Friday, August 17, 2018

College Football Preview 2018: 6. Washington Huskies

6. Washington Huskies

They look like the clear favorite in the Pac-12, but Jake Browning will decide whether this team is ready to seriously challenge the nation's elite

Myles Gaskin

Offense: Washington's 2016 offense was one of the best in school history, as the Huskies averaged nearly 42 points per game, eighth nationally. That group took a step back in 2017, as UW missed wide out John Ross' game-breaking speed on the outside. The good news is that most of the significant pieces from that '17 offense are returning, including a veteran quarterback.

That veteran QB is senior Jake Browning, who has started 39 games in his Washington career. Browning enters 2018 with something to prove; after being a Heisman finalist and Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year in '16, he was just an honorable mention pick in the league. He had 2,719 yards and 19 touchdowns, both numbers down significantly from the year prior. Browning has the arm strength and feel for the game to be an elite-level QB, and there is no denying how good of a team this is when he plays at that level. He could well be the difference between this team being a ten-win team, and them winning it all.

Running back is in good hands, as the Huskies bring back senior Myles Gaskin, who is on the verge of becoming Washington's all-time leading rusher. Gaskin isn't going to run anyone over, but he is a quick, shifty athlete that proved last year he could lead this offense, with 1,380 yards and 21 touchdowns on the season. Sophomore Salvon Ahmed impressed as a true freshman last year, and should see more action this season as an electrifying playmaker.

Despite a productive season from Dante Pettis (63 catches, 761 yards), the Huskies definitely missed John Ross in 2017. Ross stretched the defense vertically, which opened up a ton of different things for this offense. Now, UW must deal with replacing Pettis, putting a ton of pressure on this maturing receiver group. The hope is senior Chico McClatcher can rebound after suffering a broken ankle last year, or junior Aaron Fuller takes a major step forward. There is also hope the top prize of the 2017 recruiting class, Marquis Spiker, can make an instant impact. Spiker has game-breaking speed and has the look of a star receiver at this level, but he will need time. Sophomore tight end Hunter Bryant should provide a bright spot. Bryant quietly had 331 yards receiving last year and proved he could stretch the field, averaging 15 yards per catch. If he can take a step forward and some combination of McClatcher/Fuller/Spiker emerge, this unit should be able to replicate Pettis' impact.

The offensive line is going to be very good, as four starters return to a group that played very well towards the end of '17. There is loads of veteran experience, headed by the two tackles, seniors Trey Adams and Kaleb McGary. McGary was All-Pac-12 a year ago and remains one of the premier pass blockers in the conference, while Adams is hoping to regain his 2016 form after missing half of last year with a knee injury. Junior center Nick Harris and senior guard Jesse Sosebee are also returning.

Even without a clear-cut No. 1 receiver at this juncture, Washington's offense looks like one of the Pac-12's top units entering 2018. There is a ton of experience at every level, and good overall balance between the run and pass. Head coach Chris Petersen and this offensive staff should have plenty of fun trying new and unique things with this group.

Defense: Playing in the high-scoring Pac-12, Washington's defense often gets ignored. That shouldn't be the case in 2018, as this side of the ball has all the tools to be very dominant, particularly on the back-end.

UW will definitely miss high NFL Draft selection Vita Vea on the defensive line, but they should still form a formidable pass rush. Senior Greg Gaines is an All-Conference talent that should really take over in Vea's absence. The veteran has played 33 games at nose tackle, and knows how to be disruptive in this conference. Junior end Benning Potoa'e is a rock-solid pass rusher that drew good reviews coming out of the spring, but the starting spot left by Vea is still up for grabs as fall camp continues.

The Huskies had one of the nation's best rush defenses (fourth in total yardage) in 2017, thanks not only to Vea and Gaines' work, but the rangy linebacker corps. Seniors Tevis Bartlett and Ben Burr-Kirven are two of the better linebackers in the conference, a pair of smart, athletic defenders. Burr-Kirven led the team in tackles a year ago with 84, while Bartlett proved to be more of a blitzer, with 12 TFL. Washington's staff is very excited about newcomer Ale Kaho, a five-star recruit out of Las Vegas. A lot of people expect the true freshman to see snaps right away, perhaps even vie for a starting spot at outside linebacker, even though he is more natural on the inside.

2017 was a rebuilding year for Washington's secondary, as they had to replace three NFL Draftees in Budda Baker, Sidney Jones and Kevin King. It was rebuilt just fine, and now has a chance to be pretty special. Sophomore cornerback Byron Murphy went from a star on the scout team to a key cog in the back, picking off two passes and deflecting seven passes despite dealing with injuries. He will be aided by two veterans, junior Austin Joyner and senior Jordan Miller at that cornerback position. This defense often lines up with five defensive backs on the field, which should be very helpful in getting UW's talent in the secondary on the field, including safeties Taylor Rapp and JoJo McIntosh. Rapp is perhaps the most important defender on the team, a rangy defender who knows how to make the big play.

Washington allowed just 16.1 PPG and under 300 yards per game in 2017, both in the Top 10 nationally. They did that with a secondary that was retooling heavily and a front seven that wasn't incredibly deep. With both those things looking much improved entering '18, this defense should certainly be one of the elite nationally again.

Special Teams: Maybe the biggest question mark on Washington's entire team is placekicker, where they were just 13 of 22 (59%) on field goals in 2017. Sophomore Van Soderberg is the favorite to win the job, but he was just 1/3 last year and needs refinement. Punter should be in good position with junior Joel Whitford back, and the return game has a number of weapons.

Following the highs of the 2016 that included the program's first ever Playoff berth, 2017 felt a little bit disappointing in Seattle. Considering they still won ten games and played for a Fiesta Bowl, that should say something about how much Chris Petersen has elevated the program. Last year's disappointment should also serve as motivation for this 2018 squad, which could be the best Petersen has had since arriving here. There is experience at every single level throughout the offense and defense, and few clear weaknesses. The X-factor has to be Browning; if he can regain his 2016 form this Huskies team has more than enough to win the conference and seriously compete for a National Title. Yet, if Browning again has a year like 2017, this Washington team should still be good, but not yet ready to compete on a national stage. The September 1st opener against Auburn in Atlanta should give us a pretty good indication of which UW we'll see in 2018.

Team Projections
Projected Record: 11-2 (8-1 Pac-12, Win Pac-12 Championship)
Offensive MVP: RB Myles Gaskin
Defensive MVP: S Taylor Rapp
Breakout Player of the Year: TE Hunter Bryant



Thursday, August 16, 2018

College Football Preview 2018: 7. Michigan Wolverines

7. Michigan Wolverines

They face a brutal schedule, but the addition of Shea Patterson should finally awake this slumbering offense


Karan Higdon
Offense: Michigan endured some of the worst quarterback play in the entire country last season, ranking 111th in the country in pass offense. Veteran Wilton Speight went down with a back injury early on in 2017, leaving the offense to John O'Korn, who had a rough year. Brandon Peters came on as a redshirt freshman and looked like he had potential, but he struggled with injuries. This off-season, Speight transferred and O'Korn graduated, leaving Peters as the last remnants of the position, which may not such a bad thing. 

That QB position got even more interesting this spring, when Ole Miss transfer Shea Patterson was ruled eligible. Patterson was a five-star recruit with the Rebels who showed flashes, but suffered an injury halfway through 2017. He is taking advantage of an NCAA rule allowing any Ole Miss players to transfer anywhere without sitting out the year, per their sanctions. Many Michigan fans feel like the rocket-armed, athletic Patterson is finally the savior to their recent quarterback woes. There is no denying Patterson's talent, and he will have plenty of help. He will be aided be a revamped coaching staff that now includes Ed Warriner and Jim McElwain, two great offensive minds that should get the best out of him. However, I wouldn't count Peters out of this quarterback competition just yet; it is going to be an extremely intriguing battle to keep an eye on.

Even if Patterson is the savior at QB, Jim Harbaugh will still run the football quite a bit. Harbaugh is equipped with a deep backfield with a number of different skill sets. Senior Karan Higdon is the feature back with 994 yards and 11 touchdowns a year ago, and could be even better. Higdon isn't very physical, but is incredibly shift and potent when he gets the ball in a little bit of space. Junior Chris Evans should see plenty of action, after adding 685 yards a season ago. Evans is a superb receiver out of the backfield, so expect to see the Wolverines try some different things with him to try and jolt the offense. Christian Turner, a four-star newcomer, is a guy Harbaugh could utilize as well, after Michigan managed to keep him away from a number of SEC schools in his home state of Georgia.

Michigan lacked experience and depth at wide out last season, another major contributor to their offensive pains in 2017. This group should be much better in 2018, with a number of breakout candidates ready to emerge. The most likely No. 1 guy is going to be sophomore Donovan Peoples-Jones, who has limitless potential. Peoples-Jones was a five-star recruit who came in with plenty of fanfare and had some moments, but finished with a quiet 22 receptions and 277 yards. The addition of Patterson changes things, as the new signal-caller's huge arm is a perfect fit for Peoples-Jones' blazing speed and home run ability. Fellow sophomore Tarik Black could also have a huge season after missing most of 2017. Through the first three games Black looked like the Wolverines' best receiver, but he lost the rest of the season to a broken foot. At 6'3" with terrific agility, Black looks like he could be quite the playmaker. Senior Grant Perry and junior Kekoa Crawford will be an ideal supporting cast. Perry is their most veteran receiver and was proven he can move the chains for this offense. Tight end should be a huge strength, as UM is equipped with juniors Sean McKeon and Zach Gentry, who combined for over 600 receiving yards a season ago.

It will be interesting to see how Michigan's offensive performs this season. It has been a sore spot for the team for some time, but there is some talent returning. Junior left guard Ben Bredeson looks like he can step up and be the leader, and the veteran has earned national respect, making it on to the Outland Trophy (nation's best interior linemen) watch list. Senior right tackle Juwann Bushell-Beatty is also a key returnee, but the left tackle spot is a major concern.

Is this the best offense Harbaugh has had since arriving in Ann Arbor? On paper, Patterson throwing to Black and Peoples-Jones on the outside with Higdon busting up the middle sounds like it is, but there are some concerns here. Patterson will need to time to develop chemistry with the young receivers, and learn a tough offense. The O-Line also needs to prove it can hang with the best the physical Big Ten has to offer. With that being said, this offense at the very minimal should be able to create some more big plays than last year's group, and is overall much more versatile.

Defense: Patterson and the offense are going to get plenty of deserved attention, but the real backbone of this Michigan team is going to be the defense. The Wolverines were decimated by the NFL Draft prior to 2017, and yet still had the country's best pass offense and third best overall defense in yardage. Now, eight starters return, and there is some really intriguing talent set to play larger roles.

Harbaugh and staff got a late Christmas present when defensive end Chase Winovich announced he would return for his senior season in early January. Winovich's tenacity and power attracted a lot of NFL attention, as did his 19 tackles for loss and 8.5 sacks. His return almost guarantees this defensive line is going to be special, but he isn't the only supreme talent on it. Junior Rashan Gary is the former national No. 1 recruit, and he has had his moments in limited time with the Wolverines. Now likely to start at the end spot opposite of Winovich, people are expecting big things. He has All-American talent, and had 11.5 TFL in 2017. Up the middle, the Wolverines bring back a number of veterans, including likely starters Bryan Mone and Michael Dwumfour. Sophomore Aubrey Solomon is another former high-profile recruit who looks ready to do some serious damage. He had 16 tackles as a reserve last season, but has bulked up and looks ready to go. If he is able to step up and Gary fulfills his vast potential, this D-Line is terrifying and comparable to some of the best in the country.

The linebacker corps is stacked as well, led by All-American inside linebacker Devin Bush. Bush emerged as a do-it-all, intelligent defender early on in 2017 and finished with 95 tackles, five sacks and seven pass deflections. He is a key cog in run support but his athleticism also allows him to be one of the country's top coverage linebackers. Junior outside linebacker Khaleke Hudson offers plenty of support for Bush, and he could have a huge year. Defensive coordinator Don Brown is known for aggressive blitzing, and Hudson could be his top weapon in that aspect, after the veteran had 16 tackles for loss last season. Michigan will miss Mike McCray at the other outside linebacker spot, but sophomore Josh Ross has huge upside and looks ready to take over the starting job.

This is going to be an absolutely lockdown secondary, as all four starters are coming back to a pass defense that allowed just 150 yards per game in '17, the best in the entire nation. Juniors Lavert Hill and David Long are typical Harbaugh cornerbacks; they are physical and superb in man-to-man coverage, giving this defense some serious bite. Senior free safety Tyree Kinnel is another important face back, as he had 66 tackles and two interceptions last year. There is some fascinating young talent to keep an eye, including sophomore corner Ambry Thomas, who will find a way to get on the field.

This defense is going to be terrific this season, without any real weaknesses to point to. They have stars at every unit and depth and experience throughout, not to mention one of the game's top coordinators in Brown. It could certainly make the case as the best defense in the country.

Special Teams: Even though he had some ups-and-downs, placekicker Quinn Nordin still finished 19 for 24 on field goals last season and is now returning. If he can get more consistent, he has the leg strength to be among the best in the conference. Donovan Peoples-Jones is going to be a factor in the return game, as he returned one punt to the house a year ago.

People are quick to criticize Harbaugh and his success at Michigan, where he is 1-5 against their two main rivals OSU and MSU and has yet to finish higher than third in the East, but this 2018 team looks like his best yet in Ann Arbor. The defense is so talented top to bottom, and it could get even better if some of the younger guys fulfill their potential. That will allow this offense time to figure things out and grow into what could be a pretty good group. If there is one thing not to like about this team it is their schedule, which may be the toughest in college football. Not only does UM have to deal with the Big Ten East, possibly the toughest division in college football, it gets Nebraska and Wisconsin from the West and Notre Dame in the non-conference. Yet, the schedule also allows them some wiggle room; if they impress enough and still find a way to win the conference they could theoretically still impress the Playoff Committee enough to make the four-team field. That's a real possibility but my most likely bet? The Wolverines survive the East, but come up short in the Big Ten Championship, still a fine result for a team that lost five games a year ago.

Team Projections
Projected Record: 10-3 (7-2 Big Ten, Loss in Big Ten Championship)
Offensive MVP: RB Karan Higdon
Defensive MVP: LB Devin Bush
Breakout Player of the Year: WR Donovan Peoples-Jones

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

College Football Preview 2018: 8. Ohio State Buckeyes

8. Ohio State Buckeyes

Urban Meyer's future is completely unclear, but the Buckeyes' talent level keeps them afloat in the Big Ten East


Parris Campbell
Offense: For the first time since 2014, Ohio State will not have J.T. Barrett under center. There is no denying Barrett's ability to win in Columbus and he will be missed, but many Ohio State fans are actually excited about the prospect of a new signal-caller. Barrett left a little bit to be desired as a passer at times and was never incredibly consistent. The hope is sophomore Dwayne Haskins can learn quickly and showcase his astounding arm talent. Haskins did face some resistance for the starting job at first, but redshirt frosh Tate Martell is too raw, and veteran Joe Burrow transferred to LSU. He is not super experienced, but people have long raved about Haskins' talent, and he looked superb against Michigan a season ago.

With Haskins still learning and figuring things out, the Buckeyes should lean heavily on the ground game early and often. That could well be the strength of this entire team, as budding star J.K. Dobbins returns, along with rock-solid Mike Weber. Dobbins took advantage of Weber's ill health to have a booming arrival 2017's opener, notching 181 yards against Indiana. Dobbins finished with 1,403 yards on the season, and looked like he was just getting started. It isn't unreasonable to think he can become a serious Heisman favorite, especially if he improves his touchdown numbers (seven a year ago). Weber is no slouch either, with 626 yards and ten scores in '17, proving to be quite the force in short yardage situations. The combo should be the Big Ten's best and one of the most fearsome in the entire country, particularly if Weber stays healthy.

Ohio State is still searching for a clear No. 1 receiver entering 2018, but there are a good list of candidates. Junior K.J. Hill has emerged as a well-rounded wide out with plenty of upside, although he needs to get stronger and more aggressive. Junior Austin Mack and senior Terry McLaurin are two other receivers sure to get plenty of targets, with McLaurin really emerging as a deep threat down the stretch last year. Then, there is senior Parris Campbell who fill the H-back role, a spot resided for Urban Meyer's most explosive athletes (ahem, Percy Harvin) and a hybrid runningback/receiver role. Campbell had 584 yards receiving last season and averaged over 13 yards per carry. Tight end is a concern without a proven playmaker returning, but junior Rashod Berry looks like he is about ready to breakout.

The offensive line won't have things easy entering 2018 without their unquestioned leader, All-American Billy Price. With that being said, the Buckeyes should still be a formidable force in the trenches, with senior Isaiah Prince and junior Michael Jordan back. Jordan, in particular, looks like he has the most upside out of anybody in this talented group. Senior guard Demetrius Knox is another veteran blocker back with significant experience. 

Life without J.T. Barrett is going to be different, but Ohio State's offense should prove to be awfully potent in 2018. Haskins has the potential to be something special, although there will be some huge growing pains. That should only mean more reliance on a ground attack that will be among the best in the country. That is an awfully huge advantage to have for a team losing a four-year starter.

Defense: It was a weird off-season for Ohio State defensive coordinator Greg Schiano, who was set to become Tennessee's next head coach before a Twitter mob descended and essentially blocked the hire. It isn't a bad consolation prize for Schiano to return to Columbus and continue leading a Buckeyes defense stocked with future NFL talent. He will aided by the addition of co-DC Alex Grinch, who did a superb job leading Washington State's vastly improved defense the last few years.

Schiano and Grinch have the luxury of possessing one of college football's best defensive lines, which will constantly be causing chaos in opposing backfields. Junior end Nick Bosa is the big-time returnee to the group; the younger brother of former OSU star Joey, Nick won Big Ten Defensive Linemen of the Year in 2017 with 8.5 sacks and 16 TFL. Bosa will likely see constant double teams in '18, but he has the high motor and explosive first step to still be a major force. Up the middle, juniors Dre'Mont Jones and Robert Landers are slated to start at the tackle spots. Jones is a skilled pass rusher with significant upside, while Landers will keep the rush defense (which was sixth-best nationally a year ago) top-notch. Then, there is sophomore Chase Young, who is set to have a huge campaign. In very limited action last season, Young had 2.5 sacks and showed he could really pressure the quarterback. With Sam Hubbard off to the NFL, Young is now likely to start and he isn't dampening expectations, saying he expects himself to manage at least ten sacks. 

That D-Line will have to play well, because the linebacker situation is not very good. Sophomore middle linebacker Tuf Borland is the only player back with much experience, but suffered an Achilles injury in the spring and will miss a big chunk of time. Borland will be a pretty tough player to replace, as he had 58 tackles last season, but sophomore Baron Browning has shown flashes and should be able to lock down the MLB spot until Borland returns. Neither outside linebacker starting job is set in stone, although there is talent. Junior Malik Harrison has potential to evolve into a real dangerous edge rusher but is still learning, while sophomore Pete Werner looks like the favorite on the other side.

Ohio State has become a factory of defensive back talent over the last few seasons, with six defensive backs being taken in the last four NFL Drafts. Don't expect that trend to halt this season, as the Buckeyes are loaded with talent on the back-end. Juniors Jordan Fuller and Damon Arnette are the real veterans of the unit, with Arnette the No. 1 cornerback and Fuller starting at strong safety. Arnette will be joined by a cornerback group with experience and significant upside. Alabama transfer Kendall Sheffield is a talented veteran, but youngsters Shaun Wade or Jeffrey Okudah could start over him. Okudah in particular has OSU coaches very excited, as the sophomore already has proven his insane athleticism and impressive ball skills. 

Bringing in Grinch from Washington State was a huge get for Meyer and Ohio State. The 37-year-old is an innovative mind who specializes on the secondary, which should really help the immense talent there come out in full force. Add in the returns of Bosa, Jones, Young and a healthy Borland and this Buckeyes' defense shouldn't miss a beat from the unit that allowed just 19 PPG last season, 15th in the nation.

Special Teams: This is going to be a real strength for this Ohio State team, as they return their kicker and punter, along with a number of return weapons. Placekicker Sean Nuernberger was very important to get back for his senior season; he was 17 for 21 on field goals last year. Parris Campbell and Mike Weber are very dangerous on kick returns.

Prior to a couple weeks ago, Ohio State was my pick to win the Big Ten and be the representative from the conference in the Playoff. However, the Urban Meyer situation, which is still ongoing at the time of publishing, changes the narrative quite a bit. Even if Meyer is not removed from his post, the drama resulting from it could be quite a large distraction for this team, which already has a number of things they need to figure out. Taking a look at the Buckeyes' schedule is also pretty concerning. Ohio State will have a scary neutral site test with TCU in Arlington halfway through September, then must deal with road trips to Penn State and Michigan State once they start Big Ten play. It wouldn't surprise me if Meyer comes back with a vengeance, Dobbins becomes a Heisman favorite and Haskins is terrific, which would likely result in a great season. With that being said, there are just too many questions at this point for that to be the case. Right now, they look like a really talented team that should contend for the Playoff, but sits on the outside looking in.

Team Projections
Projected Record: 10-2 (7-2 Big Ten)
Offensive MVP: RB J.K. Dobbins
Defensive MVP: DE Nick Bosa
Breakout Player of the Year: DE Chase Young

Sunday, August 12, 2018

College Football Preview 2018: 9. Miami Hurricanes

9. Miami Hurricanes

Last year's sour ending should leave this Miami team incredibly motivated, and the Coastal Division is theirs to lose


Travis Homer
Offense: It will be interesting to see how head coach Mark Richt and offensive coordinator Thomas Brown handle Miami's quarterback situation entering 2018. Fifth-year senior Malik Rosier is returning, but there are a wide number of people who think the incumbent starter could be replaced. Rosier started off last season strong before struggling mightily down the stretch, completing just 44.9% on the Hurricanes' three-game losing streak to end the year. He also had 14 interceptions over the course of 2017, and needs to show he can control the offense with confidence.

If Richt and staff do choose to go in a different direction than Rosier, redshirt freshman N'Kosi Perry is the likely consolation. Perry has impressed coaches with his arm strength and mobility, but is still very raw in the finer points of the game. Four-star newcomer Jarren Williams has also drawn rave reviews, but handing the reigns to a true freshman over senior veteran seems unlikely. 

No matter what direction the Hurricanes do go surrounding the QB position, they now they have a strong running back to take some pressure off. Junior Travis Homer took over the reigns for the injured Mark Walton early on and didn't disappoint, finishing with 966 yards and eight touchdowns on the year. True to his name, Homer is a home run threat who can score every time he touches the ball. He also remains a solid receiver out of the backfield, giving this Miami offense a really helpful spark at times. Sophomore DeeJay Dallas made some noise in a backup role last season and could do much the same in 2018, but more people are excited about true frosh Lorenzo Lingard. Lingard is a local star out of Orange City, Florida, and is widely considered one of the top backs in the entire country this 2018 recruiting class. He could immediately get big-time usage as a change-of-pace weapon behind Homer.

Receiver also doesn't seem like a huge concern for the Hurricanes, thanks in large part to the healthy return of junior Ahmmon Richards. Richards was an absolute monster in 2016, earning Freshman All-American honors and finishing with the most receiving yards from a freshman ever in UM history. Unfortunately, he had a knee injury late in the year that really killed this Miami offense. Now hopefully 100 percent and a little bit beefed up, this could be a Biletnikoff Award candidate. Junior Lawrence Cager and sophomore Jeff Thomas should be effective supporting characters, with Cager likely to emerge in the red zone, where is size advantage will be the most important. At tight end, the 'Canes bring back Michael Irvin II, who obviously has the lineage to really be a star. But, new freshman Brevin Jordan comes all the way from Las Vegas and has big-time potential.

 The O-Line could be a concern, although there is some healthy experience returning. Senior left tackle Tyree St. Louis should really be the leader, with another veteran, Tyler Gauthier, locking down the interior. The right side of the unit looks to be a little bit thin, which could come out down the stretch in a long year.

Miami's 2017 offense was right around the middle of the pack with in scoring and yards per game, so I envision a spike up entering this season. They should be much more healthy throughout this group, and Richt and staff brought in some really exciting new freshmen. 

Defense: Miami instantly caught fans' attention with their "Turnover Chain", a flashy piece of jewelry given out to the defender who created a turnover. This defense seemed to feed off that energy, and was a huge reason Miami was +13 in the turnover margin, fifth best in the entire country. It is likely the Chain will make a reappearance in 2018, and likely be broken out quite a bit.

Up front, DC Manny Diaz should unleash junior defensive end Joe Jackson, who seems ready to become a star. Jackson led the team in sacks (with 6.5) and played with a constant edge all year long. Sophomore Jonathan Garvin will be coming in from the other side, giving opposing quarterbacks plenty of nightmares. Senior tackle Gerald Willis will be a huge run stopper, likely eager to get back on the field after sitting out last season. 

The Hurricanes have some serious ups-and-downs leaning on a trio of three current juniors in Michael Pinckey, Shaq Quarterman and Zach McCloud. With plenty of ACC action now under their belt, the three should assert themselves as one of the best linebacker groups in the nation, if they haven't already, considering some of the astounding things they did in '17. Quarterman, the middle linebacker, was pivotal in run defense, with 83 tackles. Pinckney and McCloud focused more on getting after the quarterback and causing chaos in opposing backfields. Its reasonable to be super excited about this trio's ceiling together this year with their talent and comfortability in this system.

Diaz and Richt should also feel very comfortable about their secondary, which has some veteran leaders and some interesting young talent. Senior safety Jaquan Johnson is the main force, but senior corner Michael Jackson also plays a huge role. Johnson led the team with 96 tackles last year and added four interceptions, while Jackson consistently took on the best wide outs the ACC had to offer and shut them down. Senior Sheldrick Redwine is also returning after a strong 2017 campaign (59 tackles, six pass deflections), while sophomore Trajan Bandy looks like a budding star. Bandy had 25 tackles and one INT (which he took to the house) as a reserve last year, and should move into a starting role at the corner spot opposite of Jackson.

Once again, Miami should play a swarming, aggressive brand of defense under the tutelage of Diaz. The defensive line has proven it can wreak havoc, the linebackers are experienced and versatile and the back-end should be flying all over the place. This should be one of the best defensive teams in the conference, and the D should be a huge reason why Miami proves to be the team to beat in the ACC Coastal.

Special Teams: The 'Canes will almost certainly miss the services of kicker Michael Badgley, who graduated after hitting 17 of 23 field goals last season. His likely replacement is freshman Bubba Baxa, who has potential, but is obviously unproven at the FBS level. The return game will also sorely miss utility man Braxton Berrios, although Jeff Thomas proved he could make guys miss a year ago.

Even though their 10-0 start got slightly overshadowed by a three game skid to end the year, Miami's 2017 was a massive success. The 'Canes won the ACC Coastal, playing in their first ever ACC Championship Game, played in an Orange Bowl, and were one of the most talked about teams in the sport. It won't be an easy act to follow up, but this Hurricanes team has the chance to be even better. There is a ton of depth and experience up and down the two-deep, and playmakers at nearly level. The real X-factor will be QB play; if Rosier can cut down on turnovers and play better down the stretch this team is a legitimate National Title contender. If he doesn't, Miami looks more like a solid, fringe New Year's Six Bowl team. Even so, UM looks like the clear-cut favorite in a Coastal Division that is down this season, and should return to the ACC Championship Game, at the very least.

Team Projections
Projected Record: 10-3 (6-2 ACC, Lose in ACC Championship)
Offensive MVP: WR Ahmmon Richards
Defensive MVP: S Jajuan Johnson
Breakout Player of the Year: CB Trajan Bandy

Saturday, August 11, 2018

College Football Preview 2018: 10. Auburn Tigers

10. Auburn Tigers

The SEC West is as perilous as ever, but great QB play and a deep defense keeps the Tigers in conference title conversation

Jarrett Stidham

Offense: After a slow start to 2017, former Baylor transfer Jarrett Stidham turned things on at quarterback, finishing the year with 3,158 yards and 18 touchdowns. He was especially good in the big game, playing terrific football in upsets of two No. 1 teams, Georgia and Alabama. Stidham got some NFL interest but decided to return to Auburn for his junior season. With a huge arm, terrific poise and a confidence about him, you could certainly make the argument Stidham is the best signal-caller Gus Malzahn has had as head man at Auburn. That gives the Tigers a significant advantage they haven't had at times: a strong, stable passing attack.

Helping out what should be a potent aerial game will be senior Ryan Davis, who broke the schools' single-season reception record with 84 last year. Davis is small in stature, allowing him to exploit holes in defenses, and he possesses excellent burst. He should have another productive campaign catching throws from Stidham. Juniors Darius Slayton and Nate Craig-Myers are also returning as quality options. At tight end, the Tigers are hopeful a pair of little-used veterans, senior Jalen Harris and junior Sal Cannella can step up. The two combined for just four catches in 2017, but they are established blockers.

Gus Malzahn and Auburn have always been able to find quality running backs, which they will have to do this season with the departure of Kerryon Johnson. Johnson was an absolute workhorse for the Tigers, finishing the season with 1,391 yards and 18 touchdowns, good enough for ninth in Heisman voting. The expectation is that junior Kam Martin will now see the bulk of carries, and should have a breakout season. Martin managed 453 yards a year ago and while he doesn't possess Johnson's power, he is much more dangerous in open space. Two newcomers, Harold Joiner and Asa Martin, both come from inside the state and could see some early action.

If there is a concern on this offense it is the offensive line, which watched as four starters graduated this off-season. Junior right guard Mike Horton is the only returnee with significant starting experience, although there is real talent throughout this group. Left tackle Prince Tega Wanogho did see a good amount of playing time in '17, and should also be an anchor to this unit.

Auburn averaged 33.9 PPG last season, which was fourth in the SEC and 25th nationally. They managed that despite scoring just six points against Clemson and one lone touchdown versus Georgia in the SEC Championship. If they can rid themselves of some of that inconsistency, they are going to be very, very good. The O-Line will have to be figured out, but Stidham, Davis and Martin is a strong enough core for Malzahn to work his magic.

Defense: In the early years of the Malzahn era on the Plains, defense was simply an afterthought to what the Tigers could do offensively. That was certainly changed, as Auburn possesses a deep, stingy group of defenders headlined by one of the nation's strongest defensive lines.

The defensive front is led by three established veterans, juniors Marlon Davidson and Derrick Brown, along with senior Dontavius Russell. Davidson is their most natural pass rusher coming off the edge, but Brown and Russell's impact should not be understated in the interior. Russell is an elite run stopper that knows how to win in the brutal SEC, while Brown has the upside to be an absolute monster. Add in sophomores Nick Coe and T.D. Moultry, who are battling it out for a vacant end spot, and this pass rush is fast, athletic and lengthy. By the end of the season, I don't think it is going to sound crazy saying this is the best front seven in the SEC, a conference known for the talent it produces there.

Senior Deshaun Davis is the key cog back to lead the linebacker corps, which has a ton of depth. Davis is the team's top returning tackler after racking up 82 last year, but he can also get after the quarterback, with four sacks in '17. Two other seniors, Montavius Atkinson and Darrell Williams, are the slated starters at the outside linebacker positions. Expect defensive coordinator Kevin Steele to let these linebackers roam all around the field and even rush the QB pretty often.

Contrary to the front seven, Auburn's secondary isn't loaded with a ton of proven experience or depth, but this unit could still be fairly strong. The cornerback position has got to be considered a strength, with juniors Jamel Dean and Javaris Davis back. The pair is physical, confident and aggressive, which they'll need to be in the hard-hitting SEC. Another junior, Jeremiah Dinson, is also returning to fill the starting role at free safety. It will be interesting to see whether this group can force more turnovers in 2018, something they really struggled at a year ago. The Tigers had just six interceptions last season, likely a major reason why they were 71st nationally in turnover margin.

With all the fireworks Stidham and the offense will likely produce, the defense should be the real guiding force on this team, especially once conference play begins. The front seven is so nasty and the back-end has enough potential to imagine this being a Top 10, perhaps even Top 5 unit in the country.

Special Teams: It is a new day for Auburn at kicker, where they must replace the program's all-time leading scorer, Daniel Carlson. They will simply turn to his younger brother, Anders, as their placekicker. Anders has a huge leg, but the freshman obviously lacks the experience of his older brother. The return game is led by Ryan Davis, who is trying to break Auburn's spell of not being able to return a punt or kick for a touchdown, something they haven't done in over thee years.

Auburn was an weird, fascinating team a year ago who beat two No. 1s and looked like one of the country's clear-cut best teams, but also had a number of moments where they came out flat or uninspired. This team should have more consistency, thanks in large part to a stable QB situation and a defense that is only getting better. However, the real test to see whether this team really can take the next step forward is in their opener, where they square off against the Pac-12 favorite, Washington. A win there and the Tigers look like a lock to win 10-plus games and be firmly in the Playoff chase. A loss, and they enter a brutal conference slate of games (which includes a road trip in the Iron Bowl) already with one loss, likely dooming a return to a New Year's Six Bowl.

Team Projections
Projected Record: 10-2 (6-2 SEC)
Offensive MVP: QB Jarrett Stidham
Defensive MVP: DT Derrick Brown
Breakout Player of the Year: RB Kam Martin

Thursday, August 9, 2018

College Football Preview 2018: 11. Penn State Nittany Lions

11. Penn State Nittany Lions

Losing do-it-all Saquon Barkley hurts, but Trace McSorley should be able to keep PSU in the Playoff hunt


DeAndre Thompkins
Offense: Penn State's offense has been among the most explosive in the Big Ten the last two seasons, but there are some significant changes entering 2018. Chief among them is the loss of running back Saquon Barkley, who accounted for 23 total touchdowns (including special teams) and was a Heisman frontrunner for a decent chunk of last year. The Nittany Lions also have to deal with the loss of offensive coordinator Joe Moorhead, who took the Mississippi State head coaching gig. Moorhead engineered a massive turnaround of the unit when he arrived prior to 2016, leaving new play-caller Ricky Rahne with big shoes to fill. Despite these losses, there is ample back on this side of the ball for PSU to still be pretty potent.

The big returnee to the unit was senior quarterback Trace McSorley, who returns for his third season as starter. McSorley is small in stature but is a big-time playmaker, throwing for 3,750 yards and 28 touchdowns. Moorhead loving to throw deep, and it will be interesting to see whether Rahne uses the veteran QB the same way. Either way, McSorley is one of the best in the conference, and should put up pretty impressive numbers in his final season in Happy Valley.

McSorley should also have the distinct advantage of throwing to a group of receivers that are extremely talented. The No. 1 option at this point has to be junior Juwan Johnson, who morphs defensive backs with his size, 6'4", 230 pounds. Johnson will be joined by senior DeAndre Thompkins, who is more of a possession receiver that does his damage in space. The pair combined for over 1,000 yards receiving last season. Junior Brandon Polk looks like he could be the guy in this group ready to breakout. Polk has shown flashes, but he hasn't got the targets to make a huge difference. He'll get significantly more in 2018, and should be able to showcase his blazing speed and agility. Big things are expected of another wide out, newcomer Justin Shorter. Shorter has the size, route running ability and athleticism to be an absolute beast. It wouldn't be too surprising to see him make a big impact in his first season with the Lions. The tight end position will have to be figured out, as All-Big Ten talent Mike Gesicki is gone.

Filling Barkley's shoes completely will be near impossible, as the playmaking back accounted for nearly 33 percent of Penn State's yards in 2017. Yet, junior Miles Sanders seems ready to become this team's feature back. Sanders was a former high profile recruit who has shown serious upside in the short moments we've seen him. He could explode onto the scene, with senior Mark Allen adding a solid weapon as a backup.

The offensive line should help out Sanders and this maturing ground game, with four starters returning. Center Connor McGovern is the real anchor of the group, with a chance to earn All-Conference honors in his junior season. 

It is easy to expect Penn State to possibly take a slight step back from the 41.1 PPG they averaged in 2017, as Moorhead and Barkley have played such pivotal roles in this team's success. However, McSorley has all the tools to step up and lead the impressive talent head coach James Franklin has assembled. It should still be one of the best in the Big Ten, and perhaps in the country.

Defense: There are more questions on the other side of the ball, where coordinators Brent Pry and Tim Banks must rebuild a group that was very good in '17. Just two starters are back, defensive end Shareef Miller and linebacker Koa Farmer, but this unit does have plenty of potential.

Miller will play an important role as the leader of a youthful defensive line. Miller has proven he can get after the quarterback, with five sacks and 11.5 TFL a year ago. It isn't unreasonable to think teams might double team him, opening up lanes for this team's other pass rushers. Juniors Keith Windsor and Kevin Givens aren't super inexperienced, as they saw a healthy dose of action as backups last year. They appear to likely be the starters at the heart of this D-Line. Franklin seems to like the freshmen he brought in here, and they could make an early impact, particularly tackle P.J. Mustipher and end Jayson Oweh.

Despite the return of Farmer, who has been a longtime contributor to this defense and is now a senior, the linebacker corps is incredibly thin. Penn State has been touted as "Linebacker U" for their long-running ability to develop the position, which they hope holds true in '18. Junior Cam Brown is the likely starter on the opposite of Farmer at outside linebacker, but middle linebacker is very unsettled. This group was so thin high profile newcomer Micah Parsons was moved from end to Will outside linebacker, where he spent the spring. Parsons is a real special talent, and it seems like he should be able to see plenty of snaps.

The defensive backfield is going to be fascinating to watch. All four starters depart, including All-Big Ten safety Marcus Allen, but there is still some experience and depth. Allen really is a massive loss, as he recorded 71 tackles and was really the heart and soul of the back-end of this defense. Sophomore Lamont Wade has impressed coaches during his time with the Nittany Lions, and he could step up and replace Allen. The cornerback situation is actually fairly good, with senior Amani Oruwariye and junior John Reid returning. Oruwariye saw lots of snaps last year and showed he could hang with Big Ten receivers, while Reid was a starter in 2016 before losing last season to injury.

There are going to be some real growing pains on this defense, and not a lot of proven depth. With that being said, there is some still good experience in some places, and Miller and Farmer should be able to step up as leaders. If some youngsters can learn quickly, this could still be a good, likely not great, group.

Special Teams: The Nittany Lions have a possible All-Big Ten candidate returning at punter in junior Blake Gilikin who has a career average of 43 yards per punt, second in school history. The same can't be said at placekicker, where PSU where there are a group of walk-ons fighting for the job, which is far from promising.

Many considered James Franklin on the hot seat entering 2016, but he has cooled things down with two consecutive New Year's Six Bowl berths. Now, the big question is whether this program has the continuity to overcome some real heavy losses on both sides of the ball. Having a veteran QB who knows how to win in the Big Ten will be critical, but the Nittany Lions may have to lean on some unproven talent in some areas. Despite this, the schedule is very favorable, even if PSU has to play in the Big Ten East, which has four teams with serious Playoff aspirations. It may be tough for this to be the year the Nittany Lions get over the top and into the four-team field, they still look like a threat. Another New Year's Six Bowl seems like a real possibility for Franklin and staff.

Team Projections
Team Record: 9-3 (6-3 Big Ten)
Offensive MVP: QB Trace McSorley
Defensive MVP: DE Shareef Miller
Breakout Player of the Year: WR Brandon Polk




Tuesday, August 7, 2018

College Football Preview 2018: 12. Michigan State Spartans

12. Michigan State Spartans

Last year's big leap showed the upside of this roster, particularly with a capable QB leading the way

Brian Lewerke & Mark Dantonio

Offense: After a brutal 2016 that was a major reason for the Spartans stunning 3-9 collapse, Michigan State's offense improved mightily over the course of the 2017 campaign. The Spartans once again leaned heavily on their power run attack, but the improvement of quarterback Brian Lewerke, who missed most of '16, was the guiding force behind the improvement.

Lewerke may not be at the level of former MSU quarterbacks such as Kirk Cousins or Connor Cook, but the junior signal-caller showed an excellent command of the offense last season, finishing with 2,793 yards and 20 touchdowns. Lewerke is a very efficient quarterback that doesn't turn the ball over, with pretty nimble feet, giving this backfield a variance it hasn't had in some time. If he can improve throwing the ball deep down the field, this is a legitimate All-Big Ten QB.

A familiar face by now in East Lansing, senior L.J. Scott returns as the Spartans' workhorse back. Scott has proven to be a pretty consistent weapon for head coach Mark Dantonio, but hasn't really been able to take the big step forward in his career, never rushing for over 1,000 yards (898 last year). He will be used a lot, but Michigan State is still hoping a quality change of pace option emerges. Sophomore Connor Heyward had just three carries in 2017, but rumors are the MSU staff is very excited about him and he has the lineage, being the son of former NFL standout Craig Heyward.

Senior Felton Davis cemented himself as Lewerke's top option in the passing game last year, and it should be much the same in 2018. Davis is still prone to drops, but there is no denying the senior's ability to make plays, and it really feels like he has the talent to become one of the conference's best wide outs. Sophomores Cody White and Cam Chambers both should be expected to see larger roles, with White really having some moments last season (490 yards, four touchdowns). At tight end, the steady Matt Sokol is back for his final year. Sokol is best as a blocker, but he has proven he can get out there and make plays as a weapon in the passing attack, managing 21 receptions a year ago.

Up front, Michigan State has a good amount of experience and talent returning. Junior left tackle Cole Chewins has established himself as a rock-solid piece on the perimeter, while senior guard David Beedle is an important leader. There are high expectations for sophomore RT Jordan Reid and sophomore center Matt Allen. Reid looked really good in flashes last year and should start, while Allen is slated to fill in for his departed brother, Brian.

For a long time under Dantonio, the Spartans have utilized a plodding, relatively unexciting offense to stay alive in the Big Ten. However, with the talent and versatility back in this particular group, we will likely see MSU attack in different ways and try new things. There is a good chance this could be the most best overall group Dantonio has had in East Lansing.

Defense: Even with the offense set to be very good, it is still likely Michigan State will be defensive-minded. Coordinator Mike Tressel had the country's 19th best scoring defense last season, and the defense now returns nine starters.

The defensive line doesn't have any big stars, but this is a unit filled with quality Big Ten talent that go out and compete every week. Junior defensive tackle Mike Panasiuk and junior end Raequan Williams are physical, aggressive defenders that are key to the Spartans' rush defense. Another junior, Kenny Willekes may be the team's best pass rusher, with seven sacks a season ago.

Dantonio and staff do a great job developing linebacker talent, and there are some who believe junior middle linebacker Joe Bachie is the best Dantonio has ever had. Bachie had 100 tackles last season, showing an incredible mind for the game, along with top notching closing speed. Senior outside linebacker Andrew Dowell returns, coming off a year where he was second (only behind Bachie) on the team in tackles. Senior Byron Bullough is the younger brother of former MSU greats Max and Riley, and has proven himself as an important reserve.

The secondary will not be a problem at all, as all four starters return to a unit that allowed 202.3 YPG through the air in 2017, 37th nationally. Cornerbacks Josiah Scott and Justin Layne are proven commodities in the rigorous Big Ten, particularly the physical Scott, who had nine pass breakups in '17. Safety is in good hands, with senior Khari Willis back at strong and junior David Dowell at free. Dowell is already an established interception machine, racking up five last season, but all word out of Michigan State camp is that he has gotten much better in other aspects of his game this off-season. Depth is not a concern for this group either, as quality defenders like Tyson Smith and Josh Butler are returning as well.

Michigan State's defense was incredibly strong all last season, finishing seventh in total defense. There is a reasonable chance it could be even better in 2018, with so much experience and depth back at every position group. As long as this team avoids injury and the veterans play well, this defense will be absolutely terrifying for opponents.

Special Teams: Special teams should also be considered a strength for the Spartans heading into 2018, as kicker Matt Coghlin and punter Jake Hartbarger both return. Coghlin was 15 for 19 on field goals last season and should only get better with more experience, while Hartbarger has a huge leg. 

Mark Dantonio silenced all critics last season when Michigan State jumped from three wins to ten, including a 7-2 mark in the Big Ten. This team should be even better, but there are some interesting challenges facing them. Chief among them is the fact the Spartans have to deal with the rest of the Big Ten East, the best division in football. Despite them being a fringe Top 10 team, I still have them finishing fourth in the division. The schedule is just tough overall, which includes a tough non-conference trip to Arizona State in early September. Yet, the upside of this team is immense, if Brian Lewerke can take a next step. If he does, the offense could be perhaps the best it has ever been under Dantonio, and the defense looks stacked. Things will be tough in the East, but I wouldn't rule out a Big Ten title and Playoff berth just yet for MSU, considering all the pieces returning to East Lansing.

Team Projections
Record: 9-3 (6-3 Big Ten)
Offensive MVP: QB Brian Lewerke
Defensive MVP: LB Joe Bachie
Breakout Player of the Year: RB Connor Heyward


Saturday, August 4, 2018

College Football Preview 2018: 13. West Virginia Mountaineers

13. West Virginia Mountaineers

The nation's best QB-WR combo should help the defense overcome some deficiencies


David Sills
Offense: Head coach Dana Holgorsen has look been described as an innovative offensive mind, and he has had some great offenses during his seven years at West Virginia. However, there is hope this particular group could be the best Holgorsen has ever had in Morgantown.

A big reason for that is the return of quarterback Will Grier. Grier exceeded expectations in his first season in West Virginia after transferring from Florida, with 3,490 yards and 34 touchdowns. He showed excellent poise, a great command of the team, and the numbers speak for themselves. He enters 2018 as a serious Heisman contender, but he has to cut down on turnovers (12 interceptions) and play better in the big game to really get that type of attention. Either way, it should be a highly productive campaign for the veteran signal-caller.

At runningback, the Mountaineers will likely turn to junior Kennedy McKoy as their feature back after he ran for 596 yards and seven scores in a backup role. McKoy isn't quite the every-down back the departed Justin Crawford was, but he is an explosive playmaker that should find ways to keep the ground game dangerous. Junior Martell Pettaway managed 149 yards in '17, and should be used as a short-yardage weapon this year.

Grier's top option in the passing game will be Biletnikoff Award frontrunner David Sills, who led the entire country with 18 receiving touchdowns a year ago. Sills is really an incredible story; he was supposed to be a quarterback prodigy offered a scholarship by Lane Kiffin at USC in 2010, before committing to West Virginia. After a one-year journey to El Camino College, Sills returned to Morgantown, moved to receiver full-time and put up huge numbers. He is perhaps the country's top wide out entering 2018. Senior Gary Jennings will be a worthy No. 2 who had 97 catches for 1,096 yards last season and is more of a possession receiver than Sills. Alabama transfer T.J. Simmons has the upside to be a tremendous receiver himself, while junior Marcus Simms is already a proven deep threat. 

The offensive line is another reason to be excited about this offense, as four starters return. They are led by a pair of tackles, Yodny Cajuste and Colton McKivitz. Cajuste was going to be drafted this past spring, but felt like joining Grier and Sills in their return to WVU. He is going to be an All-Big 12 player at the critical left tackle spot. 

Last season, the Mountaineers averaged 34.5 PPG and nearly 460 yards per game, both near the top of the Big 12. Expect those numbers to only get better, as Grier puts up gaudy statistics behind a strong line and with a great collection of receivers. 

Defense: Defensive coordinator Tony Gibson is well respected around the league for the work he has done at West Virginia over the last few years, but he will face quite the challenge with this group. Just four starters return from a group that allowed 31.5 PPG in 2017 (90th nationally) and the Mountaineers were hit with a rash of spring injuries, which will force Gibson to retool and shift pieces around.

The defensive line should be the strength of the unit, with senior Ezekiel Rose and junior Reese Donahue both back. Neither are necessarily All-Conference talents, but Rose had 4.5 sacks last year and knows how to cause chaos in opposing backfields. A pair of brothers, Dante and Darius Stills, will be leaned on heavily with Darius the likely starter at nose tackle. Dante is a newcomer to the unit but the West Virginia native comes in with high expectations. Another newcomer is USC transfer Kenny Bigelow, who will compete for snaps right away. Bigelow was a former five-star recruit and we saw flashes of his immense talent in Los Angeles, but knee injuries have taken their toll on the defender.

The linebacker situation is frankly, not very good. Junior David Long was third on the team in tackles in 2017 and has proven he is a superb run defender, but he missed all of spring recovering from shoulder surgery and his status for fall camp is not completely clear. JUCO transfer Charlie Benton is expected to be pushed into a starting role with Quondarius Qualls and Brendan Ferns, both projected starters, tore their ACLs in the spring. There is still some hope this group gets healthy fast, but if it doesn't, it's hard to imagine WVU improving on the nation's 104th ranked rush defense a season ago.

Gibson and the Mountaineers must also replace both starting cornerbacks, although sophomore Derrek Pitts has the potential to evolve into a lockdown defender. Senior Dravon Askew-Henry is an important returnee to the secondary. He had 57 tackles and four pass deflections last year, and will now move into the "Spur" safety position previously occupied by the departed Kyzir White. Sophomore Kenny Robinson is a breakout candidate, as the free safety should improve on his three interceptions from '17.

With such poor health and not a ton of experience, it wouldn't be surprising to see West Virginia experience some growing pains on the defensive side of the ball in 2018. However, Gibson has proven he can turn around defenses before, and it isn't like there isn't talent there. If some guys step up, it could still be good enough to take some pressure off the offense from time to time.

Special Teams: Sophomore kicker Evan Staley split time at the position last year, going 6 for 7 on field goals last year. He hopes to take over a full-time role in 2018, but will face opposition from former Western Kentucky transfer Skylar Simcox. Punter Billy Kinney is one of the best in the Big 12, and Marcus Simms is back to handle both return duties.

Since moving to the Big 12, West Virginia has been stuck in a state of mediocrity. They've been good enough to usually be in the upper-half of the league, but have yet to seriously contend for a conference title. If any WVU team is going to change that, this looks to be the team. Grier is a legitimate Heisman candidate, Sills & Jennings are two elite-level receivers, and the offensive line is great. The questions surrounding the defense are certainly concerning, but Gibson and staff will have time to figure things out, and the group doesn't have to be great for the Mountaineers to still win plenty of games. Without a clear-cut threat behind Oklahoma in the Big 12, WVU looks up to the task to get to the conference championship game, and challenge for even higher honors.

Team Projections
Projected Record: 9-3 (7-2 Big 12)
Offensive MVP: QB Will Grier
Defensive MVP: S Dravon Askew-Henry
Breakout Player of the Year: DT Darius Stills


Friday, August 3, 2018

College Football Preview 2018: 14. Mississippi State Bulldogs

14. Mississippi State Bulldogs

There is enough back on both sides of the ball for new head coach Joe Moorhead to have a splashing debut


Nick Fitzgerald
Offense: Mississippi State fans finally had to deal with something they had been confronting for a long time this off-season: head coach Dan Mullen leaving. After taking over in Starkville in 2009, Mullen led the Bulldogs to eight consecutive bowl berths, 69 wins (second most in school history for a head coach) and an Orange Bowl in 2014. There had always been some thought a bigger name school in the SEC may just poach Mullen and Florida did just that, bringing back their former offensive coordinator following the firing of Jim McElwain.

Losing Mullen hurts, but Mississippi State responded promptly by bringing in Penn State offensive coordinator Joe Moorhead. Moorhead sparked Penn State's offense the last two seasons, engineering a creative, high-octane group that was among the best in college football. It will be interesting to see Moorhead transition from his Northeast roots to SEC football, but the good news is that the new head man has plenty of weapons at his disposal.

That list of weapons begins with senior QB Nick Fitzgerald, who accounted for over 2,600 yards of total offense. Fitzgerald leaves a little to be desired as a passer (1,782 yards, 15 touchdowns last year) but is a superb runner who excels through contact. However, the veteran signal-caller did go down with a scary ankle injury in last year's Egg Bowl, and his status for the start of 2018 is unclear. Fitzgerald is a notoriously gritty kid that will do anything to help his football team win, but it wouldn't be surprising to see Moorhead and the Bulldogs slowly work him back with less designed QB runs. The expectation is that he will still be able to start their opener September 1st against Stephen F. Austin.

Running back Aeris Williams also returns to the fray after managing a very quiet 1,107 yards a season ago. Williams is rarely discussed in a conversation about elite SEC backs, but the veteran is a workhorse that finds a way to move the chains. Sophomore Kylin Hill is also going to feature in after racking up 393 yards in 2017. Hill has a little bit more shiftiness and wiggle to him than Williams, giving the Bulldogs a nice change of pace.

If Fitzgerald is going to develop more as a downfield passer, which is the hope under Moorhead's guidance, the receiver corps is going to need to step up. There is no dearth of talent, it just has yet to come out consistently. Senior Jesse Jackson and junior Keith Mixon are likely to be Fitzgerald's top two targets. Mixon is undersized but excellent at finding lanes to work with, while Jackson has the physical frame and athleticism to develop into a potent red zone threat. Newcomers Stephen Guidry, Malik Heath and Devonta Jason all are coming in with plenty of fanfare. Heath and Jason are freshmen who Mississippi State kept away from other SEC schools in the area, while Guidry comes in as the nation's top JUCO wide receiver transfer. Tight end is in good hands with junior Farrod Green and senior Justin Johnson returning.

The offensive line should be a strength, with plenty of proven SEC experience returning. All-SEC left tackle Martinas Rankin was the lone loss, although he was a pretty significant one. Senior guard Deion Calhoun and center Elgin Jenkins will open up gaps up the middle, with sophomore right tackle Stewart Reese locking up the outside. 

I'm excited to see what this Mississippi State offense can be under Moorhead's guidance. Fitzgerald is a superb quarterback but has lacked a true downfield passing skill, which many see Moorhead unlocking. If he does, with the talent coming in at receiver, the Bulldogs could have one of the best offenses in the SEC.

Defense: Fitzgerald and the offense will get a lot of attention entering 2018, but the defense was the main force in last year's nine victories. The Bulldogs allowed just 306.3 yards per game, which was 10th nationally. This group does lose some pieces, but the defensive line could still be one of the premier units in the conference.

All four starters return to that line, which is led by junior Jeffery Simmons and senior Montez Sweat. Sweat emerged last season as a pass rushing menace, with 10.5 sacks on the year. Simmons, a former five-star recruit, can play in the outside but has seemed more comfortable inside, where he is too quick for interior blockers. Senior Gerri Green and sophomore Kobe Jones are two other proven pass rushers that will vie for important playing time. 

The linebacker corps is the rebuilding project for new defensive coordinator Bob Shoop. Sophomore Willie Gay is the guy getting a lot of attention after a productive freshman season, and a good looking spring. He could certainly be a breakout candidate for this defense. Junior Leo Lewis is a proven difference-maker who should start. Lewis is a decent coverage option and has incredible range, with 46 tackles in '17. Beyond that, there are some questions, but Mullen did a good job recruiting these last few years, and there is talent that should step up.

Pass defense was the ultimate strength for Mississippi State in 2017, and this group should be pretty stingy once again this fall. The cornerback spot is a relative concern, as the Bulldogs must break in two new starters. However, a pair of senior safeties are back, in Mark McLaurin and Johnathan Abram. Both are guys that make plays all over the field, and McLaurin had six interceptions last season, jumping passing lanes constantly. Mississippi State is also excited about the upside of freshman Marcus Murphy, a four-star athlete recruit coming from inside the state.

Todd Grantham had a superb defense last season, before joining Mullen's staff at Florida. Shoop now comes in run the group and while there are some changes and differences (Shoop will likely run a 4-3 instead of Grantham's 3-4) this group should still be very good. The Bulldogs have so much underrated talent throughout this defense, and Simmons and Sweat are going to be chasing down quarterbacks all year long.

Special Teams: Sophomore kicker Jace Christmann was a major surprise last season, as the former walk-on knocked down 12 of 14 field goals. Mississippi State has had long term issues in the kicking game, but Christmann just may be the cure. Punt returner Dedrick Thomas could be a very exciting weapon again in 2018 after taking one to the house a year ago.

Mississippi State has never been a power program, but this is a school with significant momentum entering 2018. Being able to replace Mullen with a rising name from across the country in Joe Moorhead shows how far the Bulldogs have come over the years. Moorhead is blessed with some real talent right away, from Fitzgerald to a D-Line with some future NFL talent. The key will be the linebacker situation figuring itself out, and Fitzgerald returning to 100 percent, and hopefully taking some steps forward as a passer. The schedule is also somewhat perilous; the Bulldogs have to go on the road in the non-conference at sneaky Kansas State, and also get LSU and Alabama away from Starkville. Even so, I like Mississippi State as an interesting dark horse Playoff team, with some significant upside. It wouldn't be surprising to see them playing in a New Year's Six Bowl come January.

Team Projections
Projected Record: 9-3 (5-3 SEC)
Offensive MVP: QB Nick Fitzgerald
Defensive MVP: DE Montez Sweat
Breakout Player of the Year: LB Willie Gay

Wednesday, August 1, 2018

College Football Preview 2018: 15. Stanford Cardinal

15. Stanford Cardinal

The offense is going to be one of the best in recent memory, with Heisman frontrunner Bryce Love fueling the charge

Bryce Love

Offense: 2017 was a fine offensive season for Stanford, as they averaged 32.4 PPG, 38th nationally and sixth-best in the Pac-12. Now, the top passer, top five rushers and top four receivers are all returning, along with three starters on the offensive line. Needless to say, this offense has the chance to be special.

Sophomore K.J. Costello managed to wrestle the starting job away from Keller Chryst, who transferred to Tennessee. Costello played very well down the stretch and seemed to grow in confidence each outing. Another spring and fall camp under his belt will prepare him for what should be a very strong campaign. Don't expect prolific numbers, but the young QB can still be a very effective game manager and distributor for this offense.

Many expected a breakout 2017 from running back Bryce Love, but he still managed to exceed expectations, rushing for 2,118 yards and 19 touchdowns en route to a Heisman runner-up finish. Love was adept at finding lanes and his excellent burst was on full display all year long. Fully healthy and playing behind a pretty good offensive line, he will put up huge numbers, perhaps even improving on an astounding 8.1 YPC average from '17. Junior Cameron Scarlett proved to be a quality No. 2 option with 389 yards and eight scores. Scarlett does not have Love's speed or explosiveness but he is a powerful runner that is incredibly useful in short yardage. Add in junior Trevor Speights (142 yards) and OC Tavita Pritchard will not be hurting for guys to utilize.

Stanford is not been known for producing top-flight wide out talent, specializing mainly at the tight end spot, where they have produced a number of NFL talent. However, veteran receivers J.J. Arcega-Whiteside and Trenton Irwin have the chance to change that narrative. Irwin is a senior and as reliable a weapon as they come, while Arcega-Whiteside is coming off a 781-yard, nine touchdown year and is a big play threat. Big things are expected of redshirt freshman Osiris St. Brown, who was a high profile recruit a year ago but had to deal with injury issues. He could end up being the best receiver on this roster with the upside he has as a playmaker. Tight end will again not be an issue, as the Cardinal reload at the position again and again. Sophomore Kaden Smith looks like the next stud at the position, with Colby Parkinson sure to feature in.

Up front, Stanford will be as good as ever, with four starters returning. Senior center Jesse Burkett is among the top interior linemen in the Pac-12, with tackles A.J. Hall and Walker Little blocking on the perimeter. Little is especially talented, earning Freshman All-America honors a year ago. This line could very well be among the best in the entire country.

With so much talent back, it's hard to imagine this Stanford offense not being extremely productive. The interesting thing to watch will be Costello's growth at the game's most important position. He showed real promise last season, but if he can develop into a more prolific down-the-field passer, this could legitimately be a historic offense at his school.

Defense: The other side of the ball is much less settled, which has been completely contrary to past Cardinal teams. The defense took a huge step back in 2017, allowing over 400 yards per game and rating 76th in the nation in total defense. They allowed too many big plays and were too disciplined, putting some pressure on this group to get Stanford back to their old, defensive ways.

The defensive line is a clear concern heading into fall, without much experienced talent returning. Sophomore Jovan Swann showed enough last season to have some people excited, but he is the most noteworthy name of the unit. Junior Dylan Jackson is a fine run stopper at end, but needs to take a step forward if this pass rush is going to be imposing at all. There is also some hope that newcomers Thomas Booker and Andres Fox see instant action. Both are not typical Stanford recruits; Booker was stolen from the East Coast (Maryland) and Fox out of SEC country (Alabama) but they have superb upside.

The linebacker situation is significantly better, due in large part to the return of senior inside linebacker Bobby Okereke. Okereke was third on the team in tackles last year, managing to rack up 88 and 8.5 TFL. He also leading returner in sacks, showcasing his versatility as a pass rusher and coverage weapon. Senior Joey Alfieri is a smart, instinctive 'backer who has been in the system for awhile. He should be able to lock down a starting spot on the outside. Senior Jordan Perez and Sean Barton should also play big roles. Perez had 62 tackles last season and is very underrated, while Barton is recovering from a season-ending knee injury suffered in the third week of 2017.

Stanford's pass defense was the big issue of the defense a year ago, but it could take a step forward. Stud safety Justin Reid is off to the NFL, leaving behind his five interceptions and leadership, but there is still a decent amount of experience here. Senior Alijah Holder has struggled with injuries throughout his Stanford career, but there is no denying his talent. If he can stay healthy, he can certainly be a No. 1 corner on a good defense. Senior Alameen Murphy is likely to start opposite of him after a rocky '17. Junior Frank Buncom is a key returnee at safety after picking off three passes last year, but is unclear who will replace Reid at the other slot.

It will be fascinating to watch how this defense performs in 2018. Coordinator Lance Anderson is a respected mind that has engineered some really stingy groups, but they struggled mightily at times last year, and this group has some big questions. The secondary should be able to improve, but I still expect this defense to be mediocre unless there are some major breakout stars up front.

Special Teams: Sophomore Jet Toner is set to take over the reigns once again at placekicker, after knocking down 21 of 26 last year. Punter is also in good hands, as senior Jake Bailey returns to Palo Alto. The return game is a bigger question, but Cameron Scarlett should be able to do some damage as a kick returner.

A program that has made their living off defense and smashmouth offense, Stanford will look quite a bit different in 2018. They still lean heavily on Love and their ground attack, but don't be surprised if the Cardinal try to open things up more with Costello and the passing game. Either way, it won't be an easy route in the improving Pac-12 North. The Cardinal open their season with a sneaky tough matchup with San Diego State then get USC at home. That isn't exactly the best opening for a team still trying out plenty of fresh faces on defense. However, the offense and David Shaw's calming nature should keep this team in the Pac-12 Title race. If Costello grows rapidly and the defense is once more elite, a Playoff berth could at least be in the conversation.

Team Projections
Projected Record: 10-2 (7-2 Pac-12)
Offensive MVP: RB Bryce Love
Defensive MVP: LB Bobby Okereke
Breakout Player of the Year: DE Jovan Swann