Wednesday, April 24, 2019

NFL Mock Draft 2019: Edition 4 (Final Edition)

Josh Allen to New York Jets
1. Arizona Cardinals
Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
With just a few days to go before the NFL Draft kicks off in Nashville, we still don't have a clear indication on who the Cardinals will select No. 1 overall. Will they trade down? Will they end up taking one of the superb pass rushers available in this Class? Perhaps, but I think they'll stick with the reigning Heisman winner here. Murray is the ideal fit in Kliff Kingsbury's offense, and his playmaking ability would upgrade this Arizona offense right from the get-go.
Previous Selection: Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
Other Possibility: Nick Bosa, DL, Ohio State
2. San Francisco 49ers
Nick Bosa, DL, Ohio State
Viewed by many as the top prospect in this Draft, Nick Bosa would be a home run for San Francisco if he falls to the No. 2 selection. The former Buckeye is an explosive defender off the edge who seems fully recovered from a core muscle injury that ended his 2018 season. He'll be a major help for a San Fran pass rush that has lacked much bite the last few years.
Previous Selection: Nick Bosa, DL, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama
3. New York Jets
Josh Allen, LB, Kentucky
The Jets have spent big money to upgrade their offense by signing Le'Veon Bell, Jamison Crowder and much more. With that in mind, it's time to work on the defensive side of the ball and there are an abundance of options here. Rumor is the Jets love Ed Oliver, but I still think Josh Allen makes the most sense. He's a versatile, impact defender who would be a perfect fit in this New York defense.
Previous Selection: Josh Allen, LB, Kentucky
Other Possibility: Ed Oliver, DL, Houston
4. Oakland Raiders
Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama
Rumors continue to swirl about Jon Gruden and company moving up to try and make a play at Murray, but if they stay put Quinnen Williams seems like the pick. Williams is my top prospect in the Draft, as a guy that can collapse the pocket despite not being an edge rusher. He had only one year of starting experience with Alabama, meaning he has the potential to be even better.
Previous Selection: Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama
Other Possibility: Devin White, LB, LSU
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Devin White, LB, LSU
If somebody does move into the Top 4 to snag a quarterback, Tampa could have a chance at landing a dropping Bosa, Allen or Williams. Yet, if that doesn't occur, the Buccaneers would be just fine with picking Devin White here. The LSU product has amazing sideline-to-sideline range, with impressive, twitchy instincts. He'll aid a Tampa defense that desperately needs linebacker support.
Previous Selection: Devin White, LB, LSU
Other Possibility: Montez Sweat, DE/LB, Mississippi State
6. New York Giants
Ed Oliver, DL, Houston
Ed Oliver appears to be shooting up boards mere days before the Draft, which is understandable. The former five-star recruit can make a difference inside or out, and is blessed with an incredibly high motor. It is looking more and more like the Giants will not take QB here despite months of speculation they will, making Oliver look like the move.
Previous Selection: Rashan Gary, DL, Michigan
Other Possibility: Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
7. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida
The Jaguars' O-Line struggled in 2018, falling to 27th in the league in Adjusted Sack Rating. That won't fly anymore, especially with Jacksonville spending big-time money on Nick Foles to be their franchise guy. Taylor is well worth a Top 10 pick as a feisty run blocker who has an incredibly high ceiling.
Previous Selection: Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida
Other Possibility: T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
8. Detroit Lions
Rashan Gary, DL, Michigan
GM Bob Quinn has made it well known that Detroit is "open for business" and the Lions are looking to trade down. However, if they can't find a partner they should be just fine sitting at eight and adding Rashan Gary from inside the state. Gary never had crazy production numbers with Michigan, but he has the NFL frame and athleticism to do damage in the pros.
Previous Selection: Montez Sweat, DE/LB, Mississippi State
Other Possibility: Montez Sweat, DE/LB, Mississippi State
9. Buffalo Bills
Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
Josh Allen was solid in his rookie season despite an offense that lacked much playmakers or a strong offensive front. Buffalo should solve at least one of those issues with the ninth pick; while tight end T.J. Hockenson remains a possibility, Jonah Williams is the move. I consider him the best O-Linemen in the Draft, and he seems like a guy that could play a decade in the league.
Previous Selection: Ed Oliver, DL, Houston
Other Possibility: T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
10. Denver Broncos
Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
Will the Broncos trade up to snag their quarterback of the future? Perhaps, but if things work out this way, they won't have to move at all to land my favorite QB in the Class. John Elway has to adore Haskins, a massive signal-caller with an even bigger arm. He could sit out a year and learn under veteran Joe Flacco.
Previous Selection: Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
11. Cincinnati Bengals
Montez Sweat, DE/LB, Mississippi State
I would not be surprised if Cincinnati looks at selecting a quarterback here, particularly with Drew Lock on the board. Yet, they need help in their front seven and it would be extremely difficult to pass up on Sweat. The Mississippi State product may drop due to a heart condition recently identified, but he should still be a first-round lock.
Previous Selection: Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
Other Possibility: Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
12. Green Bay Packers
T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
Green Bay will focus on their offense with this selection and taking a pass-catcher makes the most sense. Hockenson would be a huge help as a blocker in run support, as well as a lethal red zone presence. He could eventually spell Jimmy Graham, who is a shell of his old self.
Previous Selection: T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
Other Possibility: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
13. Miami Dolphins
Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson
Even with Drew Lock and Daniel Jones still on the board, I see Miami waiting to take a future franchise quarterback. They'll likely roll with Ryan Fitzpatrick for the season and take their pick from what will be a stacked 2020 QB Draft Class. With that in mind, the Dolphins work on addressing another major need: pass rush. Clelin Ferrell was a monster off the edge the last few seasons for Clemson, and projects favorably in the NFL.
Previous Selection: Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson
Other Possibility: Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
14. Atlanta Falcons
Christian Wilkins, DL, Clemson
The Falcons haven't shied away from taking Clemson defenders in the past (Grady Jarrett, Vic Beasley) and Christian Wilkins makes a lot of sense here in the mid-first round. He's a tremendous athlete who is an excellent pass rusher for his position, which will be a huge help for an Atlanta D-Line that struggled in 2018.
Previous Selection: Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
Other Possibility: Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State
15. Washington Redskins
Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
Even if Alex Smith is able to recover from the horrific injury he suffered late in the year, Washington needs a long-term solution at quarterback. Luckily for them, it's very likely either Dwayne Haskins or Lock drops, depending on what the Giants do. If that is the case, the 'Skins won't wait on a chance to add a gunslinger like Lock, who has all the tools to be that franchise guy.
Previous Selection: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
Other Possibility: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
16. Carolina Panthers
Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma
Cody Ford protected two outstanding athletes and two Heisman winners over the course of his career in Oklahoma. He can certainly do much the same in the NFL, helping keep Cam Newton on his feet. Ford played guard with the Sooners and is a superb run blocker, but some scouts believe he can play tackle at the next level.
Previous Selection: Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State
Other Possibility: Brian Burns, DE, Florida State
17. New York Giants
Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
While Murray, Haskins and Lock rightfully get most of the attention reserved for quarterbacks, Daniel Jones looks well worth a first-round selection. The Duke product has size, arm talent and an excellent feel for the game. Plus, he spent the last three years learning under David Cutcliffe, who mentored both the Manning brothers.
Previous Selection: Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
Other Possibility: Brian Burns, DE, Florida State
18. Minnesota Vikings
Garrett Bradbury, OL, NC State
Despite the talent Minnesota possesses offensively, they didn't get the scoring punch they need in a disappointing 2018. Much of that can be blamed on an offensive line that was dreadful, and must be addressed right away in this Draft. Garrett Bradbury isn't a flashy prospect by any means, but he is a well-rounded blocker who impressed at the Combine. As I've mentioned previously, taking Bradbury and plugging him in at center will move Pat Elflein to guard, a much more natural spot for him.
Previous Selection: Garrett Bradbury, OL, NC State
Other Possibility: Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State
19. Tennessee Titans
Chris Lindstrom, OG, Boston College
The Titans would love if Christian Wilkins were to drop to 19, but if not, I see them taking an offensive linemen with pick 19. Marcus Mariota will be owed nearly 21 million dollars in 2019, but will need to stay upright if Tennessee wants to get the most out of him. Lindstrom is the best guard in this Draft and will keep Mariota clean, while also opening up gapping holes for back Derrick Henry.
Previous Selection: Christian Wilkins, DL, Clemson
Other Possibility: Brian Burns, DE, Florida State
20. Pittsburgh Steelers
Devin Bush, LB, Michigan
This would be an ideal scenario for Pittsburgh, able to snag a prospect like Devin Bush, who some consider a Top 10 guy. Bush does everything well, and is the type of rangy defender who can build an entire defense around. He'll fill the spot previously left behind by Ryan Shazier in the heart of this Steelers' D.
Previous Selection: Devin Bush, LB, Michigan
Other Possibility: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
21. Seattle Seahawks
D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
Most NFL people are mixed on Metcalf; some see him as the top receiver in this Draft, others have a third to fourth round grade on him. If he does drop a little later than expected, Seattle would make a lot of sense. The Seahawks desperately need somebody to open up this offense, and Metcalf's speed would do just that.
Previous Selection: Brian Burns, DE, Florida State
Other Possibility: Taylor Rapp, S, Washington
22. Baltimore Ravens
A.J. Brown, WR, Ole Miss
Metcalf probably will end up going a little higher, but I firmly believe his former Ole Miss teammate, A.J. Brown, is the best wide out in this Class. He's got size, breakaway speed and is a much better route runner than Metcalf. He makes a lot of sense for a Baltimore team looking to fill out their offense around Lamar Jackson.
Previous Selection: Hakeem Butler, WR, Iowa State
Other Possibility: Hakeem Butler, WR, Iowa State
23. Houston Texans
Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State
Dillard is the type of prospect with a wide range of possibilities, as he could go as high as Top 10 or fall to the last few picks of the first round. If he is available at 23, Houston doesn't wait on the chance to snag a possible franchise tackle. He'll help keep Deshaun Watson from getting hit as much as last season, when he was sacked an astonishing 62 times.
Previous Selection: Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State
Other Possibility: Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State
24. Oakland Raiders
Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama
Jon Gruden once again taps into the Alabama pipeline by selecting Josh Jacobs to become his new feature back. Jacobs split carries with the Tide but is still the best RB prospect available, with an immense amount of power and decent shiftiness. Jacobs averaged over seven yards per carry on inside runs the last two years.
Previous Selection: Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama
Other Possibility: Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
25. Philadelphia Eagles
DeAndre Baker, CB, Georgia
The Eagles' secondary suffered through an injury-plagued 2018, and more help in the defensive backfield is of top priority on Thursday. DeAndre Baker proved himself as a shutdown corner during his time with the Bulldogs, and he should be able to adjust to to the NFL without much difficulties.
Previous Selection: Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma
Other Possibility: Brian Burns, DE, Florida State
26. Indianapolis Colts
Jeffery Simmons, DL, Mississippi State
Considered by some scouts to be a Top 10 prospect, a torn ACL and off-the-field concerns have dropped Jeffery Simmons' stock. With that being said, a team looking for a high potential guy in the late first could certainly take a chance on him, such as Indianapolis. The Colts' D-Line could use some improvement, and he seems like a good scheme fit.
Previous Selection: Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson
Other Possibility: Johnathan Abram, S, Mississippi State
27. Oakland Raiders
Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
No matter what Oakland chooses to do with Derek Carr and their quarterback situation, they need more offensive help, especially with Amari Cooper traded. Jared Cook left in free agency, opening a hole at tight end they haven't taken steps to fill. Noah Fant likely won't go as high as his fellow Hawkeye tight end, but he's a much better receiver that can stretch the field vertically.
Previous Selection: Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
Other Possibility: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
28. Los Angeles Chargers
Dexter Lawrence, DL, Clemson
Even with star defensive end Joey Bosa, the Chargers could use some work on their defensive front, particularly up the middle. Dexter Lawrence becomes the third Clemson defensive linemen drafted in the first because of his frame and gap-clogging ability. He would be a major help to a porous LA rush defense a year ago.
Previous Selection: Jerry Tillery, DL, Notre Dame
Other Possibility: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
29. Seattle Seahawks
Brian Burns, DE, Florida State
With the pick acquired in the recent Frank Clark deal with Kansas City, Seattle selects his replacement in Brian Burns. Burns has a good chance to go much higher with his athleticism and proven pass rushing track record. The Seahawks could really mold him into a force much the same way they did with Clark.
Previous Selection: N/A (Frank Clark trade)
Other Possibility: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
30. Green Bay Packers
Johnathan Abram, S, Mississippi State
Already addressing some offensive concerns earlier, I don't think Green Bay takes an offensive linemen here like many believe. They continue constructing their secondary, with an abundance of options available late in the first. Johnathan Abram would make a lot of sense as an enforcer safety with vast potential.
Previous Selection: Nasir Adderley, DB, Delaware
Other Possibility: Erik McCoy, OL, Texas A&M
31. Los Angeles Rams
Greg Little, OT, Ole Miss
Nicknamed "Mr. Reliable" for his consistency during an impressive career with Ole Miss, Greg Little looks to be a franchise-type tackle who can build an O-Line around. He would be a long-term option at a position Los Angeles wants to keep strong to help out Jared Goff. Defensive back could also be in play here for the Rams.
Previous Selection: Greg Little, OT, Ole Miss
Other Possibility: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
32. New England Patriots
Irv Smith Jr., TE, Alabama
The Patriots have 12 picks in this Draft, putting them in prime position to add plenty of young talent to prepare for another Super Bowl run. They'll use their first selection to find their replacement for Rob Gronkowski in Irv Smith. Smith wasn't a top option in the Alabama offense but still flashed great hands and impressive route running potential.

Thursday, April 18, 2019

NFL Draft 2019: Player Position Rankings

Miles Sanders, No. 2 RB
With the NFL Draft now just over a week away, we have gotten a good idea about what each prospect is going to offer, and which ones are sliding down draft boards. Over the last few months, I've been working hard on not only mock drafts but analyzing each position group, and where each prospect ranks in each unit. With that in mind, here is my analysis of where the top prospects rank up at each spot.(Note: not the order in which I believe these players will go, but how I view them as a prospect)

Quarterbacks
1. Dwayne Haskins, Ohio State: Look no further than his stats this past season at Ohio State to understand why Haskins is locked in here at the top spot. He threw for 4,831 yards, completed 70% of his passes, while accounting for 54 total touchdowns. The former Buckeye has the arm strength, size and pocket mobility to be the real deal at the next level.
Projected Range: Early first round to mid-first round
2. Kyler Murray, Oklahoma: Murray is sure to be the most controversial prospect in this Draft cycle. He looks like the likely No. 1 selection and has all the talent, but there are concerns. Most pressing is his size; for all the Drew Brees and Russell Wilsons, there are guys that just can't make it in the NFL. Also, Oklahoma's O-Line did a great job of protecting the Heisman winner from big hits, which won't be the case in the league.
Projected Range: Early first round to mid-first round
3. Drew Lock, Missouri: Haskins & Murray get most of the attention when talking about this QB Draft Class, but don't forget about Drew Lock. Lock is is a well-rounded gunslinger, who has experience playing in NFL-style offenses, working under OC Derek Dooley this past season. He'll have to work on his vision and occasional overthrows, but nobody can question his arm strength.
Projected Range: Early first round to late first round
4. Will Grier, West Virginia: I'm a pretty big fan of Grier, and think he has a chance to sneak into the bottom of the first for a team willing to trade up. He doesn't have the natural arm talent of others, but he is incredible accurate and plays like a seasoned veteran. He'd be the perfect pick for a team able to sit him for a year or two as he learns the ropes of the NFL.
Projected Range: Early second round to mid-third round
5. Daniel Jones, Duke: The list of successful Duke quarterbacks that have played in the NFL isn't lengthy, but don't judge Daniel Jones on where he played in the collegiate ranks. He has great size and a rounded skillset, and has spent three years learning under David Cutcliffe, who just happened to be the mentor of the Manning brothers.
Projected Range: Early first to late first round
Dark Horse: Tyree Jackson, Buffalo

Runningbacks
1. Josh Jacobs, Alabama: Despite splitting carries with Damien Harris and Najee Harris this past season in Tuscaloosca, Jacobs was one of the best rushers in the nation. He didn't run very fast at the Combine, but he is not known for his speed. He makes up for it with his vision and powerful running, and he is also an excellent pass blocker.
Projected Range: Mid-first round to early second round
2. Miles Sanders, Penn State: The backup to Saquon Barkley a season ago, Miles Sanders has been shooting up boards as of late. He ran a 4.49 40 at the Combine, while displaying impressive overall athleticism and the ability to cut on a dime. He could also help out on special teams, which is another plus.
Projected Range: Early second round to early third round
3. Damien Harris, Alabama: The "feature" back the last few years while with the Crimson Tide, Damien Harris is well worth a high Draft selection. Much like Jacobs, Harris doesn't breakaway speed, but he is a well-built, physical rusher. He ran for over 3,000 yards in his 'Bama career, including over 7 YPC in '16 and '17.
Projected Range: Early second round to mid-third round
4. Benny Snell Jr., Kentucky: After a tremendous senior season, Benny Snell seems like a dark horse running back in this Draft Class. He doesn't have overwhelming speed either, but has excellent burst in the open field and a tremendous feel for the game. He could really be a steal in the mid-rounds for a number of teams in the league.
Projected Range: Early third round to mid-fifth round
5. Rodney Anderson, Oklahoma: If not for a knee injury that ended his 2019 before it really got going, Anderson might even be higher on this list. He runs with so much ferocity and power, but still has a little wiggle to him. He checks in at 220 pounds, running a 4.50 40, which is one heck of a combination.
Projected Range: Early third round to mid-sixth round
Dark Horse: Bryce Love, Stanford

Receivers/Tight Ends
1. A.J. Brown, WR, Ole Miss: While his former Ole Miss teammate, D.K. Metcalf, is getting most of the attention, A.J. Brown seems like the most logical receiver pick in this Draft. He ran faster than expected at the Combine and is blessed with an NFL frame and soft hands. Brown fits really comfortably in any West Coast offense, where he is a matchup problem.
Projected Range: Mid-first round to mid-second round
2. Parris Campbell, WR, Ohio State: Parris Campbell is not a traditional NFL receiver prospect, but he is absolutely explosive. He runs extremely well in the 40 and performed well in passing drills throughout the Combine and Pro Day, despite drop concerns. Campbell reminds me of Tyreek Hill, without the off-the-field question marks.
Projected Range: Mid-first round to late second round
3. T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa: Far from flashy, T.J. Hockenson is a well-rounded, intelligent pass-catcher. He is able to recognize weak spots in the defense and attack them, and he is adept at catching balls in traffic. Hockenson also appears to be one of the best TE blockers in this Draft as well.
Projected Range: Early first round to late first round
4. D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss: Based just on his physique, Metcalf is well worth a high selection. He's 6'3", 228 and looks superhuman, while running a blazing fast 40 time. With that being said, Metcalf's production never matched his skills with Ole Miss and he is not at an NFL level in terms of route running.
Projected Range: Mid-first round to late second round
5. Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma: "Hollywood" Brown is yet another blazing fast weapon in the open field, who could wreak havoc as a home run target. He doesn't have ideal size (5'9", 166) but fits well as a slot weapon who can get to the outside. I do have concerns about his health; he is recovering from a Lisfranc injury that forced him to miss the Combine.
Projected Range: Late first round to early third round
Dark Horse: Deebo Samuel, WR, South Carolina

Offensive Line
1. Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama: Williams is the best blocker in an underwhelming OL Draft Class. He has experience, size and understands the finer technique of the game at an incredibly high level. He seems like the safest OL prospect at the top of this Draft.
Projected Range: Early first round to late first round
2. Andre Dilliard, OT, Washington State: Dilliard has really grown on me as a prospect over the last few weeks and I think he has a good chance to be a steal. He has incredible athleticism for his position and was overall consistent at Washington State. Dilliard seems like the perfect left tackle for an NFL moving more up-tempo every season.
Projected Range: Mid-first round to early second round
3. Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida: Talent-wise, Jawaan Taylor is Top 10-pick worthy without much of a debate. Yet, most NFL evaluators describe him as "extremely raw" and "needing time to adjust to the speed of the NFL". Slightly concerning, but if he lands in the right spot, Taylor is going to be a stud.
Projected Range: Early first to mid-first round
4. Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma: Cody Ford was part of Oklahoma's O-Line the last few seasons and has been a major contributor to two Heisman campaigns. He is a skilled pass blocker with the versatility to play multiple positions. Ford possesses all the tools to be a rock-solid performer for years to come.
Projected Range: Mid-first round to early second round
5. Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State: The bottom of the first round and early second should have a number of quality offensive linemen available, and Dalton Risner would fit the bill. He's a high-character, impact blocker who was the leader of the K-State offensive front the last few years.
Projected Range: Late first round to late second round
Dark Horse: Nate Davis, OL, Charlotte

Defensive Line
1. Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama: If you watched Alabama's imposing defense at all this season, you couldn't help but be impressed by Quinnen Williams. He absolutely took over the LSU game and was truly an un-blockable force. The amazing thing is, this was his first year of starting snaps. He seems like the type of defender with nowhere to go but up.
Projected Range: Early first round to mid-first round
2. Nick Bosa, DL, Ohio State: The younger brother of a Pro-Bowl defender certainly elevates Nick Bosa's name, but he has backed it up with impressive play. He's incredibly quick and powerful off the edge with the lateral quickness to move inside in a flash. There also don't seem to be the character concerns that hung over Joey, who still went Top 5.
Projected Range: Early first round to mid-first round
3. Ed Oliver, DL, Houston: There are bound to be some pass rushers dropping in a Class loaded with them and Ed Oliver looks like a candidate. He didn't have an overwhelming Combine, but somebody is going to get a steal with the Houston product. Extremely athletic, impressive motor and an NFL frame, he should be highly productive.
Projected Range: Early first round to mid-first round
4. Rashan Gary, DL, Michigan: Formerly the nation's No. 1 recruit, Rashan Gary has always been incredibly talented. With that being said, he never fully claimed his potential in college, albeit he wasn't 100 percent this fall. He still possesses a real nose for the ball and fits in while either in a modern 4-3 defense. He could really breakout into something special with the right type of guidance.
Projected Range: Early first round to mid-first round
5. Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson: Even in a defense stacked with future NFL contributors, Clelin Ferrell seemed to be the most impactful out of all of them. He was an absolute force off the edge and his long arms clogged traffic. He impressed enough in workouts I think he could work his way up the boards late.
Projected Range: Mid-first round to early second round
Dark Horse: Oshane Ximines, DE, Old Dominion

Linebackers
1. Josh Allen, Kentucky: Allen was one of the main reasons for Kentucky's special 2018 season where they won ten games and went to a New Year's Six bowl. He's a twitchy athlete with incredible instincts and a feel for the game. He certainly has serious pass rushing potential in the pros, although he can do so much more.
Projected Range: Early first round to mid-first round
2. Devin White, LSU: After an All-American career during his time with LSU, Devin White locked in a high Draft selection with a strong showing at the Combine and workouts. White is a terrific defender with a great range of abilities. He projects favorably as an every-down linebacker who can make plays all day long in the heart of a defense.
Projected Range: Early first round to mid-first round
3. Montez Sweat, Mississippi State: Sweat ran a 4.41 40 at the Combine, setting a record for defensive linemen, although he'll likely line up as an outside linebacker in the NFL. Despite that speed, he has impressive size, with immense length at 6'6". A minor heart condition may scare away some suitors, but Sweat is still well worth a Top 15 pick.
Projected Range: Early first round to late first round
4. Devin Bush, Michigan: At 5'11", 234, Devin Bush is a little bit undersized by normal NFL standards of an inside linebacker. Despite that, Bush has locked himself in as a likely first-rounder thanks to blazing fast speed and refined coverage skills. He has been the leader of a top-notch Michigan defense the last two seasons.
Projected Range: Mid-first round to early second round
5. Jaylon Ferguson, Louisiana Tech: Despite coming from a smaller school, Jaylon Ferguson has big-time talent. He can play either defensive end or linebacker, fitting more naturally as a standup 3-4 OLB. He has an explosive first step and knows how to use his strength and power to his advantage; Ferguson managed a whopping 26 tackles for loss in 2018.
Projected Range: Late first round to late second round
Dark Horse: Terrill Hanks, New Mexico State

Secondary
1. Greedy Williams, CB, LSU: After just missing out on the Jim Thorpe Award (given to nation's best defensive back) to UGA's DeAndre Baker, Greedy Williams will try to beat him out to be the top CB taken in this Draft. Williams is a little bit on the thin side, but he is a tremendous athlete who has proven himself as a playmaker, with six interceptions in 2017.
Projected Range: Mid-first round to mid-second round
2. Byron Murphy, CB, Washington: While other corners in this Draft rely on insane athleticism or closing speed, Byron Murphy gets it done with his instincts and understanding of the game. He can play inside or outside and excels in every coverage scheme. He doesn't have as high of a ceiling as others, but he seems like the safest corner option.
Projected Range: Mid-first round to late second round
3. DeAndre Baker, CB, Georgia: DeAndre Baker has been a star and leader in Georgia's elite secondary for some time now and he looks like a first-rounder come Draft time. He's an excellent coverage corner in man-to-man and can also pick off passes. Again, he might not have some of the potential of other defenders in this class, but he's proven himself as a well-built CB who could start right away.
Projected Range: Late first round to late second round
4. Johnathan Abram, S, Mississippi State: Despite not getting a lot of attention throughout the 2018 college football season, Johnathan Abram has likely cemented himself as the top safety prospect in this Draft with a superb Combine and strong workouts. He's a physical, hard-hitting defender that has the range and closing speed to be an impact player right away at the next level.
Projected Range: Late first round to mid-second round
5. Nasir Adderley, DB, Delaware: Don't let the small school fool you either with Nasir Adderley, who looks like has worked his way into the back-end of the first round. Adderley has been one of the best defensive backs in the FCS ranks the last three seasons, displaying impressive ball skills and excellent coverage abilities. He played safety in college, but most NFL people think his skill set better suits a corner in the pros.
Projected Range: Late first round to late second round
Dark Horse: Will Harris, S, Boston College

Thursday, April 11, 2019

NFL Mock Draft 2019: Edition 3

Dwayne Haskins, 10th to Denver
1. Arizona Cardinals
Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
Rumors of a possible trade down continue to swirl around Arizona, but with two weeks to go before the 2019 NFL Draft, Kyler Murray still looks like the most likely No. 1 selection. Nobody can deny the reigning Heisman winner's immense talent, and his measurements have come back better than expected. With that being said, Arizona still needs to upgrade an aging receiver corps and their offensive line if the youngster is going to succeed at the next level.
Previous Selection: Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
Other Possibility: Nick Bosa, DL, Ohio State
2. San Francisco 49ers
Nick Bosa, DL, Ohio State
If Murray does indeed go No. 1 overall, San Francisco is in a great spot to have their choosing of the plethora of great defenders available here. I'm personally a bigger fan of Quinnen Williams, but Nick Bosa seems to be the likely move here for GM John Lynch. Bosa has impressed in workouts and visits, and his numbers while at Ohio State speak for themselves. He'd immediately upgrade a San Francisco defense that had a lot of problems last season.
Previous Selection: Nick Bosa, DL, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama
3. New York Jets
Josh Allen, LB, Kentucky
After drafting Sam Darnold a year ago and spending big on Le'Veon Bell this free agency, the Jets have invested heavily in their offense. Now, its time to start crafting a winning defense, and Josh Allen is a great start. The Kentucky product has size, quickness and coverage ability, and seems like a great fit in the modern day NFL.
Previous Selection: Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama
Other Possibility: Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama
4. Oakland Raiders
Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama
Could Jon Gruden swing for the fences and try to trade into the top spot to take Murray? Perhaps, but I think the smarter move would be to stick firm at No. 4, where they still have plenty of options. Quinnen Williams was an absolute monster this past season in Tuscaloosca, and is just scratching the surface. He would immediately upgrade Oakland in the trenches, which is always Gruden's top priority.
Previous Selection: Josh Allen, LB, Kentucky
Other Possibility: Rashan Gary, DL, Michigan
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Devin White, LB, LSU
Tampa is another major wild card at the top of this Draft, considering how many different directions they could go with the fifth pick. I wouldn't rule out either a trade up or down, but if they stick firm at five, Devin White is the selection. The LSU linebacker is as versatile and well-rounded as they come, and is the type of impact defender this team needs in the heart of their defense.
Previous Selection: Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
Other Possibility: Montez Sweat, DE/LB, Mississippi State
6. New York Giants
Rashan Gary, DL, Michigan
I've had Dwayne Haskins mocked here for some time, but recent discussion out of New York is that they don't really like the Ohio State signal-caller. I could see them going pass rusher here, particularly with Gary, Montez Sweat and Ed Oliver all still available. Gary has been rising up boards, and he has the talent to make an immediate impact.
Previous Selection: Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
Other Possibility: Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
7. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida
Considering how much Jacksonville just invested in Nick Foles, I'd be pretty shocked if they didn't upgrade their O-Line early on in this Draft. This isn't a great class for offensive linemen, but Florida's Jawaan Taylor still looks like a Top 10 prospect. He has the highest ceiling of any OT in this Draft, and could be a franchise left tackle for years to come.
Previous Selection: Ed Oliver, DL, Houston
Other Possibility: Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
8. Detroit Lions
Montez Sweat, DE/LB, Mississippi State
Ideally, either Devin White or Rashan Gary drops to Detroit at the eight spot here. Yet, without trading up, its going to be very difficult for the Lions to land either. Instead, they go with Montez Sweat, whose impressive Combine jolted him into the Top 10. He would upgrade one of the NFL's worst linebacker corps, while adding a dangerous weapon off the edge.
Previous Selection: Devin White, LB, LSU
Other Possibility: Ed Oliver, DL, Houston
9. Buffalo Bills
Ed Oliver, DL, Houston
In most Drafts, Ed Oliver probably would be a Top 5 lock, but it looks like there is a good chance he lasts much longer than he should this year. If he is still available at pick five, Buffalo should jump on the chance to land the impact pass rusher. Oliver can play inside or out, and his production while at Houston is well worthy of this pick.
Previous Selection: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
Other Possibility: Andre Dilliard, OT, Washington State
10. Denver Broncos
Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
This would be a huge victory for John Elway and the Broncos. Not having to trade up and still add possibly the best QB in the Draft? Haskins has the arm strength and size to fit right in to the NFL, and could sit out and learn his first year while veteran Joe Flacco is handed the reigns of the offense.
Previous Selection: Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
Other Possibility: Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
11. Cincinnati Bengals
Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
After moving on from Marvin Lewis this off-season, it is time for the Bengals to do the same with their long-term underachieving QB, Andy Dalton. Dalton has had his moments in Cincy, but the postseason results are too concerning to overlook. Drew Lock is a talented signal-caller, who seems like he would mesh well with new head man Zac Taylor.
Previous Selection: Montez Sweat, DE/LB, Mississippi State
Other Possibility: Devin Bush, LB, Michigan
12. Green Bay Packers
T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
This pick seems to be gaining traction from most NFL Draft experts, and it would make sense for the Green Bay offense. Jimmy Graham is a shell of his former self and after fixing their holes defensively, the Packers work on their offense. Hockenson was a stud this past season for Iowa, and is a skilled blocker as well as pass-catcher.
Previous Selection: Rashan Gary, DL, Michigan
Other Possibility: Brian Burns, DE, Florida State
13. Miami Dolphins
Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson
With so many needs and only one first round selection, Miami should look at going best player available here. Considering new head coach Brian Flores is a defensive guy, pass rusher seems to make a lot of sense. Clelin Ferrell was the most productive player on a Clemson D-Line that could include four first-round picks; he should be the move right here.
Previous Selection: Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson
Other Possibility: Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
14. Atlanta Falcons
Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
The Falcons are yet another team that could be very interesting to watch come Draft night. They have needs on both lines, but considering most of the premier pass rushers are gone, I see them working on the O-Line right here. Jonah Williams was a starter since he stepped on campus at Alabama, which should tell you everything you need to know about his talent.
Previous Selection: Christian Wilkins, DL, Clemson
Other Possibility: Christian Wilkins, DL, Clemson
15. Washington Redskins
D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
Quarterback is in play for Washington considering they have no long-term option at the sport's most important position currently. With that being said, the Redskins' offense as a whole lacks much punch, which could certainly be solved by adding a dynamic receiver like D.K. Metcalf. Metcalf has been rising up boards since his Combine showing, and might not even last until pick 15.
Previous Selection: Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
Other Possibility: Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
16. Carolina Panthers
Andre Dilliard, OT, Washington State
Even with some talented playmakers on their offense, Carolina just hasn't gotten the type of scoring they need to return to the postseason. Perhaps upgrading the offensive line could change that, and Andre Dilliard looks like a possible steal at 16. He has favorable measurements, and is very athletic for someone of his size.
Previous Selection: T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
Other Possibility: Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State
17. New York Giants
Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
They may not choose a quarterback at the six spot, but I'd be very surprised if the Giants don't come out with any new signal-caller in the early rounds. With the pick acquired in the OBJ deal, I like them going with Duke's Daniel Jones. Jones has impressed NFL scouts with his intelligence and refined mechanics, and he seems like a Pat Shurmur QB.
Previous Selection: N/A (OBJ Trade)
Other Possibility: Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
18. Minnesota Vikings
Garrett Bradbury, OL, NC State
There are some intriguing options still available here, but Minnesota needs to stick with the offensive line. I like Oklahoma's Cody Ford a lot, but Garrett Bradbury seems like the more logical choice. Bradbury is an established run blocker whose naturally position is center, which would allow Pat Elflein to move to guard, a more natural spot for him.
Previous Selection: Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma
Other Possibility: Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma
19. Tennessee Titans
Christian Wilkins, DL, Clemson
Tennessee has one of the oldest front sevens in the NFL entering 2019, something they can easily remedy in this Draft. Christian Wilkins was a four-year stud while at Clemson, and possesses immense versatility and athleticism. He'd be an ideal selection at this point in the Draft.
Previous Selection: A.J. Brown, WR, Ole Miss
Other Possibility: Brian Burns, DE, Florida State
20. Pittsburgh Steelers
Devin Bush, LB, Michigan
Pittsburgh will forever miss Ryan Shazier in the middle, a guy who was not only an impact defender but a leader of this defense. They can get his long-term replacement here in Michigan's Devin Bush, who had a tremendous collegiate career. He's a little bit undersized, but is incredibly rangy and the type of heady defender Pittsburgh adores.
Previous Selection: Mack Wilson, LB, Alabama
Other Possibility: Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
21. Seattle Seahawks
Brian Burns, DE, Florida State
I firmly believe Seattle is going to trade down from this 21 spot, but I don't do trades in my mock drafts. If they hypothetically stay here, taking the top player on the board is the most likely case scenario. Brian Burns quietly had 23 sacks over three seasons with Florida State, and has Top 10 talent.
Previous Selection: Deionte Thompson, S, Alabama
Other Possibility: Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
22. Baltimore Ravens
Hakeem Butler, WR, Iowa State
For some reason, Hakeem Butler is not a guy getting much love from most people. Yet, at 6'5", 227 pounds with excellent leaping ability, he is the ideal red zone threat in today's NFL. Baltimore is certainly a team that could use another option in the passing game, especially with QB Lamar Jackson still so young.
Previous Selection: Parris Campbell, WR, Ohio State
Other Possibility: A.J. Brown, WR, Ole Miss
23. Houston Texans
Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State
Despite going 11-5 this past season, Houston gave up a staggering 62 sacks, by far the worst in the entire NFL. If this team has any serious Super Bowl aspirations, fixing the O-Line must be their top priority. Dalton Risner is an established, consistent blocker who will immediately help out this struggling group, making this is a no-brainer.
Previous Selection: DeAndre Baker, CB, Georgia
Other Possibility: Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma
24. Oakland Raiders
Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama
Jon Gruden has always prided himself on hard-nosed football that focuses on running the ball between the tackles. Yet, entering 2019, he has no viable running back currently on the roster. He can quickly change that by taking Josh Jacobs, who was a stud this past season with 'Bama. Jacobs can be powerful but has decent shiftiness, and is also a decent pass-catcher out of the backfield.
Previous Selection: Brian Burns, DE, Florida State
Other Possibility: Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
25. Philadelphia Eagles
Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma
Even though they have one of the most talented rosters top to bottom in the NFL, Philadelphia's offensive line could use a facelift. The group is aging quickly, and ensuring Carson Wentz stays healthy is a top priority. Cody Ford seems like a logical move, as the Oklahoma product can play multiple positions and protected two Heisman winners while with the Sooners.
Previous Selection: Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama
Other Possibility: Chris Lindstrom, OG, Boston College
26. Indianapolis Colts
Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson
The Colts have a lot of directions they could go here, but I think they end up with a best player available approach in the late first. Dexter Lawrence was overshadowed by some of Clemson's other stars at times, but there is little denying his talent. He could be an absolute monster in the heart of Indy's D-Line.
Previous Selection: Jachai Polite, DL, Florida
Other Possibility: A.J. Brown, WR, Ole Miss
27. Oakland Raiders
Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
There are going to be some really good corners available in the late first-early second range and I see Oakland jumping on one here. The Raiders don't have a true No. 1 CB, which could be remedied by selecting Greedy Williams. The physical defensive back not only has a great name, but all the tools to be shutdown in the pros.
Previous Selection: Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma
Other Possibility: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
28. Los Angeles Chargers
Jerry Tillery, DL, Notre Dame
Even though they already have a front seven with ample talent, the Chargers could still use an upgrade in the interior of the D-Line. They'd love if Dexter Lawrence were available here, but Notre Dame's Jerry Tillery works just fine. Tillery was a beast for the Irish in '18, and remains a dynamic pass rusher. He'd be one heck of a consolation prize for this organization.
Previous Selection: Andre Dilliard, OT, Washington State
Other Possibility: Dre'Mont Jones, DL, Ohio State
29. Kansas City Chiefs
Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
Once the backbone of this Kansas City team, the Chiefs' secondary needs extensive work. It is either old, thin or just not up to the standards of a Playoff team. I love the Byron Murphy pick for them; he's got experience, size and excellent ball skills. He could immediately start, given KC's current cornerback situation.
Previous Selection: Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
Other Possibility: DeAndre Baker, CB, Georgia
30. Green Bay Packers
Nasir Adderley, DB, Delaware
Working on the secondary seems like a logical move for Green Bay with their second first-rounder. Nasir Adderley is a guy working his way up draft boards that has a lot of talent. He can play either corner or safety, with excellent playmaking ability at either spot. He is the cousin of Hall-of-Famer Herby Adderley, who once starred for the Packers in the 1960's, keeping this pick close to home.
Previous Selection: Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
Other Possibility: Juan Thornhill, S, Virginia
31. Los Angeles Rams
Greg Little, OT, Ole Miss
The Rams are another team with loads of talent on both sides of the ball, but some concerns on the aging offensive line. They'd love if a guy like Dalton Risner were to drop, but if not, Greg Little would be a quality selection. Little is a former five-star recruit who was nicknamed "Mr. Reliable" for his consistency in Oxford.
Previous Selection: Jeffery Simmons, DL, Mississippi State
Other Possibility: Jeffery Simmons, DL, Mississippi State
32. New England Patriots
Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
With Rob Gronkowski officially retiring, and Julian Edelman getting no younger, New England needs some new weapons in the passing attack. They have a number of options, with Noah Fant being the most realistic. Fant was incredibly productive with Iowa, and has speed like a wide receiver.
Previous Selection: Kelvin Harmon, WR, NC State
Other Possibility: Irv Smith Jr., TE, Alabama

Monday, April 8, 2019

NCAA Basketball National Championship Prediction 2019

Jarrett Culver, Texas Tech
Much of this college basketball season has been all about the flash of young stars at Duke and how individual players can lead the way. Yet, in the end, the two teams set to play for a National Title Monday night reject this idea. Both Texas Tech and Virginia are led by veteran-laden lineups that play terrific team basketball and really spread the ball. Which one will be able to do it more effectively and earn their school's first ever National Title?

Virginia's redemption story has been all about defense, as it has been for much of the Tony Bennett era. The Cavaliers pack-line defense is just so difficult for defenses to figure out, because Virginia rotates and helps so extremely well. They force teams to shoot and operate out of their comfort zone, ensuring Texas Tech will not get anything easy. Yet, their own offense is also going to have to show up, which has still been an issue at times for this team. Juniors Ty Jerome and Kyle Guy are the leaders of the team and really initiate the offense. Jerome has been strong all Tournament and was UVA's most effective offensive weapon in the Final Four victory, something he'll have to continue to do. Guy, meanwhile, had a rough shooting start to this March Madness but has turned it on as of late. He will be vitally important, but the entire X-factor of the offense may actually be forward De'Andre Hunter. Hunter has drawn plenty of eyes from NBA scouts because of his length and versatile offensive skill set. However, he has looked uncomfortable and timid a number of times in this NCAA Tournament, something UVA can't afford against a skilled Tech defense. If Hunter is aggressive and plays the way he did in the second half against Auburn, the Cavaliers should be a in a good spot. Virginia also needs contributions from their main two bigs, Mamadi Diakite and Jack Salt. Diakite has been extremely clutch for this team all season and will have to give Texas Tech a reason to focus on post defense and not lag outside on shooters the entire game. Salt is not much of a scorer but he does all the little things for this team, and his post defense is vital to this pack-line defense's success.

On the other side, Texas Tech has a coach that is much different than the soft-spoken Tony Bennett but who preaches similar ideas. Third-year head man Chris Beard has done an absolutely spectacular job with this program, and has them on the cusp of the sport's ultimate prize. Beard's teams always lean heavily on defense, playing a chaotic, swarming style that has shut down Michigan, Michigan State, Buffalo and Gonzaga. It doesn't operate the same way the pack-line does, but is just as effective, coming just behind UVA in scoring defense this season. The defense will be especially strong if forward Tariq Owens is able to play. Owens took a beating in their Final Four win over Michigan State, and sprained his ankle following an awkward fall. He was in a boot and missed practice Sunday, but is still hopeful to play. He plays an important role as a rim protector, and the Red Raiders will need him to ensure UVA doesn't get anything easy in the low post. The real key for Texas Tech will be finding a way to take down the Cavaliers' defense, which is easier said than done. Leading that charge will be wing Jarrett Culver, Tech's leading scorer on the season with 18.6 PPG. Culver is coming off a Final Four game where he did struggle, but at 6'5" with a lot of length, he is a matchup nightmare. Does Virginia have any defender that can take him on one-on-one? It remains to be seen at this point. The Red Raiders are going to shoot well from three-point if they want to break down this defense. This was something Auburn was able to do at times in their loss, but wasn't able to keep up over the course of an entire forty minutes. Matt Mooney hit a number of big shots against MSU, and will be vital for Tech in this one. The grad transfer from South Dakota nailed 39% from three-point on the season. Fellow guard Davide Moretti will also have to shot well, the Italian shot an astounding 46% from deep all year despite shooting a lot of them. With that being said, Texas Tech does not want to get into a three-point shooting contest with Virginia. Jerome & Guy have proven they can outshoot entire teams, and the Red Raiders' offense is at its best when it is getting to the rim and finishing. This will put more pressure on Culver and Owens, who are TTU's best at finishing down low.

With five games already under their belt in this NCAA Tournament, it is not unreasonable to think both teams may come out a little bit flat and tired. Sure, they had a week of rest before the Final Four, but the grinding style these two teams play at can certainly take its toll at the conclusion of the Big Dance. One can remember the 2011 National Championship, when both Butler and UConn, who were in the midst of a lengthy March run came out ice cold. The two managed just 94 total points and Butler shot an absolutely dismal 19% from the field. Games like these can put more pressure on the bench to step up and provide a much-needed spark. This could be favorable for Texas Tech, who looks to be a slightly deeper team than UVA. In fact, the Cavaliers had just two points in total from their bench against Auburn, a major reason they were never able to completely pull away. Can a guy like Braxton Key step up and provide a spark for Virginia? Will Guy and Jerome be able to keep up their hot shooting if they have to play 37-38 minutes again? It will be a ton to ask of those veterans, particularly against such a tough Texas Tech squad.

If you are looking for a high-scoring, up-tempo basketball game, this particular National Championship will not be the game for you. Even though both teams may be able to shoot, their stingy defenses and slow style of play look vastly different from the type of basketball you may see in the NBA or in other areas of collegiate basketball. The way Texas Tech has played down the stretch is incredibly impressive and they seem to be entering this game with more momentum than Virginia. However, Tony Bennett and Virginia do a great job of opening up their offenses with back-screens and back-cuts, which we saw a ton of against Auburn. They'll use the same offensive style to find easy points against the Red Raiders, something nobody has been able to do against Tech for any extended period of time. What is very concerning for TTU is the Owens situation. The talented forward is a lot more important to this team than most people realize, and if he isn't able to go, UVA seems to have a significant upper-hand down low, which will be important in this type of game. Just as crucial for Virginia will be motivation and team cohesiveness. Sure, in a National Championship Game both teams have plenty of motivation, but to go out and win a National Title one season after a historical March Madness defeat would be something special. Perhaps it won't happen, but Virginia has been so strong and so clutch all year long, something I don't see stopping now in the seasons' finale.
Virginia by four

Friday, April 5, 2019

Final Four Picks 2019

Bryce Brown, Auburn
1 Virginia Cavaliers vs. 5 Auburn Tigers
Throughout this past off-season and the entirety of the 2018-2019 season, Virginia has had to constantly hear about their loss to 16 seed UMBC last March. Now, the Cavaliers stand two wins away from a very different result: a National Title. However, they won't get anything easy, tasked with taking on an Auburn team that is flaming hot in the Final Four. While Virginia has been seeking redemption, Auburn has played the role as the Tournament's "Cinderella", beating blue bloods Kansas, UNC and Kentucky en route to their first ever Final Four. The real guiding force behind Auburn's success has been a high-scoring backcourt, led by point guard Jared Harper and combo guard Bryce Brown. Brown in particular has been scorching from downtown, which will present a tough challenge for Virginia's pack-line defense, which centers in the paint. Fellow guard Samir Doughty is not the scorer Brown may be, but he'll also play an important role as a sharpshooter (43 % from three on the year). That trio will have to be effective and efficient, as UVA is a team that absolutely feeds off turnovers. Just as crucial, they will have to work hard on the defensive end for the entire 40 minutes. While the Tigers have been hot offensively during this Final Four run, they are at their best when they are playing sound defense and rotating well. It will also take on extra importance because this Cavaliers squad is much stronger offensively than they have been in years past, a major reason why they've been able to rid themselves of previous March demons. Juniors Kyle Guy and Ty Jerome are superb shooters, with Guy coming off an Elite Eight showing where he dropped 25 points and went toe-to-toe with Carsen Edwards. De'Andre Hunter has also been vital during this NCAA Tournament run, as the swingman plays a key role in helping the offense flow. With both of these backcourts playing so well, three-pointers and offense should come fast and heavy. Yet, the X-factor in this game will be in the post, where Virginia has a distinct advantage. That might not have been the case a few weeks ago, but Auburn losing stud forward Chuma Okeke to a torn ACL earlier in March is a real bummer. Okeke is the Tigers' best big man and would've matched up favorably against UVA's top big, Mamadi Diakite, who has been playing super well. Will any other Auburn post be able to stop Diakite and company down low? If they don't, I expect Tony Bennett to bully them in the post as much as possible, and UVA to get plenty of extra possessions off offensive rebounds. This will be the earlier game of the night, and I expect it to get the fans in Minneapolis pumped, with a lot of up-tempo, high-scoring basketball. That may be slightly out of Virginia's comfort zone, but they proved they can win shootouts by taking down Purdue last weekend. I like UVA to continue their terrific redemption story, and get one step closer to that ultimate goal.
Virginia by eight

2 Michigan State Spartans vs. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders
The second game of the night will feature two programs with very different stories. On one side is Michigan State, one of the sport's blue bloods with a legendary head coach on the sidelines. Then, there is Texas Tech, who is playing in their first Final Four in school history and is led by an up-and-coming head coach in Chris Beard. They may be quite different, but the action on the court should look pretty similar on Saturday night. Both teams want to play with a relatively slow pace, play the ball through the post and play sound defense. Michigan State will open the game as the favorite, thanks in large part to Cassius Winston and an offense that has been very strong for the past month. Winston, the Big Ten Player of the Year, is the engineer of the entire offense, and is incredibly well at getting the ball to MSU's playmakers in the right spot at the right time. However, for the Spartans to succeed, they'll need sharpshooter Matt McQuiad and big Nick Ward to stretch the defense and also work in the post. Texas Tech has been absolutely terrific on defense all year long and throughout the NCAA Tournament, and their wins over Michigan & Gonzaga centered around stopping the three-point shot and being physical down low. On the offensive end, the Red Raiders aren't exactly elite but they do a great job of attacking the rim and snatching offensive rebounds. Michigan State has to find a way to stop wing Jarrett Culver, who has attracted significant NBA attention after posting numbers of 18.9 PPG and 6.4 RPG. Yet, outside of Aaron Henry, Michigan State doesn't have a proven wing defender that can contain the length and quickness of Culver. They should be able to overcome this if they box out and are able to match Texas Tech's physical style of play. Overall, the key to winning for Michigan State all seem to center around what they are able to do themselves. The Red Raiders are going to play the same defensive-minded, swarming style they've played all year, but their success hinges on how teams react to it. Michigan and Gonzaga had some moments, but were not able to match TTU's energy over the course of 40 minutes. After a week of rest and preparation, Tom Izzo should have this Michigan State squad prepared and hungry. This Midwestern blue blood has not been to the National Championship since a loss in 2009. If they are able to play the way they did against Duke, that should be about to change.
Michigan State by four

Monday, April 1, 2019

Spring Football 2019: Important Quarterback Competitions

Jack Coan, Wisconsin
While we may be in the midst of a busy time in college basketball, the NBA and now the MLB, we're also reaching an important time in college football. The 2019 regular season is still months away, but most programs across the country have begun spring practice, with annual spring games set to take place for most throughout the month of April. Spring football is an important first step in the crucial position battles that will last into the fall, especially at the quarterback position. Here are the quarterback battles that we should keep our eyes on this spring and further into the off-season.

Auburn
Competing: Malik Willis (Jr.), Joey Gatewood (RFr.), Bo Nix (Fr.)
Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn will enter 2019 on an extremely hot seat, following a disappointing 8-5 2018 that included a sub-.500 conference mark. Picking the right quarterback to lead his Auburn squad will be crucial, and there are no shortage of options. Early spring talk states that all quarterbacks are "rotating evenly" , but it would not be surprising to see one or two really take command of the job. True freshman Bo Nix has the talent and name recognition to get early looks; he's the No. 1 dual threat QB in the 2019 class according to 247Sports. His scrambling ability and big arm is an ideal fit for Malzahn's offense, but he'll need some time to get acclimated to SEC football. Redshirt freshman Joey Gatewood has looked good running the offense, and has been groomed for a starting gig. He has the size and stature of a Cam Newton, but has been limited by injuries and is still very raw. Then, there is Malik Willis, who served as the backup last year for Jarrett Stidham and comes in as the "experienced" option. All three have a good shot at landing the job, and this spring will go a long way in telling us who will take the snaps on the Plains in '19. My bet? Willis will enter fall camp the slight favorite, but Nix will impress so much the Tigers won't be able to keep him off the field once real action begins.
Favorite: Nix

Florida State
Competing: James Blackman (Jr.), Alex Hornibrook (Sr.), Jordan Travis (Soph.)
After a frustrating 5-7 debut season, the pressure is on for Willie Taggart in Tallahassee. The Seminoles have the talent to compete in the ACC Atlantic, but they need more production from their offense, particularly QB. With incumbent starter Deondre Francois kicked off the team, junior James Blackman enters spring as the favorite to start. Blackman saw a lot of action as a true freshman in 2017 and performed admirably, but he'll have to fend off two transfers. Wisconsin grad transfer Alex Hornibrook and Louisville transplant Jordan Travis both hope to come in and take the job. Hornibrook had some serious ups-and-downs while in Madison, but is a veteran guy who has proven he can run an offense. Travis, meanwhile, has a ton of talent but his eligibility for the 2019 season is still up in the air. Blackman looks like the best fit in this FSU offense, and will work closely with new offensive coordinator Kendal Briles. Yet, I would not rule out Hornibrook, who would give this Seminoles' offense a much different feel, and has proven himself at the highest level.
Favorite: Blackman

Miami 
Competing: Tate Martell (RSoph.), N'Kosi Perry (RSoph.), Jarren Williams (RFr.)
New Miami head coach Manny Diaz will try to do something his predecessor, Mark Richt, wasn't able to do in Coral Gables: find a consistent quarterback. Richt's flip-flopping between Malik Rosier and N'Kosi Perry crippled the Miami offense in 2018, resulting in a sobering 7-6 season. The big, flashy addition has to be Ohio State transfer Tate Martell. A former five-star recruit, Martell has a huge arm and terrific running ability. Yet, don't assume he'll come in and won't face a challenge; Perry still returns, as well as youngster Jarren Williams. Perry was terribly inconsistent last season for the Hurricanes, but he has impressed new OC Dan Enos, and has more experience than Martell. Williams appears to be the real wild card in this race; he nearly left the program following the arrival of Martell but decided to stick around for the spring. He's incredibly raw, but Miami's coaching staff raved about him a year ago and he is an intriguing dark horse option.
Favorite: Martell

Oklahoma State
Competing: Dru Brown (RSr.), Spencer Sanders (RFr.), Brendan Costello (Fr.)
Year in year out Oklahoma State produces one of the nation's most explosive offenses and this spring will give us a good indication of who the next QB leading it will be. Taylor Cornelius came out of a three-man race this past season to run the show and was effective before graduating. With Cornelius gone, his main competition a year ago, redshirt frosh Spencer Sanders and former Hawaii transfer Dru Brown, become the favorites. Sanders put together a record-setting high school career in Texas before coming to Stillwater, and he seems like an ideal fit in Mike Gundy's offense. Yet, Brown started for two seasons at Hawaii and certainly holds the edge in terms of experience. True freshman Brendan Costello is also set to arrive as a dark horse to steal the starting gig. I firmly expect a heated race between Sanders & Brown that will last into the fall. Sanders has the edge right now purely because of talent, but expect Brown and Costello to both push him.
Favorite: Sanders

Virginia Tech
Competing: Ryan Willis (Sr.), Quincy Patterson (RFr.), Hendon Hooker (RSoph.), Braxton Burmeister (Soph.)
Former incumbent starter Josh Jackson decided he would transfer to Maryland earlier this off-season, leaving Virginia Tech with an interesting quarterback situation for 2019. Former Kansas transfer Ryan Willis replaced Jackson after he was ruled out for the season, and the fifth-year senior was solid, with 2,716 yards and 24 touchdowns. He should enter the spring tops on the depth chart but will face a host of challengers. Quincy Patterson and Hendon Hooker remain on campus, after Hooker briefly flirted with transferring. Neither offer much actual game experience, but offer significant potential, particularly Patterson. They also seem like a more logical fit in Justin Fuente's offense than Willis, who went just 4-6 as the starter. Then, there is wild card Braxton Burmeister, who is coming in from Oregon as a transfer. Burmeister is a former four-star recruit who has loads of talent, but was never able to unseat Justin Herbert in Eugene. There is a caveat with him, as he will likely not come to campus until the summer, and his eligibility for 2019 is not known. Yet, he will still be another interesting name to watch as this competition heats up.
Favorite: Willis

Wisconsin
Competing: Jack Coan (Jr.), Danny Vanden Boom (Soph.), Graham Mertz (Fr.)
Alex Hornibrook's decision to transfer after starting 32 games over the last three seasons opens the door to a new era of Wisconsin football. Badger fans are hoping this new era will center around newcomer Graham Mertz, perhaps the best quarterback recruit in the school's history. Mertz is rated the No. 1 pocket passer in the country by ESPN, and a few scouting services have him rated as a five-star recruit. He entered spring practice with the most fanfare, but will have to prove he can learn and run this offense at a high level. Mertz will face competition from junior Jack Coan and sophomore Danny Vanden Boom. Coan offers the most experience of the trio, starting five games last year due to Hornibrook's concussion problems. Yet, Coan's numbers weren't overly inspiring and outside of a 47-44 win over Purdue, Wisconsin's offense lacked much punch under his leadership. Vanden Boom has thrown just one pass in his collegiate career, which just happened to be a touchdown.
Favorite: Mertz

Other QB Competitions to Keep an Eye On
Arizona State: Jayden Daniels, Dillon Sterling-Cole, Joey Yellen, Ethan Long
Arkansas: Ben Hicks, Nick Starkel, Connor Noland, K.J. Jefferson
Maryland: Tyrell Pigrome, Josh Jackson, Lance LeGendre
Michigan State: Brian Lewerke, Rocky Lombardi
Minnesota: Tanner Morgan, Zach Annexstad, Cole Kramer, Jacob Clark
TCU: Justin Rogers, Michael Collins, Alex Delton
UCF*: Darriel Mack, Brandon Wimbush, Quadry Jones

*= Projected starter McKenzie Milton unlikely to play in 2019 season due to injury

Thursday, March 21, 2019

2019 Bracket Analysis: Midwest Region

Coby White & Roy Williams, UNC
Even though they were unable to take down Duke in the ACC Tournament to complete the season sweep, UNC locked down the top seed in the Midwest Region, becoming the third ACC squad to do so. They are in a region with a strong second seed, and some potential hazards, but the Tar Heels certainly have the looks of a team that can go deep. The backcourt is headlined by two talented guards in freshman Coby White and sharpshooting Cameron Johnson (47% from three). Those two seem to play their best basketball in the biggest games, particularly White, who has been terrific down the stretch. The same can be said about veteran Luke Maye, a former walk-on who has established himself as one of the best forwards in the country. The Tar Heels are also a pretty deep team, which will be critical in a region that is sure to see some tough, physical basketball. Outside of a loss to Virginia, North Carolina has not lost in the regular season since an early conference battle with Louisville. Since that game they've come out with an energy and bounce that we just didn't see in the non-conference portion of the season. Can they keep it up over the next six games and make their third National Championship appearance in four years? They certainly don't have an easy path there, with a really tough 8-9 matchup early on in the second round. If they continue their hot shooting, its tough to imagine any team slowing them down over the course of forty minutes. The only real concern for me is the lack of much true post scorers. It might not be much of an issue if White and Johnson play well, but beyond Maye, the Tar Heels really don't do a good job of getting easy points down low. It won't be an issue against, say Iona, but could be something interesting to watch down the stretch.

Squaring off against New Mexico State, a team that has established a home in the NCAA Tournament, is not an ideal bid for Auburn. With that being said, the Tigers look like they have the tools to continue their momentum from an SEC Tournament Title run. Head coach Bruce Pearl has ample experience in March, and he is equipped with a dynamic, balanced roster. Much like UNC, this Auburn squad is led by a high-flying backcourt, with the leader being Jared Harper. The junior guard has been important all season long, but his took his game to the next level in the SEC Tournament, making important passes and locking down defensively. He is aided by combo guard Bryce Brown, who is the team's go-to scorer and can really stroke it when he's on. While those two will be important in scoring hoops, Auburn is really at their best when they are playing well on defense. They were flying all over the court in the SEC Tournament and played stifling defense, including holding a strong Tennessee team to just 64 points in the Championship. If they want to continue their recent run, they'll have to do much the same. New Mexico State will attempt to do the same, touting a defense that allows just 64 PPG (26th nationally). The good news is that if Auburn wins that, they have a shot at meeting Kansas, a team with an incredibly streaky offense.

If you are looking for a Cinderella pick in this side of the bracket, both New Mexico State and Northeastern look like pretty good picks. Yet, maybe the most intriguing possible upset could be the 3-14 action between Houston and Georgia State. In case you forget, the last time the Panthers were a 14 seed, they pulled a miraculous upset of Baylor that saw a terrific buzzer beater by R.J. Hunter. Can they do it again in 2019? Georgia State has shown they can beat quality teams, taking down SEC foes Alabama and Georgia earlier on the year, and also pushing Kansas State. They also offer a distinct advantage over Houston: their length. Houston's top three scorers all average a height of 6'2", while GSU counters with a lineup with a ton of size and length top to bottom. This could be crucial in attacking in the paint, and working on the boards, an important element of any upset. Georgia State also has proven they can shot the three very effectively all season long, which they'll need to counter an explosive Houston offense. The Cougars are not an easy matchup for anybody, who have gone 31-3 on the season. Yet, this Panthers team matches up very well with them, and somebody in this region is sure to cause some damage.

Kentucky opened the 2018-2019 season in an extremely disappointing manner, losing by 34 to Zion Williamson and Duke. However, the Wildcats have responded admirably, going 27-5 the rest of the way and locking in a two seed in the Midwest. Wins over UNC, Tennessee and Kansas have showcased what this team can do when they're playing well. They have a really impressive roster construction that legitimately has all the tools to win it all. They have shooting, with Tyler Herro, size with P.J. Washington and Nick Richards as well as athleticism top to bottom. Kentucky also has something they've severely lacked on past John Calipari-coached teams: experience. Reid Travis is a fifth-year senior who has spent his entire career at Stanford and is eager to finish his collegiate carer with a bang. Washington and Richards have also seen NCAA Tournament experience and should have a motivation factor after losing in the Sweet 16 a year ago. Also working in Kentucky's favor is the fact they match up well with most of the teams in the bottom-half of the region. The only team that could give them serious trouble, beyond probably Houston? Seton Hall, who just happened to beat Kentucky earlier in the year. But, that was at Madison Square Garden, the Pirates' backyard and where they've played plenty of Big East Tournament games. Even in a difficult region with a very quality No. 1 seed, I like this Kentucky team a lot. Calipari has proven himself a number of times in March, but is still searching for that elusive second National Title. With this balanced, well-rounded and motivated Wildcats squad, I see Cal bringing his first National Title back to Lexington since the Anthony Davis days in 2012.

Picking the Midwest

Round One
1 North Carolina over 16 Iona ... After starting the year 7-15, Iona has won ten straight to get to the Big Dance. That nice win streak will end right here in Columbus.

8 Utah State over 9 Washington ... Beating UW's 2-3 zone won't be a breeze, but Utah State's quality defense and offensive rebounding ability gets them the win.

5 Auburn over 12 New Mexico State ... NMSU is a good challenge, but they don't have the backcourt to keep up with Harper and Brown.

13 Northeastern over 4 Kansas ... The Colonial Athletic Association has produced its fair share of Cinderella stories, and a quality Northeastern team could be next over the short-handed Jayhawks.

6 Iowa State over 11 Ohio State ... Cyclones just have too much offensively for the Buckeyes, who have struggled down the stretch in 2019.

3 Houston over 14 Georgia State ... Don't rule out the Georgia State upset, but National Coach of the Year candidate Kelvin Sampson helps Houston secure victory.

10 Seton Hall over 7 Wofford ... Wofford is a popular dark horse option, but they have struggled against quality opponents and Seton Hall is a well-rounded squad.

2 Kentucky over 15 Abilene Christian ... The Wildcats will not have any troubles with Abilene Christian, perhaps the weakest 15 seed in the field.

Round Two
1 UNC over 8 Utah State ... The Mountain West Tournament Champs just don't have the scoring to hang with Coby White and the Heels.

5 Auburn over 13 Northeastern ... No Cinderella run for Northeastern, as the flaming hot Tigers keep on rolling.

6 Iowa State over 3 Houston ... If Marial Shayok and this Iowa State offense get hot from downtown, they're going to be extremely tough to take down.

2 Kentucky over 10 Seton Hall ... The Wildcats are able to get revenge here, due to improved post play and a much better defense.

Sweet 16
1 UNC over 5 Auburn ... Should be a competitive, high-scoring affair between these two. UNC's superior depth helps them move on to the Elite Eight.

2 Kentucky over 6 Iowa State ... Cyclones will not be an easy out, but they don't have the versatility and balance of this Kentucky team.

Elite Eight
2 Kentucky over 1 UNC ... Kentucky gets vengeance for the 2017 Elite Eight, when they lost on a buzzer beater by Luke Maye. Their defense is able to contain White and Maye, while Keldon Johnson and Tyler Herro lead the charge on the other end.

Midwest Region Champion: 2 Kentucky Wildcats 

Wednesday, March 20, 2019

2019 Bracket Analysis: South Region

Kyle Guy, Virginia
After making history as the first ever No. 1 seed to lose to a 16, Virginia enters this 2019 NCAA Tournament eager to prove themselves. They were once again awarded a top seed after going 29-3 overall, with a 16-2 mark in the ACC. The Cavaliers have an extremely similar core as last year's group, but are blessed with a healthy De'Andre Hunter this time around. Hunter was the Sixth Man of the Year in the ACC a season ago but went down with a broken wrist just days before the opener against UMBC. A skilled, well-built wing, Hunter has been crucial to this offense all year long and will be leaned on heavily during this Tournament. Guards Kyle Guy and Ty Jerome have been the stars all year long, with both of them hitting from deep at impressive rates (Guy is at 46%, Jerome 40%). Yet, they've also been known to be streaky, which could be a concern going forward. Virginia will also showcase their patented "pack-line" defense, which has been Tony Bennett's signature during his time in Charlottesville. That defense has been so stingy and versatile all season, allowing just 55 PPG, tops in the entire D1. Top to bottom, this Cavaliers team is pretty identical to last year's group, but I think the end result will be different. Judging this team on one game from last season when they're in a different situation in 2019 would be foolish. This team has enough talent, and Bennett is a good enough coach, they have the tools to finally make a long awaited run this March.

A late Pac-12 Tournament Title run by Oregon helped them sneak into the field as a 12 seed, poised as a potential bracket-buster. Many assumed the Ducks season might be over when star freshman Bol Bol went down with a season-ending foot injury, but they've been able to survive behind a strong defense and good-shooting backcourt. Veteran guard Payton Pritchard is really what makes this team go, a skilled passer who can also lock down at the other end of the court. He had three superb showings in their conference title run, and will have to play well if Oregon is going to continue their hot streak. Freshman Louis King and senior Paul White are two other crucial components of this lineup. King is the youthful, explosive scorer while White is a former Georgetown transfer who is the type of steady, intelligent playmaker any coach loves to have on their team. Will that trio do enough to take down fifth-seeded Wisconsin, who they open up with? The Badgers may have star forward Ethan Happ, but they lack a ton of scoring punch beyond him, and Happ is notorious for his struggles on the free throw line. Oregon can certainly pull a first round upset if they force Happ, who had a bad Big Ten semifinals showing against Michigan State, into mistakes and continue to shoot the way they have down the stretch. It could set up an interesting battle with the winner of Kansas State-UC Irvine, two teams both playing some great basketball as well.

Villanova may have won two National Titles in three seasons, but don't expect the same from the Wildcats this year. Settling in as the sixth seed in the South Region, Villanova could still be a potential dangerous squad, but I think they could also be primed for a first round upset. Their first matchup will be the St. Mary's Gaels, who shocked Gonzaga to win the West Coast Conference Tournament. This is not the best St. Mary's team, but it still looks like it has the tools to win a game or two in the Big Dance. The Gaels always have a combo guard that can fill it up, with junior Jordan Ford being the latest in the long line. Ford is averaging 21.3 PPG and has the looks of the type of scorer that can really lead a team in this Tournament. Yet, the real key for this St. Mary's team will be how they play defense and how they rebound. They're a strong defensive team that rotates extremely well and doesn't give up anything easy. They also rebound the ball well; their ability to crash the offensive glass was instrumental in the upset of Gonzaga. Villanova is an extremely beatable team if you play strong defense and contain them in transition. They're also not a very good sized team, which bodes well for the Gaels on the boards. Will this St. Mary's team be able to replicate 2010, when they came very close to an Elite Eight berth? Probably not, but this is yet another higher-seed that could cause some chaos in the South.

There might not be a team I like more in the bottom-half of this region than the Cincinnati Bearcats, who are locked in as the seventh seed. Mick Cronin-coached teams tend to play a similar way: physical on both ends, relying on their strong defense and making their presence felt on the glass. This particular Cincinnati team is no exception, although they offer a little bit more scoring punch than some of Cronin's past teams. Guard Jarron Cumberland is criminally underrated; he has improved every single year in Cincy, and is a versatile playmaker coming off an AAC Title showing where he dropped 33 points. He is the face of this team, but fellow backcourt mates Cane Broome and Keith Williams are just as important, both lockdown defenders that can help this team in more ways than scoring. Another reason to like the Bearcats? They get a very favorable matchup in Round 1, and most likely beyond. Their first meeting will be Iowa, a team that has been struggling as of late and has been very streaky offensively all season. Will they be able to score against such a physical and quality Bearcats' defense? If they're able to down the Hawkeyes, a most likely meeting with the two seed, Tennessee, awaits. The Volunteers are without a doubt a strong team, but they don't shoot much three-pointers, and Cincinnati knows how to lock down the paint. I'm buying into this Cincinnati team, and think they have a very good shot at moving through the bottom-half of this region.

Picking the South

Round One
1 Virginia over 16 Gardner-Webb ... No monumental 1-16 upset this time around. A healthy De'Andre Hunter makes all the difference for the Cavaliers.

9 Oklahoma over 8 Ole Miss ... The Rebels may have an explosive scoring backcourt, but the Sooners' tough defense carries them to the second round.

5 Wisconsin over 12 Oregon ... Tough first round matchup for Wisconsin, but not positive the Ducks have a big man that can stop Ethan Happ.

4 Kansas State over 13 UC Irvine ... Can K-State return to the Elite Eight in 2019? They'll need a healthy Dean Wade, who is questionable for the opening round.

11 St. Mary's over 6 Villanova ... No March run for Villanova this year, as the Gaels and Jordan Ford take down the defending champs.

3 Purdue over 14 Old Dominion ... Purdue needs Carsen Edwards to play smarter down the stretch, along with a productive Tournament from center Matt Haarms.

7 Cincinnati over 10 Iowa ... Can Hawkeyes turn it around at the most important point of their season? Not if Cincinnati plays the way they did in achieving the AAC Title.

2 Tennessee over 15 Colgate ... Don't overlook the Patriot League Champion Colgate, but Volunteers find a way to get it done.

Round Two
1 Virginia over 9 Oklahoma ... Oklahoma will be able to compete, but they just don't have the offense to take down the pack-line defense.

4 Kansas State over 5 Wisconsin ... I really like both of these teams, but Kansas State has more offensive versatility and balance than the Badgers.

3 Purdue over 11 St. Mary's ... Should be a back-and-forth game, but Purdue's superior depth gives them the edge in this one.

7 Cincinnati over 2 Tennessee ... Tennessee will struggle to shoot from downtown, and Bearcats are stingy enough in the post to slow down Grant Williams.

Sweet 16
1 Virginia over 4 Kansas State ... Possible upset alert here, but until Wade is proven 100 percent, I'll stick with the top seed in the region.

3 Purdue over 7 Cincinnati ... Does Purdue have the shooting to overcome the Bearcats? Edwards and sharpshooter Ryan Cline must get the job done to move on.

Elite Eight
1 Virginia over 3 Purdue ... The Cavaliers returning to the Final Four after what happened a year ago? This is a better team in a better situation, and Tony Bennett deserves a Final Four for what he has done in Charlottesville.

South Region Champion: 1 Virginia Cavaliers