Friday, August 27, 2021

Complete College Football Preview 2021

Chris Olave, Ohio State


 Top 25

1. Oklahoma Sooners -- With Heisman favorite Spencer Rattler running the offense and the best defense of the Lincoln Riley era, it's time for Oklahoma's first National Title in two decades.

2. Alabama Crimson Tide -- The usual reloading continues apace in Tuscaloosa. New QB Bryce Young will lead an explosive offense and the defense will be the best it's been in years.

3. Georgia Bulldogs -- An extremely favorable schedule and the most talented starting QB of the Kirby Smart era push the Bulldogs back to the College Football Playoff.

4. Ohio State Buckeyes -- The nation's best receiver corps keeps the Buckeyes atop the Big Ten and delivers Ryan Day his third Playoff berth in as many seasons.

5. Clemson Tigers -- Trevor Lawrence and Travis Etienne may depart, but D.J. Uiagalelei is ready to become Clemson's next superstar signal-caller.

6. Oregon Ducks -- Mario Cristobal and staff continue to recruit and develop talent at a Playoff level, and both have sides of the ball are loaded with experience in 2021.

7. Iowa State Cyclones -- The return of workhorse tailback Breece Hall and basically the entire defense should deliver Iowa State's best season in program history.

8. Cincinnati Bearcats -- A veteran QB, smothering defense, and elite coaching staff once again make Cincinnati the Group of Five's favorite.

9. Notre Dame Fighting Irish -- The two-headed monster of Kyren Williams & Chris Tyree lead the ND offense, while Jim Thorpe Award contender Kyle Hamilton leads a new-look defense.

10. North Carolina Tar Heels -- QB Sam Howell is considered a Heisman favorite, and Mack Brown's work on the recruiting trail should continue to pay dividends.

11. Texas A&M Aggies -- Jimbo Fisher has upped the talent level in College Station and the Aggies have the pieces in place to make another CFB Playoff run.

12. USC Trojans -- The most talented team in the Pac-12, USC also brings back a stud QB in Kedon Slovis. Will Clay Helton and this staff be able to put it all together and contend for a Playoff bid?

13. Iowa Hawkeyes -- Ty Goodson is a budding superstar in the Hawkeye backfield, and the usual stout defense makes Iowa the Big Ten West favorite.

14. Florida Gators -- Even though the offense was hit hard by losses over the off-season, Dan Mullen still has the ingredients to keep Florida in the SEC East mix.

15. Miami Hurricanes -- A season-opening meeting with Alabama serves as an important measuring stick for a Miami program that made serious strides in 2020.

16. Penn State Nittany Lions -- James Franklin and staff are looking to put 2020 behind them. This team is too talented and the program too well-built not be in the Big Ten East hunt.

17. Wisconsin Badgers -- Jalen Berger appears to be the next great Wisconsin tailback and the Badgers boast the best linebacker corps in the country.

18. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -- With a veteran-laden roster and a skilled quarterback, Louisiana is hopeful to crash to the New Year's Six party.

19. Indiana Hoosiers -- 2020's success was not merely an aberration for Tom Allen's program; they'll be a tough out in the East once again. 

20. Arizona State Sun Devils -- Even as NCAA investigation looms, Arizona State has the raw talent to win the Pac-12 South.

21. Liberty Flames -- Malik Willis may be the nation's most exciting quarterback, and just about everybody returns defensively for Hugh Freeze.

22. Texas Longhorns -- Steve Sarkisian's job will be made a lot easier with the expected breakout of back Bijan Robinson, who is ready for a monster sophomore season in Austin.

23. Washington Huskies -- Jimmy Lake gets his first real crack at the Washington job, and a loaded defense should be able to guide them to Pac-12 North contention.

24. LSU Tigers -- LSU is eager to prove that 2019 was not a one-hit wonder. Having the nation's best cornerback combo, Derek Stingley and Eli Ricks, certainly helps.

25. TCU Horned Frogs -- The Horned Frogs have a veteran QB, plenty of talent at the skill positions, and a good enough secondary to be a dark horse Big 12 Title threat.

Just Missed the Cut

Utah Utes

Ole Miss Rebels

Boston College Eagles

SMU Mustangs

Kentucky Wildcats


Conference Projections

ACC

Atlantic 

1. Clemson Tigers (12-1, 9-0 ACC)

2. Boston College Eagles (9-3, 5-3 ACC)

3. NC State Wolfpack (8-4, 4-4 ACC)

4. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (7-5, 4-4 ACC)

5. Florida State Seminoles (5-7, 3-5 ACC)

6. Louisville Cardinals (6-6, 3-5 ACC)

7. Syracuse Orange (3-9, 1-7 ACC)

Coastal

1. North Carolina Tar Heels (10-3, 7-2 ACC)

2. Miami Hurricanes (9-3, 6-2 ACC)

3. Pittsburgh Panthers (7-5, 4-4 ACC)

4. Virginia Cavaliers (6-6, 4-4 ACC)

5. Virginia Tech Hokies (5-7, 3-5 ACC)

6. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (4-8, 2-6 ACC)

7. Duke Blue Devils (4-8, 1-7 ACC)

ACC Championship: Clemson over North Carolina


Big Ten

East

1. Ohio State Buckeyes (13-0, 10-0 Big Ten)

2. Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3, 6-3 Big Ten)

3. Indiana Hoosiers (8-4, 6-3 Big Ten)

4. Michigan Wolverines (8-4, 5-4 Big Ten)

5. Maryland Terrapins (6-6, 3-6 Big Ten)

6. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-8, 1-8 Big Ten)

7. Michigan State Spartans (3-9, 1-8 Big Ten)

West

1. Iowa Hawkeyes (10-3, 8-2 Big Ten)

2. Wisconsin Badgers (9-3, 7-2 Big Ten)

3. Northwestern Wildcats (8-4, 5-4 Big Ten)

4. Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-5, 4-5 Big Ten)

5. Illinois Fighting Illini (6-6, 4-5 Big Ten)

6. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-8, 2-7 Big Ten)

7. Purdue Boilermakers (4-8, 2-7 Big Ten)

Big Ten Championship: Ohio State over Iowa


Big 12

1. Oklahoma Sooners (13-0, 10-0 Big 12)

2. Iowa State Cyclones (11-2, 8-2 Big 12)

3. Texas Longhorns (8-4, 6-3 Big 12)

4. TCU Horned Frogs (8-4, 5-4 Big 12)

5. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-5, 5-4 Big 12)

6. Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-6, 4-5 Big 12)

7. Kansas State Wildcats (6-6, 4-5 Big 12)

8. Baylor Bears (5-7, 2-7 Big 12)

9. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-7, 2-7 Big 12)

10. Kansas Jayhawks (1-11, 0-9 Big 12)

Big 12 Championship Game: Oklahoma over Iowa State


Pac-12

North

1. Oregon Ducks (11-2, 9-1 Pac-12)

2. Washington Huskies (9-3, 7-2 Pac-12)

3. Stanford Cardinal (7-5, 5-4 Pac-12)

4. California Golden Bears (7-5, 5-4 Pac-12)

5. Oregon State Beavers (5-7, 3-6 Pac-12)

6. Washington State Cougars (4-8, 1-8 Pac-12)

South

1. USC Trojans (10-3, 7-3 Pac-12)

2. Arizona State Sun Devils (9-3, 6-3 Pac-12)

3. Utah Utes (8-4, 5-4 Pac-12)

4. UCLA Bruins (6-6, 4-5 Pac-12)

5. Colorado Buffaloes (4-8, 3-6 Pac-12)

6. Arizona Wildcats (2-10, 0-9 Pac-12)

Pac-12 Championship: Oregon over USC


SEC

East

1. Georgia Bulldogs (12-1, 8-1 SEC)

2. Florida Gators (9-3, 5-3 SEC)

3. Kentucky Wildcats (8-4, 5-3 SEC)

4. Missouri Tigers (8-4, 5-3 SEC)

5. Tennessee Volunteers (5-7, 2-6 SEC)

6. South Carolina Gamecocks (4-8, 1-7 SEC)

7. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-9, 0-8 SEC)

West

1. Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1, 8-1 SEC)

2. Texas A&M Aggies (10-2, 6-2 SEC)

3. LSU Tigers (9-3, 5-3 SEC)

4. Ole Miss Rebels (8-4, 5-3 SEC)

5. Auburn Tigers (7-5, 4-4 SEC)

6. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-7, 2-6 SEC)

7. Arkansas Razorbacks (5-7, 1-7 SEC)

SEC Championship Game: Alabama over Georgia


Award Predictions

Biletnikoff: Marvin Mims, Oklahoma (winner), Garrett Wilson, Ohio State (finalist), Jalen Tolbert, South Alabama (finalist)

Butkus: Christian Harris, Alabama (winner), Jack Sanborn, Wisconsin (finalist), Nakobe Dean, Georgia (finalist)

Davey O'Brien: J.T. Daniels, Georgia (winner), Spencer Rattler, Oklahoma (finalist), Malik Willis, Liberty (finalist)

Doak Walker: Isaiah Spiller, Texas A&M (winner), Mohamed Ibrahim, Minnesota (finalist), Ty Goodson, Iowa (finalist)

Groza: Anders Carlson, Auburn (winner), Cameron Dicker, Texas (finalist), Will Reichard, Alabama (finalist)

Jim Thorpe: Derek Stingley, LSU (winner), Malachi Moore, Alabama (finalist), Kyle Hamilton, Notre Dame (finalist)

John Mackey: Michael Mayer, Notre Dame (winner), Jake Ferguson, Wisconsin (finalist), Jahleel Billingsley, Alabama (finalist)

Outland: Kenyon Green, Texas A&M (winner), Tyrese Robinson, Oklahoma (finalist), Jamaree Salyer, Georgia (finalist)

Ray Guy: Jake Camarda, Georgia (winner), Race Porter, Washington (finalist), Tory Taylor, Iowa (finalist)

Rimington: Tyler Linderbaum, Iowa (winner), Nick Brahms, Auburn (finalist), Nathan Eldridge, Oregon State (finalist)


Coach of the Year: Kirby Smart, Georgia (winner), Mario Cristobal, Oregon (finalist), Luke Fickell, Cincinnati

Broyles Award: Alex Grinch, Oklahoma DC (winner), Pete Golding, Alabama DC (finalist), Jeff Lebby, Ole Miss OC (finalist)


Heisman Trophy: J.T. Daniels, Georgia QB (winner), Malik Willis, Liberty QB (finalist), Isaiah Spiller, Texas A&M RB (finalist), Derek Stingley, LSU CB (finalist)


Playoff Prediction

1 Oklahoma over 4 Ohio State

2 Alabama over 3 Georgia

National Championship: 1 Oklahoma over 2 Alabama

Thursday, August 26, 2021

College Football Preview 2021: 1. Oklahoma Sooners

Spencer Rattler, Oklahoma

 

1. Oklahoma Sooners

With a Heisman favorite running the offense and the best defense since Lincoln Riley has gotten here, Oklahoma is my National Title pick


2020 Review
By normal Oklahoma standards, the start of 2020 was completely uncharacteristic. After blowing out Missouri State to get things going, the Sooners were shocked by Kansas State for the second year in a row, a team coming off a loss to Sun Belt foe Arkansas State. One week later, Oklahoma came up short in a chaotic night game in Ames, heading into the Red River Showdown with Texas at 1-2. The Sooners found a way to overcome their chief rivals in four overtimes, which ended up being the motivator they needed to turn the season around. OU would win their next seven games, got vengeance against Iowa State in the Big 12 Championship Game and capped it all off by blowing out Florida in the Cotton Bowl. The 9-2 record was far from perfect, but showed just how much staying power the program has under Lincoln Riley. They suffered through serious adversity in the form of opt-outs and injuries and still took home their sixth consecutive Big 12 Title. This season, expect not only a seventh conference crown to be the goal, but even loftier heights.

2021 Outlook
Offense: Following up the run of quarterbacks Baker Mayfield, Kyler Murray, and Jalen Hurts was going to be a lot to ask out of any young signal-caller. Naturally, Spencer Rattler had notable growing pains as he adjusted to his leading role in the Sooner offense, but by the end of 2020 he was playing just about as well as anyone in the nation.

Now, Rattler enters 2021 as one of the premier stars at the game's most important position. He's hoping to show the natural arm talent and athleticism that made him a highly touted prospect in the first place, while also proving he has improved as a decision-maker and game manager. Right now, he has the best odds of anybody in the country to be the 2021 Heisman Trophy winner and it wouldn't be a shock at all to see him finish up in New York. 

Rattler should also be helped out by the fact that Oklahoma's skill positions are in store for a major upgrade this fall. That starts at tailback, where Rhamondre Stevenson led the way with a fairly pedestrian 665 yards and seven scores. Stevenson is gone, but coming back is junior Kennedy Brooks, who opted out in 2020. Brooks totaled 1,011 yards in 2019 before the opt-out and immediately becomes one of the best running backs in the Big 12. He is joined by talented newcomer Eric Gray, who transferred from Tennessee following the firing of Jeremy Pruitt. Gray had over 1,000 yards of total offense on a terrible Tennessee team in 2020, and could be in store for even greater things in this dynamic OU system. Those two ensure that a group that was underwhelming last year are now a clear strength for the Sooners.

The wide receiver position was also not up to their usual stuff last fall. Oklahoma lost three of their top four pass-catchers from the 2019 team and then potential breakout star Jadon Haselwood tore his ACL in the spring. The lack of proven targets forced untested youngsters into prime positions in this offense, including Marvin Mims and Drake Stoops, Bob's son. Mims ended up being quite the revelation, as he led the team with 37 catches for 610 yards. He now enters 2021 as one of the best receivers in the entire country, while Stoops, Theo Wease, and a healthy Haselwood are also returning. Wease totaled 530 yards in 2020 and after missing most of the spring, is expected to be good to go for the season opener at Tulane. 

Oklahoma is also very excited about several newcomers to the receiver corps that could step into large roles. Mike Woods comes over from Arkansas after totaling 1,248 yards in three seasons in Fayetteville, including 619 last season. He's joined by a pair of notable freshmen in Mario Williams and Cody Jackson, both who came in during the spring. Williams should play a unique role as a versatile playmaker who can play in the slot, but also shift outside if necessary. He's only 5'9", 165 pounds but is an absolute demon in the open field. Opposing defenses shudder to think about all the different ways Riley and this OU offense can utilize him.

Tight end is an underrated aspect of Oklahoma's offense, but sophomore Austin Stogner was an All-Big 12 contributor in 2020 after tallying 422 yards. He's the clear-cut starter this fall, but junior Jeremiah Hall is also going to see the field. He will play the tight end/H-back role in this offense and is sure to feature in some creative ways.

Offensive line coach Bill Bedenbaugh continues to do an excellent job with this unit, which has three starters back for 2021. The two departures are significant, in longtime center Creed Humphrey and tackle Adrian Ealy, but there's still enough for this position group to be a real strength this fall. Guards Tyrese Robinson and Marquis Hayes should engineer a potent rushing attack, while veteran Erik Swenson will handle one of the tackle spots. Expect two former Power Five transfers, UCLA's Chris Murray and Tennessee's Wanya Morris, to also factor in somewhere. Morris started 19 games during his time in Knoxville and while he's most natural at right tackle, he could theoretically slide elsewhere as needed.

Even with depleted skill positions and a young QB, Oklahoma averaged nearly 500 yards per game and 43 points per game in 2020. With Rattler set for a big year and Brooks back at tailback, the expectation is for those numbers to get even better this year. It wouldn't shock me at all if this ends up being the best offense in America in 2021.

Defense: The rebuilding job Riley and defensive coordinator Alex Grinch continue defensively appears to be paying off. The Sooners put up their best defensive numbers in years last season, and with nine starters back, this unit may end up being a significant strength overall.

The Sooner pass rush continues to improve, and may now be the best in the Big 12 in 2021. While defensive end Ronnie Perkins departed for the NFL, just about everyone else is back in Norman. That includes defensive tackle Jalen Redmond, who totaled 6.5 sacks in 2019 but opted out last year. Veterans Isaiah Thomas and Perrion Winfrey return after All-Conference performances a season ago. Winfrey plays a key role in run support at the nose guard spot, while Thomas had 7.5 sacks in 2020. 

At linebacker, Nik Bonitto is likely to be a serious contender for the Butkus Award. Playing at the hybrid "Rush" position, he's a ferocious competitor who lives in opponent's backfields. He led the team with nine sacks last season and should once again be unleashed regularly. He's the type of player Grinch loves on his defenses, as slightly undersized for his position, but fast and long. Also returning to the linebacker corps is Brian Asamoah and David Ugwoegbu. Asamoah stepped up due to a season-ending injury to Caleb Kelly and led the Sooners in tackles. With Kelly set to return at 100 percent, the pair might end up splitting reps at the position this year. Depth is of no concern here either, with names like DaShaun White and Marcus Stripling proving they can come in and contribute, even as rotational pieces.

The real test for Oklahoma's improved defense will be in the secondary. The pass defense has been atrocious throughout most of the Riley era, but it showed significant improvement a season ago. Cornerbacks Tre Brown and Tre Norwood are both now in the NFL, but neither are overwhelming losses for this unit. Jaden Davis and Woodi Washington are likely to take over at the corner spots and while both have struggled with consistency, they have obvious upside. Davis had 33 tackles as a true freshman in 2019 but didn't make the sort of jump many people expected in 2020. It could all come together for him a year later.

At safety, veterans Delarrin Turner-Yell and Pat Fields are both returning. Turner-Yell and Fields were No. 2 and 3 on the team in tackles, but Fields may be pushed for a starting spot by highly touted transfer Key Lawrence, yet another piece arriving from Tennessee. Lawrence is not super experienced but his size and range is something OU has desperately needed in this secondary for years. Nickelback is another spot to keep an eye on as the season unfolds. Brendan Radley-Hiles was an incredibly talented but frustrating player during his time at Oklahoma. He transferred to Washington over the off-season, opening the door for redshirt freshman Jeremiah Criddel.

The hiring of Grinch and an emphasis on recruiting defensively has seriously challenged Oklahoma's outlook on this side of the ball. There is serious star power at all three levels and more depth and experience than at any point so far in the Riley tenure. With numerous other defenses rebuilding in the Big 12, this may end up being the best the league has to offer.

Special Teams:

Bottom Line: Since taking over for the legendary Bob Stoops, Lincoln Riley has preceded over five Big 12 Titles and three Playoff appearances. He's coached two Heisman Trophy winners and countless other NFL Draftees during that span, and has earned a reputation for some of the most exciting offenses in college football. However, the next step for Riley and the Sooner program is clear: not to just make the CFB Playoff, but to prove they can beat the elites once they get there. This looks like a team with the capability to do it, particularly when you consider Alabama, Clemson, and Ohio State are all breaking in new quarterbacks and other fresh faces. Not only does Oklahoma have a star QB of their own, they have a favorable schedule, and possibly their best defense in a long time. It all sets up perfectly for the Sooners to take home their first National Title since the turn of the millennium.


Further Breakdown
Team Projections
Projected Record: 13-0 (10-0 Big 12, Win Big 12 Championship Game)
Offensive MVP: QB Spencer Rattler
Defensive MVP: LB Nik Bonitto
Breakout Player of the Year: WR Jadon Haselwood
Impact Freshman: WR Mario Williams

Recruiting Breakdown
In addition to a dominant showing in the transfer portal over the off-season, Oklahoma landed the nation's 10th best recruiting class. The group is highlighted by five-star quarterback Caleb Williams, who will undoubtedly be the next in a long line of elite signal-callers coached by Lincoln Riley. Williams won't play much in 2021 unless catastrophic injury occurs, but he earned even more hype with a strong showing in the spring. Other big names in the group include defensive end Clayton Smith, wide out Mario Williams, and athlete Billy Bowman. Bowman is an extremely interesting prospect, a guy who could theoretically play both ways at some point in his collegiate career. He's been getting most of his work at the nickelback spot and could see playing time there now that Radley-Hiles is gone, but he played wide out throughout his high school career. One last name to highlight is four-star safety Jordan Mukes, who is still unpolished at this point in his career, but has impressive size at 6'4".

Five-Year Trend






Tuesday, August 24, 2021

College Football Preview 2021: 2. Alabama Crimson Tide

Bryce Young, Alabama

 

2. Alabama Crimson Tide

There will be the usual reloading in Tuscaloosa this fall, but another trip to the National Championship seems likely


2020 Review
After missing the College Football Playoff for the first time since its creation, Alabama responded with a vengeance in the wacky 2020 campaign. They went a flawless 13-0 and dominated their competition the entire year, with their closest game coming in the SEC Championship Game, a six-point victory over Florida. In addition, the Tide claimed their third Heisman winner of the Nick Saban era with wide out DeVonta Smith, Najee Harris took home the Doak Walker, and Mac Jones won the Davey O'Brien. In the weirdest college football season of our lifetimes, Alabama's dominance gave the sport a real sense of normalcy. 

2021 Outlook
Offense: The Tide offense will undergo a significant transition in 2021, as they replace their offensive coordinator, quarterback, running back, and several receivers. Former Houston Texans head coach Bill O'Brien will take over for Steve Sarkisian as offensive coordinator, hoping to oversee a successful "rebuild".

Mac Jones evolved into a Heisman finalist during his time at Alabama, but some around the program believe they may end up upgrading in the form of Bryce Young. Young was the top quarterback in the Class of 2020 and went on to play in nine games last season, throwing for 156 yards. He will undoubtedly need some time to acclimate to the new look 'Bama offense, but his athleticism and natural arm talent are already at higher levels than Jones. It wouldn't be surprising to see him put up All-SEC numbers right away, and even more could be in store.

At tailback, Alabama is likely to use more of a committee approach in 2021 after Harris operated as their workhorse for several seasons. Senior Brian Robinson Jr. is the veteran in the room, coming off a season in which he tallied 483 yards. He'll likely get first crack at being the feature guy, but expect Jase McClellan, Trey Sanders, Roydell Williams, and possibly even freshman Camar Wheaton to get carries. McClellan had 245 yards as a true freshman and can make plays as a receiver, while Sanders should be healthy again after missing most of 2020. Although Harris is clearly a significant loss, the committee should be able to come close to replicating his production based on talent alone.

DeVonta Smith likely would've been a first-rounder in the 2020 NFL Draft, but instead opted to stay one more season Tuscaloosa last year. It turned out to be the right decision, as he evolved into one of the most dominant receivers in recent college football history, with 1,856 yards and 23 touchdowns a season ago. His departure, along with Jaylen Waddle, leaves a hole at the top of the depth chart for the Tide receivers, but sophomore John Metchie looks capable of taking a leading role. Metchie stepped up when Waddle went down with an ankle injury and ended up with 55 receptions for 916 yards. He doesn't quite have the top-end speed of either Smith or Waddle, but is a physical wide out with a massive catch radius.

In addition to Metchie, the Tide are also counting on sophomore Slade Bolden, Ohio State transfer Jameson Williams, and several freshman to play large roles. Bolden has gotten usage as a Wildcat QB and has flashed upside as a receiver, while Williams was a major off-season acquisition. A huge spring from Agiye Hall earned him a lot of attention this fall, although fellow freshmen Christian Leary and Ja'Corey Brooks will also get opportunities.

With Miller Forristal also moving on after a solid final season with Alabama, it is Jaheel Billingsley's time at tight end. Billingsley plays more like another wide receiver than true tight end, with serious speed and downfield playmaking ability. With O'Brien's past affinity for tight ends, it wouldn't be shocking to see him become a feature part of this Tide offense. Sophomore Cameron Latu may also be in store for snaps as a backup after beginning his 'Bama career as a linebacker.

The offensive line isn't devoid of losses either, as Rimington Trophy winner Landon Dickerson and Outland Trophy winner Alex Leatherwood both move on. However, much like the other places on this offense, Alabama has enough talent and experience returning and should have players ready to step up. The anchors of the unit will be sophomore left tackle Evan Neal and guard Emil Ekiyor. Neal is an absolute behemoth, a 6'7", 360 pounder who has played primarily guard in his career, but is likely to kick to the outside this fall. The center spot will be in an interesting spot without Dickerson, but senior Chris Owens should be able to step in. He's played both center and tackle in his career and played in 11 games a season ago.

It will be nearly impossible for Alabama to replicate what last year's offense did, where they averaged nearly 49 points per game. However, O'Brien has the usual collection of star talent throughout this roster and enough proven commodities for this unit to still be near the top of the SEC.

Defense: After taking a slight backseat to the historical Tide offense last season, expect Alabama's defense to return to its elite form. Eight starters return to this unit and there's some tantalizing young talent just waiting to shine through.

Up front, the Tide lose second-rounder Christian Barmore, but the defensive line should still be stout. Veterans Phidarian Mathis, sophomore Justin Egbioge and LaBryan Ray should handle defensive end duties. Ray is still waiting on his long anticipated breakout after flashing serious potential over the years and it wouldn't be shocking if 2021 is the year for him. Up the middle, sophomore D.J. Dale returns, but don't be surprised if its Tim Smith who begins to get the attention. Smith played in ten games as a true freshman and looked more than capable of being a dominant interior force.

The linebacker corps was going to challenge as the best in the SEC, and that was before the off-season addition of Tennessee transfer Henry To'o To'o. To'o To'o started 22 games over the last two seasons in Knoxville and led the Volunteers in tackles last year. His addition is the very definition of the "rich getting richer".

To'o To'o is likely to start alongside middle linebacker Christian Harris and emerging outside linebacker Will Anderson. Harris was an All-SEC 'backer in 2020 and is likely to continue the long tradition of elite Tide linebackers becoming high draft selections. However, Anderson may end up being the better player in the long-term, as he tallied seven sacks as a freshman last year. He's an explosive pass rusher looking to grow the other parts of his game this season. In addition to the starting trio, the Tide boast impressive depth at the position. Names like Christopher Allen and Shane Lee have performed admirably when they've seen the field, while young guys such as Demouy Kennedy and Drew Sanders are waiting for their chances. Sanders is a player I'm particularly high on, an Athlete coming out of high school who can be plugged in just about anywhere.

There is a significant loss in the secondary, as Patrick Surtain departs after putting together an impressive 'Bama career, which wrapped up with All-American honors. He leaves a vacated cornerback spot opposite of Josh Jobe, a multiyear starter who has proven he can be a productive defender. Jalyn Amour-Davis, who has played in 17 games the last two years, will likely get the first crack at the starting role, but don't be shocked if freshman Ga'Quincy "Kool-Aid" McKinstry takes over. Not only does he have one of the best nicknames in college football, McKinstry was rated as the top corner in the Class of 2021.

The safety and "Star" positions appear to be in great hands. Jordan Battle is expected to once again man the strong safety spot, while rangy junior Daniel Wright handles free safety. Battle finished third on the team in tackles in 2020 and also showed he could blitz when needed. At "Star" rising star Malachi Moore is ready to become a household name. He was All-SEC as a freshman a season ago, with six pass deflections and three interceptions. 

This has the chance to be the best Alabama defense we've seen in years, possibly even challenging the elite groups Nick Saban sent out when he first took over in Tuscaloosa. There's at least five to six players here who could clearly be All-Conference, if not more. That bodes well for coordinator Pete Golding, who could soon be in line for a head coaching job somewhere.

Special Teams: Placekicking has been the notorious Achilles Heel for Alabama teams of old, but Will Reichard has stabilized the position. He was perfect in 2020, going 14-14 on field goals, with a long of 52. However, punter may be a slight concern for the Tide as they enter the fall. Sam Johnson saw some action last year but is still somewhat inexperienced, meaning newcomer Jack Martin has a chance to come in and play right away. Martin had good numbers while at Troy, with a net average of 40.6.

Bottom Line: The Alabama dynasty doesn't appear to be slowing down anytime soon. In fact, Nick Saban has seemingly elevated the program in some ways, recruiting at a rate we haven't seen in college football history, while also adding former NFL coaching to his program. That type of evolution should ensure that there's no drop-off in 2021, even after the offense was gutted. Since it is Alabama after all, there's plenty of talent ready to step up at the skill positions, and the stacked defense is enough to keep the Tide as the SEC favorite. They will likely face increased resistance inside their division from Texas A&M and possibly LSU, plus Georgia out East. However, the conference is still theirs until some program moves they have taken it away from them and outside of a fairly tricky matchup with Miami, the schedule in general will be favorable. It may be hard to reach the heights of last year's team, but another trip to the National Championship Game still seems highly likely.


Further Breakdown
Team Projections
Projected Record: 12-1 (8-1, Win SEC Championship Game)
Offensive MVP: QB Bryce Young
Defensive MVP: LB Will Anderson
Breakout Player of the Year: TE Jahleel Billingsley
Impact Freshman: WR Agiye Hall


Recruiting Breakdown
All Alabama did on the recruiting trail for the Class of 2021 was land the best group in the history of college football. They brought in seven five-stars and a mind-boggling 16 four-stars, with 27 prospects in total. The top two players in the class are both on the offensive line in Tommy Brockermeyer and J.C. Latham, who may not play much this fall but are likely to be studs. Brockermeyer's brother, James, also comes in from Fort Worth, Texas as the less-heralded (but still quality) recruit. On defense, Dallas Turner and Damon Payne are future contributors on the D-Line, while Ga'Quincy McKinstry is the big name to watch on defense. At the skill positions, the freshman receiver quartet of Agiye Hall, Jacorey Brooks, Christian Leary, and JoJo Earle is very reminiscent of the 2017 group, which had Henry Ruggs III, Jerry Jeudy and DeVonta Smith. Hall was the big name during the spring, but any of the four could come on and have a productive 2021 campaign.

Five-Year Trend




Monday, August 23, 2021

College Football Preview 2021: 3. Georgia Bulldogs

J.T. Daniels, Georgia

 

3. Georgia Bulldogs

Loaded offensive skill positions and key late additions make it Playoff or bust in Athens this fall


2020 Review
Quarterback controversy surrounded much of Georgia's 2020 season. The Bulldogs added a pair of big-name transfers over the off-season in Jamie Newman from Wake Forest and J.T. Daniels from USC, but Newman opted out just weeks before the start of the year. With Daniels not yet medically cleared from a torn ACL he suffered while at USC, the Bulldogs turned to D'Wan Mathis to start their opener against Arkansas. Despite the fact UGA won, Mathis struggled mightily, and the Bulldogs then shifted to a former walk-on, Stetson Bennett. Bennett was serviceable enough to keep the Bulldogs in the SEC Title hunt for awhile, but he was benched after the Florida loss in favor of Daniels. Daniels won all four of his starts in relief, helping UGA finish the year with an 8-2 record and New Year's Six Bowl victory. He enters 2021 as the clear-cut starter for a Georgia team that will have lofty expectations this fall.

2021 Outlook
Offense: Daniels didn't disappoint in his four starts last season, finishing with 1,231 yards and 10 touchdowns. Three of his starts (Mississippi State, South Carolina, Missouri) were against average to poor pass defenses, but tossing for 392 against a stout Cincinnati defense proved that the former Gatorade National Player of the Year was worthy of the hype. He enters the 2021 campaign as one of the top signal-callers in the SEC and a serious Heisman candidate.

Zamir White finally got his opportunity to shine for UGA in 2020, and he proved to be productive. "Zeus" notched 779 yards and 11 scores in the shortened season, showcasing powerful running ability and impressive vision. He looks to continue a long line of Georgia tailbacks who have had tremendous college careers then gone on to the NFL. White is joined in the backfield by veteran James Cook and potential breakout candidate Kendall Milton. Cook is a crafty back who can make plays as a receiver out of the backfield, while Milton was one of the top RB recruits in the Class of 2020. Milton finished with 193 yards last season, but came on strong in the win over Tennessee and loss to Alabama. 

Georgia received rough news in the spring when projected No. 1 wideout George Pickens tore his ACL. There's still some hope Pickens will return at some point in 2021, but his timeline is unclear. His prolonged absence will force others into even larger roles, namely Kearis Jackson, Jermaine Burton, and Dominick Blaylock, who missed all of 2020 with an injury of his own. Jackson actually eclipsed Pickens in yardage in 2020 and has shown he can be a top guy, while Burton's versatility will be a major plus for this offense. Arian Smith, who had just two catches in 2020, is another name to watch. Smith is one of the fastest players anywhere in college football and could become a real deep threat, but he'll have to prove it first.

Tight end is a strength for this offense, as sophomore Darnell Washington came on strong down the stretch a year ago and should be ready for even greater things. At 6'7", 265 pounds with surprising nimbleness, he is sure to be a problem for opposing defensive coordinators. Highly touted freshman Brock Bowers also arrives in Athens and may see some early playing time.

The big news at tight end this season may actually be a brand new addition in LSU transfer Arik Gilbert. Gilbert was considered one of the highest ranked TE recruits in the history of college football before putting together a solid freshman year in LSU. The Georgia native adds another element to this UGA offense, as he may be used as both a tight end and wide receiver. However, recent rumors out of Athens is that he has been away from the time at the time of publishing, due to personal issues. Assuming he's able to come back, he may be one of the most impactful transfers of the off-season.

The Bulldog offensive line underwent a slight rebuild in 2020, but should be a strength once more in '21. Three starters return to the group, and there's plenty of depth at nearly every position. Guards Jamaree Salyer and Justin Shaffer should power the Georgia rushing attack all season long. Salyer has played 36 games in his Bulldog career at just about every spot on this offensive line. He will enter the fall as one of the best linemen not just in the SEC, but nationally. Left tackle may be a slight concern, but sophomore Xavier Truss, who started the Peach Bowl win, is slated to take over.

The hiring of offensive coordinator Todd Monken prior to last season was supposed to bring the Georgia offense into the 21st century offensively, but the weird QB situation restricted what they could do. A year later then hoped expect a very improved group, with playmakers everywhere and a skilled quarterback running the show. This offense has the talent to be the best in the SEC, particularly with Alabama reloading in multiple spots.

Defense: Georgia's defense remains one of the most consistently elite anywhere in college football. They finished last season second in the SEC in scoring and total defense, while also boasting the best rush defense anywhere in the nation. A lot departed from this group over the off-season, but there's still little reason to expect much of a drop-off this fall.

The defensive line is in a great spot, with a nice blend of veteran experience with rapidly improving young talent. Steady veterans Devonte Wyatt, Jordan Davis, and Julian Rochester are all expected to play a heavy dosage of snaps again this fall. The trio won't put up huge numbers, but plays a key role in getting penetration for this pass rush, while supporting the elite rush defense. Sophomore defensive tackle Jalen Carter looks ready for a big year after making three tackles for loss a season ago. Those around the program seem to believe he's the most talented player on this defensive line, even in just his second year on campus.

Even as Azeez Ojulari and several other important pieces move on, Georgia's linebacker corps will be stout. Junior Nakobe Dean has already asserted himself as one of the best in the conference, and he's ready for an even larger role now that Ojulari and Monty Rice are gone. Dean led the team with 71 tackles in 2020 and plays a chaotic, hungry brand of football. He is joined by numerous other linebackers with experience, including Quay Walker, Rian Davis, and Channing Tindall. However, the most fascinating position to watch this fall will be the "Jack" spot vacated by Ojulari. Senior Adam Anderson spent some time there this spring, while junior Nolan Smith is a former massive recruit still waiting for his breakthrough. Youngster Mekhail Sherman is also expected to factor into the race, which should only add to the intrigue. 

The secondary is likely to be the greatest question mark on the defense. The Bulldogs spent much of the off-season lacking proven experience on the back-end beyond free safety Lewis Cine, who notched 52 tackles in 2020. However, they got great news late in the transfer market when they were able to snag a trio of former Power Five transplants: Brandon Turnage from Alabama, Tykee Smith from West Virginia, and Derion Kendrick from Clemson. Kendrick is the most important of the three, as he started 23 games over the last two seasons for the Tigers and is first-round NFL Draft possibility.

Kendrick will likely handle one cornerback spot, while a host of Bulldogs will vie for the other starting spot. Kelee Ringo was the top rated corner in the Class of 2020 but didn't play as a true freshman. Now healthy, he looks to have a serious shot at the job. His primary competition should be Jalen Kimber, who played three games last fall, and Turnage, who played in two games during his Crimson Tide career.

While the secondary is still somewhat of a concern, a stacked front seven should put Georgia in a good spot. They will also hope to be healthier this year after injuries crippled their chances against the two best offenses they faced in 2020, Florida and Alabama. If that's the case, there's no reason this unit can't once again be the best in the SEC.

Special Teams: Special teams should be a strength of this 2021 Georgia team, as both kicker Jake Podlesny and punter Jake Camarda return, as well as several weapons in the return game. Camarda in particular is a key returnee, as he was an All-American last season after posting a net average of 41.3 per punt. Kearis Jackson handled both punt and kick returns in 2020 and proved to be an occasional dangerous piece.

Bottom Line: Expectations are always high in Athens, but they were raised to an even greater level when the Bulldogs added Arik Gilbert and Derion Kendrick over the summer. Not only are the two dynamic pieces, but they arrive at positions of need for this roster: pass-catcher and corner. Add to that the return of their quarterback, J.T. Daniels, top tailback in Zamir White, and plenty of contributors from their front seven and the stakes are essentially raised to Playoff or bust (maybe even National Championship or bust). That doesn't mean that the path there will be a breeze; Georgia kicks off the season with a major showdown in Charlotte against Clemson and gets their annual rivalry with Florida in Jacksonville, with the Gators off on bye the week prior. Then there's the fact that Nick Saban and Alabama remain the hurdle Kirby Smart and staff have been unable to get by, with the possibility of a rematch in the SEC Championship Game remaining. No matter what, Georgia has proven they are one of the true elites in the college football world, even if they are yet to claim the elusive National Title they have come so close to in recent years. I predict a perfect regular season for the Bulldogs, meaning that no matter what happens in the SEC Championship, they have a great shot to make the four-team field.


Further Breakdown
Team Projections
Projected Record: 12-1 (8-1 SEC, Lose SEC Championship Game)
Offensive MVP: QB J.T. Daniels
Defensive MVP: LB Nakobe Dean
Breakout Player of the Year: CB Kelee Ringo
Impact Freshman: TE Brock Bowers

Recruiting Breakdown
After landing the top class in all of the land back in 2020, UGA slid down slightly in this cycle, finishing at fourth overall. They loaded up with intriguing talent at just about every position group, including skill positions, the offensive line, and the front seven. The top two players in the class are both from the state of Georgia in offensive linemen Amarius Mims and quarterback Brock Vandagriff. Mims is already 6'7", 315 pounds and could realistically contribute right away, while Vandagriff will likely have to wait his turn. On the defensive side, several linebackers and defensive backs may make an immediate impact. Smael London and Xavian Sorey were big pickups from the staff and fit this defense as rangy, quick defenders with fabulous natural instincts. On the back-end, defensive backs David Daniel and Nyland Green will look for snaps. Daniel can play multiple positions but is most natural at strong safety, while Green looks to enter the cornerback rotation right away.

Five-Year Trend


Friday, August 20, 2021

College Football Preview 2021: 4. Ohio State Buckeyes

Garrett Wilson, Ohio State


 4. Ohio State Buckeyes

Even as the Buckeyes reload at QB and linebacker, their talent advantage keeps them as the clear Big Ten favorite


2020 Review
The Big Ten's late start to the 2020 season and COVID-19 problems resulted in Ohio State playing just five games during the regular season. They certainly impressed in those five, defeating tough tests from Penn State and Indiana before squeaking past Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship Game. There was plenty of controversy surrounding the CFB Playoff deciding to place the Buckeyes in the four-team field despite the short schedule, but Ohio State proved they belonged. They got vengeance against the Clemson team that had beaten them in the 2019 Fiesta Bowl and then gave Alabama a fight in the National Championship Game, until the mighty Crimson Tide eventually pulled away. Buckeye fans can't be upset about a National Runner-Up finish, but they're hopeful this team can now finish the job in 2021.

2021 Outlook
Offense: Justin Fields moves on to the NFL after two incredibly impressive seasons with the Buckeyes, leaving behind an inexperienced, but extremely talented, quarterback room. The quarterback competition has been the focus of the off-season for this offense, and got even more intriguing when the top QB in the 2022 Class, Quinn Ewers, reclassified and came to Columbus a year earlier than expected.

Even with the late addition of Ewers, C.J. Stroud is the favorite to handle starting duties right now. Stroud has yet to throw a pass in his college career, but he did have a long run in Ohio State's dismantling of Michigan State. He is hoping to fend off challengers Kyle McCord and Jack Miller, two guys who are talented, but have never thrown a pass at the FBS level. McCord came in during the spring and has caught the attention of the staff, but it won't be easy to come in as a true freshman and win the job.

No matter what happens at quarterback, Ohio State is absolutely loaded at the skill positions. Running back Trey Sermon moves on, but sophomore Master Teague appears ready to handle feature back duties. Teague has run for 1,409 yards over the past three seasons as a backup, including 514 in 2020. However, don't be shocked if highly touted newcomer TreVeyon Henderson seriously challenges for significant work. Henderson is widely considered to be the best true freshman tailback in the nation and has more explosiveness and burst in the open field than Teague. It seems highly likely that this Buckeye staff will end up using them as a tandem, with Henderson's role only increasing as the season wears on.

On the perimeter, Ohio State features the best receiver corps in the country. Veteran Chris Olave would be playing on Sundays had he decided to go pro, but he instead chose to stay put, giving them an All-American talent who will be in the Biletnikoff Award conversation. He is joined by rising star Garrett Wilson, who totaled 723 yards in 2020 and was All-Big Ten. Add in dynamic youngsters Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Julian Fleming, and it's hard to imagine any secondary being able to handle this group for an entire sixty minutes. There's also several true freshman who may find ways to contribute, namely Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka. Harrison had a huge spring game, while Egbuka is considered by many to be the top wide out in this Class.

Tight end is in good hands as well, as junior Jeremy Ruckert is back in town. Ruckert will end up playing more of a complementary role than anything else with what the Buckeyes bring back at wide out, but five of his 13 catches in 2020 went for scores. Cade Stover is likely his backup, as a former linebacker who made the switch to tight end prior to last season.

How impressive is Ohio State's talent on offense? Consider that they lost the Big Ten Offensive Linemen of the Year, Wyatt Davis, over the off-season and still are likely to feature one of the best offensive lines in the league. They will have to identify who takes over for Davis at right guard, with sophomore Harry Miller a real possibility after making five starts at left guard in 2020. However, both tackle positions are in great hands, with senior Thayer Munford handling the left side, while Nicholas Petit-Frere is on the right. Expect former five-star prospect Paris Johnson to fight for a starting gig after seeing five games as a true freshman. He's most natural at tackle, but there remains a chance he could move inside to play guard.

It's not often a program can lose three key figures like Fields, Sermon, and Davis and still be absolutely loaded on offense, but this is Ohio State at the end of the day. While quarterback remains an interesting question mark, their talent elsewhere ensures this group will once again play at an elite level. It also helps that OSU may have the best offensive staff in college football, with Ryan Day as head man and former Indiana head coach Kevin Wilson entering his fifth year as offensive coordinator.

Defense: After a resurgent 2019 performance from their defense, Ohio State understandably had some growing pains during the 2020 season. With just four starters returning and serious inexperience in the secondary, big plays proved to be an issue. The prognosis for 2021 looks better, although they will have to replace all three starters at linebacker.

The Buckeyes were forced to replace an absolute superstar in Chase Young last fall, so naturally their pass rushing numbers took a slight dip. They should be in good hands this year, with defensive end Zach Harrison as a serious breakout candidate and powerful veteran Haskell Garrett setting the tone at defensive tackle. Harrison played in all seven games in 2020 but is still looking for his breakthrough moment, as another former high-profile recruit. The likely starter opposite of him is another proven veteran in Tyreke Smith, although five-star newcomer Jack Sawyer had a monster spring and could vie for immediate snaps. It should also be interesting to see whether J.T. Tuimoloau sees much action as yet another five-star addition. Tuimoloau committed later than most in the Class of 2021, pledging to the Buckeyes in early June, but he's extremely talented.

There is concern at linebacker, where Pete Werner, Tuf Borland, Baron Browning, and Justin Hilliard all move on. There is still plenty of talent at the position group, but a serious lack of proven experience. Junior Dallas Gant is likely to play a leading role, as is the favorite to take over at middle linebacker. It's unclear who will join him, as several different Buckeyes are competing for the two outside linebacker spots. Juniors Teradja Mitchel and K'Vaughan Pope, as well as freshmen Cody Simon and Kourt Williams are all in the mix. This defensive staff is hoping this unit grows up quick, but growing pains are to be expected.

The OSU secondary had serious growing pains in 2020, ranking last in the Big Ten in pass defense and 122nd nationally. They have a chance to be significantly better this fall, even with Shaun Wade moving on. Nearly every other piece is returning, including junior corner Sevyn Banks, who should be in store for a big 2021. Banks struggled mightily in the National Championship Game loss, but started all eight games for the Buckeyes and played well down the stretch. Taking over for Wade at the other corner spot is likely to be either Cameron Brown, Ryan Watts, or Lejond Cavazos. There's also a chance one of the freshmen from the Class of 2021 will see extended looks, such as Jakailin Johnson or Jordan Hancock. Johnson has received plenty of attention throughout spring and into fall camp and be one of the more impactful young pieces on this roster.

Both safety spots are in good hands, with junior Josh Proctor and Marcus Williamson returning. Proctor started three games in 2020 but will look to play more of a leadership role this fall, while Williamson is looking to become more consistent. Marcus Hooker, the younger brother of former Buckeye star Malik, is also back after splitting time with Proctor a year ago. He's not quite the big-play threat his older brother was, but he's proven he can make plays.

Even as the linebacker corps undergoes a rebuild, Ohio State's defense should be ready for an improved year. There's no shortage of talent, but also an improvement in depth and experience throughout. It has a chance to be one of, if not the best, defenses in the conference.

Special Teams: Blake Haubeil, Jake Seibert and Dominic DiMaccio split placekicking duties for Ohio State in 2020. Haubeil moves on after hitting 5 of 7 field goals a season ago, meaning that Seibert is likely the favorite to handle starting duties. Punter is a more pressing concern, with Drue Chrisman moving on after a legendary Buckeye career, where he was All-Conference three times.

Bottom Line: All Ryan Day has done since taking over for the legendary Urban Meyer in Columbus is make two consecutive Playoff appearances, lost zero regular season games, and stacked multiple historical recruiting classes on top of each other. However, after coming up short in last year's National Championship Game, the goal for 2021 is to finish the job. This team certainly has the talent and elite collection of playmakers to do so, but several things may stand in their way. For one, the Big Ten East as a whole looks like it may be quite improved this fall, with Indiana still looking dangerous and Penn State and Michigan expected to have resurgent campaigns. Additionally, the Buckeye schedule includes a tough date with Oregon, widely expected to be the top team in the Pac-12 early on in the season. Then there's the obvious fact nobody has thrown a pass on this roster, no matter how highly touted this QB room is. Ohio State should still be a good bet to win the Big Ten and challenge for another Playoff bid, but they may still be just a year or two away from claiming their first National Title since 2014.


Further Breakdown
Team Projections
Projected Record: 13-0 (9-0 Big Ten, Win Big Ten Championship Game)
Offensive MVP: WR Chris Olave
Defensive MVP: DE Zach Harrison
Breakout Player of the Year: OL Paris Johnson
Impact Freshman: RB TreVeyon Henderson

Recruiting Breakdown
If not for Alabama casually going out and landing the best recruiting class in the history of college football, Ohio State would have easily landed the best group in the Class of 2021. Seven five-star recruits arrive in Columbus, including several who have already flashed during the spring, such as Jack Sawyer, as well as late arrivals, such as Quinn Ewers and J.T. Tuimoloau. Other names to highlight include wide receiver Emeka Egbuka, offensive linemen Donovan Jackson and corner Jakailin Johnson, who all good see playing time this fall, even with how stacked the depth chart is in front of them. Punter Jesse Mirco may be the most underrated addition of the Class. With Chrisman graduated, Mirco may be able to come in and contribute right away, as the No. 6 punter in his cycle.

Five-Year Trend





Thursday, August 19, 2021

College Football Preview 2021: 5. Clemson Tigers

D.J. Uiagalelei, Clemson

 

5. Clemson Tigers

Clemson will reload, not rebuild, but a slight step-back may be in store as they move on from the Lawrence/Etienne era


2020 Review
Clemson sat perched as the No. 1 team in the nation for most of the 2020 campaign, until Trevor Lawrence's COVID-19 infection threw a wrench into their season. Lawrence's absence just happened to line up with a precarious part of the Tiger schedule, as they got all they could handle from a sneaky Boston College team and a week later, fell short in double overtime to Notre Dame. Clemson would avenge the ND defeat with a dominant ACC Championship Game victory but a few weeks later, they ran into a motivated Ohio State team in a rematch of the controversial 2019 Fiesta Bowl. The Tigers were no match for Justin Fields and the Buckeyes, with the 21-point loss being their worst in years. Even though a 10-2 record, ACC Championship, and sixth straight Playoff berth is quite a list of accomplishments, that defeat cast a shadow on the 2020 season as a whole and served as a wakeup call for Dabo Swinney and the program.

2021 Outlook
Offense: For the last three seasons, quarterback Trevor Lawrence and tailback Travis Etienne have propelled the Clemson offense to fabulous heights. The pair left school with a long list of accolades, as Lawrence ranks third on their all-time passing list and was a No. 1 overall pick, while Etienne is now the school's all-time leading rusher. However, both are now playing for Urban Meyer and the Jacksonville Jaguars, forcing the Tigers to start anew in their backfield.

D.J. Uiagalelei filled in for Lawrence in the two games he missed due to COVID, and played well beyond what was expected of a freshman quarterback. He thew for 914 yards in the two starts and finished with five touchdowns to zero interceptions, showcasing impressive poise and maturity for his age. He now takes over as the full-time starter and while there will be growing pains, the coaching staff believes he has just as high of a ceiling as Lawrence. Uiagalelei is a slightly different QB than his predecessor, as more of a pocket passer than Lawrence, but they have similar builds and arm talent.

While Uiagalelei appears more than ready to take over the reigns of the offense, concerns arose about quarterback depth over the off-season. Likely backup Taisun Phommachanh tore his ACL in the spring and is likely to miss the entirety of 2021. Then, highly touted true freshman Bubba Chandler signed with the Pittsburgh Pirates, ending his Clemson career before it got going. That leaves freshman Hunter Helms as the only other scholarship QB on the roster, a genuine concern if anything were to happen to Uiagalelei.

It's likely that the Tigers turn to a committee approach to replace Etienne, who totaled 914 yards and 16 total touchdowns last fall. Junior Lyn-J Dixon has played in 38 games as a backup and will get the first crack at the feature role, but youngsters Will Shipley and Kobe Pace. Shipley in particular has flashed during the spring and in fall camp, and the five-star prospect will see immediate playing time.

The good news is that Clemson might actually be improved at receiver, even as their top two pass-catchers, Amari Rodgers and Cornell Powell, move on. Much of that can be credited to the return of a healthy Justyn Ross, who missed all of 2020 due to a spine injury. Ross was a 1,000 yard receiver as a true freshman back in 2018 and dominated an Alabama secondary full of future NFL defenders in the National Championship Game, but his playing career was in serious question before receiving medical clearance for this fall. When healthy, Ross is one of the best wide outs in college football, and a serious Biletnikoff Award candidate.

Beyond Ross, the Tigers feature a slew of playmakers ready to step up into larger roles. Freshman E.J. Williams is the top returning true receiver after notching 24 catches for 306 yards in 2020, while sophomores Joseph Ngata and Frank Ladson offers loads of potential. Then there's Ajou Ajou, a physical specimen who has flashed in limited playing time. 

At tight end, sophomore Braden Galloway could be among the ACC's best. The 6'4", 240 pounder is an absolute matchup nightmare with his athleticism and burst in the open field, but he has to become more consistent. Veteran Davis Allen and newcomer Jake Briningstool will also offer help in complementary roles.

One of the least talked about storylines for the Tigers in 2020 was the offensive line reload they were undergoing. Four starters had to be replaced from the 2019 group, and there were some understandable protection problems. The 2020 struggles should lead to improvements this fall, as the unit now offers significantly more experience and depth. Tackle Jackson Carman and center Cade Stewart moved on this off-season, but Clemson has blockers waiting in the wings ready to go. Sophomore Jordan McFadden is expected to slide from right tackle to left in order to replace Carman, with freshman Walker Parks slated to take over his vacated spot.

Losing Lawrence and Etienne presents an obvious challenge for coordinator Tony Scott and the rest of this offensive staff, but this is not the first time this decade the Tigers have had to replace a generational talent at QB. D.J. "U" should be able to handle the full-time duties, and it helps that Clemson is loaded at receiver and strong on the O-Line. Expect this offense to still be among the ACC's best, and a Top 15-20 group nationally.

Defense: Clemson posted suffocating defensive numbers all year long in 2020 before allowing 639 yards and 49 points to Ohio State. Expect this group to respond in a big way, as they're loaded in the front seven and should be ready for an improvement in a defensive backfield that was fairly young last year.

The Tigers have become an NFL factory at nearly every spot on their roster, but particularly so along the defensive line. This year's group is loaded with future NFL talent, but should be more experienced and healthier than the 2020 edition. Defensive end Xavier Thomas had a big freshman campaign back in 2018 and was an All-ACC defender in 2019, but started just one game last fall due to complications from COVID. Fully healthy and ready to go, he should be one of the league's best this season. Senior end Justin Foster missed time as well, but he never was able to return. He briefly announced retirement this off-season, but is back and should contend for a starting spot.

The return of Thomas and Foster will be huge, but Clemson is really excited about the continued growth of their young D-Linemen, especially Myles Murphy and Bryan Bresee. The pair were both high-profile recruits who come on and immediately made an impact, even though their off-season leading up to college was so unique. They were both Freshman All-Americans and Murphy in particular was chaotic, totaling four sacks and eight tackles for loss. Expect Bresee to start alongside Tyler Davis at defensive tackle, while Murphy blows things up off the edge. 

Depth is of no concern to Clemson's defensive line either. Although veterans Nyles Pinckney and Jordan Williams may have transferred away, the Tigers have a variety of pieces that can swap in. Ends K.J. Henry and Justin Mascoll are proven contributors who could start just about anywhere else in the nation, while freshman Demonte Capehart is a serious breakout candidate at DT now that Pinckney and Williams are absent.

At linebacker, Clemson must replace a fairly big-name transfer, Mike Jones, but they have nearly everybody else returning. That includes the "Bruise Brothers" combination of James Skalski and Baylon Spector, who set the tone for this entire defense. Spector finished as the team's leading tackler, while Skalski is a physical specimen who loves the huge hit. Skalski will have to be more disciplined this fall, as he has been kicked out of several big games for targeting. Trenton Simpson started three games in 2020 and is likely to slide into a starting role now that Jones plays for LSU. Some around the program believe he may actually be an improvement at the position, and his ceiling does appear to be higher. The depth here is also nice, as names like Kane Patterson and Jake Venables can contribute if needed.

Many of Clemson's struggles in the secondary were expected, as they had to replace numerous key defenders from the 2019 group. Even with the inexperience, the pass defense was solid for most of the season, with the games against Boston College and Ohio State being notable exceptions. The good news is that nearly every big name is returning, with the notable exception being Derion Kendrick. Kendrick was an All-ACC corner last season but was kicked off the team over the off-season and has since landed at Georgia.

While Kendrick is a notable loss, Andrew Booth and Sheridan Jones should be able to handle cornerback duties. Booth has earned a reputation for acrobatic, magical interceptions but he has to become a more consistent cover option. Jones wasn't used a ton in 2019 but emerged as a reliable piece to the defensive backfield a season ago, making eight starts. 

Both safety spots are also in good hands, with sophomore Lannden Zanders handling strong safety and veteran Nolan Turner locked in at free safety. Turner is a great story, a former low-rated recruit who has improved each year he's been on campus. He was the hero of the 2019 Fiesta Bowl and then followed that up with an All-ACC campaign in 2020. Again, depth shouldn't be too much of an issue, as the recruiting the Tigers have done throughout the Dabo Swinney era continues to pay dividends. Youngsters like R.J. Mickens and freshman Andrew Mukaba are just waiting for their opportunities.

Coordinator Brent Venables is still the best defensive mind in the game. He has reloaded year-in, year-out as well as anybody in the nation and some of the growing pains last fall were to be expected. This season, the Tigers lose only Jones and Kendrick, at positions that they might actually end up being improved at. There's reason to believe the defense will surpass the offense as Clemson's strength, and end up being one of best in all of the land.

Special Teams: Veterans B.T. Potter and Will Spiers return at kicker and punter, respectively. Potter was 18-23 on field goals in 2020 and also proved his worth as a kickoff specialist, while Spiers is aiming to improve on his 37.9 punt average from last year, which was lower than past years. Lyn-J Dixon could be dangerous in the return game, but it's unclear who will handle punt return duties.

Bottom Line: With six consecutive ACC Titles and just three conference losses over the last five years, there's no debate that Clemson is the league's powerhouse. They are once again heavy favorites, even with teams like North Carolina, NC State, Miami and Boston College likely on the upswing. The larger question is on a national scale. Have the Tigers fixed the issues that held them back the last two years, losing in the National Championship Game in 2019, then the semifinal last fall? An improved defense should put Clemson in a better position, but now the offense has some questions of their own to grapple with, even though most firmly expect D.J. Uiagalelei to have a tremendous 2021 season. It doesn't help that the Tigers also begin their campaign with a neutral site duel against Georgia, a team that most expect to have serious National Championship aspirations (including me). It's still probably a safe bet to assume the Tigers make another trip to the CFB Playoff this fall, but the game against Georgia and a tougher ACC reduces the margin of error.


Further Breakdown
Team Projections
Projected Record: 12-1 (9-0 ACC, Win ACC Championship Game)
Offensive MVP: WR Justyn Ross
Defensive MVP: DE Myles Murphy
Breakout Player of the Year: LB Trenton Simpson
Impact Freshman: RB Will Shipley

Recruiting Breakdown
The Tigers continue to recruit at an elite level, finishing with the No. 5 group nationally and first in the ACC. They landed a trio of five-star prospects in this Class in tackle Tristan Leigh, running back Will Shipley, and linebacker Barrett Carter. Shipley is the one most likely to make an impact in 2021 based on Clemson's current backfield situation, but Leigh and Carter both look like they have NFL futures. The coaching staff continues to do a tremendous job landing impact receivers and defensive linemen who they can develop in their system. Wide outs Beaux Collins and Dacari Collins are both long, physical receivers who should be an ideal fit in the Tiger offense, while defensive linemen Cade Denhoff and Payton Page are future starters. Page is already 6'4", 335 pounds and should be an absolute monster once he gets fully engrained in the Clemson nutrition and weight system.

Five-Year Trend



Tuesday, August 17, 2021

College Football Preview 2021: 6. Oregon Ducks

C.J. Verdell, Oregon


 6. Oregon Ducks

There is elite talent throughout the roster, but will the QB situation keep them from realizing their full potential?


2020 Review
Even before Oregon's shortened 2020 season got rolling, the Ducks were hit by a host of opt-outs, including All-American tackle Penei Sewell and several key defenders. The result was an Oregon team that was very inconsistent throughout a seven-game season, beginning 3-0 but fading down the stretch. With Washington unable to play in the Pac-12 Championship Game due to COVID, the Ducks then took their spot and proceeded to overcome USC for a second consecutive Pac-12 Title. Winning a third straight is a tough task as things shift back to normal, but the program has been elevated under head coach Mario Cristobal, and there's enough talent to do so.

2021 Outlook
Offense: Much like their entire team, Oregon's offense had a hot start to 2020, but were less effective as the season moved on. Offensive coordinator Joe Moorhead will enjoy his first full season running the show, but figuring out the quarterback situation will be his top priority.

Tyler Shough took hold of the QB spot following the abbreviated fall camp and had a productive campaign. He finished with 1,559 yards and 13 touchdowns, while completing nearly 64% of his passes. However, his struggles over the final few weeks of the fall forced the Ducks to essentially platoon the position, with former Boston College transfer Anthony Brown seeing an increase in action. This off-season, Shough transferred to Texas Tech, meaning that Brown will get the first crack at running the show in 2021.

Brown has proven to be a capable Power Five quarterback who has made 28 starts over his college career, but there are many around the program that think incoming freshman Ty Thompson is good enough to push him. Thompson has a huge arm that would be a great fit in this Moorhead offense, but forcing in a true freshman at the game's most important position is always worrisome. How both Moorhead and Cristobal handle the situation may determine just how high their ceiling is this year.

No matter what happens at QB, Oregon has plenty of other weapons at the skill positions. They have a two-headed monster in the backfield, with both C.J. Verdell and Travis Dye returning. Dye finished as the team's top rusher in 2020 with 443 yards, but Verdell is fully healthy and was a 1,000-yard back in 2019. The Ducks also have a rising star in redshirt freshman Sean Dollars, who saw plenty of action in the Pac-12 Championship Game but was otherwise limited. Dollars won't seriously push either Verdell or Dye for snaps but as the team's most explosive option, he will be a nice change-of-pace.

Oregon returns just about every receiver from last year's group, giving this team one of the best receiver corps in the Pac-12. After just one reception in 2019, Devon Williams emerged as a serious big-play threat who averaged 19.1 yards per reception and finished as their top receiver in terms of yardage. Steady veterans Jaylon Redd and Johnny Johnson finished with similar numbers, as Redd went for 25-281 and Johnson 19-267. While Williams is a well-built, 6'5" wide out who can make incredible contested catches, Redd and Johnson are smaller, but more effective in heavy traffic. Redd in particular is useful in screens and extremely versatile, giving Moorhead and this staff plenty of options. One more name to watch is sophomore Mycah Pittman, who is a breakout candidate. The younger brother of former USC star and current Indianapolis Colt Michael Pittman, Mycah has displayed serious potential over the last two years, but is still working to put it altogether. He may be the most purely talented receiver on the entire roster.

The tight end spot will have to break in a new starter now that Hunter Kampmoyer has moved on, but it has rarely been a heavily featured position in Moorhead offenses. Junior D.J. Johnson originally began his career as a defensive linemen but has been very capable as a pass-catcher, while sophomore Spencer Webb offers loads of upside.

Penei Sewell's decision to opt-out further crippled an Oregon offensive line that was already rebuilding in 2020. After some understandable struggles a season ago, this unit now appears to be a strength, as Cristobal and this staff have focused heavily at recruiting this position group. Junior center Alex Forsyth is the headliner, earning All-Conference honors in 2020. He'll anchor the unit, but names like T.J. Bass, George Moore, and Steven Jones are sure to be key contributors. There's a bunch of depth throughout the O-Line, as six players returning made at least one start last fall and there are numerous freshmen who could play right away.

While the quarterback competition will dominate the headlines throughout fall camp and into the regular season, the rest of this Duck offense should be really strong. It's rare for an offense to return this much talent and depth at both the skill positions and offensive line, not to mention the wide variety of highly touted newcomers coming in. This should be one of the best groups in the Pac-12.

Defense: Coordinator Andy Avalos was a Broyles Award finalist back in 2019 but had ups-and-downs leading the Duck offense last fall. He was still able to parlay his success into the Boise State head coaching job, where he once was a star linebacker.

As a result, Cristobal turned to former Fresno State head coach Tim DeRuyter to run this defense. DeRuyter has spent the last four seasons as California DC, helping turn the Golden Bears into one of the conference's stingiest groups. 

Luckily for DeRuyter, he just happens to have one of college football's premier stars playing on the defensive line in sophomore Kayvon Thibodeaux. Thibodeaux was considered by many to be the nation's top recruit when he came out of high school, and he has not disappointed in his Duck career. He had nine sacks in five starts as a true freshman and then three in 2020, earning him Second Team All-American honors. He's likely to face double teams all season long but don't be surprised if he continues to dominate, and possibly line himself up as the No. 1 selection in the 2022 NFL Draft. All the attention paid to Thibodeaux should open up opportunities for other linemen on this team, including sophomore Brandon Dorlus and freshman Bradyn Swinson. Oregon is thinner at defensive tackle than in year's past, but Dorlus is a breakout candidate after making one start a season ago.

There's plenty of star power at the linebacker position as well, with former five-star recruits Noah Sewell and Justin Flowe leading the way. Sewell came in and played key snaps right away, as he made five starts at the MLB spot. He finished second on the team with 45 tackles, but could be in store for much greater things this fall. Flowe missed all of last season with injury but he was so impressive in the spring that returning linebacker Isaac Slade-Matautia transferred to SMU. Slade-Matautia is actually a fairly notable loss, as he was the Ducks top returning tackler, but Flowe is good enough that he may actually upgrade the position. Rounding out the starting linebackers is Mase Funa, who plays the "Stud" position as a hybrid end/outside linebacker. Funa will get after opposing quarterbacks all game long, but he was to hold off a challenge for the starting job from rising sophomore Adrian Jackson.

The secondary was the position group hit the hardest by opt-outs, as Brady Breeze, Thomas Graham, and Deommodore Lenoir decided not to play in 2020. Lenoir ended up changing his mind and coming back, but Oregon still had growing pains, as young pieces were forced into larger roles. One of those names was sophomore Mykael Wright, who was picked on all last season. Wright did have some struggles but handled things well, finishing with 25 tackles and nine pass deflections. Wright becomes the top corner on the roster, but it's unclear who will start alongside him. Boundary corner D.J. James and nickelback Jamal Hill were recently arrested, plunging their 2021 seasons into doubt. Instead, highly touted Dontae Manning, who arrived as part of the 2020 Class, could be in line for an opportunity. 

Sophomore Verone McKinley has quickly become one of the top defenders on this roster, and he will once again handle free safety duties. The starter at the other safety spot is probably going to end up being senior Jordan Happle, a former Boise State transfer. Happle made three starts for the Ducks last season and proved to be serviceable. Sophomore Steve Stephens is the other likely contender for the starting gig.

Even as Avalos moves on, Oregon has more than enough to be an elite defense. Every position group has several players who will soon be NFL defenders, and there are a few that should have breakout campaigns. Expect better numbers in 2021, with a stabilized roster and loads of experience.

Special Teams: Oregon has to get better production from their special teams if they want to win another Pac-12 Title. The kicking game was horrible in 2020, with the original starter, Camden Lewis, losing his job to Henry Katleman, who also struggled. Punter Tom Snee is at least solid, and Mykael Wright offers dazzling playmaking potential in the return game.

Bottom Line: Mario Cristobal and his staff have done a tremendous job in Eugene. They're recruiting at an elite level, have won a pair of Pac-12 Titles, and came extremely close to a Playoff berth back in 2019. Is 2021 the year they take the proverbial "next step" and compete not just for a Playoff appearance, but a National Championship? There's a bunch of stability throughout the coaching staff and the entire roster, with proven pieces on both sides of the ball. The schedule may be difficult, but it does give the Ducks an opportunity to build a strong enough resume for the Selection Committee. In addition to a road test in early September, the Ducks also face off with UCLA, Washington, and Utah all away from Autzen Stadium. On paper, this Oregon team is not only good enough to win the league, they're good enough to challenge for even more. It's just a matter of going out and proving it on the gridiron.


Further Breakdown
Team Projections
Projected Record: 11-2 (9-1 Pac-12, Win Pac-12 Championship Game)
Offensive MVP: RB C.J. Verdell
Defensive MVP: DE Kayvon Thibodeaux
Breakout Player of the Year: WR Mycah Pittman
Impact Freshman: QB Ty Thompson

Recruiting Breakdown
With a bunch of Nike money flowing through the program and unlimited resources, Oregon should always be a school recruiting at a high level. Cristobal and staff have taken that to another level, landing the No. 6 group in the Class of 2021, including 19 four-star prospects. There are future contributors in just about every position group including O-Line, receiver, quarterback, linebacker, and defensive back. QB Ty Thompson has gotten the most attention given his possible chance to start this fall, but he's far from the only name to watch. Offensive linemen Kingsley Suamataia and Bram Walden should compete for snaps in 2021, even with how loaded Oregon is in the trenches. Suamataia is best at tackle, while Walden can slide along and play on the interior. On defense, linebacker Keith Brown and corner Jaylin Davies were both in during the spring and will see chances. Brown is a top candidate to backup Justin Flowe at outside linebacker. One more name to watch is defensive back Avante Dickerson, a one-time Minnesota commit who played both ways at Westside in Omaha. With the upheaval occurring at corner right now, he may force his way into a larger role.

Five-Year Trend



Sunday, August 15, 2021

College Football Preview 2021: 7. Iowa State Cyclones

Brock Purdy, Iowa State


 7. Iowa State Cyclones

With a Heisman candidate at RB and an elite defense, ISU will go toe-to-toe with OU in the Big 12 race


2020 Review
Iowa State opened up their 2020 campaign with a frustrating 17-point loss to Louisiana-Lafayette, a wake up call for a team that began the year ranked 23rd nationally. The loss proved to be an effective motivator the rest of the way, with the Cyclones losing just one more time en route to an 8-2 regular season. They had an opportunity to win their first Big 12 Title in school history in a rematch against Oklahoma, but came up just short in a 27-21 loss. However, the Cyclones responded by beating Oregon in the Fiesta Bowl, a game they controlled the entire way. The victory moved ISU to 9-3 on the 2020 season, their most victories in the Matt Campbell era, even with a shortened schedule.

2021 Outlook
Offense: Offensive coordinator Tom Manning has been a longtime assistant with Matt Campbell, going back to their time with Toledo. This may be the best offense the pair have coached together, with just about everybody returning from last year's group.

It all begins with quarterback Brock Purdy, who enters his third full season as starter. He was highly productive in 2020 after a poor showing in the opener, finishing with 2,750 yards and 19 touchdowns, while earning All-Big 12 honors. The next step for the veteran is continuing to cut down on his turnovers, which are still an occasional problem, as well as playing his best in the big games. If he can do that, Purdy could remain the best QB in the league, even with Spencer Rattler at Oklahoma.

Purdy is joined in the backfield by All-American tailback Breece Hall. After a nice debut season in 2019, Hall truly broke out last fall, as he led all Power Five running backs with 1,572 yards, while adding 21 touchdowns. Hall is the type of hard-nosed, bell-cow back that Campbell covets, but he showed improved vision and decision-making last year. He could get even better this season, if he can improve as a receiver out of the backfield, which would put him in Heisman consideration. Hall is supported by a quality backup in redshirt freshman Jirehl Brock and true freshman Eli Sanders may get some looks as a change-of-pace option.

Iowa State's receiver corps isn't as flashy or well-known as other groups in the Big 12, but it may still be the best in the league. Former junior college transfer Xavier Hutchinson had a stellar 2020, leading the team with 64 catches for 771 yards and also earning All-Conference recognition. He's helped out by a group that includes junior Tarique Milton, sophomore Sean Shaw, and highly touted newcomer Jaylin Noel. Milton could be in store for a resurgent 2021, as he was never fully healthy a year ago.

In addition to the true wide receivers, ISU boasts a great 1-2 punch at tight end in Charlie Kolar and Chase Allen. Kolar managed 591 yards and seven touchdowns and likely would've been a fairly high NFL Draft selection, but instead decided to stay put for one more year. Allen's not quite as lethal of a weapon in the passing game as Kolar, but he was Second Team All-Big 12 in 2020. Allen's a stronger blocker than Kolar and also very effective in the red zone.

The Cyclone offensive line is light on big names, but is loaded with experience. Seven different players made starts on this O-Line last fall and every single one is returning. That includes guard Trevor Downing, who had a huge 2019, but was out for pretty much the entirety of 2020. Both tackle spots are in good hands with Jake Remsburg and Sean Foster, and there's plenty of depth on the perimeter.

There's obviously plenty of reasons for ISU fans to be excited about what this offense can do in 2021. There's proven star power at the skill positions, but also depth and experience throughout the unit. Even though this offense hasn't been traditionally explosive under Campbell, it could be a Top 10 group this season.

Defense: Defense has consistently been the strength of this program throughout most of the Campbell era and even though the offense is loaded, it likely will be again in 2021. The Cyclones boast a defense loaded with talent, one that could have as many as five or six All-Big 12 selections this fall.

Sophomore defensive end Will McDonald had a breakout 2020, leading the conference with 10.5 sacks. More teams will be dialed in on him with double and even triple teams this season, but McDonald is still growing as a pass rusher, and likely to put up strong numbers once again. He'll be flanked by nose guard Eyioma Uwazurike, who started all 12 games a season ago. Uwazurike fits the position description to a tee as a hard-nosed, physical run stuffer in the heart of the defense. It's unclear who will round out the D-Line in this 3-4 scheme. Redshirt freshman Corey Suttle played in seven games in 2020 and could be in line for a starting job, while junior Zach Peterson will also battle for snaps. Peterson has an edge in experience over most of the competition, likely making him the favorite. 

The Cyclones have the best linebacker corps in the Big 12, and I'm not sure it's even particularly close. Not only do they have Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year Mike Rose returning, but also back is Fiesta Bowl MVP O'Rien Vance and senior Jake Hummel. Rose is the heart and soul of the defense, an intelligent defender with a limitless motor. It will be tough to replace as the DPOY, but expect him to be near the top of the league in tackles after notching 96 in 2020. Vance will handle middle linebacker duties, but blitzes more than most that play his position. Hummel has been considered more of a complementary piece to Rose than anything else, but he's more than that. He finished with 77 tackles and also proved his worth in coverage, with three interceptions. With this trio in the fold, Iowa State has no reason not to have one of the best rush defenses anywhere in the country.

Iowa State's pass defense was solid last year, but could be in store for an even better 2021. Every big name is returning, namely safety Greg Eisworth, who took advantage of the extra year of eligibility due to COVID. He can play either safety or nickelback at a high level, and finished with 47 tackles last season, earning him All-Conference honors. He is joined by a pair of proven corners in Anthony Johnson and Datrone Young. Neither are going to be elite playmakers, but they're well-rounded defenders who love to come up and play a role in run support. 

If there is a question on this defense, it may be the free safety spot, where Lawrence White moves on after finishing fourth on the team in tackles. Sophomore Kym-Mani King has played in 21 games over the last two seasons and may be able to step into a larger role, but ISU did bring in a fairly big-name transfer in Jaquan Amos. Amos made 107 tackles over the last two seasons with Villanova and also earned a reputation as a ball hawk. It's hard to think he would be an upgrade over White, but the production shouldn't drop off either.

With nine starters returning from a group that was particularly stout in 2020, Iowa State's defense has no reason not to be terrific this fall. Don't be surprised if coordinator Jon Heacock, who also followed Campbell from Toledo, becomes a name to watch in line for a promotion.

Special Teams: The placekicker position will be interesting to watch in 2021. Veteran Connor Assalley returns, but he was just okay in 2020, hitting 13 of 19 field goals. It wouldn't be surprising if he's overtaken by Fordham transplant Andrew Mevis, who was 27-38 in three seasons with the Rams. Mevis can also handle punting duties if needed, but senior Corey Dunn is the likely starter there.

Bottom Line: Iowa State enters 2021 with the highest expectations the program has ever had, and for good reason. There's legitimate All-American talent at multiple spots on both sides of the ball, plus plenty of experience and stability. The question is whether the Cyclones can truly take the next step and go from New Year's Six Bowl levels to a true CFB Playoff contender. In order to do so, they'll have to show an improved ability to avoid the off-weeks that have plagued the team in the past, when they've lost to less talented teams (like Louisiana last fall). Additionally, the return of the Cy-Hawk rivalry with Iowa raises the stakes, as Campbell is yet to beat the in-state rivals. This team has the chance to go down as the best in program history and while I still have them just a step below Oklahoma in the league, it wouldn't surprise me if they stay alive in the Playoff conversation deep into the fall and winter months.


Further Breakdown
Team Projections
Projected Record: 11-2 (8-2 Big 12, Lose Big 12 Championship Game)
Offensive MVP: RB Breece Hall
Defensive MVP: LB Mike Rose
Breakout Player of the Year: S Jaquan Amos
Impact Freshman: WR Jaylin Noel

Recruiting Breakdown
Even with their recent success, Iowa State is never going to be a program that recruits at an elite level on the national stage. Campbell and his staff instead focus on guys who fit the culture and scheme they're looking to run, and the Class of 2021 reflects that. They did a great job recruiting the trenches, with offensive linemen Tyler Maro and defensive linemen Howard Brown leading the group. Brown in particular is a really fascinating prospect, as a former two-way player who played quarterback in high school, yet is currently a shade below 290 pounds. There is skill position talent coming in, namely athlete Eli Sanders and wide out Jaylin Noel. Sanders is best at tailback but could theoretically move around, while Noel caught some eyes during spring. 

Five-Year Trend