Sunday, November 27, 2016

Projecting 2016-2017 College Football Awards

Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
It has been a fun couple of months of college football, but all good things must come to an end. We have reached Championship Week, the only significant week before bowls and the Playoff. With that in mind he look ahead to some of the major award races that will wrap up here soon, and who really deserve the hardware.

Heisman: Lamar Jackson, Louisville, QB (Projected Winner)
Finalists: Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma (2nd); D'Onta Foreman, RB, Texas (3rd); Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson (4th)
While this season has had plenty of chaos, one thing that has nearly stood the test of time is the Heisman race. Lamar Jackson has had the trophy in bag since September, and despite recent struggles, appears like he will lock it down. Jackson's numbers are insane (30 passing touchdowns, 21 rushing), and he is clearly a game-changer. However, he has looked pedestrian in Louisville's recent showings, and the last memory voters will have of him before they cast their votes is a late turnover that cost them against rival Kentucky. That could open the door for another name to sneak in, but nobody pops out. Baker Mayfield and D'Onta Foreman have put up huge numbers but against Big 12 defenses, and Deshaun Watson has been extremely turnover-prone. Yet, Watson may have the best chance to usurp Lamar, as he beat Jackson in their showing and has Clemson still rolling.

Coach of the Year: Mike MacIntrye, Colorado (Project Winner)
Finalists: Nick Saban, Alabama (2nd); James Franklin, Penn State (3rd); 
Entering the season, Colorado appeared to be very much a doormat in the Pac-12. The school hadn't been to a bowl since 2007 and while they had shown progress in Year 3 of MacIntrye, they still looked a long way. Just months later, the Buffaloes are playing for a Pac-12 Championship and not completely out of the Playoff picture. MacIntrye has done a great job developing his talent, and has helped his players buy into his vision. Nick Saban is an obvious candidate as well, as the Tide have rolled to a 12-0 mark, while James Franklin's Nittany Lions have been a major surprise en route to a Big Ten East title.

Maxwell Award (Player of the Year): Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
Finalists: Jabrill Peppers, LB/S, Michigan (2nd); Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma (3rd);
The race for the Player of the Year could be interesting. Jackson will continue to back up his numbers, and strong showings against Florida State and Clemson, big wins Mayfield doesn't have. Jabrill Peppers has been the most instrumental player on a great Michigan team that could very well be 12-0 if things had gone just a little different (although it is easy to say that about a lot of teams). All three of these finalists have been announced and while Peppers can do it all, Jackson should handle this award as well.

Fred Biletnikoff Award (Outstanding Wide Receiver): Dede Westbrook, WR, Oklahoma
Finalists: Austin Carr, WR, Northwestern (2nd); Zay Jones, WR, East Carolina (3rd);
Mayfield's main option to help get that big yardage? Dede Westbrook, who has been absolutely unstoppable in the season's second half. Westbrook has 1,354 yards on the year and huge days against Texas (232 yards) and Texas Tech (202 yards) will help him cement the award. Carr has been great as well at Northwestern, and Jones is one of the best receivers in college football history, statistic-wise.

Doak Walker Award (Premier Running back): D'Onta Foreman, RB, Texas
Finalists: Dalvin Cook, RB,Florida State (2nd); Donnel Pumphrey, RB, San Diego State (3rd);
In the midst of the Charlie Strong chaos, Foreman has emerged as a monster, running angry on every play. Despite the fact Texas' offense is one-dimensional still and teams often stack the box, Foreman ran for over 2,000 yards and kept the Longhorns alive in most games. His numbers are enough to lock down the gig over two other legit candidates in Pumphrey and Cook.

Chuck Bednarik Award (Defensive Player of the Year): Jonathan Allen, DE, Alabama
Finalists: Jabrill Peppers, LB/S, Michigan (2nd); Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M (3rd);
After flirting with the NFL Draft last year, Jonathan Allen opted to stay one more year in Tuscaloosca, and it has paid off in a big way. The senior has been a dominant force, with seven sacks in 11 games, and beastly showings against USC and others. Peppers has been fantastic overall, but isn't quite the game-changer on defense. Garrett has also been terrific, but Texas A&M's struggles hurt him, even if he still continues dominating.

Other Projected Winners:
Lou Groza Award (Best Kicker): Daniel Carlson, K, Auburn
Ray Guy Award (Punter of the Year): Cameron Johnston, P, Ohio State
Outland Trophy (Best Interior Linemen): Pat Elflein, G, Ohio State
Jim Thorpe Award (Best defensive back): Jourdan Lewis, CB, Michigan
John Mackey Award (Outstanding Tight End): Jake Butt, TE, Michigan

Wednesday, November 23, 2016

2016 College Football Picks: Week Thirteen

Jabrill Peppers, Michigan
2016 College Football Picks: Week Thirteen
Current Record: 73-23

2 Ohio State Buckeyes vs. 3 Michigan Wolverines
While this college football season has seen plenty of big and exciting games, it is likely no game will have as big of an impact on the College Football Playoff as this hated rivalry. Ohio State comes in ranked second in the land and riding a wave of momentum since a mid-season loss to Penn State. They will be eager to defend their home turf against the Wolverines, who are going the opposite direction. Since a dominant start, UM has faded as of late, including a loss to Iowa and a poor showing against Indiana. Michigan still has questions at quarterback, as Wilton Speight's status is up in the air going forward. There were reports Speight was done for the year due to a broken collarbone, but others argue he may still be able to go. Former Houston transfer John O'Korn started the Wolverines' last game and was okay. O'Korn has had success against elite defenses at times, but the speed and athleticism of the Ohio State secondary presents a great challenge. No matter what happens at quarterback, Michigan will lean on a deep stable of running backs, including veteran De'Veon Smith and young stud Chris Evans. They will also turn to reliable tight end Jake Butt and a solid offensive line, which will have their work cut out for them. The Buckeyes' pass rush has been absolutely terrifying at times in 2016, thanks in large part to true freshman Nick Bosa and lengthy Sam Hubbard. The Michigan offense will have to go toe-to-toe with Ohio State on that side of the ball, and that could be worrying. While they have struggled with consistency, OSU has proven their offense can be dominant as well. Quarterback J.T. Barrett has a huge arm and is an excellent leader, but he has had some problems in big games. He will also have a tough defense to deal with, as the Wolverines' also bring plenty of playmakers on that side of the ball. Do-it-all Jabrill Peppers could see action offensively, but his strength is on defense, where he is a fantastic coverage weapon and can pressure the quarterback. Paired him with will be a defensive line full of veterans (defensive coordinator Don Brown loves to pressure the quarterback) and All-American corner Jourdan Lewis. The Buckeyes have a ton of weapons to work with offensively, namely rising back Mike Weber (1,046 yards on the campaign) and versatile H-back Curtis Samuel. Their O-Line has had some issues at times, which could lead to some serious issues as Barrett hasn't seen a defense with this elite talent really this entire season. The amount of talent in every aspect of the game is truly insane, and this rivalry will play a huge role on each season as long as Urban Meyer and Jim Harbaugh are on the sidelines. Both teams have clear strengths and weaknesses, and the game could go either way. However, it is hard for me to get behind a Wolverines team that will likely need a backup quarterback to go on the road and have the game of his life. My bet is on the Buckeyes, who will very likely lock down a Playoff berth with a win, even though that would mean not playing in the Big Ten Championship Game.
Ohio State, 31 Michigan, 24

1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. 13 Auburn Tigers
Despite plenty of tough teams in their way, Alabama has taken every lump and continues to dominate, sitting at a flawless 11-0 before facing in-state rival Auburn. The Tigers still have plenty to play for despite being out of the conference title or Playoff race. They could not only ruin Alabama's season a victory would put them in strong position for a New Year's Six Bowl. In order to do so, the Tigers will have to tame the plethora of offensive weapons Alabama possesses, while also finding a way to score against a great defense. Auburn will need to stop the explosive true freshman Jalen Hurts, who has been masterful in his first year as 'Bama QB. Hurts, who is a terrific athlete, will be joined by a powerful Damien Harris at tailback, and a great cast of receivers, namely Calvin Ridley and ArDarius Stewart. Long known as a power, run-first football team (something they certainly can still do) Alabama has shown a willingness to stretch the field under OC Lane Kiffin. They will test Auburn's secondary early and often in this one, and should be able to find some success against a mediocre defensive backfield. While Alabama will likely put up some points, they can also completely smother you on the other side of the ball. Auburn's offense has had some moments, but is looked lost two weeks ago against Georgia in a loss, and the QB situation is worrying. Starter Sean White may miss the game, which could leave the job to Jeremy Johnson or John Franklin III. Johnson was the starter in 2015 before losing the gig, while Franklin can run but his arm has been questioned. They will hopefully have back Kamryn Pettway returning, as he has missed some time but is dangerous when healthy. Even with his return, it still is a mystery how Auburn will move the ball. Their offensive line isn't great, and will be tasked with stopping Jonathan Allen, Tim Williams and company. Plus, the Tigers' passing game is far from great, but will likely need to make some big plays with how stout 'Bama is up front. With Minkah Fitzpatrick and Marlon Humphrey lurking, that could be a recipe for plenty of turnovers. It is the Iron Bowl, which means plenty of hate between these two teams, and plenty of talent. Alabama is fantastic, but they are not invincible as a number of teams have pushed them throughout 2016. If Auburn can shut down Hurts and maybe get some luck on their side, they have a chance. Yet, I still lack any reason to not continuing to pick the rolling Tide.
Alabama, 35 Auburn, 23

5 Washington Huskies vs. 23 Washington State Cougars
While the Apple Cup has been played for a long time, it usually doesn't impact the conference championship race too much. That changes this season, as 10-1 Washington and 8-3 Washington State will clash for the Pac-12 North title. The Cougars started off the season with a loss to an FCS squad, but has responded by winning eight straight towards the middle of the year. Meanwhile, the Huskies started off '16 flaming hot, blowing out anybody that stood in their way. That changed in a Week 11 loss to scorching USC Trojans. The loss hurt Washington's Playoff chances but a win this week would certainly help them in a big way. Sophomore quarterback Jake Browning is likely no longer a Heisman threat, but he has still proven he can change games. Joined by back Myles Gaskin, Biletnikoff candidate John Ross III, and plenty of others, UW shouldn't struggle to score the ball, particularly against a weak Washington State defense. Mike Leach has long been known as an offensive coach, and the Cougars fit that role. Junior Luke Falk knows how to spread the ball to an abundance of offensive threats, namely River Cracraft and Gabe Marks. However, the Cougars have not seen a defense with the talent of Washington all season long, especially in the pass-happy Pac-12. Sidney Jones and Budda Baker are two of the top talents in the conference and should help contain Wazzu's wide outs. While that Huskies' defense has been terrific, they are beat up. Top pass rusher Joe Mathis is done for the year, while linebacker Azeem Victor is also done. The loss of those two was clearly an issue, and it showed in the loss to USC. Victor was a great coverage linebacker over the middle, and Mathis played a huge role. If the rest can't pick up the slack, Falk could have a field day. With Washington averaging 44.7 points per game and WSU averaging 41.9 one thing is sure: scoring will not be an issue in what should be a Friday night shootout. Which ever team plays better defense and actually records some stops should obviously win the game. Considering the Huskies have proven more consistent in that aspect, they are my selection and should battle to a huge Pac-12 Championship Game meeting with likely Colorado.
Washington, 44 Washington State, 38

Other Picks
9 Colorado, 28 22 Utah, 20
14 Florida State, 31 15 Florida, 21
6 Wisconsin, 24 Minnesota, 13
7 Penn State, 33 Michigan State, 24
4 Clemson, 37 South Carolina, 27

Friday, November 18, 2016

2016 College Football Picks: Week Twelve

Dede Westbrook, Oklahoma
2016 College Football Picks: Week Twelve
Current Record: 68-20

9 Oklahoma Sooners vs. 14 West Virginia Mountaineers
While the Big 12 is still on the outside looking in for the Playoff, it still has a slim chance at getting into the field, and that team would most likely come from this matchup. After a 1-2 start, Oklahoma has been flaming hot, thanks to a dominant offense. Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield has been outstanding, throwing for 3,212 yards 33 touchdowns, and can change games with his electrifying playmaking ability. He will be teamed up with star backs Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine and Biletnikoff Candidate Dede Westbrook (nation's best receiver). West Virginia's defense has had some troubles under head coach Dana Holgorsen over the years, but it has been great this season. Shutting down the versatility on the OU offense will be tough, but the group has the experience and discipline to hold their own. The Sooners could have a tough time on the other side of the ball, as West Virginia knows how to move the ball. Veteran quarterback Skyler Howard has a huge arm and will hope to further expose the Sooners' struggling secondary. Also hurting the Sooners is the fact star defensive linemen Charles Walker quit the team this week to prepare for the NFL, significantly hurting Oklahoma's pass rush. The Mountaineers aren't a great rushing team, but they could find some success against an inconsistent Oklahoma rush defense. Justin Crawford is averaging over six yards a carry, and Pitt transfer Rushel Shell could also give the Sooners' some issues. This has all the makings of a typical Big 12 shootout, especially with the way Oklahoma's defense has been playing. The Mountaineers are more balanced and have a stronger defense, but this is also a team that has struggled with consistency, and the Sooners have looked unstoppable since their rough start. Even in Morgantown, OU should be able to find success, and has more experience in big games. It could be a battle, but the Sooners should be able to get the job done.
Oklahoma, 38 West Virginia, 34

10 Colorado Buffaloes vs. 22 Washington State Cougars
Few could have predicted we would be deep into November, and the Pac-12 Division leaders would be Colorado and Washington State but yet here we are. The Cougars opened up the year with a loss to FCS opponent Eastern Washington and then Boise State, but have terrific since then. The Cougars are now 7-0 in the conference, and pounded Stanford 42-16. They are led by their usual air-raid attack, with quarterback Luke Falk distributing to a strong cast of weapons on the perimeter. Falk has a huge arm and has been on fire over the past couple weeks. All-Conference receiver Gabe Marks gives Falk a reliable option to work with and do some damage against Colorado's secondary. The rushing attack has never been great under Leach, but it has been better in 2016. On the other side, Colorado has been one of the biggest surprises of the '16 campaign. The Buffaloes haven't gone to a bowl since 2007 before breaking out this season, now 8-2, with their only losses being to Michigan and dangerous USC. Much of it can be attributed to the play of their offense, which has broken out after an uneven few seasons. Veteran Sefo Liufau is one of the top passers in school history, but has missed some time due to injury, opening up the door to redshirt freshman Steven Montez. Montez will see some action, but Liufau knows how to get the job done. Liufau also could strike fear into Washington State's defense with his dual threat ability, as he has run for 316 yards and three scores on the season. Paired with veteran tailback Phillip Lindsay, rushing for 937 yards and 13 touchdowns on the season himself. The Cougars' defense has been criticized for their struggles under Leach, but the group has shown more fight this season. Colorado may have lost top wide out Nelson Spruce, who opened things up over top for the Buffaloes last year, but Shay Fields and a number of others have stepped up. Washington State has given up plenty of deep passes all season long, which could be a big problem. Both of these teams are en route to a Pac-12 Championship berth, and they both have their motivations to win another game that should feature plenty of scoring. It could come to whoever wins the turnover battle, as both offenses have struggled to hold on to the ball at times this year. Washington State has been on fire as of late, and they have beaten more quality opponents than the upstart Buffaloes. Also, Falk is a star and has played in bigger games than anybody Colorado has on the other side. With that in mind, Washington State should be able to keep it going, and set up a huge Apple Cup battle with Washington.
Washington State, 41 Colorado, 31

16 LSU Tigers vs. 23 Florida Gators
Aside from their loss to Alabama in which they couldn't do anything offensively, LSU has been very good under interim head coach Ed Orgeron, and seems to have more energy under the former D-Line coach. Orgeron has been helped by the healthy return of Leonard Fournette, who was limited earlier in the campaign. However, there have been reports of Fournette still struggling with an ankle injury, and it remains to be seen what his future may hold. If he can't go or needs limited carries, backup Derrius Guice has already proven he can run wild in the LSU offense. Purdue transfer Danny Etling hasn't been perfect since he took over starting quarterback duties, but has given the offense more efficiency. He'll have a tough task against the dangerous Florida secondary. Jalen "Teez" Tabor is well known for being a shutdown corner and he will be up for the challenge against the Tigers' physical receivers. In fact, the entire Gators' defense should be on full display. The group continues to be terrific, allowing just 13.3 points per game, fifth in the nation. With the speed and athleticism the defense possesses, LSU will not get anything easy. While the "D" continues to dominate, the same old offensive problems continue to haunt Florida. The passing game has lacked any diversity, and the Gators simply don't create any big plays. Against an LSU defense that is astoundingly tough and talented, the Gators will have a tough time. Quarterback is a question for UF right now not only because the position hasn't been great for much of the season, but because the starter has been injured. Former Oregon State and Alabama transfer Luke Del Rio has had some moments, but has missed a big chunk of the year. The Gators are hopeful he will be ready to go this weekend but if he doesn't, they will turn to their own Purdue transfer, Austin Appleby. The questions at QB can be mitigated by the explosiveness of sophomore receiver Antonio Callaway, but they will still have to throw into a Tigers' defensive backfield that is also dominant. Corner Tre'Davious White and ball-hawking safety Jamal Adams are fearless and hungry. Unless Florida can find some success running the ball or the passing game miraculously takes some huge steps forward, the group will not score much in this one. While CU-WSU and Oklahoma-WVU will have plenty of scoring, this one should be the exact opposite. It has all the looks of a SEC slugfest, and one that will be hard fought, especially considering the Gators are trying to lock down the SEC East title. While Florida's defense will keep them in the game, they struggled to contain LSU's ground game in this matchup a season ago. If Fournette is a go, the Tigers should be able to pound the rock all day long. If Etling can make some big throws and the defense does their job, LSU should give their home crowd plenty to cheer about.
LSU, 17 Florida, 13

Other Picks
2 Ohio State, 35 Michigan State, 24
12 Utah, 30 Oregon, 20
3 Michigan, 34 Indiana, 27
13 USC, 37 UCLA, 21
21 Western Michigan, 42 Buffalo, 17

Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Post-Week Eleven College Football Playoff Power Rankings

Jalen Hurts, Alabama
The Four

1 Alabama Crimson Tide 10-0 (7-0 SEC)
Coming off their bye week rested and hungry, Alabama punished 4-6 Mississippi State 51-3. Youthful quarterback Jalen Hurts continues to play well behind his years, with five total touchdowns and nearly 450 total yards against the Bulldogs. The defense also continues to be absolutely dominant, headed by defensive end Jonathan Allen and linebackers Rueben Foster and Tim Williams. Next up, Alabama shouldn't have much trouble with FCS opponent Chattanooga, before their huge Iron Bowl battle that doesn't quite look as daunting after Auburn lost to Georgia this past weekend. While the Tigers pose an interesting challenge, the Tide should roll to a flawless regular season.

2 Ohio State Buckeyes 9-1 (6-1 Big Ten)
A few weeks ago following a loss to Penn State, Ohio State's Playoff chances appeared to be hurting. After a chaotic Week Eleven, the Buckeyes are right back in a strong position. The passing game has found its stride after a poor couple weeks, and the O-Line play has developed more consistency. That has helped OSU win their last two 62-3 (against Rutgers and Maryland) and should continue to help build momentum as the Buckeyes prepare for a crucial stage against both Michigan schools. Helping out the Buckeyes is the fact Penn State is playing terrific, making their lone loss look quite as bad as it once did.

3 Clemson Tigers 9-1 (6-1 ACC)
After a string of close ones throughout the year, Clemson's luck finally caught up with them. They were unable to finish off a scrappy Pittsburgh team, as a last-second field goal gave the Tigers their first loss of the year. Well that loss obviously hurts, Clemson still owns a very good resume and still has the lead over Louisville in the ACC Atlantic. The Tigers currently own four Top 25 victories (Auburn, Florida State, Louisville, Troy) and blew out two solid ACC squads in Syracuse and Georgia Tech. Still owning the division is huge for Clemson, as it could help them earn a spot over Louisville, as the Selection Committee would definitely take a 12-1 conference winner over say, an 11-1 Louisville.

4 Louisville Cardinals 9-1 (7-1 ACC)
With plenty losing in front of them, it was a great opportunity to show the Committee what they could do. They did end up winning, but were down entering the fourth quarter against a mediocre Wake Forest squad before a huge ending that helped them win 44-12. The performance did not help the Cardinals, who looked average just a few weeks earlier against 2-8 Virginia. Also hurting the Cards is the lack of a real, huge signature win. Their most impressive win to this point is a beatdown of Florida State, but the Seminoles aren't a great team. Big performances against Houston and Kentucky to end the campaign would help add some bulk to their thin resume.

Four More in the Hunt

5 Michigan Wolverines 9-1 (6-1 Big Ten)
It was not a fun weekend for Michigan, who watched their offense struggle before losing a thriller on the road to Iowa. Next, rumors swirled that starting quarterback Wilton Speight broke his collarbone and is out for the year. It hasn't been officially confirmed whether this is true, but it still appears Speight will be out for a significant period of time. That will leave Houston transfer John O'Korn as the likely starter as the team faces sneaky Indiana before their huge Ohio State battle. Iowa was a bad loss, but the Committee may be able to give it some leeway considering it was on the road.

6 Washington Huskies 9-1 (6-1 Pac-12)
Much like Michigan and Clemson, Washington was struck by the upset bug this weekend, losing to a flaming hot USC team at home. The loss stings, as the Huskies most likely needed to win out to secure a Playoff berth, due to their relatively weak schedule. Also problematic is the fact the loss drops UW out of a spot at the Pac-12 Championship Game right now because archrival Washington State is undefeated in conference play. The Huskies should get back on track this week against struggling Arizona State, and the Wazzu game gives them an opportunity to beat a very strong opponent. But, with how disappointing the Pac-12 has been, Washington's chances for a Playoff berth just became very dim.

7 Wisconsin Badgers 8-2 (6-2 Big Ten)
While all eyes in the Big Ten have been focused on Ohio State, Michigan and even Penn State, Wisconsin just keeps on winning. The Badgers thumped Illinois this weekend to likely lock down a spot in the Big Ten Championship Game. While Wisconsin may have two losses, neither were bad, as they gave Michigan and Ohio State battles. A victory in the Big Ten Championship Game would add to a resume that includes a great victory in LSU, which would be enough for Wisconsin to sneak into the field.

8 West Virginia Mountaineers 8-1 (5-1 Big 12)
While the Pac-12's Playoff hopes look thin, the Big 12 may be an even worse spot. Their Playoff chances rest in the hands of West Virginia and Oklahoma, who play this weekend. The Mountaineers likely hold the better chances because they have just one loss, to a strong Oklahoma State squad, while the Sooners lost to Houston non-conference and were dominated by Ohio State. The Mountaineers won a tough road game over Texas this past Saturday, and a win over OU could possibly help sneak them into the field if some chaos occurs in front of them.

Others in the Mix
Oklahoma Sooners
Penn State Nittany Lions
Western Michigan Broncos
Colorado Buffaloes
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Washington State Cougars
Boise State Broncos

Friday, November 11, 2016

Why College Basketball's Next Great Program Could Be... Alabama?

Avery Johnson 
Few schools have the type of reputation and history as Alabama on the gridiron. Over their history, the Crimson Tide have claimed 16 National Championships, 29 conference titles and have produced some amazing NFL talent. They could only add to that total, as future Hall of Fame head coach Nick Saban continues to produce some mesmerizing teams, as this year's edition is 9-0 and clearly the favorite to repeat as National Champs. Compared to that, the basketball team has understandably been completely overshadowed. While many schools may end up looking forward to basketball season if they suffering through a rough Fall, basketball isn't really talked about in Tuscaloosca until late into January. However, things are changing quick on the Tide's campus. Under the tutelage of former NBA head coach Avery Johnson, the basketball program has a new life, dominating the recruiting trail and improving on the court. With what they are already accomplishing, the Crimson Tide have a chance to quickly become one of the sport's premier programs.

When the Tide made the NCAA Tournament in 2012 it was the first time the school had made it to the "Big Dance" since 2006 under former head coach Mark Gottfried, now at NC State. That showing was very short-lived, as the Tide were eliminated in the second round to Creighton. The next few years of the Anthony Grant era left them stalled in mediocrity. Alabama failed to do anything of note the next two seasons, and Grant was subsequently let go. The program seriously needed a shot of energy, and they got in the form of Avery Johnson. Johnson, a former NBA player himself who had achieved despite his short stature (5'10"), had built a very respectable resume as head coach of the Dallas Mavericks and New Jersey/Brooklyn Nets. He led the Mavs to plenty of wins from 2005-2008, and the Nets made solid improvements throughout his time there before they mortgaged their entire future on aging Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett and Joe Johnson. Johnson had returned to his post at ESPN before the Tide came calling, officially naming him their head coach on April 5, 2015. For both, it was an unexpected move. It was an aggressive and notable hire for the Tide, and for Johnson it was his first attempt at the collegiate level. How would we adjust to recruiting and coaching less experienced ball players? How would we manage the great differences between the NBA and college game? So far, Johnson has certainly answered many of those questions, and more.

Coming in just months before the 2015-2016 season, Johnson had to scramble to even field his first team. The Tide were undermanned in many areas, and Johnson's first recruiting class wasn't overly impressive, but did include long-time four-star commits Donta' Hall and Dazon Ingram, both from inside the state. On the court, the team had their moments, but consistency was a major issue. The Tide were very young overall, and Johnson brought in many things to the system that were far different from Grant. The Tide would end up going 18-15 overall, posting an 8-10 mark in the SEC, which was a very mediocre conference. By many standards, the season wasn't an overwhelming success, but a closer look indicates just how much improvement the Tide made in just a year. In the preseason, they were picked 13th in the 14-team league by the media, and suffered serious growing pains early, including a 32-point loss to Dayton. They quickly matured, and looked extremely competitive in SEC play, giving Kentucky a challenge before knocking off 19th-ranked South Carolina, their first loss of the season. They continued to improve and wound up in the NIT, a very strong showing for Johnson in his debut.

While the solid improvement from 2014-2015 to '15-'16, it was reasonable for many Alabama fans to be pretty excited about what Johnson could do. And that was before Johnson became a dominant run on the recruiting trail. Despite a late start on the 2016 recruiting cycle, Johnson still managed to reel in four-star Braxton Key from Virginia. Key was the only Alabama signing from the high school ranks, but he was a great one. The Oak Hill Academy alum has astounding athleticism and superb potential, he could immediately be the best player on the roster. Key's commitment in late October of 2015 was huge, but it was Johnson's commitments just this week that indicated what type of talent the coach was going to bring into Tuscaloosca. Five-star shooting guard Collin Sexton is a dynamic scorer who was considering many other college basketball powerhouses like UNC, Kansas and Villanova before eventually deciding on the Crimson Tide. His commitment was quickly followed by the addition of another five-star recruit, guard John Petty. Petty was also being highly sought after by some huge schools, but oped to stay in the state and commit to the Tide. The addition of four-star forward Alex Reese and three-star forward Herb Jones gives the Tide some more depth, and helps them earn themselves the No. 3 Class in the 2017 cycle to this point, setting only behind Arizona and Washington as of right now. Duke, Kentucky and others will add more, but Alabama could still very well keep that class in the Top 5, a huge deal for a program that doesn't quite have the tradition or history of many others in basketball.

The addition of Key, Sexton and Petty have increased the talent level in a big way in Alabama. But, that obviously doesn't guarantee anything. These are still 18 and 19-year young men and the adjustment to the faster and more athletic collegiate game can be tough for many. However, Johnson has proven time and time again he can connect to young guys and help them learn and grow. Johnson is also a great situational coach, something not often seen at the collegiate level, because of his experience with the NBA. He is great at drawing up the right plays late in games, and attacking the right mismatches, a key component to team's success. With that in mind, he should be able to find the right situations for his elite talent to achieve.

With the early improvement we've seen for the Tide under Johnson and the wonderful talent he is bringing into the school, it is very reasonable to be excited. Johnson has the knowledge, experience and pedigree to continue to help the program grow and compete and bring in some wonderful talent, particularly in a Southeast region loaded with potential stars. Patience will be key as Alabama continues to build and grow, but they could become an NCAA Tournament dark horse this season, after making the NIT in 2016. That could set the stage for a special 2017-2018 with Sexton, Petty, Reese and perhaps more coming in. With that groundwork laid, the potential and possibilities for this rising program could be endless in the near horizon.

Thursday, November 10, 2016

2016 College Football Picks: Week Eleven

Sam Darnold, USC
2016 College Football Picks: Week Eleven
Current Record: 62-18


4 Washington Huskies vs. 20 USC Trojans
Right now, the path to the College Football Playoff is pretty clear for Washington: win out. Now fourth in the poll after being ranked behind Texas A&M in the first Playoff rankings of the season, the Huskies know any loss this late in the year could knock them out of the field, so every game is very critical. They take on the flaming hot USC Trojans, who have recovered from a 1-3 start (that included a 52-6 loss to Alabama to begin the year) to become a serious contender for the Pac-12 South crown. The Huskies' offense is led by star quarterback Jake Browning, a Heisman candidate, elusive tailback Myles Gaskin and receivers John Ross III and Dante Pettis (25 combined receiving touchdowns). They will also bring an energetic and athletic defense to the table, a group that will be eager to show what they can do against one of the conference's elite offenses. However, that unit will be without one of their leaders, as top pass rusher Joe Mathis was ruled out for the season earlier this week. One of the main reasons for USC's rapid improvement has been the play of QB Sam Darnold. Darnold took over full-time for Max Browne after that 1-3 skid, and has perhaps saved head coach Clay Helton's job. Darnold not only possesses a great arm, his dual threat ability should be able to give Washington something to think about. Underrated back Ronald Jones II and JuJu Smith-Schuster give the Trojans' offense plenty of pop. Smith-Schuster has disappointed some this season, but the athletic wide out is still among the nation's best, and it will be an interesting battle between him and UW's top cornerback Sidney Jones. Another important aspect to USC's success has been an offensive line that has found some confidence. The group was mauled by Alabama, but has been able to find some consistency and stability. Even though Washington won't have Mathis, the war in the trenches will play a key role in the outcome of this one. USC is among the nation's hottest teams, winning five straight and they look motivated to ruin Washington's perfect season. However, USC's defense still leaves me with questions. The group has been wonderful since that poor start, but they haven't faced an offense with the weapons and versatility that the Huskies' group has. I think USC can give UW quite a challenge but going on the road with an inexperienced QB and head coach and winning may just be a little bit too much to ask for.
Washington, 35 USC, 27

9 Auburn Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs
After their 1-2 start to the season, who would have thought that in November we would be talking about Auburn and the College Football Playoff? But, the Tigers are winners of six straight (including victories against LSU, Arkansas and Ole Miss) as they head into an interesting battle with Georgia. The main reason for Auburn's success has been their diverse rushing attack, that has taken off. The fact it has is pretty amazing, considering expected top rusher Jovon Robinson was kicked off the team just days before the season. Sophomore Kamryn Pettway has seemingly emerged out of nowhere as a star, rushing for 1,106 yards and seven scores. However, Pettway is listed as questionable for this one, and his status is really up in the air. No matter whether he will be able to play or not, Auburn will bring plenty of other options to the table, namely Stanton Truitt (182 yards) and Kerryon Johnson (616 yards). The Tigers have also been able to find some stability at QB, as Sean White has played very well, spreading the ball and making the right decisions. Defensively, Georgia has plenty of talent, but the group has not produced in quite the way they hoped. Outside linebacker Lorenzo Carter is a difference-maker, and there is talent in the secondary, but the group could still have troubles against the up-tempo Gus Malzahn-orientated attack of Auburn. So far in 2016, Georgia as a whole has had some moments, but haven't really produced the way many had hoped. A big win over Kentucky last weekend helped them climb to 5-4, but they still have yet to establish much consistency. True freshman Jacob Eason still has his growing pains at QB, but continues to learn and improve, while the ground attack could still be dangerous, led by Sony Michel and powerful Nick Chubb. Auburn is banged up in many areas on defense, but the unit has still looked greatly improved under first-year DC Kevin Steele. Georgia may not have the explosiveness of other teams, but they can get be often with power and grit. Even though they were killed by Ole Miss and lost to lowly Vanderbilt, the Bulldogs could have enough to stun Auburn, who may be caught looking ahead to their huge Iron Bowl clash with 'Bama. If Georgia doesn't turn the ball over and keeps the Tigers' ground attack from breaking off big gains, they have a chance. However, I'm going to stick with ninth-ranked Auburn. They are on fire, and look to end their regular season playing with the same type of passion and fire.
Auburn, 28 Georgia, 17

11 Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears
Much like Auburn and USC, Oklahoma had a poor start to the 2016 campaign. The Sooners, a popular preseason Playoff pick, lost to Houston and Ohio State early, leaving them at 1-2 before they were set to hit Big 12 play. They've responded in a big way, winning their last six and going flawless in the conference. They are in prime position to win the conference and perhaps sneak into the Playoff conversation, but they have to get past Baylor first. The Bears started off the opposite; they won their first six against minimal competition but then have been seriously exposed in bad losses the past two weeks. They may be out of Big 12 title contention, but beating a serious rival would still give them plenty to play for. For both these teams, offense should come very, very easy. Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield has been chucking the ball all over the place, now with nearly 3,000 yards on the campaign. He'll be joined by Samaje Perine in the backfield, along with rising receiver Dede Westbrook on the outside. Baylor also brings their usual, high-octane group to the table, led by senior quarterback Seth Russell and plenty of options on the outside at wide out. These offenses average 39.8 points per game (Baylor) and 44.1 (OU) so it is obvious the scoreboard operators will keep pretty busy. The key will be who can play the best on the other side of the ball, and at least come up with a few stops. Oklahoma defensive coordinator Mike Stoops has gotten a lot of negative attention this year for the Sooners' struggles on that side of the ball, but the group still has a ton of talent. Linebacker Jordan Evans is the team's leading tackler and will play a huge role in stopping the Baylor ground game, while the secondary is led by corner Ahmad Thomas, who will have to help force some turnovers. Baylor's defense has potential as well but the group looked absolutely dreadful this past weekend, allowing 60-plus to TCU. Unless the Bears can drastically change their ways in a week, they are going to have a tough time being able to contend against the Sooners. It may not be a blowout, but Oklahoma should comfortably get their seventh straight victory.
Oklahoma, 49 Baylor, 35

Other Picks
1 Alabama, 31 Mississippi State, 14
16 West Virginia, 35 Texas, 33
5 Ohio State, 38 Maryland, 21
24 LSU, 27 25 Arkansas, 23
12 Colorado, 34 Arizona, 22

Friday, November 4, 2016

2016 College Football Picks: Week Ten

Leonard Fournette, LSU
2016 College Football Picks: Week Ten
Current Record: 55-17

1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. 13 LSU Tigers
Since Nick Saban returned to the SEC with Alabama, the 'Bama-LSU game has always played a pivotal role on the National Championship picture. Both programs are among the best in the land, and the future NFL talent that takes the field every single year in this matchup is staggering. This season, the rivalry should once again be critical. The Tide are well on their way to a National Title repeat, sitting at 8-0 and 5-0 in the conference, while LSU has recovered from a 2-2 start behind the leadership of interim head coach Ed Orgeron. Throughout the years, offense has not been a premium in this game, but that could change this season. Alabama has proven they can score points in bunches this season, thanks to the emergence of rising superstar QB Jalen Hurts, RB Damien Harris and receiver Calvin Ridley. Offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin has made this offense more up-tempo and aggressive, so don't expect this to just be the typical SEC slugfest it has been over the years. On the other side, LSU will have to prove their offense can counter the explosiveness Alabama has on display. Purdue transfer Danny Etling has been okay since taking over for Brandon Harris early on, but the passing game is still a problem and it won't help that Etling will face perhaps the nation's best secondary, even without defensive back Eddie Jackson. Leonard Fournette's 2015 Heisman campaign was derailed last season in a loss to the Tide, so he will be out for blood. Fournette has had injury issues much of the season, but has been dominant (284 yards on just 16 carries last week versus Ole Miss). Add in Derrius Guice, who ran all over times in Fournette's absence, and the Tigers may have the edge in the ground game in this one, even with the talent Alabama also has at that position. The key will be finding ways to get that ground attack going when 'Bama knows how one-dimensional you are. Etling will absolutely need to open things up a little bit, or else Tim Williams, Jonathan Allen and Rueben Foster will once more feast. On defense for LSU, linebacker Kendall Beckwith and Jamal Adams will play a huge role. Beckwith is the leading tackler for the Tigers who will be tasked with containing the Tide on the ground, while the ball-hawking Adams will try to give Hurts a tough time. Another element to watch in this one will be special teams. A botched kickoff two years ago led Alabama to a victory late in a thriller, and with how good both defenses are, field goals will likely be a common occurrence. Out of all the remaining roadblocks Alabama has in their quest to repeat (Auburn in Iron Bowl, SEC Championship) I think none is more daunting than LSU. Rivalry games always get interesting, and the Tigers have the talent to match up extremely favorable. I think this game will be an instant classic, down-to-the-wire ball game. However, with my confidence still not high on LSU's passing game, picking 'Bama, even though it is in Death Valley, is the right move.
Alabama, 21 LSU, 16

6 Ohio State Buckeyes vs. 10 Nebraska Cornhuskers
Despite the fact they lost, Nebraska impressed last weekend against Wisconsin. The previously undefeated 'Huskers showed toughness and fight against the gritty Badgers but ultimately came up short. Now, Nebraska's tough stretch of games continue against sixth-ranked Ohio State. The Buckeyes have looked average over the past two weeks, first losing to Penn State then surviving against .500 Northwestern (although the Wildcats look better than their record may indicate). For OSU, a big issue has been the passing game, which has disappeared. Junior J.T. Barrett hasn't been terrible, but the aerial attack has not had the same precision or explosiveness it had over the first couple weeks of the year. It could be in store for a tough showing against a Nebraska pass defense that is very strong, headed by safety Nate Gerry. The ground game is still versatile and dynamic, but it has also been a little off lately. Curtis Samuel and Mike Weber are great complements of each other, and the Buckeyes should be able to find some offensive rhythm. However, the big issue for OSU has been a porous offensive line. The group lost plenty this off-season and it has showed. Nebraska's pass rush is not wonderful, but it could be just enough to get Barrett unbalanced. Meanwhile, Nebraska's offense has been solid for much of the season, but they have really only faced one defense with the skill and athleticism of Ohio State's D (Wisconsin's) so a tough transition could be in store. Senior Tommy Armstrong Jr. has been criticized so much throughout his career, but he is having one of his better seasons. Armstrong is still prone to mistakes and the ball-hawking secondary of OSU will be eager, but his dual threat ability could also give the Buckeyes some problems. Other offensive weapons like receiver Stanley Morgan Jr. and back Terrell Newby will have to step up. Newby will have his work cut out for him especially, as the Buckeyes bring perhaps the best front seven in the Big Ten. That front seven is not only great against the run but should also make Armstrong's like difficult, thanks in large part to due true freshman Nick Bosa and end Sam Hubbard. While they still haven't beaten anyone overly impressive, I think Nebraska is a strong football team that should be able to hang with Ohio State. However, unless Armstrong has a career day or the defense is absolutely dominant, I don't see them winning on the road.
Ohio State, 34 Nebraska, 24

11 Florida Gators vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Now ten weeks into the 2016 season, we have gotten a pretty good handle on most of the teams in the nation. However, one team that remains extremely tough to read is Florida, who sits at 6-1 and atop the SEC East. The Gators have beaten everybody they should, including a 45-7 beatdown of Kentucky earlier in the year that keeps looking better, and they are still very much in the Playoff hunt. But, the offense is still the same stagnant group it has been for years now, and while the defense is elite, it is hard to overcome an offensive attack that can't stay on the field. Former Oregon State and Alabama transfer Luke Del Rio has been okay since taking over the reigns of the Florida offense but he isn't going to strike fear into anyone, especially an Arkansas defense that has already faced Chad Kelly and Jalen Hurts. The ground attack features solid Jordan Scarlett and the Gators do have one of the nation's most versatile playmakers in Antonio Callaway, but the gritty and disciplined Razorbacks should be able to contain them. Arkansas may sit unranked, but this is no pushover. The 5-3 Razorbacks are going to be eager to show they are still a factor in the SEC after getting pounded by Auburn two weeks ago 56-3. Quarterback Austin Allen has been great all season long, perhaps even better than his now graduated brother Brandon, who was a two-year starter before him. Unfortunately though, turnovers have been an issue and Florida has a ton of talent in the defensive backfield, headlined by future NFL cornerback Jalen "Teez" Tabor. That could force Arkansas to lean on their deep stable of running backs, but that group could also have some issues moving the ball against a Florida defense that also has a strong front seven. Neither team should be dropping anything north of 30 in this one, because of how great each defense is. However, Arkansas has shown more balance and explosiveness offensively, and I think they should be prepared after a bye week. Florida may be a relative mystery right now, but I'm still not certain they have enough to take down the Razorbacks.
Arkansas, 23 Florida, 17

Other Picks
4 Texas A&M, 42 Mississippi State, 21
3 Michigan, 35 Maryland, 17
21 UNC, 30 Georgia Tech, 21
2 Clemson, 38 Syracuse, 30
8 Wisconsin, 24 Northwestern, 21

Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Post-Week Nine College Football Playoff Power Rankings

Wayne Gallman, Clemson
The Four

1 Alabama Crimson Tide 8-0 (5-0 SEC)
The Crimson Tide were off this week, getting plenty of rest before what could end up being their biggest tilt of the regular season. LSU-Alabama is always a fantastic battle, no matter what the state of either program. This year, it is even more intriguing when considering how dominant 'Bama has been, compared to how hot the Tigers have been recently. The Tide will also get an Iron Bowl battle with rising Auburn to worry about, but there is no reason to think that Alabama can't run the table, considering what they have done through the first two months of the season.

2 Clemson Tigers 8-0 (5-0 ACC)
Few places in college football are harder to walk in and get a victory than Tallahassee. Despite this, Clemson was able to walk into Florida State's house and come away with a close, exciting victory that left them as the clear-cut favorite to win the ACC. While the Tigers slow start to the season has left many questioning whether they are a legit National Title contender, their resume continues to improve with each passing week. With Louisville, Auburn and Florida State, Clemson now has three wins over teams in the AP Top 20 and the offense appears to have hit its stride behind Heisman candidate Deshaun Watson.

3 Michigan Wolverines 8-0 (5-0 Big Ten)
After losing seven of their last eight to hated in-state rival Michigan State, the Wolverines got some long-awaited vengeance this past weekend, rolling past MSU 32-23 on the road. The play of do-it-all defender Jabrill Peppers has been a major reason for UM's sustained success this season, and the junior has entered serious Heisman discussion after yet another impressive showing. Michigan continues to be the team to beat in the Big Ten, and looks to be in prime position to be 11-0 when they square off against bitter rival Ohio State, in a game that will not only hold importance because of bragging rights but also have a major impact on the Playoff race.

4 Washington Huskies 8-0 (5-0 Pac-12)
It was not very pretty, but Washington got perhaps their best win of the season this past Saturday against Utah in Salt Lake City, a very tough place to play. While it wasn't quite like Washington's dominant showings over Stanford and Oregon, it showed that the Huskies could take lumps and keep on fighting for 60 minutes and win. Also helping out Washington's case will be the play of Washington State, who was been wonderful since an 0-2 start. If the Cougars win out and UW can manage a victory in the Apple Cup, it could only add another win to the Huskies' relatively thin resume.

Four More in the Hunt

5 Louisville Cardinals 7-1 (5-1 ACC)
In more ways than one, Louisville looked flat against Virginia this weekend. The Cardinals were down late in the fourth quarter and a late score and two-point conversion by the Cavaliers looked like it would hand Louisville their second loss of the year and knock them out of Playoff consideration. Instead, Lamar Jackson led a thrilling late drive capped off by a terrific throw to beat the Cavs on the road. Despite the obvious struggles, Louisville did show plenty of resiliency, and the Selection Committee won't look at it very negatively. If Clemson does slip up, the Cardinals will be in very good position, even with that loss to the Tigers in early October.

6 Ohio State Buckeyes 7-1 (4-1 Big Ten)
Just one week after a stunning loss to unranked Penn State, the Buckeyes were once again pushed to the brink, this time by Northwestern. After early struggles, Northwestern does look a lot better and is a strong team, but it is still disheartening for Ohio State to struggle in the fashion they have as of late. The Buckeyes still have Nebraska this week, Michigan State on the road and then Michigan of course, and if the passing game doesn't get going in a big way, that could be a stretch knocking them out of the Playoff chase.

7 Wisconsin Badgers 6-2 (3-2 Big Ten)
No team has ever made the College Football Playoff with two losses, but don't count Wisconsin out just yet. The Badgers got a huge victory this weekend over Nebraska to add a huge win to their resume and also push them to the forefront of the Big Ten West race. Neither of their two losses were to bad teams (Michigan and Ohio State) and they were both close that could have legitimately gone either way. With that in mind, if the Badgers run the table and get a little bit of help, they could find themselves in the four-team field. That is obviously easier said then done, but with the way their defense has played all season long, it isn't completely improbable.

8 Texas A&M Aggies 7-1 (4-1 SEC)
While the SEC is Alabama's to lose, the Aggies aren't completely dead either. Texas A&M is 7-1 (with their only loss coming to the Tide 33-14) and they own a number of quality wins. Unfortunately, the strength of those wins is fading fast. Tennessee, their biggest win, is completely falling apart, and their second biggest victory, Arkansas, lost 56-3 to Auburn. Texas A&M will be cheering for LSU this weekend. A Tigers win would make them a possible Playoff threat, which would strength A&M's resume if they win on November 24th.

Others in the Mix
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Florida Gators
LSU Tigers
Western Michigan Broncos
Auburn Tigers
Oklahoma Sooners
West Virginia Mountaineers
Penn State Nittany Lions
Washington State Cougars