College Football Preview 2023: 22. Miami Hurricanes

Tyler Van Dyke, Miami

 

22. Miami Hurricanes

Even after the disaster that was 2022, Miami is far too talented to be down for long

2022 Review

Mario Cristobal was one of the splashiest hires of the 2021-22 coaching carousel, returning home to take the reigns at his alma mater. Things got even more interesting when Cristobal rounded out his staff with Josh Gattis, the 2021 Broyles Award winner, and Kevin Steele, an accomplished defensive coordinator who was most recently at Auburn. Everything on paper indicated the Hurricanes were going to be a real threat in the ACC from the get-go. The thing is, college football is not played on paper. In real life, the 'Canes offense lacked explosiveness, missed QB Tyler Van Dyke when he went with injury, and had no hope against the best the ACC could offer. The result was an ugly 5-7 debut for Cristobal and company, which included a 42-point throttling at the hands of rival Florida State. It was about as horrendous of an opener for Cristobal as could be imagined, but the former offensive linemen doesn't appear to be shying away from the pressure. After an active offseason that included shuffling the coaching staff and landing some big names from the portal, Miami hopes to be back with a vengeance in 2023.

2023 Outlook

Offense: Josh Gattis may have had the credentials worthy of the offensive coordinator job, but he always seemed like a strange fit in Coral Gables. He was unable to adjust the offense to Miami's personnel and following injury to Tyler Van Dyke, there was little hope for a successful campaign. Cristobal quickly cut ties with him and will turn instead to Shannon Dawson, who spent the last three seasons at Houston.

It will be a sea change in philosophy with Dawson running the show, one that will predicated on an aggressive downfield passing attack. It seems to be a better fit with what the Hurricanes currently have on the roster, particularly with Van Dyke back and healthy. 

Van Dyke took advantage of an injury to D'Eriq King to seize the starting quarterback job in 2021 and looked like a star in the making. He earned ACC Rookie of the Year honors after throwing for 2,931 yards and 25 touchdowns, but the 2022 encore fell short. He never seemed fully healthy and even when he was on the field, the results were underwhelming. Assuming he's back to 100 percent and in an offense that should better cater to his strengths, a huge 2023 feels likely.

Former Ole Miss transfer Henry Parrish Jr. took advantage of injuries and poor play in front of him to lead the 'Canes in rushing, with 616 yards on the year. He's back to be the feature guy, but sophomore Don Chaney Jr. is healthy and should be ready to compete with snaps. Injuries have been an unfortunate theme of Chaney's time with Miami but when he has been healthy, he's displayed ample potential. 

There's plenty of experience at receiver, but none of the returning candidates have proven they can take on a leading role. Will that change in Dawson's system? Former Clemson transfer Frank Ladson Jr. and junior Breshard Smith were two of their top pass-catchers a season ago and offer plenty of playmaking ability. Ladson has always had talent, but putting it together over the course of an entire season has been the challenge. There's also junior Xavier Restrepo, another guy who missed time in 2022 with injury, but has proven to be a reliable weapon on the perimeter. None of the trio may be All-ACC wide outs, but all offer plenty of upside, particularly in an offense that should tailor to their strengths.

Miami has been a factory for producing high quality tight ends, and they sent another one off to the NFL this past spring in Will Mallory. Mallory wasn't the most athletic or physically imposing tight end the 'Canes have sent to the league, but he was the type of steady, rock-solid contributor that every offense covets. With his departure, Miami is hopeful one of the pair of Elijah Arroyo or Jaleel Skinner can step up and play a key role in this offense. Both were highly sought after recruits, but my bet would be on Skinner, who flashed significant upside a season ago and has the athleticism to be a nightmare for opposing defenses.

Any hopes of a successful season for the Hurricanes hinges on an improved offensive line. Cristobal's speciality, this one was one of the most disappointing units in the entire country in 2022, and has to be better.

Fortunately, there are reinforcements set to arrive in the form of Alabama transfer Javion Cohen and UCF transfer Matt Lee. Cohen was a multiyear starter in Tuscaloosa who should bring an immediate edge to the interior of the unit, slated to fill in at one of the guard spots. Lee is set to join him, a physical center who started three seasons for the Knights and shouldn't have any issues acclimating to Power Five ball. However, the most important name to watch on the 'Canes O-Line is none other than tackle Zion Nelson, an All-American talent who dealt with injuries last fall. Nelson suffered a knee injury before the season and never seemed right, appearing in just two games, but has NFL talent and should anchor the left side of the rotation. Add in Francis Mauigoa, a five-star newcomer who could start right away, it's hard to imagine this offensive line not taking a huge step forward in 2023.

Just about everything that could go wrong went wrong for Miami's offense a season ago, but there's reason to believe in this group for 2023. For one, Dawson seems like a much more sensible hire than Gattis, even if the move wasn't as flashy. He seems like the type of coordinator that should elevate this group, especially with a healthy Van Dyke under center. Add in a healthy Chaney and an improved O-Line, this could be one of the best in the ACC this fall.

Defense: There are changes on the defensive side of the ball, as Cristobal also shuffled the board here. Gone is Kevin Steele, who has since taken up the DC post at Alabama, and replaced by Lance Guidry, who comes over from Marshall. It's another hire that may not be as flashy, but seems to better fit what Miami wants to do on this side of the ball.

The defensive line could be among the best in the ACC, loaded with star power. Defensive ends Jahfari Harvey and Akheem Mesidor combined for 12.5 sacks in 2022 and will be pests in opposing backfields once again. Mesidor is one of my favorite defenders in the country, a relentless edge rusher who has gotten better each year in the collegiate ranks and could be in store for a huge junior season.

While Harvey and Mesidor create chaos off the edge, look for sophomore Leonard Taylor III to be a potential breakout candidate. Taylor is a former high-profile recruit who came on strong at the end of 2022 and could be one of the most talented interior linemen anywhere in the country. Opposing blockers simply can't keep up with the lightning quick Taylor, who is a bit of a unique defensive tackle at 6'3", 305 pounds. It's unclear who will handle the other starting tackle duties alongside Taylor, but USC transfer Jacob Lichtenstein could be a good bet. The sixth-year senior returns to his native state and has proven to be a solid contributor at the P5 level.

Expect Guidry to reprise the 4-2-5 look the Hurricanes ran last fall, and it appears as though both starting linebackers are locked in. Junior Corey Flagg Jr. finished third on the team in tackles, with 56, and also notched 10.5 tackles for loss. He's proven to be an impact player, but has to develop more consistency if the 'Canes defense is going to take the next step. Wesley Bissainthe, who recorded 30 tackles himself, is the most likely starter next to him. 

One of the more interesting names to watch on defense is Washington State transfer Francisco Mauigoa, who comes over after two seasons in Pullman. The hard-hitting defender brings much-needed physicality to a rush defense that was pushed around far too often in 2022, and it will be interesting to see if he can overtake either Flagg or Bissainthe for more playing time. Keep your eye on him through fall camp and into the regular season.

For the first time since 2006, Miami has an All-American defender returning, in the form of safety Kamren Kinchens. The junior possesses traits that are reminiscent of some of the Hurricane greats who have passed through Coral Gables. His ball-hawking ability is Ed Reed-esque, while his ability to get downhill and make an impact in the rushing game reminds me of Sean Taylor. Kinchens is the unquestioned leader of this defense once again and a legit Jim Thorpe Award candidate.

The rest of the secondary surrounding Kinchens is in a good spot, although corner could be a position to watch. Safety James Williams is not to be overshadowed; the junior has caught the eye of NFL folks, thanks in large part to his 6'5", 210-pound build. He's not going to make as many big-time plays as Kinchens, but should be a reliable contributor once again. The same can be said about senior nickelback Te'Cory Couch, a multiyear starter who is taking advantage of his extra COVID year.

Based on pure talent, this may be one of the most impressive defenses in the nation. However, most of this talent was on the roster a season ago and the results were uneven. The pressure is on Guidry to bring everything together into a cohesive, disciplined unit. If he does, Miami's ceiling as a team is significantly raised.

Special Teams: There's good and bad news on special teams for the 'Canes. On one hand, kicker Andres Borregales is back after knocking down 17 of 20 field goals in 2022. The legacy could be a Lou Groza Award candidate this fall. However, the punter position is in for a changing of the guard, as Lou Hedley moves on, leaving newcomer Dylan Joyce as the likely starter.

Bottom Line

It feels like the same old story for Miami: there is a bunch of talent dotting the roster and some real star power, but will it equate to wins? Cristobal seems to have a much better understanding of the personnel he has and both coordinator hires seem like sensible, smart directions to go in. But, there are no easy paths to success in modern college football, and the ACC's new format actually hurts Miami. In the old Coastal Division, they would be my clear favorite, with only North Carolina and potentially Pittsburgh being able to earn the same consideration. With the elimination of divisions, a path to the ACC Championship Game becomes tougher and even if things go right, the 'Canes feel like a step below the true elites of this league. Instead, Miami should be hoping for a much better product on the field and solid gains in the wins column, which should indicate real progress for Cristobal and set the stage for even greater things in 2024.

Program Profile

Coaching Staff

Mario Cristobal played offensive tackle at Miami from 1989-1992 and has returned to his alma mater as head football coach. It's the third FBS program Cristobal has led and he's earned a reputation as one of the game's elite recruiters, but the on-field results haven't always matched up: he's 67-67 all-time. The new coordinators will be Shannon Dawson and Lance Guidry, both arriving from Group of Five schools. Dawson is a Dana Holgorsen disciple who should bring plenty of fireworks to Hard Rock Stadium, while Guidry comes over from Marshall. Guidry has previous head coaching experience, leading his alma mater McNeese State from 2016-18, but the Miami DC job is unquestionably his biggest break in coaching up to this point. 

Recruiting Breakdown

Cristobal's recruiting acumen was a major reason why he earned the Miami job in the first place and he didn't disappoint with his first full class, landing the nation's seventh best group. It's a class headlined by the two five-stars, tackles Francis Mauigoa and Samson Okunlola. Mauigoa has a chance to slide in and start right away at right tackle, while Okunlola is likely to back up Zion Nelson on the left side. Another potential impact freshman to watch is wide out Nathaniel Joseph, a four-star who stayed in his hometown of Miami. Although undersized, Joseph is a dynamic, elusive threat in the open field who could come in and see snaps right away in the slot. On the defensive side of the ball, edge rushers Rueben Bain and Jayden Wayne are future stars who Cristobal and staff managed to keep inside the state. Bain is the higher-rated one and more likely to play right away. He's a powerful rusher with impressive technique who should learn from the multiple premier rushers already on the Hurricanes roster.

2023 Schedule Analysis

We'll have a good understanding of just what type of Miami season it will be within the season's first two weeks, as the 'Canes welcome Texas A&M to Hard Rock Stadium. Both programs enter 2023 under pressure, with the Aggies coming out on top last fall. ACC play will kick off a month later, with a home game against Georgia Tech and concludes with a road trip to Boston College. That game against BC may be their easiest road tilt of the fall in the conference, as they also travel to North Carolina, NC State, and  Florida State. That game against Florida State will be a big one; the 'Noles are looking for their third straight victory in the rivalry series after a run of four straight from Miami.

2023 X-Factor: Xavier Restrepo, WR

In order for the new offense to click, Miami will need more from their group of receivers. It's an experienced group and one with talent, but there's a lack of a true alpha in the room. That could change if Xavier Restrepo is able to recover from the foot injury that cost him a huge chunk of the 2022 campaign. The fourth-year junior was one of Van Dyke's top targets in 2021 and his absence last fall was a major reason why the passing game looked so anemic all season. He has the physical tools to be an All-ACC performer and in this offense, we could be in store for a special season.

Team Projections

Projected Record: 8-4 (5-3 ACC)

Offensive MVP: QB Tyler Van Dyke

Defensive MVP: S Kamren Kinchens

Impact Freshman: OT Francis Mauigoa

Impact Transfer: OG Javion Cohen

Breakout Player of the Year: DT Leonard Taylor III

Five-Year Trend

NBA Mock Draft 2023: Edition 3 (Final Edition)

Victor Wembanyama

 1. San Antonio Spurs

Victor Wembanyama, F, France

Don't expect any late surprises this year, as there is no question Victor Wembanyama will be the top selection in the 2023 NBA Draft. The greater questions are whether Gregg Popovich will be back to coach him, which is looking more likely by the passing day, and how San Antonio chooses to round out his supporting cast. 

2. Charlotte Hornets

Scoot Henderson, G, G League Ignite

Charlotte remains the ultimate wild card at the top of this Draft. There are rumors the Hornets could look to swing this pick in a trade, but even if they do keep it, the selection isn't obvious. Alabama forward Brandon Miller has been slated here for awhile, but things seem to be trending in the direction of Scoot Henderson at this juncture. He would give them a powerful guard to pair with La'Melo Ball, a terrifying combination for the rest of the Eastern Conference.

3. Portland Trail Blazers

Brandon Miller, F, Alabama

Portland appears just fine sitting here at No. 3 and taking whoever Charlotte doesn't a pick earlier (assuming they don't trade out). In this case it's Brandon Miller, which may actually be a positive for the Blazers. The combo forward is a bit more versatile in what he can bring to an NBA team and gives them a much-needed building block in an underwhelming frontcourt.

4. Houston Rockets

Amen Thompson, G, Overtime Elite

Don't be surprised if the Rockets choose to mix things up with the fourth selection. They enter the offseason as serious players in the James Harden sweepstakes and there isn't an obvious prospect to hone in with the consensus top three off the board. If they do stick firm, dynamic lead guard Amen Thompson seems to make the most sense, bringing immediate playmaking and limitless upside to the equation.

5. Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson, G/F, Overtime Elite

As disappointing as slipping to the No. 5 pick was for the Pistons, they have a capable young core that can still add a nice complementary piece here. I've previously had Jarace Walker mocked here, but things seem to be trending in the direction of the other Thompson twin, who some scouts like more than Amen. Ausar isn't quite the playmaker his brother is at this stage in his development, but will fit nicely as a defensive menace with some potential as a shot creator.

6. Orlando Magic

Cam Whitmore, G/F, Villanova

Are rumors of a potential Cam Whitmore slide legitimate or merely your prototypical pre-Draft smoke screens? It's hard to say, but the Villanova wing is still sure to land somewhere in the mid-to-late lottery, and is worth the risk for the Magic at this spot. He has potential to grow into a lethal scorer at the next level and should benefit from the floor-spacing ability of Franz Wagner.

7. Indiana Pacers

Jarace Walker, F, Houston

The Pacers have an interesting core in place and could be a dark horse playoff threat if things go right next season. They could choose to invest this selection in one of the many wings projected to go in the mid-lottery range, but Houston's Jarace Walker offers more value. He's an instant impact player that will eat rebounds and play physical defense, without being an uncomfortable fit alongside Myles Turner.

8. Washington Wizards

Anthony Black, G, Arkansas

Few players increased their draft stock this past winter quite like Anthony Black, who took advantage of additional minutes at Arkansas to evolve into a lottery pick. NBA folks love his two-way potential and crisp passing touch, even if the offensive game needs to round out. Now that Brad Beal is on his way to Phoenix and it doesn't appear Chris Paul is coming back in return, there will be ample minutes for Black to grow.

9. Utah Jazz

Bilal Couliably, G/F, France

An LNB teammate of Victor Wembanyama's, Bilal Couilably is an intriguing prospect. Although his offensive game is still raw, his measurements are all lottery worthy and he has real potential as a "3-and-D" guy at the next level. A destination like Utah would be a great place for him to learn and grow without the pressure.

10. Dallas Mavericks

Taylor Hendricks, F, UCF

Taylor Hendricks is the type of modern forward that NBA teams covet, so it wouldn't be shocking if he goes before this. However, if he is available, Dallas a chance to add a versatile piece who would a superb fit alongside Luka Doncic. At 6'8", Hendricks could play small forward or even a small-ball five, while providing steady scoring output and tenacious defense.

11. Orlando Magic

Gradey Dick, G/F, Kansas

Orlando may have an exciting group of young pieces on this roster, but three-point shooting is a real problem on this roster. Even if the guard grows up fast, whether it's Cole Anthony or Jalen Suggs, none are likely to become plus shooters from downtown. The Magic can be proactive in addressing that conundrum by taking Gradey Dick, the best pure shooter in this Draft. The defense may need work, but there's still plenty of value with Dick at pick 11.

12. Oklahoma City Thunder

Kobe Bufkin, G/F, Michigan

There's nothing particularly flashy about Kobe Bufkin, but the Michigan product earned plenty of adoration in the pre-Draft process and has the looks of a lottery lock. He's a well-built wing with proven shooting ability and very nice touch around the rim. Add him alongside Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey, the Thunder get yet another young piece to toy around with.

13. Toronto Raptors

Keyonte George, G/F, Baylor

Toronto has had a lack of premier scoring threats since the departures of Kawhi Leonard and DeMar DeRozan, but selecting Keyonte George would change that. George will have to learn to be more efficient, but the dynamic wing is a pure scorer with limitless range and a fearless mindset.

14. New Orleans Pelicans

Jalen Hood-Schifino, G, Indiana

Is there a real chance New Orleans trades Zion Williamson? It remains unlikely in my mind, but makes the Pelicans worth watching at the bottom of the lottery. If they stick here and the Draft falls like so, they probably invest in a backcourt piece like Jalen Hood-Schifino. The Indiana product may be streaky, but he's an explosive, pacy playmaker who could play either guard spot.

15. Atlanta Hawks

Cason Wallace, G, Kentucky

The Hawks appear to be one of the teams most interested in moving up in this Draft and may be willing to move a big name (such as John Collins or Dejounte Murray) to do so. If they do remain at 15, it makes sense for them to invest in a piece like Cason Wallace. The Kentucky product is a rock-solid combo guard who may be undersized (6'2") but is a tremendous defender that should fit in nicely alongside Trae Young.

16. Utah Jazz

Dereck Lively II, F/C, Duke

We're getting to the point where predicting Dereck Lively II to go 16th overall feels far too low for the powerful Duke big man. He has been shooting up boards late in the process and now feels like a lottery possibility. The Jazz would be just fine if he lasts to them at 16, giving them a talented but raw big to pair with Walker Kessler in the long-term.

17. Los Angeles Lakers

Jordan Hawkins, G, UConn

The Lakers are always looking to add shooters to open up this offense and they have a chance to select one coming off an impressive National Title run in Jordan Hawkins. Whether it's off screens, off the dribble, or spot-up, Hawkins is a fearless scorer that should bring a winning edge to Los Angeles.

18. Miami Heat

Leonard Miller, G/F, Canada

I've said it before and I'll say it again: Leonard Miller is one of the most mysterious prospects in this Draft. Yet, the 6'9" wing is coming off an impressive season in the G League ranks and checks enough boxes to warrant consideration in the Top 20. His athleticism and fluidity make him a fun watch every night and if he lands in the right spot, somebody could unlock his complete offensive repertoire. No team in the NBA gets value from the Draft quite like Miami, so this could be a match made in heaven.

19. Golden State Warriors

Nick Smith Jr., G, Arkansas

An established contender like the Warriors is always looking to add backcourt playmaking at a low cost, and Golden State could do just that by selecting Nick Smith Jr. here. Smith didn't quite live up to the preseason hype he received while at Arkansas, mainly due to injuries, but is a quick, decisive playmaker that could learn a bunch from Steph Curry and company.

20. Houston Rockets

Olivier-Maxence Prosper, F, Marquette

Another late riser in this Draft, Olivier-Maxence Prosper has taken advantage of a strong Combine and pre-Draft process to move up boards. He's still a bit limited in his overall game, but you can see the potential when he steps up on the court as a rim runner and lockdown defender. For a team like Houston, who is looking to hoard all the intriguing young talent they can, this selection makes sense.

21. Brooklyn Nets

Rayan Rupert, G/F, France

Is there a team that enters the offseason with more unanswered questions than the Brooklyn Nets? We have no idea what this team is going to look like, either in 2023-24 or in the long-term. But, with a pair of consecutive picks in the mid-first, why not take a swing on a name like Rayan Rupert? The wing has plenty of work to do, but is an elite perimeter defender with impressive physical tools.

22. Brooklyn Nets

Jaime Jaquez Jr., G/F, UCLA

Jaime Jaquez is not your typical first-round NBA prospect. He's a bit older, at 22 years of age, and isn't an overwhelming athlete or polished specialist. Yet, he brings a winning mentality and hard-nosed attitude that could be a major asset for this Nets team after the disastrous "Big Three" era. His range is all over the place, but landing at 22 is not a stretch.

23. Portland Trail Blazers

Jett Howard, G/F, Michigan

It appears that Portland has no ambitions to trade Damian Lillard at any point in the near future, which means they should do whatever possible to help out the face of their franchise. Jett Howard could provide help as a long-range floor-spacer and should also take some of the pressure of Lillard in the scoring column, as Howard has shown he can handle an increased offensive load.

24. Sacramento Kings

Noah Clowney, F/C, Alabama

It will be interesting to see how Sacramento operates this offseason after finally ending their postseason drought. They have a bunch of options they could take advantage of at this point in the Draft, but I like the idea of them adding another high upside forward in Noah Clowney. The Alabama product can play either forward spot and potentially even a small-ball five, while adding impact defense and rebounding prowess.

25. Memphis Grizzlies

Brandin Podziemski, G, Santa Clara

Ja Morant's suspension is official, meaning Memphis will need other players to step up if they have any hopes of reaching the postseason once more. That provides a valuable opportunity for a prospect like Brandin Podziemski, a creative offensive weapon with a lethal jumper. I'm super high on Podziemski, and feel like has the looks of a guy that's going to have a long, productive NBA career.

26. Indiana Pacers

Dariq Whitehead, G/F, Duke

Injuries limited what Dariq Whitehead could do during his lone season at Duke, but the former five-star prospect is still likely to land somewhere in the first round. There's a lot to like about Whitehead's offensive potential, if he can stay healthy, and he's worthy of a flier at this spot in the Draft.

27. Charlotte Hornets

Kris Murray, F, Iowa

Kris Murray doesn't command attention the way other prospects do in this Draft, but it wouldn't shock me if he's a late first-round gem. Despite not being a top-tier athlete, he's found a niche as an efficient scorer that does all the little things well. Charlotte could use a high-floor prospect like him, particularly after taking a chance on Scoot Henderson second overall.

28. Utah Jazz

Colby Jones, G, Xavier

Both of Utah's prior first-rounders could be a considered high-risk, high-reward selections in this mock, but taking Xavier's Colby Jones at 28 would represent a safer move. The combo guard is a tremendous passer who will easily slide into any role that this team needs, whether that's as a starter or in spot minutes off the bench.

29. Indiana Pacers

Brice Sensabaugh, G/F, Ohio State

Every single year, there's a prospect or two who have the types of games that would be perfect in the NBA a decade ago, but seem to be moving out of fashion in the current context. Sensabaugh fits that description; he's an old-school bucket-getter who isn't going to blow you away with his athleticism, but remains productive. A pre-Draft injury has him waiting longer than he probably should, but it's hard to imagine him lasting outside the first.

30. Los Angeles Clippers

James Nnaji, F/C, Nigeria

Will the Clippers be making this selection? This pick originally looked to be on its way to Washington in the Kristaps Porzingis trade, but that has since "fallen apart" as I'm writing this. If Los Angeles does hold on to it, I like them investing in a high-upside big like James Nnaji, who could give them reinforcements in an underwhelming frontcourt.

NBA Draft 2023: Top 40 Big Board

Brandon Miller, Alabama

 1. Victor Wembanyama, F, France

Ceiling: NBA Superstar

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Unicorn-esque athletic build, well-rounded offensive game, elite rim protection ability, calm demeanor and poise

Weaknesses: Slender frame, injury background

In the social media age, just about every big-name NBA prospect receives an exorbitant amount of hype and attention, but French forward Victor Wembanyama is in a whole different stratosphere. The way you hear NBA folks talk about him, Wembanyama could be the greatest basketball player of all-time, a true, once-in-a-generation unicorn. Even if you apply some level of scrutiny to him, he does check all the boxes you need as the top prospect in this Draft. At 7'2"-7'4" (depending which measurement you believe), he's got the size and length, but has the type of fluid, well-rounded offensive game that you rarely see at his position. Wembanyama is the type of player that should produce no matter which system you put him in and defensively, there's little question that he's going to be a disruptive presence. He will need to add some weight to survive a rugged NBA schedule, but it's reasonable to be excited about what he can bring to the pro game.

2. Scoot Henderson, G, G League Ignite

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Ferocious athleticism, powerful offensive game, high energy two-way player

Weaknesses: Inconsistent jump shot, shaky decision-making

In most years, Scoot Henderson would be the clear-cut top prospect but in the 2023 cycle, he's been relegated to more of a "Robin" role to Wembanyama's "Batman." That's not to take away from Henderson, a prospect who I like a lot and don't believe the gap between one and two is as wide as many seem to think. I've said it before, but Henderson reminds me so much of a younger Russell Westbrook, a hard-edged competitor with the type of athleticism that can make your jaw drop. Much like Westbrook coming into the NBA, there are plenty of areas of his game to smooth out. The jump shot needs refinement and Henderson's eagerness to make plays sometimes gets him into trouble, but that's true of many players his age. He does feel a bit more system dependent than Wembanyama, but whoever lands him will be getting an impact contributor with a bright future.

3. Brandon Miller, F, Alabama

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Elite shot-maker with range, versatility to play and defend multiple spots, active on-ball defender

Weaknesses: Off-the-court questions, needs to add weight to frame

Brandon Miller's lone season in the collegiate ranks will likely always be defined by the off-court controversy and his link to a fatal shooting in Tuscaloosa. But, the reality is that Miller was the best freshman in college basketball this winter and NBA teams love what he brings to the table - it's unlikely he'll fall outside the Top 3. At 6'9" with a 6'11" wingspan, Miller has an ideal build to be able to play either forward spot at the next level and contribute on both ends. He's a tremendous scorer who will take and make the difficult shots and defensively, he's an active player who gets his hands in passing lanes or block shots. In many ways, Miller is a perfect forward for the modern game and should be able to fit in nicely no matter which team he ends up on in the pros.

4. Amen Thompson, G, Overtime Elite

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: High

Strengths: Electric offensive playmaker, elite distributor, savvy feel for the game 

Weaknesses: Very inconsistent jump shot, competition questions

There may not be two greater mysteries in this Draft than the twins, Amen and Ausar Thompson. Although there's more game tape on the pair than some of the international prospects, it's so hard to gauge their competition and evaluate how they'll be able to adjust to the NBA. Even so, I think Amen Thompson would be worth the risk, as long as you understand what you're getting here. He's going to be an instant playmaker, the type of court general that could one day lead the league in assists. But, the jump shot is just so far from where it needs to be, it's hard to imagine Thompson ever becoming a passable shooter in the NBA. There's also some well-documented struggles at the free throw line, which is always a cause for concern. I don't think Amen Thompson is going to ever be the type of player that can solely carry an offense, but instead be the type of floor general that makes everyone around him better. Your hope here is that he's more Rajon Rondo than say, Frank Ntilikina. That's how wide of a range you're talking about here, and why the NBA Draft is so notoriously difficult to predict.

5. Gradey Dick, G/F, Kansas

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Smooth offensive game with a crisp jumper, active off-ball shot creator, versatility

Weaknesses: Good, not great athlete, average to poor defender

There's a drop-off here after the top four prospects, but I remain a huge Gradey Dick fan. He's proven he can handle any role you throw at him, whether you want him to be the main offensive creator, or whether you want him to slide into more of a complementary role. In the NBA, he's almost certainly going to be more of the latter, but he's more than just a shooting specialist. He can get to the rim and finish and his constant activity offensively makes him a real pain to defend. I like the comparison to Duncan Robinson in some ways, although I believe Dick's athleticism and versatility mean that his ceiling is significantly higher than that of the Miami Heat sniper. Now, that doesn't Dick doesn't have areas to grow, most notably defensively. He has the physical tools to be a solid defender, but it feels like his instincts and feel on that end are a bit off. The NBA team that does draft him is going to need to get rid of some bad habits if he wants to become a regular starter in the pros.

6. Jarace Walker, F, Houston

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Relentless rebounder on both ends, ideal offensive build, defensive ability

Weaknesses: Average to poor shooter, offensive game is still fairly limited

The more I see Houston's Jarace Walker the more I like him, and the sentiment seems to be echoed among the NBA community. Walker has gone from a fringe lottery possibility to a likely Top 5 pick, an impressive rise for a prospect that put up rather pedestrian numbers during his time with the Cougars. This isn't a guy who is going to go out and drop 30 points a night, but he does the little things so well that contribute to winning and there's some untapped potential here. Walker is a frenetic rebounder who always seems to be in the right position. He's rarely the biggest guy on the court, but his feel for the game and constant motor make him a reliable factor. The same can be said about his defensive presence; he can match up with just about every type of player and make their night difficult. As for his offense, he's a solid scorer who is efficient about the rim, but it doesn't feel like he's going to ever be a floor-spacer. That doesn't mean Walker can't grow and evolve that into his game, but you're looking at more of a complementary piece that knows his role and plays it to perfection here.

7. Ausar Thompson, G/F, Overtime Elite

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: High

Strengths: Bouncy athlete who will finish, otherworldly quickness, defensive upside

Weaknesses: Limited offensive game, questionable fit, competition questions

The other Thompson twin, Ausar, is likely to go a bit below his brother but is still likely to land somewhere in the mid-lottery. It's understandable why there are some concerns with Thompson; his jump shot is an even greater question than his brother, but he doesn't bring as much proven playmaker. He's still a thrill to watch in transition who will bring plenty of highlight reel plays to the equation, and the defensive potential is clear. Your hope is that he's a "3-and-D" guy at the next level, although his shooting is so suspect, it's hard to know how much of that three-point shooting will factor in. There's significant bust potential here and I'd much rather prefer a high floor piece like Dick or Walker, if they were available. Yet, some NBA team is going to take a chance on him and there's no question that he does bring his fair share of positives to the table.

8. Bilal Coulibaly, G/F, France

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Immense offensive upside, impactful defender, tantalizing athlete

Weaknesses: Offensive game needs rounding out, sloppy ball-handler

While Victor Wembanyama is the lock to go No. 1 overall, his LNB teammate, Bilal Couliably, is one of this year's fastest risers. The French wing is still raw, but you can see flashes of his offensive upside when he plays. He's not a shot creator at this point in his career, but actually shoots solid numbers from three and can be a very capable spot-up shooter. At the very least, his defense makes him worthy of lottery consideration, as he's a high energy perimeter defender who can switch off and defend multiple spots. Adding an impactful defender like Coulibaly would be a dream for a contender later on in the first, but something tells he won't be lasting super long come Thursday night.

9. Nick Smith Jr., PG, Arkansas

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Lightning quick, smooth scorer with an impressive handle, instant playmaking ability

Weaknesses: Streaky shooter, needs to add bulk

Entering the 2022-23 college basketball season, Nick Smith Jr. looked like an All-American candidate and likely Top 5 selection in the upcoming NBA Draft. Unfortunately, Smith dealt with injuries during his short stint at Arkansas and now looks like he'll end up somewhere in the mid-first round. Even so, I'm high on the explosive lead guard, who reminds me a bit of John Wall coming out of Kentucky. He may not have Wall's speed in the open court, but he's a lightning fast guard who can immediately jolt an offense. There are limitations in his game, but it feels like like they can be ironed out in the right system. Smith is an inconsistent shooter but shot good percentages throughout high school, and has a smooth-looking jumper. The more important thing for him at the next level will be adding muscle to his frame; although he has ideal size for an NBA lead guard, he doesn't quite use it to his advantage. He was able to get away with it in high school and college, but that will not be the case in the pros.

10. Taylor Hendricks, F, UCF

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Versatility, efficient scorer, strong shooter, energetic rebounder

Weaknesses: Competition questions, overall ceiling

Although he didn't enter college with much fanfare, UCF forward Taylor Hendricks appears to be trending towards a lottery lock. He put put together an impressive lone season with the Knights, averaging over 15 points per game, while shooting 39% from three. He is the type of modern forward that NBA teams are looking for; at 6'8" with solid athleticism, Hendricks has the versatility to help out just about everywhere. Add in the shooting, and you get a player that you know is going to provide quality minutes in whichever role he finds at the next level. Even the concerns about him seem to be fairly limited as compared to others at his position. Sure, he wasn't playing against elite competition in the American Athletic ranks, but it isn't like Hendricks was playing against mid-major talent, either. The ceiling may not be at the level of others likely to be drafted around him in the mid-to-late lottery, but the high floor is what makes him an attractive prospect.

11. Cam Whitmore, G/F, Villanova

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Explosive athlete, top-tier finisher, versatile defender

Weaknesses: Jump shot needs refinement, shooting is a major concern, lack of winning impact

12. Anthony Black, G, Arkansas

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Tremendous playmaker, ideal positional versatility at 6'6", impact defender, plays up to any role

Weaknesses: Cannot create his own shot, poor free throw shooter, offensive game needs rounding out

13. Brandin Podziemski, G, Santa Clara

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Deadeye shooter (43% 3-point in college), creative offensive playmaker, decent defender

Weaknesses: Competition questions, average athleticism, "tweener" at this point in his career

14. Jalen Hood-Schifino, G, Indiana

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Unstoppable scorer when he's on, ideal size for the modern NBA, overall offensive upside

Weaknesses: Streakiest player in this Draft, decision-making, seems to take plays off defensively

15. Keyonte George, G/F, Baylor

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Buttery smooth jump shot, potent pull-up shooter, polished finishing ability

Weaknesses: Size and fit in NBA, good but not great athlete

16. James Nnaji, F/C, Nigeria

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Powerful low post presence, expansive wingspan (7'7"), elite rim protector potential

Weaknesses: Very raw offensively, limited upside on offense, has not played heavy minutes at professional level

17. Cason Wallace, G, Kentucky

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Capable offensive creator, elite on-ball defender, effective spot-up shooter

Weaknesses: Undersized for modern NBA at 6'2" (although 6'8" wingspan is a selling point), average shot creator, hampered by injury problems

18. Jett Howard, G/F, Michigan

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Modern wing with "3-and-D" potential, NBA bloodlines, creates his own offense

Weaknesses: Very poor defender, too slow to guard elite wings, needs to land in the right system

19. Noah Clowney, F/C, Alabama

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Active rebounder on both ends, floor-spacing potential, upside as rim protector

Weaknesses: Gets into foul trouble far too easily at this stage of his career, lacks explosive athleticism

20. Kobe Bufkin, G, Michigan

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Upside as "3-and-D" dynamo, positional versatility, smooth jumper and polished offensive game

Weaknesses: Needs to add weight, strong shooting numbers are in smaller sample size

21. Dariq Whitehead, G/F, Duke

Ceiling: NBA All-Star

Bust Potential: High

Strengths: Potential to be an offensive force, physical tools, offensive upside is there but his game is rough around the edges

Weaknesses: Collegiate numbers speak for themselves, seemed fine taking a backseat at Duke, how will injuries impact his developmental timeline?

22. Kris Murray, F, Iowa

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Efficient scorer, capable scorer from every spot on the court, makes winning basketball plays

Weaknesses: Athleticism is not at an NBA level, almost sure to be a complementary piece or role player

23. Dereck Lively II, F/C, Duke

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Proven rim runner, powerful defender who should be able to acclimate to NBA physicality quickly, ideal size

Weaknesses: Offensive game is very limited at this point in his development timeline, needs to become a more intelligent defender

24. Leonard Miller, G/F, Canada

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: High

Strengths: 6'9" with 7'2" wingspan but will play multiple spots, impressive ball-handler for his size, staggering athletic potential

Weaknesses: Arguably the most mysterious prospect in this Draft, completely unproven beyond high school ranks, despite his size he plays smaller than he is

25. Brice Sensabaugh, G/F, Ohio State

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Well-rounded offensive game with proven scoring ability, mechanically sound jump shooter

Weaknesses: Other areas of his game are unproven, slow-footed defender, shined on a bad Ohio State team - is he the type of player that will put up numbers that don't actually move the needle towards winning?

26. Trayce Jackson-Davis

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Proven pedigree, extremely polished around the rim, good athlete with high motor

Weaknesses: One of the older players in this Draft and nearing 24 years of age, potential is capped at this point in his development

27. Jordan Hawkins, G, UConn

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Deadeye shooter, more of a spot-up shooter but can create his own looks, can play off-ball very effectively

Weaknesses: Fairly average athlete, was his play in the National Title run an aberration or a sign of things to come? 

28. Maxwell Lewis, G/F, Pepperdine

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: "3-and-D" qualities, freakishly long, will be an instant impact defender 

Weaknesses: Will not create for himself off the dribble, defensive consistency, competition questions

29. Rayan Rupert, G/F, France

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: High

Strengths: Another wing who checks boxes as a "3-and-D" possibility, arguably the best perimeter defender in this Draft, relentless competitor

Weaknesses: Offensive game is exceptionally raw, will need significant time to round out, jump shot is far away

30. Olivier-Maxence Prosper, F, Marquette

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Bouncy athlete, powerful finisher around the rim, run running ability

Weaknesses: Offensive game is limited, will not create his own offense, more of a complementary piece

31. G.G. Jackson, F, South Carolina

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: At just 18 years of age has plenty of time to figure it out, moves very well for his size, physical tools are there

Weaknesses: Very streaky offensive player, decision-making needs significant work, feels like a bit of a "tweener"

32. Julian Strawther, G, Gonzaga

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: One of the best pure scorers in this Draft, a fearless shot-maker, versatility 

Weaknesses: Will shoot you out of as many games as he keeps you in, mediocre to bad defender

33. Colby Jones, G/F, Xavier

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Well-rounded offensive game, effective distributor and playmaker, fits nicely into whichever role is necessary to win basketball games

Weaknesses: Ceiling is capped, okay but not great athlete, spot-up shooting is incredibly inconsistent

34. Ben Sheppard, G, Belmont

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Sharpshooting wing with a quick release, "3-and-D" upside, free throw shooting was suspect in the collegiate ranks

Weaknesses: Athleticism is average at best, still a streaky shooter, competition questions

35. Jaime Jaquez, G/F, UCLA

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Winning basketball player, relentless competitor, hard-nosed offensive playmaker with excellent touch in the paint

Weaknesses: Will not space the floor with his shooting, what position does he play in the NBA?

36. Jordan Walsh, G/F, Arkansas

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Physical tools, extremely effective in transition both ways, 7'2" wingspan makes him a factor everywhere on the court

Weaknesses: Jump shot is far away from NBA levels, both three-point and free throw shooting is shaky

37. Sidy Cissoko, G, France

Ceiling: NBA Starter

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: "3-and-D" qualities, pesky on-ball defender, plenty of potential as a passer

Weaknesses: Shooting mechanics need significant work, has not proven an ability to create a shot

38. Andre Jackson Jr., G/F, UConn

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Elite defensive prowess both on and off-ball, will rack up steals and blocks, bouncy athlete

Weaknesses: Has not been asked to handle an offensive load and hasn't proven he can, spot-up shooting is inconsistent at best

39. Terquavion Smith, G, NC State

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Moderate

Strengths: Explosive scorer, tremendous shot creator, lead guard qualities defensively

Weaknesses: Three-point shooting is streaky, undersized for the pros, combo guard who doesn't have a clear fit in the NBA

40. Marcus Sasser, G, Houston

Ceiling: NBA Role Player

Bust Potential: Low

Strengths: Proven himself as a leader, scoring prowess, unlimited range from three, ability to make contested shots

Weaknesses: Incredibly streaky shooter, another "tweener" in the pros, does he have the build to survive in the NBA?

College Football Preview 2023: 23. SMU Mustangs

Preston Stone, SMU

 23. SMU Mustangs

With a slew of Power Five transfers and a potential star under center, SMU has the tools to be the favorite in new-look AAC

2022 Review

Year One of the Rhett Lashlee era in Dallas got off to a bit of a rocky start, as numerous close losses left SMU 3-4 looking ahead to the final stretch of their schedule. The Mustangs could have easily mailed it in and called it a lost season, but the 2022 team showed real grit over the season's final month. They went 4-1 in their final five regular season games, with the lone defeat coming on the road to an eventual New Year's Six Bowl Champion, Tulane. A heartbreaking bowl loss, yet another close defeat, was a disappointment, but SMU should still feel good about what they accomplished in 2022. Considering all but two losses were by a score or less, there's reason to believe that this team, assuming they figure out how to better close games this fall, can achieve even greater things in Lashlee's second season at the helm.

2023 Outlook

Offense: A longtime offensive coordinator, Rhett Lashlee has earned a reputation as an elite offensive mind who can get the best out of what his roster has to offer. The 2022 squad finished 12th nationally with 37.2 points per game and despite some turnover, there's reason to believe the Mustangs will be a fun watch offensively once more.

The decision from quarterback Tanner Mordecai to transfer to Wisconsin may sting, but it shouldn't be a death blow to this offense. Mordecai put up gaudy stats during his time in Dallas, but turnovers and poor decision-making consistently sunk SMU's chances in big games. 

Instead, the Mustangs will turn to talented youngster Preston Stone, a former high-profile recruit who sat behind Mordecai for two seasons. Stone doesn't exactly have a lengthy track record, but he's impressed in the short spurts we've seen of him, and he seems to have all the tools necessary to run an up-tempo, aggressive offensive attack. It would not shock me one bit if he is one of the American Athletic Conference's breakout stars in 2023.

Helping out Stone will be one of the best collections of skill position talent in Group of Five football. It starts in the backfield, where a trio of former Power Five transfers lead the way. Former Alabama transfer Camar Wheaton is a big name who ran for 322 yards in ten games last fall, but it's the newcomers who may overtake him. That includes former Miami tailback Jaylan Knighton and Texas A&M's L.J. Johnson Jr., who both arrive with some fanfare. Knighton is the veteran of the trio, playing in 27 games in Coral Gables, but Johnson may have the highest ceiling. Although he never quite got a chance to show what he could do with the Aggies, he earned quite the reputation for himself in the high school ranks and the offensive fit for him should be beneficial.

It was a nice early summer surprise when former TCU wide out Jordan Hudson announced his intentions to transfer to the Mustangs. Hudson was originally committed to SMU before following former head man Sonny Dykes to TCU. He's a special talent who should wreak havoc in this wide-open offense, making my annual "10 Players Ready for the Big Sophomore Leap" list. 

Hudson is far from the only name to keep an eye on in this SMU receiver corps. Although superstar Rashee Rice departs, Jeremy Kerley looked capable of taking over No. 1 receiver duties before Hudson's late commitment. He finished only behind Rice in both receptions and yardage last fall, and was proven he can take the top off opposing defenses. There's not a ton of returning experience behind Kerley, although Lashlee did brings over multiple receivers from his old stomping grounds at Miami. Key'Shawn and Romello Brinson have both proven to be capable pass-catchers who know this system.

It's a mixed bag up front for the Mustangs, with several starters returning, but questions at right tackle. Senior Marcus Bryant is an anchor at left tackle, while Branson Hickman and Justin Osborne bring starting experience on the interior. Miami transfer Jakai Clark is also expected to play a leading role, who has a chance to slide into an immediate starting spot at center. He's the type of player that you don't see often at this level, a multiyear starter from the Power Five level who was yet another former Hurricane that reunited with Lashlee.

SMU has earned a reputation for explosive offenses, and that certainly doesn't appear to be changing under Lashlee. The personnel on the roster is an ideal fit for what he wants to run, and the staff has done an excellent job filling in gaps as needed. Expect another impressive offensive campaign from the Mustangs, even if it takes Stone a bit of time to get fully acclimated to the starting quarterback role.

Defense: The Mustangs have gotten comfortable winning shootouts over the years, but if they want to become a consistent contender in the American, they're going to need the defense to begin playing their part. There's been talent on this side of the ball, but it feels like it doesn't show up each and every week, and it's been a fairly standard defensive scheme.

As coordinator Scott Symons prepares for Year Two running this unit, he hopes to establish a more aggressive, physical tone. It helps that the Mustangs have also brought on their fair share of big-name transfers on this side of the ball, at every level of the defense.

The defensive front offers plenty of experience, but is short on star power. Elijah Chatman and DeVere Levelston are two holdovers who have played aplenty at SMU and proven to be capable pieces. Chatman in particular has proven himself to an elite run stopper, but is he ready to take on more of a leadership role this fall?

Of course, there are also transfers to watch here who could elevate the unit. Jordan Miller and Elijah Roberts are two more Miami transplants aiming for a fresh start in Dallas. Miller has played a bunch and proven to be rock-solid, likely to start alongside Chatman from Day One. Roberts is more of an interesting case, a high-upside edge rusher who never was able to reach his peak with the Hurricanes. Perhaps a change of scenery is exactly what he needs to achieve the breakthrough. There's also Stephon Wright, a former Arizona State transfer that figures to fill into the rotation somewhere. It's Wright's second year in the program, but he was held back by injury in 2022.

Considering SMU ranked 120th in the country in rush defense a year ago, allowing over 200 yards per game, there's pressure on this linebacker corps to step up. They were pushed around too easily by opposing offenses a year ago and now lose their star, Isaac Slade-Matauita. 

Senior Nelson Paul will reprise his defensive end/outside linebacker spot, the "Bandit" position. He's proven to be one of the team's premier defenders, but it will be interesting to see if there's another level he can hit in 2023. He'll be flanked by yet another pair of transfers in JaQwondis Burns and Ahmad Walker, while freshman Alex Kilgore also is likely to see snaps. Burns hails from Minnesota, while Walker followed Symons from his former post at Liberty. Walker has proven to be a real playmaker at the middle linebacker spot, but his run-stopping ability will be the most important addition to this Mustang defense.

The secondary was the strength of the defense a season ago, but it wasn't exactly a lockdown group, either. They finished 73rd nationally, allowing 227 yards per game, but struggled against some of the top competition on their schedule. This group loses some important pieces, but is hopeful that reloading with even more former Power Five transfers could end up leading to an improvement.

Seniors Brandon Crossley and Bryan Massey are veteran pieces who should play a crucial leadership role on this defense. Crossley, who began his career at Colorado State, is set to play the nickel once again, and is arguably the team's top playmaker on this side of the ball. Massey is hoping to become more of a force on this end, as he originally made a name for himself on special teams. He'll battle for snaps at free safety, with Stanford transfer Jonathan McGill also likely to factor in.

Cornerback is a concern, as a lack of depth could put SMU in a bad position later on in the year. They're likely to rely on several transfers here, namely Charles Woods and Chris Megginson, both grad transfers. Woods is on his third school, spending time at both Illinois State and West Virginia, while Megginson reunites with Symons after playing several seasons at Liberty. 

The Mustangs do not have to be shutdown on this side of the ball to achieve their goals, but they do need some improvement. The program may be acclimated to winning shootouts, but a spotty defense won't make things any easier, especially considering they will have to go on the road to both Oklahoma and TCU in the month of September.

Special Teams: There's reason to feel good about special teams, as just about every important piece returns. Collin Rogers proved to have an accurate leg in 2022, knocking 16 of 20 field goals, and will once again man placekicking duties, while punter Ryan Bujcevski gives the Mustangs an upper hand in the field position battle. In the return game, expect Kerley, Massey, and junior Roderick Daniels Jr. all to be featured heavily.

Bottom Line

After four straight bowl trips to conclude their time in the C-USA, SMU's ascension to the American Athletic coincided with the downfall of the June Jones era. After a few lean years, the program has generally been one of the strongest in the American, and now have a golden opportunity. With Cincinnati, UCF, and Houston all moving on to the Big 12, the Mustangs have the makeup to be the new power player in the league. Lashlee and staff don't seem to have shied away from it; instead, they've built "Miami West" by bringing in a bunch of former Hurricanes and becoming a shelter for Power Five transfers that didn't pan out at their original destinations. It's an understandable strategy, but one that doesn't come without risk. You always wonder how a team is going to gel, essentially one that has been part of such a roster overhaul following the departure Sonny Dykes. Yet, there's no question the Mustangs are going to put up points either way, and if the defense takes even a small step forward, there's a lot of reason to believe in this team. Road trips to Oklahoma and TCU may be daunting, but the schedule actually works out very much in SMU's favor. They avoid regular season meetings with two of the other AAC heavyweights, Tulane and UTSA, the major reason why their pick in this conference and a serious contender for a New Year's Six Bowl.

Program Profile

Coaching Staff

There were some understandable growing pains for Rhett Lashlee in Year One at the helm, as the 40-year old experienced his first taste of being head coach. Lashlee has been a fast riser in the coaching game, taking advantage of his relationship with Gus Malzahn to earn the Auburn OC job in 2013. Since, he's moved around as an offensive coordinator, including two years at SMU under Sonny Dykes, before earning the head coaching gig. The offensive coordinators will be Casey Woods and Jonathan Brewer; Woods also leads the TE room, while Brewer is the QB coach. On defense, Scott Symons is heading into his second year leading this unit. Prior to his time at SMU, Symons held the same role at Liberty, and crossed paths briefly with Lashlee during their time at Arkansas State over a decade ago.

Recruiting Breakdown

It's obvious Lashlee and this staff are putting a major emphasis on the transfer portal, but that doesn't mean they've completely ignored the high school recruiting game. They landed one of the better classes in the Group of Five, buoyed by linebacker Alex Kilgore, a likely instant contributor. Kilgore is a twitchy athlete who also starred in track and field. Alongside him, two other Texas natives lead the charge in defensive linemen Daemian Wimberly and Jaxson Lavender. Lavender is an interesting addition, a 5'9" burner who should be a fun watch in an up-tempo, aggressive Lashlee offense. Another receiver to watch is three-star Lonnie Johnson III, who had a bunch of interest in the state of Texas and around the Southwest but was a nice get for this staff.

2023 Schedule Analysis

Former Conference USA foes clash in SMU's opener, as the Mustangs welcome Louisiana Tech to Dallas. It should be an interesting appetizer for the Mustangs; Louisiana Tech are unlikely to a bowl-caliber team, but former Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier should have them humming offensively. The season really gets started for SMU over the next three weeks, with road trips to Oklahoma and TCU determining just how high of a ceiling this SMU team has in 2023. Both should be good barometer tests for Lashlee and this program, and the "Iron Skillet" rivalry with TCU has been an interesting one in recent years, with the Mustangs winning two of the last three. A home game against Charlotte kicks off conference competition, but the great news? SMU avoids both Tulane and UTSA, widely expected to be the other two teams battling for the AAC crown. In fact, the entire league slate looks winnable, even if road games against East Carolina and Memphis could be tricky.

2023 X-Factor: Ahmad Walker, LB

The American Athletic may be a quarterback-centric league, but SMU is not going to get by unless their rush defense takes a major step forward in 2023. There's reason to believe it can, with the defensive line returning plenty of familiar faces, and the linebacker corps bringing back Nelson Paul and JaQwondis Burns. Yet, the X-factor for the team is likely to be a newcomer, Liberty transfer Ahmad Walker, who is ready to start at middle linebacker. Walker might not have come to college with the fanfare of other transfers now on the Mustangs, but he has been incredibly impressive over the last two seasons with the Flames. He's a fearless defender attacking the run, and don't be surprised if you see him rush the passer more than most at this position. If he can come in and stabilize this rush defense, SMU will feature a much improved defense and in turn, field a more formidable team.

Team Projections

Projected Record: 10-3 (6-2 AAC, Win AAC Championship Game)

Offensive MVP: WR Jordan Hudson

Defensive MVP: LB Nelson Paul

Impact Freshman: LB Alex Kilgore

Impact Transfer: LB Ahmad Walker

Breakout Player of the Year: QB Preston Stone

Five-Year Trend

College Football Preview 2023: 24. Oklahoma Sooners

Dillon Gabriel, Oklahoma

 24. Oklahoma Sooners

As the Sooners prepare for their SEC jump, the pressure is on for Brent Venables after a disastrous debut

2022 Review

Following a tumultuous offseason that saw both Lincoln Riley and Caleb Williams leave for the bright lights of LA, the hope around Norman was that new head man Brent Venables would deliver a sense of calm around the program. But instead, Sooner fans watched with horror as they suffered through their worst season since John Blake went 4-8 in 1997. Things started off fine and good; in fact, a 49-14 throttling of old Big 12 foe Nebraska seemed indicative of a team that still very much a national threat. That was followed by three consecutive losses, including a horrifying 49-0 shellacking at the hands of Red River rival Texas that sent the Sooners spiraling. They were able to salvage three more wins the rest of the way to earn bowl eligibility and actually gave Florida State a fight in the Cheez-It Bowl, but 6-7 was far from a ringing debut for Venables and the new staff. Instead of blowing it up, the Sooners will run back a team that looks very similar in 2023, hopeful that they've fixed the issues that made 2022 such a brutal watch.

2023 Outlook

Offense: Quarterback Dillon Gabriel and offensive coordinator Jeff Lebby have a relationship that can be traced back to their days together at UCF, and are now hoping for a grand finale at Oklahoma in 2023. Gabriel was productive during his first season in Norman, tossing for 3,168 yards and 25 touchdowns, but his health has been a regular concern throughout his collegiate career. There's no doubting his ability to put up numbers when he was on the field, but the Sooners absolutely need him to stay healthy if they want to contend for a Big 12 Title.

Nick Evers has moved on and despite the return of Davis Belville, expect true freshman Jackson Arnold to emerge as the clear No. 2 behind Gabriel. Arnold is clearly the quarterback of the future here, but OU would certainly hope for him to wait behind Gabriel and learn for one more year.

Eric Gray is officially in the NFL, leaving feature back duties to either Jovantae Barnes or Gavin Sawchuk. Gray is a huge loss, taking his 1,366 yards with him, but the Sooners are hopeful that the young tandem of Barnes and Sawchuk can grow up fast. Barnes ran for 519 yards in a support role a season ago, but Sawchuk may have the higher ceiling. Expect both to see a heavy dose of action, with Barnes likely to start the season as the No. 1 guy.

Receiver is the position group I'm watching the closest in fall camp for this Sooner offense. Simply put, Oklahoma has not had the weapons there that they once churned out during the peak of the Riley era. There is still plenty of talent, but we will need to see more if the Sooners are to improve on their 32.8 points per game from 2022.

With Marvin Mims now gone, expect junior Jalil Farooq to take first cracks at being the alpha on the perimeter. Farooq isn't your prototypical wide out - he can be used in some creative ways - but he has a solid track record and proved to have a nice connection with Gabriel. Alongside him is veteran Drake Stoops and Michigan transfer Andrel Anthony, a particularly intriguing newcomer. Anthony flashed serious potential with the Wolverines, but it always felt like he was a bit hamstrung by their offense? Will he be able to break through in this wide-open Sooners attack?

There's a familiar name likely to take up starting duties at tight end, as Austin Stogner returns to Norman. Stogner spent three seasons with the Sooners from 2019-2021 but reunited with his former position coach, Shane Beamer, at South Carolina last fall. Now, he's made the decision to transfer back, and is set to take over a large role now that Brayden Willis is gone.

The offensive line appears to be in a fairly good spot, even as three starters depart. Seniors Andrew Raym and McKade Mettauer are proven commodities on the interior who have played their parts in many Big 12 battles. Newcomer Walter Rouse is expected to lock down the left tackle spot after four impressive seasons at Stanford. Rouse made 39 starts in his Cardinal career, including 10 during the 2022 campaign.

Offense was not the major problem for the Sooners last fall, although it still felt like a group that didn't quite live up to expectations. It's certainly not beneficial that Gray, Mims, and Willis are now all gone, bu there's still plenty of playmakers dotting the roster. With Gabriel leading the charge, I still suspect this group to be among the Big 12's best.

Defense: The defensive side of the ball has been Oklahoma's Achilles Heel for some time now, but the hope was that Venables would be able to engineer a quick turnaround. Not only did that not happen, the Sooners were even worse on this side of the ball than the latter half of the Riley years, ranking 99th nationally in scoring defense and 122nd in total defense. 

Considering the struggles, it was a bit surprising that Venables chose not to overhaul either the staff or the roster this past offseason. For better or worse, he will be running back a similar group to what they ran in 2022, although there are some young pieces that could be central figures in a turnaround.

The defensive front absolutely needs to be better. They were pushed around far too easily a season ago and seemed to be mailing it in by the end of the season. There are plenty of familiar faces, namely ends Ethan Downs and Reggie Grimes, but the Sooners better production from the interior of the unit. Downs was the team's most consistent defender last year, with 13.5 tackles for loss, and gives this team a fine starting point.

Senior defensive tackle Isaiah Coe looks like he'll reprise his role as starter after proving himself to be a quality run-stopper, but it will be interesting to see who starts next to him. A name to watch could be Notre Dame transfer Jacob Lacey, who never quite put it together with the Irish but played 37 games over four years in South Bend.

There's reason to believe in improvements from the linebacker corps, as the Sooners bring back tackling machine Danny Stutsman and landed one of the top names in the transfer portal, Dasan McCullough. Stutsman, who notched 125 tackles in 2022, should handle weakside linebacker, while McCullough slides into the other outside linebacker spot. McCullough, who was a Freshman All-America at Indiana, is a relentless pass rusher who provides the type of immediate impact this defense lacked a season ago.

Middle linebacker could be a make-or-break position for the Sooners in 2023. With Stutsman and McCullough, the Sooners don't need a superstar at this spot, but instead a capable defender that can provide a steady hand. Could that be sophomore Jaren Kanak? Kanak flashed at times last fall, including a dominant showing in the Nebraska game, but it felt like he was underutilized. If he's unable to, it's not a super reassuring cast of characters, with a pair of inexperienced options in Kip Lewis and Kobie McKenzie.

Oklahoma's secondary has had some well-documented struggles over the years, but this position group appears to be a strength entering 2023. Losing corner transfer Jaden Davis, who was a late addition to the portal in April, stings, but there's ample experience elsewhere.

Cornerback Woodi Washington has been a program staple since arriving on campus prior to the 2019 campaign and should lead as the top CB this fall. Washington has started 23 games over the course of his OU career and has proven to be a solid, yet unexciting, defensive back. With Davis gone, expect sophomore Gentry Williams to get an early crack at handling the other cornerback spot opposite of Washington.

It's a loaded safety room, led by junior Billy Bowman and senior Key Lawrence. Bowman has impressed during his first two seasons with the Sooners and seems on the verge of something special. Consistency is the next step for the ultra-versatile defensive back. Bowman and Lawrence are the returning name here, although the newcomers are worthy of attention. Reggie Pearson comes over from Texas Tech, while five-star true freshman Peyton Bowen could be in line for immediate action. Pearson is on his third collegiate team after beginning his career at Wisconsin, but should have no troubles manning the starting free safety spot.

Venables and staff did a solid job plugging holes on this defense, but talent was not the primary issue for this group a season ago. There seemed to be a lack of buy-in to this new staff and the attitude just wasn't there. Whether or not that changes will determine just how significant of a turnaround this defense can take in 2023.

Special Teams: The kicking game was a problem last fall, with Zach Schmit going 12 for 18 on the year. The Sooners are hopeful he can get back on track, as no other kicker on the roster offers anything significant in terms of experience. At punter, Michael Turk moves on, which means Oklahoma had to turn to the transfer portal. Central Michigan transfer Luke Elzinga was a solid pickup, but it's certainly not an upgrade here.

Bottom Line

Even as the Big 12 has shifted around them, Oklahoma has been a constant. Few programs in college football have been as consistent since the turn of the millennium as the Sooners, which is why it was so shocking to see last year's debacle. It puts extra pressure on Venables and this staff as they prepare for their Big 12 swan song, but they appear up for the challenge. There are still holes on the roster, but the Sooners did a fine job filling in gaps through the portal, and they're still a force to be reckoned with in high school recruiting. With plenty of experience back on both sides of the ball, and a veteran quarterback leading the way, Oklahoma has the looks of a team ready to rebound, at least on paper. However, as we gear up for the weirdest Big 12 season in memory, one with 14 teams looking to bring home a conference title, predicting anything with confidence in this conference feels like a lost cause.

Program Profile

Coaching Staff

Despite being a fixture on the college football coaching scene since the 1990s, this is Brent Venables first head coaching job. He knows the program well, previously serving as associate head coach and defensive coordinator from 2004-2011. But, it will be interesting to see how he responds to the adversity he faced last year and how he preps for their jump to the SEC. The coordinators are Jeff Lebby on offense and Ted Roof on defense. Lebby is a Sooner alum who has been a fast riser through the coaching ranks and parlayed success with Lane Kiffin at Ole Miss into this position. Roof, on the other hand, has been a longtime journeyman throughout college football coaching. He's had stop after stop as linebacker coach or defensive coordinator throughout the Southeast, but his only head coaching experience was a frightful run at Duke, where he went 6-45. As important as Lebby is to this Oklahoma offense, the return of O-Line coach Bill Bedenbaugh may be even more crucial. Bedenbaugh has been with the Sooners since 2013 and has been the architect of some truly elite offensive fronts.

Recruiting Breakdown

The on-field product may not have been what was hoped, but Brent Venables and this staff deserve a ton of credit for their work on the recruiting trail. They went toe-to-toe with some of the sport's recruiting superpowers, finishing with the 4th-ranked group in the Class of 2023. There are a trio of five-stars that bulk up the overall quality of the group. Quarterback Jackson Arnold is the future of the program, a gunslinger from Denton, Texas. Then, there's the defenders, relentless edge rusher Adepoju Adebawore and safety Peyton Bowen. Bowen and Arnold were actually high school teammates, but Bowen's commitment came as a bit of a surprise. He was a late flip to the Sooners, after committing to both Notre Dame and Oregon beforehand. Other names to watch in this Class include 6'5", 315-pound tackle Caden Green and well-built linebacker Samuel Omosigho. Overall, this group has a much different feel than what Lincoln Riley and the previous staff were bringing in. It's clear that this new staff understands the type of athletes they're going to need to compete in the SEC and are adjusting accordingly.

2023 Schedule Analysis

Oklahoma has a very good shot to roll through their non-conference slate, which includes Arkansas State, SMU, and Tulsa. Of that trio, SMU feels like the toughest challenge to me, and the Sooners get them in Norman. After that, the Big 12 slate begins with a road trip to Cincinnati, then a tune-up against Iowa State before the Red River Showdown on October 7. You better believe this entire team will be tuned up for that one after the disastrous showing last fall. The schedule the rest of the way is manageable, although the three road games could all be tricky. Kansas is certainly no pushover, Oklahoma will travel to Stillwater for what may be the final "Bedlam" game of all-time, and then have to go to Provo to clash with BYU in mid-November. 

2023 X-Factor: Jalil Farooq, WR

With Lebby and Dillon Gabriel at the controls, Oklahoma's offense is likely to put up points no matter what. Yet, the offensive ceiling will be capped if they can't find a new group of weapons to open things up on the perimeter. There's plenty of talent on the outside, but the Sooners are lacking a true No. 1 guy that can strike fear into opposing offenses. That may end up being Michigan transfer Andrel Anthony, but the hope is that holdover Jalil Farooq can continue his development and put together a big 2023 campaign. After a quiet 2021, his first on campus, Farooq went for 466 yards on 37 receptions last season and also caught five touchdowns. With Marvin Mims gone, is he now ready for even larger things? The slippery wide out can break things open in a hurry, but developing consistency will be key. 

Team Projections

Projected Record: 8-4 (6-3 Big 12)

Offensive MVP: QB Dillon Gabriel

Defensive MVP: S Billy Bowman

Impact Freshman: S Peyton Bowen

Impact Transfer: OT Walter Rouse

Breakout Player of the Year: WR Andrel Anthony

Five-Year Trend

NBA Mock Draft 2023: Edition 2

Scoot Henderson to Portland

1. San Antonio Spurs

Victor Wembanyama, F, France

No matter what happens over the next several weeks, there's no doubting which direction San Antonio will go in with the No. 1 selection. Winning the lottery and securing the services of Victor Wembanyama was a franchise-changing event for the Spurs, who seemed to be floundering after the success of the early to mid-2010s. Considering the last two big men who went No. 1 overall to the Spurs was David Robinson and Tim Duncan, it feels like an ideal fit for him, too.

2. Charlotte Hornets

Brandon Miller, F, Alabama

This year's draft really begins with the second pick, where the Hornets will essentially be deciding between Brandon Miller and Scoot Henderson. Henderson is firmly entrenched at No. 2 on my big board, and I don't think the gap between him and Wembanyama is as large as some seem to think. Yet, I worry about his fit next to La'Melo Ball and feel like Brandon Miller makes more sense given Charlotte's current roster composition.

3. Portland Trail Blazers

Scoot Henderson, G, G League Ignite

Portland is a team to keep a close eye on over the summer. Damian Lillard continues to play his heart out, but the rest of the roster is extremely underwhelming. Is it time for the Blazers to trade "Dame" and usher in a new era? Lillard is 32 after all, and has begun to show signs of wear and tear. If Portland does choose to move on, Scoot Henderson would be the ideal selection, an explosive combo guard who reminds me of a younger Russell Westbrook.

4. Houston Rockets

Amen Thompson, G, Overtime Elite

Amen Thompson is a complete mystery to wide swaths of the basketball public, but NBA folks adore him. The 6'7" guard has elite two-way potential and is going to deliver immediate playmaking ability, even if other parts of his game need to round out. He's worth the risk for Houston, who could another piece to energize a mediocre backcourt.

5. Detroit Pistons

Jarace Walker, F, Houston

Detroit was the big loser of this year's lottery, dropping all the way to the fifth pick. Even so, there's an opportunity to add a nice piece to go along with their young core of Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, and Jalen Duren. Houston's Jarace Walker isn't as flashy as others projected to go in the Top 10, but he's a well-rounded, versatile forward who brings an immediate defensive and rebounding presence.

6. Orlando Magic

Ausar Thompson, G, Overtime Elite

An even larger risk than his twin brother, Ausar Thompson isn't quite the playmaker, but he's displayed an improved shooting touch and defensive upside. While Amen is expected to be more ball-dominant at the next level, Ausar Thompson is best set up to be more of a complementary piece who can move off-ball. Orlando's backcourt is awfully crowded, but why not take a swing on someone with Thompson's potential?

7. Indiana Pacers

Cam Whitmore, G/F, Villanova

Indiana is a team that has some interesting pieces, such as Tyrese Haliburton and Myles Turner, but they lack any type of consistent scoring punch off the wing. Enter Cam Whitmore, who earned Big East Freshman of the Year honors during his lone season at Villanova. The high-flyer is a highlight reel waiting to happen, and I love the fluidity of his offensive game.

8. Washington Wizards

Anthony Black, G, Arkansas

An injury to five-star freshman Nick Smith allowed Anthony Black to show what he could do this past season for Arkansas and he did not disappoint. Black proved that he was excellent distributor who could immediately jolt an offense, even if his jump shot was streaky. At 6'5", he has ideal size for the modern NBA, and could be a nice fit alongside Brad Beal.

9. Utah Jazz

Gradey Dick, G/F, Kansas

I'm a huge fan of Gradey Dick and feel confident that whichever team snatches him up will be getting a player with a high floor who will have a long NBA career. In some ways, he reminds me a lot of Gordon Hayward when he was coming out of college, who went on to have a stellar career in Salt Lake City. The Jazz could be getting their next Hayward, although Dick has to improve drastically defensively to warrant this pick.

10. Dallas Mavericks

Nick Smith, G, Arkansas

The Kyrie Irving experiment appears to have failed miserably, but it's clear that Dallas is looking to add an explosive ball-handler to their backcourt that they can pair with Luka Doncic in the long-term. Nick Smith didn't have the season he was hoping for when he came to Arkansas, but he's a relentless, pacy guard who checks plenty of boxes as an NBA prospect.

11. Orlando Magic

Taylor Hendricks, F, UCF

Don't be surprised if Taylor Hendricks is a name that continues to shoot up draft boards. He was a pleasant surprise during his one season at UCF and has a very well-rounded game. Hendricks put up good shooting numbers with the Knights, but will also defend and protect the rim. He adds another high-upside piece to this Orlando frontcourt.

12. Oklahoma City Thunder

Keyonte George, G/F, Baylor

OKC continues to move on an upwards trajectory and will be adding a healthy Chet Holmgren to the mix in 2023-24. They should use this late lottery selection on a floor-spacer who can settle into more of a complementary role if needed. Although Keyonte George starred at Baylor, he feels more like a "3-and-D" guy at the next level, which would be just fine with the Thunder.

13. Toronto Raptors

Jordan Hawkins, G, UConn

One of the major pieces in UConn's National Title run, Jordan Hawkins now looks like he'll land somewhere in the late lottery. He's got a skilled offensive game and projects favorably as a lights-out shooter at the next level, even if his athleticism isn't at the level of others around him. He could help open a Toronto offense that needs all the help it can get.

14. New Orleans Pelicans

Jett Howard, G, Michigan

One of the better pure shooters in this Draft, Jett Howard would be a quality addition for a Pelicans team looking to open up space for Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson. The key for him will be improving on the defensive end, but the tools are there. He's 6'5" and can defend multiple spots, with decent enough lateral quickness to survive at the next level.

15. Atlanta Hawks

Cason Wallace, G, Kentucky

Cason Wallace is likely to land somewhere in the lottery, but could slide a bit depending on how the guards play out here. Wallace needs to improve his jump shot, but he's an elite perimeter defender that can get to the rim. He would be a nice change-of-pace for Atlanta either alongside or behind Trae Young.

16. Utah Jazz

Bilal Coulibaly, G/F, France

Looking for a dark horse prospect to buy in on? French wing Bilal Coulibably certainly fits the bill, a well-built playmaker who can play multiple different spots. His game will need refinement, but Utah seems like the perfect destination for him to hone his skills. He's worth the risk for the Jazz, who have enough draft selections this year that they can take a flier or two.

17. Los Angeles Lakers

Kobe Bufkin, G, Michigan

Kobe Bufkin was a pleasant surprise during the disappointing 2022-23 campaign for Michigan, showcasing a modern offensive game and superb shooting ability. He could be a bit undersized for a two-guard the way the NBA is moving, but he more than makes up for it with his quick jumper. The Lakers always need shooters, so this feels right.

18. Miami Heat

Leonard Miller, F, G League Ignite

Leonard Miller is a bit of an unknown commodity entering the 2023 NBA Draft, but the combo forward had an impressive season with the G League Ignite and now projects as a mid-first rounder. At 6'9" with a 7'2" wingspan he could handle a multitude of different roles for the Heat and is your prototypical "glue guy." The offense has been up-and-down, but the raw tools are there.

19. Golden State Warriors

Kris Murray, F, Iowa

Keegan Murray was one of the best rookies in the NBA this year and his younger brother, Kris, looks like a first-round lock. They have nearly identical builds and similar skillsets, although Kris is a tad less athletic than his older brother. Instead, he relies more on an old-school offensive game and although his defense isn't necessarily elite, he has "3-and-D" characteristics.

20. Houston Rockets

Dereck Lively, F/C, Duke

What's fascinating about the 2023 Draft is the lack of true big men that project to land in the first round. It's more guard and wing heavy than usual, which means a traditional big could rise up boards based on team need. That's good news for Dereck Lively, a talented seven-footer who had an underwhelming season with Duke in 2022-23.

21. Brooklyn Nets

Jalen Hood-Schifino, G, Indiana

The short-lived Kevin Durant/Kyrie Irving era in Brooklyn is officially over, leaving the Nets with a lack of scorers. Enter Jalen Hood-Schifino, a dynamic guard who has proven he can take over games when needed. Hood-Schifino is a crisp ball-handler and uses his body well, but the jumper is still frightfully inconsistent. He will have his fair share of dominant nights, but follow them up with his fair share of duds.

22. Brooklyn Nets

Rayan Rupert, G/F, France

Another French prospect to watch in this Draft is Rayan Rupert, a high-energy wing who seems to be moving up draft boards at the right time. He's got ideal size at 6'6" with a staggering 7'3" wingspan, perfect for getting in passing lanes and disrupting the rhythm of opponents. Yet, the offensive game is still far away from NBA levels, making him a high-risk, high-reward prospect.

23. Portland Trail Blazers

G.G. Jackson, F, South Carolina

Despite uneven shooting numbers on a bad South Carolina team, G.G. Jackson is set to land somewhere in the first round this June. He is still just 18 years old after reclassifying, so there's plenty of time for him to figure things out. And, there's no doubting his potential as a rim-runner who can fit numerous different roles with his blend of size and speed.

24. Sacramento Kings

Dariq Whitehead, G/F, Duke

Few freshmen entered this college basketball season with as much hype as Dariq Whitehead, but he has unable to live up to those lofty expectations. Injuries were a factor, but Whitehead still has a ways to go offensively and needs to completely rework his jumper. Even so, you he oozes potential, and is worth the risk for a playoff contender like the Kings in the late first.

25. Memphis Grizzlies

Brandin Podziemski, G, Santa Clara

One of the big winners from this year's NBA Draft Combine, Santa Clara's Brandin Podziemski has worked his way into first round consideration. Podziemski doesn't jump out at you athletically the way other guards do in this Draft, but he's an elite shooter with a crafty offensive game. He should be a nice change-of-pace behind Ja Morant, or could provide spacing help alongside him at the two.

26. Indiana Pacers

Brice Sensabaugh, G/F, Ohio State

The Pacers can stay inside the Midwest and land a proven scorer in Brice Sensabaugh, who was one of the few bright spots for Ohio State this winter. Sensabaugh has a nice jumper and elite finishing ability, although you wonder if he has the athleticism and quickness to survive against NBA wings.

27. Charlotte Hornets

Noah Clowney, F, Alabama

This late in the first round, you're either drafting purely off potential or hoping one of these guys can find a niche they can excel at in the NBA. That could be the case for Alabama's Noah Clowney, who projects favorably as a stretch four that can provide efficient minutes off the bench. The comparisons to Bobby Portis feel right, but Clowney seems a bit more versatile.

28. Utah Jazz

Olivier Maxence-Prosper, F, Marquette

There was some question whether Olivier Maxence-Prosper would return to school, but the Marquette product is officially locked in, and seems to be generating first round buzz. He's a high-flyer that will provide instant energy on whichever NBA team he lands on. I love his defensive upside too; he'll be able to defend multiple positions and can be a real pest when needed.

29. Indiana Pacers

Trayce Jackson-Davis, F, Indiana

There's definitely some bias playing into this mock selection, but I adore the idea of the Pacers drafting Hoosier legend Trayce Jackson-Davis. As a 23-year old, Jackson-Davis isn't sniffing the lottery, but he offers plenty of value in the late first round. He's got tremendous touch around the rim and elite athleticism, and you saw how much he grew as a leader during his time at Indiana.

30. Los Angeles Clippers

Maxwell Lewis, G/F, Pepperdine

There's a good chance Maxwell Lewis goes higher than this, but depending on how things shake out, he may sneak into the late first or early second. If so, the Clippers will jump on the opportunity to keep him in the state of California and add a good-sized, rangy wing who has improved rapidly in the collegiate ranks.