Sunday, November 3, 2019

College Basketball Preview 2019: My Top 25

Even though football season may be in full swing, the start of November brings a brand new season of college basketball into fruition. After last season's exciting finish, a crop of fresh faces and some familiar ones are sure to bring a new year of excitement, upsets and fun basketball. Here is how my preseason Top 25, and a couple others that could chaos come March.

1. Michigan State Spartans
Cassius Winston, Michigan State
BACKCOURT: Point guard Cassius Winston returns to East Lansing for his senior year as the favorite for National Player of the Year honors. Winston was really the engine that made MSU go last season, posting averages of 18.8 PPG and 7.5 APG, while shooting nearly 40 percent from three. Unfortunately, his fellow veteran backcourt mate, Joshua Langford, recently re-injured his foot that had kept him out for a big chunk of the 2019 season. Langford still hopes to be ready by Big Ten action, but the absence of the steady playmaker will hurt. Tom Izzo will be forced to turn to sophomore Foster Loyer and freshman Rocket Watts to see increased minutes. Loyer was solid in limited minutes last winter, while Watts is a superb shooter from deep.
FRONTCOURT: The Spartans got a big win over the off-season when Marquette transfer Joey Hauser announced he would be transferring to Michigan State. Hauser put together a quality freshman campaign with the Golden Eagles, putting up 9.7 PPG and shooting 45 percent from the field. He will team up with a number of Spartan mainstays in the frontcourt, namely junior Xavier Tillman and budding sophomore Aaron Henry. The Spartans are also hopeful swingman Kyle Ahrens will be 100 percent for the opener, after sustaining a scary injury in the Big Ten Championship last season.
OVERVIEW: Even though the loss of Langford for a significant period of time hurts, the Spartans are loaded with a ton of returning experience from a Final Four squad. With Winston at the helm and Izzo once again patrolling the sidelines, they seem to be the team to beat entering '19-'20. Izzo's first National Title in two decades seems like a distinct possibility.
2. Duke Blue Devils
BACKCOURT: While fellow teammates Zion Williamson and R.J. Barrett both decided to go pro after one season in Durham, guard Tre Jones decided he still had unfinished business with the Blue Devils, deciding to return for his sophomore season. Jones is an excellent defender and the perfect guard to run Coach K's offense, but it will be interesting to see how he handles being the "veteran leader" in this Duke lineup. He'll be joined in the backcourt by fellow returnee Alex O'Connell and highly touted newcomer Cassius Stanley. O'Connell will play a critical role as the team's top shooter, while Stanley can defend multiple positions and should be able to make an immediate impact.
FRONTCOURT: Sure, losing a transcendent talent like Zion Williamson hurts, but the Duke frontline should still be one of the country's best. Five-star signee Vernon Carey looks like the next great Duke big, as a powerful finisher who is extremely active on the block. He'll form a dynamic 1-2 combo with fellow newcomer Matthew Hurt, who brings excellent versatility and a nice shooting stroke. While those two may start right away, don't overlook Duke holdovers Jack White and Javin DeLaurier. Both played an underrated role in Duke's success last season, and will be important in guiding the young talent on this roster.
OVERVIEW: Duke was extremely top-heavy last season, but the return of a good crop of veterans ensures Coach K will finally have the depth that has eluded the Blue Devils the last few seasons. Even if the new guys need some time to gel, Jones, White and DeLaurier will be able to guide this lineup through the perilous ACC.
3. Kentucky Wildcats
BACKCOURT: Much like Michigan State and Duke, Kentucky was handed a big win over the off-season when both Ashton Hagans and Immanuel Quickley announced they would return for their second seasons in Lexington. Hagans, their top returning scorer, has all the tools to really take a jump, although he'll need to cut down on turnovers and prove he can evolve into a more complete offensive weapon. Quickley is going to have to compete with newcomer Tyrese Maxey for off-guard duties in this lineup. Maxey is an explosive combo guard who has received rave reviews from this coaching staff, and looks like the latest in a long line of John Calipari guards that have been selected at the top of the NBA Draft.
FRONTCOURT: Calipari rarely has returning experience in his frontcourt, but that isn't the case entering the new season. Both E.J. Montgomery and Nick Richards decided to return, despite serious NBA attention. Richards is a great low-post defender, but Montgomery is the big returnee. Even though he wasn't healthy for a massive chunk of last season, Montgomery showed he can hurt defenses in a variety of ways and even stretch the floor a little bit. Bucknell transfer Nate Sestina also brings veteran experience. He doesn't have the pure talent of Richards or Montgomery, but should be able to acclimate to his new role quickly. Add in the usual crop of highly touted freshman, namely forward Kahlil Whitney and Keion Brooks Jr., and this frontcourt should be really strong.
OVERVIEW: The return of so much veteran experience is huge for Calipari and Kentucky. It gives this team a really good starting point, even as they watch their young talent grow and develop. If Hagans and either Richards or Montgomery are able to really take that next step, it isn't unreasonable to think Calipari could finally return a National Championship, something he hasn't won since Anthony Davis was wearing Kentucky blue.
4. Louisville Cardinals
BACKCOURT: Youth abounds in the Cardinal backcourt, but there is no shortage of talent. A number of newcomers are likely to see big minutes right away, including Saint Joseph's graduate transfer Lamarr Kimble, and true freshman David Johnson, a Louisville native. Kimble averaged 15.6 points per game for the Hawks a season ago, and will bring immediate scoring potential. Veterans Ryan McMahon and Grant Williams should also see minutes. McMahon may be the best shooter on the entire team, both from three and at the free throw line.
FRONTCOURT: A versatile, well-balanced frontcourt should be the real guide for this Louisville squad. Junior wing Jordan Nwora is the best player on the team, their top returning scorer (17 PPG) and rebounder (7.6). Nwora isn't particularly flashy, but he has an excellent feel for the game, and seems to only be getting better under head coach Chris Mack. Senior Dwayne Sutton and junior Malik Williams will also play a crucial role. Sutton is a superb passer from the wing, while Williams is an absolute force in the paint, and one of the premier defenders in the ACC.
OVERVIEW: Mack's first season with the Cards wasn't perfect, but he showed the program was ready to return to the national stage. The returns of Nwora, Sutton and Williams give this team a great base to work with, and the newcomers should prove to make a real impact. The unforgiving ACC is going to be treacherous, but this Louisville team should be able to weather the storm.
5. Kansas Jayhawks
BACKCOURT: Bill Self's best teams in Lawrence always have a veteran guard leading the way, and while he isn't an upperclassmen, sophomore Devon Dotson fits that theme. After some early struggles, Dotson ended the year playing terrific basketball, and he gives this team a leader going forward. Junior Marcus Garrett is also going to play a huge role as an experienced playmaker who always takes on opposing team's best player and shuts them down. However, beyond those two, this backcourt has depth concerns. Losing Quentin Grimes, who decided to head to Houston, may hurt more than most realize.
FRONTCOURT: Even though he has struggled to stay healthy during his KU career, Udoka Azuikbe was a huge returnee for this Jayhawks team. At 7 feet tall and 270 pounds, Azuikbe is a load for any big to handle, and he has really worked on building an all-around game. He should be one of the best players in the entire Big 12 in '19-'20. Joining Azuikbe in this frontcourt will be junior Silvio De Sousa, senior Mitch Lightfoot, and Iowa transfer Isaiah Moss. Moss averaged 9.2 points per game a season ago for the Hawkeyes, and as a strong three-point shooter, he'll add an interesting element to this Kansas offense.
OVERVIEW: The Jayhawks' lengthy run atop the Big 12 might have ended last year, but don't expect KU to stay down for long. Self returns a ton of returning talent, and this team is significantly deeper than the last few years. The Jayhawks will also benefit from a weakened conference, as the Big 12 lacks much quality teams beyond a reloading Texas Tech team.
6. Virginia Cavaliers
BACKCOURT: Life after Kyle Guy and Ty Jerome won't be easy for UVA, but the cupboard is far from bare in Charlottesville. Head coach Tony Bennett will once again turn to the "next man up" approach, which means more of sophomore Kihei Clark and senior Braxton Key in the backcourt. Clark shot the ball very well last season and proved he could play smart basketball and not turn the ball over, while Key will grow into a starter after being the Cavaliers' sixth man last winter. Freshman Casey Morsell is also going to see minutes, as a pretty notable recruiting win out of Maryland.
FRONTCOURT: Although he may not be as naturally talented as other big men in the ACC, Mamadi Diakite looks ready to take the next step and become an All-Conference talent. Diakite is a well-rounded, mobile big who hit a couple huge shots for Virginia a year ago. He is an obvious breakout candidate going forward. Also back in the frontcourt is junior Jay Huff, who brings much needed length and defense (he is 7'1"). Then, there is also Sam Hauser, who will finish his collegiate career with the Cavs after three seasons with Marquette. Hauser has averaged over 14 points per game the last two seasons, and he will have to see big minutes right away with some of the losses UVA suffered over the off-season.
OVERVIEW: Three massive pieces to Virginia's National Title squad may be off to the NBA, but don't expect Bennett or UVA to slow down anytime soon. There is enough returnees back to carry on Bennett's "pack-line" defense, and the addition of Hauser is going to be huge. A second straight Title is probably too much to ask, but another postseason run isn't out of the question.
7. Maryland Terrapins
BACKCOURT: Steady point guard Anthony Cowan opted to spurn the NBA to once again run Mark Turgeon's offense in 2019-2020. Cowan is a quality scorer and a superb passer, averaging 4.4 assists per game a year ago. He'll spread the ball around to a number of different Terrapin scorers, including fellow guards Eric Ayala and Aaron Wiggins. Ayala is an important shooter, knocking down 41 percent from three last winter, while Wiggins has the tools to be a fine defender. 
FRONTCOURT: Despite the loss of Bruno Fernando, Maryland still returns a lot of important pieces up front. Sophomore Jalen Smith looks ready to have a big second season in College Park. A former highly prized recruit, Smith is still streaky, but he oozes potential. Turgeon seems to believe he is ready to be the go-to guy in this offense. A number of underrated new faces will also see major minutes, with the big names being Chol Marial and Donta Scott. Marial is especially interesting, as a long 7'2" forward who can block shots and run the floor. 
OVERVIEW: Turgeon managed to win 23 games last season despite having one of the youngest teams in D1 basketball. With Cowan, Ayala and Smith back in the fold, I firmly expect the Terrapins to really grow into a formidable opponent. They certainly have the talent to compete with Michigan State for Big Ten supremacy.
8. North Carolina Tar Heels
BACKCOURT: There are few freshman in college basketball that bring more hype to the table than new Tar Heel guard Cole Anthony. A springy, explosive playmaker that can score off the dribble and also hit the three, Anthony is fully equipped to be a star. It wouldn't be surprising to see the UNC offense lean on the youngster from the get-go this season. However, Anthony will need some supporting pieces to assist him in this backcourt. Senior Brandon Robinson and junior Andrew Platek both have been buried behind superior talent early in their Tar Heel careers, but now look ready to step up. Platek is particularly intriguing as a sharpshooter who can play really good defense.
FRONTCOURT: There is no Cole Anthony coming into this UNC frontcourt, but it should still be a formidable group. Junior Garrison Brooks displayed real finishing potential last year, and he could get even better with more opportunities in the low post. Junior Sterling Manley is also going to see an increase in minutes. That pair will have to mentor the youngsters coming in, which includes Armando Bacot and William & Mary transplant Justin Pierce. Pierce isn't young necessarily, but it will be a tough transition going from the Colonial Athletic Association to the ACC.
OVERVIEW: As the fourth team in my top eight coming out of the ACC, North Carolina won't get anything easy in the toughest conference in college basketball. Despite this, Anthony should be able to be a real rallying force for this maturing Tar Heel team, and Roy Williams has proven he can reload as well as anyone. 
9. Florida Gators
BACKCOURT: The Gators are going to be frightfully young in their backcourt entering the new season, but that doesn't mean there is any shortage of talent. Coach Michael White managed to bring in a pair of All-Americans in Scottie Lewis and Tre Mann, who could both start right away. Lewis is especially hyped, as a high-volume scorer with size and athleticism. Florida does bring back some holdovers, with the big names being sophomores Noah Locke and Andrew Nembhard. Nembhard considered going pro, but his return certainly helps Florida.
FRONTCOURT: There might not have been a bigger transfer in college basketball this off-season than Kerry Blackshear Jr., who decided to move on from Virginia Tech once coach Buzz Williams left for Texas A&M. A 6'10", versatile forward who has ample experience, Blackshear chose Florida over a number of other blue bloods. His addition will be especially vital to a frontcourt that loses a number of important options. Luckily, junior center Gorjok Gak is still around Gainesville after taking a redshirt a year ago. 
OVERVIEW: With the additions of Lewis, Mann and Blackshear, there is a massive influx of talent in this Gator program. If White is able to cultivate that talent, this Florida team certainly has the pieces to compete with Kentucky. After short-lived NCAA Tournament treks the last two seasons, a return to the Elite Eight could be in the cards.
10. Gonzaga Bulldogs
BACKCOURT: Losing program mainstays Josh Perkins and Zach Norvell leave a significant leadership void in Spokane, but coach Mark Few has shown he can reload. He managed to bring in his usual crop of graduate transfers, namely Texas A&M's Admon Gilder and North Texas' Ryan Woolridge. Both have proven they can handle the demands of high-major basketball, and they'll immediately see major minutes. Sophomore Joel Ayayi should be in store for a bigger role after barely seeing action at all last season. He impressed in the FIBA U19 World Cup this summer and has shown he can handle being a leading role.
FRONTCOURT: The Bulldogs must also deal with losses in their frontcourt, as both Brandon Clarke and Rui Hachimura were first-round NBA Draft selections this summer. Few will again need little-used options to step up in a big way, as well as a healthy Killian Tillie, who flirted with the NBA himself. Wing Corey Kispert is their top returning scorer, assist man, and rebounder. It will be interesting to see whether the junior is ready to go be the No. 1 guy. Sophomore Filip Petrusev is also going to see an expanded role, as the Serbian showed flashes of stardom a year ago.
OVERVIEW: No program in college basketball has been able to match the consistency of Gonzaga, and even with major losses, it's hard to see them taking much of a step back. Granted, the new transfers will have to gel quickly, and Kispert & Petrusev will have to step up. That would be a lot to ask at most places, but Few has proven time and time again he can lead 'Zaga back to a WCC Title.
11. Villanova Wildcats
BACKCOURT: Having a proven point guard at the helm has long been Jay Wright's recipe for success, and they have just that in junior Collin Gillespie. A steady, level-headed playmaker, Gillespie should look very comfortable engineering the Villanova offense this winter. He also has the luxury of being joined by some talented newcomers, including likely starting shooting guard Bryan Antoine. A five-star prospect, Antoine has great length for a two-guard, and should be featured heavily early. Less heralded but still important is Chris Arcidiacono, the younger brother of former 'Nova star Ryan.
FRONTCOURT: Antoine isn't the only prized recruit stepping onto Villanova's campus this season. Forward Jeremiah Robinson-Earl is also going to see minutes, and the Villanova coaching staff is already raving about him. He will be one of a number of Wildcats that will have to see a larger role with Eric Paschall off to the NBA. Dhamir Crosby-Roundtree is an excellent rebounder and solid defender, while sophomore Saddiq Bey has the upside to be a real factor. 
OVERVIEW: Although 'Nova will face plenty of resistance inside the Big East from Seton Hall, they still look like the slight favorites in the league. Gillespie gives them a veteran to run the show and if Robinson-Earl and Antoine live up to the hype, this Wildcats team is going to be tough to overcome. After a relatively down '19-'20, Villanova should be in store for a redemptive campaign.
12. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Davide Moretti, Texas Tech
BACKCOURT: New playmakers will have to step up in the Texas Tech backcourt, as a number of pieces from the National Runner-Up are gone. However, holdovers like Davide Moretti and Kyler Edwards should be ready to make things happen. Moretti is a skilled shooter who played some key minutes for Tech last year, while Edwards has a ton of upside after a promising freshman season. Freshman Jahmi'us Ramsey is also sure to make an impact, as one of the highest-rated recruits in recent Texas Tech history.
FRONTCOURT: He may arrive with slightly less hype than Blackshear at Florida, but fellow Virginia Tech transfer Chris Clarke was a big get for Chris Beard. Clarke fits this Red Raider roster perfectly, as a premier defender that continues to improve from downtown. He didn't play for the Hokies last season, but he should still make a major impact. Another transfer, T.J. Holyfield, arrives from Stephen F. Austin and should immediately see minutes. Holyfield is a proven veteran who has started 101 games during his time with the Lumberjacks. Him and Clarke will have to play well, and Beard will also need others to step up.
OVERVIEW: Beard has proven that he has built a consistent winner at Texas Tech, and last season's National Championship appearance is just the beginning. There are some serious absences, but a number of high-profile transfers should help fill the void. Another deep postseason run could certainly be possible.
13. Utah State Aggies
BACKCOURT: Sam Merrill, the MWC Player of the Year in '18-'19, is back for another run in Logan. Merrill averaged 20.9 PPG a season ago as the top option in this Utah State offense, but he is an underrated passer who can really get his teammates involved. He should become more of a household name after being one of the best players in college basketball nobody knows about. Sophomore guard Brock Miller is a fine complementary piece in the backcourt, while junior Abel Porter is perhaps the best pure three-point shooter on the roster. Overall, five of Utah State's top six minutes guys from a season ago are back, with most of those minutes coming in this backcourt.
FRONTCOURT: Reigning Mountain West Freshman of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year Neemias Queta returns for his second season with the Aggies. The springy seven-footer set a school record with 84 blocked shots last season, and is the defensive anchor of this Utah State team. Somebody else is going to have to step up alongside Queta in the frontcourt, possibly transfer Alphonso Anderson or rising sophomore forward Justin Bean. Lack of depth is somewhat of a concern, particularly with Queta nursing a knee injury entering the new campaign.
OVERVIEW: A 28-win 2019 was just the beginning for an Aggie program that should continue to get better and better under Craig Smith. The return of so much experience is a rarity in the modern world of college basketball, and there really isn't much competition from inside the conference beyond San Diego State. This could be a real postseason dark horse if things work out.
14. Memphis Tigers
BACKCOURT: A bunch of highly regarded true freshmen may be arriving in Memphis this season, but Tyler Harris will play a pivotal role as one of the few holdovers. Although just 5'9", Harris has great finishing ability and can still get to the rim. He will be particularly important as the only returning piece from Memphis' top six scorers last year. Boogie Ellis, Lester Quinones and Damion Baugh will join Harris in the backcourt. None have played a minute of collegiate basketball, but the talent is there.
FRONTCOURT: According to most recruiting services, 7'1" center James Wiseman is the top newcomer in college basketball this year. A local product from Memphis East High, Wiseman is already making NBA folks drool with his athleticism, touch around the rim and freakish upside. He'll be a top option in this Memphis offense right away. Fellow newbies D.J. Jeffries and Precious Achiuwa were also big recruiting wins for head man Penny Hardaway. Achiuwa is also a five-star prospect like Wiseman, and a superb showing in the McDonald's All-American game has the Tigers thrilled to see what he can do.
OVERVIEW: There hasn't been this much excitement around the Memphis basketball program since John Calipari was head coach, as Hardaway brought in an extraordinary collection of basketball talent into town. With that being said, there is so much inexperience on this roster, that patience will be important as the youngsters figure it out. It would be really helpful if there was at least some veteran presence beyond Harris, but that won't be the case. All of these freshmen are going to need to learn quick, and play big minutes. Even so, the pure amount of talent, and the fact Cincinnati and Houston are reloading, makes Memphis the AAC favorite.
15. Seton Hall Pirates
BACKCOURT: Seton Hall has produced some impressive backcourt talent over these past few years, and Myles Powell is no exception. The superstar combo guard decided to pass on the NBA after putting up 23.1 points per game as a junior, while placing second in the Big East in steals. He is going to be the preseason Big East Player of the Year, and he hasn't shied away from the pressure. Another Myles, Myles Cale, is going to be back for the Pirates on the wing, while veteran Quincy McKnight should bring the ball up for this offense after leading Seton Hall in assists a year ago.
FRONTCOURT: Depth is not much of a concern in this Pirate frontcourt, as loads of experience is back in the fold. Junior Sandro Mamukelashvili, junior Taurean Thompson and senior Romaro Gill all have played a lot of minutes. Then, there is Florida State transfer Ike Ogiabu, a skilled shot-blocker who will be the final piece in a gigantic and imposing frontline. 
OVERVIEW: Villanova has been the most consistent winner in the Big East since it split, but Seton Hall has been right there, and they have a chance to be the favorite in '19-'20. They have everything you could want: a smart, hungry head coach, a proven go-to guy in this offense, veteran guards and a monstrous frontcourt. The Pirates should make their first Sweet 16 in roughly two decades.
16. Purdue Boilermakers
BACKCOURT: The real fuel of the Purdue offense, Carsen Edwards, may be gone but don't expect Purdue to disappear. They still return a crop of pieces that can certainly handle the scoring load, especially in this backcourt. Junior Nojel Eastern is an unconventional but effective piece who has played a lot of minutes for Matt Painter, while sophomore guards Sasha Stefanovic and Eric Hunter Jr. will have to play a larger role. Losing Ryan Cline, a sharpshooter who did so much to space the floor for the Boilermakers, hurts more than you might expect. 
FRONTCOURT: Junior big Matt Haarms has been a steady option in this frontcourt the last two seasons, but he'll now be expected to play an even more important role as a No. 1 option. He led the Big Ten in blocked shots, but seemed to shy away offensively at times last winter. He'll have to be forceful underneath. Sophomores Trevion Williams and Aaron Wheeler are going to see lots of minutes at the forward spots. Williams is a real force on the low post, but he wasn't as in shape as he needs to be last season. Reports are that he has slimmed down and is ready for a big sophomore campaign in West Lafayette.
OVERVIEW: Losing such an important piece like Edwards is going to be a transition for Purdue, but Painter has proven he can rebuild as well as anyone. There is a lot of really solid options to work with, and this is a team that is going to have the depth to survive the rigorous Big Ten. They are still a serious candidate to put together some type of March Madness run.
17. Washington Huskies
BACKCOURT: Losing defensive stalwart Matisse Thybulle and point guard David Crisp puts Washington in a slight bind in their backcourt, but the hope is that some new faces can emerge. Chief among them has to be Kentucky transfer Quade Green. Green showed flashes with the Wildcats but was eventually pushed out by the additions of Ashton Hagans and Immanuel Quickley. He is expected to be eligible to play by early December. Outside of Green, sophomores Elijah Hardy and Jamal Bey are going to have to step up after playing pretty sparingly a season ago.
FRONTCOURT: Head coach Mike Hopkins really proved his worth on the recruiting trail this cycle, by landing a pair of five-star prospects. Isaiah Stewart is the No. 3 overall recruit in ESPN's rankings, and he was a huge get from Big Ten country. The 6'9" mobile big is going to be a real force on the block from the beginning. Fellow five-star Jaden McDaniels also arrives to Seattle, albeit with slightly less fanfare. He can play and defend multiple positions, which will be huge for this Huskies team replacing some key pieces. It isn't just the freshmen that will see minutes in the frontcourt, as senior Sam Timmins was an important returnee, and Nahziah Carter is their top returning scorer.
OVERVIEW: The best team in the Pac-12 throughout last season, Washington is set to reload in a big way. Stewart and McDaniels will need some time to figure it out, but should make an impact, while Green has the talent to be the real engineer of the backcourt. I expect the Pac-12 to take a step forward after two straight dismal seasons, but UW should still be the team to beat in the league.
18. Auburn Tigers
BACKCOURT: Auburn is yet another team losing their best player, Jared Harper, but still retaining enough else to feel good about what they have going into the new season. Samir Doughty now looks like he'll be one of their go-to guys on offense. Doughty excelled as an off-ball, spot-up shooter last year, but he has the talent to be so much more. He is their top returning scorer, notching 7.3 PPG last winter. Senior J'Von McCormick is probably going to play point guard, and while he isn't Harper, he can still be pretty effective. 
FRONTCOURT: Prior to a knee injury that ended his season prematurely, Chuma Okeke was perhaps the most important player on this Auburn team as their best defender and a force on the boards. He was drafted No. 16 this past June, so others will again have to step up. Senior center Austin Wiley has proven he can handle the physical SEC, even though he isn't a go-to scorer. Along with Wiley, senior forwards Anfernee McLemore and Danjel Purifoy are experienced options that should keep the Tigers rolling. 
OVERVIEW: Bruce Pearl finally had his breakthrough at Auburn, leading Auburn agonizingly close to a National Championship appearance. It is nearly inevitable they'll take a slight step back without Harper and Okeke, but there is still enough experience to stay afloat in the ever-improving SEC. 
19. Baylor Bears
BACKCOURT: Even though the Bears don't have a real superstar on this roster, this backcourt is stocked full with versatile, well-rounded guards. That includes former Mississippi State transfer Mario Kegler, who ended last season on fire after a streaky start. Junior Mark Vital is Baylor's top returning rebounder, while sophomore Jared Butler is their top returning passer, averaging 2.7 assists last fall. Butler in particular has real potential, as he looked like a seasoned vet as a freshman last year and should take a sophomore leap.
FRONTCOURT: Now fully healthy, Baylor is excited to see what forward Tristian Clark can do. He was putting together a marvelous 2018-2019 before his season was ended because of a knee problem. Head coach Scott Drew believes he'll be 100 percent to begin the season, and he'll immediately become a go-to scorer. Senior Freddie Gillespie and sophomore Matthew Mayer are two sturdy wings that are going to contribute. Although his minutes dwindled at the end of last season, Mayer showed significant upside in last year's Emerald Coast Classic, including 18 against Nicholls.
OVERVIEW: Kansas and Texas Tech are the favorites in the Big 12 heading into 2019-2020, but don't overlook the Bears. There is a ton of scoring punch back, especially with Clark fully healthy and ready to go. They don't have as much size in the post as others in the league, but that shouldn't matter if their wings can play well.
20. Marquette Golden Eagles
BACKCOURT: If you're searching for National Player of the Year favorite, a good bet is probably Markus Howard, who returns to Milwaukee for his senior season. Howard is a high-volume scoring machine who put averaged nearly 25 points per contest last season. The offense will once again run through him, and he needs just 31 points to become Marquette's all-time leading scorer. Sure, Howard will need some help, especially with the Hauser brothers transferring. Senior Sacar Anim is a fine wing who played a big role in the stingy Golden Eagle defense last season. He'll be tasked with shutting down most opponent's top scorers.
FRONTCOURT: The absence of the Hauser brothers, the second and third leading scorers on this team last winter, seriously hampers Marquette up front. It will force guys like junior Theo John to see a massive increase in minutes. John still has a ways to go on offense, but he led the Big East in blocks last season and remains an imposing presence on defense. More help protecting the rim arrives in the form of Utah transplant Jayce Johnson. A seven-foot grad transfer, Johnson's length should be crucial in keeping teams from getting anything easy around the rim. Expect senior Ed Morrow and sophomore Brendan Bailey, both reserves a year ago, to see expanded roles.
OVERVIEW: Howard's return keeps Marquette in prime position to steal a Big East Title, even with Seton Hall and Villanova sure to be tough outs. The hope for Howard is that he can finish off his collegiate career with a deep Tournament run. The Golden Eagles were ousted quickly by Ja Morant and Murray State last March, but they have the talent to do some damage.
21. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
BACKCOURT: Junior guard Taveion Hollingsworth is back in Bowling Green for WKU, and he will once again lead the Hilltoppers in minutes. In fact, Hollingsworth finished fifth in school history last season in minutes played, with 1,251. He is a versatile scorer as well as an adept passer (2.2 APG). Beyond Hollingsworth, head coach Rick Stansbury is turning to some newcomers, although they are not completely untested. IUPUI transfer Camron Justice averaged 18.6 PPG last season and can hit from downtown, as well as get to the line. Justice originally began his career at Vanderbilt, so he knows big-boy basketball. Freshman Jordan Rawls was a nice win on the recruiting trail; the four-star guard was considering a number of bigger schools but decided to join Stansbury at Western Kentucky.
FRONTCOURT: Stansbury proved his prowess on the recruiting trail prior to last season by landing five-star forward Charles Bassey, widely considered a one-and-done for the Hilltoppers. Instead, Bassey put his name in the NBA Draft then surprisingly decided to pull out, opening the door for what will likely be a huge sophomore season. He averaged a double-double (14.8 PPG, 10 RPG) for WKU a season ago, and has to be the favorite for the C-USA Player of the Year, especially if he can become more consistent. However, Stansbury is going to need somebody to emerge alongside Bassey, as the rest of the frontcourt appears pretty inexperienced.
OVERVIEW: Getting back Bassey immediately jolted WKU into national relevancy, even after a pretty quiet 2018-2019 when they went 20-14. He will be motivated and more confident now, and will have even more support in the backcourt besides Hollingsworth. I expect WKU to make their first NCAA Tournament bid since 2013, and perhaps cause some chaos when they get there.
22. Saint Mary's Gaels
BACKCOURT: The Gaels have a history of producing high-quality guards (look no further than Patty Mills and Matthew Dellavedova) and they have the next in line with Jordan Ford. Ford has improved every single season with Saint Mary's, and he had a huge 2018-2019, averaging 21.1 PPG and playing nearly 37 minutes per game. He is the preseason WCC Player of the Year, and will be the guiding force behind an up-tempo, aggressive Gael offense. Former walk-on Tommy Kuhse returns to pair with Ford. Kuhse led the Gaels in assists last season, and will once again be counted on to keep this offense rolling.
FRONTCOURT: Head coach Randy Bennett has a history of going overseas to land impressive basketball talent, and he has a number of Australians on this roster ready to contribute. Towering junior Jock Perry is going to be pretty crucial as a rim protector, as the 7'1" center should take over for the departed Jordan Hunter. Newcomer Kyle Bowen will also see minutes, after playing for Australia in the 2019 World Cup. Bennett also has his share of returnees from more traditional backgrounds, including Malik Fitts. The former South Florida transfer really took to his new home, posting 15.2 points per game. He should be even better with more experience under his belt.
OVERVIEW: Last year was supposed to be a rebuild for Saint Mary's but instead, they shocked Gonzaga to earn the WCC's automatic Tournament bid. Now, Bennett's team is equipped with a fearless leader in Ford, along with a bunch of important supporting characters. With Gonzaga in a little bit of a rebuild, it wouldn't be a shock to see the Gaels overtake them on the West Coast.
23. Arizona Wildcats
BACKCOURT: After one of the worst seasons in recent Arizona basketball history, head coach Sean Miller went out and immediately landed three backcourt pieces that should quickly shift the tide in Tucson. Point guard Nico Mannion is one of the highest rated recruits in the 2019 class, and the type of dynamic playmaker who can build an entire offense around. He'll probably start at PG right away. He also landed another big name on the recruiting trail in Josh Green, a dominant transition scorer who has received rave reviews from high school scouts. Lastly, bringing in UC Irvine transfer Max Hazzard was notable. Although not at the talent level of either Mannion or Green, Hazzard brings veteran experience and a steady intelligence. Also notable is former Kentucky transfer Jemarl Baker, who struggled with his health in Lexington but can provide a spark off the bench.
FRONTCOURT: A number of former high-profile transfers dot Miller's revamped frontcourt. Former Duke big Chase Jeter has already proven he can work well under Miller, leading the Wildcats in rebounds last season. He is still a project offensively, but the tools are there. Beyond Jeter, former Nevada forward Jordan Brown and Cornell transfer Stone Gettings will see action. Brown was used sparingly by Nevada but has undeniable talent, while Gettings played three seasons with Cornell and looked the part. Also notable is freshman Zeke Nnaji, a skilled big who Miller was able to reel in despite plenty of interest elsewhere.
OVERVIEW: Following a 17-15 season in which they had a losing record in the Pac-12, Sean Miller went out and completely revamped this lineup. A bunch of stud freshmen and high-profile transfers will provide much needed assistance, but they will also need time. If things can work together, overtaking Washington for conference supremacy is within reach, but things good go the other way just as quickly.
24. Wisconsin Badgers
BACKCOURT: Nearly every important piece to the Wisconsin backcourt remains, namely Brad Davison and D'Mitrik Trice. Davison is a typical, hard-working Wisconsin guard that might not have the most talent, but gets the job done. Meanwhile, Trice still remains pretty streaky, but has proven he can be a leader of this offense when he is on. Veteran Brevin Pritzl is also back in the fold, while the Badgers are hopeful Kobe King can finally take the big jump. King has long shown upside in Madison, but his ill health has really restricted what he can do so far in his Badger career.
FRONTCOURT: Moving on from Ethan Happ, the centerpiece of Wisconsin basketball for a number of years, won't be an easy task. Happ topped 2,000 points, 1,200 rebounds and over 400 assists during his career and is now off to playing professional ball in Europe. With that being said, the Badgers still have some options up front. Junior forward Nate Reuvers looked ready to step into the spotlight last year and well he isn't quite at Happ's level yet, his shooting touch gives this offense a different element. Others are also going to have to show what they can do, including junior forward Aleem Ford and newcomer Tyler Wahl.
OVERVIEW: It isn't often we see teams take a step forward once their best player leaves town, but with how much remains intact at Wisconsin, that could possibly be the case. Certainly, the frontcourt is going to need to get better, but Reuvers certainly looks like he can handle being a top option. The consistency of the Badger program also gives you reason to feel good about their chances. With the exception of a frustrating '17-'18 season when they went 15-18, the Badgers haven't missed the Tournament since the late 1990s. 
25. Iowa State Cyclones
BACKCOURT: A pair of transfers should join sophomore Tyrese Haliburton in keeping the Iowa State backcourt rolling, even with Talen Horton-Tucker and Marial Shayok off to bigger and better things. Colorado State transplant Prentiss Nixon and former Penn State guard Rasir Bolton should see major minutes. Nixon sat out all of last year, but averaged 16.1 points per game his final season with the Rams, and can really stroke it. Haliburton, meanwhile, put together a strong freshman campaign and had a fabulous off-season. He could be in store for a real breakout season.
FRONTCOURT: Yet another former transfer should help guide the Cyclones, this one being senior forward Michael Jacobson. Jacobson began his career at Nebraska, but has proven his worth in the Big 12, and is now ISU's top returning scorer. Not necessarily flashy, Jacobson gets it done with a polished offensive skill set and good hustle. Junior Solomon Young missed most of last year with injury, but played a lot as a freshman. He should be counted on to produce, as well as small forward Zion Griffin, who appeared in 17 games last winter.
OVERVIEW: After a one-year March hiatus, the Cyclones returned to the Big Dance last season only to get knocked out by Ohio State in the first round. They lose two big pieces in Horton-Tucker and Shayok, but the returnees are solid and this is a school with a tradition of success. If the transfers can gel quickly, this is a real dark horse in the Big 12. 

Friday, November 1, 2019

College Football Picks 2019: Week Ten

Kyle Trask, Florida
Current Picks Record: 50-22 (5-5 Upset)
(#8) Georgia Bulldogs vs. (#6) Florida Gators
Already one of the better rivalries in college football, Georgia-Florida takes special importance this season as a de-facto SEC East Championship Game. Both teams have just one loss in the conference, but Florida is in a slightly better spot at 4-1 inside the SEC, and with a very favorable schedule down the stretch. You have to be impressed with the Gators this season, as they've recovered from the loss of starting QB Feleipe Franks to really put together a tremendous year. Backup Kyle Trask has performed admirably, and the defense remains among the nation's elite. Granted, going up against this UGA defense is going to be a stiff challenge for Trask. He played well against Auburn and LSU earlier on in the campaign, but the Bulldogs have a ton of speed and are going to find ways to create chaos in the backfield. Trask is going to need support from the Florida rushing attack, which has lacked consistency. Lamical Perine has followed up a breakthrough showing against Auburn with two quiet games. He has all the tools to be a real factor in this game, but the Gator O-Line must also help him out. On the outside, Freddie Swain and tight end Kyle Pitts are going to help Trask as much as possible, but this Georgia secondary is no joke. They're a real ball-hawking group that knows how to create turnovers. However, as good as the Bulldog defense has been for most of 2019, their offense has been nearly the complete opposite. Offensive coordinator James Coley has struggled to manufacture big plays, and the 'Dawgs have really struggled in their last two games, managing 38 points total against South Carolina and Kentucky. Both of those defenses are significantly worse than what Florida can trot out, a defense with stars at each level that loves to get after the quarterback. The Gator defense also appears to be getting healthy at the right time, as both Jabari Zuniga and Jonathan Greenard are probable after both missing their last game. Those two are crucial to the Gator pass rush, which will be firing for the entire sixty minutes. Georgia's Jake Fromm has had to deal with doubters all season long, which have become especially loud seeing Justin Fields' success at Ohio State. Can he come back and prove he is still an elite QB with a big-time performance? Trying to pass against Florida's C.J. Henderson and Marco Wilson is easier said than done. Georgia's ground game has also been similarly underwhelming, despite all the talent of D'Andre Swift, Brian Herrien and Zamir White. If UGA isn't able to use the play-action game to their advantage it's hard to see them really moving the ball effectively. Overall, this Georgia offense just has too many questions for me to feel confident about them at the moment. I think they should be able to get it going at some point, but I don't envision it happening against the country's 12th-ranked scoring defense. If Trask and UF can do just enough on offense, I like them to get the win, and take control of the SEC East.
The Pick: Florida, 24 Georgia, 20

(#15) SMU Mustangs @ (#24) Memphis Tigers
Sure, this is a down week in comparison in terms of big-time college football games, but it should still say something about the growth of the AAC that College GameDay decided to head to Memphis to take in this one between undefeated SMU and the Tigers. SMU in particular has been a great story, jumping to a 8-0 record behind the arm of Texas transfer Shane Buechele. Talent has never been a question for Buechele but Sonny Dykes has really been able to unleash him, to the tune of 2,325 yards and 20 touchdowns. He leads an offense that has an underrated collection of playmakers, including tailback Xavier Jones and receivers Reggie Roberson & James Proche. Roberson in particular should worry the Memphis secondary, as he is still fresh off a 250-yard, 3 touchdown showing against Temple two weeks ago. This is a solid Memphis defense, but stopping the Mustangs offensive momentum is going to be a real challenge, even in front of their home crowd. The good news is that the Tigers can counter with an explosive offense themselves, currently boasting a group averaging nearly 40 PPG (ninth nationally). Veteran QB Brady White has played in, and won, a lot of big AAC duels, and the SMU defense does have some notable question marks. Can they defend the long pass? Can they get enough pressure on White to force him into bad decisions? The Mustangs must also deal with freshman running back Kenneth Gainwell, who has come out of seemingly nowhere to rush for 979 yards and 11 scores. He ran for three touchdowns in a one-point thriller over Tulsa last Saturday, so containing him is of top priority. Even though this may not be a matchup of traditional powers by any stretch of the imagination, I think it will be a really entertaining primetime game. Both of these offenses can hurt you in so many ways, I'd be shocked if this wasn't some type of shootout. I lean Memphis only because of White's experience and because playing in the Liberty Bowl is harder than most realize. With a victory and Appalachian State's loss to Georgia Southern last night, a win could put Memphis in the driver's seat to become the Group of Five representative in the New Year's Six this year.
The Pick: Memphis, 45 SMU, 38

(#7) Oregon Ducks @ USC Trojans
A possible preview of the Pac-12 Championship Game? For all the talk of Clay Helton getting fired at USC, the Trojans still hold a lead in the Pac-12 South and have a chance this Saturday to completely ruin Oregon's Playoff hopes. However, they'll have to find a way to slow down an Oregon team that is playing terrific football on both sides of the ball. On offense, quarterback Justin Herbert continues to run the Duck offense to near perfection, as he hasn't turned the ball over since early October. He will still miss tight end Jacob Breeland, who was the favorite to win the John Mackey Award prior to a season-ending injury, but others have proven they can step up in the passing attack, namely Penn State transfer Juwan Johnson. With that being said, the USC secondary continues to improve and play more confident each game, so Herbert will have to be on the top of his game. The good news for the Ducks is they still feature perhaps the country's best offensive line, which could be able to slow down a fierce 'SC pass rush. The biggest question for Oregon is what is happening to their defense. In a five-game stretch following the Auburn opener, the Ducks had allowed a total of 25 points. In their next two, they've allowed 66, and have had a number of defensive breakdowns we simply aren't used to seeing. The secondary in particular has struggled, which has to be a real concern going up against the Trojans, who feature a vertical passing attack that wants to throw as much as possible. Coordinator Andy Avalos was once the favorite for the Broyles Award (nation's best coordinator), but entering this one, he is just trying to stop the bleeding. One would think Oregon would feel good about facing a backup quarterback, but USC's Kedon Slovis hasn't played like one. He torched Colorado last weekend to the tune of 406 yards and four touchdowns, and while the Ducks are better than Colorado, they still are in store for a challenge. Slovis' favorite target has been veteran Michael Pittman, who is coming off a huge showing and was instrumental in the Trojans earlier upset over Utah. It will be fascinating to see what type of game-plan Avalos tries to draw up to limit this passing attack. The Ducks are also hopeful Troy Dye can really be closer to 100 percent. Dye broke his thumb in the Washington game and showed amazing toughness to play through the injury. As the unquestioned leader of this defense, he has to be on his game for the whole unit to be chugging along. The recent struggles of Oregon and the upset-minded Trojans make this one interesting, but I am still choosing to stick with the Ducks. Herbert and the offense should do just enough, and I think the defense is too good to be playing the way they have lately. It will be a great opportunity for some type of redemption.
The Pick: Oregon, 35 USC, 28

Other Picks
(#14) Michigan @ Maryland: Michigan, 34 Maryland, 21
Virginia Tech @ (#16) Notre Dame: Notre Dame, 23 Virginia Tech, 20
NC State @ (#23) Wake Forest: Wake Forest, 30 NC State, 28
Ole Miss @ (#11) Auburn: Auburn, 38 Ole Miss, 24
Upset: Washington, 35 Utah, 31

Friday, October 25, 2019

College Football Picks 2019: Week Nine

Current Picks Record: 45-19 (4-5 Upset)
(#13) Wisconsin Badgers @ (#3) Ohio State Buckeyes
Jack Coan, Wisconsin
One week removed from a stunning road loss to Illinois, Wisconsin hopes to get back into the Playoff conversation by taking down the Big Ten favorite, Ohio State. It is certainly easier said than done, as the Badgers will have to beat a Buckeye squad whose closest game at this point in the season was a 34-10 drubbing of Michigan State. There isn't any secret how Wisconsin will aim to move the ball in this one: using Jonathan Taylor. Even with their loss last Saturday, Taylor added 132 yards, bumping him up to 957 in total this year. He has had no troubles running through gaping holes this offensive line leaves him, but this Ohio State rush defense is no joke. Once a real problem in 2018, the Buckeyes' defense as a whole has looked vastly improved. They have speed at every level, experience, and a number of future All-Americans. If they're able to slow down Taylor even a little bit, the Buckeyes have to feel confident they can stop Jack Coan. Coan remains a smart, methodical signal-caller who rarely turns the ball over, but can he really make big throws against this OSU secondary? I think Wisconsin is going to have to use screens and short-passes creatively to manufacture yards in the aerial attack. The good news is that the Badger defense remains one of the best in the entire nation, and well-suited to slow down this Ohio State offense. Linebackers Chris Orr, Zack Baun and Jack Sanborn really set the tone for the entire group, and they will be tasked with slowing down a flaming hot OSU ground game. Junior tailback J.K. Dobbins has asserted himself as a legitimate Heisman contender for his play in 2019, and he can form a potent 1-2 punch with QB Justin Fields, an always-dangerous dual threat. Add in Fields' deep ball ability, paired with home run hitter Binjimen Victor and consistent K.J. Hill, this Buckeye offense has so many different ways they can hurt you. It will be fascinating to watch this Badger secondary handle this passing attack, as they haven't really seen much quality passing teams so far this season. Defensive coordinator Jim Leonhard is still going to have his guys ready. Even though Wisconsin doesn't appear to have the offensive options Ohio State has, that hard-nosed, well-coached defense should be able to keep them competitive deep into the second half. However, I just don't see the Badgers being able to keep up for all sixty minutes. There is just not enough they can do enough offensively, unless Taylor has an absolute signature outing, which seems doubtful against this OSU defensive front.
The Pick: Ohio State, 30 Wisconsin, 21

(#9) Auburn Tigers @ (#2) LSU Tigers
Already equipped with two massive wins, over Florida and Texas, LSU will have an opportunity to further strengthen their resume against Auburn. Auburn remains a dark horse Playoff threat, although they'd have to find a way to run the table against a remaining schedule of LSU, Alabama and Georgia. That's a tall order, even for a team equipped with a strong defense and a fabulous, versatile rushing attack. The key for this LSU game will be finding a way to slow down Joe Burrow, who has locked himself down as the Heisman favorite at this point in the campaign. Burrow has flourished behind a quality O-Line, and with loads of playmakers on the perimeter, namely Justin Jefferson and Ja'Marr Chase. This Auburn pass rush has proven it can get after the QB,  thanks to Derrick Brown, Marlon Davidson and Nick Coe. However, somebody in the secondary is going to have to step up and make plays. Coordinator Kevin Steele has his work cut out for him, but this is a talented group ready for a challenge. On offense, Bo Nix continues to have the ups-and-downs to be expected of a true freshman quarterback playing in the unforgiving SEC. He responded admirably after a rough game against Florida by tossing for three scores against Arkansas, but now he faces a secondary that could easily claim to be the country's best. Not only does safety Grant Delpit remain a Jim Thorpe Award favorite, true freshman corner Derek Stingley Jr. looks like the best freshman in the entire nation. I expect the Tigers to keep Nix away from throwing too much, and instead lean on a ground game that is really hitting its stride. "Boobie" Whitlow leads as the feature back, but Gus Malzahn can also throw in Kam Martin, Nix, Shaun Sivers and even wide out Anthony Schwartz, who is an absolute demon on jet sweeps. The LSU defense has not seen an offense that can hit you in so many ways, which could give them some troubles. They'll need a physical defensive line to get into the backfield, while also making some difficult tackles in space. This matchup has proven to be very low-scoring in year's past, but I don't see that being the case in 2019. Both offenses are going make plays against these defenses, but limiting turnovers and maintaining possession will be key. While I think Auburn should able to keep up with Burrow and company, I'm less confident that they will be able to slow them down. Even though they may get caught looking ahead towards their possible 1-2 matchup with Alabama, I'm taking LSU to win in front of the home folks in Baton Rouge.
The Pick: LSU, 38 Auburn, 34

(#8) Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ (#19) Michigan Wolverines
With their Playoff hopes now in the drain following their second loss of the season, Michigan now plays the role as spoiler as they play Notre Dame in Ann Arbor Saturday. The Irish remain on the outside looking in, but if they win here, they have a very good shot to run the table, staring down a favorable remaining schedule. The hope for Notre Dame here is that they can finally get their aerial attack going, as it has been slow to start all season. Veteran QB Ian Book remains effective, but the lack of a downfield passing attack has really limited what this offense can do. They have been aided by the play of Tony Jones at running back. Jones has rushed for 100 or more yards their last three games, and shouldn't be slowing down anytime soon. While the Wolverine defense has been solid against the run, he should still be able to find opportunities. Michigan must also find a good matchup to cover top ND wide out Chase Claypool. At 6'4", 230 pounds with a massive catch radius, Claypool can be a real matchup problem for defenses, and this is already a UM secondary that has struggled to find any consistency. On the other side of the ball, the Irish feature an attacking defensive style that utilizes their athletic defensive front. They have to feel confident going up against a Michigan offense that continues to struggle. While Shea Patterson didn't play bad against Penn State last weekend, he continues to be erratic and doesn't feel pressure very well. It would be very helpful if he had a quality rushing attack to take some of the pressure off of him, but surprisingly, this Michigan team just hasn't been able to run the ball. True freshman Zach Charbonnet remains their go-to guy, but somebody else really needs to step up in the backfield. The Irish secondary doesn't appear as strong as their front seven, so perhaps there will be some chances for Patterson and this UM offense downfield. Even though he wasn't able to reel in the game-tying catch against PSU, Ronnie Bell remains their most consistent weapon, although Michigan would love to get other guys involved, namely Nico Collins and Donovan Peoples-Jones. However, the ultimate X-factor is the Wolverine offensive line, which could ultimately decide this game. I thought they did a good job against the Nittany Lions, but if they struggle to contain this relentless ND pass rush, I don't see any chance that this offense has success. Going into the Big House and coming out with a victory is a tall order for any team, but I actually like the chances for the Irish here. The offense seems to be slowing getting its act together, and there are just too many questions for Michigan at this point.
The Pick: Notre Dame, 27 Michigan, 20

Other Picks
(#5) Oklahoma @ Kansas State: Oklahoma, 44 Kansas State, 23
(#6) Penn State @ Michigan State: Penn State, 24 Michigan State, 17
Oklahoma State @ (#23) Iowa State: Iowa State, 38 Oklahoma State, 30
Duke @ UNC: UNC, 28 Duke, 27
Upset: UCLA, 35 Arizona State, 31

Friday, October 18, 2019

College Football Picks 2019: Week Eight

Current Picks Record: 39-17 (4-4 Upset)
(#16) Michigan Wolverines @ (#7) Penn State Nittany Lions
Pat Freiermuth, Penn State
Now over halfway into the 2019 season, this Michigan-Penn State duel will be essentially an elimination game for Big Ten East Title contention. To be fair, Penn State is already in a better spot, sitting undefeated overall and flawless in league play up to this point. A team that has long been run by explosive offenses, the Nittany Lions' success this season has actually been on the defensive end, where they are holding opponents to just 8.2 points per game. They're especially strong and physical in the front seven, headlined by defensive linemen Shaka Toney and Yetur Gross-Matos, as well as linebacker Micah Parsons. That athletic, quick defensive front will pose an extremely difficult challenge for a Michigan offense already struggling to find its rhythm. With the exception of a give-me game against Rutgers, the Wolverines have eclipsed 40 points just once. Is this the game where Shea Patterson is finally going to get it going? He is going to need a lot of help from an inconsistent offensive line, as well as his receivers. The weakness for PSU defensively is their secondary, which is solid, but far from elite. If Tarik Black or Nico Collins are able to find some seams, Michigan could finally start making big plays. However, just as confusing for this UM offense has been the overall lack of a run attack. A hallmark of Jim Harbaugh teams for years, the Wolverines leading rusher is true freshman Zach Charbonnet, who has just 376 yards. It may be time for Harbaugh and OC Josh Gattis to start getting creative. Maybe some trick plays or new formations will finally open up this offense once and for all. Defensively, Michigan has been up-and-down for much of the year but showed how dominant they could be in a victory over Iowa a couple weekends ago. Don Brown defenses always know how to get after the quarterback, and this unit is no exception. Brown should blitz especially heavy in this matchup, considering the fact the Penn State O-Line struggled with Iowa last Saturday. In the pocket, Sean Clifford has been solid, but is still a young QB facing perhaps the toughest defense he's seen in his career. He will have the backing of the Penn State crowd behind him, as well as help from do-it-all K.J. Hamler, but Clifford is still going to have to make big throws. At running back, Noah Cain is starting to emerge from this committee as the clear-cut feature back. The Nittany Lions have leaned on him whenever they need their offense to get going, and he has proven he can carry the load. The Wolverines' rush defense could use some work, so I wouldn't be surprised to see this being the coming-out party for Cain. Overall, this all the makings of a low-scoring affair. Both defenses are going to bring the heat, and both offenses just haven't looked consistent this fall. Even so, the smart money has to be on Penn State. Not only are they playing in a raucous home environment, they seem to be entering with significantly more momentum.
The Pick: Penn State, 23 Michigan, 14

(#12) Oregon Ducks @ (#25) Washington Huskies
As the only undefeated team left in Pac-12 action, Oregon sits as the conference's truly last hope to put a team in the College Football Playoff in 2019. Yet, their toughest division test stands in the way, as Washington hopes to get their season back on track in Seattle. Oregon is another team long-known for their offense that has moved to a defense-first mentality so far in '19. New defensive coordinator Andy Avalos has been terrific, dialing up perfectly timed blitzes and running complicated schemes that befuddle opposing offenses. He is going to force Washington to beat them through the air, which puts UW's hopes mainly on QB Jacob Eason's shoulders. Eason has had his moments, but has still been incredibly streaky, and hasn't played well against tough defenses. Aaron Fuller, Hunter Bryant and big-play freshman Puka Nacua will offer plenty of support, but the O-Line has to be able to deal with a ferocious Duck pass rush if Eason is able to come out of this one alive. On the other side of the ball, the Husky defense has fared well despite massive losses over the off-season. Defensive backs Myles Bryant and Cameron Williams have proven they can turn over opposing quarterbacks, and they may need to do just that in order to swing momentum in their favor. However, Justin Herbert has looked like a seasoned pro, tossing 17 TD's to just one INT at this point in the year. He leads an Oregon offense that can hit you in a variety of ways. C.J. Verdell and Travis Dye have proven to be a pretty potent 1-2 punch at running back, while Johnny Johnson and Jaylon Redd can open things up on the outside. Unfortunately, Oregon will not have the luxury of utilizing one of the nation's top tight ends, as Jacob Breeland, the favorite for the John Mackey Award, was recently ruled out for the season. Breeland played a crucial role as Herbert's security blanket in this offense, and it will be interesting to see what type of effect his loss has on this Duck offense. I will say, not only does Washington get this huge Pac-12 North duel at home, but they also seem to have the advantage on the sidelines. Mario Cristobal has done a really job leading this Oregon program back into the national picture, but he simply has not shown he can win big games just that. This is a golden opportunity to prove that storyline wrong.
The Pick: Oregon, 34 Washington, 21

(#17) Arizona State Sun Devils @ (#13) Utah Utes
While Oregon versus Washington will act as a Pac-12 North Championship Game, this matchup between Arizona State and Utah may end up doing much the same in the South Division. Both of these teams have responded well to early-season losses, but only one can improve to a 3-1 conference record. With the exception of their performance in the loss to USC, the Ute offense has played very well this season. Veteran signal-caller Tyler Huntley continues to be one of the most underrated in the entire country, with zero turnovers to this point. Yet, the real strength of the Utah attack hinges on tailback Zack Moss and a powerful rushing attack. Moss is averaging 7.6 yards per carry, and is fresh off a two-touchdown showing in a win over Oregon State. Herm Edwards preaches toughness, and his Arizona State defense has responded, but they just might not have enough to get in the way of this furious ground-and-pound offense. Utah can also hit you with an underrated group of receivers, namely home run threat Bryan Thompson, who is averaging over 28 yards per reception. For the Sun Devils, their offense has been surprisingly efficient, even with a true freshman behind center. That true frosh, Jayden Daniels, is a dual threat who has also done a great job of protecting the football. Daniels has also benefitted from the play of wide out Brandon Aiyuk, who has come out of nowhere to rank second in receiving yardage in the Pac-12. Add in under appreciated running back running back Eno Benjamin and this is an offense with some serious weapons. Don't expect that to intimidate the Utes, however. This is a defense that year-in, year-out gets results, and their 13.2 points allowed per game is ninth nationally. They are incredibly strong against the run, ranking second in the country in rushing yards allowed per game (52.8), only behind Wisconsin. This is a defensive front that fills gaps extremely well and has proven they can tackle in space. If the ASU running game ends up struggling early on, even more pressure is going to be on Daniels to make things happen, which has to play right into Utah's hands. I still think the Sun Devils own defense gives them a fighting chance no matter what happens, but going into Salt Lake City is a lot more difficult than most realize. Doing it with a true freshman leading the way is even harder.
The Pick: Utah, 28 Arizona State, 24

Other Picks
West Virginia @ (#5) Oklahoma: Oklahoma, 45 West Virginia, 27
(#9) Florida @ South Carolina: Florida, 31 South Carolina, 20
Temple @ (#19) SMU: SMU, 28 Temple, 27
(#22) Missouri @ Vanderbilt: Missouri, 41 Vanderbilt, 17
Upset: Oklahoma State, 35 Baylor, 33

Monday, October 14, 2019

2019 College Football Midseason Awards

Chuba Hubbard, Oklahoma State
Even though it feels like the 2019 college football season started just yesterday, we are now over seven weeks into the campaign, roughly the halfway point of the regular season. Of course, plenty is going to change between now and early January, when a National Champion is crowned. However, I still felt like it worthwhile to break down my picks for a few of the sport's premier awards (along with some unofficial ones). Here are the winners, along with a few finalists for each award.

National Champion: LSU Tigers
LSU's offensive revolution has been one of the highlights of the 2019 college football season. Long stuck in the stone age on offense, this particular group is shredding defenses to the tune of 52.5 points per game. The offense has a veteran quarterback who seems to be getting more confident every passing week, lethal speed on the perimeter, and a serviceable offensive line. Now, it is important to note the Tigers do still have to go on the road to Tuscaloosca in early November, where they haven't won since 2011. The good news there is that this Alabama defense is extremely beat up, and LSU has a strong enough resume to still gain entry into the Playoff with one loss.
Finalists: Ohio State Buckeyes, Alabama Crimson Tide, Clemson Tigers (projected Playoff field)

Coach of the Year: Matt Rhule, Baylor
Back in 2017, Matt Rhule coached a 1-11 Baylor team in the midst of one of the worst scandals in modern collegiate football. Just two years later, the Bears sit 6-0 and look like a serious threat to topple Oklahoma and win the Big 12. It has been a remarkable turnaround for the program, and Rhule's ability to build a culture and develop talent is the reason for it. The schedule is going to pick up, but this Bears team still looks like they are a double-digit win team. It wouldn't be surprising to see a few NFL teams come calling for Rhule after this season.
Finalists: Ed Orgeron (LSU), James Franklin (Penn State), Mack Brown (UNC), P.J. Fleck (Minnesota)

Biletnikoff Award: CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma
This is going to be a hotly contested year for the Biletnikoff Award, with a host of receivers challenging for the honor. After a 171-yard, 3 touchdown performance in a rivalry win over Texas, CeeDee Lamb now appears to be the slight favorite. The veteran has formed quick chemistry with new quarterback Jalen Hurts, and has flashed unbelievable hands and game-changing speed. I expect his numbers to only get better, even as the Sooners face a stretch of sneaky tough defenses (West Virginia, Kansas State, Iowa State).
Finalists: DeVonta Smith (Alabama), Tylan Wallace (Oklahoma State), Omar Bayless (Arkansas State)

Doak Walker Award: Chuba Hubbard, Oklahoma State
It was a tough decision between Hubbard and Jonathan Taylor for the honor of nation's best running back. I decided to go with Hubbard, who has done more with less help, as he doesn't have the luxury of running behind one of the country's best offensive lines. The Oklahoma State Cowboy leads college football with 1,094 yards, while coming up slightly behind Taylor in terms of total touchdowns. If he continues on his current pace, he'll finish second on OSU's single-season rushing list, behind only Barry Sanders and his 1988 campaign.
Finalists: Jonathan Taylor (Wisconsin), J.K. Dobbins (Ohio State)

Davey O'Brien Award: Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama
After finishing second in Heisman voting a year ago, Tua Tagovailoa has picked right back up where he started. He is completing 74% of his passes for 2,011 yards and 27 touchdowns, along with just one interception. While he has been helped by one of the greatest receiver corps in college football history, Tua has still played at an impressive rate and shouldn't slow down anytime soon. He gets the slight nod over a lot of qualified candidates, such as former teammate Jalen Hurts and SEC West foe Joe Burrow.
Finalists: Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma), Joe Burrow (LSU), Justin Fields (Ohio State)

Chuck Bednarik/Bronco Nagurski Award: Chase Young, Ohio State
An absolute freak of nature who stands six feet, five inches tall and weighs in at 265 pounds, Chase Young has been the most dominant defender in college football so far this fall. Despite facing constant double teams, Young has totaled 8.5 sacks on the season, second nationally. He has also been a help in run support, tallying 21 tackles and forcing one fumble. A serious candidate to be the No. 1 overall selection in the 2020 NFL Draft, the Ohio State defender should load up on hardware before he declares.
Finalists: Evan Weaver (California), Oluwole Betiku (Illinois), Douglas Coleman III (Texas Tech)

Dick Butkus Award: Evan Weaver, California
The fuel behind Cal's surprising start to the year, Evan Weaver leads all defenders in FBS football with 83 tackles. He makes plays at a startling pace, with 22 tackles in a win over Ole Miss and 18 in an upset of Washington. The Golden Bears are going to need their superstar 'backer to keep it up, as they continue play without the help of starting QB Chase Garbers, who is out for a significant period of time.
Finalists: Jordyn Brooks (Texas Tech), Javahn Ferguson (New Mexico State), Curtis Weaver (Boise State)

Jim Thorpe Award: Grant Delpit, LSU
My preseason pick for the award given to the nation's best defensive back, I will stick with Grant Delpit as the eventual winner. While his numbers of 27 tackles, three pass deflections and one INT don't necessarily jump out at you, it is impossible to understate Delpit's importance to the Tiger defense. He is yet another award recipient who is sure to go highly in next spring's NFL Draft.
Finalists: Patrick Surtain (Alabama), Jeffrey Okudah (Ohio State), Douglas Coleman III (Texas Tech)

Breakout Player of the Year: Joe Burrow, LSU
Even the most optimistic LSU fan probably would never have imagined what Joe Burrow has done in 2019, already eclipsing 2,000 yards and notching 27 total touchdowns. It has been a complete transformation for the former Ohio State transfer, as he has played with complete confidence and poise, despite staring down a number of difficult opposing defenses. Seeing a transfer find a new home and succeed is one of the best parts of modern college football.
Finalists: Justin Fields (Ohio State), Oluwole Betiku (Illinois), Anthony Gordon (Washington State), Chuba Hubbard (Oklahoma State), Sage Surratt (Wake Forest)

Freshman of the Year: Derek Stingley Jr., LSU
Another LSU Tiger taking home hardware? With how impressive he has been over the first seven weeks of the year, it is hard to go anywhere else but Stingley here. The former five-star prospect has consistently taken on opponent's best receivers and shut them down. He already has three interceptions and nine pass deflections on the year, and seems to only be getting more comfortable with his role. He certainly appears to be the latest in a long line of star defensive backs in Baton Rouge.
Finalists: Dillon Gabriel (UCF), Kenneth Gainwell (Memphis), Sam Howell (UNC), Jayden Daniels (Arizona State)

Heisman: Joe Burrow, LSU
Nobody has really separated themselves from the pack in this year's Heisman race, but Joe Burrow's performance in a win Saturday over Florida helps him take the slight edge. Burrow not only has the stats to back it up, he has been the leader of 2019's most impressive team, a team with landmark victories over Texas and Florida. The LSU-Alabama meeting might not only decide the SEC race, it may also end up being the deciding factor in the Heisman competition between Burrow and fellow favorite, Tua Tagovailoa.
Finalists: Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma), Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama), Justin Fields (Ohio State), Jonathan Taylor (Wisconsin)

Friday, October 11, 2019

College Football Picks 2019: Week Seven

Current Picks Record: 32-16 (3-4 Upset)
Jalen Hurts, Oklahoma
(#7) Florida Gators @ (#5) LSU Tigers
One week after a huge victory over Auburn at home, Florida must now go on the road and square off with a flaming hot LSU squad. It will be the toughest test of the 2019 season to this point for the Gators, particularly for their offense. While backup quarterback Kyle Trask has been impressive filling in as starter, he has not faced a defense with the speed and playmaking LSU has, particularly on the back-end. Trask will have to face down a secondary that includes Grant Delpit, Kristian Fulton and true freshman Derek Stingley, who has lived up to all the hype surrounding him when he came to Baton Rouge. The Gators have gotten quality production from their wide outs, particularly Van Jefferson and Freddie Swain, who has terrific against Auburn. They'll have to step up and open things up, but expect Dan Mullen to lean on the short-passing attack and the ground game early on. Lamical Perine has been very good, but UF is still going to have to work for every yard. The good news is that the Florida defense is playing at an insane rate right now and completely flummoxed Bo Nix last Saturday. Sure, Joe Burrow and this LSU offense is also rolling at the moment, currently leading FBS football with 54.6 points per game. Burrow has dissected opposing defenses with ease, and it helps that he has some real star power on the outside, including Ja'Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson and Terrace Marshall Jr. Watching this pass offense go up against the Florida secondary should be worth watching itself. C.J. Henderson and Marco Wilson are both fully healthy at cornerback, while junior Shawn Davis already has three interceptions on the season. This is a matchup that has been a physical, low-scoring affair in the past, but LSU's offensive revolution should really add some intrigue. It will be fascinating to watch how Mullen and UF defensive coordinator Todd Grantham try to contain this aerial offense. The Tigers will have to answer some questions themselves, chief among them: can the offensive line contain a potent Gator pass rush? Jonathan Greenard, Jabari Zuniga and Jeremiah Moon provide relentless pressure, and the LSU offensive front hasn't faced a challenge quite like it in 2019. With that being said, I find it difficult to pick Florida to go on the road and beat this Tiger team. It is their second Top 10 battle in as many weeks, and LSU just seems overpowering at this juncture. I expect them to add to their Playoff resume with a quality victory here.
The Pick: LSU, 35 Florida, 26

(#6) Oklahoma Sooners vs. (#11) Texas Longhorns
The Oklahoma-Texas rivalry has long defined the Big 12, and it once again appears to be the most important game of the conference once again in 2019. Oklahoma enters the matchup undefeated, although they haven't beat anyone of note at this point. Jalen Hurts has been nothing short of terrific, tallying nearly 2,000 yards of total offense and 21 touchdowns. It's hard to imagine him slowing down in this one; while the Texas secondary has loads of talent, it is still incredibly youthful and could have a tough time slowing down this Lincoln Riley offense. Not only will the Sooners feature Hurts, but they have loads of weapons surrounding the Alabama transfer. A three-headed monster at running back (Trey Sermon, Kennedy Brooks, Rhamondre Stevenson) should be able to run all over a beat-up Texas defensive front. On the outside, CeeDee Lamb, Charleston Rambo and true freshman Jadon Hasselwood will aid a unit averaging over 53 points per game. Longhorn DC Todd Orlando is going to have to do something unique to slow down this group, especially with how much Longhorns will be on the sideline for this game. The good news is that Texas should be able to keep up offensively, behind the arm of Sam Ehlinger. Ehlinger played superb in this Red River rivalry a year ago, and has already proven he can outplay outstanding defenses, throwing for over 400 yards against LSU earlier on in the year. Unfortunately, he doesn't have the weapons around him that Hurts has, with a beat-up running back situation and a good, but not great, receiver corps. Keontay Ingram could find some gaping holes against an up-and-down Oklahoma defense, and Devin Duvarney will be a factor on the outside. However, this Sooners' defense has looked much improved throughout the 2019 campaign. Granted, they haven't faced elite offenses, but it is still reassuring that they're allowing just 19 points per game on the year. They will have to find a way to slow down the dual threat abilities of Ehlinger, as he killed them at times in last year's duel. Either way, I fully expect this game to still be high-scoring and back-and-forth. Both of these offenses know how to move the ball, and this game features two of the better quarterbacks in collegiate football. This rivalry has also been very competitive, even during UT's recent downturn this past decade. I think this will be a thriller, but the Sooners have to be the smart money. They have a better offense and better health overall, which should be the deciding factor.
The Pick: Oklahoma, 44 Texas, 38

(#10) Penn State Nittany Lions @ (#17) Iowa Hawkeyes
Going into Kinnick Stadium at night is always going to signal an upset watch, and Penn State could certainly be in trouble this upcoming Saturday night. That isn't to say that the Nittany Lions aren't a very strong team, sitting at 5-0 with two dominant victories in their first two Big Ten games. After some early struggles, QB Sean Clifford has played very good football, showing an excellent command of the PSU offense. He is also helped by an offense that has a plethora of weapons, both at running back and at receiver. Journey Brown, Devyn Ford and Noah Cain can all open things up on the ground, and the depth at the position allows them to rotate often and stay fresh. They won't get anything easy against a physical and ferocious Iowa defensive front, but I still expect Penn State to find success on the ground. What will really help the ground attack is K.J. Hamler, who can give defenses real headaches with his game-breaking speed. He's the type of player that could break a game wide open, especially if things stay close deep into the fourth quarter, which I firmly expect them to. While the offense is humming, it seems that the even bigger strength so far for the Nittany Lions has been an aggressive, talented defense. The PSU pass rush has been especially productive, thanks to Yetur Gross-Matos (five sacks), Shaka Toney (five sacks) and Ellis Brooks (three). It could have a real field day in this game, going up against a Hawkeye offensive line that surrendered eight sacks this past weekend to Michigan. That is the biggest mismatch of the game, but the rest of the Penn State defense is going to have to show up. While Iowa QB Nate Stanley isn't a superstar, he has played a lot of Big Ten football, and I think he'll find a way to get this offense going. The Hawkeyes also feature a strong rushing attack, that includes Mekhi Sargent and Toren Young. While PSU can get after the opposing quarterback, I'm not sure if they can completely contain the run. Talent-wise, I do believe that Penn State has an advantage in that department. Yet, you have to factor in the Kinnick factor whenever assessing an Iowa night game. The Hawkeyes came within a hair of beating PSU in 2017, which was a better Nittany Lion team (hello, Saquon Barkley!). I think this could end up being a low-scoring, sloppy duel between long-time Big Ten foes. I think Iowa does just enough on offense to pull off another upset in front of their home crowd.
The Pick: Iowa, 24 Penn State, 21

Other Picks
(#1) Alabama @ (24) Texas A&M: Alabama, 42 Texas A&M, 21
USC @ (#9) Notre Dame: Notre Dame, 31 USC, 27
Hawai'i @ (#14) Boise State: Boise State, 37 Hawai'i, 31
Michigan State @ (#8) Wisconsin: Wisconsin, 23 Michigan State, 14
Upset: Temple, 28 Memphis, 27

Wednesday, October 9, 2019

Post-Week Six College Football Playoff Power Rankings

Justin Fields, Ohio State
We are now over a month in the 2019 college football season and while plenty still needs to be figured out, the CFB Playoff picture seems to be becoming more clear. Things could continue to shift with a stacked slate of games, but through the first six weeks, here is how the Top 8 stands:

The Four
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
Even though the Tide don't own a real signature win at this juncture in the season, this still looks like a convincing national favorite. They have perhaps the scariest offense in the country, a budding defense, and the best coach in the sport. The defense will have to answer some questions after recent struggles, but there is still time to correct. A win over Texas A&M would serve as a nice resume boost before a breezy remaining October stretch.

2 Ohio State Buckeyes
A resounding victory over Michigan State this Saturday was the latest in a long stretch of impressive Buckeye victories. The offense continues to hum along behind Justin Fields and J.K. Dobbins, while the defense has taken major strides. While Ohio State looks like the favorite in the Big Ten, they have three major remaining tests in Penn State, Wisconsin and Michigan. There is also the history of losing to inferior opponents over the last few years, with trap games against Northwestern and Maryland.

3 Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia owns one of the strongest wins in college football right now, beating Notre Dame at home. A blowout victory of Tennessee over the weekend further helped out the Bulldogs, and UGA possesses a favorable remaining schedule. Beyond a road trek to Auburn, games against Florida and Texas A&M seem manageable. With that being said, life as an SEC favorite is no breeze, and the Georgia defense is still incredibly youthful.

4. Clemson Tigers
A squeaky close win over North Carolina in Week 5 might have kept Clemson perfect, but it exposed some serious flaws the reigning National Champs. The offense is loaded with talent, but is still trying to find their rhythm. Trevor Lawrence especially has struggled at times, but we will give this team some time before panicking. They are still a Playoff favorite, and their tough remaining foe is probably Wake Forest in mid-November.

First Four Out
5 LSU Tigers
The Tigers own a very impressive victory themselves, beating a very strong Texas team on the road. The new look offense has been a smashing success, with Joe Burrow asserting himself as a legitimate Heisman contender. It will be interesting to see if that productivity is able to continue through remaining tests against Florida, Auburn and Alabama. This still looks like a good enough team to be a Playoff contender, but handling that schedule is a tall order. LSU will remain right on the cusp until they work through it.

6 Florida Gators
Dan Mullen's second team in Gainesville looks incredibly resilient, overcoming the loss of starting QB Feleipe Franks and continuing to win. They sit at 6-0 and have two of their toughest opponents over the next three games, in LSU and Georgia. The offense is going to have to be creative moving the ball against some of these elite SEC defenses, particularly with Kyle Trask taking a beating this past weekend. Yet, the Gator defense is ferocious, and keeps them in the thick of things in the Playoff chase.

7 Oklahoma Sooners
The Sooners are another team who is rolling right now, with five wins where they all crossed the 40-point threshold. Jalen Hurts has been a key addition for the offense, while wide out CeeDee Lamb and running back Trey Sermon add plenty of firepower around him. The defense has also seemed to make some strides, although they haven't faced super quality competition. We'll learn about just how truly good this OU team is this weekend when they square off against arch-rival Texas. A strong showing there and they could start to climb quickly.

8 Wisconsin Badgers
The best defense in the nation currently resides in Madison, where the Badgers are holding opponents to just 5.8 PPG and 179 yards per game. They also own a quality victory, with a fantastic showing against Michigan earlier in the year. They're set up pretty nicely as a Playoff threat, with a trip to Columbus possibly deciding the season. One thing is for certain: Wisconsin surely looks like the team to beat in the Big Ten West until further notice.

Just Missed the Cut
Oregon Ducks
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Auburn Tigers
Texas Longhorns
Penn State Nittany Lions
Michigan Wolverines
Boise State Broncos
Iowa Hawkeyes

Thursday, October 3, 2019

College Football Picks 2019: Week Six

Current Picks Record: 26-14 (2-4 Upset)
(#7) Auburn Tigers @ (#10) Florida Gators
Bo Nix, Auburn
The first real SEC battle of the 2019 season kicks off this Saturday between the flaming hot Auburn Tigers and Florida, who has managed to survive without starting quarterback Feleipe Franks. Auburn has been particularly surprising, sitting at 5-0 overall despite a tough non-conference opener with Oregon and a road trip to Texas A&M. The Tigers have done most of it with a suffocating defense, headlined by a loaded front seven. Yet, this past weekend, the offense showed just how potent it can be, dropping 56 on a solid Mississippi State defense. True freshman signal-caller Bo Nix seems to only be getting better, although turnovers still pose a problem. He faces a talented Gator defense, with star power at every level. Even going into a hostile environment like the Swamp, I don't see Nix being overwhelmed with the atmosphere. He looked calm and poised a few weekends ago in College Station, and even before that in the opener. The Tigers feature a number of other explosive weapons around Nix, namely steady tailback "Boobie" Whitlow and speed demon Anthony Schwartz. Schwartz, who was banged up to begin the year, has to strike an especially deep fear in this Florida defense. He has had rushing touchdowns in consecutive weeks, using his track speed to fly around on jet sweeps. Gus Malzahn's creativity and unique offense really fits the personnel on this roster, but he will need his offensive line to play well. Florida has proven they can pound offenses with a relentless pass rush, and the Auburn O-Line certainly hasn't been perfect so far in '19. For the Gators, they'll lean not only on that physical defense, but a methodical, efficient offense. Since taking over as starting QB for the injured Franks, Kyle Trask is completing 77% of his passes and seems to have a real command of this offense. He doesn't necessarily wow you with his physical attributes, but Trask does a good job getting the ball out quickly and making the right decisions. Florida will still need somebody to step up on the outside and really open things up. While the Tiger defensive front is terrific, the secondary still has some lingering question marks that could be exploited. Missing Kadarius Toney has really hurt the Gators in that regard, but Van Jefferson and Trevon Grimes have both proven they can do damage. They won't have to dominate, but giving Trask much needed help is an absolute necessity. Even if UF is able to get production on the outside and find some holes in the Tiger defense, I still wonder if they're able to keep up with Auburn for sixty minutes. This is a scary Tiger team, and a victory on the road here should assert them as a very real Playoff contender. Going into Ben Hill Griffin Stadium is obviously never easy, but I like the Tigers to keep it rolling here.
The Pick: Auburn, 35 Florida, 27

(#14) Iowa Hawkeyes @ (#19) Michigan Wolverines
Outside of a close win against Iowa State in the Cy-Hawk this past month, we still aren't really sure how good Iowa really is, as they sit at 14th nationally. It looks like the typical Hawkeye team, one with a rock-solid quarterback, a punishing offensive line, and a stout defense. Nate Stanley has been exactly what Kirk Ferentz looks for at QB (8 TD, 0 INT), but the real strength of the Iowa offense so far on the year has been a three-pronged backfield attack. Mekhi Sargent, Toren Young and Tyler Goodson all have eclipsed 200 yards on the campaign, with Young serving as the big-play option, averaging 7.6 yards per attempt. On the perimeter, Iowa might miss Noah Fant and T.J. Hockenson at tight end, but they've still done enough to have confidence they can move the ball in a variety of ways. With that being said, the Hawkeyes now stare down a Michigan defense that has loads of talent, and seems to be playing hungry. This Wolverines' defense has been much maligned for its play in a win over Army and a bad loss to Wisconsin, and for good reason. They haven't stopped the run as well as in year's past, and the pass rush really hasn't looked like Don Brown defenses normally look like. However, this is the type of offense Michigan generally plays well against, and they now have momentum after shutting out Rutgers last Saturday. They'll look to force Stanley to make a few rare mistakes, and commit his first turnover of the new year. For all the questions Michigan has on defense, the offense has been even more maligned. New offensive coordinator Josh Gattis promised a more open, up-tempo offense that better utilizes UM's speed on the outside. Yet, this group hasn't really delivered on that promise, and veteran QB Shea Patterson has really struggled. The good news is that Patterson appears to finally be 100 percent, and is coming off a strong showing a week ago. Granted, this Iowa defense is a little bit more of a challenge than the Rutgers group, but Patterson does have a couple of rising stars at receiver in Ronnie Bell and Nico Collins. The hope is that the ground attack can also rejuvenate this week, whether its Christian Turner or Zach Charbonnet (probable) leading the charge. Michigan is also going to need the O-Line to handle a vaunted Iowa pass rush, but playing in front of the home crowd should be able to give the whole offense a boost. A preseason Playoff pick of mine, Michigan has definitely disappointed through the first month of the season. Yet, I still think this is a team that should be able to figure things out going forward, and I think they find a way to come out on top here. Home field is obviously a major advantage, and I envision the defense having a redemptive afternoon.
The Pick: Michigan, 28 Iowa, 20

(#25) Michigan State Spartans @ (#4) Ohio State Buckeyes
Following their 41-point dismantling of Nebraska last weekend, it has become clear that Ohio State is the team to beat in the Big Ten. They're hopeful to continue their momentum at home this Saturday against a tough Michigan State team. After managing just one touchdown in a loss to Arizona State in early September, the MSU offense has looked significantly better, with 71 points over their next two. Quarterback Brian Lewerke has been rock-solid, coming off a 300-yard showing in the victory over Indiana. He is aided by a number of under-the-radar playmakers, namely wide out Darrell Stewart and talented youngster Elijah Collins. Will it be enough to score against the Buckeyes? The Spartan offensive line is going to have to find a way to slow down Chase Young, Jeffrey Okudah and the rest of a talented Ohio State defense. Young in particular has to have the Michigan State offense worried, as the possible top pick in next spring's NFL Draft already has eight sacks on the season despite facing constant double teams. The good news is that the Spartans feature a dominant defense themselves, including one of the nation's premier rush defenses. Even though they allowed 31 this past week, they still are allowing just 15.0 points per game, which sits 14th nationally. They have to find a way to slow down a Buckeye offense that can hurt you in a variety of ways. Quarterback Justin Fields has been absolutely terrific, already notching 23 total touchdowns on the year with zero interceptions. The former Georgia transfer has already proven himself as one of the country's most effective dual threats, and he really makes the rest of this offense go. Running back J.K. Dobbins has had a huge season with defenses focusing on Fields, and he should be ready to do damage, even against a physical Spartan defensive front. Dobbins has scored in every single game of the season, with the only exception being against Nebraska, when he ran for 177. On the perimeter, a trio of receivers will test an experienced MSU secondary. Senior K.J. Hill and Chris Olave have to be top priorities for the Spartans, as they've already combined for eight touchdowns on the season. Scoring points against this Michigan State group should still pose a stiff challenge, but with the way this offense is rolling under new head coach Ryan Day, the Buckeyes shouldn't have too much difficulties. Unless the Spartans are able to figure things out against a speedy, talented defense themselves, OSU keeps on humming.
The Pick: Ohio State, 34 Michigan State, 14

Other Picks
California @ (#13) Oregon: Oregon, 27 California, 16
(#3) Georgia @ Tennessee: Georgia, 41 Tennessee, 20
(#15) Washington @ Stanford: Washington, 30 Stanford, 20
Purdue @ (#12) Penn State: Penn State, 37 Purdue, 21
Upset: Texas Tech, 45 Oklahoma State, 42