Friday, June 12, 2015

College Football Preview 2015-2016: 23. Boise State Broncos

Thomas Sperbeck
23. Boise State Broncos

2014-2015 Record: 12-2 (7-1 Mountain West)
Coach: Bryan Harsin, 2nd year (12-2 overall)
Schedule
Roster
Recruiting Rundown
Key Losses: RB Jay Ajayi, QB Grant Hedrick
Heisman Hopeful: WR/RB Shane Williams-Rhodes
Breakout Player: RB Jeremy McNichols

Life after Chris Petersen was a scary thought for years in Boise, Idaho, as Broncos fans lived in fear that the coveted coach would eventually skip town to a BCS school. Petersen eventually would leave to Washington, but the winning in Boise didn't stop. Under former Arkansas State head coach Bryan Harsin, the Broncos won 12 games and did their usual crashing of big-time football programs, by thoroughly punishing Arizona in the Fiesta Bowl in the first year of the College Football Playoff era. Tailback Jay Ajayi left a year early for the riches and bright lights of the NFL, and quarterback Grant Hedrick graduated, hurting the Broncos' offense, which was wonderful last season. Even so, Harsin once more has the talent returning to win the Mountain West and lead the Broncos right back to a big-time bowl, where they can wreak even more havoc.

Backfield: Hedrick showed off an amazing array of talents in his lone season as starter in 2014-2015. He threw for 3,696 yards and 23 touchdowns, while also showing off his dual threat abilities, running for 592 yards. His departure certainly hurts, but Harsin has options waiting in the wings. Sophomore Ryan Finley is the most experienced returning QB. Finley threw 27 times last season, but completed just 12 of them. If Finley doesn't prove himself the clear starter, incoming freshman Brett Rypien could overtake the veteran. Rypien is certainly the gem of the 2015 recruiting class for Boise, a four-star prospect out of Spokane, Washington who chose the Broncos over Washington and other Pac-12 schools. Finley has the edge only because of slightly better experience, but Rypien has the accuracy and potential to become quite the quarterback in offensive coordinator Eliah Drinkwitz's system. After running for 1,823 yards and 28 touchdowns last season, Jay Ajayi decided it was time to test the pro waters. He was selected in the fifth round of the Draft by Miami, and has a chance to see plenty of action with Lamar Miller this next year. That type of production is not easily replaced, but there is reason to believe that sophomore Jeremy McNichols could put together a breakout season. Unlike Ajayi, a powerful runner with considerable size, McNichols is smaller and quicker. At 5'9", the sophomore is always ready for a big play. Receiving 17 attempts behind Ajayi and others, McNichols ran for 159 yards, an average of 9.4 yards per carry. Joining McNichols in the backfield will be redshirt junior Devan Demas, who ran for 173 yards and 2 scores last year. Demas is a little bit more of a physical runner than McNichols, but neither are the bulldozer that Ajayi proved to be throughout last season. But, for an offense that loves to spread the ball around and has a lot of speed, they fit in nearly perfectly.

Receivers: Not only was Ajayi an excellent runner, he was one of the Broncos' top receivers. The back proved to have wonderful hands, reeling in 50 catches for 535 yards and four scores. But, let's move on from the obvious Ajayi-will-be-missed theme here. Boise still has a number of weapons returning in the passing game, including junior Thomas Sperbeck. Sperbeck was the leading receiver on the team a season ago, picking up 877 yards. While not the biggest guy on the field, Sperbeck has proven to be an exceptional route runner and has great hands. Not having Ajayi to work underneath routes may hurt Sperbeck and the other Bronco receivers on deep routes and over the top, but they will figure things out. Senior Shane Williams-Rhodes is perhaps the team's top returning playmaker and could be in line for a monster year. Williams-Rhodes had 68 receptions and 585 yards last season as a receiver, but also proved just how dangerous he could be in other aspects. On flanker reverses and jet sweeps, Williams-Rhodes rushed for 179 yards on 15 carries, averaging nearly 12 yards per carry. Williams-Rhodes is 5'6", a shifty veteran who is lightning on a bottle and can score any moment he touches the ball. Players like that are becoming more common every single year in college football, but Williams-Rhodes is even more explosive than most. He could easily be the most entertaining player to watch in the Mountain West this season. Also back to help guide Finley or someone else at quarterback will be junior Chaz Anderson, a solid weapon in the passing game. Anderson is also very fast with proven hands. A trio of Sperbeck, Williams-Rhodes and Anderson gives opposing defenses real problems, with the mix of experience, reliability and pure explosiveness. While not having Ajayi is clearly a problem, those three alone should help keep this offense among the nation's elite and most exciting to watch. At tight end, the Broncos bring back an impact weapon in redshirt sophomore Jake Roh. Roh is a decent blocker, but certainly excels more as a receiver. Roh recorded 408 receiving yards in 2014-2015 along with two touchdowns, and averaged over 11 yards per reception. He is very quick for a tight end, often too quick for linebackers in coverage. But, at 6'3" he is often too big and physical for defensive backs, making him the perfect mix of speed and size and a dangerous option through the air. Senior Holden Huff will also see opportunities through the air at tight end. Not an incredibly gifted pass catcher, Huff does most of his damage in the red zone, where he is extremely effective.

Tuesday, June 2, 2015

College Football Preview 2015-2016: 24. Oklahoma State Cowboys

Mason Rudolph
24. Oklahoma State Cowboys

2014-2015 Record: 7-6 (4-5 Big 12)
Coach: Mike Gundy, 11th year (84-44 overall)
Schedule
Roster
Recruiting Rundown
Key Losses: DE James Castleman, RB Tyreek Hill
Heisman Hopeful: QB Mason Rudolph
Breakout Player: QB Mason Rudolph

The Cowboys began 2014 with all inclination it would be a rebuilding season. Despite coming off a 10-3 season, the 'Pokes had losses in a number of key areas and faced a tough test early against the defending national champion, the Florida State Seminoles. Although they gave FSU a pretty good test actually, the bulk of 2014 was pretty much a disaster in Stillwater. Due to injuries to quarterback and other key positions, the Cowboys would lose five straight in the middle part of the season. But, even through all that there was a light at the end of the tunnel. Quarterback Mason Rudolph tossed aside his redshirt and started the last couple games for the Cowboys, leading them first to an exciting win against archrival Oklahoma and then a Cactus Bowl victory over Washington to finish off 7-6. While it was one of Mike Gundy's worst seasons at Oklahoma State (which speaks to how much he was built up the program), the ending of things and the returning of key pieces has the Cowboys ready to leap back into contention in the Big 12 and national stage, and possibly even be a dark horse College Football Playoff squad.

Backfield: Despite being the Cowboys' top recruit entering last season, Gundy never had plans to play Rudolph. He already had two veterans ahead of him on the depth chart, in J.W. Walsh and Daxx Garman, both juniors with experience. But, injuries and poor play forced Gundy's hand, and while throwing a true freshman into Big 12 play was certainly bold, Rudolph performed wonderfully. After a tough debut against Baylor, Rudolph led the Cowboys to a huge victory over Oklahoma, just the second victory against the Sooners in Gundy's tenure. And, his bowl performance against Washington was masterful, giving real hope to the future of the Cowboys' offense, which is predicated around throwing the ball quite often. Rudolph has a massive arm, perfect for Oklahoma State's spread offense and for such a young quarterback, he possesses a great feel of the game and strong pocket presence. There are certain to be growing pains for Rudolph this year, as he is not a veteran and will still be squaring off against some strong defenses but the way Oklahoma State's schedule opens up is perfect for him. Getting Central Michigan and Central Arkansas their first two games of the year is definitely going to help Rudolph's comfortability in the offense and get him prepared for conference play later on. If Rudolph struggles, Gundy does have an option in senior J.W. Walsh, who began the season as the starter last year for the Cowboys before injury took down his season. The Cowboys have questions about running back after the graduation of Desmond Roland and the departure of speedster Tyreek Hill. Hill was a pretty big name JUCO signee by Gundy and while he was fun to watch he never really produced in Stillwater and has kicked off the team. He recently announced his intentions to play for the Akron Zips this upcoming season. That leaves the running back position almost solely in the hands of junior Rennie Childs, who was solid as the third-stringer a season ago, appearing in 10 games and starting against Missouri State, where he had two scores. In all, Childs would finish with 294 yards on 78 carries and three touchdowns. Childs isn't the fastest player on the field or the strongest but he is a solid ball-carrier who won't fumble or make many mistakes and will be helped by a veteran offensive line. Gundy and the offense will also be leaning on another junior college transfer this season, Chris Carson. A product from Butler CC in Georgia, Carson originally announced his intentions to transfer to the Bulldogs, but flipped days later to Ok. State. Carson is a pretty powerful back who is also a solid blocker that will be sure to contribute, and hopefully work out a little better than the Cowboys' last JUCO find.

Receivers: He certainly is no Dez Bryant nor is he Justin Blackmon, but David Glidden is the 'Pokes top returning receiver in 2015. Glidden led the team with 42 receptions a season ago, while also picking up 598 yards. He isn't a deep threat, the senior tends to spend more of his time on the inside, working in more of a slot role. Standing at just 5'8", it works well for him, as he is able to relatively sneak into holes in coverage and make plays. Glidden will serve as Rudolph's security blanket underneath most likely, and the deep threats this team possesses will most likely open holes underneath for him to operate. Also returning in the receiver corps will be sophomore speedster James Washington along with junior Jhajuan Seales. Seales had a productive year in 2014, but is looking to step up in a bigger way. Seales hauled in 18 passes for 278 yards along with three scores, and proving he was a major playmaker along the way. Pretty tall at 6'2", Seales is also very quick, a definitely hard combination to defend against. Despite being young, Washington was wonderful a year ago and will have the look of Oklahoma State's top deep threat. For an offense that loves to stretch the field by throwing a lot of deep routes, that is an extremely fun and productive job to have. Washington recorded 451 yards on the season and also caught six touchdown passes. Washington is also very speedy but is a great route runner as well. For a guy that was very young last season, that is important and he should only build on that. Expect other contributors to step up as well in an offense that uses as many receivers as they please. Marcell Ateman is a very dynamic weapon eager to impress entering his junior campaign, while senior Brandon Sheperd adds even more experience and explosive playmaking to the unit. The tight end position isn't a key part of the Cowboys' offense but having talent and experience back still would be a major help. The 'Pokes will have both coming back, with junior Blake Jarwin and senior Jeremy Seaton back in Stillwater. Jarwin is a long, physical 6'5" end who still is working on pass-catching and consistency, while Seaton is a more versatile player who will also see time at fullback most likely, and also has pretty good speed.

Monday, May 25, 2015

NBA Mock Draft 2015: Edition 1

Karl Anthony-Towns
1. Minnesota Timberwolves Karl Anthony-Towns, F/C
Despite having the worst record in the league this season, there is general optimism surrounding the Timberwolves, following the superb rookie seasons of Andrew Wiggins and Zach LaVine. The team's core could become even more exciting if they select Towns here. Gifted with great size, Towns showed the potential to be a stretch four, knocking down from mid range and free throws at an impressive rate. He also is a better defender than Jahlil Okafor, something Minnesota will certainly need to add.
2. Los Angeles Lakers Jahlil Okafor, C
The Lakers really hit on their draft last season, picking up guard Jordan Clarkson, who was phenomenal this season, and although we saw just minutes of him before he broke his leg, Julius Randle looked wonderful in preseason. Los Angeles could continue building a future by selecting a truly dominant big man. Okafor will almost certainly improve from the free throw line, and you cannot teach his size and polish around the hoop.
3. Philadelphia Sixers D'Angelo Russell, G
After their stunning trade deadline deals of Michael Carter-Williams (Milwaukee) and K.J. McDaniels (Houston), the Sixers will almost certainly be looking for long term solutions in their backcourt. Russell is perhaps the best pure scorer in the draft, but also possesses great court vision and could grow into a formidable defender. I have questions about his ability to play the point guard position, but he would immediately add scoring punch to a team that needs it.
4. New York Knicks Emmanuel Mudiay, G
In a season filled with embarrassing performances and dealing away the only real pieces they had left, beyond Carmelo Anthony, the Knicks dropping to the 4 spot was a massive disappointment. Still, the team has a chance to snatch up a franchise point guard in Mudiay. A tremendous athlete with great size, Mudiay will have to improve his shooting and decision-making, but will be able to grow under Derek Fisher, a former point guard himself.
5. Orlando Magic Kristaps Porzingis, F
While the first four picks of this Draft certainly aren't set in stone, there is common knowledge about who the top four players in this Draft are. Things get a little more interesting after that, and Orlando has plenty of options. To me, Porzingis offers considerable upside at a need position and will create a wonderful pair with Nikola Vuvecic. The Latvian big man is a great athlete and rebounder but could also grow into a stretch four, which is all the rage in the NBA these days.
6. Sacramento Kings Willie Cauley-Stein, C
Beyond Demarcus Cousins, the Kings' frontcourt is extremely limited and needs to be addressed as Sacramento moves into the George Karl era. Cauley-Stein is still growing as an offensive player but the raw athleticism is there offensively. His strength clearly lies defensively, he is a shot block machine and he moves well enough and has enough recognition that it is reasonable to presume that shot blocking can transfer over to the league.
7. Denver Nuggets Mario Hezonja, G/F
The Nuggets aren't a terrible team, and possibly adding an NBA ready piece could push them back into relative contenders in the brutal Western Conference. Hezonja, a Croatian guard, is certainly ready for the NBA. A gifted shooter with a pure stroke, Hezonja is smooth of the pick-and-roll and a terrific slasher. He didn't see a ton of playing time in the Euroleague, but when given the minutes, he always produces.
8. Detroit Pistons Justise Winslow, G/F
Winslow's stock soared after a wonderful NCAA Tournament, but I still have questions about him, and there is some chance he could drop, though he won't fall past Detroit, who needs a wing. Winslow is a wonderful athlete but is a relatively one-dimensional offensive player, as he lacks consistent shooting. His defense is solid, but he is obviously young and he will need time to grow. Even with his inconsistent shot, he is still a major improvement over the joke Josh Smith was at small forward in Detroit.
9. Charlotte Hornets Stanley Johnson, G
After bringing in Lance Stephenson from Indiana, Charlotte hoped they had solved their shooting guard problems. That was not clearly not the case, as by midseason, the Hornets were looking to trade Stephenson and search for solutions at shooting guard. They can fix them by picking up Stanley Johnson. The Arizona product isn't a consistent shooter, but has natural athleticism and can grow into an elite defender.
10. Miami Heat Kelly Oubre, G/F
Despite having a strong roster last season, the Heat's injuries mounted contributing to a disappointing year without a Playoff berth, even after a late season Goran Dragic deal. Armed with the 10th pick, they can afford to take it on a high-potential, high risk player because he could grow behind their strong starting lineup. Oubre fits that criteria; the former Kansas Jayhawk is a wonderful athlete but is still average in nearly every other part of his game.
11. Indiana Pacers Frank Kaminsky, F/C
A Midwestern kid born and raised and playing college ball at Wisconsin, Kaminsky would be a great fit in the small market Indiana Pacers. The Pacers would also certainly love him, Roy Hibbert's career has seriously gone downhill and his future in Indiana is uncertain and David West continues to age at power forward.
12. Utah Jazz Myles Turner, F/C
The No. 2 prospect in the Class of 2014, Turner had an up-and-down lone season in the Lone Star State with Texas. At times he looked like a legit NBA forward but other times he looked lost and frankly, really bad. Even so, he would be a pretty good fit in Utah. The Jazz top big men, Rudy Gobert and Derrick Favors operate solely on the block, and Turner's floor-stretching abilities will provide them with more space.
13. Phoenix Suns Devin Booker, G
Once more, the Suns were good enough to be in the Playoff hunt in the tough Western Conference but still lacked much offensive punch. Adding another dynamic shooter to a backcourt that has weak-shooting guard Eric Bledsoe as it's top player is a great idea. Booker slumped towards the end of his collegiate season, but is a great shooter and has good size for a shooting guard.
14. Oklahoma City Thunder Cameron Payne, G
After dealing away disgruntled Reggie Jackson this season, the Thunder will be searching for a new backup point guard in this draft. Payne, a high volume scorer from Murray State, would be a wonderful pickup. Payne is a great shooter but also has great handles and solid athleticism. He will only grow under the leadership of Russell Westbrook and new coach Billy Donovan.
15. Atlanta Hawks Trey Lyles, F
With Paul Millsap, the Hawks have been gifted with a low cost forward with excellent versatility and a gritty worker. Though, Millsap is aging and his replacement must be drafted soon. Lyles is also a versatile forward with great shooting touch and he will only grow as a scorer on the block, certainly a weakness this past season.
16. Boston Celtics Bobby Portis, F
Despite being a very heralded prospect coming into Arkansas two years ago, Portis struggled in his first season with the Razorbacks for the most part. That completely changed last year, when Portis used a larger frame and more complete jumper to help guide the 'Hogs to their first tournament appearance in a long time. Boston would see him as the top available prospect here, and a long term option at the power forward slot.
17. Milwaukee Bucks Sam Dekker, F
Born and raised in Wisconsin, Dekker stays in the state, as the Bucks take a chance on the forward with this pick. A wonderful NCAA Tournament showcased Dekker's versatility; a 6'9" forward, he can also play multiple positions and shoot the ball effectively. Already with Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jabari Parker, the Bucks could continue to add studs to their frontcourt here.
18. Houston Rockets Tyus Jones, PG
No player meant more to his team than Tyus Jones meant to Duke throughout the 2014-2015 season. The true freshman constantly hit big shots late in games, orchestrated a wonderful offense, and was the star in their NCAA Championship victory. Houston needs a backup point guard and Jones certainly would be a steal here, although he has to get stronger and more consistent from deep at the next level.
19. Washington Wizards Kevon Looney, F
With their backcourt clearly set, with John Wall and Brad Beal, Washington continues to work on their frontcourt, one that is devoid of any real prospect to get excited about. Looney was solid this past season at UCLA, but his stock is based mostly on his potential. He is an okay rebounder and decent shooter, but has natural athleticism and will make some crazy plays in the NBA. Unlikely to play big minutes early, Looney will learn and grow in Washington.
20. Toronto Raptors Montrezl Harrell, F
A possible lottery pick if he had entered last year, Harrell made a questionable decision returning to Louisville. He put together a strong year, but there are certainly major questions about his next level strengths. He is a low post player but at 6'7" he won't be big enough to do much in the NBA, and he remains a tweener. Even so, Toronto has depth concerns on the wing, and that may be where Harrell ends up seeing a lot of time in the pros.
21. Dallas Mavericks Jerian Grant, G
The Rajon Rondo experiment in Dallas was a major failure and things got so bad, Dallas essentially told him they were better of without him towards the end of their series against Houston. The Mavs would love to add a guard in free agency, but if they go after a bigger dog (DeAndre Jordan, Lamarcus Aldridge) they won't have the cap. The solution would be picking up Grant here, a seasoned vet who has impressive shooting range.
22. Chicago Bulls Justin Anderson, G/F
Even with a career year from Jimmy Butler and a relatively healthy Derrick Rose, the Bulls still lacked much offensive punch, a major reason they were ousted early in the Playoffs. Justin Anderson would be a great pickup, providing plenty of offensive punch. The Virginia Cavalier product is a gifted shooter and has the mix of size and speed to get to the rim.
23. Portland Trail Blazers Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, G/F
Even with the midseason addition of guard Arron Afflalo, Portland's bench was still a major liability once again, a key reason the team was dominated by Memphis in the Playoffs. Picking up Hollis-Jefferson here would be a major helper. Still growing, Hollis-Jefferson doesn't have much of a shot but has wonderful athleticism and great size for a shooting guard, if that's where he ends up.
24. Cleveland Cavaliers R.J. Hunter, G
Despite flirting with the idea the whole year, Ray Allen never ended up signing in Cleveland, keep LeBron away from help in the form of perhaps the greatest shooter in the history of the sport. I'm not saying R.J. Hunter is Ray Allen, but he certainly is a great shooter, who proved it with his miraculous game winner against Baylor. Hunter put up great numbers at Georgia State, and would provide major floor spacing help to a team that has a lot of penetrators.
25. Memphis Grizzlies Robert Upshaw, C
It's something Memphis may legitimately have to deal with: Marc Gasol leaving to a bigger market this summer, perhaps Los Angeles or New York, when he hits free agency. While Robert Upshaw isn't even close to being the passer or scorer Gasol is, he is a wonderful defender who greatly increased his stock before being kicked out of Washington. If Gasol does leave, Upshaw would be an okay consolation prize.
26. San Antonio Spurs Delon Wright, G
Tony Parker continues to age and Manu Ginobli's career may finally have come to a close. While San Antonio may look at their typical overseas options, Wright would be a steal here. The former Utah guard is a legit scorer with good size and the versatility to play either guard spot, which would obviously be a huge help to the Spurs.
27. Los Angeles Lakers Rashad Vaughn, G
Already drafting Okafor earlier, Los Angeles gets to work on their backcourt by picking up high volume scorer Rashad Vaughn, out of UNLV. Vaughn proved to be a one hit wonder with the Rebels, scoring in a variety of ways. His shot is still inconsistent and maturity concerns are why he is so low, but the talent to be a star is certainly there.
28. Boston Celtics Christian Wood, F
A pick later, Boston should also be looking at a UNLV product in Christian Wood. Although they pick up Portis earlier, they could use even more frontcourt help, and Wood has wonderful upside. He nearly averaged a double-double a game in Las Vegas and has the potential to be a lockdown defender at the next level.
29. Brooklyn Nets Cliff Alexander, F/C
A five-star prospect out of high school, Alexander played very little in one season with Kansas before declaring. Like many others in the first round, this selection is all about potential, though. Alexander is still 6'10" and has NBA strength and power. But, until he develops a shot at the free throw line or anywhere else, he is limited enough to fall into the late first round or second.
30. Golden State Warriors Terry Rozier, G
It isn't like Golden State is going to be searching for much help in their backcourt in the prime of Klay Thompson and Steph Curry's careers, but they could use some depth. After point guard Chris Jones was dismissed at Louisville, Rozier was wonderful taking over as the top guard. He is a quick scorer who will be lethal in space, though lacks a shot and leadership to be a starter from Day One.

Monday, May 18, 2015

NBA Conference Finals Predictions

Kyrie Irving
1 Atlanta Hawks vs. 3 Cleveland Cavaliers
It is crazy to think but just a season ago, both these teams were under .500, though Atlanta did make a playoff appearance before being ousted by last year's top seed in the Eastern Conference, Indiana. Things have changed quite a bit in a year; Cleveland has the NBA's top player, a point guard who continues to make big plays and a much deeper bench than in 2013-2014. Meanwhile, the Hawks have used superb passing, career years from Jeff Teague, Paul Millsap and more to improve to the Conference's best team. But, the Hawks looked relatively average against the eighth-seeded Brooklyn Nets (who had zero business being in the playoffs) and if not for an injury to John Wall, would most likely have been overmatched by the Wizards in the second round. Now, they will have to stop a determined LeBron and a Cavaliers team that absolutely dominated Chicago down the stretch in their series. The real advantage for Atlanta will most likely by their size advantage; even before Kevin Love was lost for the rest of the postseason following a shoulder dislocation, size certainly was not a strength of Cleveland. Since being acquired midseason, Timofey Mozgov has been terrific, using his 7'1" frame to block shots and showing an improved and more aggressive offensive game. But, beyond him who are the Cavs' big men? Kendrick Perkins and Tristian Thompson? Atlanta has two of the best all-around offensive weapons in the NBA in Al Horford and Paul Millsap. Sure, neither is bound to put up 30 every night but both have solid mid range games and open up the floor by stretching defenders deep, which certainly helps Jeff Teague and the other penetrators the Hawks possess. Horford was terrific down the stretch against Washington, and Atlanta will certainly need him to be just as assertive in this series. Another key X-factor for Atlanta will clearly be defending LeBron James, the most important thing on everybody's mind heading into a series against him. But, that also poses a huge question. Demarre Carroll is the most obvious choice for defending LeBron; he has a wide, athletic frame who can bang down low but also moves well in open space. But, beyond that, Atlanta doesn't have very much reinforcements, they are a really a poor defensive team. Both of these teams feast of transition opportunities and which ever team creates more opportunities will have the upper hand. Cleveland has been prone to turnovers throughout the season but as the team has played together more, they have cut down on them. I still worry about Kyrie Irving going up against Teague. Irving isn't exactly a turnover machine but he has been prone to them at times, just trying to make too much happen, and Teague is a quick defender with quick hands. Though, certainly Cleveland is the more athletic team, something they certainly will take advantage of. A popular belief is that the winner of Chicago/Cleveland will role to the NBA Finals, and Cleveland was great throughout that series. I don't think this series will be a sweep or not even close, I think the Hawks can seriously give Cleveland a challenge. They have the shooting if Kyle Korver comes ready to play and a lot of solid weapons, there is a reason they were the top seed in the Conference. But, they still lack the scoring punch and "killer's mentality" I think the Cavs have, something you need this deep in the Playoffs. This could be interesting, but Cleveland is my favorite to win the title right now, and the Hawks just don't have enough.
Cleveland in six

1 Golden State Warriors vs. 2 Houston Rockets
Things have changed quickly in the Western Conference Playoffs as well. Following a route of Houston that increased their series lead to 3-1, the Clippers appeared like the team to beat. But, in typical Los Angeles Clippers' fashion they choked miserably, becoming part of a rare elite in the NBA to lose the final three games of their series. While that derives us from a classic, California battle between the Warriors and Clippers, this current Western Conference Final could be just as interesting. It features the final two candidates in the MVP race, Stephen Curry and James Harden. While Curry ended up winning the award, Harden could get his own form of vengeance with a victory here. Harden might be the best scorer in the league today; he uses his large frame, good ball-handling and smarts to get to the line better than most. Whoever has to guard him will face a tough task and could be pushed into foul trouble early. But, Harden is definitely not the only weapon Houston possesses. Despite a year riddled with injuries, Dwight Howard has still had a wonderful Playoffs and he will be matched up against Andrew Bogut. Clearly a defensive-minded big man, Bogut has the size to certainly counter Howard and it will make for an intriguing matchup. The Rockets also possess a number of wing players that will contribute in Trevor Ariza, Corey Brewer and even Jason Terry. While Terry is a shell of his former self, he is still a great shooter and provides plenty of experience in big games. On the other side, the Warriors' offense is led by the "Splash Bros", Klay Thompson and Curry. When the two are hitting their shots, there is not a more dynamic offense in the NBA. Both have great handles, quick releases and can extend over the top of defenders. But, like anyone they are prone to struggles and in the earlier part of the Memphis series both struggled to hit shots. Andre Igoudala and Draymond Green provide much needed scoring on the wings, though Green's main role this series will be defensively. A snub for Defensive Player of the Year, Green is a strong, gritty defender who might possibly see minutes against Harden. Green is also a strong rebounder, important because the Warriors are certainly not the biggest team in the NBA and they will already have to contend with Howard and hard-working Terrence Jones underneath. While the Rockets don't have their own "Splash Bros" this was still a team that had an injured Howard and no Chandler Parsons and still improved to earn a 2 seed. While the Warriors certainly could be flaming hot this series, they are too inconsistent for my taste and still inexperienced. They don't have a clear cut defender that could shut down Harden and/or Howard and at some-point I think an offense predicated around three-pointers with a rookie head coach is going to catch up with them. Even so, this series is sure to be evenly matched, and still could come down to the wire, the Warriors do have an MVP after all.
Houston in seven

Monday, May 11, 2015

College Football Preview 2015-2016: 25. Miami Hurricanes

Brad Kaaya
25. Miami (Florida) Hurricanes

2014-2015 Record: 6-7 (3-5 ACC)
Coach: Al Golden, 5th year (28-22 overall)
Schedule
Roster
Recruiting Rundown
Key Losses: LB Denzel Perryman, RB Duke Johnson
Heisman Hopeful: Brad Kaaya
Breakout Player: DL Chad Thomas

The first year of the post-Stephen Morris era in Coral Gables was a very rocky campaign. Although true freshman quarterback Brad Kaaya did a wonderful job filling the massive shoes of Morris, the immense talent on the Hurricanes' roster just didn't put it all together. The 'Canes would finish 6-7, with an Independence Bowl loss to South Carolina, culminating it all. They did give Florida State quite the challenge and did have some good moments, but overall it only further warmed Al Golden's hot seat. The Hurricanes will once more have a number of NFL defections (including stud linebacker Denzel Perryman, tackle Ereck Flowers and back Duke Johnson), but the talent is still certainly there to make a run in the weak ACC Coastal. With Kaaya a dark horse Heisman threat, a superstar developing at receiver, and last year's great recruiting class ready to jump into starting roles, the 'Canes could be a major surprise in the ACC this season.

Backfield: Miami seemed destined for disaster after the graduation of Morris at quarterback. His likely replacement, Ryan Williams tore his ACL in the spring and that left true freshman Brad Kaaya as the lone option. But, Kaaya was absolutely wonderful in his first season in Coral Gables. Kaaya started all 13 of the Hurricanes' games and threw for 3,198 yards and 26 touchdowns. Even though he threw 12 interceptions and completed a relatively low 58.5 percent of his passes, considering it was his first season against pretty stiff ACC, it was a great start to his career. Kaaya doesn't have the biggest arm in the world and he will continue to work on his deep balls but his feel for the game and composure inside the pocket are truly amazing. Kaaya also is a pretty good runner and will give teams real troubles with his dual threat ability. Although there are still going to be growing pains for the sophomore in 2015, he certainly has the talent to have an even bigger encore. The loss of Randy "Duke" Johnson certainly stings, when healthy the former major recruit was dominant. His loss may put some pressure on Kaaya and the passing game, but one of last year's big time recruits, Joseph Yearby is ready to step up in a big way. The sophomore, straight out of Miami Central High, was solid as a backup, rushing for 509 yards, while averaging nearly six yards per carry. While there is certainly a question whether he has the durability (5'9", 195 pounds), Yearby certainly has the raw talent to fill the major void left by Johnson. Expect true freshman Mark Walton also to get plenty of opportunities as while. Walton isn't very powerful either but he has good burst is also a good receiver out of the backfield. Junior Gus Edwards will also be expected to step up and will most likely be the ball-carrier to get the ball in short yardage situations.

Stacy Coley
Receiver: Gone is stud receiver Phillip Dorsett is off to the NFL along with wonderful tight end Clive Walford, but the Hurricanes still have a number of weapons for Kaaya to throw to. Junior Stacy Coley has already established himself as one of the nation's best returners, but he is still looking to grow as a receiver. Coley is an absolute speedster and there are few defensive backs in the nation and in the ACC that can cover his explosiveness. But, he isn't a great route runner and he doesn't have developed receiving hands yet, but that could still come. Coley doesn't have to be a wonderful receiver but if he could grow into a more natural No. 1 receiver, that would certainly add some bite to the offense. Also back is senior receiver Herb Waters, who was solid throughout the 2014-2015 campaign, despite recording lower numbers than he did in '13. Waters isn't the fastest player on the field, but he has better hands than Coley and is also a better route runner. When he catches the ball, he is somewhat elusive and strong. Waters likely won't put up crazy numbers, but he is a veteran with reliability and Kaaya should certainly lean on him. The Hurricanes will also be banking on sophomore Braxton Berrios to step up. Berrios was very good as a true freshman a year ago, bringing in 21 receptions for 232 yards and three touchdowns. Although he is very small, Berrios is quick and shifty and could play a Wes Welker-like role this year in 2015, just simply moving the chains, a role that Walford played a year ago. The tight end position is certainly a question mark, following the graduation of Walford. Despite the fact Miami has had many great tight ends in their system over the years (Jimmy Graham, Jeremy Shockey, Kellen Winslow), Walford was statistically the most productive 'Canes tight end ever. Al Golden and offensive coordinator James Coley will rely heavily on the incoming services of junior college transfer Jerome Washington. The 6'5" massive target is the top-ranked JUCO tight end in the 2015 class, and is an established pass-catcher, though blocking needs work. He will be very dependable in the red zone, and will certainly get a lot of snaps moving forward.

Saturday, May 2, 2015

2016 NFL Draft Big Board

Christian Hackenberg
The 2015 Draft process has been one full of storylines, crazy drops and quickly rising prospects, and some intriguing prospects who were involved with the risk of off-the-field concerns. But, it is reaching it's inevitable end. And, while the 2015 college football is still months away, it is never too early to think about which prospects could be picked up near the top of the 2016 Draft. Here are ten that are certain to top many team's draft boards when it is all said and done:

1. Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State -- Bosa was absolutely dominant in his sophomore season for Ohio State in 2014, and he will most likely enter 2015 as the top prospect on many team's boards. The defensive end has great quickness to the ball, the power and size to be a truly dominant pass rusher and can be a major help in run support.
2. Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss -- One of the big names of the important class for Ole Miss in the 2013 recruiting cycle, Tunsil is now eligible, and he will be the top offensive linemen prospect entering 2015-2016. Although durability questions have arose, following an injury in the Peach Bowl loss to TCU, Tunsil has NFL size, great footwork and a superb work ethic.
3. Christian Hackenberg, QB, Penn State -- If Hackenberg would have entered the 2015 NFL Draft, there is a good chance he would have been a first-rounder. Fortunately for Penn State, the junior was not eligible for this past draft. Hackenberg slumped heavily towards the end of his sophomore campaign, but he has the size, arm strength and system to be a great NFL quarterback.
4. Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss -- The No. 1 prospect in the 2013 recruiting trail, where he joined Tunsil in Oxford, Nkemdiche has been solid in his first two years with the Rebels. Nkemdiche is a superb athlete with the excellent versatility to play a number of different roles in the front seven. He will certainly give a team a fantastic pass rusher with a higher ceiling than Bosa or many other in the 2016 Draft process.
5. Vernon Hargreaves, CB, Florida -- The defensive back class in 2015 was the weakest it has been in a long time, but the 2016 class is stocked with talent, starting with Florida product Hargreaves. The cornerback has a great NFL frame and is an absolute ball hawk.
6. Cardale Jones, QB, Ohio State --After a wonderful three game stretch that helped lead Ohio State to a National Title, Jones greatly considered going pro. But, he was still very raw and decided to stay at least one more year in Columbus. Jones has an absolute rocket of an arm and can make great plays with his legs, and he appears to the leader in Ohio State's stacked quarterback competition.
7. Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State -- Ramsey was a Day One starter at Florida State at cornerback (the first since Deion Sanders), and he was spectacular throughout 2014. The versatile defensive back has the coverage abilities of a corner, but the aggressiveness and amazing range of a safety. Wherever he lines up, Ramsey will find a way to impact the game.
8. Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss -- Yet another member of Ole Miss' 2013 recruiting class, Treadwell has been one of the SEC's top receivers in his two seasons inside the conference. The junior has NFL size, soft hands and absolute crazy explosiveness. His scary leg injury in last year's loss to Auburn was worrying, but he should be ready to go for a big chunk of 2015 and should put together a big year.
9. A'Shawn Robinson, DL, Alabama -- Despite his over 330 pound body, Robinson has shown amazing versatility and solid athleticism in his short time in Tuscaloosca. The junior can play inside at tackle or on the perimeter, being a factor as a defensive end. He should be absolutely dominant in what will likely be his final season with the Tide, who obviously churn out NFL studs every single year.
10. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State -- Even with how stacked this next year's Ohio State team should be, "Zeke" Elliott may be the top player on the Buckeyes, and will begin the year near the top on many Heisman lists. Elliott has great burst and speed, but has also shown pretty good power and the ability to make plays as a receiver out of the backfield.

Other Players to Watch
Leonard Floyd, DE/LB, Georgia
Connor Cook, QB, Michigan State
Shilique Calhoun, DE/LB, Michigan State
Spencer Drango, OT, Baylor
Tyler Boyd, WR, Pittsburgh
Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
Shawn Oakman, DE, Baylor
Scooby Wright, LB, Arizona
Vadal Alexander, OL, LSU

Saturday, April 25, 2015

NFL Mock Draft 2015: Edition 6 (Final Edition)

Marcus Mariota, to Tennessee
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jameis Winston, QB
Although Ron Jaworski and ESPN desperately tried to stir up some controversy this past week by saying that Tampa had interest in Marcus Mariota here, this pick is a near lock. Winston has been often criticized but he is at least ready for the rigors of the NFL on the field and seems to be a good fit in Tampa Bay and Lovie Smith's system.
Previous Selection: Jameis Winston, QB
Other Possibility: Marcus Mariota, QB
2. Tennessee Titans Marcus Mariota, QB
Reports are swirling the Titans may try to trade away this pick (San Diego has been in serious talk), but if Tennessee keeps it they should take Mariota. While the organization still somehow has serious allegiance to last year's sixth-rounder Zach Mettenberger, they have to realize prospects like Mariota aren't available very often and they need to strike here when they have the chance.
Previous Selection: Leonard Williams, DL
Other Possibility: Leonard Williams, DL
3. Jacksonville Jaguars Dante Fowler, DE/LB
Suddenly, the Jaguars are put in quite the predicament here. Leonard Williams is possibly the best prospect in the draft but the team has a more pressing need with an edge rusher. While the team will certainly give Williams a long look, they should go Fowler here. The Jags haven't had a franchise pass rusher for a long time, and Fowler has all the physical gifts to turn into a dominant one on the edge.
Previous Selection: Dante Fowler, DE/LB
Other Possibility: Leonard Williams, DL
4. Oakland Raiders Leonard Williams, DL
After completely whiffing on any chance at Ndamukong Suh, the Raiders have another chance to get a dominant defensive linemen, if Williams drops. Williams would give Oakland a versatile, athletic pass rusher who can be a major help in run support for years to come. Combining him and quickly rising Khalil Mack would give the Raiders a front seven others will come to fear.
Previous Selection: Kevin White, WR
Other Possibility: Amari Cooper, WR
5. Washington Redskins Vic Beasley, DE/LB
The Redskins lost Brian Orakpo in free agency, and they needed another pass rusher even before that. While they would love Fowler to drop to them (which is a real possibility if Jacksonville drafts Williams), Beasley is shooting up draft boards at the right time. The former Clemson product is a proven sack machine and would fit in well in Washington.
Previous Selection: Vic Beasley, DE/LB
Other Possibility: Danny Shelton, DT
6. New York Jets Shane Ray, DE/LB
The Jets are also in a weird position here. They would love either Mariota or Winston, but unless they trade up, there is a slim chance they get either. The addition of Brandon Marshall makes a receiver here doubtful, but Fowler and Beasley, the top two pass rushers are off the board. That may force the Jets to reach on Missouri product Shane Ray. Ray was disappointing at his pro day and his slipped out of the Top 10 in many people's eyes but the Jets need a pass rusher and Ray is the best left.
Previous Selection: Marcus Mariota, QB
Other Possibility: Amari Cooper, WR
7. Chicago Bears Amari Cooper, WR
If Jay Cutler is still considered the guy in Chicago, they are going to need to surround him with some more help after dealing away Brandon Marshall. Luckily for the Bears, they have a chance at either Cooper or Kevin White. While White may have the more upside, Cooper is more natural of a No. 1 and is likely more ready to contribute from the beginning.
Previous Selection: Amari Cooper, WR
Other Possibility: Kevin White, WR
8. Atlanta Falcons Bud Dupree, DE
Dupree has shot up and down and all over my mocks (had him at Indianapolis at 29 in my Edition 5), but Atlanta really, really needs a pass rusher and other than maybe reaching on the questionable Randy Gregory, there aren't a lot of better solutions. Don't get me wrong, Dupree is a legit talent; the former Kentucky talent is a very athletic pass rusher with extreme versatility.
Previous Selection: Randy Gregory, DE/LB
Other Possibility: Randy Gregory, DE/LB
9. New York Giants Brandon Scherff, OL
While the Giants may certainly be intrigued by taking Kevin White here, they should stick with the smarter, safer pick and go with Scherff. Whether it is at tackle or most likely guard (at least for the Giants), Scherff is a high motor linemen who will be a solid pro for the future.
Previous Selection: Brandon Scherff, OL
Other Possibility: Kevin White, WR
10. St. Louis Rams Kevin White, WR
They may need extra help on the O-Line, but the Rams also desperately need some more playmakers. Tavon Austin has been decent, but other than him, the offense is seriously lacking in excitement and explosiveness. If White slips, it will be tough for St. Louis to not take a chance on the stud receiver. He will give new Nick Foles a more natural deep threat receiver than Austin or anybody else the Rams have on their roster.
Previous Selection: La'El Collins, OT
Other Possibility: La'El Collins, OT
11. Minnesota Vikings Trae Waynes, CB
Mike Zimmer loves his cornerbacks; he used to stockpile them in Cincinnati when he was their defensive coordinator. But, other than steady Xavier Rhodes, he doesn't really have any other talented option at the position. That should change after Draft Day, as the Vikings must strike on the talented Waynes, a veteran with little weaknesses.
Previous Selection: Trae Waynes, CB
Other Possibility: DeVante Parker, WR
12. Cleveland Browns Danny Shelton, DT
The signings of Dwayne Bowe and Brian Hartline have at least solidified the wide receiver position for the short term (although don't be surprised if the Browns select DeVante Parker), so Cleveland should focus on their clear need on defense, where they cannot stop the run. Shelton is the best true nose tackle in this draft, so this pick isn't very difficult.
Previous Selection: Danny Shelton, DT
Other Possibility: DeVante Parker, WR
13. New Orleans Saints Randy Gregory, DE/LB
A failed drug test and rather pedestrian Pro Day showing have Gregory dropping like a stone in nearly every board, possibly past 20 (consensus Top 5 pick prior). But, the Saints absolutely need another pass rusher, as they did little to address the issue in free agency. With nearly every other edge rusher gone at this point, the Saints may have to take a risk on Gregory.
Previous Selection: Shane Ray, DE/LB
Other Possibility: Arik Armstead, DL
14. Miami Dolphins DeVante Parker, WR
As a whole, Miami has severe holes at a number of key positions offensively and they will look for either a running back or receiver here. The good news is that Parker will be available with White slipping a bit. Although questions have arose about his durability, Parker has all the tools to be a very reliable weapon for Ryan Tannehill.
Previous Selection: DeVante Parker, WR
Other Possibility: Melvin Gordon, RB
15. San Francisco 49ers Arik Armstead, DL
The Niners defense, once dominant in the first few years under Jim Harbaugh, is an absolute mess. The retirements of Patrick Willis and Chris Borland have left a hole at inside 'backer, while the cornerback position also has holes. Though, even more pressing is on the line where Justin Smith's career has come to a close, meaning San Fran will need a long term replacement.
Previous Selection: Dorial Green-Beckham, WR
Other Possibility: Jalen Collins, CB
16. Houston Texans Malcolm Brown, DT
While Texans fans are obviously hoping Jadeveon Clowney will return and be a dominant pass rusher someday, Houston will still look for extra insurance on the defensive line, especially in the middle. Brown is an athletic tackle with a high upside who should stay in the state, after playing collegiate ball at Texas.
Previous Selection: Malcolm Brown, DT
Other Possibility: Breshad Perriman, WR
17. San Diego Chargers Todd Gurley, RB
Even just a few days before the Draft, almost nobody knows where San Diego is going here. There are rumors they are trying to swing Phillip Rivers for the No. 2 pick or multiple combinations. But, whether they do deal away Rivers or not, they need more help at running back where inconsistent Branden Oliver is slated to start the year. Gurley's injury concerns are still present, but the Chargers should be willing to take the chance with his talent.
Previous Selection: Melvin Gordon, RB
Other Possibility: Andrus Peat, OT
18. Kansas City Chiefs Kevin Johnson, CB
While the Chiefs will be intrigued by a number of the playmakers still on the board, they have severe holes defensively, especially at cornerback. While Marcus Peters would be the most talented player left on the board, Johnson seems like he would fit in nicely with Kansas City. The Wake Forest product moves well and is a solid tackler.
Previous Selection: Andrus Peat, OT
Other Possibility: Dorial Green-Beckham, WR
19. Cleveland Browns La'El Collins, OL
Already fixing their needs on the defensive line, the Browns should focus on the other side of the trenches here. If Collins drops to 19, he would be an absolute steal here. The former LSU Tiger could come in right away and contribute at right tackle, either guard spot or be pushed as Joe Thomas replacement in the distant future.
Previous Selection: Arik Armstead, DL
Other Possibility: Eric Kendricks, LB
20. Philadelphia Eagles Jalen Collins, CB
The Eagles are also reportedly in play for Marcus Mariota and possibly trying to move up, but if they stay at 20, they should benefit from a number of options to fix their most pressing need: cornerback. Collins has the pure talent to be an absolute shutdown corner, the only issue for him will be experience and questions about his fit in Philly's defense.
Previous Selection: Jalen Collins, CB
Other Possibility: Jaelen Strong, WR
21. Cincinnati Bengals Andrus Peat, OT
Andy Dalton and the Bengals as an organization need to figure out how to win in the playoffs sometime. Perhaps adding some more weapons and protection would help, and Peat would certainly be ready to fill in and start at either tackle spot right away. A solid, strong prospect, Peat could be an anchor on Cincy's O-Line for a long time.
Previous Selection: T.J. Clemmings, OT
Other Possibility: Jordan Phillips, DT
22. Pittsburgh Steelers Landon Collins, S
Both Troy Polamalu and Ike Taylor have retired, leaving it clear that Pittsburgh needs an infusion of youth in their secondary. That could come in the form of Collins, who certainly has the talent to go way before 22. The Alabama prospect has great size and is a hard-hitter, and with how weak this year's safety class is, Pittsburgh can't wait later in this Draft to strike at this position.
Previous Selection: Landon Collins, S
Other Possibility: Eric Rowe, CB
23. Detroit Lions Melvin Gordon, RB
The Lions released Reggie Bush earlier this month, and while he has been solid over the past two years, Joique Bell is not an every down back. If Gordon does drop here, it is hard to imagine the Lions passing on the talented back. With a healthy Matt Stafford, Gordon and Calvin Johnson, Detroit will have an offense that will be among the NFL's most explosive.
Previous Selection: Eddie Goldman, DT
Other Possibility: Ereck Flowers, OT
24. Arizona Cardinals Eli Harold, DE/LB
If either Gurley or Gordon drops to 24, Arizona would certainly strike on one of them. But, most likely they won't and unless the Cardinals trade up they'll probably have to wait until later to strike for a back. Harold offers a ton of upside and will give Arizona another impact pass rusher off the edge, that will only improve the Cardinals' defense.
Previous Selection: Eric Kendricks, LB
Other Possibility: Eric Kendricks, LB
25. Carolina Panthers D.J. Humphries, OT
The availability of Jaelen Strong and Breshad Perriman could certainly intrigue the Panthers, but they should go with the smarter move and grab a tackle, and Humphries would be a strong pickup. The former Florida Gator has great size, solid athleticism and offers considerable upgrade for late in the first round.
Previous Selection: D.J. Humphries, OT
Other Possibility: Jaelen Strong, WR
26. Baltimore Ravens Breshad Perriman, WR
Perriman has been shooting up boards for a couple weeks now, and Mel Kiper has him as a Top 10 prospect. While I'm not that high on the Central Florida product, I do think the Ravens would love him here at 26. Like I've mentioned, Steve Smith isn't getting any younger and Torrey Smith is now playing in the Bay Area. Baltimore would be silly not to strike on either Perriman or Strong here.
Previous Selection: Jaelen Strong, WR
Other Possibility: Jaelen Strong, WR
27. Dallas Cowboys Marcus Peters, CB
Quite honestly, Peters has the talent to go in the Top 10 and even be the first cornerback taken. But, off-the-field problems and scheme fit could drop him all the way to the Cowboys. If that happens, Jerry Jones can feel confident that he is getting an uber-talented corner that can greatly improve Dallas' porous pass defense.
Previous Selection: Marcus Peters, CB
Other Possibility: Jordan Phillips, DT
28. Denver Broncos Ereck Flowers, OT
Peyton Manning could be in store for his final NFL season, and if the Broncos finally want to capture the Super Bowl that has eluded them under his command, they must give him some more protection. Flowers is still slightly raw but he certainly will add some depth to an aging unit and has the talent to burst into a starting role by the end of the season or by 2016.
Previous Selection: Maxx Williams, TE
Other Possibility: Cam Erving, OL
29. Indianapolis Colts Jordan Phillips, DT
The Colts really didn't have any gaping holes here, but they would do well to upgrade nose tackle, where 2014 incumbent Josh Chapman was average. Phillips is the best defensive tackle on the board here, and his impressive athleticism would give Indy a rotational linemen who could come in on more aggressive defensive packages, at least for the time being.
Previous Selection: Bud Dupree, DE
Other Possibility: Cam Erving, OL
30. Green Bay Packers Eric Kendricks, LB
Gone is longtime staple A.J. Hawk and Green Bay also moved on from their other inside linebacker, Brad Jones, this offseason. That makes things very clear that the Packers are moving on at the position and that they need it in the 2015 Draft. They would be very lucky if Kendricks drops all the way here, he has incredible instincts and is a sure tackler, and could very well go much higher.
Previous Selection: Jordan Phillips, DT
Other Possibility: Eddie Goldman, DT
31. New Orleans Saints Byron Jones, CB
Jones first really became a big name on Draft boards after a huge Combine showing and has only impressed as the Draft process has raged on. But, Jones isn't just a workout freak. Jones played a big time in UConn's defense for years and has great intelligence and a great head for the game. He would give New Orleans a corner to build around who will only grow.
Previous Selection: Ereck Flowers, OT
Other Possibility: Maxx Williams, TE
32. New England Patriots Eddie Goldman, DT
A long time beast in the heart of the Patriots' defense, Vince Wilfork is no longer a New England Patriot. While it is tough to move on, the Pats must, and selecting Goldman, who was solid at Florida State is certainly a strong start. Goldman has all the potential in the world and has great quickness for a player of his size.
Previous Selection: Alex Carter, CB
Other Possibility: Devin Smith, WR

Saturday, April 18, 2015

NBA Draft Scouting 2015: Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor
Few college basketball freshman in the history of a sport had as dominant of a season as Jahlil Okafor. The nation's No. 1 recruit, hailing from Whitney Young High School in Chicago, Okafor used his huge frame, massive hands and smooth finishing ability to help lead the Duke Blue Devils to a National Title. But, to nobody's surprise, Okafor made a move that many expected. The big man jumped ship to the NBA after one collegiate season and will quickly be hailed by many as the No. 1 prospect in this year's draft class. But, there are still a number of gaping holes in his game that suggest he should not be the first player taken in late June.

Offense: It really is simple: few players in collegiate basketball could guard a 6'10", 270 pounds and super strong. Okafor could easily get away with getting the ball on the block, making a quick drive to the hoop and finishing over defenders. He will not be able to do that in the NBA at all, and it will be interesting to see if he can adapt. Sure, he has other parts to his offensive game, definitely. Okafor has a quick spin to either hand that is very effective and can also make an impact on the offensive glass, as his massive frame easily allows him to get in great position for put back opportunities. His mid range isn't completely nonexistent, but it is a problem. He didn't need to take a 15-foot jumper in college at all; he could simply take it down low against a weaker defender and push them over. Okafor has massive hands and big arms, which makes it easy for him to outstretch for poor passes and become very strong with hook shots. He is not terrible going to his left offensively but it is clearly not a strength. Push him to the left, he'll try to spin right but he won't be strong enough or quick enough to do that at the next level. Free throw shooting is perhaps the biggest weakness in his entire game. It really is a problem; he is going to get fouled a lot underneath and he has to be able to finish when given the opportunities. Nobody wants a guy who can't put anything in at the end of games, and Okafor consistently missed at the line in some major moments all season long. He certainly can get better, but right now his free throw shooting is far below average, even for a big man. While a smooth operator around the rim, Okafor still has some huge weaknesses in his all around offensive game. Duke was able to simply set him up for easy buckets last year, that will not happen in the NBA. While he does have holes, it is also impossible to teach the size he has and the strength he has to finish around the rim, and he will only get bigger.

Defense: Jahlil really is a wacky defensive player. He is 6'10" and a relative okay shot blocker but you really can't label him as a rim protector, but he isn't quick enough to guard anywhere but the paint. That makes him an uncomfortable tweener, and history has shown tweeners just don't traditionally make it in the NBA. Although he isn't a natural rim protector, he is a pretty decent defender on ball in the post. He is clearly very strong and has a large wingspan and his mere presence can effect shots. He actually moves very well on the low block, and can halt a drive right in it's tracks. But, when you attack Okafor with a head of steam, he will too often foul, and if you can get him in foul trouble, you obviously take an important piece to the team out of the game. It might be a little bit of laziness or maybe fatigue considering he runs the floor pretty well but he will too often hack when someone is attacking him on a long drive. Okafor may never be athletic enough to guard a Frank Kaminsky-like big man, and those types of guys are becoming all too popular these days. Most big man are quicker than Okafor on the dribble and even if you can't get past him once, a quick pass and cut could be a quick bucket. While he does have strong arms and still has that size, Okafor's defense is a concern. Can he grow into a more effective rim protector? Certainly, but he just isn't naturally one yet, but then again, not everyone is Anthony Davis. He has to become a little bit more athletic, although that isn't a major problem. You can't easily get past him on the block but if you can get some space when he is tired and use a pump fake or draw contact, he will usually bite and foul. He has to learn to be patient and smart when near the hoop, or else he will be picking up foul left and right.

Where he Should/Will go: Okafor does have some holes on some important aspects of his game, but he will grow into a much better player. He should improve at the line and possibly improve overall defensively, and perhaps even develop a mid range game without a little more finesse other than just brute power. But, like I said, you can't teach Okafor's size or polish around the hoop and that alone makes him a surefire Top 5 pick. He is just 19 years old, but Okafor already has the general tools to be a dominant big man in the NBA. He certainly could go No. 1 overall, especially if the Knicks land the top pick, considering they are in love with him, but more than likely if it is any other team he will slide to the second or third selection.

Tuesday, April 7, 2015

College Basketball 2015-2016 Sneak Peek

Justin Jackson
What a season. Although it appeared Kentucky was going to run through the tournament with reckless abandonment like they had done for much of the year, they ran into a brick wall offensively against Wisconsin, who ran into the same offensive struggles in the late moments of their National Championship loss to Duke. So in the end, the Blue Devils came out with their fifth championship behind the play of four fabulous freshman, Jahlil Okafor, Tyus Jones, Justise Winslow and Grayson Allen. While the dog days of summer are fast approaching, college basketball is never in need for storylines. Between transfers, players leaving for the NBA, coaching vacancies and much more, the offseason is sure to be exciting and will set up a very intriguing 2015-2016 season.

The Top Five

1. North Carolina Tar Heels
While Duke is still celebrating their national title, it could be their interstate rival's time to shine next season. The Tar Heels return essentially everything, including All-American caliber guard Marcus Paige, to a team that was nearly an Elite Eight squad this past season. Brice Johnson has already announced he will return for his senior season and he could form a scary combo up front with Kennedy Meeks. Though, perhaps the two players in line for a huge breakout will be sophomores Justin Jackson and Theo Pinson, both who are sure to stay. Jackson was North Carolina's best offensive weapon at the end of the year, and Pinson has an exciting mix of size and athleticism. While the ACC will certainly not be a breeze, it's about time Roy Williams leads a UNC team back into the Final Four and possibly beyond.
2. Kentucky Wildcats
Only at Kentucky, could a team possibly lose up to seven players to the draft and still be considered a legit title threat but those are the expectations in Lexington these days. Willie Cauley-Stein, Trey Lyles and Karl Anthony-Towns are locks to go pro with the Harrison twins most likely joining. And, Dakari Johnson, Marcus Lee and Devin Booker all could join as well, although they would most likely be second-round picks. Even with that uncertainty, Calipari does at least return two steady veterans in guard Tyler Ulis and forward Alex Poythress, who missed essentially the whole year with an injury. Add to that a recruiting class that includes the usual fair share of studs (Skal Labissiere is considered the top player coming in this year), the Wildcats will certainly be in the mix even with a ton of potential losses to the pros.
3. Virginia Cavaliers
It must have been frustrating for Tony Bennett and Cavs fans alike. Despite being the most consistently strong team in the ACC, Virginia wasn't playing well at the right time and stud wing Justin Anderson was never again fully healthy, amounting to a deflating third round loss to Michigan State. But, Virginia will have a ton back for 2015-2016, including their floor general London Perrantes, effective wing Malcolm Brogdon and big man Mike Tobey. Add to that Anderson, who does have suitors on the next level, but could be motivated to return to Charlottesville after the end to last year. Much like North Carolina, a brutal ACC won't make anything easy but the Cavs have the defense, leadership and experience to be much better this year.
4. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Mark Few and the 'Zags were painfully close to making their first Final Four together but ran into a better team in Duke. Though, the good news is that Spokane will once more will be loaded with talent, and that elusive Final Four could become reality in 2015-2016. Kentucky transfer Kyle Wiltjer was superb as a junior but isn't much of an NBA prospect, meaning he should stay. Joining massive Przemek Karnowski and sophomore Damontas Sabonis up front, Gonzaga could have the nation's best frontcourt. The loss of four-year contributor Kevin Pangos will hurt, but Josh Perkins, who missed most of 2014-2015, can step up big time for the Bulldogs.
5. Maryland Terrapins
After three unexciting years at Maryland, Mark Turgeron had his breakthrough in 2014-2015 in the Terps' first Big Ten season. The Terrapins were constantly neck-and-neck with Wisconsin all year inside the conference and even beat the Badgers once and earned a four seed before losing in the third round. The thing is, what Maryland has back is downright scary and they could become the Big Ten's top dog in just their second year in it. Sophomore guard Melo Trimble is returning and could have a huge year, while stretch four Jake Layman is also slotted to come back to College Park. Add to that the improvement of guard Dion Wiley and five-star center Diamond Stone and this is a really good team. The adjustment period from a surprise contender to force could be a challenge, but Maryland is a legitimate Final Four threat in 2015-2016.

Four Others to Watch
Kansas Jayhawks: Picking against Kansas in the Big 12 would be dumb, no matter how much Iowa State and others have risen. The Jayhawks have not so quietly won 11 straight conference titles and return a solid core, including guards Frank Mason and most likely Wayne Selden. While the loss of Cliff Alexander after just one year (was really too raw to make an impact this year) hurt Kansas' frontcourt they are still obviously a lofty threat.
Villanova Wildcats: Jay Wright once more has top-notch talent in Philly, where the Wildcats will have four-year starter Ryan Arcidiacono back at point guard, along with quickly improving big man Daniel Ochefu and solid Josh Hart. Add to that the addition of Jalen Brunson, a five-star prospect in some scouting services, and the Wildcats will roll to a Big East title. The question for Wright and the program, can they actually do something in March this time?
Duke Blue Devils: Don't expect the defending champs to lie back and not attempt a repeat. While Okafor and Winslow are locks to go pro, with Quinn Cook graduating, Coach K still has superb talent. Tyus Jones could stay and even if he doesn't, Grayson Allen proved he deserved a much larger role. Rice transfer Sean Obi is sure to make an impact, while Duke once more brings in an impressive recruiting class.
Iowa State Cyclones: Although the Cyclones killed many people's brackets last year, they should be improved this next season. Big man Georges Niang has already announced he plans to come back and he could be the Wooden Award front runner. Jameel McKay is a great rim protector and athlete and could break out this next year, while the backcourt of Naz Long and Monte Morris is full of talent. Plus, Fred Hoiberg is nearly certain to add his usual fair share of transfers this summer.

Other Interesting Storylines:
Smart at Texas: Although he said no to Illinois, Minnesota and UCLA, Shaka Smart had to move on sometime. Texas is one of the better jobs in college basketball, as Austin is a great city and the recruiting potential is great there. Smart will most likely have stud junior Isaiah Taylor at his disposal, and it will be very interesting to see how his "Havoc" defense transitions to the Big 12 and Texas.
Ben Simmons and LSU: LSU isn't usually the destination of top talents, but Australian forward Ben Simmons decided to join the Tigers, immediately electrifying a program that was on the rise under Johnny Jones. While Jordan Mickey and Jarrell Martin could have formed a scary duo with Simmons, they are off to the NBA. Even so, seeing the amazing athleticism and vicious dunks of Simmons could make Baton Rouge basketball alive again.
Who is the favorite in the Pac-12?: Arizona could legitimately lose five starters this off season (T.J. McConnell is graduating, Stanley Johnson, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, Brandon Ashley going pro, Kaleb Tarczewski still considering). While Sean Miller is great, he won't even be able to completely recover from that. Oregon will also take major steps back without Joseph Young, perhaps leaving Utah as the team with the least flaws, although they will be without Delon Wright.
New Faces in the SEC: SEC basketball has been oft-criticized the past few years for it's lackluster performances and little competition to it's impressive football situation. But, the fresh waves of new coaches should rejuvenate the conference. While Alabama was unable to land Gregg Marshall, they still managed to reel in Avery Johnson, while Tennessee hired Rick Barnes. Add to that the continuation of the Bruce Pearl era at Auburn and Frank Martin and South Carolina finally in position to compete and it will be an interesting year in hoops in the Southeast.

Thursday, April 2, 2015

2015 NCAA Tournament Final Four Picks

Josh Gasser
1 Kentucky Wildcats vs. 1 Wisconsin Badgers

A year later, we are back to a very similar Final Four, though with quite a few different storylines. A year ago, the Kentucky Wildcats continued their reckless run through the NCAA Tournament, taking down the second-seeded Wisconsin Badgers in a thriller, that included another huge three by Aaron Harrison and plenty of epic moments. This year, the two once more meet in the Final Four but instead of an eight seed who was just playing well at the right time, Kentucky is undefeated; a flawless 38-0, despite getting all they could handle in their Elite Eight duel with Notre Dame. The Badgers, meanwhile, are also a 1 seed and are motivated from last year's loss. Junior forward Sam Dekker, whose great play during the tourney has helped guide the Badgers to the Final Four, has an image of Kentucky celebrating their victory in last year's Final Four as his "header" on Twitter. The two will now prepare for a huge Final Four clash, one that is as evenly matched as they come, and one that should be a game for the ages.

Kentucky is big and they are talented, it's not really a secret. The Wildcats' frontcourt consists of seven-footers such as block machine Willie Cauley-Stein and budding Karl Anthony-Towns (25 points against Notre Dame), along with big, bulky Dakari Johnson along with Marcus Lee and Trey Lyles. Even their backcourt has good size; the Harrison twins, who have been great during this tournament are 6'5" and get to the rim and finish through contact. True freshman Devin Booker has been the real deal all season; the sharpshooter can knock down a contested three one second and than put someone on a poster the next. And, while he isn't the biggest player on the court, steady point guard Tyler Ulis is a quick, deceptive ball handler who has played great in Kentucky's big games all seasons. In all, Kentucky has nine McDonald's All-Americans on their roster, probably a reason why the Wildcats are sitting at 38-0. Scoring against Kentucky is so tricky; if Cauley-Stein or one of the other big men aren't swatting shot after shot, the Harrisons are making plays and creating transition opportunities. The Wildcats feast on teams without good ball-handlers, they make a living off creating turnovers and finishing with easy buckets. By all statistical standards, they are the best college basketball team in the history of the sport, they are the only team ever to go 38-0 on a year and have beaten down any obstacle that stands in their path.

So, how can a team like Wisconsin, a not very athletic team that has zero McDonald's All-Americans have any shot at taking down the 'Cats? By playing a much different brand of basketball, one this particular Kentucky team has not seen all year. Bo Ryan's teams are always great passers, never turn the ball over and are always very versatile. That great passing is huge against Kentucky. If you don't turn the ball over you don't feed their top offense; getting easy buckets off turnovers. And, Wisconsin's great, quick passing won't allow Kentucky to rotate easily and they won't get as many opportunities to block shots or get easy steals. Wisconsin isn't quite as big as Kentucky but they aren't small either. Frank Kaminsky isn't the strongest center but he moves very well and is quick enough that he can get good looks at the rim. Sam Dekker is 6'9" and can be either a small forward or power forward. He spaces the floor extremely well but also can make plays on the glass and will be sure to be a factor after huge performances against Arizona, North Carolina and Oregon. Nigel Hayes also has great size and has really improved from midrange and downtown, while steady veteran Duje Dukan is a good rebounder and solid defender. Sophomore point guard Bronson Koenig has taken over for vet Traevon Jackson and has led the Badgers' offense in impressive fashion. Along with hard-working, gritty Josh Gasser, Wisconsin also has a superb defending backcourt and they could shut down the Harrisons and Ulis.

Kentucky is 38-0 but they are certainly not invincible. They got all they could handle from Notre Dame last week, and relatively average SEC teams LSU, Texas A&M, Ole Miss and Georgia all gave them serious troubles. Even though, Kentucky has got all they could handle from those teams they still managed to finish the game. They have players who can hit big shots (Aaron Harrison), astounding size and amazing athleticism. But, Wisconsin has all the tools they need to pull of an "upset" even though this is a battle of No. 1 seeds. Kentucky has never faced a team with such great ball-handlers, great passing and amazing versatility. The Wildcats also don't have the defenders that can guard big men who can shoot on the perimeter and can consistently defend Kaminsky, Hayes and Dekker. Kentucky is amazingly talented but they may face a Wisconsin team that is just better prepared. Either way, this game will go down to the wire and just like last year, could come right down to the wire.
Wisconsin, 72 Kentucky, 70

1 Duke vs. 7 Michigan State

Branden Dawson
The other Final Four battle in this year's NCAA Tournament is also a rematch. Earlier this year, the two squared off in a Champions Classic clash, in which Duke really dominated the Spartans for much of the game. That Michigan State squad was still reeling from the losses of superstars like Gary Harris, Adreian Payne and Keith Appling, and they were little match for the ultra-talented Blue Devils. But, they have clearly improved since then, as evidenced by their superb run during this year's tourney, which included victories over Virginia, Oklahoma and Louisville. Senior guard Travis Trice has always been a great shooter but he has turned into so much more during this Tournament. He is much more aggressive than ever before but he also plays smart. He is quick with the ball in his hands, but also moves well enough that he can get open for three. The Spartans also have other strong offensive weapons, such as another experienced guard in Denzel Valentin along with veteran forward Branden Dawson. The Spartans' big men have also stepped up big time this postseason, solid Matt Costello is a good defender and is polished around the rim, while quietly improving Gavin Schilling is a hard-worker and finishes around the rim very well also.

Other than Kentucky, there isn't a more talented team in the nation than the Duke Blue Devils. Freshman center Jahlil Okafor has been the real deal this year. While he isn't as versatile of a scorer as other big men, he is strong on the low block and can score in a variety of different ways. Wing Justise Winslow has had a wonderful tournament and seems to get better every single game. Winslow, also a true freshman, is a wonderful athlete who dominates in transition and has really improved as a shooter. Then there is the Blue Devils' talented backcourt, which includes Minnesota product Tyus Jones along with steady senior Quinn Cook. Both are talented shooters, who should space the Michigan State defense and open up great opportunities underneath for Okafor. While the Spartans do have great size underneath they don't have anyone that can counter Okafor on the low block. If he gets position, he can score every time with one quick post move. If he takes over this game, no matter what Trice or any other Spartan does, Michigan State is going to have a very, very tough time.

Following their Elite Eight victory over Louisville, Tom Izzo affectionately called this year's Michigan State team, the "Team of Destiny". It does make sense, much like Connecticut last year they were a seven seed in the East Region and have used a senior point guard to make pretty miraculous tournament run. But, do they have the defensive answers to stop Okafor, Winslow and the sharpshooting abilities of both Jones and Cook, who are also great in close games? Trice will need to put up insane numbers and hit some big shots. Valentin and Dawson will also have to step up big time and also help contribute in defending Winslow, who is so tough to stop  because of his crazy versatility. While the Spartans have had some superb victories, they might have just met their match with Duke. Though, if Michigan State can limit fast break opportunities and contain Okafor underneath, they do have a shot at pushing themselves to their first National Championship appearance since back in 2009-2010.
Duke, 67 Michigan State, 58