Wednesday, December 31, 2014

Bowl Predictions 2014-2015: Peach Bowl to Orange Bowl

Sam Carter
Peach Bowl: Georgia Dome, Atlanta on December 31st
Ole Miss Rebels (9-3) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (11-1)

After being snubbed from the Playoff, the Horned Frogs are going to play angry, and that is not going to be a good thing against an Ole Miss team having a rough second half. TCU QB Trevone Boykin continues to impress and lead a Horned Frogs' offense that is among the nation's scariest. Joining him are B.J. Catalon and lighting rod Aaron Green, along with a plethora of options at receiver. Ole Miss has one of the nation's best secondaries, led by Cody Prewitt and Senquez Golson, but they will have their work cut out for them against TCU's deep threats. TCU also brings a solid defense to the equation, led by Chucky Hunter, who anchors the line, and do-it-all linebacker Paul Dawson, one of the Big 12's best defenders. Ole Miss quarterback Bo Wallace just hasn't regained his magic that he had following the Rebels' upset over Alabama and the loss of Laquon Treadwell has not helped. Too often Wallace has forced things into tight coverage, something that won't work against the ball-hawking defensive backs Gary Patterson has at TCU, which include safety Sam Carter. Look for Ole Miss to lean heavily on speedy back Jaylen Walton, who had a strong showing in the Egg Bowl, especially if Wallace struggles. Defensively for the Rebels, they will not only need Prewitt and the rest of their "Landshark" secondary to make some plays, they need to pressure Boykin. Boykin is still a young quarterback and he still struggles to sense and read pressure, which is one of the key ways to contain him. Ole Miss' season really ended after their heartbreaking second loss to Auburn, where Treadwell went down with a horrific leg injury. While they should still compete, they are not at the level of a hungry TCU team, who should spread their defense thin. Unless Wallace has a Alabama-like performance in his final collegiate game, TCU should handle the Rebels without too much troubles.
TCU, 37 Ole Miss, 21

Fiesta Bowl: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Arizona on December 31st
Boise State Broncos (11-2) vs. Arizona Wildcats (10-3)

The Fiesta Bowl has been awfully kind over the years to Boise State, who had memorable victories over TCU and Oklahoma (the infamous "Statue of Liberty" game), and they are back after a number of years in relatively pedestrian bowl games. The Broncos have been all about the run this year, led by junior back Jay Ajayi, who has announced this be his final game for Boise. Ajayi is a load to bring down and he offers something as a receiver out of the backfield. Boise QB Grant Hedrick hasn't been superb as a passer this year but he has proven to be a dangerous dual threat, rushing for over 500 yards. The Wildcats' defense is led by one of the nation's best players, Scooby Wright, who was miraculous in key moments for 'Zona throughout the year. The extremely athletic Wright can impact the game as a pass rusher, tackler or as a coverage linebacker, he is so versatile. The Broncos will look for ways to move the ball away from Wright, but he is so instinctive and quick he will find ways to make a serious impact. Hedrick will most likely have to make some big throws if Boise wants to win this game, that is where sophomore Thomas Sperbeck could be extremely lethal. A speedster who just finds ways to get open, Sperbeck averages over 17 yards a reception. While the Broncos can put up points, Arizona can clearly counter, evident in a number of their wins this year. Quarterback Anu Solomon has only improved as the season has worn on, throwing to the wealth of riches Rich Rodriguez has stockpiled at receiver. Nick Wilson makes an impact as an agile runner who can also do a variety of different things, and the offensive line has been solid. On defense, first-year Bronco head coach Bryan Harsin has a defense that constantly finds ways to force turnovers. Dangerous defensive back Darian Thompson is a stud, he has seven interceptions on the year, while Kamalei Correa's presence up front disrupts offenses, he has ten sacks on the season. Linebackers Tanner Vallejo and Tyler Gray are do-it-all contributors and they will need to support in coverage situations, if Arizona throws five wide at Boise. While the Wildcats are probably the better, deeper and more explosive team this game could well be a trap. Boise might get overlooked because they are a Group of Six school but it is hard to bet against their Fiesta Bowl magic and their aggressive defense. Scooby Wright and 'Zona could certainly find a way to make this pick look stupid, but I'm picking the upset in what will be a usual Fiesta Bowl, high-scoring and exciting.
Boise State, 45 Arizona, 42

Orange Bowl: Sun Life Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida on December 31st
Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-2) vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (10-3)

For a big chunk of 2014, Mississippi State looked like the team to beat in the college football world. Though, their wins over Texas A&M, Auburn and LSU soon began to look less impressive by the passing day, and lackluster performances against Alabama and reeling Ole Miss have put some doubt into many people's minds on just how good Miss. State actually was this year. Dak Prescott is a great quarterback but turnovers have been a problem for him, as well as his accuracy. At times, his throws are superb, but at other moments he lacks the zip on the football. Josh Robinson is a beast at back and the Bulldogs have a number of weapons at receiver, meaning they can put up points in a hurry if Prescott does play well. Mississippi State's defense has been strong all year, but they haven't faced an offense like Georgia Tech's yet this year. Paul Johnson and the Yellow Jackets still run their patented triple-option attack, which has been run masterfully by quarterback Justin Thomas throughout the year. Thomas clearly doesn't have to throw much, but he has shown the ability to surprise defenses with his arm and he is about as fast as a quick back or receiver. Johnson and Tech have their usual fair share of solid ball carries, including the powerful Zach Laskey and explosive Synjyn Days, a scary threat in the open field. The Yellow Jackets bring an underrated defense to the table, one that did a good job containing Georgia's offense just a couple weeks ago. Linebacker Paul Davis is one of the ACC's most underrated players, racking up 108 tackles, four sacks and an interception which he returned to the house. Davis will provide pressure to Prescott and also spy him often, hoping to contain the dual threat if he decides to tuck it and run. A major question for Mississippi State will be if they can provide much pressure. Georgia Tech guard Shaq Mason is as good and powerful as they come and the unit as a whole is very experienced. Once more, Mississippi State might be the better team in this matchup, though Tech has been overlooked for much of the year and they have ended the year well. On the contrary, Miss. State has ended the year very poorly and they don't give me enough confidence, especially if Prescott isn't superb, which he might need to be.
Georgia Tech, 31 Mississippi State, 24

Monday, December 29, 2014

Bowl Predictions 2014-2015: Russell Athletic Bowl to Foster Farms Bowl

Deshaun Watson
Russell Athletic Bowl: Florida Citrus Bowl, Orlando, on December 29th
Oklahoma Sooners (8-4) vs. Clemson Tigers (9-3)

It has been a pretty rough season for Oklahoma, a popular Playoff pick entering the year the Sooners have gone an underwhelming 8-4 and will quite a test in their bowl game against the Tigers. The Sooners will have to deal with the multitude of options head coach Dabo Swinney has at his disposal, including quarterback Deshaun Watson. Despite suffering a torn ACL, according to Swinney, Watson is set to start for Clemson in this one, after starting the Tigers' regular season finale against archrival South Carolina. A dynamic playmaker, Watson still is learning as a passer but he is a gifted runner and the offense seems to run better when he is in over senior Cole Stoudt. The ground game is manned by solid tailback Wayne Gallman, who has only gotten better as 2014 has progressed, and Watson has a proven target to throw to in rapidly improving receiver Mike Williams. Add in a defense that is stocked in the front with defensive end Vic Beasley and nose guard Grady Jarrett and Clemson will give Oklahoma some issues. A year ago, Oklahoma QB Trevor Knight had a masterful performance in guiding the Sooners to a Sugar Bowl upset of Alabama. While he had his ups-and-downs this year he still is a deceptively quick runner with a strong arm. Freshman Samaje Perine, who broke the NCAA single game rushing record just weeks ago, will give Clemson's strong rush defense problems, while Sterling Shepard is bound to be a problem for the Tigers in the passing game. OU's defense has been decent this year but it has had moments where it can't stop much. Linebacker Eric Striker also had a coming out party in last year's Sugar Bowl and he will be key in pressuring Watson and forcing him out of the pocket. While Oklahoma is an extremely talented team and Perine could have a big game if not properly contained, Clemson with Watson is a legit Top 10-caliber team. Even if he doesn't start, Clemson still has the improving offensive weapons and defensive punch it needs to hand the Sooners their fifth loss of the year.
Clemson, 30 Oklahoma, 21

Texas Bowl: NRG Stadium, Houston, on December 29th
Texas Longhorns (6-6) vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-6)

Charlie Strong has a long road ahead of him in taking a Texas program that has fallen severely back to the top but a 7-6 debut with the injuries and inconsistent quarterback play would not be terrible. After the career ending injury to QB David Ash, who had a long history of injury problems, Tyrone Swoopes was thrown into the position a little bit prematurely. Swoopes impressed with his running ability and he has showcased his strong arm occasionally but he is still improving. Arkansas has a SEC defense so you know they will be pressuring the quarterback and getting in Swoopes' face early and often. How the young sophomore handles the pressure will be a major point in this game. Senior receivers Jaxon Shipley and John Harris have been great this year when healthy and will test an inconsistent Arkansas' pass defense, while Malcolm Brown gives some punch on the ground. The Longhorns' offensive line has been decent this year but they be up for a tough task in stopping Trey Flowers and the rest of the Razorbacks' pass rush. A major part of Arkansas' hot streak to end the year has been the defense, which absolutely shut down Ole Miss in a 30-0 blowout a couple weeks ago. Another huge part of their second half success has been the ground attack, which is flourishing with the dynamic duo of Alex Collins and Jonathan Williams. Both have rushed for over 1,000 yards on the year and their ability to wear down defenses opens up the passing game for the efficient Brandon Allen. The Longhorns' defense has relied heavily on defensive end Cedric Reed for years and once more they will need his services. Not only will he have to pressure Allen, he will also have to provide a lot of help in run support to tame Collins and Williams. After an extremely forgettable 2012 followed by a rocky 2013, Arkansas finally has the talent to wind up over .500. Bret Bielema has a program on the rise once more in the Razorbacks and it should begin by overpowering the Longhorns on the ground to coast to a win.
Arkansas, 27 Texas, 14

Music City Bowl: LP Field, Nashville, on December 30th
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-5) vs. LSU Tigers (8-4)

Just two months ago, Notre Dame had a chance to snap Florida State's long winning streak and improve to 7-0 with a resume that included the reigning champs and a dominant performance against Michigan. But, a questionable offensive pass interference call cost Notre Dame the game and things only went downhill after that, as the Irish stumbled to a 1-4 finish that included an embarrassing loss to Northwestern. Everett Golson and the Irish will hope to figure things out before a serious test against a tough LSU team. Although their passing game was a joke for much of the year, the Tigers did what they always do: ride their ground attack and a punishing defense to a successful year. Freshman Leonard Fournette only gets better and he could show us what is to come in the future against a Notre Dame defense that has struggled against the run at times this season. Powerful Terrance Magee and Kenny Hilliard provide some more yardage, and the defense is superb. Linebacker Kwon Alexander does it all, with 81 tackles, two sacks and two forced fumbles on the year while end Danielle Hunter is a load to deal with. The question for LSU will be there pass game, which has not been able to get consistent play from either Anthony Jennings or Brandon Harris this year. Both have shown the ability to run with their legs but much big plays through the air in this game should be rare. The Irish need Golson to be smart and not turn the ball over, but that has been a question all year for him. He has shown the ability to make some great throws under pressure but too often he forces things and doesn't let the game come to him. Notre Dame's staff has already announced dynamic Malik Zaire will also see action, pointing towards the future for the Irish at the position. Receiver William Fuller has had some great moments and he is a legitimate stud when playing well, but Golson has to get him the ball. While the Irish defense has been strong all year, they could be in for a rude awakening against LSU. They have not seen an offense with the powerful run scheme quite like LSU and they could struggle.
LSU, 24 Notre Dame, 16

Belk Bowl: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte on December 30th
Georgia Bulldogs (9-3) vs. Louisville Cardinals (9-3)

Even without Todd Gurley, their star and face of the program, for a better part of the 2014 season, winning nine games is not a terrible record at all in the first year of the post-Aaron Murray era for the Bulldogs. Nick Chubb, a powerful freshman, has filled in and done a superb job in the absence of Gurley, while quarterback Hutson Mason has done a good job engineering the offense. But, for the 'Dawgs it is more about their defense, which has a great group of linebackers, including pass rushers Jordan Jenkins and Leonard Floyd, who will give the Louisville O-Line some troubles. Will Gardner has done a good taking over the reigns of the Louisville in the post-Teddy Bridgewater era there. DeVante Parker has NFL scouts drooling because of his amazing size and athleticism and he could have coming out party against a less than stellar Georgia secondary. The Cardinals will also bring a strong defense to the table, one led by interception machine Gerod Holliman, who has just announced his intentions to turn pro. Holliman has excellent ball skills and is an absolute ball hawk and Mason will need to make sure he isn't throwing in his direction very often. End Lorenzo Mauldin is a monster and he will provide the pressure needed to disrupt any rhythm that Mason will attempt to establish. Considering both of these schools lost their longtime stars at quarterback, the fact that they both have won nine games and have a shot at ten is pretty amazing. This one looks to a run-first, defensive, grind it out type of football game in Charlotte. If Mason can make a couple big plays and the Georgia secondary contains Parker, Mark Richt's Bulldogs should win double digit games.
Georgia, 27 Louisville, 21

Foster Farms Bowl: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California on December 30th
Maryland Terrapins (7-5) vs. Stanford Cardinal (7-5)

While Jim Harbaugh appears primed to be heading to Ann Arbor, his predecessor at Stanford, David Shaw is once more bringing the Cardinal to a bowl game, though a lesser one than the BCS bowls the Cardinal have enjoyed the past couple of years. Considering the losses on defense and their offensive line, going 7-5 hasn't been completely terrible for Stanford. Junior quarterback Kevin Hogan still has his fair share of ups-and-downs, but he did end the regular season strong with a masterful performance against UCLA. He will have his favorite target, receiver Ty Montgomery, to throw too once more and they could combine for some big plays, especially in play action. Montgomery a physical specimen with dazzling speed also can make plays in special teams. The ground attack has been decent, as Remound Wright can give some defenses problems. Randy Edsall clearly has the Maryland program on the rise, as they will be playing in their second straight bowl game. Fifth year senior C.J. Brown leads the offense, both a passer with over 2,000 yards and as a runner where he ran for 569. Though, the Terrapins' offense has really missed the big play potential of receiver Stefon Diggs, who is so dangerous when healthy. But, Diggs appears ready to play in the bowl game, after a three game absence for lacerated kidney and a one game suspension. Diggs has incredible speed and can break a play open anytime he touches the ball and it will be interesting to see how the disciplined Stanford defense handles. Linebacker A.J. Tarpley leads the Cardinal defense, which once more was strong all year. C.J. Brown has struggled against some of the top Big Ten defenses and he will need to play smart if the Terps are going to stick in this game. While the return of Diggs adds some excitement to Maryland's offense, the defense could have some troubles stopping a powerful Stanford attack. If Hogan plays well and makes the occasional big throw, Stanford should be in good position to finish a relatively disappointing year on a high note.
Stanford, 20 Maryland, 17

Saturday, December 27, 2014

Bowl Predictions 2014-2015: Indpedence Bowl to Liberty Bowl

Brad Kaaya
Independence Bowl: Independence Stadium, Shreveport, Louisiana, on December 27th
South Carolina Gamecocks (6-6) vs. Miami Hurricanes (6-6)

While it has been a pretty disappointing year for both programs, a win in the Independence Bowl would give one program serious momentum entering 2015, important especially for Miami, who is hoping to speed up the development of young but improving QB Brad Kaaya. Although Kaaya is still prone to mistakes and still lacks the dangerous deep arm, the 'Canes offense needs, there is no denying how good he has been in his first year in Coral Gables. Kaaya has thrown for nearly 3,000 yards and 25 touchdowns and is a legitimate Heisman candidate entering next year. Duke Johnson has been fantastic after healing from his ankle injury that cost him the last couple games of 2013. Johnson and freshman Joseph Yearby have combined for nearly 2,000 yards on the ground and they should give a struggling South Carolina rush defense serious problems. Add in dynamic receiver Phillip Dorsett and the 'Canes offense has all the tools to put up points in bunches, as usual. But, they struggle to close out games, and their defense has been shaky all season, despite the leadership of linebacker Denzel Perryman. South Carolina has a dangerous runner of their own in powerful Mike Davis, who is among the nation's best when healthy (and like Johnson, has announced he will go pro following this game). Quarterback Dylan Thompson has also put up great numbers this year, tossing the ball for over 3,000 yards in his debut, after a long backup role behind Connor Shaw. And, South Carolina also has a dangerous receiver Pharoh Cooper along with Nick Jones. Add in a strong offensive line, especially in the interior, and you wonder how South Carolina lost six games. While it all had to do with their defense. The losses of Jadeveon Clowney and others amounted to a defense without much leadership, and one that has been dismal against the pass all season. Kaaya should get plenty of opportunities over the top with Dorsett, and tight end Clive Walford is a superb tight end underneath. While Miami is stumbling into this game following a rough stretch, they have the pieces to give a Gamecocks' defense fits. Unless Davis can lead them to victory in a shootout, Steve Spurrier's Gamecocks could fall under .500.
Miami, 39 South Carolina, 28

Pinstripe Bowl: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York on December 27th
Boston College Eagles (7-5) vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (6-6)

It has been an odd season for both the Nittany Lions and Eagles and it should culminate in an interesting Pinstripe Bowl. Following a 4-0 start in the James Franklin era, Penn State's offense lost it's touch and the defense struggled, forcing them to a 2-6 record down the stretch that included a number of embarrassing conference losses. Meanwhile, Boston College appeared to be a major player in the ACC race following a huge upset over USC, but could not recapture the magic of that night throughout the course of the season, though they nearly upset Florida State. Penn State quarterback Christian Hackenberg began his sophomore season on fire, but has struggled down the stretch. He hasn't had much help from his line, but he has made poor decisions and has forced throws. DaeSean Hamilton was a bright spot all season at receiver for the Nittany Lions, and those two could give BC's secondary some problems. Defensively, linebacker Mike Hull and defensive back Adrian Amos are studs, but Penn State has struggled to get pressure on the quarterback and force turnovers. Boston College quarterback Tyler Murphy is special with his legs, rushing for over 1,000 yards on the season, but he still leaves a lot to be desired as a passer. If the Nittany Lions can contain Murphy, they do have a shot. While Murphy is extremely quick and can get out of the pocket quickly, Penn State does have a disciplined front seven that should be up to the task. The big question for Penn State will clearly be their offense, which can put up dazzling numbers one moment, than put up 14-point stinkers, like in their loss to Illinois. If Murphy is relatively contained, and Hackenberg makes smart decisions, the Nittany Lions are in good position. If not, Murphy will run all over PSU and drop the Nittany Lions to 6-7 on the year, putting a ton of pressure on Franklin entering 2015.
Boston College, 27 Penn State, 20

Holiday Bowl: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, on December 27th
Nebraska Huskers (9-3) vs. USC Trojans (8-4)

The Nebraska Cornhuskers will try to begin the post-Pelini era on a high note by taking down a USC team that has had their moments, but overall has been a disappointment. After a scorching hot start to the year that had some remembering the USC of old, the Trojans slowed down significantly. Quarterback Cody Kessler still had some huge plays through the air, back Javarious "Buck" Allen still ran the ball well and the defense led by NFL prospects Leonard Williams and Su'a Cravens had their moments. When Kessler is playing well, he is truly among the nation's most gifted quarterbacks. He sees the field extremely well, has the arm to get the ball anywhere and can evade pressure. But, too often he has had poor moments and it is tough to ever know which Kessler is going to show up. Nebraska has been all about tailback Ameer Abdullah, to nobody's surprise. If not for being pretty banged up throughout the year, Abdullah would have a legit Heisman candidate. Sophomore QB Tommy Armstrong has had some moments, but overall the passing game is a pretty major liability, even with talented wide out Kenny Bell still on board, although this will be his last game in a Husker uniform. The big question has been defense for Nebraska, which was absolutely embarrassed in losses to Minnesota (which utilizes back David Cobb) and Wisconsin (Melvin Gordon). While DE Randy Gregory is a monster, he doesn't offer much in run support, a serious problem for an inexperienced front seven. Unless, things have miraculously changed in a month, Allen could have an absolute monster day and open up the play action for Kessler. It hasn't been a terrible year for either programs but an appearance in the relatively unspectacular (at least to these fanbases) Holiday Bowl is not very fun. Both of these programs are desperately attempting to regain national relevance,  a win here would help. Nebraska can't stop anybody on defense and unless Armstrong improves dramatically quickly the offense won't have much bite. Plus, Nebraska always seems to loss four games a year.
USC, 42 Nebraska, 27

Liberty Bowl: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis on December 29th
Texas A&M Aggies (7-5) vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-5)

Just two and a half months ago, Kenny Hill was a Heisman candidate and Texas A&M was a legit Playoff threat. Things look a lot different now, Hill is now standing on the sidelines, and the Aggies are playing in a pretty meaningless Liberty Bowl. Kyle Allen, Hill's replacement, has been solid in operating the Aggies' offense and he has a plethora of weapons, including Malcome Kennedy, Speedy Noil and Ed Pope. But, even with end Myles Garrett doing amazing things in his true freshman year, the defense has still been pretty terrible, and West Virginia can score in bunches, something they've proved throughout 2014. While Clint Trickett just recently announced his retirement from football, whoever takes over the reigns of the Mountaineer offense has one of the nation's best receivers, Kevin White, along with the speedy quick Mario Alford. Joining the fun is Pitt transfer Rushell Shell, a strong runner who is always a danger to bust open big plays. While Dana Holgorsen has never been known for defense, the defense has looked solid all year, containing Baylor in an upset, along with two strong performances against Alabama and TCU. While it is a rather unspectacular bowl appearance for Texas A&M, an appearance in the Liberty Bowl is solid progress for Holgorsen, who was firmly on the hot seat when the year began. If his offense can stop Garrett from making too much of an impact and play smart, they should put up points and lots of them. Unless Kyle Allen and the offense, which has little momentum can make some big plays, West Virginia has a superb shot at winning their eighth game of 2014. Following a rough 2013 in which WVU went 4-8, it would a might success in Morgantown.
West Virginia, 38 Texas A&M, 23

Friday, December 26, 2014

Bowl Predictions 2014-2015: Heart of Dallas Bowl to Sun Bowl

Mike Dudek
Heart of Dallas Bowl: Cotton Bowl, Dallas on December 26th
Illinois Fighting Illini (6-6) vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-5)

While it did take longer than some hoped, Tim Beckman managed to get the Fighting Illini into a bowl game, thanks back to back wins over Penn State and Northwestern to end the regular season. While a Big Ten-Conference USA matchup is usually one sided, Illinois better be well prepared against a Louisiana Tech offense that can be absolutely lethal at times. The Illini have benefitted from the superb play of QB Reilly O'Toole down the stretch, along with impact wide receiver Mike Dudek, a freshman who caught 69 passes in the slot position. Though, youth on defense has been a problem all season for Illinois, especially in the secondary, an issue against the Bulldogs, who can air it out. Iowa transfer Cody Sokol has seen the Illinois defense in his Big Ten days and he could absolutely pick it apart for Tech. Sokol threw for 3,189 yards and 29 touchdowns on the year, and rarely made any mistakes despite throwing the ball 420 times. Along with dangerous runner Kenneth Dixon, who eclipsed 1,200 yards on the year, and receiver Trent Taylor, a speedy sophomore, the Bulldogs have the explosiveness and playmaking potential to put up huge numbers. A key point in this game is the turnover battle, where the Bulldogs are +37 while the Illini are -20 in turnover margin. If O'Toole makes mistakes and the inconsistent defense can't force Sokol to do the same, Illinois will have problems. While Illinois does have momentum following those key Big Ten victories, their shaky defense could be their undoing against the plethora of offensive weapons Louisiana Tech can bring to the table.
Louisiana Tech, 35 Illinois, 23

Quick Lane Bowl: Ford Field, Detroit, on December 26th
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (7-5) vs. UNC Tar Heels (6-6)

While their inaugural Big Ten season wasn't exactly a roaring success for the Scarlet Knights, a 7-5 posting and a decent bowl bid isn't too bad. Meanwhile, the Tar Heels are hoping they can cap off a year with a solid victory in a 2014 filled with disappointment. Forget the embarrassment of a near loss to FCS opponent Liberty, UNC's defense was obliterated in key opportunities to change their season, against East Carolina (where they allowed 70) and Notre Dame. Marquise Williams did all he could do for the Tar Heels at quarterback, passing for over 2,000 yards and running for over 700 more, and he will enter 2015 as a dark horse Heisman candidate. He also is supported by receiver Ryan Switzer, who grew into more than just a special teams demon this season, recording 703 receiving yards. Although his career in Piscataway has been highlighted for ups-and-downs, Rutgers QB Gary Nova has found his stride in 2014, a major reason why the Knights did win seven games despite losing injury prone halfback Paul James for the season. Receiver Leonte Carroo has played a major reason in Nova and the offense's success, while the defense has been stout all year long, especially against the run despite being pretty inexperienced. While it has been a widely successful year and a statement year for head coach Kyle Flood and Rutgers to the rest of the Big Ten, losing here to North Carolina would greatly hurt their momentum heading into next season. UNC is a talented team offensively, but their defense is an absolute joke, stunning for a program that prided itself defensively during the Butch Davis era. Perhaps the Tar Heels can force a couple turnovers off of Nova, who has struggled with turnover problems throughout his long tenure as Rutgers QB. If they don't, they will be in poor shape.
Rutgers, 34 UNC, 24

St. Petersburg Bowl: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida on December 26th
UCF Knights (9-3) vs. NC State Wolfpack (7-5)

George O'Leary and Central Florida followed up their most successful year in school history with a strong season, going 9-3 and winning a share of the American Athletic Conference title. Now, they get a chance to accomplish another double-digit win year, if they can stop NC State's dynamic QB Jacoby Brissett, a transfer from Florida. Brissett showed all kinds of magic this year, throwing for 2,344 yards and 22 touchdowns, while also running for 498 and three more. Along with back Shadrach Thornton, and the quick but deceptively powerful Brissett, NC State has a ground attack that can give UCF linebacker Terrance Plummer and his teammates troubles. The big question is what they can do through the air, against an experienced secondary that is very disciplined. The Wolfpack defense has been solid all season, but Central Florida has the chance to put up some points, if QB Justin Holman can continue the rhythm he has been playing with in the second half of the year. The Knights have also replaced NFL running back Storm Johnson with powerful rusher William Stanback (10 touchdowns in 2014) and have found a consistent top target in junior Breshad Perriman, who is averaging over 22 yards per reception this season. Mix in the sure-handed J.J. Worton, and UCF has a strong, efficient offense to go along with it's dominant defense, which is among the nation's best. Not only is Plummer one of the nation's best linebackers, the unit as a whole has incredible depth and is very experienced and the Wolfpack will certainly struggle to get anything easy.  While Brissett's playmaking ability gives NC State a fighting chance, the offense will most likely still have a tough time putting up points,  and UCF will put up just enough to get a nice bowl victory.
UCF, 28 NC State, 22

Military Bowl: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Maryland on December 27th
Cincinnati Bearcats (9-3) vs. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-6)

After a dominant early-season victory over Ohio State, Virginia Tech and head coach Frank Beamer appeared ready to be a major factor in the ACC race, after falling off the last couple years. But, the offense continued to be a major problem and the defense had some injuries, amounting to a less than spectacular 6-6 record. Beamer is eager to prove the program has not slipped, to both Tech fans and the nation as a whole, and beating a solid Bearcats team would certainly help. Cincinnati has enjoyed some instant success from Notre Dame transfer Gunner Kiel, who exploded for over 3,000 yards and 30 touchdowns on the year. Although he will still make mistakes, Kiel's strong arm and Shaq Washington's playmaking ability at receiver give Cincy's offense some serious explosiveness, something they have lacked as of late. It will also test Bud Foster's defense, who has been great all year, as usual. Cornerback Kendall Fuller will have his work cut out for him, stopping Kiel from making plays down the field, though he is up to the task. The Hokies' defense shouldn't be too much of a problem, but the offense has been dreadful all season. Texas Tech transfer Michael Brewer has had his moments, but the lack of a consistent ground attack and offensive line struggles have doomed him. Though, if the defense does shut down the Bearcats, Brewer has proven he can play smart with the ball and make good decisions, like he did in that Ohio State victory. A surprisingly major problem for Tech this year? Special teams, which has been a staple of "Beamer Ball" under Frank Beamer but could turn out to be a problem if the offense can't put up points. If Kiel can make some plays down the field and the defense put some pressure on Brewer, Virginia Tech will have little hope. They just don't have the offensive firepower, or anything close to it, to compete with an offense like Cincinnati's.
Cincinnati, 31 Virginia Tech, 17

Sun Bowl: Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas, on December 27th
Arizona State Sun Devils (9-3) vs. Duke Blue Devils (9-3)

Following an impressive victory over Notre Dame where they forced Everett Golson to make mistake after mistake, the ASU Sun Devils appeared to be a threat down the stretch and possibly a CFB Playoff possibility. But, the offense has had some shaky moments since the return of quarterback Taylor Kelly and the defensive's lack of experience culminated to losses to Oregon State and then Arizona. Taylor Kelly is a great QB but he has had some ups-and-downs since returning from an injury, making some uncharacteristic mistakes. Halfback D.J. Foster has been a stud all year long, along with reliable receiver Jaelen Strong, who just this week announced that this bowl game would be his last one in an ASU uniform, and that he will soon be playing on Sundays. While the "Big Three" have done wonders as usual for the Sun Devils, the defense has been shaky. While it has had some signature moments, it was picked apart by Sean Mannion in the loss to the Beavers, and Anu Solomon in the loss to Arizona. It does have the ability to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks and pick off some passes, but it lacks the discipline to be a strong defense. Duke faltered late in the year, after appearing to be on a collision course in the ACC Championship game with Florida State, a repeat of last year. Anthony Boone has done a decent job since taking over the reigns full time of the offense, having lots of support from record-setting receiver Jamison Crowder, who caught 78 passes for 942 yards in 2014. Though, the Blue Devils' defense has also lacked consistency, and despite safety Jeremy Cash's best efforts struggled in a loss to archrival North Carolina. While Kelly has struggled, along with the defense, Arizona State is by far the more talented team in this battle. While Crowder will certainly help keep the game close, this Duke team hasn't seen an offense with the explosiveness and playmaking ability since last year's loss in that ACC Championship game to FSU. Coming off a loss to their hated instate rival, Arizona State should be motivated to end the year on a high note, and record their second straight 10-win season.
Arizona State, 35 Duke, 27

Sunday, December 21, 2014

Bowl Predictions 2014-2015: Boca Raton to Hawai'i Bowl

Devon Johnson
Boca Raton Bowl: Florida Atlantic Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida on December 23rd
Marshall Thundering Herd (12-1) vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (11-2)

Two of the nation's top Group of Six schools square off in Boca Raton, Florida, with hopes of ending their seasons on high notes. Marshall will be led by their gunslinger at quarterback, senior Rakeem Cato, attempting to end his illustrious with another major performance. Cato will attempt to throw all over a Northern Illinois secondary that has not completely recovered from the loss of stud safety Jimmie Ward, who is now in the NFL. While Cato will constantly challenge the Huskies, he isn't the only offensive weapon at head coach Doc Holliday's disposal for the Herd. Running back Devon Johnson is an absolute speedster, who ran for 1,636 yards and 16 touchdowns and is a legitimate Heisman candidate for 2015. Another junior back, Steward Butler also adds a dangerous runner to the equation, especially near the end zone. Add in sure-handed receiver Tommy Shuler and the Herd's solid offensive line and you have all the recipes for huge offensive numbers, which Marshall has put up all season long. While Northern Illinois did have growing pains following the departure of their heart and soul, QB Jordan Lynch, going 11-2 and winning the MAC is nothing to be down about. Dual threat sophomore quarterback Drew Hare has done an admirable job attempting to fill the massive shoes left behind by Lynch, passing for over 2,000 yards and running for over 800, while not making too much mistakes along the way. He was helped by steady back Cameron Stingily and senior receiver Da'Ron Brown, who recorded over 1,000 yards and made a long list of impressive catches. While both offenses have all the talent and game plan to put up incredible numbers, their defenses could severely limit them. Marshall allowed 67 points to Western Kentucky, including 42 in the first two quarters of the game, while the Huskies have struggled to consistently stop offenses that spread them across the field, because they lack the speed, athleticism and instincts. This game will almost certainly be a shootout and whoever makes the least amount of mistakes, should end up winning. With a more experienced Cato leading Marshall, they should put up a victory in his grand finale.
Marshall, 49 Northern Illinois, 41

Poinsettia Bowl: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego on December 23rd
San Diego State Aztecs (7-5) vs. Navy Midshipmen (7-5)

The Poinsettia Bowl has been a postseason home for these two teams; it will be Navy's fourth appearance and SDSU's third since the bowl's inception in 2005. The Midshipmen hope they can get a big win against a solid Aztecs team after a rather unspectacular year for Navy, even with a near upset bid to begin the season against Ohio State. Navy will once more use their triple-option attack, spearheaded by Keenan Reynolds who ran for 1,182 yards on the year, while also throwing for 826 and eight touchdowns. Add in powerful Noah Copeland and the Midshipmen will do what they always do: run the ball, then run some more and continue to run. That will test a SDSU rush defense that did gain valuable experience when they played Air Force earlier in the year, which also runs the triple-option. They also had success against the Falcons, holding them to 14 points in a 30-14 victory in late November. While Navy runs the ball with a trio of different options, the Aztecs lean on just one ball carrier, but he is one great one. Donnel Pumphrey has been one of the nation's best backs, rushing for 1,761 and 19 scores and he will clearly give Navy some serious problems. Having a back like Pumphrey not only helps the ground attack flourish, it helps the play action game, where QB Quinn Kaehler is a solid quarterback and he has a dangerous weapon to help him in wide receiver Ezell Ruffin who can make some big plays. Both of these defenses have played decent all year and both are equipped to handle the run pretty well. That will force Reynolds and Kaehler to look through the air slightly more and turnovers and special teams matter even more. While Reynolds is one heck of a player he will need more than just Copeland and a decent defense to defeat a good Aztecs team. While both of these teams have ended their years on high notes, San Diego State will benefit from home field advantage and a more balanced team.
San Diego State, 28 Navy, 16

Popeyes Bahamas Bowl: Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium, Nassau, Bahamas on December 24th
Central Michigan Chippewas (7-5) vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-5)

While the departure of Bobby Petrino back to Louisville was expected to dampen Western Kentucky's offense, it hasn't as the Hilltoppers have been absolutely scary offensively all year. Quarterback Brandon Doughty has thrown for 4,344 yards on the season along with 44 touchdowns, making smarter decisions all season and just seeming more relaxed in the pocket. Junior tailback Leon Allen is also a serious playmaker, rushing 1,490 yards and 12 touchdowns, mixing in power and quickness. They face off against the Central Michigan Chippewas, led by Michigan transfer Thomas Rawls, a powerful workhorse. Quarterback Cooper Rush is a strong-armed quarterback looking to take advanatage of a shaky Hilltoppers' secondary, along with one of the nation's most underrated receivers, Titus Davis, who has 843 yards on the season. While Western Kentucky has put up crazy offensive numbers the lack of middle linebacker Andrew Jackson's presence has been an issue, especially against the run, an issue considering the Chippewas give the ball to Rawls well over 20 times a game on average. While the Hilltoppers have a lot of speed offensively, Central Michigan has experience and depth on defense that few MAC teams have. If they can force Doughty into a couple mistakes and run the ball effectively, they will be in very good position to win their eighth game of the season.
Central Michigan, 34 Western Kentucky, 31

Hawai'i Bowl: Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, on December 24th
Fresno State Bulldogs (6-7) vs. Rice Owls (7-5)

It took a long time for Fresno to recover from the loss of Derek Carr this past off season (he's now trying to lead Oakland back to contention) and while they still have work to do, they have ended the year on a high note, winning three of four after beginning the year at 3-6. Considering the loss of Carr and record-setting receiver Davante Adams, the team's offensive struggles have been no real surprise, but the defense has been brutal, 101st in scoring defense. They will face off against a solid Rice team, that is led by senior receiver Jordan Taylor and defensive end Brian Nordstorm, who has put up huge numbers on the season. Nordstorm and the rest of the Owls' defense, which was lacked consistency this whole 2014. Brian Burrell has done a superb job taking over the reigns of the Bulldogs' offense after beating out Duke transfer Brandon Connette for the job. He has only gotten better as the year has gone, especially during Fresno's recent hot streak. Marteze Waller and Josh Quezada are two solid backs who should have a strong day, while receiver Josh Harper is a do-it-all offensive weapon. Add in Derron Smith, an interception machine who is always ready for the big play, and the Bulldogs have the talent to handle the Owls. While the defense could still have a bad day, Fresno's recent play has given me much more confidence in picking them. While a .500 year is not anything to be crazy about for Fresno, after the team nearly went to a BCS bowl a season ago, it is a solid follow-up to consecutive great years for the Bulldogs, if they take down Rice in Honolulu.
Fresno State, 27 Rice, 20

Sunday, December 14, 2014

Bowl Predictions 2014-2015: New Orleans Bowl to Miami Beach Bowl

Cody Fajardo
New Orleans Bowl: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, on December 20th
Nevada Wolfpack (7-5) vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (8-4)

Two of the nation's most underrated quarterbacks, Nevada senior Cody Fajardo and Lafayette's Terrance Broadway, will hope to kick off bowl season with a bang. Fajardo, a four-year starter for Nevada, has even drawn comparisons to former Wolfpack star Collin Kaepernick, though his arm is not anywhere close to the level of Kaepernick. Fajardo has accounted for 31 total touchdowns this year, 18 through the air and 13 with his legs and his dangerous mobility will almost certainly cause an inconsistent Lafayette defense some major problems. The Ragin' Cajuns will also bring a scary rushing offense to the equation led by Broadway and the two-headed monster of Alonzo Harris and Elijah McGuire. Much like Fajardo, Broadway is about as dangerous as they come as a runner, gifted with superb agility and speed, but his arm is something to be desired. When pressured, he is prone to mistakes, especially when flushed out of the pocket, considering his arm is not strong enough to make good throws on the run. McGuire and Harris beat up on Arkansas State's rush defense earlier in the year, with McGuire having a huge day, accounting for 265 yards and four scores. While Broadway, McGuire and Harris should lead the way for a dangerous ULL offense, the defense has evidently struggled. The defense allowed 533 yards of total offense to a very pedestrian Louisiana Tech team earlier in the year and they've constantly struggled against quicker, more up-tempo teams. Though, the Ragin' Cajuns have on other thing working very much in the favor: their ability to win in New Orleans. Head coach Mark Hudspeth and Lafayette have won three straight games here. Even with an inconsistent defense, their offense has the talent to make up for it.
Louisiana-Lafayette, 40 Nevada, 31

Gildan New Mexico Bowl: University Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico, on December 20th
Utah State Aggies (9-4) vs. UTEP Miners (7-5)

Another injury to star quarterback Chuckie Keeton once more threatened Utah State's season. But, led by a stout defense and methodical offense, the Aggies managed to win nine games and earn a bowl berth against a sneaky 7-5 UTEP team. The Aggies' defense will almost certainly be challenged by a pretty explosive Miners' offense led by gunslinger Jammeil Showers, once the starter at Texas A&M over Johnny Manziel. UTEP also has a great back in sophomore Aaron Jones, who makes plays as a runner and receiver out of the backfield. Jones has enjoyed the luxury of playing some weak defenses in the offensive-minded Conference USA, and it will interesting to see how effective he is against a Utah State rush defense that includes the tough and rangy Vigil brothers, Zach and Nick. Though, considering the Aggies just allowed 229 yards on the ground to Jay Ajayi of Boise State a couple weeks ago, maybe that rush defense is not as good as previously thought. If the rush defense does not find itself Showers will be forced to throw a lot, something that is relatively worrying for the Miners. While Showers is a good quarterback, he will still attempt to do too much, evidenced when he helped orchestrate a five-turnover night for the Miners in a 52-point loss to Louisiana Tech. If Utah State can contain Showers and Jones, they have a smart, strong offense that won't turn the ball over much. Freshman LaJuan Hunt has done an admirable job taking over the lead back role from more experienced Jojo Natson. While UTEP has a ton of momentum, considering they have improved from a disastrous 2-10 in 2013-2014 to a very respectable 7-5 this year, they will be tested by a very tough Utah State team. If the defense contains some of the Miners' playmakers, the Aggies should win comfortably.
Utah State, 28 UTEP, 14

Sunday, December 7, 2014

Reaction to CFB Playoff Field

Unfortunately, TCU won't get a chance in this year's Playoffs.
College football officially ushered in a new era today when the College Football Playoff Committee officially unveiled their four final teams that would be squaring off in the first ever College Football Playoff. Alabama earned the No. 1 spot in the rankings, followed by Oregon, Florida State and the big surprise of it all, Ohio State, who jumped both Baylor and TCU to earn the fourth and final spot. Not only did the Horned Frogs fall out of the four-team Playoff field, they also dropped behind Baylor all the way down to sixth, despite dominating Iowa State by 52 points yesterday. Being a Minnesota fan and living in Big Ten country, I should ultimately be excited about the Buckeyes leaping into the field. But, I'm not, because the Committee completely, utterly screwed up.

First let's backtrack a bit, to early in the 2014-2015 season. The Buckeyes, without Braxton Miller and with a struggling rush defense, were struggling. They survived a scare from Navy and then would be upset by Virginia Tech. Wait, but they weren't merely upset by the Hokies, they were dominated at home, to a team that looked quicker, stronger and vastly superior to them. That Hokies' team would need a close victory over archrival Virginia to barely sneak into a bowl at 6-6. Though, one could argue that is was early in the year, and the young J.T. Barrett and the Buckeyes just needed some time to adjust. While victories against Maryland and Michigan State were convincing, Ohio State got multiple scares from unspectacular Big Ten teams: they got all they could handle from Penn State, played a relatively uninspired performance against 5-7 Michigan and were not overwhelmingly strong against a terrible Indiana team. When J.T. Barrett, who was putting together a marvelous season, went down with a season-ending injury, it appeared positive OSU was out of the running and the TCU-Baylor discussion heated up. A 59-0 victory in the Big Ten Championship Game certainly convinced me this Ohio State team was a good football team, but it did far from convince me they were good enough to overtake both TCU and Baylor.

TCU really, sincerely, did all they could to get into the field. A 61-58 shootout loss to Baylor clearly hurt their chances, but it was on the road in a hostile environment, with TCU dominating the Bears much of the game. The Horned Frogs' non conference schedule included a sneaky Minnesota team who they dominated, and the Horned Frogs would also dominate Kansas State and Oklahoma, and put up 82 points. But, the lack of a Big 12 Championship Game killed them, and it is the same thing that killed Baylor's chances. The fact that the Big 12 did not choose to name a conference champion (despite hailing their conference as the only conference that has "one true champion") also greatly hurt the Bears and Horned Frogs. If your conference can't manage to put together a championship game, name a champion, co-champs is a complete joke.

The committee is supposed to take common opponents into play as a major criteria on determining the four-team field, which is another reason why dropping TCU made zero sense. The Horned Frogs went out and played a tough Minnesota team at home, and absolutely demolished them. They would win by nearly four touchdowns and completely control the game from start to finish. When Ohio State played the same Gopher team, they won by seven and were not anywhere close to as dominant as TCU was. A common argument for Ohio State is their strength of schedule, which is statistically stronger than TCU's or Baylor's SOS. But, the difference is not enough to overtake Ohio State's lackluster performances and TCU's quality of wins over their opponents.

The fact of the matter is, TCU doesn't have the football rep nor the money of Ohio State, nor does Baylor. While it is sad to think, that was most likely a major reason why the Buckeyes got in, as a Ohio State-Alabama matchup is more appealing to most than a TCU-Alabama showdown. This is frustrating for TCU and Baylor and it should be a wake up call to the College Football Playoff that it must increase to eight teams and to the Big 12 that is must have a conference championship, which would mean adding at least two more teams (Cincinnati, BYU and Boise State could all be in the picture). The "criteria" the Committee was basing their rankings on do not spell out Ohio State making the Playoff over TCU and Baylor and it has cast a shadow over a bold new era in the sport. Congrats to TCU and congrats to Baylor, both of those teams were some great football teams, something that should not be overlooked, no matter which side you fall on. It is extremely unfortunate to know that neither will get an opportunity to prove themselves in this year's Playoff.