Friday, August 25, 2017

College Football Preview 2017-2018: Previewing the Big 12

Mark Andrews, Oklahoma
Big 12 Conference

2016 In Review: After starting off the season 1-2, Oklahoma hit their stride in conference play and didn't look back, beating every single they faced the rest of the way. They capped it all off it all off with a Sugar Bowl victory, finishing off 11-2, with another Big 12 title notched upon their belt. Their in-state rival, Oklahoma State, was in Big 12 title contention but their late loss in Norman to the Sooners doomed them. Meanwhile, Baylor and West Virginia both surprised many with hot starts, Baylor jumping out to a 6-0 start under interim head coach Jim Grobe, while WVU also began 6-0 behind a big-play offense and physical defense. However, Baylor's depth issues caught up with them and they would lose six straight the rest of the way before a bowl win managed to keep them above .500. The Mountaineers didn't completely fall off the map, and finished off a very respectable 10-3 overall. It wasn't a terrible season for the conference, but there is a big elephant in the room. For the second time in the three seasons of the Playoff, no Big 12 team gained entry into the field. Will the new conference championship the Big 12 is instituting in 2017 change that, or will the conference continue to fall beyond the rest of the other Power Five conferences?

Ranking the Big 12 (click on Top 25 teams for more in-depth previews)

1. Oklahoma State Cowboys (National Rank: 7)
If not for a questionable call that awarded Central Michigan an extra play, in which they completed an insane Hail Mary to stun the Cowboys, Oklahoma State would have entered a battle with rival Oklahoma 9-1 with a legitimate shot at a Playoff berth. Oklahoma State wouldn't be able to get past the Sooners and seize the conference crown, but it was still a very successful campaign in Stillwater. They had an even better off-season, retaining three-year starter Mason Rudolph at quarterback and top wide out James Washington Jr., both who were considering leaving for the NFL. The Rudolph-Washington combination will give this offense their usual explosiveness, as will the return of 1,000-yard rusher Justice Hill at tailback. The question will be on defense, where the Cowboys are decent, but have to continue to improve. Senior linebacker Chad Whitener and a veteran-laden defensive front should keep the rush defense stout, but the pass defense is the one that needs to really take big leaps forward, especially in the pass-happy Big 12. If they can, with a very favorable schedule, Oklahoma State may be able to overtake the Sooners in the conference. Depending on how the Playoff Committee views the Big 12 and its new conference championship, a Playoff run is certainly a possibility.

2. Oklahoma Sooners (National Rank: 10)
Following the abrupt retiring of long-time head coach Bob Stoops, former offensive coordinator Lincoln Riley takes over in Norman. The 33-year-old offensive genius won't have to change too much in his debut season with the Sooners. He is blessed with the return of veteran Baker Mayfield, who should once again vie for plenty of awards in his final season of collegiate football. Oklahoma must replace backs Samaje Perine and Joe Mixon, but one of the country's best offensive lines should ensure whoever steps up at the position (likely sophomore Abdul Adams) will have plenty of holes to dash through. On the outside, OU loses Biletnikoff Award winner Dede Westbrook but has a star tight end in Mark Andrews, and adds solid Kentucky grad transfer Jeff Badet. The Sooners have been criticized on defense for a couple seasons, and they continue to struggle defending the pass, as they allowed nearly 270 yards per game in 2016 (111th nationally). Fortunately, three starters are back in the secondary, including All-Conference senior corner Jordan Thomas. The defensive line is undergoing a massive rebuild as every starter departs, but senior outside linebacker Ogbonnia Okoronkwo has proven he can be a top-flight pass rusher. There may be some slight adjustments as Riley takes over the program (and it won't help his first road game is in Columbus against Ohio State) but Oklahoma has easily been the conference's best team the last two seasons and returns enough that a third consecutive Big 12 title shouldn't be out of the question.

3. Kansas State Wildcats (National Rank: 16)
Contrary to the big-play, flashy offenses that usually operate in the Big 12, Bill Snyder has long preferred a power rushing attack. That attack should be particularly effective in 2017, as most of the important components return to Manhattan. Senior quarterback Jesse Ertz won't kill you with his arm, but ran for 1,012 yards and 12 touchdowns last season and should once again be a major threat on the ground. He'll have plenty of help with a strong offensive line, returning three starters, and underrated fullback Winston Dimel. Dimel, the son of offensive coordinator Dana, had 12 touchdowns last year, and should once again be a monster in short yardage situations. Kansas State loses some talent on defense, namely top pass rusher Jordan Willis and terrific linebacker Elijah Lee, but they should still be very stingy. Senior defensive tackle Will Geary is one of the best in the conference, and the secondary is loaded with experience. Expect junior college transfers, Snyder's speciality, to also add valuable depth throughout this roster. While many assume the conference championship race will come down to either Oklahoma schools, or perhaps even revamped Texas, K-State should not be overlooked. They have long overachieved under Snyder and have the type of team that can spring plenty of upsets.

4. Texas Longhorns (National Rank: 25)
Months of speculation were finally ended when Texas hired rising head coach Tom Herman this off-season. The former Houston head coach and Ohio State offensive coordinator will now try and rebuild in Austin, where there is plenty of talent, but there has been a lack of execution. Young QB Shane Buechele had an inconsistent 2016 but has a top-notch arm and Herman has been known for developing young quarterbacks. Junior running back Chris Warren III could also have a breakout season as he is finally healthy after missing most of 2016. He will have huge shoes to fill, as last year's back, D'Onta Foreman, ran crazy for over 2,000 yards before becoming a third-round NFL Draft selection. Somebody will have to step up at receiver, but sophomore Devin Duvernay and junior John Burt have elite-caliber talent. Texas has really struggled over the years on the defensive side of the ball but they return seven starters and bring in a fresh face at defensive coordinator in Todd Orlando, who follows Herman from Houston to UT. Junior linebackers Malik Jefferson and Anthony Wheeler are All-Big 12 defenders and the defensive backfield could be the best it has been in years. The arrival of Herman immediately upgrades the Longhorns on the sideline and they should be even better on the recruiting trail, which obviously bodes well for their future. However, before we are ready to anoint Texas as "back", they have to answer questions in the passing game and throughout their defense. If they can solve some of those issues, they can certainly contend for a Big 12 title, but a more realistic expectation would be a 8-9 win campaign that shows plenty of progress.

5. TCU Horned Frogs
After winning 23 of their 26 games over the last two seasons of the Trevone Boykin era, TCU fell back to earth in 2016, losing their bowl game to finish off a disappointing 6-7. Quarterback Kenny Hill was an enigma; the Texas A&M transfer did throw for 3,208 yards and 17 touchdowns, but also led the conference in interceptions with 13, and was pulled four times. It's hard to imagine TCU making much of a jump in '17 unless the senior QB can have a much more consistent season. It will help that he has a loaded receivers corps, which includes seniors Taj Williams and John Diarse, along with junior KaVontae Turpin, who is back from injury. Turpin showed immense playmaking potential in 2015 but was never really 100 percent a season ago. If he can stay healthy, he is one of the most explosive players in the entire conference. Senior Kyle Hicks is returning after managing 1,042 yards and 12 scores, while sophomore speedster Darius Anderson should also give this ground attack plenty of punch. Long-time head coach Gary Patterson has long prided himself on defense, but the Horned Frogs were very leaky last season, allowing 424.8 yards per game. They'll have to reload on the D-Line, where they lose most of their playmakers, but the back seven should be very strong. Junior 'backer Ty Summers and senior linebacker/strong safety Travin Howard are both terrific, and cornerback Ranthony Texada is a guy who can shut down anybody on the outside. The last time TCU was recovering from a sub-.500 campaign, they went on a tear, going 12-1 in 2014 and coming extremely close to a Playoff bid. That is probably too much to ask of this year's edition, but they should be experienced enough to surprise quite a few folks in the Big 12 this season and perhaps vie for a conference crown.

6. West Virginia Mountaineers
Even though they fell out of the Big 12 title race quickly following a hot start, 2016 was still a very pleasant surprise for the Mountaineers, as they went 10-3 and 7-2 in the conference. They'll move on from veteran QB Skyler Howard in 2017, but don't expect this offense to miss a beat. Will Grier led Florida to a 6-0 start in 2015 before he was suspended after testing positive for performance enhancing drugs. He opted to transfer to West Virginia and after sitting out last season, he should have a chance to run this offense. Senior running back Justin Crawford, who ran for 1,184 yards last season, is also returning as are a number of weapons at receiver, essentially guaranteeing this offense should meet last year's 31.2 points per game. Head coach Dana Holgorsen has done a fine job upgrading the defense over the past few seasons, and this unit isn't the complete mess it once was. However, getting pressure on the quarterback could be a concern, as every starter on the defensive line departs. The pass defense is almost definitely going to be improved after ranking 104th in the country last season. Versatile senior Kyzir White is a huge difference-maker, while a healthy Dravon Askew-Henry, who tore his ACL in '16, bodes very well for this defense. Replicating last season's hot start, particularly with a neutral site opener against Virginia Tech, may proven to be difficult but West Virginia should still find a way to be a factor in the conference. If Grier can continue where he left off at Florida, the Mountaineers could still find a way to get double-digit victories and land in a solid bowl game.

7. Baylor Bears
It hasn't been a fun couple years for Baylor, as a sexual assault scandal throughout the football program has rocked the entire university. Yet, it was a huge win this off-season for the Bears to snag former Temple head coach, Matt Rhule, considered to be one of the better young names in the coaching carousel. It will take years for Rhule to restore this program's reputation and turn them back into a winner, but this team could still provide plenty of fireworks. Sophomore Zach Smith is the favorite to take over for Seth Russell at quarterback, but he could be challenged by Arizona transfer Anu Solomon, who has a huge arm. Junior running back Terence Williams quietly ran for over 1,000 yards a year ago and should once again be a major threat, while sophomore JaMycal Hasty adds plenty of speed and versatility. The receivers corps and offensive line are both concerns, with very little returning in either unit. However, the O-Line does have plenty of talent and brings in highly touted JUCO transfer Mo Porter at left tackle, and is also talent at the receiver position. The defense was bad a year ago, and it's hard to imagine it being much better in 2017. Senior linebacker Taylor Young has been a star since he arrived in Waco, but doesn't have much help around him. The secondary in particular could be a huge concern, and an injury-plagued spring didn't help. I firmly expect the Rhule hire to work out for Baylor, but things could get worse before they get better. Expect a transition season in Waco, and likely a tough one at times. This team may be hard-pressed to get to the seven-win mark last year's team did.

8. Iowa State Cyclones
Allen Lazard, Iowa State
As expected for a new head coach in a deep conference, Matt Campbell had a rough start to his Iowa State tenure, beginning 1-8, which included losses to FCS foe Northern Iowa and archrvial Iowa by 39. Despite the slow start the Cyclones played very well over the season's second half, and beating Kansas and Texas Tech down the stretch, ending up 3-9. They could have done even better, if not for a number of choked leads, losing close games to Baylor, Oklahoma State, Kansas State and Oklahoma. They should be much better at closing out games as the staff and players get more comfortable with each other, and the offense improves. Former Georgia transfer Jacob Park is the favorite to take over at QB, and will have the luxury of throwing to record-setting wide out Allen Lazard (1,018 yards, seven touchdowns last year). The ground game should also take a step forward as sophomore David Montgomery and junior Mike Warren are both back and combined for over 1,000 yards in 2016. The defense is a major work in progress, especially a rush defense that came was 103rd nationally. Joel Lanning is likely to take over the ever-important middle linebacker spot, as the converted quarterback hopes to play a major role in improving this rush defense. The secondary isn't great but should be at least passable. Senior free safety Kamari Cotton-Moya is the leader of the defense, and a real playmaker in the back. Campbell has Iowa State's trajectory going up, but there may still be some growing pains in Year Two. However, if the offense can improve and the Cyclones can do a better job of holding on to leads, a bowl appearance could be in the works.

9. Texas Tech Red Raiders
It was the same old story in Lubbock last season; the Red Raiders had one of the nation's most explosive offenses, averaging 564.5 yards per game behind the arm of NFL first-rounder Pat Mahomes, but their defense once more doomed them and they ended up 5-7. That has put major pressure on fifth-year head coach Kliff Kingsbury, who is 24-26 since returning to his alma mater. There are even more questions as the team enters 2017, as they must replace Mahomes and leading receiver Jonathan Giles, who transferred to LSU. Senior Nic Shimonek and sophomore McLane Carter are competing to replace Mahomes and while neither is very experienced, Texas Tech has always been dangerous offensively and should be once again. Losing Giles is tough, but senior Dylan Cantrell, junior Keke Coutee and former Iowa transfer Derrick Willies give this team plenty of options on the perimeter. However, even if the offense is up to its usual tricks, the defense has to improve. It was the worst in FBS football in points allowed per game (43.5 PPG) and yards given up (554.3 YPG) and there is no culture on that side of the ball. Kingsbury decided to retain third-year D-coordinator David Gibbs, who will try to switch things up and try something new. But, with just four starters back on that side of the ball, things could still be an issue. Junior college transfer Dakota Allen will help, as will another JUCO addition, cornerback Octavius Morgan, but it is hard to imagine much improvement. Unless it does, Texas Tech is a bottom-of-the-conference team. It is never easy to fire alums, but if the Red Raiders continue to trend in the wrong direction, Kingsbury may not have a lot of time left to sort it out.

10. Kansas Jayhawks
Following an 0-12 2015 Kansas had one simple goal in mind entering last season: win a football game. They did just that in the opener, dominating FCS opponent Rhode Island 55-6. They followed that up with nine straight defeats, often blowout losses. A November 19th date with Texas didn't seem too promising but the Jayhawks played their best football of the year and stunned the Longhorns, giving them their first win over UT since 1938. As head coach David Beaty enters Year Three, progress continues to be made. The offense is still figuring things out, with junior Peyton Bender and sophomore Carter Stanley in a stiff competition for the QB job. They also have yet to identify their starting tailback, with JUCO transfer Octavius Matthews considered the favorite. They do have a talented receivers corps, spearheaded by junior Steven Sims Jr. (859 yards, seven TDs in '16) and speedy LaQuvionte Gonzalez, who followed Beaty from A&M. The defense isn't necessarily a strength either, but there is a lot of potential on that side of the ball. Junior defensive end Dorance Armstrong Jr. quietly managed 10 sacks a season ago and is a real difference-maker, while hard-hitting sophomore safety Mike Lee really sets the tone for the back. Despite a 2-22 record over his first two seasons, Beaty was rewarded with a raise over the off-season. That may seem odd, but the Jayhawks are beginning their long climb from irrelevancy in the sport and players and recruits are really starting to buy into the head coach. A bowl game is too much to ask for at this point,  but improving on last year's two victories is a real possibility, particularly with a soft non-conference slate.

All-Big 12 Team
First Team
QB Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
RB Justice Hill, Oklahoma State
RB Terence Williams, Baylor
WR Allen Lazard, Iowa State
WR James Washington Jr., Oklahoma State
TE Mark Andrews, Oklahoma
OL Orlando Brown, Oklahoma
OL Connor Williams, Texas
OL Dalton Risner, Kansas State
OL Austin Schlottmann, TCU
OL Ben Powers, Oklahoma
DL Will Geary, Kansas State
DL Dorance Armstrong Jr., Kansas
DL Poona Ford, Texas
DL K.J. Smith, Baylor
LB Travin Howard, TCU
LB Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, Oklahoma
LB Chad Whitener, Oklahoma State
CB Jordan Thomas, Oklahoma
CB D.J. Reed, Kansas State
S Tre Flowers, Oklahoma State
S Dravon Askew-Henry, West Virginia

Second Team
QB Mason Rudolph, Oklahoma State
RB Justin Crawford, West Virginia
RB Chris Warren III, Texas
WR Jalen McCleskey, Oklahoma State
WR Keke Coutee, Texas Tech
TE Dayton Valentine, Kansas State
OL Zachary Crabtree, Oklahoma State
OL Mo Porter, Baylor
OL Kyle Bosch, West Virginia
OL Scott Frantz, Kansas State
OL Patrick Vahe, Texas
DL Matt Romar, Oklahoma
DL Reggie Walker, Kansas State
DL Malcolm Roach, Texas
DL Mat Boesen, TCU
LB Malik Jefferson, Texas
LB Taylor Young, Baylor
LB Al-Rasheed Benton, West Virginia
CB Ranthony Texada, TCU
CB Jordan Parker, Oklahoma
S Mike Lee, Kansas
S Kamari Cotton-Moya, Iowa State

Projected Awards
Championship Game: Oklahoma State over Oklahoma
Offensive Player of the Year: Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
Defensive Player of the Year: Jordan Thomas, Oklahoma
Coach of the Year: Bill Snyder, Kansas State

Thursday, August 24, 2017

College Football Preview 2017-2018: Previewing the Big Ten

Wilton Speight, Michigan
Big Ten Conference

2016 In Review: After a miserable postseason in 2015 that saw the two teams competing for a Big
Ten Championship, Michigan State and Iowa, both get destroyed by other Power Five programs, the Big Ten was looking for redemption in 2016. The conference didn't disappoint: Ohio State pummeled Oklahoma and looked ready to compete for a National Title, Wisconsin stunned LSU at Lambeau Field, Michigan looked dominant and even Nebraska started off hot. As the season went on though, it was Penn State who rose seemingly out of nowhere. The Nittany Lions stunned the Buckeyes in a thriller then continued to win nine straight, including a comeback victory over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship. Ohio State and Michigan played their annual rivalry with a Playoff spot, where OSU won in overtime. Both PSU and OSU had reasonable Playoff chances, but only the Buckeyes were among the final four teams, while the Nittany Lions played in the Rose Bowl. However, the conference is once again searching for answers after another rough post-season in which Ohio State lost by 31 and was shutout, Penn State lost, Michigan lost and Wisconsin was tested by a MAC team. Is the Big Ten really a top-tier conference, or have their recent post-season struggles sunk the repetition of the conference? The season will likely hinge on the play of the three Eastern Division powers.

Ranking the Big Ten (click on Top 25 teams for more in-depth previews)

East Division

1. Ohio State Buckeyes (National Rank: 4)
For the first time ever in his lengthy coaching career Urban Meyer was shutout as Ohio State couldn't managed a single point in their Fiesta Bowl loss to Clemson. Naturally, Meyer made changes, hiring former Indiana head coach Kevin Wilson as offensive coordinator, and looking at different ways to jumpstart a mediocre passing attack. Wilson led some very dangerous offenses with the Hoosiers, and he has a veteran quarterback (J.T. Barrett) to work with along with a fabulous running back, in sophomore Mike Weber. The Buckeyes must identify some new weapons at wide out, as they lose a number of top receivers from a season ago. Defense may be the real strength for OSU this season, as they'll be extremely stout up front and throughout their front seven. Linemen Tyquan Lewis and Sam Hubbard are All-Big Ten players, and sophomore Nick Bosa is ready for a huge season. If the secondary can reload after many NFL departures, this could be the best defense in the conference. The Buckeyes are still as talented as ever, and Meyer has proven that he can win big in this conference. They have some areas they'll need to work out, but Wilson is a huge addition for this team, and if he can help Barrett regain his 2014 form, the sky is the limit for the Buckeyes.

2. Penn State Nittany Lions (National Rank: 8)
Entering 2016 there seemed to be more talk about head coach James Franklin's uncertain future than anything else. The Nittany Lions had gone 7-6 for two consecutive seasons but most importantly, where a measly 0-6 against the East powers at the time (OSU, Michigan State and Michigan).  After a shaky 2-2 start that included a 39-point loss to the Wolverines, Penn State seemed to wake up. The offense hit its stride and the defense played with more intensity, all equating to a Big Ten title and Rose Bowl berth. Don't expect that momentum to just die out as 2016 did; this program should keep it going in '17 and beyond. QB Trace McSorley is the ideal fit for OC Joe Moorhead's aggressive passing attack, and is helped by a plethora of offensive playmakers, including star back Saquon Barkley, receivers Saeed Blacknall and DaeSean Hamilton and tight end Mike Gesicki. PSU averaged 37.6 PPG last season, but those numbers could get even better with the experience back. On the other side of the ball, the Nittany Lions have to rebuild their front seven but they do return veteran linebacker Jason Cabinda. The secondary should be very good, especially with All-American candidate Marcus Allen roaming at safety. It may be tough to overcome Ohio State once more, but the Nittany Lions are certainly a serious threat in the Big Ten this year. They very well could be in the Playoff conversation once again.

3. Michigan Wolverines (National Rank: 12)
Year Two of Jim Harbaugh at Michigan was certainly full of fireworks. The Wolverines jumped out to a 9-0 start and were No. 2 in the nation for a big chunk of the season before a stunning road loss to Iowa on a last-second field goal. Only to make matters worse quarterback Wilton Speight was injured in the loss and Michigan never again looked the same, finishing off the season 10-3. UM now has to replace an NCAA-leading 11 NFL Draft selections, especially on defense. The good news is there is plenty of talent still there defensively, including possible breakout stars like sophomore Rashan Gary and junior Chase Winovich. Veterans like linebacker Mike McCray and nose tackle Maurice Hurst will also ensure Don Brown's unit is still in tip-top shape in 2017. Speight is back at quarterback, but many around the country think redshirt frosh Brandon Peters could push him for the starting job. However starts will have to deal with a very young receivers corps, whose top returning receiver, Grant Perry, was suspended over the off-season. This is still a team that is going to be tough to beat and will look still very dangerous at times. But, it's hard to imagine a team that is losing as much as they are to overcome OSU and PSU in the East.

4. Indiana Hoosiers
Despite back-to-back bowl games, which is certainly not an easy feat at a school with a football culture like Indiana, the Hoosiers moved on from Kevin Wilson because of disagreements between him and AD Fred Glass, along with reports of possible mistreatment of players. Former defensive coordinator Tom Allen will now take over, and he'll have some nice talent to work with. Senior QB Richard Lagow struggled with consistency in 2016 but can really throw the ball, and the Hoosiers have some real playmakers at wide out, with junior Simmie Cobbs and junior Nick Westbrook. Indiana had their best defensive performance in years under Allen last season, and he returns a big chunk of his defense, including versatile linebacker Tegray Scales (126 tackles, seven sacks in '16). Add in a very veteran-laden secondary and Indiana is going to be a real tough out in the Big Ten this season. They might not be able to climb into the upper echelon of the division but this team should return to another bowl game, and might be able to pull off an upset or two.

5. Michigan State Spartans
After winning the Big Ten and making a Playoff appearance in 2015 it looked as though Michigan State was ready to become a perennial power, not just in the Big Ten, but nationally. Then 2016 happened. The Spartans struggled with injuries and a terrible offense and seemingly couldn't find any footing. They ended up falling to 3-9 with just one conference victory, but on the bright side were still pretty competitive, losing three games by four points or less. It is clear the offense needs to change things up, but it isn't clear how they should do that. Sophomore Brian Lewerke is healthy after missing most of last season, but the receivers corps lacks any clear playmakers. The backfield should offer some relief, as L.J. Scott returns for his junior season after managing 994 yards and six touchdowns last season. Michigan State's defense slipped slightly last year, and now has to replace eight starters. The secondary is especially precarious, with little to no experience returning back there. Mark Dantonio is a good coach, and Sparty was probably better than a three-win team in 2016. That gives me a little confidence they could rise back into contention, but this team still has some major issues it has to work out. Returning to a bowl and getting back above .500 should be the priority in East Lansing.

6. Maryland Terrapins
First-year Maryland head coach D.J. Durkin got off to a fast start last season, as the Terrapins jumped off to a 4-0 start before the meat of their schedule hit. The Terps needed a win over Rutgers to secure bowl eligibility and they did just that, before losing to Boston College, ending up 6-7. It wasn't a crazy successful year in College Park but showed the program was at least moving in the right direction. Maryland will now enter Year Two with Durkin as a possible dark horse. They feature one of the most underrated backfields in the entire country, which includes junior Ty Johnson (1,004 yards, 6 TDs in 2016) and big-time newcomer Anthony McFarland, who choose to stay in-state. That ground game will have to play well, considering how poorly Maryland passed the ball a season ago, although UNC transfer Caleb Henderson should be an upgrade at QB. The defense is still going to be inconsistent but Durkin is a defensive-minded head coach and he should be able to improve the group. Veterans like linebacker Jermaine Carter Jr. and defensive end Jessie Aniebonam ensure the unit will be solid. With a tough opener on the road against Texas and a brutal conference schedule its hard to see the Terrapins improving on last year's win total but if their offense can improve, they could still make a bowl.

7. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
To say that 2016 was a rough year for Rutgers doesn't even begin to touch on how much the Scarlet Knights struggled. They went 2-10 overall, failed to win a single conference game and lost to Michigan State, Penn State, Michigan and Ohio State by a combined 224-0. Second-year head coach Chris Ash clearly has a lot of work to do, especially offensively, where they managed just 15.7 points per game last season. It's unclear who their starting quarterback will be, as junior Giovanni Rescigno and true freshman Jonathan Lewis are competing for the starting job. Seniors Robert Martin and Josh Hicks will help as both running backs bring valuable experience, and receiver Janarion Grant gives Rutgers something to work with on the outside. The defense isn't terrible and the pass defense should actually be a real strength (18th in the country a year ago) but they still aren't up to Big Ten standards. It is going to be a long time before Rutgers is ready to be competitive again in the conference, and I don't see them being much better in 2017. They won't be going bowling but getting some conference victories needs to be the first step.

West Division

1. Wisconsin Badgers (National Rank: 9)
Despite facing a brutal schedule that included LSU in the non-conference and cross-division battles with Ohio State and Michigan, Wisconsin won 11 games and very nearly managed to win the conference. They will be very tough once more in 2017, as they return a large portion of their offense and enough on defense. Quarterback Alex Hornibrook split time last year but seems poised to take full control of the offense, while backs Bradrick Shaw and Pitt transfer Chris James will get most of the carries in the Badgers' power rushing offense. Receiver Jazz Peavy can hurt defenses in a number of ways, while tight end Troy Fumagalli may be one of the top pass-catchers in the Big Ten. The defense will have to replace sack machine T.J. Watt, fearless safety Leo Musso and just recently linebacker Jack Cichy, who re-tore his ACL. Even so, veterans like corner D'Cota Dixon, junior linebacker T.J. Edwards and senior linemen Chikwe Obasih should keep the unit among the best in the conference. Also helping out Wisconsin is the fact that their schedule lightens up tremendously. Outside of a late November meeting with Michigan there is a good chance the Badgers will be favored in every single game they play this season. That certainly bodes well for a tough that has very realistic Playoff hopes.

2. Northwestern Wildcats (National Rank: 22)
Things weren't looking good for Northwestern early on in 2016, as the Wildcats opened the year with a loss to MAC foe Western Michigan and then managed just seven points in a loss to FCS opponent Illinois State. They did eventually figure things out and ended the year 7-6, with a victory over Pittsburgh in their bowl game to cap it off. Things should be even better this season, as the Wildcats bring back a veteran quarterback in Clayton Thorson, an underrated back in Justin Jackson and plenty of experienced pieces on the defensive side of the ball. Thorson was somewhat inconsistent last year but should improve with another year under his belt and more options in the passing game (namely Oregon transfer Jalen Brown), while Jackson quietly ran for 1,524 yards and 15 touchdowns. On defense, Northwestern must find a way to replace middle linebacker Anthony Walker, but they have three starters back on a very experienced and well-rounded defensive line and senior safety Godwin Igwebuike is an All-Conference talent. Much like Wisconsin, the Wildcats also have a very favorable schedule, making them probably the most dangerous dark horse in the league.

3. Minnesota Golden Gophers
Rodney Smith, Minnesota
A 9-4 record in 2016 was Minnesota's best in years, but a sexual assault case that rocked the team late in the season eventually led to Tracey Claeys' dismissal as head coach. Minnesota went out and got one of the hotter names in the coaching carousel in P.J. Fleck, who had just led Western Michigan to a New Year's Six Bowl. Fleck's first order of business is finding a new QB, as three-year starter Mitch Leidner graduates. Senior Conor Rhoda started one game last season due to an injury to Leidner and is a smart, cerebral quarterback. He will compete with sophomore Demry Croft and redshirt freshman Seth Green for the starting job (Fleck has announced both Rhoda and Croft will see split time in the opener). A great backfield, which is led by junior speedster Rodney Smith (1,158 yards, 16 touchdowns last season) and powerful Shannon Brooks should help take some pressure off the new QB, although Minnesota will have to patch up an O-Line that loses three starters. On defense, the Gophers continue to improve and they could be very good this year. Up front, senior Steven Richardson is among the best D-Linemen in the conference and youngsters Carter Couglin and Kamal Martin should help ensure Minnesota's terrific rush defense keeps going. The secondary must replace some key pieces, but sophomore Antoine Winfield Jr. is a star in the making. There will be some adjustment period needed for Fleck and an offense with plenty of new faces. Even so, Minnesota has a decent chance of being 7-0 by the time they play on the road against Iowa, and get into the meat of their Big Ten schedule. This team may not be ready to compete for a division title just yet, but 8-9 wins is a reasonable goal for the debut season of Fleck.

4. Nebraska Cornhuskers
The 'Huskers began 2016 7-0 and rose as high as seventh in the nation before their schedule became tough and some of their old issues caught up with them. They now enter 2017 forced to replace the school's all-time passing leader, Tommy Armstrong Jr., and without a clear-cut No. 1 at running back. Nebraska fans have been super high on Tulane transfer Tanner Lee at quarterback, but he may struggle going from the American Athletic to the physicality and speed of Big Ten football. The good news is that he does have two very dangerous receivers to work with in junior Stanley Morgan Jr. and senior De'Mornay Pierson-El. Nebraska was solid on defense for much of '16, and brings in new D-coordinator Bob Diaco, formerly the head coach at UConn. Diaco will replace the 4-3 with his own, aggressive 3-4 scheme, which should make the defense more blitz-happy and ferocious. He also has a great secondary to help out, as three starters are back, led by senior corner Chris Jones. Nebraska should be solid once more, and may be able to sneak into division title contention. However, third-year head coach Mike Riley has to be feeling some pressure. His 15-11 mark over his first two seasons isn't what the 'Huskers were looking for when they hired him, particularly at a program that hasn't won a conference championship in nearly two decades (1999).

5. Iowa Hawkeyes
After the stunning 12-2 season that yielded a division title and Rose Bowl berth in 2015 Iowa fell
back last season, going 8-5. However, they did win their last three conference games, and their upset over Michigan threw a spike into the Wolverines' National Title plans. They'll enter this season forced to replace third-round NFL Draft pick C.J. Beathard at quarterback, where sophomore Nathan Stanley and junior Tyler Wiegers will compete for the job. Neither should be asked to do to much, as Iowa returns senior Akrum Wadley (1,081 yards, 10 touchdowns) at running back, and also brings in heralded Nevada transfer James Butler, who wanted to move into a pro-style offense. The return of nearly everybody on the offensive line will ensure that Iowa's powerful, smashmouth offense will be tough to stop once again. Defensively, the front seven has some rebuilding to do, but senior linebackers Josey Jewell and Ben Niemann should keep it a strength. The secondary will miss interception machine Desmond King, but the Hawkeyes do a great job of developing talent in that unit. Losing a veteran quarterback like Beathard is tough, especially for an offense that managed just 153 passing yards per game anyways (118th in the country) but Iowa has never been a team that needs nor wants to air the ball out. They will play their in-your-face, gritty brand of football and if they can survive a tough end of October/early November stretch, which includes road trips to Wisconsin and Northwestern, a division title isn't completely out of the question.

6. Purdue Boilermakers
It was not surprising to see Purdue move on from head coach Darrell Hazell halfway through 2016, especially considering he went a lowly 9-33 overall and 3-24 in Big Ten play in West Lafayette. It was somewhat surprising to see his replacement: former Western Kentucky head coach Jeff Brohm, who Purdue managed to snag over a number of other interested schools. Brohm will bring his high-flying, up-tempo offensive scheme to the mix, and he has the perfect QB to run the show. Junior David Blough led the conference in interceptions last year but has a huge arm and did manage 3,352 yards in 2016. He'll be helped by solid back Markell Jones and a receivers corps that is inexperienced, but full of potential. It will be the defense where Brohm and staff have to do the most work, after this time allowed over 38 points per game last season. There are six starters returning, including sophomore Markus Bailey, their leading returning tackler, and senior defensive linemen Gelen Robinson, so there is something to work with there. It's hard to imagine Brohm completely turning around a Boilermakers' team that has been a punching bag in the conference the last few years, especially with Louisville and Missouri awaiting in the non-conference. But, this team should be a nice fit for his scheme, and should look overall better. Climbing out of the cellar of the West Division would be a great start for the new staff.

7. Illinois Fighting Illini
As expected, Lovie Smith's first season in Champaign wasn't exactly ideal. The Illini suffered through injuries, depth issues and inexperience throughout their roster, all contributing to a 3-9 stinker of a season. Unfortunately, things could get worse before they get better, as the Illini must replace QB Wes Lunt and a ton on the defensive side of the ball. Junior Chayce Crouch will take over for the departed Lunt after seeing some action a season ago. Crouch isn't much of a passer, but his running ability gives this offense something to work with. It also helps that Illinois has a rising star at running back (sophomore Reggie Corbin) and two very good receivers in senior Malik Turner and junior Mike Dudek. Dudek became the first Illinois freshman in school history to have 1,000 receiving yards, but he has suffered through two torn ACLs the past two springs. If he can stay healthy, this offense may actually have some bite to it. The defense, on the other hand, must replace eight starters from a group that allowed 31.9 points per game in '16. Unless a whole bunch of youngsters break out under Smith and defensive coordinator Hardy Nickerson, it could be a long year for that group. Lovie Smith is a fine football coach, and I expect him to eventually turn around this Illinois program. However, that will require time and a whole lot of patience in Champaign. With the rest of the Big Ten West improving, Illinois will have to work hard to stay out of the cellar of the division.

All-Big Ten Teams
First Team
QB Trace McSorley, Penn State
RB Saquon Barkey, Penn State
RB Justin Jackson, Northwestern
WR Nick Westbrook, Indiana
WR Malik Turner, Illinois
TE Mike Gesicki, Penn State
OL Mason Cole, Michigan
OL Brian Allen, Michigan State
OL Billy Price, Ohio State
OL Sean Welsh, Iowa
OL Beau Benzschawel, Wisconsin
DL Sam Hubbard, Ohio State
DL Maurice Hurst, Michigan
DL Steven Richardson, Minnesota
DL Rashan Gary, Michigan
LB T.J. Edwards, Wisconsin
LB Josey Jewell, Iowa
LB Tegray Scales, Indiana
CB Chris Jones, Nebraska
CB Grant Haley, Penn State
S Marcus Allen, Penn State
S Godwin Igwebuike, Northwestern

Second Team
QB J.T. Barrett, Ohio State
RB Mike Weber, Ohio State
RB Rodney Smith, Minnesota
WR DaeSean Hamilton, Penn State
WR Jazz Peavy, Wisconsin
TE Troy Fumagalli, Wisconsin
OL James Daniels, Iowa
OL Jamarco Jones, Ohio State
OL Michael Dieter, Wisconsin
OL Brad North, Northwestern
OL Nick Gates, Nebraska
DL Tyquan Lewis, Ohio State
DL Nick Bosa, Ohio State
DL Conor Sheehy, Wisconsin
DL Chase Winovich, Michigan
LB Mike McCray, Michigan
LB Jerome Baker, Ohio State
LB Jason Cabinda, Penn State
CB Rashard Fant, Indiana
CB Derrick Tindal, Wisconsin
S D'Cota Dixon, Wisconsin
S Damon Webb, Ohio State

Projected Awards
Championship Game: Ohio State over Wisconsin
Offensive Player of the Year: Saquon Barkley, Penn State
Defensive Player of the Year: Josey Jewell, Iowa
Newcomer of the Year: Donovan Peoples-Jones, Michigan
Coach of the Year: Pat Fitzgerald, Northwestern

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

College Football Preview 2017-2018: Previewing the ACC

Lamar Jackson, Louisville
Atlantic Coast Conference

2016 In Review: 2016 was an absolutely fabulous year for ACC football. First off, the conference's two-time reigning champion, Clemson, went on to get vengeance against Alabama, winning the school's first National Title since the 1980s. Louisville shone bright for the first ten weeks of the season (9-1 start) before falling flat over their next three games. Even so, their star QB Lamar Jackson became the first Heisman winner for the conference since Jameis Winston in 2013. Meanwhile, Florida State recovered from a relatively disappointing regular season to blast Michigan in the Orange Bowl, Miami looked the best they have in years and pounded West Virginia in the Russell Athletic Bowl, while downtrodden conference power Virginia Tech won 10 games and returned to the ACC Championship for the first time since 2011. Even Pittsburgh, considered by most to be a mid-tier ACC team, beat Clemson and eventual Big Ten Champion Penn State en route to a successful year. Can the conference continue that momentum in 2017?

Ranking the ACC (click on Top 25 teams for more in-depth previews)

Atlantic Division

1. Clemson Tigers (National Rank:3)
After leading a wonderful last-second drive to stun Alabama in the National Championship, quarterback Deshaun Watson left for the NFL, taking with him a ton from that National Championship team. Yet, there shouldn't be much worry in Clemson, South Carolina. While the offense must find a new QB (Kelly Bryant was named the starter this week), there is still plenty of firepower, with receivers Deon Cain and Hunter Renfrow, and the Tigers are absolutely stacked on both the offensive and defensive lines. Only helping out the Tigers' case is the fact they get Florida State at home, in what very well could decide the division. Losing Watson and emotional leader Ben Boulware may hurt but this team and program still have no trouble reloading. I see them making their third straight Playoff appearance this year.

2. Florida State Seminoles (National Rank: 5)
A popular National Title pick last season, FSU had some major ups-and-downs en route to a relatively disappointing 10-3 mark. However, they did have a first-year starter at QB, a very poor offensive line and lost their best defender early on in the season, so some of the struggles made perfect sense. Now a sophomore, Deondre Francois hopes to lead an offense that will lose star back Dalvin Cook but should still move the ball very well. Defensively, the Seminoles return nearly everybody to a very stout front seven and most importantly, return safety Derwin James, who could be the best defender in college football but missed most of 2016 with a torn meniscus. Tough games against Alabama (in a neutral site) and on the road against Clemson will be brutal, but this Seminoles team has more than enough talent to be in the thick of the Playoff conversation for much of the year.

3. Louisville Cardinals (National Rank: 20)
Louisville was one of the nation's most surprising teams over the season's first half last season, as they started 9-1 and came within inches of stunning Clemson on the road. Unfortunately, their poor end to the year, in which they lost three straight, really cast a shadow on what was overall a pretty successful year. The Cards should be tough once more in 2017, thanks in large part to the return of Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson. He'll be helped offensively by receivers Jaylen Smith and converted QB Reggie Bonnafon, while true frosh running back Collin Wilson is one of the biggest recruits Bobby Petrino has ever landed at UL. On the other side of the ball Louisville brings a ton of experience and a ball-hawking secondary, headlined by All-American corner Jaire Alexander. The Cardinals will almost certainly be very dangerous and a real threat, but they just don't seem quite at Clemson and Florida State's level, at least not until they can develop more consistency.

4. NC State Wolfpack
There are a number of people around NC State that believe fifth-year head coach Dave Doeren should be gone (25-26 here), but Doeren may have his best team in Raleigh in 2017. Doeren brings back a veteran QB in Boise State transfer Ryan Finley (3,059 yards, 18 touchdowns in '16) and do-it-all running back/receiver Jaylen Samuels (13 total touchdowns last season). Also working in NC State's favor is the return of their entire defensive line, which could end up being one of the best in college football. All four returnees are very experienced and well-rounded seniors, and one is an All-American in Bradley Chubb, who had 10.5 sacks last year. All signs point up for the Wolfpack and if they can get some things to go their way, they may just have a chance at breaking into the Atlantic's upper division and getting double-digit wins.

5. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
After two consecutive 3-9 seasons to begin his time in Winston-Salem, head coach Dave Clawson oversaw a breakthrough in 2016, as Wake Forest made a bowl and finished off 7-6. What is particularly amazing about that '16 team was that they made a bowl despite having the 124th total offense in the country, and one that managed just 20.4 points per game (118th nationally, 13th in the conference). Expect that to change this year, as the Demon Deacons bring back two experienced quarterbacks in junior Kendall Hinton and senior John Wolford, a solid back in junior Matt Colburn and perhaps the ACC's best tight end in Cam Serigne. If the underrated defense, led by defensive end Duke Ejiofor and safety Jessie Bates, can continue to progress another bowl, and perhaps even an improvement on last year's seven victories, could be in the cards.

6. Boston College Eagles
Speaking or poor offenses, we arrive at Boston College, who also managed to win seven games despite an offense that was stagnant and lacked any creativity (averaged 292.8 YPG, 127th in the country). Second-year offensive coordinator Scott Loeffler experimented with some up-tempo in the spring, so we will see if the Eagles change anything up in 2017. This roster has some potential, as junior back Jon Hilliman has shown flashes of brilliance, and the defense is stout, bringing back Harold Landry, who had 16.5 sacks a year ago but decided not to go the NFL. However, unless the offense can do something new or find some other major spark, this team's ceiling is pretty low. Getting back to a bowl game would be a very reasonable goal for Steve Addazio, who enters his fifth year in Chestnut Hill.

7. Syracuse Orange
Despite the fact Syracuse had the exact same record in 2016 as they did in '15, there was significant progress under first-year head coach Dino Babers. Babers installed a spread, up-tempo look that worked very well for Syracuse, who averaged over 440 yards per game. Yet, some of the inexperience throughout the roster and a porous defense contributed to the Orange going 4-8 once more. Babers will have his star QB, junior Eric Dungey back, and also has a decent crop of receivers to throw to, even as Amba Etta-Tawo departs (1,492 yards). On defense, nearly everybody returns on the front seven but this team won't make any progress unless some playmakers emerge in a poor secondary. Year Two should have some more growing pains for Babers and staff, but you have to feel as though this team is making progress. A bowl game might be tough with their schedule, but five wins and maybe a couple upsets would be a very successful year at the 'Cuse.

Coastal Division

1. Miami Hurricanes (National Rank: 17)
Since joining the ACC in 2004, Miami has been mired in mediocrity. The program has had moments where it looked like they were ready to return to their glory days, but have failed to win a single division title. That could change in 2017, as the Hurricanes look like the clear-cut favorite in the Coastal, where a number of the other top contenders are rebuilding. The 'Canes will have to find a replacement for three-year starter Brad Kaaya (junior Malik Rosier is the favorite) but should still be strong offensively behind the legs of back Mark Walton and a great receivers corps, which includes sophomore Ahmmon Richards and senior Braxton Berrios. On defense Miami should also be very good, as they return nearly everybody to their front seven including a linebackers corps that includes All-Conference candidates such as Shaq Quarterman and Michael Pinckney. The secondary is a concern considering Miami has zero returning starters back there, but cornerback Dee Delaney, a transfer from The Citadel, has skyhigh expectations. It doesn't appear as though Miami is quite back to the level of competing for National Championships, but they are on the rise. There is no reason why they can't win the Coastal and post 10-plus wins.

2. Virginia Tech Hokies
After nearly three decades of Frank Beamer on the sideline in Blacksburg, Virginia Tech broke in new head coach Justin Fuente, to great success. Fuente engineered a quick turnaround of a formerly stagnant offense and the defense played its usual shutdown style, equating to a 10-4 record and Coastal Division title. It was an impressive start to the Fuente era but now comes the tough part: rebuilding after this team loses a ton. Fuente must find a QB to replace Jerod Evans, who left early for the NFL. Redshirt frosh Josh Jackson is the favorite, but could be pushed by junior A.J. Bush or newcomer Hendon Hooker. Finding a new go-to weapon in the passing game should be a top priority, although senior Cam Phillips should make it easier, as he had 983 yards last season. Long-time defensive coordinator Bud Foster should ensure VT's defense is tough as usual. He'll have to rebuild the D-Line, but linebackers Tremaine Edmunds and Andrew Motuapuaka (114 tackles in '16) are as good as you can get in the ACC. It's completely reasonable that this team may struggle out of the gate but there is no shortage of talent here. If the offense can click pretty fast, another division title isn't out of the question.

3. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Just a week ago, I had Georgia Tech second in the Coastal and viewed them as a serious threat to Miami for the division title. They are still a dangerous team, but the loss of running back Dedrick Mills, who was kicked off the team this week, really hurts. Mills was GT's top returning rusher, picking up 771 yards and 12 scores last season and he played a huge role in this option offense. With Mills now gone and the Yellow Jackets still searching for a quarterback to replace Justin Thomas, this offense could undergo a rebuild entering 2017. The defense has never been elite but has always been passable, and that should be the case once more. Seniors Lance Austin and Lawrence Austin will lead a very experienced secondary, but the pass rush has to improve, after managing a lowly 18 sacks last year. Georgia Tech is tough every single year because they play hard and their triple-option attack is tough to gameplan against. They'll be in the mix for a Coastal crown, but some of their deficiencies should push them more to the middle of the pack in the division.

4. Pittsburgh Panthers
Jordan Whithead, Pittsburgh
Prior to last season, Pitt had never really been known as a team that could light you up offensively, but that changed in 2016. The Panthers averaged 40.9 points per game under the leadership of offensive coordinator Matt Canada, including scoring 76 against Syracuse and 56 against Duke. Unfortunately, their defense couldn't hold others from doing the same, equating to a 8-5 record. Canada moved on to the same role at LSU, and Pitt must replace QB Nathan Peterman and back James Conner, but the offense still has potential. USC graduate transfer quarterback Max Browne played fairly well with the Trojans but was overtaken by Sam Darnold. Passing to a deep and talented receivers corps, which includes the incredibly versatile Quadree Henderson, should really help him. On defense, the Panthers have to rebuild their front seven, which was hit hard by graduation, but the secondary should be improved with junior safety Jordan Whitehead returning. There will have to be some adjustments as the Panthers work in some new toys and a new OC, but Pat Narduzzi has done a good job with this program. They could very well replicate last year's eight wins, or perhaps even surpass it.

5. North Carolina Tar Heels
It has been a great couple years for the Tar Heels, who followed up their division title in 2015, with a solid 8-5 record. But, this team was hit hard by losses this off-season, likely indicating it will be a rebuilding year in Chapel Hill. The Heels lose 99 percent of their rushing, 70.5 percent of their receiving yards and their starting quarterback, as Mitchell Trubisky left for the NFL a year early. Trubisky's absence opens the door for a QB competition, with LSU grad transfer Brandon Harris battling sophomore Nathan Elliott and others for the starting job. Harris showed flashes with the Tigers but never really fulfilled his vast potential in Baton Rouge. We will see if a move to the spread attack UNC has will change that. UNC must also replace Elijah Hood at running back (sophomore Jordon Brown the projected starter), and plenty at receiver. The Tar Heels have taken steps on defense over the past few seasons, but must replace D-coordinator Gene Chizik, who retired, along with plenty across their secondary. With the insane amount of production gone on offense, UNC will almost certainly go through some struggles in 2017, but if Harris can adapt to this offense quickly and the defense can continue to improve, the Tar Heels should still be bowl-bound, at the very least.

6. Duke Blue Devils
It is amazing that the 4-8 record Duke suffered through in 2016 would have once been considered normal or perhaps even a success. Head coach David Cutcliffe has greatly risen the program's tradition and talent level, so last year's stumble seemed out of the blue. The good news entering '17 is that Duke will have their QB, sophomore Daniel Jones, figured out and plenty of other weapons back on offense. Jones had troubles with consistency throughout last year but did show plenty of potential, finishing off the year with 2,836 yards and 16 touchdowns. He'll be helped by underrated tailback Shaun Wilson and a cast of receivers without a real star, but plenty of solid options. On the other side of the ball Duke should be pretty solid, particularly with sophomore linebacker Joe Giles-Harris, who had 107 tackles last season, leading the way. A tough non-conference slate (Northwestern, Baylor and a road trip against Army) will test this team but if they can surprise some ACC foes, a bowl berth isn't completely out of the question.

7. Virginia Cavaliers
After a long tenure at BYU, head coach Bronco Mendenhall had a tough welcoming to the ACC with Virginia. The Cavaliers lost by 17 to FCS foe Richmond and never really figured it out, finishing the season 2-10 and 1-7 in the conference. Virginia should still have plenty of issues entering this season as they continue on their massive rebuild, but there is some bright spots. First off, former East Carolina QB Kurt Benkert has a huge arm and has plenty of talent. Also working for the Cavs is a defense that includes future NFL draftees like senior safety Quin Blanding, senior defensive end Andrew Brown and senior linebacker Micah Kiser, who led the team in tackles (134) and sacks (6.5). That should give UVA fans at least something to feel good about and watch, because it should be a long season. However, Mendenhall has a good sense of what he needs to do to get this program back on track, and there should be some progress in Year Two.

All-ACC Teams
First Team
QB Lamar Jackson, Louisville
RB Mark Walton, Miami
RB Qadree Ollison, Pittsburgh
WR Deon Cain, Clemson
WR Jaylen Samuels, NC State
TE Cam Serigne, Wake Forest
OL Mitch Hyatt, Clemson
OL Alec Eberle, Florida State
OL Tyrone Crowder, Clemson
OL Brian O'Neill, Pittsburgh
OL Tony Adams, NC State
DL Christian Wilkins, Clemson
DL Dexter Lawrence, Clemson
DL Harold Landry, Boston College
DL Bradley Chubb, NC State
LB Micah Kiser, Virginia
LB Shaq Quarterman, Miami
LB Kendall Joseph, Clemson
CB Jaire Alexander, Louisville
CB Tavarus McFadden, Florida State
S Derwin James, Florida State
S Quin Blanding, Virginia

Second Team
QB Deondre Francois, Florida State
RB Cam Akers, Florida State
RB Shaun Wilson, Duke
WR Ahmmon Richards, Miami
WR Cam Phillips, Virginia Tech
TE Ryan Izzo, Florida State
OL Lukayus McNeil, Louisville
OL Brock Ruble, Florida State
OL Wyatt Teller, Virginia Tech
OL Bentley Spain, North Carolina
OL Austin Davis, Duke
DL Clelin Ferrell, Clemson
DL Duke Ejiofor, Wake Forest
DL Derrick Nnadi, Florida State
DL Brian Burns, Florida State
LB Tremaine Edmunds, Virginia Tech
LB Andrew Motuapuaka, Virginia Tech
LB Joe Giles-Harris, Duke
CB Lance Austin, Georgia Tech
CB M.J. Stewart, North Carolina
S Jordan Whitehead, Pittsburgh
S Jessie Bates, Wake Forest

Projected Awards
Championship Game: Clemson over Miami
Offensive Player of the Year: Lamar Jackson, Louisville
Defensive Player of the Year: Derwin James, Florida State
Newcomer of the Year: Cam Akers, Florida State
Coach of the Year: Dabo Swinney, Clemson

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

College Football Preview 2017-2018: 1. Alabama Crimson Tide

1. Alabama Crimson Tide

Same old, same old; dynamic backfield and stout defense ensure Alabama is team to beat

  • Location: Tuscaloosca, AL.
  • Conference: SEC (West)
  • Schedule
  • Roster
  • Coach: Nick Saban (11th year)
  • Last Years Record: 14-1 (9-0 SEC)
  • Bowl Result: Loss in National Championship

Overview

Throughout much of 2016 Alabama looked destined to add another National Title to their belt. The Tide started off the year ranked No. 1 in the polls and didn't move, winning 14 straight in mostly dominant fashion. They pounded USC, Arkansas, Tennessee, Auburn, Florida and any other ranked team that stood in their way of a fifth national title under Nick Saban. Yet, despite the dominant defense and physical offense Alabama possessed their old kryptonite doomed them once more: Deshaun Watson. Watson led Clemson on a miraculous last-minute drive capped off by a short touchdown pass to former walk-on Hunter Renfrow to stun the Tide. It was an extremely heartbreaking loss to suffer for Alabama but the good news: they shouldn't have to wait very long to get another chance at a title. With a more experienced quarterback, great backfield and overall stout defense, the Tide look once more like the team to beat nationally.

Jalen Hurts
Offense: For the first time since A.J. McCarron returned for his senior season in 2013, Alabama returns their starting quarterback. Jalen Hurts beat out a number of others to win the quarterback job as a true freshman and ended up throwing for 2,780 yards and 23 touchdowns, while adding 954 yards and 13 scores on the ground. Hurts did throw nine interceptions and did struggle to get the ball down the field at times, but that was to be expected of a teenager thrown into SEC football. New offensive coordinator Brian Daboll has worked extensively over the off-season with Hurts, and many see the sophomore making a big leap in his second season as starter, perhaps even becoming a Heisman candidate. That may be a lot to ask of the youthful signal-caller, but one thing is for sure: Alabama will not have the big question at QB they have the past few years. At running back, the Tide may have the best collection of backs in the entire country. Junior Damien Harris led the team in rushing yards a season ago with 1,037, and averaged a whopping 7.1 yards per carry. He will almost surely see plenty of action once more in 2017, but fellow junior Bo Scarbrough could take over the featured back role. Scarbrough struggled with injuries for a large chunk of 2016 but when he finally did get healthy, was absolutely dominant. He played a huge role in the team's Playoff run before injury hit once more in the National Championship. He finished up the year with 812 yards and 11 touchdowns, and should put up even bigger numbers this season if he can stay healthy. Also back are sophomores B.J. Emmons and Joshua Jacobs. Neither were very hyped recruits but both showed real flashes of stardom despite being so low on the depth chart. Jacobs managed 567 yards and four touchdowns, while Emmons added 173 yards and one score. While Harris and Scarbrough are your prototypical Alabama power rushers, Emmons and Jacobs provide a nice change of pace as quick, agile weapons on the ground. Another name to watch is true freshman Najee Harris, considered by many as the top running back recruit in the country. Harris fits the mold of past Tide backs such as Derrick Henry, Trent Richardson and Mark Ingram; a massive, ferocious runner that finds ways to move the chain. However, much like Henry and Richardson did, he will likely have to wait his turn with the amount of depth at the position right now. On the outside, Alabama is hopeful junior Calvin Ridley can regain his 2015 form after slumping for a big chunk of '16. As a true freshman in '15, Ridley 1,045 receiving yards in just 11 starts, but managed just 769 receiving yards last season playing in all 15 games. With his speed and deep threat ability, Ridley is a real threat to opposing defenses and if Hurts can get it down the field more, the junior could have a huge season. Many 'Bama fans are hopeful he follows the trend of former Alabama star wide out Amari Cooper, who had a big freshman year, slumped his sophomore season, then had a dominant, Heisman-finalist season his junior season. Also returning at receiver is senior Robert Foster who has been pretty effective when he has been on the field over the past few years, but he's struggled with injuries. Beyond those two, the Tide have a ton of youth at the position, with unproven newcomers like Jerry Jeudy and DeVonta Smith likely having to step into large roles. At tight end, Alabama must replace first-round NFL Draft selection O.J. Howard, who seemed to always play his best in the biggest games. Junior Hale Hentges is more of a blocker but should still see some action in the passing game, while sophomore Irv Smith has loads of potential. On the offensive line, left tackle Cam Robinson may have left for the NFL, but nearly everybody else is back. That includes sophomore Jonah Williams, who wowed NFL scouts a year ago, coming in and playing very well as a true freshman. He'll likely take over that left tackle spot, while All-Conference candidates like Ross Pierschbacher and Bradley Bozeman will also help out.

Defense: The Tide have long prided themselves on elite defense, and that was certainly the case again last year. Alabama allowed just 262 yards per game and 13 points per game, and forced an impressive 29 turnovers over the course of the season. What was even more impressive was how they took advantage of those turnovers, finishing the year with 14 non-offensive touchdowns (which does take special teams into account). This season, they lose their usual crop of NFL draftees but have enough talent waiting in the wings the unit should be tough once more. On the defensive line, Alabama will lose Jonathan Allen, who led the team with 10.5 sacks and was among the nation's most dominant defenders. Yet, the Tide are hopeful junior Da'Shawn Hand can have the breakout season they've long hoped for. Hand was a former five-star recruit and has flashed some real dominance in his time in Tuscaloosca, but has yet to really establish himself as a star. Hand was charged with a DUI over this off-season, perhaps complicating things for the talented end. Even so, when he does get on the field, his size and explosive first step should terrify opponents. He'll be joined by nose guard Da'Ron Payne, another guy getting plenty of NFL attention. Payne isn't much of a pass rusher but the physical linemen still plays an important role in run support and occupying blockers. Much like Hand, he should shine now that he finally has a chance to start. The other defensive end spot is likely to be occupied by either sophomore Raekwon Davis or redshirt frosh Quinnen Williams. Davis had one sack as a true freshman a season ago and has some experience, but Williams' impressive showing in the spring (named Most Important Player of the spring game) may help him lock down the starting role. Alabama was hit the hardest by NFL defections in the linebacker corps, as Rueben Foster, Tim Williams and Ryan Anderson all graduated and are now playing on Sundays. All three had different strengths; Foster was a tackling machine (115 tackles in 2016), Williams an elite-level pass rusher (nine sacks, 12 QB hurries) and Anderson a well-rounded, disciplined 'backer (61 tackles, nine sacks). Senior Shaun Dion Hamilton is the lone returning starter and expect the veteran to play a huge role after a solid season last year, in which he had 64 tackles and nine TFL. The other three players yet to break into starting roles may have been reserves a season ago, but do bring loads of talent. Senior Rashaan Evans is expected to fill Foster's spot at middle linebacker. Evans is known for being a physical, smashmouth defender and he should have no troubles being the next elite 'Bama MLB in a long line of them. Sophomore Anfernee Jennings did not play like a true freshman a year ago (had 19 tackles, 2 TFL) and should get even better with a full off-season under his belt. He'll be joined on the outside by sophomore Terrell Hall, who showed flashes of brilliance in 2016. Expect contributions from sophomore Mack Wilson and newcomer Dylan Moses. Wilson is one of the hardest-hitting players in the entire country (look at this hit he laid on Texas A&M's Speedy Noil) and his ceiling is incredibly high. Moses, meanwhile, is a five-star pickup by the Tide considered by many to be the best defender in the Tide's 2017 Class. Alabama should have no issues slowing down opposing pass offenses, as three impact starters are back. That includes All-American safety Minkah Fitzpatrick, who was always a threat to change games a year ago. Fitzpatrick finished off the season with six interceptions and returned a number for big gains. If he can continue to be the ball-hawking interception machine in back, this defense will continue to force turnovers at an incredible rate. He'll be aided by fellow returning starters Ronnie Harrison and Anthony Averett. Harrison is a lengthy, athletic free safety whose versatility
Trevon Diggs
will be used quite creatively by D-coordinator Jeremy Pruitt, while Averett may slide into the No. 1 cornerback role with the departure of Marlon Humphrey. That CB spot left open by Humphrey is likely to be taken up by sophomore Trevon Diggs. Diggs, the younger brother of Minnesota Vikings receiver Stefon, originally began his career at receiver but made the switch to defensive back over the off-season. His fabulous instincts and great ball skills should bode very well for this defense.

Special Teams: The search for a new placekicker commenced over this off-season for Alabama, but it's still unclear who it is going to be. Newcomer Joseph Bulovas is competing with former Ole Miss transfer Andy Pappanastos (1-1 field goals, 6-6 extra points in 2016) for the starting job. Senior J.K. Scott may also factor into the race, but the tide will likely want to save his leg for punting duties, where he was an All-American last year.

Few programs can lose the talent Alabama loses year in, year out and still be considered the National Title favorites but that is what happens when you recruit and develop players at the level Nick Saban does. The Tide lose a big chunk from last year's 14-1 team (Cam Robinson, O.J. Howard, ArDarius Stewart, Jonathan Allen, etc.) but could actually be better, particularly offensively. New OC Brian Daboll seems like a better fit with 'Bama and Saban than Lane Kiffin ever was, and Hurts has the talent and smarts to have a big sophomore campaign. With a suffocating, turnover-hungry defense on the other side of the ball and depth everywhere on this roster, there should be nothing standing in the Tide's way. They are my pick to not only win the National Championship, but also likely run the table in the process.

Player to Watch
Jerry Jeudy, WR
There are a number of true freshman who could have big debuts in Tuscaloosca, such as Najee Harris, Dylan Moses or even offensive linemen Alex Leatherwood. However, my bet is on receiver Jerry Jeudy. Jeudy, a five-star prospect out of Deerfield Beach, Florida, has elite explosiveness and athleticism and looked ready to contribute during the spring. With defenses likely keying on Calvin Ridley, 'Bama will look for others to really step up in the passing attack.

Five-Year Trend
2012: 13-1 (8-1 SEC)*
2013: 11-2 (7-1 SEC)*
2014: 12-2 (8-1 SEC)*
2015: 14-1 (8-1 SEC)*
2016: 14-1 (9-0 SEC)*

*= Bowl appearance

Sunday, August 20, 2017

College Football Preview 2017-2018: 2. USC Trojans

2. USC Trojans

With Darnold at the helm, they have to be the Pac-12 favorites

  • Location: Los Angeles, CA.
  • Conference: Pac-12 (South)
  • Schedule
  • Roster
  • Coach: Clay Helton (second year)
  • Last Years Record: 10-3 (7-2 Pac-12)
  • Bowl Result: Victory in Rose Bowl

Overview

To describe USC's start to 2016 as frustrating or bad may not do it justice. The Trojans looked absolutely lost, opening the year with a 52-6 drubbing at the hands of Alabama and lost to conference foes Stanford and Utah to start the year 1-3. First-year head coach Clay Helton, who was already considered on the hot seat, decided to make a switch at QB, opting for redshirt freshman Sam Darnold over veteran Max Browne. That simple switch ignited the Trojans, who would go on to win their final nine games, win the Rose Bowl, and defeat eventual Pac-12 Champ Washington. After that impressive nine-game stretch can Darnold and USC do it for an entire season? With the talent dotting this roster, there is no reason why they can't, and make a run at their first National Championship appearance since the Matt Leinart/Reggie Bush days.

Sam Darnold
Offense: Darnold didn't arrive with the fanfare of Max Browne or Arkansas transfer Ricky Town (who came to Southern Cal, saw Darnold, and promptly transferred) but after just one season, hopes to etch his name as one of the greatest quarterbacks in 'SC history. That may seem like a bit of hyperbole, but Darnold is that good. He tossed for 3,086 yards and 31 touchdowns a year ago, while completing nearly 68% of his passes. What makes the young quarterback so impressive is his poise and confidence; despite staring down some impressive defenses in his first year he always stayed calm and collected. That will obviously be key for a Trojans team that has National Title aspirations. If Darnold can put together another huge year and come up big on National TV against opponents like Texas and Notre Dame, he has a very good shot at winning the Heisman. Darnold isn't the only Trojan who should have a big year, however. At running back, USC brings back dynamic junior Ronald Jones II, who will finally have the featured back role all to himself. Jones had 1,082 yards and 12 touchdowns while splitting carries with the departed Justin Davis, and is incredibly quick and blessed with excellent burst. With Darnold spreading defenses out with his huge arm, Jones should be able to take advantage of some huge holes to run through. At receiver, the Trojans will have to replace their top two receivers from a year ago in JuJu Smith-Schuster and Darreus Rogers. Smith-Schuster's final season in Southern Cal was considered somewhat of a disappointment but the wide out still managed 914 yards and 10 touchdowns, while Rogers proved to be a very reliable option as well (56 receptions, 696 yards). Junior Deontay Burnett should have no problem sliding into a bigger role in the offense. Burnett showed plenty of potential throughout 2016 but really started playing well near the end, especially when he hauled in three touchdowns in the Rose Bowl. He doesn't quite have Smith-Schuster's size but he's a good route runner and is great at finding ways to create space. Also back is senior Steven Mitchell, junior Jalen Greene and sophomore Michael Pittman. Mitchell is a long-time veteran still really waiting for his breakout year, while Greene showed flashes of brilliance a year ago, managing 116 yards on eight catches. Pittman has fans and coaches really excited because of his size (6'4") and terrific leaping ability. Unfortunately, Pittman went down with a high ankle sprain about a week ago, and it's expected he'll miss some time. Even if he does, his physical tools are impressive, and he could evolve into the Trojans' premier red zone threat. At tight end, sophomore Daniel Imatorbhebhe is returning following a solid 2016. The young pass-catcher had four touchdown receptions a year ago, while also displaying decent playmaking ability down the field, averaging 14.7 yards per catch. The offensive line could be a real question mark for USC this season, as the Trojans lose a number of long-time veterans, including tackles Zach Banner and Chad Wheeler, along with guard Damien Mama. Those losses almost certainly mean USC will undergo some growing pains along the unit, but there is no dearth of talent. Senior center Nico Falah is an important returnee in the heart of the group, while senior right guard Viane Talamaivo will also bring valuable experience. The tackle spots are no doubt the concerns, particularly in a conference with a number of terrific edge pass rushers. At left tackle, junior Chuma Edoga (appeared in two games last season) is the favorite to start, but will be pushed by newcomer Austin Jackson, a four-star find from Arizona. At right tackle, USC hopes someone can emerge from a group including junior Toa Lobendahn, sophomore Clayton Johnson or redshirt frosh Nathan Smith.

Iman Marshall
Defense: As the offense started heating up and playing very well after Darnold took over, the defense played much the same, putting together one of the toughest and stingiest groups in the Pac-12 over the last few weeks of the season. Now, defensive coordinator Clancy Pendergast will have his guys in his system for another year, and should be more creative with how he gets after opponents. Up front, USC possesses one of the conference's best defensive lines, spearheaded by end Porter Gustin and junior tackle Rasheem Green. Gustin was considered by many (including me) as a possible breakout candidate for the Trojans last season and he didn't disappoint, racking up 5.5 sacks and 68 tackles. He'll have to play a huge role last season as USC struggled to get pressure on the QB last year, with just 8.5 sacks to their name. Green is an impressive talent who has drawn comparisons for former Trojan star and current NFL standout Leonard Williams with his incredibly high motor and ability to move up and down the D-Line. He'll likely be joined by fellow tackle Kenny Bigelow, who missed most of 2016 with a torn ACL but is a very solid pass rusher when healthy. The linebacker corps is going to be led by junior Cameron Smith. Smith was the first USC linebacker to start as a true freshman since 1978, and has not disappointed. The veteran led the Trojans in tackles a year ago (83) and has been All-Conference each of the past two seasons. He doesn't get a whole lot of national attention, but Smith is one of the better linebackers in the country and a key cog for this defense. Sophomore Jordan Iosefa is expected to replace the departed Michael Hutchins, who was third on the team in tackles. Iosefa is very young, but did appear in all 13 games a year ago for 'SC and impressed throughout the spring. The pairing of him and fellow sophomore John Houston should give the Trojans some real playmakers off the edge. At nickelback, USC brings back the ultra-versatile Ajene Harris, who emerged as a very important defender late in the year. Harris originally came to Southern Cal as a receiver but after redshirting in 2015 made the switch to the defensive side of the ball. He started the final four games of '16 and played very well, with 30 tackles and two interceptions. In the secondary, USC must reload after losing Jim Thorpe Award winner (given to the nation's best defensive back) Adoree' Jackson. Jackson was a highlight-reel waiting to happen, and his five interceptions a season ago really helped this defense. The good news is that USC does have junior corner Iman Marshall back, and the defensive back seems on the cusp of real stardom. A former five-star recruit, Marshall took some time to adjust to the Pac-12 before having a really impressive sophomore season, with 51 tackles and three interceptions. He doesn't have Jackson's speed or closing ability, but he's a more natural corner and should have zero issue sliding into the No. 1 CB role. Sophomore Jack Jones and newcomer Greg Johnson are expected to vie for the starting job at the opposite corner spot. Both safety spots should be in good hands, as senior Chris Hawkins is back at strong safety, while junior Marvell Tell returns at the free safety slot. Both have plenty of experience, particularly Hawkins, who has 146 tackles over the course of his three years at 'SC.

Special Teams: After hitting the game-winning field goal in the Rose Bowl, kicker Matt Boermeester was hoping for a huge senior season. However, Boermeester was suspended in February for a "student code of conduct" matter before being kicked off the team in July. His departure leaves USC perilously thin at kicker, as redshirt freshman Michael Brown will battle newcomer Chase McGrath for the job. Senior punter Chris Tilby will help the ST unit, but losing Jackson, who had four total touchdowns in the return game, stings.

For years since the Reggie Bush sanctions hit we have been waiting for the inevitable return of USC to national prominence. The team has teased us with big wins or supreme talent, but hasn't been able to quite get over the edge and return to the glory days of the early 2000s. Last year's team set the stage, going 10-3 and winning the Rose Bowl. Now, this year's edition looks like it is ready to lead the Trojans "back", and competing for National Championships again. Sam Darnold has a good chance of entering the season as a Heisman frontrunner, Jones is a superb running back and defensively, USC is very strong. The only concerns are on the O-Line and the schedule, which features a number of tough non-conference games, including Western Michigan, Texas and on the road against Notre Dame. Even so, this is the most balanced, most talented and most disciplined USC team we've seen in years. With Darnold leading the way, anything is possible, perhaps even the school's first National Title since 2004.

Player to Watch
Joseph Lewis, WR
With USC leading their top two receivers from last season, and having to deal with the injury to likely starter Michael Pittman, the Trojans will likely have to turn to some young receivers, at least early on. Joseph Lewis is a five-star pickup that USC managed to keep away from Nebraska and Oregon, and a guy considered to the gem of this year's recruiting class. If the youngster can come in and contribute early, this USC offense should be very, very scary.

Five-Year Trend
2012: 7-6 (5-4 Pac-12)*
2013: 10-4 (6-3 Pac-12)*
2014: 9-4 (6-3 Pac-12)*
2015: 8-6 (6-3 Pac-12)*
2016: 10-3 (7-2 Pac-12)*

*= Bowl appearance

Saturday, August 19, 2017

College Football Preview 2017-2018: 3. Clemson Tigers

3. Clemson Tigers

The losses are severe, but Dabo has built a program that can withstand them

  • Location: Clemson, SC.
  • Conference: ACC (Atlantic)
  • Schedule
  • Roster
  • Coach: Dabo Swinney (10th year)
  • Last Years Record: 14-1 (7-1 ACC
  • Bowl Result: Victory in National Championship

Overview

After coming painfully close to the school's second National Title in 2015-2016, the goal was clear for Clemson entering last season: finish the job this time. Yet, despite having QB Deshaun Watson and a ton of weapons offensively, the Tigers limped through much of their schedule, barely surviving meetings with Auburn, NC State, Louisville and more before finally losing a thriller to Pittsburgh. Instead of crippling the Tigers, the win seemed to only make them stronger and more motivated and they ended the year on fire, capping it all of with a last-second touchdown to overcome undefeated Alabama in the National Championship. It was a magical run that will forever immortalize the 2016 team but one that also led to many NFL Draft defections, from Watson to Mike Williams offensively, and even more on defense. That may slow the momentum of this program slightly, but head coach Dabo Swinney has built a powerhouse at Clemson; expecting them to give away the ACC and fall back to mediocrity would be very, very unwise.

Hunter Renfrow
Offense: Despite the fact he was unable to overcome Tajh Boyd's career passing yards, finishing off second in the school's all-time history, there shouldn't be much doubt Deshaun Watson was the greatest QB in Clemson history. Watson was a Heisman finalist twice, led Clemson to two consecutive ACC titles and two straight Playoff berths and beat archrival South Carolina every time he played them. Unfortunately, all great things must come to an end and Watson left one year of eligibility on the table to head to the NFL, where he was of course, selected by the Houston Texans. Swinney and offensive coordinators Jeff Scott and Tony Elliott have spent all of the off-season searching for Watson's replacement, but it's unclear who that will be at this point. Junior Kelly Bryant has to be considered the frontrunner as the only quarterback who has thrown a pass in FBS football, but he doesn't have a ton of experience either. There are a lot of people around the program who believe true freshman Hunter Johnson will eventually unseat Bryant. Johnson is a four-star recruit with the size (6'4") and arm strength to really be a great quarterback. Breaking in a new signal-caller will obviously be a major adjustment for the Tigers, but Clemson is very creative offensively and they shouldn't ask the new guy to do too much this season. At running back, Clemson must replace underrated 1,000-yard rusher Wayne Gallman. It is likely we will see some type of committee approach, at least early on in the season. Sophomore Tavien Feaster averaged six yards per carry last season and should have no problem sliding into a bigger role, while junior C.J. Fuller and junior Adam Choice will also likely get chances to show what they can do. Don't expect any to completely replicate Gallman's production from a year ago, but the committee should still find a way to keep the ground game churning. At the receiver position, Clemson does lose No. 7 overall pick Mike Williams along with explosive Artavis Scott and reliable tight end Jordan Leggett. Even so, the position could still be the strength of the offense, as veteran Hunter Renfrow is joined by a number of talented weapons on the outside. Renfrow has been terrific in Clemson's last two Playoff runs but it will be interesting to see what he can do moving into a more featured role (44 receptions, 495 yards last year). Junior Ray-Ray McCloud put together a solid '16 as well and remains a very interesting player. At 5'10", McCloud obviously won't be asked to sky up and make the insanely athletic catches Williams did on a daily basis, but the junior does most of his damage on short routes where he can create himself. Coaches, fans and media alike are really excited about junior Deon Cain, who very well could be the next in a long line of elite Tiger receivers. Cain has had some off-the-field issues (suspended for 2016 National Championship for failed drug test) but has shown immense playmaking potential when on the field. He had 724 yards on just 38 receptions a season ago, while adding nine touchdowns, and remains a dynamic deep threat. With his speed and explosiveness and now becoming the No. 1 guy, it certainly seems like the junior is going to have an absolutely huge 2017. It hurts that Clemson loses the ultra-reliable Leggett at tight end, but there is some experience returning at tight end, as juniors Milan Richard and Cannon Smith vie for the starting job.  What should really help Clemson's precarious quarterback and running back situations is a fantastic offensive line, which has four starters back. Junior left tackle Mitch Hyatt is perhaps the most important returnee on the roster; the veteran has made All-ACC teams in both of his years with the Tigers and will play a huge role in protecting the new quarterback. Expect good things from senior guard Tyrone Crowder and sophomore right tackle Sean Pollard as well.

Dexter Lawrence
Defense: Usually when discussing Clemson's departures it is the defense we focus on. Coordinator Brent Venables has done a wonderful job keeping the Tigers stingy defensively despite losing draft pick after draft pick over the past few years. This year, however, the Tigers return a ton to that side of the ball, and you could very easily make the case this defense is the class of the ACC. It all starts up front, where Clemson has three legitimate studs who will be playing on Sundays in no time. Junior Christian Wilkins moves back inside to defensive tackle after spending 2016 at end, where he had 56 tackles, 9.5 of them going for a loss. Wilkins is a tremendous overall athlete and is amazing at finding ways to impact the game (he added 10 pass deflections last season). After earning 3rd-Team All-American honors in 2016, even bigger things are in store for the veteran. He'll be joined in the interior of the unit by sophomore Dexter Lawrence, who was fabulous as a true freshman. Despite his youth, Lawrence played like a full-grown veteran last season, recording seven sacks and consistently giving opposing quarterbacks issues. The amazing thing is that Lawrence is still growing and getting better, and seems to only be scratching the surface of what he can be as a defensive linemen. Off the edge, sophomore Clelin Ferrell is back, while Austin Bryant is expected to take over the gap left by departed Carlos Watkins. Ferrell was quiet for a big chunk of 2016 before exploding for three tackles for loss in this year's Fiesta Bowl win, earning him Defensive MVP honors. If he can carry that over to a full season of production, he can certainly be an All-Conference selection. Bryant doesn't have some of the astounding physical gifts some of these other guys have but the junior knows the system and can pressure the quarterback. The linebackers corps returns two starters in junior Kendall Joseph and Dorian O'Daniel, but does lose quite the important player. Middle linebacker Ben Boulware not only led Clemson in tackles, with 131, his emotion and energy really fueled this defense. His graduation hurts the Tigers significantly, but Clemson should have no trouble finding talented defenders to step up. Sophomores Tre Lamar and Chad Smith are fighting to take over the starting MLB spot, but neither has really separated themselves up to this point. Expect big things from redshirt freshman Shaq Smith, who was a very highly touted recruit before taking that redshirt last season. Smith has really impressed coaches during the spring, and should push Joseph for playing time. The secondary must also replace their leader, All-American corner Cordrea Tankersley, but returns six of their top eight and has solid experience remaining. Sophomore Trayvon Mullen and senior Ryan Carter have both seen plenty of reps at corner and are the likely starters entering the year, though junior Mark Fields and others will also feature in. Mullen has great length and athleticism, while Carter is a lockdown coverage option, even though he is a little bit undersized at 5'9". Junior Van Smith was third on the team in tackles last season, finishing off the year with 114, and he returns at free safety. With his range and fabulous feel for the game, expecting Smith to replicate, or even improve, those numbers should be a very real expectation. At strong safety, Clemson must replace All-ACC Jadar Johnson, but sophomore Tanner Muse has shown real potential in a reserve role and is ready to lock down the starting job.

Special Teams: The return of a veteran kicker like junior Greg Huegel is a huge plus for a team that should need some time to break in offensively. Huegel was All-ACC a year ago after knocking down 14 of 19 field goals. Redshirt freshman Will Spiers is the favorite to take over at punter, while Ray-Ray McCloud is a real threat in the return game.

Few teams around the nation lose the type of talent Clemson does, and yet this year's roster is as deep and star-studded as any in the past, especially on defense. There should be growing pains early on as the Tigers adjust to their new quarterback, and they find new faces in the passing game. The defense will undoubtedly carry this team at times but with the menacing front seven they have, that shouldn't be too much of a worry. Florida State and Louisville present quite the challenge but the Tigers have begun to look like a real national power, and one that can reload year in year out. With that in mind, it's hard to pick against the reigning National Champs in the ACC, no matter some of their questions. If they can answer of those questions and gel offensively, a repeat National Championship is certainly in conversation.


Player to Watch
Hunter Johnson, QB
Johnson, a four-star recruit out of Brownsburg, Indiana, impressed aplenty in the spring with his confidence and understanding of the offense. It seems almost inevitable that Clemson will give the newcomer looks, even if Kelly Bryant, the presumed starter, begins the year. The last time Clemson was replacing a record-setting QB? Watson, a true freshman, overtook veteran Cole Stoudt, and was too good to keep off the field. Can Johnson continue that trend?


Five-Year Trend
2012: 11-2 (7-1 ACC)*
2013: 11-2 (7-1 ACC)*
2014: 10-3 (6-2 ACC)*
2015: 14-1 (8-0 ACC)*
2016: 14-1 (7-1 ACC)*

*= Bowl appearance