2019: Week Fourteen

Current Picks Record: 74-30 (6-8 Upset)
(#12) Wisconsin Badgers @ (#8) Minnesota Golden Gophers
Rashod Bateman & Tyler Johnson, Minnesota
The Big Ten West all comes down to this, as Minnesota hopes to keep Paul Bunyan's Axe in Minneapolis in College GameDay's first ever visit to campus. An explosive aerial attack has been crucial to the surprising campaign for the Gophers, with QB Tanner Morgan getting better each week. He was beat up following the Iowa game, but looked fine this past weekend. He has a formidable 1-2 punch to work with at receiver in Tyler Johnson & Rashod Bateman, who pose a difficult challenge for a solid Badger secondary. Bateman in particular has played his best football in the biggest moments, while Johnson will hope to conclude his Minnesota career on a high note. With that being said, it was actually Minnesota's ground game that fueled their upset of Wisconsin last fall. A heavy dose of Rodney Smith & Shannon Brooks, also playing their final home game with the Gophers, should be expected. It won't be easy getting anything against this Wisconsin rush defense, which remains top-notch, led by a deep and experienced linebacker corps. The Minnesota offensive line is going to have to have a good game, as they've struggled to remain consistent throughout 2019. On the other side of the ball, the Gopher defense faces an obvious challenge against Jonathan Taylor. They did a good job containing Taylor in this matchup a season ago, but the rush defense has been inconsistent. A healthy Kamal Martin, who has dealt with various injuries throughout the second half of the year, will be vital for Minnesota. Even if Taylor is able to get this offense going, Jack Coan is going to have to make some big throws. Coan has been rock-solid all season long, but this is a tough Gopher secondary to throw against. Antoine Winfield Jr. in particular is a real ball-hawk who was instrumental in the Penn State upset. Wisconsin will do all they can to attack the defense in other ways, so guys like Coney Durr and Jordan Howden are going to have to step up. It will be fascinating to see how the Badgers try to open things up; they've used jet sweeps and other gadget plays this season more frequently than in year's past. A.J. Taylor in particular is a guy they like to use in a variety of different ways, along with Aaron Cruickshank. They did have some issues with turnovers doing so last weekend against Purdue, which can't happen against a Gopher team that knows how to capitalize off them. All in all, this is an extremely difficult game for me to pick. As a long-time Gopher fan, I may be biased, but this is an undoubtedly a strong Badger team that also wants revenge for last year's loss. I lean Minnesota only because of the home field advantage, but the rush defense has to show up if they want to take home the victory.
The Pick: Minnesota, 27 Wisconsin, 24

(#1) Ohio State Buckeyes @ (#13) Michigan Wolverines
Michigan's Playoff hopes have been extinguished for weeks now, but the Wolverines still play the role of spoiler in this year's edition of "The Game." This Michigan team is playing their best football of the season after the slow start to 2019. An offense that really struggled to get things going is trending up at the right time. Quarterback Shea Patterson especially is playing with a lot more confidence and comfortability. It has also helped that the Wolverine ground game has been humming along, as well as the emergence of wide outs Nico Collins and Ronnie Bell. That offense will be have to execute for the entire sixty minutes, because this Buckeyes team isn't slowing down either. Both sides of the ball are dominating, including a defense that was question mark for a big chunk of 2018. Not only is Chase Young the most dominant defender in the sport, Ohio State also features a physical, well-rounded secondary. Jeffrey Okudah, a finalist for the Jim Thorpe Award, has been crucial in a couple of OSU's big wins, and he'll be tasked with taking on Bell in this one. On offense, Justin Fields and J.K. Dobbins are an imposing duo in this backfield. Fields is a tall task for any defense he plays as a dual threat with a huge arm that simply doesn't turn the ball over. He hasn't seen a defense that is quite as aggressive as Michigan yet this year, so it will be interesting to see how he handles the pass rush. The matchup between Dobbins and the Wolverine rush defense is also going to be well worth a watch. After their rough start to the season, Michigan has found a way to slow down opposing rushing attacks, but Dobbins is a different breed. If that isn't enough, Ohio State can also hit you with their playmakers on the outside, namely K.J. Hill and Chris Olave. Stopping all these offensive weapons hasn't been accomplished by any team yet this season. However, UM has been preparing all season long for this offense, and I'm sure Jim Harbaugh and Don Brown will have them hungry and ready to go. The momentum the Wolverines are playing with this should make this is a competitive game, and at some point Harbaugh is going to find a way to down the Buckeyes. But, I just don't think this is the year. This Ohio State team is just playing too good of football, and they should still be able to get the job done in Ann Arbor.
The Pick: Ohio State, 34 Michigan, 24

(#5) Alabama Crimson Tide @ (#15) Auburn Tigers
Much like Michigan, Auburn has a chance to ruin their rival's season this Saturday, as a win would certainly knock Alabama out of the Playoff conversation. The Tigers still remain an extremely streaky team, but there is no denying their talent. On offense, true freshman quarterback Bo Nix continues to mature, while the ground attack is still finding their groove. "Boobie" Whitlow and D.J. Williams have had their moments, but they will have to really be running hard to get this Auburn offense rolling. The good news is that this Alabama rush defense is the weakest they have had in recent memory, with a load of injuries throughout the front seven. On the outside, the Tide also have to find a way to contain budding star Seth Williams, along with speed demon Anthony Schwartz. This is a good Alabama secondary, headlined by Trevon Diggs and Patrick Surtain Jr., but it was also the group that was shredded by Joe Burrow & LSU. Bo Nix is no Burrow, but he still has shown he can move the ball down the field when he gets adequate protection. The real strength for Auburn, however, is not their offense but their defense, a real change-of-pace for them under Gus Malzahn. The defensive line in particular is among the best in the entire nation, including future NFL contributors Derrick Brown, Nick Coe and Marlon Davidson. This pass rush presents a real challenge for Alabama backup Mac Jones, who has thrust into the starting role at QB after Tua Tagovailoa's injury. Jones has done an admirable job replacing the superstar signal-caller, and it helps that he is surrounded by NFL-caliber talent at wide out. Despite the fact that he was robbed off being a Biletnikoff Award finalist, DeVonta Smith will open up the offense on the perimeter, while tailback Najee Harris grinds up the middle. Beyond the D-Line, the defense has had its moments, but there is a lot of speed and explosiveness to contain. Coordinator Kevin Steele is well-respected in the league, but he will need his defense to tackle in space and force mistakes. I'm really intrigued to see what they can bring to the table beyond an elite pass rush. Taking a backup into the Iron Bowl on the Plains is going to be daunting for any program, but this is Alabama, and they'll perform. If the rest of the offense is up for it, the Tide should still find a way to put up enough points. That should be enough, unless Nix suddenly takes a turn.
The Pick: Alabama, 35 Auburn, 30

Other Picks
Texas A&M @ (#2) LSU: LSU, 42 Texas A&M, 28
(#7) Oklahoma @ (#21) Oklahoma State: Oklahoma, 41 Oklahoma State, 36
(#3) Clemson @ South Carolina: Clemson, 38 South Carolina, 17
Oregon State @ (#14) Oregon: Oregon, 33 Oregon State, 28
Upset: Kansas State, 27 Iowa State, 21

Wednesday, November 27, 2019

College Football Bowl Projections 2019

Zack Moss, Utah
College Football Playoff Bowls

Peach Bowl: (1) LSU Tigers vs. (4) Utah Utes 
Notes: The field to select from for the final Playoff spot will most likely come down to a battle between a one-loss Big 12 Champion Oklahoma, one-loss Pac-12 Champion Utah Utes, and a one-loss Alabama. I think there is a chance the Committee talks themselves into Alabama at four, but Utah makes the most sense to me. They're playing the best football of the trio, and their lone loss to USC doesn't look terrible in retrospect.
Fiesta Bowl: (2) Ohio State Buckeyes vs. (3) Clemson Tigers
Notes: Ohio State has a chance to overtake LSU for the No. 1 spot, depending on how they finish up against Michigan and then the Big Ten Championship. However, the most likely scenario is they end up taking on Clemson in the semifinal, a team that blanked them in their last Playoff berth.

Remaining New Year's Six Bowls

Sugar Bowl: Georgia Bulldogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Notes: A loss in the 2017-18 Playoff to Georgia should serve as motivation for Oklahoma if they don't earn a Playoff bid. Jalen Hurts will get a chance to come away victorious once more against the Bulldogs.

Rose Bowl: Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Oregon Ducks
A shocking loss to Arizona State this past weekend ended Oregon's Playoff hopes, but they would still settle for the Rose Bowl in Mario Cristobal's second year in Eugene. This would be the second Rose for Penn State in four seasons, and fourth straight New Year's Six.

Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Notes: After a lethargic 2-2 start to 2019, Virginia Tech has been playing great football down the stretch, and looks like they could take the ACC Coastal. It won't be easy going up against Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide, who needs to absolutely smash Auburn in the Iron Bowl to have any shot at the Playoff.

Cotton Bowl: Memphis Tigers vs. Baylor Bears
Notes: Memphis earns the NY6 bid given to the one Group of Five team, but they'll likely have to beat a one-loss Cincinnati in the AAC Championship to do so. Baylor has a chance for vengeance against Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship, but it's more likely they enter the postseason 11-2.

The Rest

Bahamas Bowl: Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Notes:After two bowls in their history prior to 2016, Eastern Michigan has a chance at their third in the Chris Creighton era. Western Kentucky has had a resurgent 2019 in Tyson Helton's first season, likely to end the year 8-4.

Frisco Bowl: SMU Mustangs vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
Notes: A loss this Saturday to Navy likely knocks SMU down a few pegs into the Frisco Bowl, where they'll meet a C-USA squad. Sonny Dykes' team still has a chance at double-digit victories, which would be a notable success in Year Two.

New Mexico Bowl: Charlotte 49ers vs. San Diego State Aztecs
Notes: Charlotte is bowl eligible for the first time in their history, going 6-5 so far this year. They'll likely face a quality Mountain West team, with San Diego State a good chance.

Cure Bowl: Temple Owls vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
Notes: An AAC-Sun Belt matchup here, with both teams sitting at 7-4 at the moment.

Boca Raton Bowl: Western Michigan Broncos vs. Tulane Green Wave
Notes: The slight favorite in the MAC West right now, it will be fascinating to see where they end up playing this postseason. Tulane is trending down, but still retains bowl eligibility.

Camellia Bowl: Buffalo Bulls vs. Georgia State Panthers
Notes: Georgia State already made waves by shocking Tennessee to begin 2019, and they've followed it up with a 7-4 record, earning them a chance to meet a MAC foe here.

Las Vegas Bowl: Boise State Broncos vs. Washington State Cougars
Notes: Boise still has a chance at a New Year's Six bowl if some losses happen in front of them, but the more likely outcome is a Las Vegas Bowl. It has been an up-and-down 2019 for Wazzu but at 6-5, they're bowl bound.

New Orleans Bowl: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Notes: Even at 10-1 and equipped with two Power Five victories (UNC, South Carolina), Appalachian State's ceiling is a relatively unimportant bowl. Louisiana Tech could still be an interesting matchup as one of the best in the C-USA.

Gasparilla Bowl: UCF Knights vs. Florida Atlantic Owls
Notes: Two of the top Group of Five programs in the country collide here, as UCF's three losses means no New Year's Six this year. Could this be Lane Kiffin's final game with FAU? He will be rumored for a variety of jobs this coaching carousel.

Hawaii Bowl: BYU Cougars vs. Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Notes: BYU has already accepted their invitation to travel to Hawaii to take part in this one, likely to face off with the local host Rainbow Warriors, who own two Power Five wins (Oregon State, Arizona).

Independence Bowl: Florida State Seminoles vs. Liberty Flames
Notes: In just their first season as an official FBS program, Liberty is 6-5 and continues to make strides under controversial head coach Hugh Freeze. They could continue to add to their momentum against an FSU squad playing hard under interim head coach Odell Haggins.

Quick Lane Bowl: UNC Tar Heels vs. Michigan State Spartans
Notes: After taking over a Tar Heel team that was 2-9 in 2018, Mack Brown has UNC one win away from a bowl berth. They'll be favored against a Michigan State team that needs to beat Maryland this weekend to get to 6-6.

Pinstripe Bowl: Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Notes: Dave Clawson continues to work his magic at Wake Forest, as he has the Demon Deacons set to appear in their fourth straight bowl game. They'll face a Big Ten opponent, possibly Lovie Smith's Fighting Illini.

Military Bowl: Florida International Panthers vs. Navy Midshipmen
Notes: Navy still has a chance to take the AAC West if Memphis were to lose this weekend to Cincinnati. If not, they'll settle for a Military Bowl matchup, which could pit them up against a FIU team who just beat Miami.

Texas Bowl: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Notes: A brutal schedule means A&M will likely finish the 2019 regular season 7-5. However, a victory over their former Big 12 foe could earn them plenty of momentum heading into 2020 and beyond.

Holiday Bowl: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
Notes: Arizona State's stunner of Oregon this Saturday ended a four-game skid, and likely bought them a berth in the Holiday Bowl. Led by freshman QB Jayden Daniels, they could end the season on fire.

Cheez-It Bowl: Kansas State Wildcats vs. Wyoming Cowboys
Notes: Although normally reserved for a Big 12-Pac 12 matchup, Wyoming gains a spot as a replacement here. If this were to happen, it would be a duel between two former NDSU coaches, Chris Klieman at K-State and Craig Bohl at Wyoming.

Camping World Bowl: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Texas Longhorns
Notes: Two storied programs land in a December 28th bowl. Disappointing for both teams, but Texas could still end their year with a win this upcoming weekend against Texas Tech.

First Responder Bowl: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Notes: TCU will need to beat West Virginia to earn bowl eligibility this season, which would be a major success considering the adversity they've faced at the quarterback position.

Music City Bowl: Louisville Cardinals vs. UAB Blazers
Notes: Louisville has really looked good in head coach Scott Satterfield's first season, but it would be interesting to see who they would play. Usually this spot would be go to an SEC team, but a replacement may be chosen, such as UAB.

Redbox Bowl: Indiana Hoosiers vs. California Golden Bears
Notes: Even though they were unable top either Penn State or Michigan the last two weeks, Indiana has been a good story in 2019. Cal's offensive struggles have hindered them over the second half of the year, but their defense still makes them a tough out.

Belk Bowl: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
Notes: A loss to Virginia Tech last Saturday ended Pittsburgh's ACC Coastal hopes, but they should still find their way into a favorable bowl. Mississippi State will have to win their annual meeting with Ole Miss to make the postseason.

Sun Bowl: Washington Huskies vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Notes: Virginia could still play their way into a New Year's Six, but I think the history against V. Tech drops them to the Sun Bowl. Washington has struggled to find consistency on both sides of the ball, but they still have loads of talent.

Liberty Bowl: Ohio Bobcats vs. Kentucky Wildcats
Notes: Even playing a converted wide out at quarterback, Kentucky will return to bowl season for the third straight season. The Liberty Bowl seems around their range, and they have a range of possibilities for opponents.

Arizona Bowl: Nevada Wolfpack vs. Georgia Southern Eagles
Notes: Georgia Southern owns a signature win (Appalachian State), and they went toe-to-toe with Minnesota earlier on the year. They'll be a tough battle for a streaky Nevada squad.

Alamo Bowl: USC Trojans vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Notes: A nice end to the season looks like it will earn USC a quality bowl berth. They still have a chance to play in the Pac-12 Championship Game if Utah were to lose this upcoming weekend against Colorado.

Outback Bowl: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Auburn Tigers
Notes: Minnesota still has the Big Ten West and an outside shot at the Playoff to play for, while Auburn's role this rivalry week is more of a spoiler, as they square off against Alabama.

Citrus Bowl: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Florida Gators
Notes: Two elite defenses would collide if this projection held. Wisconsin still has a chance to play their way into a Big Ten Championship Game but already left with two losses, a Playoff appearance is pretty much out of the question.

Birmingham Bowl: Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Miami Hurricanes
Notes: Cincinnati could play Memphis in consecutive weeks, which will essentially decide if they're able to make a New Year's Six Bowl. Depending on what happens, landing in the Birmingham Bowl is likely, against a replacement team.

Gator Bowl: Michigan Wolverines vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Notes: After a disastrous start to 2019 that included losses to Georgia State and BYU, Tennessee is trending up, with a good shot to finish the regular season 7-5. On the other side, Michigan's season could change if they stun Ohio State, but that's unlikely.

Idaho Potato Bowl: Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Utah State Aggies
Notes: Gary Andersen has put together a solid debut in his return to Utah State, and they'll meet a MAC team in the Idaho Potato Bowl. Sitting at 7-4, it could certainly be the Chippewas of Central Michigan.

Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force Falcons vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Notes: Nebraska is yet another team that would need to win their season finale to earn a spot in the postseason. They'd get Air Force, who would be a really tough matchup for their defense.

Mobile Bowl: Miami (Ohio) Redhawks vs. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Notes: Miami (Ohio) will represent the East Division in the MAC Championship, before playing in likely either the Idaho Potato Bowl or the Mobile Bowl. Louisiana is also likely a conference championship participant, as they should win the Sun Belt West.