Tuesday, November 7, 2017

College Basketball Preview 2017-2018

Rawle Alkins, Arizona
Preseason Top 25

1. Arizona Wildcats
CONFERENCE RANK: 1
KEY RETURNEE: F Allonzo Trier
KEY NEWCOMER: F/C DeAndre Ayton
While fellow Pac-12 rivals Oregon and UCLA suffered major losses this off-season, Arizona returned the bulk of their lineup from the No. 2 seed and Sweet 16 participant. That includes wing Allonzo Trier, one of the best pure scorers in the country. Trier was limited to just 18 games last year as a result of an early suspension, but came back and put up 17.2 PPG over the season's second half. He will be joined on the wing by Rawle Alkins, who flirted with the idea of the NBA, but returns after a strong freshman year. Also returning are veterans Parker Jackson-Cartwright, a methodical, smart point guard, along with Serbian seven-footer Dusan Rustic at center. That veteran core is good enough to compete in the Pac-12 alone, but the addition of five-star big man DeAndre Ayton makes 'Zona even scarier. Ayton is 7'1" with tremendous length but moves incredibly well for size. It will obviously take time for him to adjust to the physicality of the collegiate game, but he has all the tools to be an absolute star and eventual high NBA Draft selection. The Wildcats overall have the talent, experience and depth to make their first Final Four under Sean Miller. The ongoing FBI investigation surrounding the program could be a distraction but if this time can maintain their focus, they are on their way to something special.

2. Duke Blue Devils
CONFERENCE RANK: 1
KEY RETURNEE: G Grayson Allen
KEY NEWCOMER: F Marvin Bagley III
As usual, Duke was hit hard by early NBA losses this spring, as Jayson Tatum, Luke Kennard and Frank Jackson all decided to leave Durham before their eligibility was up. Also per typical Duke standards, they reloaded with fresh, new All-American talent. 6'3" guard Trevon Dural is expected to take over the PG duties, versatile forward Wendell Carter Jr. also arrives, as does fabulous shooting guard Gary Trent Jr. However, those additions pale in comparison to the arrival of forward Marvin Bagley III, considered the top player in the 2018 recruiting class before he opted to reclassify to 2017. Bagley III is a tremendous athlete and can guard multiple positions, which gives this Duke offense so many different options. That wonderful group of newcomers will join guard Grayson Allen and center Marques Bolden. Allen had a wild junior season in which he became well-known for all the wrong reasons, but there is no denying how talented the veteran is when he's playing well. Meanwhile, Bolden didn't see much action in his true freshman campaign in '16-'17 but he's a big, bulky weapon in the low post who could have a breakout season. Expect Duke to have some growing pains as they take some time to gel, but this team could very well be the most talented in the entire country. If Dural can fix their point guard woes, Allen can stay out of trouble and Bagley is as good as advertised, there is no reason why Coach K can't add another National Title to his legendary resume.

3. Michigan State Spartans
CONFERENCE RANK: 1
KEY RETURNEE: G/F Miles Bridges
KEY NEWCOMER: F Jaren Jackson Jr.
Michigan State was abnormally young a year ago, as a team composed of mainly freshman and sophomores finished off 20-15 overall and was bounced in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The good news is that all those youngsters are back and more experienced, particularly sophomore Miles Bridges, who is considered by many to the National Player of the Year favorite. Bridges is an absolutely dominant offensive force that can beat defenders in so many ways, and he would have surely been a lottery pick if he had chosen to go pro. Also back for their second years in East Lansing are big man Nick Ward, along with guards Cassius Winston and Joshua Langford. Ward quietly had a very good freshman campaign, putting up 13.9 PPG and 6.5 RPG in under 20 minutes of play. If he can grow a more effective mid range game, he could make the jump to be one of the premier big men in the Big Ten. Winston is a quick, athletic guard with major upside, while Langford also flashed potential. More good news for the Spartans: veteran forward Gavin Schilling, who missed all of last season, is fully healthy along with former UNLV transfer Ben Carter, who took a medical redshirt last year. The return of that pair, plus the addition of highly touted Indianapolis recruit Jaren Jackson Jr. gives MSU the clear-cut best frontcourt in the Big Ten. If Bridges can keep getting better and Michigan State can stay healthy, the Spartans will return to their first Final Four since 2015.

4. USC Trojans
CONFERENCE RANK: 2
KEY RETURNEE: F Bennie Boatwright
KEY NEWCOMER: G Derryck Thornton
It is amazing that just two years ago, former "Dunk City" head coach Andy Enfield looked on his way out in Los Angeles. The Trojans struggled mightily early under the leadership of Enfield, but things have changed quickly. This is now a team riding a wave of momentum, and one that could legitimately challenge for a National Title. Nearly everybody is back from this second round team, including two of the best big men in the Pac-12. Bennie Boatwright is a very mobile, well-rounded big man who led the team in scoring a year ago and should only get better. He is joined by junior Chimezie Metu, who is just scratching the surface of what he can be. Metu averaged 14.8 PPG and 7.8 boards per game in '16-'17, but has gotten even stronger and looks like he could be a legitimate superstar this year. Also back are quality guards Jordan McLaughlin and Elijah Stewart, both guys who can take over games at any time and know how to get the job done in the tough Pac-12. Add in the addition of Duke transfer Derryck Thornton, an intelligent guard with great upside, and USC can matchup with any team in the country. Blessed with tremendous experience and great depth, I firmly expect it to a special season for the Trojans.

5. Kansas Jayhawks
CONFERENCE RANK: 1
KEY RETURNEE: G Devonte Graham 
KEY NEWCOMER: G Malik Newman
Dominance doesn't even begin to describe Kansas in the Big 12 over the past decade. The Jayhawks have won 13 straight conference titles, and seem primed to add another one. While they must replace star point guard Frank Mason, Kansas' backcourt could actually be improved. Senior Devonte' Graham remains, and should take over Mason's spot as the leader of the offense. Graham isn't quite the floor general Mason was, but he's a more natural scorer and likely the Big 12 Player of the Year favorite. He will be aided by uber-athletic swingman Lagerald Vick (7.4 PPG last year) and senior Svi Mykhailiuk, a Ukrainian who was incredibly raw when he arrived on campus, but has evolved into a well-rounded offensive player. Arriving in Lawrence this season is Mississippi State transfer Malik Newman as well as former Arizona State guard Sam Cunliffe. Newman was a five-star recruit who surprised many when he choose Mississippi State, but he never really fit in there. There is a good chance he could quickly grow into one of the best pure scorers in the Big 12. Cunliffe doesn't come in with quite as much fanfare, but he is a former Top 50 recruit who will become eligible in December. As good as Kansas is in the backcourt, the frontcourt has some question marks. Sophomore center Udoka Azuikbe is expected to be the star, but he is still unproven, after missing most of last season due to injury. Sophomore Mitch Lightfoot is a rock-solid, intelligent forward and newcomer Billy Preston has a chance to be special but depth is a huge concern. In a league with as much talent as the Big 12, that could be an Achilles Heel for this team. Even so, Kansas is once more stocked to the brim with talent and it never pays to bet against them. Another Big 12 title is not just a possibility, but an expectation.

6. Kentucky Wildcats
CONFERENCE RANK: 1
KEY RETURNEE: F Wenyen Gabriel
KEY NEWCOMER: G/F Kevin Knox
 If not for last-second, insane jumper by Luke Maye, Kentucky would have made their fourth Final Four under John Calipari, and possibly, done even more. Unfortunately, it wasn't meant to be, and now the Wildcats must move on from the exciting De'Aaron Fox/Malik Monk/Bam Adebayo era. Calipari has once more reloaded with countless McDonald's All-Americans, a list that includes Kevin Knox, Jared Vanderbilt, Nick Richards and P.J. Washington. All four are immensely talented, but Knox jumps out. The wing was offered millions of dollars to play in China for a year, but decided to stick with the college route. He isn't a great shooter, but he is absolutely lethal on the dribble and already a good defender. Kentucky will also lean on some returnees, even though there are very little. Guard Hamidou Diallo enrolled late and took a redshirt year before flirting with the NBA. He didn't play a minute last season in Lexington, but his practice against guys like Fox and Monk should really help him. Sophomores Wenyen Gabriel, Sacha Killeya-Jones and Tai Wynyard will see big increases in minutes, and it will be interesting to see how they do. Gabriel is a great athlete who showed flashes of brilliance last year, while Jones and Wynyard have huge potential. There is the usual collection of stud talent in Lexington this season but there is even more youth than usual. If Knox and company can step up the 'Cats should still win the SEC. If not, they could open up the door for any number of rising programs in the improving conference.

7. Florida Gators
CONFERENCE RANK: 2
KEY RETURNEE: G KeVaughn Allen
KEY NEWCOMER: G Jalen Hudson
Few say Florida's Elite Eight run coming prior to last season, but it is clear the program is once more on the rise under head coach Mike White. White will have to replace some veteran leadership, as Kasey Hill and Devin Robinson depart, but there is still plenty back in Gainesville. Junior KeVaughn Allen evolved into the team's best offensive weapon on the team last season (14.0 PPG) and is automatic from the free throw line, while speedy Chris Chiozza is expected to take over Hill's point guard spot. Virginia Tech transfer Jalen Hudson comes in and will provide an instant scoring punch. Hudson still struggles with turnovers but he brings great energy and can get to the rim. In the frontcourt, Florida is hoping center John Egbunu can return to 100 percent and grow into an All-SEC player. Egbunu is a fine defender and terrific rebounder, but he is still growing offensively and recovering from a torn ACL that took him out for the second half of last season. Junior Kevarrius Hayes was pushed into a larger role and showed real progress, while lengthy Gorjok Gak could push for more playing time. If Egbunu does return to form and some of the younger pieces can grow, this can still be a team that controls the paint. Kentucky is probably the more talented team in the SEC, but the Gators have shown they can hang with anyone. Another tournament run is not out of the question, especially if the newcomers can come in and contribute.

8. Villanova Wildcats
Mikal Bridges, Villanova

CONFERENCE RANK: 1
KEY RETURNEE: G Jalen Brunson
KEY NEWCOMER: F/C Omari Spellman
After a miraculous National Title run in 2016, Villanova fell back to Earth this past March, as they were upset in the second round by Wisconsin. The loss stopped some of the momentum the program was building, but there is still no doubt the Wildcats are the class of a balanced Big East conference. Star guard Josh Hart will be tough to replace (18.7 PPG, 6.4 RPG) but junior point guard Jalen Brunson should take over the main leadership role. Brunson, a former five-star recruit, has played very well over his first two years on campus but has been more of a second and third option on the offense. Now that he is the undisputed PG on this team, expect a breakout campaign from the Illinois product. Brunson will be joined in the backcourt by a healthy Phil Booth, sophomore Donte DiVincenzo and swingman Mikal Bridges. Booth missed nearly all of last year but was a key contributor the year prior, so big things should be expected. DiVincenzo isn't a great offensive player, but he is a hard-worker and lockdown defender. Then there is Bridges, who will compete with Brunson for Big East Player of the Year awards. Bridges is an extremely versatile athlete who can shoot the three and get to the rim as well as anybody. His ability to defend multiple positions also gives Villanova much more options on the defensive end. The Wildcats are hopeful for a big year from newcomer Omari Spellman. Spellman was a big-time recruit a season ago, but was ruled ineligible by the NCAA and took a redshirt year. Now ready to go, the athletic big man could have a huge season. Jay Wright's team may undergo some adjustment period with the absences of some stud veterans like Hart, Kris Jenkins and Darryl Reynolds. But, Villanova has proven they can reload time and time again, and with Brunson, Bridges and Spellman, they have more than enough to once more rule the Big East.

9. Wichita State Shockers
CONFERENCE RANK: 1
KEY RETURNEE: G Landry Shamet
KEY NEWCOMER: G Samajae Haynes-Jones
Gregg Marshall has done a truly tremendous job building a perennial power in Wichita, Kansas, and now he is equipped with perhaps his best team since he arrived. The Shockers have nearly everybody back from a team that went 31-5 last season and pushed Kentucky to the brink in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The backcourt is particularly strong, with sophomore Landry Shamet, senior Conner Frankamp and Markus McDuffie all returning. Frankamp really runs the offense playing the point guard role and the Kansas transfer is the Shockers' premier shooter, hitting 44 percent last year. Shamet came in last year without much attention but grew into a great two-way player who should be even better as he goes on to his sophomore campaign. Meanwhile, McDuffie, who can play guard or forward, is probably the team's greatest offensive weapon. He isn't much of a shooter, but he is blessed with impressive quickness and athleticism for his size (6'8") and he has a fearless mentality on the offensive end. Wichita is also hopeful newcomer Samajae Haynes-Jones can give them a spark off the bench. Haynes-Jones arrives from nearby Hutchinson Community College and has a diverse offensive game. Up front, senior Shaquille Morris is the key returnee. Morris isn't very lengthy, but his strength and physical nature allow him to carve out space on the low block and have success (9.6 PPG last season). Seniors Rashard Kelly and Darral Willis Jr. are two other key players back. Like much of this team, they aren't necessarily the most talented, but bring plenty of experience and unselfish mentality. There will be an adjustment for Wichita State as they move from the Missouri Valley Conference to the significantly tougher American Athletic, but this team is well-rounded, experienced and very balanced. 30-plus victories and deep tournament run should not only be a possibility, but an expectation this season for the Shockers.

10. Louisville Cardinals
CONFERENCE RANK: 2
KEY RETURNEE: G Quentin Snider
KEY NEWCOMER: F/C Malik Williams
Prior to the crazy events of this off-season, Louisville likely would've had a very serious case to be the No. 1 team in the country and the class of the ACC entering 2017-2018. However, an FBI investigation that led to the eventual firing of Hall of Fame head coach Richard Pitino and the likely departure of Top 25 recruit Brian Bowen, who is not expected to be cleared to play this year. That leaves this program in somewhat of a bad state, but the talent on this roster should still be able to keep the Cards relevant. Senior point guard Quentin Snider should be back to guide the offense after taking major steps forward last year. Snider isn't the quickest or most athletic, but he is a savvy player who knows how to win in the ACC. On the wing, Louisville will have to replace lottery pick Donovan Mitchell, but returnees Deng Adel and V.J. King should have no troubles replicating his production. Adel, a junior from Australia, emerged as a terrific offensive weapon late in the year a season ago, while King, a former McDonald's All-American has all the tools to have a big year. In the frontcourt, Louisville will lean heavily on seven-footer Anas Mahmoud. Mahmoud emerged as one of the country's premier shot-blockers last season and if he can grow offensively, he could be quite the threat in the paint. Junior Raymond Spalding isn't the defender Mahmoud is but provides great energy at the power forward spot, while true freshman Malik Williams arrives as a potential playmaker. New head coach David Padgett should be able to keep this team together, especially with some veterans like Snider helping out. However, the fallout from the FBI investigation should still impact the team, and expecting a smooth season in Louisville might be too much to ask for.

11. Minnesota Gophers
CONFERENCE RANK: 2
KEY RETURNEE: G Nate Mason
KEY NEWCOMER: G Isaiah Washington

12. West Virgnia Mountaineers
CONFERENCE RANK: 2
KEY RETURNEE: G Jevon Carter
KEY NEWCOMER: F D'Angelo Hunter

13. Miami Hurricanes
CONFERENCE RANK: 3
KEY RETURNEE: G Bruce Brown
KEY NEWCOMER: G Lonnie Walker

14. St. Mary's Gaels
CONFERENCE RANK: 1
KEY RETURNEE: C Jock Landale
KEY NEWCOMER: G Cullen Neal

15. Cincinnati Bearcats
CONFERENCE RANK: 2
KEY RETURNEE: G/F Jacob Evans III
KEY NEWCOMER: F Mamodou Diarra

16. Purdue Boilermakers
CONFERENCE RANK: 3
KEY RETURNEE: F Vince Edwards
KEY NEWCOMER: G Sasha Stefanovic

17. Gonzaga Bulldogs
CONFERENCE RANK: 2
KEY RETURNEE: G Josh Perkins
KEY NEWCOMER: G Zach Norvell

18. North Carolina Tar Heels
CONFERENCE RANK: 4
KEY RETURNEE: G Joel Berry II
KEY NEWCOMER: G Cameron Johnson

19. Texas A&M Aggies
CONFERENCE RANK: 3
KEY RETURNEE: F Robert Williams 
KEY NEWCOMER: G Duane Wilson

20. TCU Horned Frogs
CONFERENCE RANK: 3
KEY RETURNEE: G/F Kenrich Williams
KEY NEWCOMER: F Ahmed Hamdy

21. Rhode Island Rams
CONFERENCE RANK: 1
KEY RETURNEE: G E.C. Matthews
KEY NEWCOMER: F Ryan Preston

22. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
CONFERENCE RANK: 5
KEY RETURNEE: F Bonzie Colson
KEY NEWCOMER: G/F D.J. Harvey

23. Xavier Musketeers
CONFERENCE RANK: 2
KEY RETURNEE: F Trevon Bluiett
KEY NEWCOMER: F Kerem Kanter

24. Michigan Wolverines
CONFERENCE RANK: 4
KEY RETURNEE: F/C Mo Wagner
KEY NEWCOMER: G Charles Matthews

25. Missouri Tigers
CONFERENCE RANK: 4
KEY RETURNEE: F Jordan Barnett
KEY NEWCOMER: F Michael Porter Jr. 

Player of the Year Watch

Miles Bridges, F, Michigan State
Even though Bridges was nearly guaranteed to be a lottery pick in the 2017 NBA Draft, he opted to stay in East Lansing and continue to grow. As a true frosh, Bridges showed astounding athleticism and a knack for finishing through contact, but must continue to cut down on turnovers and other mistakes. If he does that, there is no reason why the sophomore can't put together a special season, perhaps culminating in a National Title.

Devonte' Graham, G, Kansas
Last season, Kansas leaned on the play of a veteran guard (Frank Mason) to win the Big 12 and make an Elite Eight trip. With Mason now gone, expect that responsibility to fall to Graham, who has proven he can take over games when needed. The senior is a better shooter than Mason, and can attack the rim very well despite not being the biggest. The star player on a Kansas team that looks to win their 14th straight Big 12 title should be enough to keep Graham in the Wooden Award conversation.

Grayson Allen, G, Duke
It wasn't a great junior season for Grayson Allen a year ago, as the veteran guard became a national villain for his multiple tripping incidents and his numbers dropped nearly across the board. However, Allen hopes that he can put everything else behind him and finish his career in Durham on a high note. The veteran is as explosive with the ball in his hands as they come, and has improved his three-point shot over the off-season. Expect him to have the type of senior season many thought he would have earlier following a breakout performance in the 2015 National Championship Game.

Michael Porter Jr., F, Missouri
Prior to Lorenzo Romar's dismissal at Washington, Michael Porter Jr. was set to become a Husky and follow the footsteps of recent No. 1 pick Markelle Fultz. But, when Romar was let go Porter Jr. decided to head elsewhere, ending up at Missouri. For the Tigers, it was the biggest get the program has ever managed, as the nation's top recruit gives them immediate star power. With jaw-dropping athleticism and impressive versatility, Porter should put up huge numbers right away.

Collin Sexton, G, Alabama
Much like Porter, Collin Sexton surprised a lot of college basketball fans by deciding to go to a school not known for its basketball prowess, deciding to play for Avery Johnson at Alabama. Sexton is a special talent who should become a walking highlight reel as soon as he steps on the court in Tuscaloosca. Sexton is absolutely lethal on the dribble and plays above the rim. He isn't a great shooter, but his ability to score in so many different ways should mask some of his deficiencies. Just because he may play at an unorthodox school, don't overlook what the five-star recruit should be able to do in '17-'18.

Breakout Players to Watch

Udoka Azuikbe, C, Kansas
A former five-star recruit, Azuikbe was expected to be the low post presence Kansas was lacking entering last season. However, Azuikbe missed the entire second half of the year due to torn ligaments in his left wrist and never really got the opportunity to show what he can do. Now healthy, expect the sophomore to have a huge year. He has the strength, stamina and power to have a special season for Bill Self's Jayhawks.

De'Ron Davis, F/C, Indiana
Davis was another big-time recruit, but unlike Azuikbe, he didn't have to deal with injuries. Even so, the sophomore still had a turbulent first season in Bloomington, finishing with mediocre numbers of 5.9 PPG and 3.1 RPG. New head coach Archie Miller worked with Davis extensively over the summer to get him more in shape, and the big man dropped 30 pounds. Indiana fans are hopeful the fitter Davis can develop into the feared center many hoped he would be when he arrived in Bloomington.

Kyle Guy, G, Virginia 
It is a new day for Virginia, who said goodbye to long-time stars London Perrantes, Marial Shayok and Darius Thompson. The Cavaliers will most likely undergo a rebuilding season, but the losses also give opportunities to new pieces, such as Kyle Guy. Guy proved to be a knockdown shooter in roughly 19 minutes per game last season, knocking down 49.5 percent of his threes. It may be hard to keep those numbers up with more usage, but the sophomore has a smooth offensive game and understands how to defend in Tony Bennett's "Packline" defense.

Storylines to Watch

Looming FBI Investigation
This off-season, a number of big-time programs were hit by FBI investigation surrounding shoe companies and paying recruits. Louisville head coach Richard Pitino has already been fired, as have a number of assistants, namely Auburn's Chuck Person, Oklahoma State's Lamont Evans and Arizona's Emanuel Richardson. Expect the effects from this investigation to continue to be felt across the country, and more dominoes to fall.

Wichita State in the AAC
With Louisville leaving a few years ago and UConn (the conference's most recognizable program) the American Athletic Conference desperately needed some help. Enter Wichita State, one of the best mid-majors in college basketball over the past few years. The Shockers will likely immediately enter the conference as the favorite, and many view them as a serious Final Four threat. A successful season by the Shockers will certainly boost the AAC's credibility.

Same faces, new places
The coaching carousel once more went crazy this off-season, as a number of big-time head coaches took big-time jobs. The biggest was probably Archie Miller, who finally left his post at Dayton to take over and rebuild Indiana. Watching how Miller and his methodical offense play in the Big Ten will be interesting, as will other new head coaches this year. Mike Hopkins proves on from assistant at Syracuse to Washington, Chris Holtmann goes from Butler to Ohio State, and Brad Underwood goes from Oklahoma State to Illinois.

The rise of the SEC
For so long, SEC football has overshadowed SEC basketball. With the exception of Kentucky and occasionally Florida, the conference has quite frankly, been a joke when it came to hoops. That changed this past March when three SEC programs made it to the Elite Eight and one, South Carolina, made the jump to the Final Four. Now, the conference could be the best it has been in years, especially with some prime talent entering the league this season, namely Missouri's Michael Porter, Alabama's Colin Sexton and Kentucky's Kevin Knox.

Wednesday, November 1, 2017

College Football Picks 2017: Week Ten

Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
College Football Picks 2017: Week Ten
Current Record: 53-19

(8-0) 2 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. (6-2) 19 LSU Tigers
@Bryant-Denny Stadium (Tuscaloosca), 7 PM Saturday on CBS

Over the years, Alabama-LSU has emerged as one of the best games on the college football schedule, as the two square off annually in a game that usually decides the SEC West and features some astounding future NFL talent. However, the rivalry has become very one-sided, with Alabama winning the last six games. Now, the Tide enter this game at home with a chip on their shoulder, after the Playoff Selection Committee decided to rank them No. 2 in the country, pushing Georgia ahead of them. Alabama is winning games in their usual manner; using a dominant rushing attack and physical, smash-mouth defense, a formula that has proven to be obviously quite effective. Jalen Hurts is still growing as a passer, but his running ability and incredible poise should give LSU plenty of issues defensively. What will give the Tigers even more problems will be a backfield that includes Damien Harris, Najee Harris and Bo Scarbrough, as well as potent receiver Calvin Ridley on the outside. LSU defensive coordinator Dave Arranda has done a fine job this season and has plenty of talent at his disposal but facing 'Bama is quite the unique challenge. The Tide are so talented and well-rounded they can find so many ways to beat you, and they will be creative in how they choose to attack the Bayou Bengals. Any hope for an upset for LSU hinges on the passing game making a massive improvement in roughly a week. Veteran quarterback Danny Etling has had moments where he has looked pretty good, but overall, the aerial attack is still a major work in progress in Baton Rouge. There is a chance we see true freshman Myles Brennan or sophomore Justin McMillan, depending on what happens. Brennan has come in for relief for Etling, while McMillan is dangerous as a rusher. At running back, LSU has quite the stable of studs on their own end, namely powerful rusher Derris Guice. Guice hasn't been 100 percent for a big chunk of the season, but there is no denying how scary he can be when he is playing well. Unfortunately for LSU, this Tide team is proven at stopping the run. They have so much depth and playmakers up and down the defense moving the ball against them is a real chore. They will really need Etling to make some big throws to open up this ground game, which is a concern, considering he will have to throw against a Tide secondary that includes stars Minkah Fitzpatrick and Levi Wallace. This game has all the looks of a low-scoring, physical SEC duel. LSU has played a lot better since a concerning homecoming loss to Troy, but it doesn't look like this is going to be the team that ends the growing Alabama streak. I don't expect a blowout, but a comfortable win for the Tide here.

The Pick: Alabama, 20 LSU, 10

(7-1) 5 Oklahoma Sooners vs. (7-1) 11 Oklahoma State Cowboys
@Boone-Pickens Stadium (Stillwater), 3 PM Saturday on FS1

Few rivalries in college football are as intense as Bedlam, which seems to always include some plenty of craziness and excitement. Things could be even more intense this year, with so much on the line. Oklahoma has recovered from a loss to Iowa State to retake the crown as favorite in the conference and if they win out, they should be able to lock down a Playoff berth. On the other side, Oklahoma State lost to TCU but if they are able to win here, they will be able to get right back into serious Playoff contention and in turn, become the conference favorite. Both offenses know how to keep the scoreboard operators very busy, and a shootout is likely. For the Sooners, Baker Mayfield remains very much in the Heisman mix, and continues to play with a ton of swagger and confidence. Mayfield seems to play even better in the bigger games, and there is plenty of motivation, as he looks to beat the Cowboys for the third time since his arrival in Norman. Mayfield is aided by a trio of star running backs that includes Trey Sermon, Abdul Adams and Rodney Anderson, along with a terrific offensive line. It isn't unreasonable to think that Oklahoma will have a field day going up against State's defense, particularly with Ok. State struggling to defend the big play. On the other side, Oklahoma State has a star quarterback of their own in senior Mason Rudolph. Rudolph isn't quite the runner that Mayfield is, but his huge arm still gives defenses huge problems. Rudolph does a fantastic job spreading the ball to the Cowboys' playmakers on the outside, which includes Biletnikoff Award favorite James Washington Jr., Jalen McCleskey and Marcell Ateman. That, plus the dangerous running of back Justice Hill, gives Oklahoma State an offense that can score on nearly anybody. They will go up against an Oklahoma defense that is still struggling. They don't have a dearth of stars, as pass rusher Ogbonnia Okoronkwo and cornerback Jordan Thomas are two of the best defenders in the conference, but they have still struggled mightily at times. If they can force Rudolph to turn the ball over and not make mistakes on the other end, they'll be in a good spot. There is going to be plenty of points in this one, and the fact it is a rivalry game should only make things more competitive. The game may be in Stillwater, but the Sooners seem to be entering this one with slightly more momentum and Mayfield is a difference-maker. It will be a close one, but Oklahoma should be able to come away with the victory.

The Pick: Oklahoma, 45 Oklahoma State, 42

(7-0) 10 Miami Hurricanes vs. (7-1) 13 Virginia Tech Hokies
@Hard Rock Stadium (Miami), 7 PM Saturday on ABC

Despite the fact they have yet to beat an elite-level team, there is no denying how impressive of a year it has been for the Miami Hurricanes. A historically dominant program that has slowed since their arrival in the ACC, it has been a long return to relevance for the Hurricanes. Now, this team sits undefeated, and has a decent chance at a ACC Coastal crown if they can come out and overtake Virginia Tech. Miami has been predicated on a methodical and smart offense, with QB Malik Rosier leading the charge. Rosier doesn't wow you with his arm strength but he is a cerebral, effective signal-caller. He has had to step up even more with star running back Mark Walton banged up. Rosier has been helped by the impressive play of senior wide out Braxton Berrios, who is a threat to go deep every time he touches the ball. That offense will be in for a tough task against Bud Foster's Virginia Tech D, which always plays well, but Miami should still be able to put up points. The Hokies' offense has been a significant surprise. They've had to overcome the loss of star QB Jerod Evans, along with star wide outs Isaiah Ford and Bucky Hodges, but haven't missed a beat. Redshirt frosh Josh Jackson has been a breakout star at quarterback, and has been a major reason why Virginia Tech is 7-1. Cam Phillips is a major weapon on the outside, and the Hokies have proven they can run the ball. That should present an interesting challenge against a good, not great, Hurricanes' D. Miami has a ton of talent in the front seven, namely Michael Pinckney and Shaq Quartermann at linebacker, but their secondary still has some question marks. Dee Delaney, a grad transfer from The Citadel, will likely be tasked with shutting down Phillips, but beyond that, this Miami secondary could be in store for a tough time. Virginia Tech was never known as a dangerous passing team under Frank Beamer, but Justin Fuente has shown that he wants to get the ball down-field. Expect him to be very aggressive against this 'Canes team, especially with Jackson's huge arm. This is a huge ACC Coastal battle, and the winner not only could take hold of the division, but assert themselves as serious Playoff contenders. Miami may be undefeated, but they haven't looked the part for a big chunk of the year. Berrios and company give this offense some bite, but I have significantly more confidence in VT's defense than the Hurricanes. It should be quite a battle, but I like the Hokies to go on the road and come out with a big win.

The Pick: Virginia Tech, 31 Miami, 23

Other Picks
(#4) Clemson, 30 (#20) NC State, 20
(#21) Stanford, 28 (#25) Washington State, 24
(#1) Georgia, 38 South Carolina, 21
(#22) Arizona, 41 (#17) USC, 33
(#6) Ohio State, 27 Iowa, 23

Thursday, October 26, 2017

College Football Picks 2017: Week Nine

Marcus Allen, Penn State
College Football Picks 2017: Week Nine
Current Record: 48-16

(7-0) 2 Penn State Nittany Lions vs. (6-1) 6 Ohio State Buckeyes
@Ohio Stadium (Columbus), 2:30 PM Saturday on FOX

Last season, Ohio State looked well on their way to another Big Ten title and possibly a National Championship berth before they headed to Happy Valley and were stunned by Penn State. For the Nittany Lions, it was the wakeup call they needed, as James Franklin's squad has gone 13-1 over their last fourteen games, and now themselves looks well on their way to a second consecutive conference title. Much like last year, Penn State will be led by their explosive offense, headlined by Heisman frontrunner Saquon Barkley, who can hurt defenses in so many ways. The junior can kill opponents on the ground with his cutting ability and breakaway speed, in the passing attack as a receiver, and on special teams, where he is a return demon. Barkley will give Ohio State their stiffest challenge in a long time, and it will be interesting to see how the Buckeyes' front seven, known as one of the nation's best, will deal with him. The Nittany Lions will also bring dangerous quarterback Trace McSorley to the table, along with a number of big-play receivers. Ohio State's secondary has struggled against good passing offenses (see Indiana, Oklahoma) so expecting a high-scoring game wouldn't be surprising. On offense, the Buckeyes have looked very good since a slow start to the season, but it has been against less-than-stellar defenses. Veteran quarterback J.T. Barrett is a proven dual threat who has looked better this year, but he has struggled in big games throughout his career, and will face a very aggressive and ferocious PSU defense. Barrett will be joined by dangerous running backs J.K. Dobbins, who is lethal in the open field, and Mike Weber, who excels between the tackles. Both running backs should be able to produce, but the Nittany Lions' defense is very skilled against the run. Ball-hawking defensive back Marcus Allen is one of the best in the country at getting into opponents' backfields and causing chaos, and underrated linebacker Jason Cabinda is an All-Conference stopper. Those two should be able to mitigate Dobbins/Weber enough to put Penn State in position to come away with a victory. Talent-wise this game appears to be very even, particularly if Barrett can keep playing the way he has over the past few weeks. That makes the finer points of the game very critical, including special teams, coaching and turnovers. Momentum and motivation should also be a huge factor. Both teams are extremely hot right now, but Ohio State wants revenge for last season. That, plus the fact that they are playing at home, puts the Buckeyes in a good spot to come away with a huge win. However, Barkley is a truly game-changing running back and I'm not sure an inconsistent OSU defense can deal with him. If he can take over this one (like he does all season long for Penn State) the Nittany Lions should once again be able to come out on top in another exciting finish.

The Pick: Penn State, 38 Ohio State, 34

(6-1) 9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. (6-1) 14 NC State Wolfpack
Notre Dame Stadium (South Bend), 2:30 PM Saturday on NBC

Prior to this season, who could have predicted that this meeting between Notre Dame, who went 4-8 in 2016, and NC State, a mid-tier ACC team, would have such a big impact on the College Football Playoff chase. But, the 6-1 Irish have been one of the nation's biggest surprises and appear well on their way to a double-digit win campaign, while NC State has a chance to overcome Clemson in the ACC Atlantic. Notre Dame's offense is predicated on their fabulous ground attack, which is led by explosive back Josh Adams, who has put his name in the Heisman conversation after a dominant showing against USC. First-year starting quarterback Brandon Wimbush doesn't kill you with his arm, but he is a terrific runner that can really open things up for this offense. On the outside, possession wide out Equanimeous St. Brown is going to be able to give NC State's secondary plenty of issues. It will be interesting to see how successful ND's ground game will be going up against the Wolfpack D-Line, which has four senior starters and one of the country's top pass rushers in end Bradley Chubb. NC State offensively doesn't quite have the big-play threats that Notre Dame possesses, but they still find ways to move the ball. Former Boise State transfer Ryan Finley is rock-solid and keeps the offense humming, but he doesn't really scare you as a defense. Back Nyheim Hines and do-it-all offensive weapon Jaylen Samuels will help him out, but the Wolfpack are going up against a much-improved Notre Dame defense. The Irish are well-coached and have great gap discipline, which should help prevent big plays from NC State. Linebackers Te'von Cooney, Nyles Morgan and Greer Martini aren't the most hyped-up group of linebackers, but they are as good and as effective as anybody across the nation. While Penn State-Ohio State could turn into a shootout with how talented both of those offenses are, I would not be surprised to see this become a defensive battle. Both of these teams are well-rounded on both sides of the ball, and enter this game with significant momentum. I worry about Notre Dame running the ball against the Wolfpack's defensive front, but I don't have much confidence in NC State moving the ball against the flaming hot Irish defense. It should be a low-scoring battle, but at home, Notre Dame should be able to come out on top.

The Pick: Notre Dame, 24 NC State, 17

(7-0) 4 TCU Horned Frogs vs. (5-2) 25 Iowa State Cyclones
@Jack Trice Stadium (Ames), 2:30 PM Saturday on ABC

Few teams have surprised as much this season as Iowa State, who enters a pivotal Big 12 matchup with TCU 5-2 and 3-1 in the conference. The Cyclones have looked significantly improved on both sides of the ball, and are getting big-time production from converted quarterback Joel Lanning, who now plays linebacker. TCU comes to town as the favorite in the Big 12 sitting at 7-0 and fourth in the nation, but things could get interesting. Iowa State has a long history of upsets, particularly against conference foes with National Title hopes (see Oklahoma State 2011). For TCU to avoid the upset they will need QB Kenny Hill to play like he has all season. After struggling through a turnover-prone 2016 Hill has improved tremendously in his senior season. He has cut down on his interceptions a ton this season and is making better decisions. When paired with running back Darius Anderson and the ultra-versatile KaVontae Turpin, this Horned Frogs' offense can be very potent. Iowa State is much better on the defensive side of the ball, thanks in large part to Lanning's play in the middle and an aggressive secondary. However, the defense is still prone to the big play and has struggled to get consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks, which certainly does not bode well. The Cyclones' offense lost their starting quarterback, Georgia transfer Jacob Park, for the year a couple weeks ago but that has not slowed them down. Former walk-on Kyle Kempt engineered the big upset over Oklahoma, and has played with impressive poise and confidence. It also helps he has one of the conference's best receivers, veteran Allen Lazard, to throw to on the outside. TCU has long been a defensive-minded team under Gary Patterson, and that hasn't changed too much since their move to the Big 12. They may be slightly less stingy than they once were, but Patterson still does a marvelous job coaching up the defense and getting production from unlikely sources. This year's defense doesn't appear to be necessarily elite, but it could be the best in the conference. If the stout secondary can contain Lazard and make Kempt uncomfortable (something Oklahoma didn't do enough when they were upset), the Horned Frogs will be in a good spot. There is a ton of excitement about what Iowa State has done this season, and the fans should be out in full force for what could be a magical night in Ames. The Cyclones should be able to give TCU quite the game, but I don't see them pulling off the upset like they did against Oklahoma. TCU is a much more balanced team and if Hill plays well, they should stay undefeated.

The Pick: TCU, 35 Iowa State, 25

Other Picks
(#22) West Virginia, 37 (#11) Oklahoma State, 31
(#3) Georgia, 38 Florida, 20
(#7) Clemson, 34 Georgia Tech, 24
(#13) Virginia Tech, 30 Duke, 14
(#5) Wisconsin, 44 Illinois, 17

Tuesday, October 24, 2017

Post-Week Eight College Football Playoff Power Rankings

Jalen Hurts, Alabama
The Four

1 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0, 5-0 SEC)
As expected, Alabama had no issues this past weekend, punishing the struggling Tennessee Volunteers 45-7 in front of their home crowd. It wasn't much of a resume-boosting win for the Tide, but gave them plenty of momentum as they head into their bye week, right before their battle against LSU. The meeting with the Tigers very well could be the toughest remaining opponent for Alabama before their Iron Bowl matchup with Auburn, and then likely an SEC Championship Game meeting with Georgia. This team still has plenty to work on, including fixing a mediocre passing attack, and on special teams, but it is looking like 'Bama once again has a very good chance at running the table before they head into postseason play.


2 Penn State Nittany Lions (7-0, 4-0 Big Ten)
Outside of a tough road win over Iowa, Penn State's Playoff resume really paled in comparison to most of the other serious contenders up until this Saturday. The Nittany Lions were able to get vengeance against Michigan after losing 49-10 to them last year (a loss that ended their Playoff hopes), pounding the Wolverines 42-13. Penn State's offense continues to give defenses fits, as Trace McSorley and Saquon Barkley are a big play waiting to happen. On the other side of the ball, it is still unclear just how good PSU is, but the numbers speak for themselves. Up next for the Nittany Lions: a huge game against Ohio State in Columbus. The Buckeyes will be eager to get revenge after losing to Penn State last season, but the Nittany Lions know a victory there should put them on a clear track to a second straight conference title.

3 Georgia Bulldogs (7-0, 4-0 SEC)
Even though Georgia was on a bye this weekend, it was a great day for the Bulldogs. That is because UGA's signature victory, Notre Dame, who they beat in a thriller, beat USC to give them a real signature win. Notre Dame looking better in turn makes Georgia look better, who needs all the help they can get, considering they play in the notoriously weak SEC East. The Bulldogs get Florida this next weekend in their annual rivalry game that could be interesting but beyond that it looks like pretty smooth sailing for Georgia, before their likely SEC Championship Game berth.

4 TCU Horned Frogs (7-0, 4-0 Big 12)
Things went as planned for TCU over this weekend as well, as the Horned Frogs dominated Kansas 43-0 to stay undefeated. Not only did TCU look potent once more offensively, their defense was absolutely terrific, holding Kansas to a meager 21 yards of total offense. The continued success of that defense is a major advantage for TCU, particularly considering they play in the Big 12, a league that is well-known for it's big-time offenses. A road matchup against Iowa State in Ames could be a tough one for the Horned Frogs. The Cyclones are much-improved this season, have already beaten Oklahoma and have a history of stunning undefeated teams (see Oklahoma State, 2011).

Next Four Out

5 Wisconsin Badgers (7-0, 4-0 Big Ten)
The Badgers just keep on rolling, running past Maryland 38-13 on Saturday to stay flawless overall and in Big Ten play. It might have added another win to Wisconsin's total, but it didn't exactly increase their Playoff odds. The Badgers still lack a true signature victory to impress the Playoff Committee, and it is hard to see when they are going to get one. Their toughest remaining opponent prior to the Big Ten Championship Game is against Michigan, which may be a tough battle, but doesn't really qualify as a huge win. It is looking more and more like Wisconsin should run the table, but it is hard to know what the Committee will think of a team without a very impressive resume.

6 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-1)
Not a lot was expected of Notre Dame following a 4-8 2016, but there is no denying this team has been a notable surprise. The offense has been absolutely lethal on the ground and defensively, new coordinator Mike Elko has worked wonders. This past weekend really gave ND the signature win they needed, by blowing out USC, who still has a good chance to win the Pac-12. That plus a non-conference victory over Michigan State and plenty of remaining opportunities to even further impress the Committee (Stanford, NC State and Miami all await) gives the Irish a very good shot to make the Playoff, particularly if they can run the table.

7 Clemson Tigers 6-1 (4-1 ACC)
Clemson had a week off to ponder what went wrong in the team's stunning loss to unranked Syracuse, which could be a huge blessing. It may help quarterback Kelly Bryant get healthy once more, and also prepare the team for a tough end-of-the-year stretch, which includes facing a tough triple-option attack in Georgia Tech, a dangerous NC State squad and a bitter rival in South Carolina. What also helps the Tigers is the fact that Syracuse went out and gave undefeated Miami a very tough game on Saturday, making that loss look a lot better. The loss still won't look great in front of the Committee but if Clemson can still run the table and win the ACC, it's hard to imagine a team with such a solid resume missing out on the four-team field.

8 Ohio State Buckeyes 6-1 (4-0 Big Ten)
This Ohio State team is looking more and more like the 2013-2014 Buckeyes, and that should strike fear into the rest of the country. That team lost a non-conference game early on (like the Buckeyes did this year against Oklahoma) before playing like mad the rest of the season and using a great second half of the season to find their way into the Playoff. However, Ohio State still has yet to get a signature win on the year. They've absolutely pounded lesser competition in the conference, but this week against Penn State could give the team the big win they desperately need. A win there, in front of the home crowd in Columbus, makes OSU not only the favorite in the Big Ten East, but also likely puts them in the forefront of the Playoff race.

Others in the Mix
Miami Hurricanes
Oklahoma Sooners
Washington Huskies
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Virginia Tech Hokies
Washington State Cougars
Michigan State Spartans
South Florida Bulls
UCF Knights
Stanford Cardinal

Thursday, October 19, 2017

College Football Picks 2017: Week Eight

Brandon Wimbush, Notre Dame
College Football Picks 2017: Week Eight
Current Record: 40-16

(6-1) 11 USC Trojans vs. (5-1) 13 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
@Notre Dame Stadium (South Bend), 6:30 PM Saturday on NBC

Since we are halfway through this college football season, we have a pretty good idea at how the Playoff picture is shaping up. There are the clear-cut favorites (Alabama, Penn State, Georgia, even Clemson) but there is a longer list of teams on the outside-looking in looking for opportunities to impress the Committee. That is the case for both teams in this one, as this Week Eight rivalry clash is essentially an elimination game in the Playoff chase, as both teams already have one loss. The Trojans may still have the best shot of any Pac-12 team at this point, as they appear to be the clear favorite in the South Division and own a solid non-conference victory over Texas (something Washington nor Washington State can boast). Sam Darnold will once more be behind center, as he hopes to continue to impress onlooking NFL scouts. Darnold has limited his turnovers over the past few weeks and has played very well, but ND's defense may be the most improved unit in the country this season. After the group consistently allowed big play after big play a season ago, new D-coordinator Mike Elko has completely revamped the group. They should be able to apply some pressure on Darnold, especially with USC's offensive line not known for being very good. The Irish rush defense is also terrific, and has only allowed one rushing touchdown all year long. That puts them in great position against a USC ground attack still figuring things out. On the offensive side of the ball, ND will turn to quarterback Brandon Wimbush, who hasn't been 100 percent, but is ultra-talented. Wimbush isn't a terrific passer, but makes up for it with his impressive running ability, which will give this Trojans' defense plenty to think about. Wimbush will be aided by big-play running back Josh Adams, who is averaging a whopping nine yards per carry. Add in possession receiver Equanimeous St. Brown, who can also break things open when he gets in the open field, and the Irish have plenty that can threaten a USC defense that can be susceptible to the big play. This game should be a battle, not only because both are intense rivals, but because it is a game that has so much on the line. For 'SC, a victory not only makes them 7-1, but makes running a table a distinct possibility. For the Irish, a victory gives them important momentum for a tough end-of-the year stretch that includes NC State, Miami and Stanford. I think USC may be the slightly more talented team, but I like Notre Dame in an "upset". Their defense has been impressive all season long, and Wimbush and Adams should be able to make enough plays to get the job done.

The Pick: Notre Dame, 31 USC, 26

(6-0) 2 Penn State Nittany Lions vs. (5-1) 19 Michigan Wolverines
@Beaver Stadium (State College), 6:30 PM Saturday on ABC

It has been a magical first half of the season for Penn State, as the Nittany Lions have jumped out to a 6-0 start and have Heisman favorite Saquon Barkley running all over. But, they've done most of their work against a pretty weak schedule, with their best win to this point being on the road against Iowa, a good, not great team. The Nittany Lions now take on a daunting stretch that includes this game against Michigan, Michigan State and Ohio State. Winning all three would essentially clinch the Big Ten East, but that is much easier said than done. Electrifying quarterback Trace McSorley, Barkley and talented pass-catchers Saeed Blacknall and Mike Gesicki give OC Joe Moorhead tons of firepower to work with, and the unit has been absolutely dominant all season long. However, they didn't play great offensively against Iowa, and you could make the argument that UM's defense is even stronger than the Hawkeyes. The Wolverines have depth and talent everywhere on that side of the ball, particularly up front, where they feature a D-Line composed of future NFL starters, such as Rashan Gary, Chase Winovich and Mo Hurst. Defensive coordinator Don Brown loves to pressure opponents, and he will definitely try and get in McSorley's face and beat him. The bigger question is how Brown and Jim Harbaugh will choose to shut down Barkley, because he is so versatile. If they take away the ground attack, he can catch the ball and break one open. If they shut him down in both, he can still dominate on special teams. That is quite a tall order for Michigan, but they should be up for it. On offense, the Wolverines are still searching for their offense. QB John O'Korn has done an okay job running the offense, but his arm doesn't really scare you on defense. It would not be surprising to see Penn State stack the box, especially with the speed they have in the back, which includes All-Conference defenders such as safety Marcus Allen and linebacker Jason Cabinda. Michigan will lean heavily on their ground game, where youngsters Karan Higdon and Chris Evans have impressed. That may move the ball pretty well, but there is no way Michigan is going to be able to keep up with PSU's offense unless O'Korn can make some big plays through the air. I am not saying that the veteran won't be able to do that, but he just hasn't proven himself enough. I really think this game is going to be similar to the Iowa-PSU one, except the Nittany Lions will have home-field this time around. It shouldn't be a shootout, but more of a classic Big Ten clash, with plenty of big hits and not a ton of offense. Even so, Barkley and the rest of this Penn State offense should still find a way to break through and give the home folks plenty to cheer about.

The Pick: Penn State, 27 Michigan, 17

(5-0) 20 UCF Knights vs. (5-1) Navy Midshipmen
@Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium (Annapolis), 2:30 PM on CBSSN

While USC-Notre Dame and PSU-Michigan will garner plenty of attention, if you're looking for a more under-the-radar game that has important implications look no further than this AAC brawl. UCF has been a pleasant surprise early on this season, jumping out to a 5-0 mark under the leadership of coach Scott Frost, who is sure to get plenty of job offers this off-season. They look like perhaps the most complete Group of Five team in the nation, but they still need to overcome 6-0 South Florida in the tough AAC East. For Navy, the Midshipmen continue to be as consistent as ever, getting off to a flawless 5-0 start before their loss this past weekend to Memphis. As usual, Navy will feature their triple-option offense that given more than a few defenses fits. Underrated quarterback Zach Abey has led the offense to near perfection early on, and the Midshipmen always have other runners that can burst things open, which includes Malcolm Perry and Chris High this year. UCF spent the whole week preparing for that triple-option, with Frost even filling in as scout-team quarterback but it is still a tough transition to face Navy going full speed. That could put more pressure on the Knights' offense, but don't expect that to be a huge problem. UCF has been superb offensively all season long, thanks in large part to sophomore QB McKenzie Milton. Milton, a Hawaiian native, is only 5'11" but has a rocket for an arm. He can break open games with that arm, or get out in space and hurt you running the football. Along with Milton, UCF will look for big games from a number of other offensive weapons, which includes running back Adrian Killins Jr., receiver Tre'Quan Smith and the ultra-versatile true freshman Otis Anderson, who does both. The Navy defense is well-coached and disciplined, but it is prone to the big play and doesn't have the speed on that side of the ball that UCF possesses offensively. Another major key for the Midshipmen will be not turning the ball over. If not for their five turnovers against Memphis, there is a very good chance they would have won that game and we'd be talking about a Top 25, undefeated matchup. These are two great programs, with two great head coaches on the sideline and it would not be surprising to see them square off once more in the AAC Championship Game (as of right now, UCF is second in the East, Navy first in the West). It should be exciting and include plenty of fireworks, but I have slightly more confidence in the Knights. Their defense is in for quite the challenge, but their offense should be able to help them secure the victory.

The Pick: UCF, 40 Navy, 31

Other Picks
(#1) Alabama, 49 Tennessee, 14
(#8) Miami, 34 Syracuse, 24
(#9) Oklahoma, 35 Kansas State, 31
(#24) LSU, 27 Ole Miss, 20
(#15) Washington State, 38 Colorado, 23

Monday, October 16, 2017

College Football Midseason Awards 2017

It may be hard to comprehend but we are deep into October now, which means the college
Saquon Barkley, Penn State
football season has reached its halfway point. There are still plenty of great moments sure to happen over the coming months and plenty of further developments. But, as we sit right now here is my predictions for some of the sport's biggest awards:

National Champion: Alabama Crimson Tide
We have seen a healthy dose of upsets over the first seven weeks of this season, but that has not changed my National Champion pick. In a world where No. 2 can lose to unranked Syracuse, Oklahoma can beat Ohio State then loss to Iowa State, and the Pac-12 divulges into complete chaos, Alabama has stayed constant. The Tide have dominated opponent after opponent en route to a flawless start and still own one of the biggest wins of the year, over Florida State when they were at full strength. Only helping Alabama's chances at winning the National Title is the fact that their route there is not super tough. LSU and Auburn are enough to challenge them, but neither look ready to overtake 'Bama at least at this point. Georgia out of the East looks to be quite the battle, but if Alabama is able to enter the SEC Championship Game undefeated, they could realistically lose it and still get into the four-team field.
Finalists: TCU, Ohio State, Clemson (projected field)

Coach of the Year: Gary Patterson, TCU
After winning 23 games in two seasons behind the play of Trevone Boykin, TCU slipped off last year, falling to 6-7. They were clearly more talented than their record may have indicated, but the prognosis for 2017 wasn't much better, considering the talent at the top of the Big 12. However, the Horned Frogs are now the conference favorite seven weeks into the season, and Patterson looks to have his first ever Playoff team. Much of the success this season can be attributed to the improvement of former Texas A&M transfer Kenny Hill at quarterback but also Patterson's job defensively. A unit that was wildly inconsistent a year ago has looked much more disciplined and well-rounded, which gives TCU a significant advantage in the pass-happy Big 12.
Finalists: Dabo Swinney (Clemson), Brian Kelly (Notre Dame), Kirby Smart (Georgia), Mark Dantonio (Michigan State)

Biletnikoff Award: James Washington Jr., Oklahoma State
It isn't a banner year for receivers across the country, as few names jump out at you at the receiver position. That should make James Washington's route to a Biletnikoff (given to the nation's best receiver) even easier. Washington opted to stay his senior season in Stillwater after flirting with the idea of the NFL and it has paid off, as the veteran has 34 receptions for 882 yards and six touchdowns, while Oklahoma State is still in the Big 12 title hunt. With his big-play ability and fabulous hands, Washington should be able to lock down this award over the season's second half.
Finalists: David Sills V (West Virginia), Michael Gallup (Colorado State), Darren Carrington II (Utah), Anthony Miller (Memphis)

Doak Walker Award: Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State
No player in college football has been even close to Saquon Barkley in terms of dominance in 2017. The powerful Penn State rusher has 649 yards and six touchdowns but that doesn't take in to account his ability to create as a receiver (29 catches, 395 yards). Barkley is almost surely to get pushed for this award by a wonderful group of running backs, including Stanford's Bryce Love, San Diego State's Rashaad Penny and Colorado's Phillip Lindsay, but if he keeps up his pace, this won't be the only hardware he is adding to his collection.
Finalists: Bryce Love (Stanford), Rashaad Penny (San Diego State), Kerryon Johnson (Auburn), Josh Adams (Notre Dame), Phillip Lindsay (Colorado)

Davey O'Brien Award: Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
Baker Mayfield made quite the Heisman statement with his victory over Ohio State early on in the year, and while a loss to Iowa State hurt his chances, he still has played like the nation's best quarterback. The senior is absolutely fearless and supremely confident, and he backs it up, as he has 1,937 yards and 17 touchdowns through the air on the season. In order to get back into the Heisman forefront, Mayfield will need a huge second half and likely need Oklahoma to run the table. Even if that doesn't happen, Mayfield should be able to lock this one down.
Finalists: Luke Falk (Washington State), Lamar Jackson (Louisville), Mason Rudolph (Oklahoma State), Josh Rosen (UCLA), Nic Shimonek (Texas Tech)

Breakout Player of the Year: Bryce Love, Stanford
There were plenty of people across the country that believed Bryce Love would have a big season replacing the departed Christian McCaffrey, but the junior's play so far this season has been even more transcendent than expected. Love leads all FBS running backs with 1,387 yards, along with 11 touchdowns, and he showed just how good he can be by running for over 300 yards against Oregon State. If not for Love, it is worrying to imagine where Stanford, who sits at 5-2 and 4-1 in the Pac-12, would be. 
Finalists: Shea Patterson (Ole Miss), Jonathan Taylor (Wisconsin), Justin Reid (Stanford), Will Grier (West Virginia), Austin Bryant (Clemson)

Chuck Bednarik/Bronco Nagurski Award: Bradley Chubb, NC State
Bradley Chubb was another player who seriously considered going pro following an impressive junior campaign, but he decided to stay for one final year in Raleigh. Much like Washington, it has worked out extremely well for the explosive defensive end. Chubb has asserted himself as the most dominant defensive player in the land, as he has 37 tackles and seven sacks. That production and NC State's quick improvement with Chubb at the helm has to convince NFL scouts he is worthy of a first-round selection, and voters he deserves the award given to the Defensive Player of the Year.
Finalists: Josey Jewell (Iowa), Jalen Davis (Utah State), Minkah Fitzpatrick (Alabama), Austin Bryant (Clemson), Ogbonnia Okoronkwo (Oklahoma)

Heisman: Saquon Barkley, Penn State
As I mentioned previously, Barkley has been an absolute stud all season long for Penn State, who just happens to be in the lead in the Big Ten and ranked second nationally. Barkley's ability to run people over, jump over them or break things open in the middle of the field is truly special, and there is no doubt he'll be a high pick in the NFL Draft next spring. But, in order to truly lock down the Heisman, Barkley still has work to do. He faces a stretch that includes Michigan, Ohio State and Michigan State. The trio presents a stiff defensive challenge but big-time performances by Barkley in primetime might be enough to cement himself as the newest member of the Heisman club.
Finalists: Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma), Bryce Love (Stanford), Rashaad Penny (San Diego State), Lamar Jackson (Louisville), Bradley Chubb (NC State)


Saturday, October 14, 2017

College Football Picks 2017: Week Seven

Jarrett Stidham, Auburn
College Football Picks 2017: Week Seven
Current Record: 33-15

(4-1) 12 Oklahoma Sooners vs. (3-2) Texas Longhorns
@Cotton Bowl (Dallas), 2:30 PM Saturday on ESPN

While their loss last week to Iowa State may have significantly hurt their Playoff chances, Oklahoma hopes to recover in a big way in the newest edition of the Red River Rivalry. This will be the first time on the sidelines for both Lincoln Riley at Oklahoma and Tom Herman at Texas in this hard-fought rivalry. The Sooners' plan of attack should be simple: let star quarterback Baker Mayfield attack a Texas defense that is known for their inconsistency. The loss last week hurt Mayfield's Heisman Trophy odds, but the veteran QB is still a major difference-maker, and seems to come alive in the biggest of games. Mayfield would certainly love to beat UT for the second time in his career. He'll be helped offensively by an underrated Sooners' ground game, led by speedsters Abdul Adams and Trey Sermon, along with one of the country's best offensive lines. The Longhorns strength on the defensive side of the ball is up front, where they bring impressive size and solid experience. However, that D-Line will be in store for quite a battle, and it is hard to imagine UT having much of a chance at containing Oklahoma if the Sooners are able to control the line of scrimmage. On offense, Texas has taken big steps forward after an uneven start. Sam Ehlinger was forced into action as true freshman when starter Shane Buechele went down with injury, and Ehlinger has seemingly stolen the job. Despite his youth, Ehlinger has shown excellent command of the offense, and this is a unit that can still put up points in a hurry. Running back Chris Warren has dealt with injuries throughout his career but he's a real load to handle when healthy, and on the outside, Texas has enough that they should be able to challenge an Oklahoma secondary that still struggles to defend the long ball. The key could be how Texas' O-Line holds up against a relentless OU pass rush. Ogbonnia Okoronkwo is one of the best pass rushers in the conference (9 tackles for loss, five sacks so far this year) and Oklahoma loves to play aggressive defensively. The Longhorns will have to keep Ehlinger upright, or the offense will struggle to find its rhythm, which has been an issue at times this season for UT. This game might have the major National Title implications it once had, but it is still a pretty big conference battle. The Sooners are probably the most talented team in the Big 12, but that loss to Iowa State was a real back-breaker. On the other side, the Longhorns are playing very good football right now, and have jumped out to a 2-0 conference start. That momentum they've built might be able to keep this one very competitive, but I'm just not confident that Texas will be able to slow down Mayfield enough.

The Pick: Oklahoma, 38 Texas, 30

(5-1) 13 USC Trojans vs. (4-1) Utah Utes
@Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum (Los Angeles), 7 PM on ABC

Both Washington schools might be the teams to beat in the Pac-12 as a whole right now, but the conference's South Division is still wide open. USC and Utah will battle in this one to see who can take control of the South, and put themselves in position to play for the Pac-12 title. The Trojans looked great this past Saturday in their first game since losing to Washington State, as they handled Oregon State by four touchdowns. Sam Darnold hasn't exactly been the preseason Heisman favorite so far this year, but he still is a masterful signal-caller who should be in store for another big day. The Trojans' ground game should also continue to improve as they are the healthiest they've been since the start of the season. Going up against Utah's stingy defense is not an easy task. The Utes rarely are stocked with superstars on that side of the ball, but they are very disciplined and cover their assignments as well as anybody. Even so, this USC offense has enough weapons that the scoreboard operators should be awfully busy in this one. The Utes reinvented their offense this off-season and for most of 2017, it has been a major success. Tyler Huntley beat out a number of others to win the quarterback job and played well early on, before hurting his ankle. He is doubtful in this one, so expect head coach Kyle Whittingham to turn to veteran Troy Williams. Williams is a proven veteran who can move the ball down the field, but he doesn't quite have Huntley's arm strength. Williams will be in store for quite the battle against a fiery USC defense. The Trojans are very strong in the back, and cornerback Iman Marshall is always ready to make a big play. Up front, 'SC is led by linebacker Cameron Smith, one of the premier rush defenders in the country, and Porter Gustin, a powerful pass rusher off the edge. In order for the Utes to find success on offense in this one, not only will Williams have to play well, Utah will need some other offensive weapons to contribute in a big way. Back Zack Moss is solid but isn't a major difference-maker. Former Oregon wide out Darren Carrington II (kicked off the team this past off-season) has emerged as the team's top receiver, and he'll need to play well in this one. Utah is a very tough team, and one that knows how to pull off upsets. However, with Huntley out, on the road and playing a USC team that seems very motivated, I just don't see them winning here.

The Pick: USC, 34 Utah, 21

(5-1) 10 Auburn Tigers vs. (4-2) LSU Tigers
@Tiger Stadium (Baton Rouge), 2:30 PM on CBS

Early on this season, things were not looking good for Auburn. The Tigers were absolutely slammed by defending National Champ Clemson and allowed ten sacks. They then followed that up with a number of lethargic performances, including a close victory over FCS foe Mercer. However, the Tigers have been able to climb back into the Playoff picture, and now look like the clear-cut biggest threat to Alabama in the SEC West. Former Baylor transfer Jarrett Stidham has come back from a shaky start to play like very well, and his huge arm presents a major challenge to any defense he goes up against. Add in running back Kerryon Johnson, who is quietly putting together a Heisman-level season, and an offensive line that is starting to play a lot better, and Auburn looks pretty scary. On the other side, LSU is looking to get back on track, now two weeks removed from an embarrassing Homecoming loss to Sun Belt opponent Troy. LSU played a lot better this past week in a big victory over Florida, and the defense was a big part of the reason. The unit still is prone to allowing big plays (which is concerning, playing an offense that loves the home run throw), but it is starting to figure things out once again under coordinator Dave Aranda, and still has one of the nation's most feared pass rushers in Arden Key. The key for LSU will be getting their offense going, which has been a notorious issue for this team for years. New OC Matt Canada promised an improved passing attack, but so far that has not been the case in 2017. QB Danny Etling can run the offense well and knows how to make the right read, but he just doesn't have the arm to make this offense very scary. True freshman Myles Brennan has seen significant action so far this year, and I wouldn't rule out seeing him in this game. The Tigers are going to have to hope for a big day from running back Derrius Guice, a fearless runner who excels through contact (and was my preseason Heisman pick). Guice hasn't been 100 percent the past few weeks, but he should still be able to find some success against a very inconsistent Auburn rush defense. LSU doesn't appear to be a serious SEC West title threat especially with their offense still being amazingly one-dimensional, but this team is always going to compete and the players will run through a wall for head coach Ed Orgeron. Guice would have to have a career day and the defense would have to be absolutely superb, but I wouldn't rule out an LSU victory. Even so, with the way they are playing right now and the weapons they have on offense, Auburn is my pick in this one.

The Pick: Auburn, 31 LSU, 20

Other Picks
(#11) Miami, 35 Georgia Tech, 28
(#6) TCU, 28 Kansas State, 17
West Virginia, 40 (#24) Texas Tech, 34
(#7) Wisconsin, 28 Purdue, 23
(#9) Ohio State, 33 Nebraska, 21

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Coaching Carousel 2017: Who Should Replace Coaches on Hot Seats?

Butch Jones, Tennessee
This past week, we saw our first domino of the 2017 coaching carousel fall, as UTEP head coach Sean Kugler stepped down following the team's 0-5 start (he will be replaced by interim Mike Price). The move by Kugler likely won't have a major impact on the college football landscape, but there are a number of other head coaches across the nation that could also soon be unemployed that certainly will. Where should athletic directors and fans turn in situations where there team isn't performing? Here's a look at some coaches who could soon be gone, and some of their possible replacements:

Butch Jones, Tennessee
Current Record: 33-23
Why He's On the Hot Seat: Jones excited the fans on Rocky Top with a 7-6 2014 and 9-4 2015 in which Tennessee dominated their respective bowl games. Jones also raised the talent level in a big way in Knoxville, landing a number of Top 25 recruiting classes. However, the Volunteers have struggled to take the next step under Jones, going a disappointing 9-4 last season and limping to a 3-2 stretch so far in 2017. To make matters worse, Jones' tenure has been marked by consistent roster turnover and drama, and it seems like he has overstayed his welcome with the Vols.
Likely Replacement: Mike Norvell, Memphis HC
Norvell has done a wonderful job at Memphis after taking over for Justin Fuente, who ended up at Virginia Tech. Norvell is 11-6 with the Tigers, and has had them in the AAC Championship hunt (assuming they stay in the mix this year) both seasons. He recruits very well and knows the area, plus his innovative offensive mind would be greatly welcomed at Tennessee.
Other Names to Watch: Jim Bob Cooter (Detroit Lions OC), Tee Martin (USC OC), Chip Kelly (former Oregon HC, former NFL HC), Dan Mullen (Mississippi State HC)

Mike Riley, Nebraska
Current Record: 18-14
Why He's On the Hot Seat: Mike Riley was not a very popular hire in the first place in Lincoln, and Nebraska's performance over the past couple seasons was only made the doubters louder. Riley had a rough debut season of 6-7 (which included a number of tight losses), but did recover to finish off a respectable 9-4 in 2016. However, the 'Huskers have slipped to 3-3 to start this season, with an embarrassing loss to Northern Illinois to boot. For a fanbase that constantly has rabid expectations, Riley just doesn't seem like the man to turn the program back into the powerhouse they once were.
Likely Replacement: Scott Frost, UCF HC
As Riley and Nebraska struggles, Scott Frost is doing special things in Orlando, where he has UCF undefeated and ranked 25th. What is even more impressive about that is that the UCF team inherited prior to 2016 was coming off a winless '15 campaign. Frost, the former starting quarterback on the undefeated 1997 Nebraska team, would love to come back to Lincoln, and he would inject this program with an energy Riley never quite did.
Other Names to Watch: Jason Candle (Toledo HC), Craig Bohl (Wyoming HC), Rocky Long (San Diego State HC)

Matt Luke, Ole Miss (interim)
Current Record: 2-2
Why He's On the Hot Seat: When Hugh Freeze suddenly resigned amid allegations of multiple NCAA violations over the summer, OL coach Matt Luke was thrown into the head coaching job at Ole Miss. Luke has done an okay job given the circumstances (no time to prepare, lack of motivation for a team that is banned from the postseason) but unless he is unable to completely clean up the program, it is likely that he won't be brought back on a permanent basis.
Likely Replacement: Scott Satterfield, Appalachian State HC
Satterfield has done a masterful job taking over Appalachian State as they transition from FCS to FBS football. After a 7-5 mark in 2014, Satterfield and Appalachian State have won two straight Sun Belt titles, winning 21 games in '15 and '16 combined. They've struggled to a 2-2 record so far in 2017, but there is no denying how great of a job Satterfield has done in Boone, North Carolina. It would be a short trip across the Southeast to take over things at Oxford.
Other Names to Watch: Les Miles (former LSU HC), Blake Anderson (Arkansas State HC), Neal Brown (Troy HC), Willie Fritz (Tulane HC)

Kevin Sumlin, Texas A&M
Current Record: 48-23
Why He's on the Hot Seat: Much like Butch Jones, Kevin Sumlin's tenure began very well, as his debut season, the Aggies went 11-2 and beat Alabama behind the play of Johnny Manziel. Since then, Texas A&M has managed over eight wins just one time, which just so happened to be Manziel's final season in College Station. Over that span, A&M has seen a number of late-season collapses, along with a ton of roster turnover. Considering how much money boosters and the University have put into the program, 8-5 seasons aren't going to get it done. Unless Sumlin can work some magic over the second half of the year, it could be his last stand at A&M.
Likely Replacement: Chad Morris, SMU HC
Morris first made a name for himself as the offensive coordinator at Clemson and since taking over at SMU, he has done a terrific job. His 11-19 record with the Mustangs doesn't jump out at you, but it is impressive considering the mess he took over when June Jones abruptly left the program, and SMU has shown progress each year he has been there. Morris' offensive expertise and ability to recruit would also make him an ideal fit in College Station.
Other Names to Watch: Mike Gundy (Oklahoma State HC), Chip Kelly (former Oregon HC, former NFL HC), Willie Fritz (Tulane HC)

Oregon State
Gary Andersen and Oregon State parted ways this week after two and a half years at the helm in Corvallis. Andersen had proven he could win out West before (he was highly successful at Utah State) but he faced a tough rebuild with the Beavers, and the fit just never seemed quite right. The Beavers will now be searching for a replacement that can keep them on pace in the ultra-competitive Pac-12 North.
Likely Replacement: Jonathan Smith, Washington OC
There is no obvious candidate to replace Andersen, but Oregon State likely will zero in on Jonathan Smith, who has worked wonders for Washington's offense. Smith is just 38, and has no head coaching experience, but he is well-respected on the West Coast and seems like an ideal fit. Smith is also a former record-setting QB at Oregon State, and returning to his alma mater seems to be in the cards.
Other Names to Watch: Mike Riley (Nebraska HC), Ken Niumatalolo (Navy HC), Jedd Fisch (UCLA OC)

Coaches With Warming Seats
Bret Bielema, Arkansas
Steve Adazzio, Boston College
Jim Mora, UCLA
Ed Orgeron, LSU
Barry Odom, Missouri
Rich Rodriguez, Arizona

Monday, October 9, 2017

Post-Week Six College Football Playoff Power Rankings

Jake Fromm, Georgia
The Four

1 Clemson Tigers (6-0, 4-0 ACC)
For the first time in 2017, a new team takes over the No.1 spot in the Playoff power rankings. Clemson overtakes Alabama here not because the Tide are playing bad, but because to this point in the season, Clemson has a much stronger resume. The Tigers went out and beat Auburn in the non-conference and followed it up with two quality road victories over Louisville and Virginia Tech. Their path to the Playoff is very clear; with Florida State struggling, likely the only ranked team they will see before the ACC Championship would be NC State. The fact Kelly Bryant was beat up this past week is relatively concerning, but the Tigers still look like a team that should be able to run the table. If that is the case, there will be absolutely no doubt that Clemson deserves their third straight Playoff berth.

2 Alabama Crimson Tide (6-0, 3-0 SEC)
For the first time since the opening week of the season, Alabama was tested, but was still able to come out with a 27-19 win over Texas A&M. The victory wasn't super impressive, but the Aggies aren't a bad football team, and they played some of their best football they've played all year. The Tide still look like the team we expected them to be: a solid, not great offense, but a punishing defense with depth everywhere. The good news for Alabama is that while they may be here at the No. 2 spot right now, they have a very good chance to still end up being the top seed by the time the Playoff Committee makes their decision. They play a suddenly-dangerous Auburn team still and Georgia looks like it could be a huge victory if they do indeed meet in the SEC Championship Game.

3 Georgia Bulldogs 6-0 (3-0 SEC)
We are only halfway through the season and plenty is still likely to happen, but so far, Georgia may be the most surprising team of the 2017 season. Sure, expectations are always high in Athens and this team was considered the SEC East favorite by many during the pre-season, but the way the Bulldogs have played with their starting QB injured has been astounding. Their most impressive win to date is certainly their victory over Notre Dame (which is looking better and better as the weeks go by) but their other wins are just as impressive, because they have looked utterly dominant. True frosh QB Jake Fromm has run the offense with impressive composure, and defensively, Georgia is as good as anyone. Like I said, it's still early in the season but UGA looks like they have a decent shot at running the table before they likely meet 'Bama in the SEC Championship, which will have huge Playoff implications.

4 Penn State Nittany Lions 6-0 (3-0 Big Ten)
Penn State continues to roll through the early portion of their schedule without any issues, as they ran past Northwestern 31-7 this weekend. As usual, the Nittany Lions' offense was the difference, as dynamic QB Trace McSorley was wonderful through the air, and running back Saquon Barkley continues to strengthen his Heisman campaign. However, things get very difficult for Penn State over the next couple weeks. After a bye this next week, the Nittany Lions go on a stretch where they meet Michigan, Ohio State and Michigan State, with OSU and MSU both on the road. That will really give us an indication of whether this team is truly the Big Ten's best team, or just a pretender.

Next Four Out

5 TCU Horned Frogs 5-0 (2-0 Big 12)
With Oklahoma choking at home against Iowa State this past weekend, TCU takes over as the clear-cut Big 12 favorite. The Horned Frogs bring a solid resume to the table, as they've opened up conference play with consecutive Top 25 victories, over Oklahoma State and West Virginia. The win over WVU wasn't very pretty, but QB Kenny Hill continues to play terrific football and while the defense still is prone to letting up the big play, it is still likely the best in the conference. The schedule lightens up significantly for TCU over the next few weeks, with their next three being Kansas State, Kansas and Iowa State. As long as TCU is able to avoid a trap game, they should be in very good Playoff position by the time they meet the meat of their schedule, in early November.

6 Washington Huskies 6-0 (3-0 Pac-12)
With USC losing, the Pac-12 is likely to fall to either Washington school. The Huskies are a slight favorite at the moment, as they continue to pour it on, albeit against meager competition. Washington hasn't had a close game so far in 2017 but on the flip side, they have the weakest resume of any major Playoff contender. Their most impressive win to this point is still Colorado, but the Buffaloes have lost three straight and their defense was absolutely shredded by Arizona this past Saturday. That weak resume hurts UW right now, but they still have more than enough time to make up for it. Wins against Stanford and Washington State should be enough to convince the Committee this team deserves a second straight Playoff bid.

7 Wisconsin Badgers 5-0 (2-0 Big Ten)
After a pretty slow start, Wisconsin poured it on to beat Nebraska handily this week, improving the Badgers to 5-0. The win doesn't exactly boost Wisconsin's resume considering how much Nebraska has struggled this year, but it gave the Badgers important momentum as they enter the bulk of conference play. The really good news for Wisconsin is that their remaining regular season slate is very easy. Their toughest remaining opponent is Michigan, who has struggled with serious offensive issues all season long. Beyond that, Wisconsin has enough defensively to be able to roll past the rest of their conference slate and likely clinch another Big Ten West title.

8 Washington State Cougars 6-0 (3-0 Pac-12)
He may be incredibly unorthodox, but there is no denying Mike Leach has done a special coaching job in Pullman. The Cougars, once a Pac-12 cellar dweller, have developed into quite the threat in the Pac-12 and now look like a legit Playoff threat six weeks into 2017. Quarterback Luke Falk has led Leach's Air Raid system wonderfully, but what has been even more impressive has been Washington State's defense. Once among the conference's worst, it has played with terrific energy and confidence so far this season and absolutely shut down Oregon on Saturday. The Cougars' schedule is interesting going forward; it is relatively easy before a three-game stretch to end the year that is certainly precarious: against Stanford, Utah and on the road against Washington.

Others in the Mix
Miami Hurricanes
Auburn Tigers
Ohio State Buckeyes
USC Trojans
Oklahoma Sooners
Oklahoma State Cowboys
South Florida Bulls
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan Wolverines
NC State Wolfpack
UCF Knights
Virginia Tech Hokies

Wednesday, October 4, 2017

College Football Picks 2017: Week Six

Christian Kirk, Texas A&M
College Football Picks 2017: Week Six
Current Record: 27-13

(4-0) 8 TCU Horned Frogs vs. (3-1) 23 West Virginia Mountaineers
@Amon G. Carter Stadium (Fort Worth), 2:30 PM Saturday on FS1

While Oklahoma has jumped out to an impressive start so far in 2017, the Big 12 title race is still far from over. After a superb win over Oklahoma State two weeks ago, TCU looks like they are now a serious Playoff threat, but they face a team that is playing very well right now, West Virginia. The Mountaineers recovered from a season-opening loss to Virginia Tech to win their next three, led by Florida transfer Will Grier at quarterback. Grier has quietly put together a Heisman-level season, with 13 touchdowns to just three interceptions early on, and the West Virginia offense overall has looked efficient and methodical. However, TCU may bring the conference's best defense, as head coach Gary Patterson has long been known as an innovative defensive mind. Versatile defender Travin Howard (the team's leading tackler, with 26) and D-Linemen Ben Banogu and Mat Boesen will be tasked with getting pressure on Grier, well also containing a very underrated WVU rushing attack. It should be very interesting to see how Dana Holgorsen chooses to attack a TCU defense that has talent and experience at all three levels. On the other side of the ball, the Horned Frogs are led by QB Kenny Hill and a quality ground game. Hill had an up-and-down 2016 in his first season since transferring from Texas A&M, but he has taken big steps forward this year, with 965 yards and nine touchdowns early on, but more importantly, just three picks (he led the conference last year). Sophomore running back Darius Anderson has picked up the TCU's rushing attack after veteran Kyle Hicks dealt with injuries. Anderson's speed and explosiveness gives the Horned Frogs' another dynamic weapon to work with, along with home run threat KaVontae Turpin, who has had a great start to 2017 after missing most of last season. The Mountaineers have taken big steps defensively over the past few years, and the unit is very turnover-hungry. Unfortunately, the defense is full of injuries, as safety Kyzir White and cornerback Mike Daniels are just two of a number of Mountaineers questionable for this weekend. The hope for TCU is that Hill's huge arm can exploit some of the weaknesses in the back and really open up the game. It should be an interesting battle in Fort Worth between these Top 25 opponents, and very competitive. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Mountaineers come out and pull an upset, but the Horned Frogs look like one of the nation's most complete teams, although it's still early. If Hill can stay under control and the defense can play the way they did against Oklahoma State, TCU should stay undefeated.

The Pick: TCU, 34 West Virginia, 24

(5-0) 1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. (4-1) Texas A&M Aggies
@ Kyle Field (College Station), 6:15 PM Saturday on ESPN

If not for the team's epic choke-job at the hands of UCLA in their opener, Texas A&M would enter this game undefeated with a decent chance at an SEC West title. Even so, the Aggies are 4-1 and seem to have found their rhythm behind the play of young quarterback Kellen Mond and a big-play offense. Mond, a true freshman, has displayed impressive accuracy and the ability to run the ball very well, but there is no denying that Alabama is the best defense he has seen in his collegiate career. He will have to deal with a swarming front seven, and an opportunistic secondary that includes turnover-machine Minkah Fitzpatrick, shutdown corner Anthony Averett and underrated Levi Wallace. Mond will be supported by superstar wide out Christian Kirk, who is also a special teams demon, but it should still be quite the challenge for the youthful signal-caller. On defense, Texas A&M will have to deal with one of the nation's most efficient and balanced units. The Tide continue to improve through the air with the play of sophomore QB Jalen Hurts and receivers Calvin Ridley and Jerry Jeudy, but their main source of offense is still on the ground. There, they feature probably the nation's premier backfield, which includes Bo Scarbrough, Damien Harris, Joshua Jacobs and newcomer Najee Harris. That foursome, plus the running ability of Hurts, is almost sure to give the Aggies' defense, certainly not known for their rush defense abilities, plenty of issues. It will be interesting to see how aggressive A&M D-coordinator John Chavis is going up against the Crimson Tide, considering how much his units have struggled against them in the past. Will he bring the heat (which must go up against Alabama's top-botch offensive line) or play more conservative? Whatever he chooses to do, he'll have to deal with a Tide unit that has been absolutely unstoppable over the past few weeks and is playing with ultra confidence. The good news for Texas A&M is that they will be playing at Kyle Field, which is obviously one of the toughest places in the entire nation to walk into and come away with a win. Hurts has shown impressive poise and composure even in hostile environments, but it's not unreasonable to think he could be slightly overwhelmed by what College Station has to offer. However, even if the crowd can keep the Aggies in the game, it will take somewhat of a miracle for a team this young to overtake an Alabama team playing insanely good football right now. I don't think this will be a blowout, but the Tide should be able to roll to a 6-0 start.

The Pick: Alabama, 38 Texas A&M, 21

(4-0) 7 Michigan Wolverines vs. (3-1) Michigan State Spartans
@Michigan Stadium (Ann Arbor), 6:30 PM Saturday on ABC

So far, it has been an interesting year in the Big Ten East. Penn State looks very good but has yet to beat a signature opponent, Ohio State lost to Oklahoma but is still extremely talented, Michigan beat Florida but still has their issues, and Michigan State has looked solid but their offense is still figuring things out. This week should help figure some things out, as the Michigan rivals square off in Ann Arbor. The Wolverines' offense has had a tough 2017, and to make matters worse, they will be without starting quarterback Wilton Speight, who will be out for a couple weeks. Former Houston transfer John O'Korn has seen action last year and early this season, and he should take over the offense. Expect Michigan to keep it on the ground heavily, as they've done often early on. Sophomore Chris Evans, Ty Isaac and Karan Higdon should lead the charge, but must go up against a very solid MSU rush defense. In the passing game, the Wolverines will hope O'Korn can simply not turn the ball over and possibly hit wide out Grant Perry or tight end Sean McKeon for a big gain. For the Spartans, they are hoping their offense can hit its stride after an inconsistent start to the year. Sophomore QB Brian Lewerke has quietly had a pretty good year, leading the team in passing and rushing. He isn't going to be a player that can single-handily win football games, but he has proven that he can make plays. He will be helped by running back L.J. Scott and underrated receiver Felton Davis (21 receptions, 256 yards). Unfortunately for Michigan State, they'll have to deal with perhaps one of the nation's top defenses. The Wolverines have astounding speed and depth throughout the D, and coordinator Don Brown is great at dialing up exotic blitzes and getting after opponents. Michigan also has the advantage of going up against an unproven MSU offensive line, with a defensive line that includes studs Rashan Gary, Chase Winovich and Mo Hurst. Another name to watch is aggressive outside linebacker Devin Bush, one of the nation's best pass rushers off the edge. This rivalry doesn't quite have the bad blood of the Michigan-Ohio State game, but that doesn't mean there isn't plenty of motivation for both these squads. UM still is a Playoff threat and as long as their defense continues to play well, they'll be tough to beat. On the other side, the Spartans are trying to climb back into Big Ten relevancy after their dreadful 2016. I am tempted to pick an upset here because the conditions are there: a hard-fought rivalry game with Michigan's starting QB out, but going on the road and doing that is just too much to ask for of a still very-unproven MSU team.

The Pick: Michigan, 24 Michigan State, 20

Other Picks
(#2) Clemson, 35 Wake Forest, 20
(#12) Auburn, 44 Ole Miss, 27
(#21) Florida, 23 LSU, 14
(#11) Washington State, 37 Oregon, 33
Stanford, 30 (#20) Utah, 24